gold on sell#XAUUSD have corrected back above 3267 which formation have decline from there.
Now the expected entry to sell is at 3267 which have broken now we expect the H1 to close between the rectangle to have a clear bearish range. Stop loss at 3278 target 3236
Bullish can overtake by fundamental news.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD NFP spike coming!Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168;
European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202;
🎯Practical strategy:
It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
Gold Bears Won Big – Here’s the Next Resistance to WatchYesterday was a great day for Gold bears – just as anticipated, price dropped nearly 1,000 pips and hit my target zone around 3200.
After such a strong move, we’re now seeing a typical rebound, which might offer a fresh opportunity to sell into strength and ride the prevailing trend.
🔍 Key Zone:
- 3270 now acts as resistance.
- If price stalls here, it’s the ideal area to look for short entries targeting a retest of 3200.
🛠️ Plan: Sell spikes into 3270 resistance and stay with the trend.
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side:
1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold.
2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed.
📈Technical aspects:
Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Gold on Edge – Will NFP Trigger the Next Big Move?🚨 Gold at a Crossroads – Will NFP & White House Comments Trigger a Volatility Spike? ⚡
🧭 Macro Overview
Gold enters the US session with a mild rebound after a sharp selloff, following its historic climb to $3,500/oz. The recent drop was driven less by fundamentals and more by aggressive profit-taking, especially from retail flows in Asia, notably China.
Rather than a trend reversal, this correction looks like a healthy technical reset, just ahead of two major catalysts:
1️⃣ US Non-Farm Payrolls (May edition)
2️⃣ White House remarks on tariffs and trade strategy
These two factors will likely define gold’s direction heading into next week — either toward deeper support zones or a potential recovery rally into resistance.
📊 DXY & Macro Market Lens
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off its base near 98.xx, currently testing the 100.00 level. Whether the dollar strengthens further depends largely on today’s labour data and fiscal signals from Washington.
Traders should remain tactically neutral, relying on intraday timeframes like H1/H2 and respecting key price structure.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels
3,260
3,275
3,285
3,312
🔻 Key Support Levels
3,244
3,230
3,215
3,200
🎯 Trade Plan – Friday 3rd May, 2025
🔵 BUY ZONE A:
Entry: 3,232 – 3,230
SL: 3,226
TP: 3,236 → 3,240 → 3,244 → 3,248 → 3,252 → 3,256 → 3,260
🔵 BUY ZONE B:
Entry: 3,214 – 3,212
SL: 3,208
TP: 3,218 → 3,222 → 3,226 → 3,230 → 3,235 → 3,240
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,276 – 3,278
SL: 3,282
TP: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250
⚠️ Final Notes
Volatility may spike sharply during the NY session as NFP and political news collide.
This is the kind of session where traders can either capitalize massively or get caught offside — stay disciplined.
Avoid emotional entries — let price come to you, wait for confirmation, and stick to your TP/SL.
📣 Conclusion
We’re likely in a calm-before-the-storm scenario. Gold hasn’t made its real move yet — but when it does, it’ll be swift.
Prepare. Execute. Protect your capital.
Gold Price Analysis May 2D1 frame confirms closing below the disputed zone showing the downtrend continues to extend in the following days
The recovery in the Asian and European sessions can be a stepping stone for a decrease in the US session. Sellers are waiting for high price zones and old breakout zones to sell their goods. The 3271-3273 zone plays an important role in the bearish structure as long as this zone is held by the sellers, the possibility of a price increase is relatively low.
The barrier in the Asian session around 3257 will be where we consider the trading strategy. If the European session breaks this zone, we can buy at the target of 3271-3273. If the US session does not break this zone, SELL breaks it, the downtrend structure is broken and holds the BUY order until 3299. The daily resistance zone will be 3312. When 3371 is not broken, SELL and this is a good Swing signal to 3200. The possibility of a strong sell-off after Nonfarm is also understandable.
Strategy: If it does not break 3257 but falls, wait for the reaction at the border of 3243. When this zone is broken, the trend is broken, then we only SELL. If it increases from 3243, then maintain the above strategy with a better entry.
