Today we will first look at the operation of the 2608~2633 rangeGold continues to fluctuate and converges in a triangle range. The main reason is due to the early market impact of Christmas Eve. From the picture above, the price breaks through the downward trend line and forms a horizontal consolidation in the short term. The price has not completely escaped from the shock zone and is expected to repeat again. Pay attention to 2608/2633 during the day! Pay attention to 2608/2633 during the day!
Gold rebounded first in the Asian session, but there is still suppression above 2632. Gold is still in a volatile market. The unilateral trend has not come yet, so the rebound of gold in the Asian session will continue to be short; gold is directly short near 2631 in the Asian session!
Gold is still in a shock range in 1 hour. If gold is under pressure at 2632, it may still fall under pressure. Don’t chase the rise easily when gold rushes up quickly in the Asian session. It may fall under pressure at any time; only after gold breaks through and stabilizes at 2632, gold may reverse, and then consider falling back to long.
First support: 2610, second support: 2600, third support: 2588
First resistance: 2632, second resistance: 2646, third resistance: 2658
Trading strategy:
Sell high and buy low according to resistance
Xauusdanalysis
Gold Buy Limit OrderHi everyone.
As we broke the structure to the top, now it's time for a pull back so I'm interested in these two areas to set orders. I'll update TPs later.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
xauusd market 2611 target possible HELLO TRADERS WHAT ABOUT THINK GOLD? MY ANALYISIS GOLD TARGET 2611 SO BI ALERT AND SEE MY TARGET STOPLOSS SET TRADE 2635 Here's a summary of your updated XAU/USD trade plan:
Trade Plan
- Entry Point: 2628 (current)
- Target: 2611
- Stop-Loss: 2635
Market Analysis
The XAU/USD is experiencing a minor correction, driven by a short-term strengthening of the US dollar.
Technical Analysis
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50, indicating a short-term bearish momentum.
- Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is trending downwards, supporting the bearish view.
- Resistance Levels: The resistance levels at 2635 and 2640 could provide a selling opportunity in case of a bounce.
Risk Management
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Your risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:1.7, which is relatively conservative.
- Position Sizing: Make sure to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size.
FOLLOW MY CHART AND GIVE ME LIKE AND COMMENT IM RIGHT THANKS GUYS
World gold price increased slightlyLooking ahead to gold prices, John LaForge, head of physical asset strategy at Wells Fargo, said during his bank's annual outlook webinar that he won't be paying much attention to the Federal Reserve in 2025. Economists at the bank expect the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates only once next year.
He also pays more attention to central bank demand than the opportunity cost of real yields, said the macro investment strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management. Analysts are also paying attention to emerging market consumer demand. In early 2024, gold prices were boosted by record central bank purchases and unprecedented demand from Asian consumers and investors, primarily China.
World gold prices increased slightly as the USD decreased. Recorded at 9:35 a.m. on December 26, the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuations of the greenback against 6 major currencies, was at 107.940 points (down 0.08%). According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks' demand for gold has reached its highest level in more than ten years. This is a clear demonstration of gold's solid position as a safe haven asset, especially when the global geopolitical and economic situation continues to be unstable. At the same time, loose monetary policies and a slower pace of interest rate hikes from central banks have also contributed to creating positive momentum for gold prices.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2631 - 2629🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2638
Gold is Ready to PUMP Again!!!As expected, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) hit the Targets I identified last week and started falling again .
Gold is moving near the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold appears to form an Expanding Flat (ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect Gold to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of the ascending channel, it will likely lose the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Analysis Today (XAU/USD)XAU/USD is moving within a parallel channel in a 'bearish trend,' which formed as the price touched the channel borders three times since last week.
The price is currently testing the upper border of the channel and is preparing to rebound. We recommend opening a sell order as mentioned in the previous analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD ShortGold Bias is Sell. We plan 2 entries if 1 SL hit then we enter 2nd trade. Remember 1 thing Both entries trigger before downside liqudity sweeps that mark in the chart.
Gold Price Overview: Consolidation Amid Bearish Bias
Sentiment: Bearish
- Key Factors:
- USD Strength: Fed’s hawkish projections and higher US Treasury bond yields keep the Dollar supported.
