Gold is under pressure. Will the trend change?Information summary:
The easing of tensions in the Middle East is the main reason for the suppression of gold. Risk aversion has weakened, and the market has entered a risk-taking mode. Gold prices are well supported near $3,300.
Powell released an important signal: The market expected Powell to strongly refute the possibility of a rate cut, but he remained on the sidelines. The market still generally believes that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to initiate a rate cut, and the first rate cut is expected to be in September.
Market analysis:
Gold has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, which has changed the current bull structure in stages, so there is no doubt that gold is expected to fall back as a whole. The early decline was near 3355, which is the current long-short watershed of gold. As long as the adjustment does not break through the 3355 position, the overall short-term adjustment pattern of gold will not change.
The early Asian market did not continue to retreat, but the short-term rebound had a long buying force accumulation, but as long as it did not break through 3355, the market trend was still weak, and it was adjusted by low-level shock correction. Today, there is a high probability of movement around the falling range. The short-term support below is around 3290. If this position is lost, it may touch the turning point around 3275.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around 3315, stop loss at 3305, and profit range 3345-3350.
Xauusdanalysis
Will gold prices continue to decline?On Tuesday, spot gold once fell below the $3,310 level and finally closed down 1.67% at $3,322.82 per ounce, as the Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment and Fed Chair Powell stated that more time is needed before considering interest rate cuts. Spot silver closed down 0.46% at $35.90 per ounce. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.2960%, and the 2-year yield at 3.8310%. Powell indicated that current policy is in a favorable position to wait and see before considering rate adjustments, adding that "colleagues privately say I'm doing the right thing". The vast majority of officials believe rate cuts later this year would be appropriate, while noting it's "too early to declare the U.S. dollar is falling".
Technically, gold's daily chart formed a large bearish candle with a lower shadow, breaking below previous support levels amid consolidation. This suggests the bearish trend may persist.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@3330-3335
TP:3300-3295
The rebound is an opportunity to short goldAfter the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel and Powell's hawkish remarks that strongly refuted the possibility of a rate cut, gold fell sharply and hit a low near 3295. Although gold has rebounded, it is particularly difficult during the rebound process, which shows that the bulls are not willing to attack, and the rebound is only a technical repair of the decline.
Since gold fell below 3300 yesterday, the current bull structure has been changed in stages and the confidence of the bulls has been greatly weakened. As gold falls, it will be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. Before gold breaks through this area, any rebound may give us an opportunity to short gold; in addition, after gold falls below 3300 once, in order to move downward and test support, gold has the need to retreat again.
So in the next short-term trading, we can try to use the 3345-3355 area as resistance, short gold appropriately, and look to the 3315-3305 area.
XAUUSD Ready bounce back?XAUUSD 3295.00 is an important weekly and daily key level price has just bounced back from the key level with double bottom formation. It is possible for the price to continue to bounce back to daily resistance level?
While was in down trend price has left significant imbalance in the market showing possible uptrend with the filling of FVG.
A buy trade with strong liquidity grab is high probable.
Geopolitical Spike Fades Fast – Gold Eyes 3300As highlighted in Friday’s analysis, the daily and short-term charts remain messy, but the weekly chart is leaning clearly bearish – with a potential Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation now confirmed.
🌍 Geopolitical Gap Up... and Quick Rejection
Monday’s Asian open brought a gap up, triggered by renewed tensions in the Middle East. But price failed to break above 3400 and quickly reversed – a textbook sign of weakness, not strength.
🧭 Technical View:
- The weekly candle closed as a Dark Cloud Cover, a strong bearish reversal signal
- The lack of follow-through after the gap up further confirms sellers are still in control
- Price remains below the key 3400 level, showing no bullish momentum behind recent spikes
📌 Trading Plan:
I continue to sell rallies, with an initial target near 3300. If bearish momentum builds, lower levels are in play.
