Interpretation of gold trendGold broke below 3200 and continued to fall. 3435 fell back to 3201. The two did not break and one did not hold. The wave division is being re-performed. The current market is still in the ABC adjustment trend from 3500 downward. Wave A is 3500-3201, and wave B is 3201-3435. The current market is in the C wave push from 3435 downward. The end of wave C opens a new round of rising waves. The upper resistance at 3198-3200 is too far away and has not been given. This also shows that the market is too weak. It can only be stuck at the 0.236 division level of 3188. Continue to short before the European session. If the European session does not break the bottom, then don't short the US session for the second time. It is easy to bottom out and rebound and fluctuate.
Xauusdanalysis
Gold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a MonthGold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Month
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price of gold fell below $3,130 this morning – its lowest level since 10 April.
Since its peak in May, gold has lost more than 8% in value per ounce.
Why Is Gold Falling?
Bearish sentiment in the gold market may be fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions. According to media reports:
→ China and the US have already reported progress in reaching a trade agreement, while details of potential deals with India, Japan, and South Korea are currently being developed.
→ Iran is reportedly willing to sign a nuclear deal in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. In addition, Donald Trump may lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to the Middle East.
→ The situation between India and Pakistan has stabilised, and today, talks between Russia and Ukraine are expected to take place in Istanbul, with a potential ceasefire on the agenda.
These developments could be seen as reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our 7 May gold price analysis, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that bearish pressure persisted above $3,400.
Since then, the gold (XAU/USD) price has continued to move within this channel, breaking support around the $3,200 level and approaching a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the red channel;
→ a long-term trendline (marked in blue);
→ a former resistance level (highlighted with arrows) at $3,140.
Given these conditions, traders should consider a scenario in which a minor rebound may occur – for instance, towards the median line of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD H1 (15/05/2025)For today setup, i like to make sell position at price 3168 - 3171 for short position
for now i can see Gold can go down until demand h1 (3123 - 3116) and will make bounce if respect that demand. if you guys see the daily timeframe. you can see structure is for buy because daily make breakout. For the position, i will take short position and then fokus buy.
🎯 The Ideal Combo for trading:
📌 A discipline mind
📌 A trading edge
📌 Risk management
📌 Long-term mentality.
The technical side collapses! Can the bear market continue?🗞News side:
1. Russia and Ukraine hold ceasefire talks
2. Initial jobless claims data released during today's US trading session
3. Trump administration exposed to trillions of national debt
📈Technical aspects:
After gold fell below 3200, it pointed directly at the 3100-3000 line. Although there has been a rebound in the process, the current short-term short-term situation has not changed. The current lack of rebound momentum in the market is mainly due to the fact that the bad news has not been completely digested. At present, the gold price has rebounded to around 3160. Above, we need to pay attention to the first-line suppression of 3168, which is the first low point in the decline, followed by the 3190-3200 resistance zone above. If the gold rebound cannot break through the 3168 point, then the gold price will most likely continue its decline, test the 3120 low again, or even move towards 3000. If the European market hits the 3168 line and encounters resistance, it can be short-term and focus on the release of initial jobless claims data in the US market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
GOLD - where is current resistance? Holds or not??#GOLD.. in yesterday market placed a low around 3167-68 and bounced back.
Now market just near to his current resistance area that is around 3184-85
Keep close that area and if market hold it in that case we can expect a further drop..
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 3184-85 on confirmation ..
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD Correction Phase May Present Upside PotentialOn the 1-hour timeframe, I estimate that XAUUSD is currently at the end of wave v of wave (c). This suggests that the recent correction is relatively limited, having already tested the 3096–3122 area. Going forward, XAUUSD has the potential to strengthen toward the 3192–3250 zone.
XAU/USD 15 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisHi everyone, thanks for stopping by.
I’m Amin, a London-based technical analyst-in-training, currently preparing for the CMT Level I exam (June 2025) and building towards a career as a Market Strategist/Analyst.
I post daily/weekly analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) soon to be blended with CMT-aligned tools like RSI, Moving Averages, trend structure, and market phase models.