- Thin Trading Conditions: Holiday season liquidity could lead to exaggerated moves but favor the safe-haven USD.
- Bearish Technical Setup: Gold remains below key moving averages, with the RSI signaling selling pressure.
World gold prices slightly decreased as the USD increasedHowever, the precious metal is under some pressure as the dollar index rose sharply and US Treasury yields rose slightly.
The Conference Board reported on Monday that its US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7, down from a revised 112.8 in November. The reading was weaker than expected, with economists predicting the index would be largely unchanged.
“Expectations that consumer confidence would continue to recover were not realized in December, as the index fell back to its two-year average,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board.
Gold is struggling to find its way amid the holiday lull, said James Hyerczyk, an analyst at FX Empire.
“The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and forecast of fewer rate cuts in 2025 are keeping gold under pressure. The precious metal will face key support tests during the holiday week
XAUUSD: 23/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2650, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall technical side of gold ushered in a wide range of long and short shocks. After the continuous decline and plunge on Thursday, the previous day, breaking the 2600 mark, it rebounded slightly throughout the day on Friday. It ushered in an accelerated high breakthrough before and after the US market and stood above the 2610 mark to continue the bullish rebound. It closed near 2622 last Friday. Today, gold opened in the Asian session and was not strong. It began to fluctuate. Gold has not had a unilateral market for the time being.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support below is around 2627, focusing on the 2600 first-line support, and the upper pressure is around 2650-60. It is bullish above the 2627 daily level long-short watershed. Because Christmas is coming soon, gold can be bought on dips.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2622near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold price analysis December 23Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices held steady near $2,625 in early Asian trading on Monday. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance could weigh on the yellow metal. However, a weaker greenback following weaker inflation data could limit the yellow metal’s
downside. The Fed cut interest rates at its December meeting as expected but signaled it would slow the pace of further reductions in borrowing costs. The Fed’s dot plot, a chart that projects the future path of interest rates, shows a half-percentage-point cut in rates by 2025, compared to a full percentage-point cut expected in September. This, in turn, further boosts the US Dollar (USD) and weakens USD-denominated gold as higher real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of bullion.
Technical Analysis
Gold marked a second consecutive bullish rebound today. Although there were some adjustments at the beginning of the Asian session, as long as the correction does not exceed 2605, it is still a buying opportunity worth paying attention to. 2651-2665 are considered the two technical resistance zones of gold price today before it wants to uptrend again and find the peak around 2692. If 2605 is broken, 2657 will be the target of all subsequent downtrends.
12.24.2024 GOLD Logic Analysis + Opportunity AnalysisHello traders,
Everyone must be clear that there are multiple factors causing tight liquidity at the end of 2024
1. Special Timing Factors
- US markets traditionally have lower liquidity during Christmas to New Year period
- Financial institutions' year-end settlements and balance sheet adjustments
- Traders' holiday breaks naturally lead to decreased trading volume
2. US Government's Debt Issuance Pressure
- Scale: Treasury auctions exceeding $70 billion
- Timing: During the lowest liquidity period
- Distribution of Types:
- 2-year Treasury bonds
- 5-year Treasury bonds
- 7-year Treasury bonds
- Impact: Will further drain dollar liquidity from the market
3. Federal Reserve's Response Measures
Fed's current Standing Repo Facility (SRF) (temporary liquidity operations) characteristics:
- Time window: 12/30/2024 - 1/3/2025
- Scale: $500 billion daily
- Nature: Temporary liquidity support
- Operation method: Overnight repo
Interpretation of Fed's SRF policy implications:
- Only covers the most critical days around year-end
- Shows Fed's vigilance against market volatility
4. Risk Warnings: Liquidity Risk + Thin Holiday Trading
- Market volatility may increase
- Asset prices may fluctuate
- Trading costs may rise
- Year-end cross-year trading requires caution
Last week's group reminder: Gold short-selling plan, short targets were:
TP1: 2648 achieved, manage positions and trailing stops
TP2: 2618 first target for new positions, consider entry timing on Thursday after Fed meeting
TP3: 2575 not yet reached
Friday's group reminder: Not advisable to enter new positions, continue managing stops and position sizes for existing short positions.
This week, due to Christmas holidays, liquidity is low, not recommended to open new positions.