Let the chart lead – don’t get distracted by the noise.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Short Term OutlookGold dipped into the Support Zone but failed to sustain the breakdown below it. After briefly breaking below the zone, price has rebounded and is now attempting a short-term recovery.
However, structure remains bearish, with price trading below both the 50MA and 200MA, signalling continued downside pressure unless momentum shifts.
For bullish momentum to continue, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,330, which may open the path toward $3,346, then $3,361.
If the move up doesn’t hold, the next reaction is expected near key support.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,330 • $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
📌 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before committing to a direction.
Dark moment for prices. Will it fall even lower?Information summary:
Due to the ceasefire in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, market risk appetite has rebounded, demand for safe-haven assets has declined, and gold prices have plummeted. As an interest-free asset, gold prices are under pressure against the backdrop of declining risk aversion, but there is still buying support at low levels.
Investors are currently focusing on the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a hearing of the House Financial Services Committee. Powell has been cautious about whether to cut interest rates in the near future.
Market analysis:
The current market selling sentiment has increased significantly, and for gold, falling has become the only path. It seems that the market has lost hope in gold, and the current gold price has fallen to around 3295, then rebounded slightly, and is currently fluctuating around 3313. The break of 3300 declares that gold still has further room to fall, and from the trend point of view, it is likely to continue to fall.
The current trend shows that the important support is around 3285. It is possible that it will fall directly to the current position. The Fed is still speaking, and it is unpredictable whether it will cause drastic fluctuations in gold in the future. However, from today's trend, shorting is the best solution at present, and the upper resistance position is in the range of 3315-3325.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3320, stop loss 3330, profit range 3290-3285.
XAUUSD – Selling Pressure Intensifies, the 3,300 USD 1. Overall Technical Context
The XAUUSD daily chart shows that gold is under bearish pressure after failing to break the key confluence resistance at 3,385–3,399 USD, which includes:
- Fibonacci retracement levels 0.5 – 0.618
- A strong supply zone that has been repeatedly rejected
- A minor swing high formed near 3,451 USD
2. Recent Price Behavior
Price has broken below the short-term support at 3,331 USD and is now retesting the Key Lever zone around 3,300 USD, which is a confluence of:
- Previous June swing low
- Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the latest upward move from 3,221 to 3,451
- A key previous support zone, potentially forming the right shoulder of a head and shoulders structure
If this zone breaks decisively, XAUUSD may continue falling toward the 3,270 – 3,250 USD area, where strong liquidity was previously found.
Key Technical Zones
Resistance:
3,385 – 3,399: Fibo 0.5–0.618 zone and recent swing high
3,435 – 3,451: Major swing high and starting point of the latest correction
Support:
3,300 – 3,320 (Key Lever): Major support currently being tested
3,271 – 3,250: Next support if the current zone fails
Suggested Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on Confirmation at Key Lever
Entry: 3,300 – 3,297 (Key Lever zone)
Stop-loss: Below 3,292
Take-profit: 3,310 – 3,315 – 3,320
Condition: Wait for a clear reversal candlestick pattern or signs of selling absorption on H4/H1
Scenario 2 – Sell if Price Breaks Below Key Lever
Entry: Below 3,290 (after clear break of Key Lever)
Stop-loss: Above 3,298
Take-profit: 3,280 – 3,270
P.S. XAUUSD is currently sitting at a decisive support area around 3,300 USD. The medium-term trend will depend on whether this zone holds. Traders are advised to closely watch price action on the H1–H4 timeframes before executing entries.
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Analyst: @Henrybillion
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
After falling below the 3300 mark, gold hit the 3295 line and then rebounded. However, there are too many long orders at the current high level of gold, and the market will not rise easily. The current international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. It is difficult to rebound sharply in this situation. In the short term, focus on 3290-3280 below. If effective support is obtained, you can go long and look towards 3300-3310. If it falls below the support line of 3290-3280, the downward channel of gold will be opened and it is expected to reach 3265. At the same time, pay attention to the 3328-3338 resistance range on the upside. If the first rebound in the evening encounters pressure and resistance here, you may consider shorting.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3328-3338-3400
TP 3310-3300-3295
BUY 3290-3280
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold’s Geopolitical Launchpad: Eyes on $3,500+🟡 GOLD - Macro Fuel Meets Technical Momentum Trade Levels Inside
Gold continues to flex its haven status as geopolitical tensions flare once again—this time triggered by reports of a U.S. airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities. That headline risk has lit the fuse under precious metals, and the reaction in futures markets has been swift.