My Goal: To secure a strategist or analyst role in London.
Recent highlight: One of my TradingView ideas was featured by an editor.
If you're in the industry, a fellow learner, or hiring, feel free to reach out — I’m open to opportunities and connections.
Let’s keep growing and learning!
Amin.
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback.
Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Updates - XAUUSD May 15 ahead of news🔥 XAUUSD MARKET OUTLOOK – MAY 15, 2025
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – CHAOS COOKING AT GMT+3
Today is a high-impact fundamental day with U.S. Unemployment Claims and Powell’s speech at 15:30. After CPI surprised to the downside yesterday, the market is recalibrating fast. Gold dropped aggressively into discount zones, but no clean structural reversal is confirmed.
This is a textbook trap environment. Expect:
– Fakeouts before confirmation
– Aggressive sweeps around equilibrium
– Delayed real moves until after NY volatility settles
No guessing. No chasing. Structure only.
📉 STRUCTURAL BIAS – MULTI-TF OUTLOOK
Daily Bias: Bearish – No BOS reclaim. Market remains under macro OBs.
4H Bias: Bearish – BOS confirmed below 3220. Price now reacting at lower OBs.
1H Bias: Neutral – Price is consolidating after tapping demand. No clean shift yet.
Conclusion: No bullish confirmation across major timeframes. Every bounce is suspect unless proven otherwise.
📍 GOLDMINDSFX REACTIVE ZONE MAP
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES (For Confirmed Longs Only):
– 3120-3130 → Current active OB – reacting but unconfirmed
– 3100-3110 → Sweep + OB + EMA100 area
– 3050-3065 → Deep macro demand. Only valid on structural breakdown
🔴 PREMIUM ZONES (Watch for Trap Rejections):
– 3140–3155 → Internal breaker block – possible trap
– 3175–3190 → 1H supply zone + FVG – key reversal zone
– 3235–3255 → Premium OB – only valid post-news spike
🎯 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
If price reclaims and holds 3176 → short-term structure may shift bullish
If 3110 is swept with CHoCH → buyers may attempt recovery
During news – we do nothing. Wait for confirmation, not confusion.
🔒 FINAL NOTE
Today is about reactive precision, not predictive bias.
Let Gold show its hand — then act. The second move is the real one.
“Structure is the setup. News is the trap.” 🎯
Patience is your profit today.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold Breaks Lower: Geopolitics Calm, Yields Rise, Bulls RetreatOANDA:XAUUSD Gold weakened beneath $3,150 as easing US-China trade tensions and fading Fed rate cut expectations dented safe-haven demand. US Treasury yields rose, putting further pressure on non-yielding assets. Technically, gold is testing crucial support at $3,123. A break lower can see potential for downward movement to $3,084. Fed Chair Powell speech and PPI data remain key for short-term guidance.
Resistance : $3,171 , $3,229
Support : $3,123 , $3,084
GOLD support @ $3100There are a lot of things that show the price about $3100 for Gold is a really important & strong support for now.
We have 61% & 70.2% of Fibonacci retracement about this area.
The bear flag target on 4H TF is at $3100.
Even the target for double top is at that area.
In the past the price of $3100 was a support as well.
Gold prices fell by more than $50. Two news will be released.At the end of the Asian session, gold accelerated its decline, with the lowest price falling to around $3,123, and plummeting more than $50 during the day.
Gold prices continued to fall in the Asian session and were under pressure from multiple factors. Optimism about Sino-US trade weakened gold's safe-haven effect. In addition, reduced bets on the Fed's rate cuts and rising US Treasury yields are also not conducive to gold prices.
There are two pieces of news to pay attention to in today's trading market.
1. At 8:30 a.m. US time, the U.S. Census Bureau will release April retail sales data.
2. At 8:40 a.m. US time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver an opening speech at the second Thomas Laubach Research Conference. (This conference will focus on research on monetary policy and economics, and is expected to provide an academic perspective for the Fed's commitment to review the monetary policy framework every five years.)