Continue managing stops and positions for last week's short positions, ultimate profit target remains at 2575, but if stop losses are triggered unexpectedly, exit and observe, waiting for the next opportunity.
Technically, on the 4-hour chart, gold's retracement has reached the first structural position (STRUCTURE 1) at FIBO 382 level in the 2930-2940 area. Watch the resistance force when price reaches this position, observe for new 1-hour reversal signals for potential continued downward movement in gold.
GOOD LUCK!
Merry Xmas!
LESS IS MORE!
Gold Trade Plan for the next 4hrs.Trade Plan for the Next 4 Hours
Time Direction Entry Take Profit Stop Loss
2024-12-24 02:30:00 Short 2612.48 2612.31 2612.65
2024-12-24 02:45:00 Short 2609.88 2609.24 2609.24
2024-12-24 03:00:00 Short 2609.09 2608.39 2608.39
2024-12-24 03:15:00 Long 2612.27 2612.75 2611.79
2024-12-24 03:30:00 Long 2616.03 2617.61 2614.45
2024-12-24 03:45:00 Long 2615.98 2617.23 2614.73
2024-12-24 04:00:00 Long 2614.56 2615.12 2614
2024-12-24 04:15:00 Long 2614.27 2614.65 2613.89
2024-12-24 04:30:00 Short 2612.6 2612.41 2612.41
2024-12-24 04:45:00 Short 2611.4 2610.92 2610.92
2024-12-24 05:00:00 Short 2611.23 2610.84 2610.84
2024-12-24 05:15:00 Short 2611.53 2611.36 2611.36
2024-12-24 05:30:00 Short 2610.73 2610.39 2610.39
2024-12-24 05:45:00 Short 2610.57 2610.29 2610.29
2024-12-24 06:00:00 Short 2611.6 2611.46 2611.74
2024-12-24 06:15:00 Long 2611.74 2611.93 2611.55
Christmas gift: buy gold!Bros, gold has fallen back to around 2616 in the short term. Where will gold fall? In fact, from the perspective of the short-term structure, although gold has fallen back twice in the 2635 area and fell below 2620, for the overall structure, gold's performance today is not weak. As long as gold stays above 2612, gold still has the ability to continue to rebound.
So don’t be frightened by the short-term downward trend. The fall in gold is likely to give you an opportunity to go long in gold. Once gold tests the support again, gold is likely to continue its rebound and try to touch 2640 or even 2650.
Bros, this is my Christmas gift to you. Be brave and seize the opportunity to be long gold. Bros, are you going long on gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2610
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2628
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD 99% confirm Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a moderate positive tone on Friday following the sharp sell-off earlier this week. Cooler-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data on Friday has increased selling pressure on the US Dollar, although the precious metal is struggling to put a significant distance from the one-month lows hit this weekPCE Inflation has increased 0.1% in November, against expectations of a 0.2% increment. The yearly rate accelerated to 2.4% from the previous month's 2.3% reading, still below the 2.5% anticipated by the market consensus. Likewise, the Core PCE eased to 0.1% from 0.3% in October while the yearly inflation remained steady at 2,8% against market expectations of an uptick to 2.9%from heavily oversold levels. The broader trend, however, remains bearish. The pair is struggling to find acceptance above $2,600 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour chart remains flat at levels below the 50 threshold, highlighting the bearish momentum.
Immediate resistance is at the $2,605 intra-day high, with the key resistance area to challenge the bearish trend at the $2,625-$2,630 area (November 28, December 2 lows). On the downside, supports are at Wednesday’s low at around $2,580, ahead of November’s trough at $2,540.
#GOLD UPDATE CHART READ INSTRECTIONIf the XAUUSD market rises and touches the level of 2621, it indicates a strong signal to enter a long position, anticipating further upward movement. Conversely, if the market drops and reaches the level of 2609, it serves as a confirmation to initiate a sell position, suggesting potential downward momentum.
Gold is Ready to Break Resistance lines!!!Gold attacked a Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) yesterday, as I expected .
Gold is starting to rise from the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) and breaking the First Resistance lines .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold managed to complete wave 5 so that wave 5 was Truncated .
I expect Gold to attack the Downtrend line and the Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620) after breaking the First resistance lines .
⚠️Note: If Gold goes below $2,600, we should expect more Dumps⚠️.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.