Gold Trends and Analysis Before NFP Release📰 Analysis of Gold's News Background 👉 Join in
During the US trading session on Thursday (May 1st), spot gold continued its downward trend, hovering around $3,216.55 per ounce, with a decline of approximately 0.4%. It had already fallen for two consecutive days before that. On Wednesday, it even reached $3,267.07, getting close to the key support level of $3,265, which was set last week. The market's bull-bear tug-of-war stems from the divergence in expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies: The weak US economic data has boosted the expectation of an interest rate cut, but the rebound of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields has suppressed the safe-haven nature of gold.
⚠️ Key Focuses for the Day 👉 Join in
Pay attention to the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision, the data on job cuts by US enterprises in April, the final value of the manufacturing PMI, and the number of initial jobless claims. Also, keep an eye on geopolitical and trade dynamics!
📈 Quick Look at the Technical Analysis of Gold
On the eve of the Nonfarm Payrolls report, how should we choose between going long and short on gold?
🔹 Daily Chart: Closed lower with a medium-sized bearish candlestick. In the early trading session, it broke below the key support level of $3,265, confirming the end of the Wave B rebound and the start of the Wave C decline. Continue with the strategy of "going short on rebounds".
🔹 4-Hour Chart: The downward space was broken open, and the bears are in control after the top-bottom conversion.
🔹 1-Hour Chart: The moving averages formed a bearish crossover, and the gold price broke below the previous low. When it rebounds to the densely traded area near $3,265, go short without hesitation! 💥
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3230 - 3220
🚀 TP 3210 - 3200
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Price Analysis May 1The D1 candle has broken out in a bearish direction. It is not surprising that the price broke Dow and decreased according to yesterday's Plan.
Gold confirmed the selling side won, so today's strategy is to watch for SELL. The SELL point pays attention to the 2 break zones of 3270 and 3302. The BUY point with the Scalping element pays attention to 3216 and today's main support is 3195.
The current trading strategy is that gold is approaching the 3237 resistance. If it confirms closing above this zone, it will give a BUY signal to 3251 and consider the price reaction of the US session. If it breaks 3241, it will hold until 3270. On the contrary, if it does not break 3237, it can SELL to 3216 and trade according to the noted port zones.
Gold continues to break down before non-farm payrolls!As mentioned in the continuous analysis of the gold trend, the current price is in a downward cycle from the historical high of 3500. After the first round of selling to 3260, it rebounded to repair 3370. It fell to 3268 at the beginning of the week and then turned to consolidation; after the shock, it fell from 3328 to break the low and now reported 3274; the 1H chart structure is weak and continues to follow up; short-term resistance is 3280-3290, and strong resistance is 3300-3304; short-term support is 3264-3260, and strong support is 3246 and weekly MA10-3238; in terms of operation, it is recommended to follow up with the trend and pay attention to the impact of ADP data; Strategy 1: Sell near 3290, protect 3290, and target 3260-3246;
4-hour chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar)This is a 4-hour chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) showing a technical analysis setup:
1. Current Price:
Sell: 3,238.70
Buy: 3,239.00
2. Marked Levels:
There's a red shaded area labeled "ENTRY ZONE" between 3,272.81 and 3,273.79.
This zone likely acts as a resistance or pullback area where a sell entry is being considered.
3. Market Structure:
Price previously moved up strongly (bullish), but now it’s forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend.
A projected path is drawn showing that price might go back up into the entry zone and then drop further — with a potential target near 3,009.75.
4. Bias:
The overall bias shown in the chart is bearish.
It suggests a sell opportunity in the entry zone, expecting price to fall after a short-term pullback.
If you want, I can help you build a full trade plan (entry, stop loss, and take profit) based on this chart too. Just let me know!
Try going long gold in small batchesFundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold continues to fall and is currently testing the 3200 mark. It is undeniable that gold is currently in a clear bearish trend, and the foreseeable area below is the 3185-3175 area, which is a strong support in the short term. However, the long and short sides are currently wrestling at the 3200 mark, and I think there will still be repetitions in the short term. So gold should rebound before falling to the 3185-3175 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 3210-3200 area, TP: 3220-3230.
Please note: In order to protect the security of the account, as gold rebounds, you can consider gradually moving up the SL to ensure profits.