Trading analysis:
Gold prices have just fallen below the $3,140 support level, which makes gold prices vulnerable. Some follow-up selling could push gold further towards $3,100; if it falls below this level, gold could target $3,060.
On the upside, if gold prices rise back above the $3,160-3,170 area, it could face strong resistance at the Asian session high and then $3,200.
Any further gains in gold prices could be seen as selling opportunities and could lose upward momentum around $3,230. This is a key level, and if it breaks through this level, a new round of short-covering could push gold prices up to $3,265 to form resistance before moving towards the $3,300 mark.
Market trading is risky, and I hope you will take profits in time; make a good profit.
Gold plummets, pay attention to the 3100 first-line support🗞News side:
1. Russia and Ukraine hold ceasefire talks
2. Initial jobless claims data released during today's US trading session
3. Trump administration exposed to trillions of national debt
📈Technical aspects:
Gold has been in a sideways consolidation yesterday, and we did not have a good entry opportunity to trade in the evening. Today, it has been falling with inertia since the opening of the market. It has now fallen to around 3130, successfully breaking through 3150, the key early point. At present, the daily chart of gold is in a downward wedge arrangement, with the focus on 3130 support below and 3200 suppression above. If the European market cannot fall below 3130, then be wary of bullish counterattacks.
On the other hand, if we fall below the 3130 line, we will fall back and continue to focus on the 60-day moving average support 3105-3110 area. Therefore, in terms of operation, gold will first focus on the 3130 first-line support. If it breaks below, wait for the 3105-3110 area and then consider buying based on the long-short game. The top target is the 3190-3200 area. If it does not break 3200, then go short!
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD SellThis week's trading cycle is fast. And there are huge fluctuations. The news is still more negative. So the decline is expected. Followers have also gained rich profits.
At present, the entire trading logic is still mainly selling. With the gradual realization of the goal, the space below becomes larger.
After the target of 3160-3130 is reached, XAUUSD has reached the lowest position of 3119. This is a huge drop. The trading opportunities are also greater. At present, 3150-3130 is a support in a dense trading area. In the short term, you can pay attention to the rebound position of 3160-3172DE selling position. The target is 3100-3070.
If it breaks through 3175, then the short-term needs to pay attention to the upper pressure level of 3200-3210. The transaction is still mainly selling.
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127.
Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305
Support : $3,213 , $3,127
Gold slips as trade optimism dents safe-haven demandOANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains stable around $3,237 as easing US-China trade tensions eroded safe-haven demand. The US cut its "de minimis" tariff on small Chinese parcels to 30%, with further progress in talks dampening gold's short-term appeal. Market focus now turns to the upcoming US PPI data for clues on the Fed’s rate path. Technically, gold is hovering just above the key $3,213 support. A break below could trigger further losses toward $3,132. Resistance remains near $3,264 and $3,306.
Resistance : $3,264 , $3,306
Support : $3,213 , $3,132
XAUUSD target range 3160-3130Continue to short and make a profit. So how to trade next time?
The news is very stable at present. Especially about the news related to geopolitics and tariffs, there are no more conflicts to cause the momentum of XAUUSD to rise. So the feedback on the chart is a decline.
Although there were some small losses in buying. But the subsequent shorting made a good profit. After making up for the losses, there is still some profit.
Next, continue to pay attention to the target range of 3160-3130 below. Investors with larger funds can choose to trade at the current price. 3210-3200 gradually increase the buy order. More detailed information can be obtained in the band trading center.
If you don’t pay attention, you can observe and read it. You can also leave me a message.
Gold short sellers hit the 3,000 mark in a bloodbath?News: The gold market has been experiencing violent fluctuations recently, with a significant correction from historical highs, triggering heated discussions in the market. Its price decline is mainly driven by two major factors: First, global trade tensions have eased. China and the United States have significantly reduced tariffs and suspended some tariffs for 90 days, which has greatly boosted market risk appetite. Investors have evacuated safe-haven assets and the demand for gold has declined. Second, the U.S. dollar index has bottomed out, and U.S. Treasury bond yields have also hit a six-week high. The 10-year Treasury bond yield has exceeded 4.5%. The Fed's adjustment in interest rate cut expectations has made non-interest-bearing assets such as gold less attractive. However, geopolitical risks have not completely dissipated, and the US-EU trade negotiations have progressed slowly, which may re-boost gold's safe-haven demand in the future. In the short term, trade optimism and a stronger US dollar may continue to suppress gold prices; but in the medium and long term, geopolitical uncertainty, inflationary pressures and central bank demand for gold purchases will provide support for gold prices.
