Precious metals declined due to tariff policiesPrecious metals declined due to US President Donald Trump's unpredictable tariff policies but remained anchored at high levels because of this.
On February 25, Mr. Trump directed a study of the possibility of imposing new tariffs on imported copper to rebuild US production of metals critical to electric vehicles, military hardware, power grids and many other consumer goods. He also announced he would soon expand his trade war to include a 25% tariff on goods from the European Union (EU)...
Investors are waiting for the US personal consumption expenditures index (PCE) report, a favorite inflation measure of the Federal Reserve (FED), scheduled to be announced on February 28. How inflation develops can affect the FED's interest rate policy this year and impact the precious metals trend.
Higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen the possibility that the US Central Bank will continue to delay further interest rate cuts. Meger added that as one of the key hedges against inflationary pressures, gold should appreciate more.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD:Breaking news, the rise will continue to 2927-2932In the afternoon of London, after notifying the lowest position to buy and make a big profit, gold rebounded to 2914 without more energy, causing the gold price to continue to rise. After reaching 2918, it quickly returned to the position near 2914 and continued to fluctuate. After the market closed, the market was ignited by big news again.
Latest news: The situation between Russia and Ukraine has been further affected by drone attacks.
This has led to the spread of risk aversion and panic in the market. This has led to a sharp increase in demand for XAUUSD.
At present, the price of gold still remains at 2916, and there has not been a significant increase, so it is still a reasonable buying position. The estimated space is about 10-15 points.
Buy at the current price of 2916, tp2927-2932.sl2905
Remember to control trading risks when operating,
XAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABCXAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABC
Based on recent analyses, gold (XAUUSD) has been on an upward trajectory, reaching record highs above $2,900 in early February 2025. This surge is attributed to factors such as newly imposed tariffs and inflation concerns.
However, some Elliott Wave analyses suggest that gold may be entering a bearish correction phase. For instance, a head and shoulders pattern has been identified, indicating potential for a downward move if key support levels are breached.
Additionally, forecasts indicate that the XAUUSD pair is correcting and may continue to decline, with an estimated pivot point around 2,788.71.
In summary, while gold has recently achieved record highs, certain technical indicators and patterns suggest a possible bearish correction in line with Elliott Wave Theory.
GOLD M30 DETAILED OVERVIEWGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading within a range-bound structure, forming key supply and demand zones.
🔹 Key Levels & Zones:
Strong Demand Zone (2H): Price recently tested a significant demand zone near $2,900 - $2,905, showing signs of potential bullish reaction.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Fill: There is an imbalance in price action, suggesting a temporary push upward to fill the gap before further moves.
Strong Supply Zone: A major resistance area is identified around $2,945 - $2,950, making it a potential take-profit zone for buyers and an ideal level for fresh sell entries.
🔹 Trade Plan & Expectations:
Short-Term Bullish Move: Price may attempt to retrace higher towards the FVG fill area & supply zone, aiming for $2,940 - $2,945 before facing rejection.
Bearish Continuation: Once the price reaches resistance, a potential sell-off could drive XAUUSD back towards the demand zone and possibly lower towards $2,880 - $2,885.
EMA Confluence: The moving averages suggest an overall bearish trend, with price struggling to hold above key resistance levels.
📉 Bearish Bias: If rejection occurs at resistance, watch for confirmation before entering short positions targeting the demand zone and lower support.
📈 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above $2,950, it could signal further upside momentum, invalidating the bearish setup.
Gold price analysis February 26⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices rose sharply in the middle of the week thanks to weak US economic data, causing the USD and bond yields to weaken. Concerns about tariffs with Canada, Mexico and the risk of a trade war helped gold maintain its upward momentum.
However, gold prices may face difficulties as the USD recovered slightly after the US House of Representatives passed a budget plan, supporting Trump's tax policy. The US-China meeting on tariffs also restrained the increase, but risk aversion still boosted the demand for safe-haven gold. Investors also followed the speech of Fed officials for more signals about the market.
⭐️Technical analysis
Gold prices unexpectedly increased in the Asian session with the force pushing back to the breakout zone of 2930. The price range of gold has been noted on the chart with the small range of 2892-2942 and the large range of 2868-2978. Gold closing below 2912 will signal a Downtrend and head towards the lower band. On the other hand, Gold's upward path faces more resistance around 2921 and 2930.
