How to plan when gold’s rise encounters resistance🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
Compared with today's market, the morning rise happened to be a sideways price, breaking through the previous high point. In a volatile rise, it doesn't matter. It is very likely that in the later trend, the price will return to the starting point or even lower, but it can continue to rise. This is a feature of the shock. At the same time, the current market is not extremely strong, and it is still in a volatile rise. Therefore, do not chase long, but retrace as much support as possible.
🎁SELL 3315-3325
🎁TP 3280-3270
🎁BUY 3270-3280
🎁TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Xauusdanalysis
Gold prices rose rapidly after falling. What happened?Gold prices rose in late Asian trading hours.
In the morning, gold prices stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to continued uncertainty in the US trade agreement with China and Japan, and increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The weak dollar before the Fed meeting and the decline in expectations for rate cuts also supported gold demand. The market focus remains on US trade news and the hawkish stance that the Fed may take this week.
Quaid's analysis of market views:
1. Despite the short-term adjustment in the market, the bullish logic of gold still exists, and bullish investors are more willing to buy when the price is low. The continued volatility of US government policies and the slowdown in US economic growth constitute strong support for gold.
2. During the previous Asian holiday, the gold market fell to the key support of $3,200. After the opening, Yanzhou buyers quickly bought at a low price, causing gold to rise rapidly in the short term.
Quaid believes that from a technical point of view, the gold price has reached the bottom resistance level of the range. If the price of gold does not react to the false breakout and continues to hit 3315-3320, then a breakout and consolidation above this level will strengthen it to 3320-3350.
Upward resistance: 3315, 3320, 3350
Downward support: 3265, 3250, 3220
Since the opening, the price of gold has retested 3269 twice. Buyers are testing the resistance level in the hope of a breakout. If the bulls break through 3315-3320 and consolidate above 3310, the possibility of an upside move will be high. However, the possibility of another test of the liquidity area of 3250 before the upside move cannot be ruled out.
If the price of gold breaks through the upward resistance, traders can try to go long in the short term and conduct scalping.
On the contrary, if the price of gold fluctuates sideways in the 3310-3315 range, Quaid recommends shorting in this range.
Today's rebound continues to be short!The logic behind the current rise and fall of gold has changed. The main factors for the previous crazy rise in gold and the decline at 3,500 were the tariff war, which has gradually turned from tension to relaxation. The latest news shows that the two sides are trying to contact each other to prepare for the next round of negotiations.
Later, we should focus on the Federal Reserve. Trump previously asked the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to reduce the impact of the tariff war on the economy. Powell's resistance once made Trump want to change the chairman of the Federal Reserve. The big non-agricultural data on Friday was better than expected, which means that the time for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates will be delayed, which is bad for the gold market. Therefore, gold may fall further at the beginning of next week.
On the other hand, after the world's largest gold ETF reduced its positions significantly since the peak of 3,500 on April 22, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly during this period, and there has been no obvious increase in positions, which reflects that gold has further bottoming out.
The daily line on Friday closed with a cross K, following three consecutive negatives. From a technical point of view, it is either a signal of continued decline or a reversal. Combined with the news data and the overall trend, the probability of continued decline is very high.
On the one hand, the rebound strength on the hourly and 4-hour charts is not strong, and the upward continuity is poor. The 100-day moving average is always under pressure to fall, and the trend is still bearish.
On the other hand, the adjustment on the daily and weekly lines has not yet ended, and the indicators show that there is still further decline. Next week, we should focus on the 618 golden section position of 3160. As for whether it can be the bottom position, in addition to the price point, it is also necessary to consider the K-line pattern comprehensively. We will talk about it next week.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, we can rely on the 3264-3268 line of pressure to continue shorting, and the limit of the pullback cannot exceed the 618 position of 3275, which is the watershed. The support below is 3222-3224, and if it breaks, it will hit the low point of 3201-3202, which may not be maintained.
