XAUUSD Is RangeBound! What's Next?In this video, I revisit my earlier analysis of gold, and my perspective from back then remains unchanged. Gold is currently range-bound and struggling to break through its recent highs. In the video, we examine price action, market structure, the trend, and other key elements of technical analysis. Previously, gold was trending with significant momentum, but that momentum has since diminished. All of this is explained in detail in the video, which is not intended as financial advice.
Xauusdanalysis
Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming – Gold Breakdown Soon?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently near the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . Gold attacked the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) several times but failed to break it and even created a Bull Trap .
Regarding Classical Technical Analysis , Gold seems to be completing the Head and Shoulders Pattern . If Gold reaches the Neckline of this pattern , it seems to succeed in breaking it. One of the signs of the validity of the Head and Shoulders Pattern is to see a Regular Divergence(RD-) between the two shoulders, which we see here.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves. The structure of correction waves is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Gold to reach the Neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern in the coming hours, and if it breaks , it will drop to at least $2,901 .
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940), we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Gold touches $2,934, we can hope for a drop.
Do you think that Gold succeeds in forming a new All-Time High(ATH) or does it need to be corrected?
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold Analysis May 25⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Market sentiment remained cautious on Tuesday due to concerns over Trump tariffs and Nvidia's upcoming earnings report. The US dollar continued to hold its strength on risk-off sentiment, limiting gold's gains. However, gold prices remained supported by falling US Treasury yields and rising trade war risks.
Bond yields fell on a strong auction and weak PMI data, raising expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year. Meanwhile, trade tensions escalated as the Trump administration considered tightening controls on chip exports to China.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices are still operating in a wedge of 2928 and 2952. The 2958 zone is also quite easy to create a false ATH. 2968-2970 acts as the most important resistance for Gold at the moment, which is considered the weekly resistance level. Watch out for gold falling, there could be a deep drop to 2906-2900.
Continue to short gold after the reboundGold's decline yesterday found support around the 2888 level before staging a rebound, and it has now recovered to the 2925 area. Although the bulls have begun their counterattack, their momentum appears significantly weaker compared to previous recoveries, indicating a growing lack of confidence among bullish participants.
Yesterday’s downward breakout from a period of sideways consolidation pushed gold through multiple key support levels and decisively breached the 2900 mark. This demonstrated strengthening bearish momentum, driven by profit-taking from earlier positions and an influx of panic-driven selling. Despite the current rebound, it’s likely just a technical correction following the sharp drop, providing more opportunities to short gold.
As gold’s price action shifts lower, the 2925-2935 zone now stands out as a prominent short-term resistance area. For short-term trades, we can use this zone as a key level to initiate fresh short positions. Gold is likely to retest the 2890 support area, and a decisive break below this level could open the path for further declines toward the 2870-2860 region.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Any rebound is an opportunity to short goldAs I mentioned in my previous article, after a period of sideways consolidation, gold chose to break downward—signaling greater downside potential. We perfectly captured the shorting opportunity around the 2935-2945 resistance zone. Gold not only successfully hit the 2910-2900 target area but even exceeded my expectations, with the price bottoming out around the 2888 region. This was an excellent short trade, and I personally gained over $10K in profits from this position.
Currently, gold is hovering around the 2890-2888 region, and while the downtrend has momentarily slowed, the bulls have yet to mount any effective counterattack. This indicates weakening bullish sentiment, and with earlier profits being cashed out alongside follow-up and panic-driven selling, the bearish trend is likely far from over. Breaking below the 2890 support further opens the door for continued downward movement, increasing gold’s potential for deeper declines.
For short-term trades, any rebound in gold’s price could present fresh opportunities for short positions. We should closely monitor the 2910-2920 area for potential entries to short gold once again.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
MARCH TARGET ANALYSISThe Price Reach by 2950 and, Smart Money got the position entry to set LONG
Trump plan to have conversation with Putin regard war RUSSIA x UKRAINE,
and Trade war America x China
Hopefully if America not trying to Trade war again with Europe regard Import Product Fee in first week at March
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 25.02.2025Analysis:
Support & Resistance Zones:
The price is moving within a range with strong resistance around 2,950 and a support zone around 2,922.
A major support level is visible at 2,898, which could act as the next target if the price breaks below 2,922.