Intraday Setup, Resistance Holds! Will Gold Drop Further?🔹Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart
▪️ Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: 2,926.704 USD (Marked in red)
- 1st Target (Support Level): 2,899.780 USD
- 2nd Target (Support Level): 2,880.499 USD
▪️Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone & Potential Rejection:
- The red-shaded area highlights a strong resistance zone around 2,926.704 USD.
- Historically, price has struggled to break above this level, indicating a supply zone where sellers are active.
- The price attempted to break this area but faced rejection, signaling bearish pressure.
2. Projected Price Action:
- The chart suggests that if price retests the resistance zone and fails to break above it, a further downside move is expected.
- A lower high formation within this zone would confirm a continuation of the downtrend.
3. Bearish Targets:
- First target: 2,899.780 USD (Key support level)
- Second target: 2,880.499 USD (Stronger support, potential bounce zone)
4. Volume Analysis:
- The volume bars at the bottom indicate selling momentum is increasing, supporting the bearish outlook.
🔹Conclusion:
- Bearish Bias: If the price fails to break the 2,926.704 resistance, a drop towards 2,899.780 and potentially 2,880.499 is likely.
- Invalidation: A clear breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario, potentially leading to a bullish push towards higher levels.
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Gold bounces back and recovers after sharp fallIn today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. In the short-term at the top, focus on the first-line resistance of 2930-2940, and in the short-term at the bottom, focus on the first-line support of 2888-2890.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 2928-2930 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 8 points, target near 2910-2900, break to see 2890 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 2890-2892 when gold falls back, stop loss 8 points, target near 2900-2910, break to see 2920 line;
gold on double breakout#XAUUSD, today on price we hope to see reverse back above 2938 but firstly price holds multiple entry's for bullish breakout.
Firstly above the rectangle 2918-2920 breakout we hope to see the current candle H1 to breakout there which holds strong buy.
If price decline between 2916 without touching 2918 then the price is possible to fall from there back below 2988.
But below 2908 holds bullish if no current move above 2916 then bullish can start from 2908, TP 2938, SL 2896.
XAUUSD SHORT 4H (Results)Due to inattentive study of the rules of the tradingviews platform, the trading idea was blocked
I apologize to those who used this idea in their trading system due to the blocking, I will be more careful in the future.
Result : XAUUSD SHORT 4H reaches the 2 targets zone for taking profits.
I move my stop into profit and wait for new variables from the market .
XAU/USD 26 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per alternative scenario analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS, which price printed.
As a result of the bearish iBOS, we now have a confirmed swing high.
Price has also printed a bearish CHoCH and traded in to premium of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price should target weak internal low priced at 2,888.180.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Is RangeBound! What's Next?In this video, I revisit my earlier analysis of gold, and my perspective from back then remains unchanged. Gold is currently range-bound and struggling to break through its recent highs. In the video, we examine price action, market structure, the trend, and other key elements of technical analysis. Previously, gold was trending with significant momentum, but that momentum has since diminished. All of this is explained in detail in the video, which is not intended as financial advice.
Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming – Gold Breakdown Soon?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently near the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . Gold attacked the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) several times but failed to break it and even created a Bull Trap .
Regarding Classical Technical Analysis , Gold seems to be completing the Head and Shoulders Pattern . If Gold reaches the Neckline of this pattern , it seems to succeed in breaking it. One of the signs of the validity of the Head and Shoulders Pattern is to see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between the two shoulders, which we see here.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves. The structure of correction waves is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Gold to reach the Neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern in the coming hours, and if it breaks , it will drop to at least $2,901 .
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940), we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Gold touches $2,934, we can hope for a drop.
Do you think that Gold succeeds in forming a new All-Time High(ATH) or does it need to be corrected?
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Analysis May 25⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Market sentiment remained cautious on Tuesday due to concerns over Trump tariffs and Nvidia's upcoming earnings report. The US dollar continued to hold its strength on risk-off sentiment, limiting gold's gains. However, gold prices remained supported by falling US Treasury yields and rising trade war risks.
Bond yields fell on a strong auction and weak PMI data, raising expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year. Meanwhile, trade tensions escalated as the Trump administration considered tightening controls on chip exports to China.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices are still operating in a wedge of 2928 and 2952. The 2958 zone is also quite easy to create a false ATH. 2968-2970 acts as the most important resistance for Gold at the moment, which is considered the weekly resistance level. Watch out for gold falling, there could be a deep drop to 2906-2900.
Continue to short gold after the reboundGold's decline yesterday found support around the 2888 level before staging a rebound, and it has now recovered to the 2925 area. Although the bulls have begun their counterattack, their momentum appears significantly weaker compared to previous recoveries, indicating a growing lack of confidence among bullish participants.