Friday’s intraday washout—largely driven by hopes that President Trump would opt for diplomacy—was short-lived. The strong recovery into New York close left a long lower shadow, signaling buyers are already pricing in weekend escalation risk.
💡 Macro View:
- Analysts project a move toward $3,500–$3,700, driven by a twin-engine of geopolitical instability and sticky inflation.
- Central banks are staying long; ETF inflows are ticking up—this isn’t just speculative hype.
- Goldman’s base case: $3,700 EOY, $4,000 by mid-2026. Recession/volatility scenarios stretch targets up to $4,500.
🔧 Technical Setup:
- Bias across all time frames remains bullish. Open float pressure is stacking with long-side conviction.
- Key long trigger zone sits between $3,369–$3,375—I’m watching for confirmation here.
- Profit targets:
- First resistance: $3,440.48
- Second target: $3,500 zone
- Stretch: $3,520+ if volatility expands
Gold Trading Strategy June 24Quite surprised with the price gap down at the beginning of the day. A sweep to 3333 and recovery to increase again in the Tokyo trading session.
This recovery completely breaks the market's bullish wave structure.
3363 and 3335 are paying attention in today's Asian and European trading sessions. This area can be traded short-term in the sideways range. The SELL area pays attention to the opening gap at 3368.
The upper range has some adjustments compared to yesterday in the direction of decreasing prices, so the SELL range 3386 and 3410 is paid attention to for trading.
Resistance: 3363-3368-3386-3410
Support: 3335-3322-3296
Good trading signal
BUY GOLD 3323-3321 Stoploss 3318
SELL GOLD 3363-3365 Stoploss 3370
Gold prices rebounded weakly after a sharp plunge!After Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, market risk aversion significantly cooled, and gold prices plunged by more than $30 in early trading. From a technical perspective, the moving average system of gold's daily chart shows an intertwined state, with relatively balanced bullish and bearish forces. Currently, the key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological threshold. If effectively broken through, it may open up an upward space; the support level below focuses on the 3285-3290 range, which is the lower edge of the May platform (shock platform). If broken, it may exacerbate pullback pressure. The loss of the middle 轨 (middle track) in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure, providing technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long near 3285-3290 during the pullback in the evening, but currently, gold continues to decline following the trend.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@3290-3295
TP:3335-3340
Will the 3300 support hold today?Due to the sudden ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel today, the gold market quickly flipped from bullish to bearish — when gold tested the 3300 support level just now, it rebounded near 3315 📈.
It may challenge the 3290-3300 support range again later: if it effectively breaks below, the next target is the strong support at 3265, and it may eventually dip to 3200 before starting a rebound 🔄.
If the breakout fails, it may consolidate near 3330, waiting for further market guidance 📊
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3330 - 3320
🚀 TP 3310 - 3305
Gold prices rebound weakly after sharp fallFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is intertwined, and the long and short forces are relatively balanced. The current key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological barrier. If an effective breakthrough is achieved, it may open up the upward space; the support below focuses on the 3285-3290 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, it may increase the pressure of the correction. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long near the 3285-3290 level. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3287-3292 area of gold, with a stop loss at 3280 and a target of 3320-3340.
Buy gold, there may be a rebound in the short termAt present, gold has touched the area of 3325-3315 mentioned in my previous article, and the lowest price is around 3316. At present, due to the current important support area of 3310-3300 below, gold still has a rebound demand in the short term; although gold has not rebounded sharply at present, the downward momentum has indeed slowed down, and gold may rebound after the short force is consumed. Moreover, the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has not yet been settled. Moreover, the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has not yet been settled. With the fluctuating situation in the Middle East, bulls may have opportunities to counterattack.