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
XAUUSD:It is the right time to go short at high levels.The price of gold has strongly surged to around $3,315, forming a key resistance level. Analyzing from both the technical perspective and market sentiment, the selling pressure above this price level is remarkable, and the risk of a short-term pullback has intensified. The current market structure indicates that placing short positions at this high level may effectively capture the profit-taking space during the price correction, which can be regarded as a sensible trading strategy.
XAUUSD
sell@3315-3320
tp:3300-3280
The price of gold has strongly surged to around $3,315, forming a key resistance level. Analyzing from both the technical perspective and market sentiment, the selling pressure above this price level is remarkable, and the risk of a short-term pullback has intensified. The current market structure indicates that placing short positions at this high level may effectively capture the profit-taking space during the price correction, which can be regarded as a sensible trading strategy.
How to arrange when gold fluctuates upward🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
In the morning, we seized the opportunity to short and earn a wave of profits. Then gold fell back to 3255 and rebounded again, moving upward in a fluctuating manner. From the hourly chart, Friday's low was around 3220 and today's high was around 3270. In this trend, 3255 may be the short-term low for short-term trading. From the daily chart, gold has closed the cross star. The current gold price is more critical. If it breaks through 3285, it may continue to rise to the 3295-3300 line. If the gold price fails to effectively break through 3285, it may usher in a wave of retracement. It will be a good time for us to go long.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Market Analysis: Gold Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: Gold Dips Further
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,300.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher towards the $3,350 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,270 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,250 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,300 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,352 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,300 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,250 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,200 zone. A low has formed near $3,203 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,352 swing high to the $3,203 low.
However, the bears are active below $3,270. Immediate resistance is near $3,270. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,270.
The next major resistance is near the $3,295 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,352 swing high to the $3,203 low. The main resistance could be $3,352, above which the price could test the $3,400 resistance. The next major resistance is $3,500.
An upside break above the $3,500 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,550. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,620 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,240 level. The first major support is near the $3,225 level. If there is a downside break below the $3,225 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,205 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Bear Flag in Play – More Downside Ahead?Last week was a strong one for Gold bears, with price dropping sharply and reaching a low near the 3200 mark.
A normal recovery followed, but the bounce is now facing pressure below the 3270 level – a former support that has now turned into resistance.
Current price action is forming a bear flag, a classic continuation pattern. If we get a break back below 3250, this could trigger a new leg down, targeting the 3170 support zone.
My outlook remains bearish, and I’m continuing to sell rallies into resistance, expecting this bear flag to resolve to the downside.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Today's strategySince breaking through the narrow trading range, the price of gold has entered a new round of fluctuations and is currently trading within the range of $3,200 to $3,272. Although the gold price has adjusted by approximately $300, this does not mean that the pullback market has come to an end.
From a technical perspective, within the 4-hour cycle, all moving averages are pressing downwards, forming strong resistance and continuously suppressing the upward movement of the gold price. At the same time, the gold price has repeatedly fallen under pressure after touching the downward trend line, indicating that the bearish force still dominates and the overall downward trend has not been reversed. If the resistance level of $3,272 continues to function effectively, it may be a more ideal trading strategy to place short positions at higher levels in the short term.
XAUUSD
sell@3272-3265
tp:3240-3230
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis
Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen.
🕯Technical Analysis
After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
Gold fluctuates widely; short-term trading analysis.In the morning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading around $3,270/ounce, an increase of about 0.9%.
As Mr. Trump's latest statement hit the market's risk appetite, the price of gold rose rapidly in the short term. The current London gold price has reached $3,270/ounce, climbing nearly $30.
In addition, the market focus has turned to the Federal Reserve's May FOMC meeting on May 7. Although the market has priced in a standstill, Powell's latest remarks and press questions after his radical statement in April will attract high attention.
Asian market morning analysis:
Gold prices rebounded again in the morning of the Asian market. Quaid believes that if gold does not break through strongly, it will still fluctuate within the range, and the current bullish situation has not reversed. If gold continues to maintain its strength, it can resume the bullish trend. But it has not broken through for the time being, so the possibility of shorting is still very large.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to be in a downward short position, and there is still room for gold shorting; gold was under pressure at 3270 in the early stage and fell back, and the early rebound was under pressure at 3270 and continued to fall. Gold is still fluctuating within the range in 1 hour, and Quide believes that the short-selling trading strategy is still the main one.