Yesterday’s downward breakout from a period of sideways consolidation pushed gold through multiple key support levels and decisively breached the 2900 mark. This demonstrated strengthening bearish momentum, driven by profit-taking from earlier positions and an influx of panic-driven selling. Despite the current rebound, it’s likely just a technical correction following the sharp drop, providing more opportunities to short gold.
As gold’s price action shifts lower, the 2925-2935 zone now stands out as a prominent short-term resistance area. For short-term trades, we can use this zone as a key level to initiate fresh short positions. Gold is likely to retest the 2890 support area, and a decisive break below this level could open the path for further declines toward the 2870-2860 region.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Any rebound is an opportunity to short goldAs I mentioned in my previous article, after a period of sideways consolidation, gold chose to break downward—signaling greater downside potential. We perfectly captured the shorting opportunity around the 2935-2945 resistance zone. Gold not only successfully hit the 2910-2900 target area but even exceeded my expectations, with the price bottoming out around the 2888 region. This was an excellent short trade, and I personally gained over $10K in profits from this position.
Currently, gold is hovering around the 2890-2888 region, and while the downtrend has momentarily slowed, the bulls have yet to mount any effective counterattack. This indicates weakening bullish sentiment, and with earlier profits being cashed out alongside follow-up and panic-driven selling, the bearish trend is likely far from over. Breaking below the 2890 support further opens the door for continued downward movement, increasing gold’s potential for deeper declines.
For short-term trades, any rebound in gold’s price could present fresh opportunities for short positions. We should closely monitor the 2910-2920 area for potential entries to short gold once again.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
MARCH TARGET ANALYSISThe Price Reach by 2950 and, Smart Money got the position entry to set LONG
Trump plan to have conversation with Putin regard war RUSSIA x UKRAINE,
and Trade war America x China
Hopefully if America not trying to Trade war again with Europe regard Import Product Fee in first week at March
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 25.02.2025Analysis:
Support & Resistance Zones:
The price is moving within a range with strong resistance around 2,950 and a support zone around 2,922.
A major support level is visible at 2,898, which could act as the next target if the price breaks below 2,922.
Trendline & Breakout:
An ascending trendline was supporting the price, but it appears to have been broken at the Vital Point (highlighted in green).
This could indicate a bearish shift if the price fails to reclaim the trendline.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If the price bounces back above the trendline and holds above 2,940, it could retest 2,950 and break higher.
Bearish Case: If the price continues below 2,930 and breaks 2,922, a drop to 2,906 or even 2,898 could follow.
Signal:
📉 SELL BELOW 2,930
Entry: Below 2,930
Target 1: 2,922
Target 2: 2,906
Target 3: 2,898
Stop Loss: 2,945
📈 BUY ABOVE 2,940
Entry: Above 2,940
Target 1: 2,950
Target 2: 2,960
Stop Loss: 2,930
💡 Key Note: The price is currently at a critical level (Vital Point). Wait for a clear breakout before entering a trade.
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XAUUSD (GOLD) TRADE PLAN 25/2/2025
1. XAU/USD presents a compelling sell opportunity as price action suggests a potential downside move.
2. Technical indicators signal bearish momentum, with resistance levels holding firm.
3. Macroeconomic factors favor a stronger USD, pressuring gold prices lower.
4. A downward trajectory could target the 2900 level, aligning with historical support zones.
5. Rising bond yields and hawkish Fed policies add to gold’s downside risk.
6. Failure to breach key resistance zones reinforces the bearish outlook.
7. Market sentiment leans risk-on, reducing gold’s safe-haven appeal.
8. A break below critical support levels may accelerate selling pressure.
9. Short positions may benefit from volatility, with disciplined risk management.
10. Traders eye 2900 as a strategic target, capitalizing on gold’s potential correction.
Scalping ! XAU ! wait for price recovery at SELL entry 2947⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee emphasized on Monday that the central bank will adopt a cautious approach, waiting for more clarity before considering rate cuts.
Meanwhile, the World Gold Council (WGC) reported that gold-backed ETFs saw their biggest weekly inflow since March 2022.
Traders now focus on upcoming US data, including the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Richmond Manufacturing Index, along with speeches from Fed officials, which could impact the USD.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulated price zone according to H1 trendline, continue sideways waiting for tariff momentum to reach 3000
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2947 - $2949 SL $2952
TP1: $2943
TP2: $2938
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account