Trendline & Breakout:
An ascending trendline was supporting the price, but it appears to have been broken at the Vital Point (highlighted in green).
This could indicate a bearish shift if the price fails to reclaim the trendline.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If the price bounces back above the trendline and holds above 2,940, it could retest 2,950 and break higher.
Bearish Case: If the price continues below 2,930 and breaks 2,922, a drop to 2,906 or even 2,898 could follow.
Signal:
📉 SELL BELOW 2,930
Entry: Below 2,930
Target 1: 2,922
Target 2: 2,906
Target 3: 2,898
Stop Loss: 2,945
📈 BUY ABOVE 2,940
Entry: Above 2,940
Target 1: 2,950
Target 2: 2,960
Stop Loss: 2,930
💡 Key Note: The price is currently at a critical level (Vital Point). Wait for a clear breakout before entering a trade.
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XAUUSD (GOLD) TRADE PLAN 25/2/2025
1. XAU/USD presents a compelling sell opportunity as price action suggests a potential downside move.
2. Technical indicators signal bearish momentum, with resistance levels holding firm.
3. Macroeconomic factors favor a stronger USD, pressuring gold prices lower.
4. A downward trajectory could target the 2900 level, aligning with historical support zones.
5. Rising bond yields and hawkish Fed policies add to gold’s downside risk.
6. Failure to breach key resistance zones reinforces the bearish outlook.
7. Market sentiment leans risk-on, reducing gold’s safe-haven appeal.
8. A break below critical support levels may accelerate selling pressure.
9. Short positions may benefit from volatility, with disciplined risk management.
10. Traders eye 2900 as a strategic target, capitalizing on gold’s potential correction.
Scalping ! XAU ! wait for price recovery at SELL entry 2947⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee emphasized on Monday that the central bank will adopt a cautious approach, waiting for more clarity before considering rate cuts.
Meanwhile, the World Gold Council (WGC) reported that gold-backed ETFs saw their biggest weekly inflow since March 2022.
Traders now focus on upcoming US data, including the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Richmond Manufacturing Index, along with speeches from Fed officials, which could impact the USD.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulated price zone according to H1 trendline, continue sideways waiting for tariff momentum to reach 3000
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2947 - $2949 SL $2952
TP1: $2943
TP2: $2938
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Short-term buy and sell signalsGold continues to maintain a wide range of high-level fluctuations. After setting a new high of 2956 yesterday, the NY market fell sharply to around 2930, and then rose strongly again in the late trading, bottoming out and rebounding in the fluctuation range. The price is still running in a bullish trend structure.
Today, the Asian session will first look at the continued rise of NY's late bottoming out and rebound, and pay attention to whether it can set a new intraday high. In terms of trading, keep buying at a low price, but only participate in short-term thinking. After the historical high or new high, pay attention to the indicator's top divergence and overbought, and there will be a fall and wash at any time.
Last week, gold was affected by the dual impact of escalating geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in the global economic recovery, and the spot gold price showed a fluctuating upward trend. The weekly line maintained an upward pattern. The gold price fell again to around 2930 during the day and stood firmly above this position.
At present, the short-term moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, which clearly shows that the bulls have a dominant advantage. The bulls maintain an upward trend of shocks, the Bollinger Bands open upward, and various indicators are running at high levels. From the perspective of short-term indicators, the gold price still has the momentum to rise.
However, it should be noted that the daily line has been oscillating in a high range for 4 consecutive trading days. This oscillating trend has both advantages and disadvantages for both long and short parties, and it is very likely to be a signal that the bulls have reached their peak. However, given that the gold price continued to rise after several pullbacks last week, there is also the possibility of a bull correction pattern. Therefore, it is recommended to start with intraday operations around the range oscillation, and once the market breaks through, it is necessary to leave the market in time.
Key points:
First support: 2942, second support: 2933, third support: 2920
First resistance: 2960, second resistance: 2968, third resistance: 2978
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2933-2936, SL: 2925, TP: 2948-2950;
SELL: 2968-2971, SL: 2980, TP: 2950-2940;
Short gold after reboundWe were fortunate to have closed our long positions around the 2942 level, securing our profits in a timely manner. Although my initial plan was to start shorting gold on Thursday and Friday, the market unexpectedly began its decline earlier than anticipated, and I was unable to open short positions immediately. Given that gold’s downturn started ahead of schedule in this cycle, there is still room for price fluctuations. Therefore, we should avoid rushing into short positions, as gold may still see a short-term rebound to the 2930-2940 region.