From the four-hour level, a double top is formed at the 3500 and 3440 positions above. Gold continued to fall after breaking below 3200. The continued decline has released a clear short signal.The focus below is on the weekly 3100 area support.The ultimate goal of this round of adjustment is to look at the 3030-2980 range
Will gold rise today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. From the current 1-hour chart range, gold is at risk of falling again to 3200.
The current 1-hour chart range has been broken. After breaking the range support today, it has rebounded again, so the previous support has become a suppression position.
Therefore, if gold cannot stand above 3250, then we must be careful of the risk of gold testing 3200.
You can focus on 3240-3250. As long as it cannot stand above 3250, you can sell gold at 3240-3250. The target below is still around the bottom of the range 3200.
Gold price plunges suddenly. Technical analysis.Information summary:
During the Asian session, gold prices suddenly plunged, and the price of gold has now hit a low of $3,148, down more than $44 from the intraday high of $3,192.78 hit earlier.
Gold prices continued to fall after breaking the $3,200 support I predicted earlier, and gold prices fell to a one-month low, continuing the recent decline.
The sharp reduction in tariffs between the United States and China has brought relief to global markets and led to a rebound, which has caused gold to correct and break through multiple technical levels.
Technical analysis:
In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, the outlook for gold is bearish. Gold prices are trading below all of their moving averages, and the 20-period SMA has fallen below the 200-period SMA, which is located at $3,232, which will constitute an important resistance if the gold price trend recovers. Finally, technical indicators lack directional strength, but remain at negative levels, reflecting a lack of buying interest.
I think traders need to pay attention to the latest important support and upward resistance levels:
Support: $3140.
Resistance: $3100; $3215; $3232.
Gold Update – Bearish Structure Intact, 3165 in SightIn my Monday analysis, I mentioned the possibility of Gold retesting the 3200 zone, and that scenario played out as expected.
After breaking back below the 3270 support, price accelerated to the downside, reaching a low around 3208.
A rebound followed, with XAUUSD retesting the 3270 zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown.
Looking ahead, I expect a break below the 3200 level, with the next bearish target set around the 3165 support zone.
The plan remains unchanged:
As long as Gold stays below 3270, I’m looking to sell rallies into that resistance area. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short selling on the rebound is determined to winAfter gold fell below 3202 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low point for the time being, the pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again in the evening. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3150-3140. Gold continues to cross downward shorts in 1 hour. The short strength is still there. The rebound continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term. Then such a market is just a rebound. Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the resistance line of 3202-3205 is on the upper side.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Strategy 1: Short gold near 3195-3205, target near 3180-3170.
Strategy 2: Long gold near 3160-3150, target near 3170-3190.
Will gold continue to rise after breaking down?The daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3202 is the bullish defense position. If it cannot go up at the closing, there will be declines later. A major technical breakdown has occurred. Pay attention to the change in thinking. It rises quickly and falls just as quickly, but the long-term rising logic of gold remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to deploy more when it goes down, but the position needs to be observed by the market. It is difficult to predict at present. In the short term, rely on 3198 to do short selling. After breaking 3200, pay attention to shorting even if it rebounds. If it rebounds upward, go short at the golden section resistance of 3265. After gold fell below 3202, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then it continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low for the time being, the pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3150. Gold continues to form a downward short cross in the 1-hour period. The strength of the shorts is still there, and the rebound continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term, so such a market is just a rebound. Gold continues to be short in the US market rebound. The short-term operation of gold is recommended to be short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3202-3205 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3150-3155 support.