Gold plummeted as expected. Operation strategy?In my last analysis, Quaid predicted that gold was at risk of falling and breaking.
Quaid promptly told everyone that they could short trade at 3310-3320.
At present, the market situation is basically consistent with Quaid's expectations. As of now, gold has fallen to a low point near 3215. And it has been maintained for some time.
Quaid speculates that gold will continue to maintain a bearish trend and continue to retreat.
Quaid data analysis:
From the hourly chart, gold is currently following a wave trend, and the highest point of 3352 is the starting point of wave A. The high point of wave b is at 3320. If the current 3220 is the beginning of the low point of wave C, then be careful of its continued decline.
Trading strategy:
In terms of the next operation, Quaid suggests waiting for short trading near 3225.
If gold falls below 3210 again, then the bottom can directly look towards the 3190-3200 range.
Quaid warned everyone not to think that the trading range is very large; because the trading markets in some Asian countries are closed, any terrible thing could happen. It is recommended that everyone take profits in time.
Gold trading ideas after key data releaseOn the news front, the US April ISM manufacturing PMI was higher than expected, which led to the US Treasury bonds giving up their gains. From a technical analysis point of view, after the gold price fell out of the strong support of 3260 in the shock range, this position turned into the short-term resistance level for our short-term reference, followed by the position of multiple entity K-lines at the hourly level of 3275. There is a possibility of breaking through 3260 in the later period, so 3275 can also be treated as a defensive position.
Although the price of gold has been hovering around 3220, our main bearish direction remains unchanged in the short term. The trading strategy given in the afternoon is still a reference. For rebound, first focus on the 3240-3250 first-line resistance, and further look at the top-bottom transition position of 3260-3270. You can participate in transactions in small batches. Below, focus on the 3210-3200 support, and if it falls below, look for the 3193 first-line.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
This is a 4H chart of XAU/USD with multiple SMC annotations. 1. Chart Analysis Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
SMC Structure Identified:
• Major Break of Structure (BoS): Occurred above 3,240 → confirmed bullish intent.
• Major Change of Character (CHoCH): Happened around 3,320 (last demand broken), indicating bearish shift.
• FVG (Fair Value Gap): Marked just below the last day high — partially filled and then rejected.
• Liquidity: Equal highs and lows around 3,327 and 3,200 respectively — potential liquidity targets.
⸻
2. Marked Points in Chart
• Last Day High / Low and Day High / Low are marked.
• 50% Day Range at approx. 3,274 — currently acting as intraday resistance.
• OB Zone around 3,214–3,218 (a critical support zone that may act as re-entry or rejection point).
• FVG Zone near 3,284 — unmitigated imbalance that price could revisit.
⸻
3. Swing High & Low of the Day
• Swing High: ~3,327.72 (day/session high).
• Swing Low: ~3,214.31 (day/session low).
• These define the current internal liquidity pool.
⸻
4. Trade Direction
• 4H Trend: Bearish, post CHoCH and major OB break.
• Bias: Bearish, as price is below FVG and below 50% of the daily range. OB is being respected and lower highs are forming.
• Intra-Day Opportunity: Possible short setups unless price closes strongly above 3,284–3,287 zone.
⸻
5. Best Risk-Reward Setup (Swing/Intraday)
Scenario: Price retests FVG/OB at 3,284–3,287 and rejects.
• Entry: 3,284.00 (inside FVG)
• SL: 3,288.50 (above supply zone & equal highs)
• TP1: 3,214.00 (last day low)
• TP2: 3,200.00 (liquidity sweep & OB retest zone)
• RRR:
• To TP1: ~1:3
• To TP2: ~1:4.5
⸻
6. Trade Setups by Timeframe
5-Minute Setup:
• Look for CHoCH near 3,284.00 zone.
• Entry: On bearish engulfing or internal BOS.
• SL: Above 3,288.00.
• TP: 3,214.00 (previous low).
1-Hour Setup:
• Wait for 1H candle rejection at FVG or last day’s high.
• Entry: 3,284–3,287.
• SL: 3,290.
• TP1: 3,214.00.
• TP2: 3,200.00.
4-Hour Setup:
• Use higher timeframe OB for re-entry.