However, the current performance of gold is indeed relatively weak, so there is no need to expect gold to rebound and fill the upper gap area of 3360-3370 in the short term; in trading, the rebound expectation can be appropriately lowered, and long positions can continue to be held and look up to the 3340-3350 area.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short (SELL LIMIT) 1. Trend Alignment: H1 shows a clear down-trend — lower highs at 3446 → 3397 → 3347. SMAs on H1/M15 have turned down.
2. High-Probability Pullback: Price has broken the 3340 support twice and pulled back. Resistance here is offering a tight stop and plenty of room to TP.
3. Structural SL: Stop sits just above the prior swing high (~3350–3352)
Entry
Sell Limit @ 3340.37
Prior day low (now resistance) on H1 & M15
Stop Loss
3352.00
Just above the swing high around 3350–3351
Take Profit
3293.07
Invalidation
15 min candle close < 3310
Time Expiry
8:30 AM PST
Cancel if not triggered by then
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold Spot Price Analysis (4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAU/USD) from June 22 to July 9. The chart shows a downward trend with recent prices around $3,299.48, representing a 2.07% decrease. Technical indicators and annotations suggest potential support and resistance levels, with a highlighted area indicating a possible trading range. The data is sourced from OANDA.
XAUUSD Beginning of a Trend Reversal? Bearish Move IncomingGold is showing signs of potential downside pressure on the 4-hour chart. After a rejection from the upper volatility band and a failure to sustain bullish momentum above the dynamic EMA cloud, price has rolled over and is now trading below the midline support area.
🔻 Bearish Structure Developing:
Price rejected strongly from the upper gray zone (Resistance band).
A new lower high has formed, aligning with bearish market structure.
Candles are trading under the red-to-blue transition EMA ribbon, indicating increasing bearish sentiment.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Near 3,365
SL: Above the recent high near 3,406
TP: Targeting the lower band support around 3,300 – 3,323
Buy gold first, and short on gold after filling the gapGold is currently continuing to retreat, and the lowest has reached around 3333. Gold is quite weak, and the bears have completely taken the upper hand. The overall center of gravity of gold is shifting downward, and the short-term support below is 3330-3325. Once gold falls below this support area, gold may continue to fall to 3300, or even 3280; since gold has fallen to the 3340-3330 area, we cannot rush to short gold in the operation, because there is a technical gap above that needs to be filled, so gold still has a rebound to 3360-3370 in the short term.
Therefore, before gold falls below the short-term support of 3300-3325, we can appropriately consider going long on gold; after gold rebounds technically and fills the gap above, we can consider continuing to try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area.
GOLD 2 Best Places For Sell Very Clear , Don`t Miss 300 Pips !Here is my opinion on Gold at the moment after the price moved very hard to downside as i mentioned in the last update , now we have a very good 2 places to sell it again , the first one @ 3326.00 , it`s a very good place to sell it cuz it was a very good support and the price break it and now it will play as a good res so we can sell from it , and if the price go higher we can sell from area between 3350 : 3345.00 , it will be a great place to sell it also , and if the highest place who force the price to downside we can add another sell entry from 3326.00 if we have a daily closure below it .
Gold Take All Stop losses,Are You Ready To Sell To Get 300 Pips?Here is my 1H Gold Chart and this is my opinion , the price opened this week with massive wick to upside to take all stop losses and then moved to downside very hard and aggressive , we have a very good Res that we sell from it last week 3377.00 , it`s still strong and forced the price many times to respect it so it still my fav level to sell it again today if the price touch it and give me a good bearish price action to confirm the entry and we can targeting 300 pips at least . if we have a daily closure above my res then we will think about buying instead of selling , but until now i`m looking to sell it from the level i mentioned .