Operation strategy:
Short-term operation: short at 3265, stop loss at 3280, and profit at 3250-3240.
I hope Quide's analysis can help all traders make profits in the gold market in time and harvest the first gold of the day.
Continue to short gold when it rebounds to a high level
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a downward short position, and there is still room for gold shorts. Gold came under pressure at the 3270 line last week and fell back. Currently, the 1-hour gold is still fluctuating within a range. It is still mainly short above the rebound of gold.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3270, stop loss 3280, target 3240
XAUUSD is ready to FALL monthly target 3000!Through my weekly Episode multi time frame analysis , you will get deep insights .
Market in on rising channel since last year and did not respect the 2900 milestone after breaking it.
is it the time to retracement?
our eyes will be at 2980 milestone on this next 2weekly candles.
bearish scenario:
if any h4,D1 close below 3160 stay bearish side and our setup.
bullish scenario
if market again surpass 3280 then buying up to 3330 then 3360 where we have again selling sequence to 3000 milestone.
I'm expecting the bullish scenario I have mention will not activated.
Trend Analysis and Trading Tips for the Gold MarketThe market is deeply trapped in the tariff issue. US stocks and the US dollar are in urgent need of economic data to boost their performance. If the April NFP data is poor, it will trigger a selling spree in the market, and the risk of economic recession in the United States will increase. On the contrary, the significance of good NFP data far exceeds the data itself.
From a technical perspective, when the data is bearish, the upward pressure on the gold price doubles. Overall, it is highly likely that the April NFP data will be bearish for the gold price and drive it down. The fact that the gold price hit a low of nearly 3,220 yesterday also confirms this expectation. In addition, good data reduces the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Since an interest rate cut by the Fed is bullish for the gold price, and vice versa.
The tariff issue is likely to cool down soon. Although it doesn't mean the end, it will still suppress the gold price. Recently, we have accurately grasped the gold market, attaching equal importance to fundamental and technical analysis. In the following period, the market will still fluctuate around fundamental news such as the tariff issue. If the NFP data exceeds expectations and the tariff issue takes a turn for the better, the risk aversion sentiment will fade away, and the gold price is highly likely to retrace. It is recommended not to rush to buy at a higher price next week.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 3060
🏁Sell Entry below 3000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 3020 for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 3040 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 3140 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 2970 (or) Escape Before the Target
XAU/USD "Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental analysis, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal factors, Sentimental Outlook, Positioning and future trend.....👉👉👉
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Analysis and Layout of Gold at the Opening of the Market!The underlying logic behind the current price movements of gold has changed. Previously, the main factor driving the sharp increase and subsequent decline of gold prices around $3,500 was the tariff war. Currently, the situation has gradually shifted from tension to relaxation, and the latest news indicates that both sides are attempting to make contact in preparation for the next round of negotiations.
Attention should now be focused on the Federal Reserve. Previously, Trump asked the Fed to cut interest rates to mitigate the economic impact of the tariff war. Powell's resistance led to Trump considering replacing the Fed chair. The better - than - expected non - farm payrolls data on Friday implies that the Fed's interest rate cut will be postponed, which is bearish for the gold market. Therefore, gold prices are likely to decline further in the early next week.
On the other hand, since the global - largest gold ETF significantly reduced its positions after gold prices peaked at $3,500 on April 22nd, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly without any significant addition of positions. This, to some extent, suggests that gold prices may further decline.
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Gold 1H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th 2025🔥 XAUUSD – H1 Outlook | May 4, 2025
Bias: ⚠ Short-term neutral to bearish — price reacting from a weak CHoCH + premium rejection.
Flow: Intraday trapped between 3240 demand and 3280–3300 supply. Next move decides the breakout.