Gold has repeatedly faced resistance around the 2950-2955 zone and, following a period of sideways consolidation, finally broke downward—breaching the 2930-2925 support area. This suggests that there is still more downside potential, and the move could trigger panic selling. Consequently, I will be shifting my strategy to prioritize short positions after price rebounds.
For upcoming short-term trades, we can consider initiating short positions in the 2935-2945 zone. Should gold resume its downward trajectory, it is likely to test the 2910-2900 support region.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Gold Bulls Beware: Is the Market Ready for a Pullback? Since the beginning of the year, Gold has closed every week in the green, with the last four weeks marking all-time highs.
However, not even trees grow to the sky—let alone gold. 🌳✨
Looking at the posted chart, we can see that despite reaching ATHs and trading above 2900 over the past three weeks, the price has consistently reversed sharply from those highs. This suggests that a correction is becoming increasingly likely.
Yesterday's ATH was only about 20 pips higher than the previous one, and once again, the price quickly reversed. At the time of writing, Gold is trading at 2936, hovering near a critical confluence support level.
If the confluence support breaks, traders should anticipate a deeper correction, with an initial target around 2880 and a potential move toward 2850.
I'm bearish on Gold, but I’m waiting for further confirmation before initiating sell trades. 📉🔍
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD - one n single support, holds or not??#GOLD - perfect move as per our analysis and perfect holding of 2931
guys that is your area for now 2931
that is one n single support for now and if marekt hold it in that case we will see further bounce to upside.
and keep in mind below 2931 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
XAU/USD 25 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025, however, you will note how price has targeted strong internal high without closing above.
Price printed as per analysis and bias dated 20 February 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
You will note my comments in yesterday's analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
This scenario seems underway, price has targeted strong internal low, however, price has, thus far, not been able to close below.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 2,954.955, however, my alternative scenario remains live.
Alternative scenario:
As we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD: 25/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892.
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2921.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell first and then rose yesterday, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and breaking through the high. The US market accelerated to break through the 2956 mark and was suppressed and fell back. It quickly fell and once broke through the 2940 mark to reach around 2930, stabilized and rebounded, and finally returned to 2950 and closed.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2921, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2950-55 line. Continue to sell high and buy low in this range, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Buy: 2930near. SL: 2925
Buy: 2921near. SL: 2915
Buy: 2892near. SL: 2888
Use small size, control risk
XAUUSD Breakout or Pullback? Planning for My Next Move!👀 👉 XAUUSD is currently moving sideways within a range. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if it breaks above the range high or pulls back to a key support level. In the video, we discuss how price action might develop and what to watch for when identifying trade opportunities. Here, I’m sharing my trading plan and my approach to analyzing price action, market structure, and trends to spot potential setups. 🚨 Not financial advice.
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase.
"Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors.
"The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."
Gold price analysis February 24⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The uncertainty surrounding former US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and global economic risks continue to strengthen gold's role as a safe-haven asset. In addition, geopolitical tensions and pessimistic sentiment towards the US Dollar (USD) also contributed to supporting gold prices.
However, expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain high interest rates to control inflation have limited the upside of this precious metal. Investors are now focused on the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) report on Friday, important data that could influence the Fed's interest rate policy, impact the USD and the next trend of gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is currently relatively difficult to trade and pay attention to the Gold range around 2953 and 2906. A relatively wide range. The further range of 2978 and 2873 will be noticed this week. In the end of the H4 candlestick session, it closed above 2941. Gold will soon have a price of 2953. On the contrary, when gold closes below 2933, we can wait for a retest around 2938-2940 to SELL. TP Gold is still around 2923. If we break this area, pay attention to 2906. Wish you a successful trading day.
XAUUSD Analysis & Projection This Week (Feb 24 2025-Feb 28 2025)Last week, XAUUSD reached a new All-Time High but got swept, as the weekly candle failed to close at its peak. On the H1 timeframe, the Order Block has been mitigated (refer to the attached chart).
For this week's setup, my bias is towards a retracement into the Order Block (not FVG) before a significant drop (DUMP). I anticipate a clearer price movement around the release of the New Home Sales (January) data.