• Look for price closing below 3,214.00 → opens short continuation toward 3,160 or deeper (OB at 3,100).
• Swing Trade Setup: Short from 3,284.00 → SL 3,290 → TP 3,100–3,080 (RRR: ~1:6).
⸻
7. CRT Model Evaluation
• C – Context: HTF structure shifted bearish after CHoCH; price rejected FVG and supply zones.
* R – Retracement: Price retraced into OB and FVG in premium, providing a sell opportunity.
• T – Trend Continuation: If 3,214 breaks cleanly, expect continuation toward 3,160 and possibly 3,100.
⸻
Summary
• Bias: Bearish under 3,284–3,287 zone.
• Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: 3,284–3,287 (FVG + OB).
• Support: 3,214–3,200 (liquidity pool + OB).
• Best Trade: Short from FVG zone on confirmation with TP at day low and deeper OBs.
XAUUSD is expected to fall further.After a night of trend changes, XAUUSD has reached 3225. This is consistent with my prediction this week, and the direction is also consistent. In terms of operations, most of the orders are short-selling. This allows us to seize the opportunity to make money by shorting XAUUSD in the market.
BTCUSD also successfully reached 95,000 after a small correction, which is very critical for buying at a low level to make a profit.
The three-year-long Russian-Ukrainian situation may end
If this "farce" is declared over, XAUUSD will fall at a faster rate. Currently in a downward trend, XAUUSD needs to focus on the opportunity to sell after the rebound. 3273-3255. The target is 3200 first. If it breaks through sharply, it can be considered to reach 3170. There are risks in trading. Remember to proceed with caution.
If you don't know how to trade. Follow me.
Gold starts a unilateral decline?
📌 Gold information
U.S. stock indexes fell sharply in midday trading due to disappointing U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the crucial monthly employment report. This is likely to be the most important U.S. data point so far this year.
In other news, Dow Jones News Service reported: "Tariffs are beginning to bring pressure, prompting the Eastern giant to increase stimulus to support economic growth.
📊Comment analysis
For international gold, what you need to do now is to follow the market. Don't think about bottom fishing. You can do a short-term rebound during the day. When the market has clearly broken the structure, you should choose to believe in the technical side, rather than speculate on the next support. This will only be endless. At this stage, if you fail to bottom fishing, are you still ready to try again near the integer of 3200? This is not over yet. Even if it falls below 3200, the 3180 horizontal support will be immediately below.
This round of decline is about to completely give up the second rise in the front end, depending on 3180. This is why I just said that 3200 will immediately encounter a new support. The reason why many people choose to go long above 3240 is also because it is the first stage of the high platform of the front-end surge, and it is necessary to defend. Unfortunately, the defense is not successful now. In other words, if you want to go short next, you have to look at the continued decline. What are the characteristics of the continued decline? You certainly can't tolerate it having an excessive rebound, so don't think about any high-altitude trading strategy.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3230 points, and the profit target is around 3200 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
3236 becomes the dividing line between long and shortGold 3243 is the watershed between long and short positions. As long as this point is not broken, shorting at highs is still the main theme. You can continue to arrange short positions based on the suppression of 3236. The 3195-3190 area below is an important support. If the market retreats to this area, you can consider going long based on the actual situation and seize the opportunity of long-short conversion.
The most fundamental trading logic of XAUUSD.From the trend of XAUUSD, it is still mainly selling.
Trading logic, the current geopolitical situation has eased, which is the biggest negative news for xauusd. Tariffs have eased.
In other words, selling pressure exceeds demand.
So continue to sell at the current price of 3230-3220. The target is below 3200.
Always remind trading risks. So don't ignore this. If you don't know how to trade. Remember to wait and see. Don't trade blindly or gamble.
Many investor friends know that I have led some investors to create good profits for several consecutive days. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message and try it. Maybe your profit will double.
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage.
The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
XAUUSD Take ProfitThe gold trade I shared a few hours ago has hit Take Profit at the RRR 1:2 level. This was the second TP level.
For those who wish, you can hold the trade until the TP level at 3206.35.
If the price approaches this level, don’t forget to move your SL to the entry point.
Wishing everyone a pleasant end to the day.
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