🔎 Market Structure:
❗ Clean CHoCH + BOS sequence from 3285 → confirms bearish LTF momentum
🟠 Current HL attempt rejected off imbalance around 3268–3275
🔹 Structure still building under H4 LH (3315), supply remains in control unless flipped
🗝 Key H1 Levels (with confluence):
🔵 3233–3244 → Micro OB + FVG Support
🔄 Key short-term HL zone
⚡ RSI oversold bounce last touch
EMA5/21 zone → bounce risk
🟡 3268–3275 → FVG + OB + Last CHoCH Zone
🚩 This is the first sell POI
💧 Liquidity just above (equal highs)
Ideal for LTF short scalp if price rejects again
🔺 3288–3302 → H1–H4 Confluence Supply
🔥 Strong bearish OB + liquidity sweep area
🧱 Reaction zone for swing shorts (supply locked)
Confluence with premium fib retracement
🔻 3190–3200 → Extreme Demand Zone
🧲 Weak low + imbalance + discount OB
🔑 Watch for possible NY reversal trap if price collapses
💡 Plan:
We’re in the battlefield between weak HLs and greedy supply zones.
If 3275 rejects again → scalp sells back to 3240.
If 3240 fails → 3200 could be the "trap long" to flip everything.
🧠 Final Note:
Patience beats precision. Let the chart show its cards — no need to guess when liquidity does the talking.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Is the gold market ushering in betting?
📌 Gold driving factors
There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market.
One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect.
The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, it needs good economic data to boost it. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession is increasing.
Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa.
The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time.
📊Comment Analysis
"After experiencing short-term fluctuations, the price of gold appears to be relatively stable around $3,250. If it is to rise further, it must break through the $3,300 mark. But whether the market is ready to break through this point remains to be seen."
At present, gold is still in a continuous adjustment trend. Although it retreated to the 3,200 line on Friday and then rose again, it is still under pressure below the opening of the 3,265 decline. This is also the pressure level we need to pay close attention to next Monday!
The sideways trading period on Friday is long enough, and it is time for a breakthrough. So how should we arrange the market next week? It should not rise, but it will fall instead. It is not difficult to understand the trend on Friday. If it rises in the morning next week, it should be noted that the upper 3,265 is the watershed. If it breaks through, it will continue to rise, but if it is still under pressure, it is our opportunity to enter the short position!
💰Strategy Package
Operation ideas for next week:
Short at 3265 gold, stop loss at 3275, target 3230-3220;.
The market fluctuates violently, and real-time entry and exit are mainly based on real-time guidance!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold 4H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th🔍 XAUUSD – H4 Outlook (May 4, 2025)
Trend:
🔻 Bearish structure still intact after the lower high at 3533 (ATH) and CHoCH at 3420.
🔹 Price is now ranging below lower high, with weak demand attempts from 3200–3240 zone.
🔸 Order flow bearish unless major BOS above 3320.
🗝 Key H4 Levels & Confluences
🔵 3195–3220 → H4 Demand + EQ + FVG
🧲 Last strong reaction zone pre-rally
🔁 Untapped OB + minor gap
🔄 EMA21 dynamic support below it
🟣 FIBO 61.8% of swing leg (April move)
🔵 3280–3295 → H4 POI (Supply Flip Zone)
📉 Reaction to this zone previously rejected bullish continuation
🧱 Confluence with 4H OB + minor FVG + EQ
⚠ If broken → clean magnet toward 3320
🔺 3315–3325 → Major LH Zone + Liquidity Magnet
💧 Internal liquidity build-up
🟤 If flipped → could induce bullish CHoCH on HTF
🚨 Final decision zone before possible premium push
🔻 3050–3075 → Weekly OB + H4 FVG
⛔ Major HTF demand below current price
🔄 EMA100 crossover area
🧲 Long-term buy interest if macro risk spikes
⚠ Summary:
Gold remains in a bearish HTF context, but is holding at key demand near 3220.
Rejection from 3280–3295 could reinforce bearish continuation.
Break above 3325 flips structure bullish — until then, sellers still in control.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold Daily Outlook - XAUUSD May 4thXAUUSD Daily Outlook – May 5, 2025
Structure doesn’t lie. Gold is cooling off – but the real game might just be starting.
📊 Trend & Structure:
HTF Bias: Bullish (intact), but showing signs of exhaustion.
Daily Market Flow: Strong rejection from 3500 ATH → bearish correction underway.
Latest Daily Candle: Bearish with large upper wick – confirms aggressive selling after liquidity grab.
🔹 Key Daily Levels:
🔻 Premium Rejection Zone
Zone: 3475–3500
Confluence: Previous ATH + liquidity sweep + FVG + overextension
Note: Reversal confirmed. Sellers aggressively stepped in.
🔻 Active Imbalance Zone
Zone: 3375–3400
Context: Unmitigated bearish FVG formed after ATH rejection
What to expect: Intraday bounces possible, but mostly mitigation unless reclaimed.
🔹 Current Reaction Zone
Zone: 3220–3255
Structure: Micro CHoCH + fresh demand reaction + FVG fill
Note: Bulls defending here. Breakdown = lower retracement likely.
🔻 Key Mid-Term Support
Zone: 3050–3080
Reason: Daily demand + OB + prior BOS
Expectation: Strongest support if price breaks 3200 – ideal HTF reentry.
🔢 Fibonacci Extension Targets (if 3500 breaks)
Using impulse leg 2970 → 3500 with retrace to 3204.50:
Extension Level
Target Price
Commentary
1.0
3500
ATH (already hit)
1.12
3558
First extension zone, minor reaction possible
1.272
3610
Institutional TP1 zone
1.414
3660
Premium FVG / liquidity target
1.618
3730
Strong continuation target, reversal zone
1.786
3785
Final blow-off area, low probability without macro push
📊 Summary:
Gold reached a major milestone at 3500, swept liquidity, and is now in correction mode. As long as 3220–3255 holds, bulls may stage a short-term defense. However, failure to hold opens the door to 3050–3080, the next major structure zone.
Above 3500, use extension zones to track sentiment traps and profit-taking waves.
🧠 Final Thought:
From greed at 3500 to fear at 3200 — markets reset sentiment before the next move. Smart money isn’t emotional. Stay with structure, not ego.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold Weekly Outlook - XAUUSD May 5th- May 9th🌍 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – “Gold’s Cooling Off… Or Just Reloading? 🔁💥”
📅 Week of May 5–9, 2025
After breaking records with a fiery move into 3533, Gold just blinked. But is this the start of a deeper pullback — or simply a power nap before another skyrocket? Let’s break it down.
🧱 Macro Structure:
🔹 Massive bullish expansion from sub-2000 to 3533 → clear weekly BOS & continuation
🔹 First real retracement candle after months of nonstop gains
🔹 Price now hovering around the 3240–3270 mid-range FVG zone
🔑 Key Weekly Levels + Real Confluence:
📍 Price Range Zone Type What’s Here & Why It Matters
3533 🔺 ATH / Weak High Top liquidity grab + Premium high — supply reaction confirmed
3480–3510 ⚠ Reversal OB zone Weekly OB + clean FVG + sell-off origin = potential rejection zone
3240–3270 🔵 Micro Demand Mid-imbalance fill + minor OB + current retest base
3050–3100 🟦 Weekly Demand Block Big boy OB + 50% FIB retrace + macro HL zone → sniper reentry magnet
2750–2850 🧠 Strong HTF Demand Long-term CHoCH zone + discount imbalance stack = last line of defense
🔎 Weekly Confluences:
✅ SMC: BOS confirmed, CHoCH flipped in 2023 = macro bullish bias holds
📐 FIBO: 3050–3100 = perfect golden pocket (50%) of last full impulse
📊 EMA 5/21: Full bullish lock, no signs of EMA cross down
🔥 Liquidity: Above 3533 = final weak highs, below 3050 = deep liquidity pool
🧭 Bias Summary:
Bullish overall, but watching for:
A trap sell into 3050–3100 (clean sniper reentry zone)
🧲 Liquidity grab near 3300+ that could fuel another leg up or fakeout
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📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 3260 - 3288 area
Resistance 2: 3350 - 3386 area
Resistance 3: 3482 - 3501 area
Support 1: 3191 - 3210 area
Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area
Support 3: 2956 - 2981 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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