GOLD ANALYSIS BULLISH 13 JUNE 2025
As per previous analysis gold moved in the way as I was expecting. Gold is still strongly bullish, this is all due to geopolitics Iran and Israel war. As #gold made high to 3444 also took correction and now continue to it's bullish rally. Due to this war gold may surge to new high, for today I am again expecting to break yesterdays high. I will recommend please don't trade when there is such war and geopolitics issues because this is just analysis but market behavior is not normal and it will move in unwanted direction. Plan your trade accordingly and do trade. Key points 3402, 3415, 3424, 3440.
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Xauusdanalysis
Gold Trading Strategy–June 13During the Asian session, spot gold broke through the $3,400/ounce mark, reaching a high of around $3,444, setting a recent record high.
✅Fundamental Analysis
🔹Tensions in the Middle East have escalated sharply. Iran launched drone attacks on Israel, while conflicts continue along the Syria–Lebanon border. U.S. military bases have entered the highest state of alert.
🔹The market is closely watching the security of the Strait of Hormuz — a key route that handles about 20% of global oil transport. Any escalation or disruption could lead to surging oil prices and safe-haven demand, triggering a synchronized rally in crude oil and gold. In response, some sovereign wealth funds and central banks have urgently increased their holdings of physical gold.
✅Technical Analysis
🔸Gold has successfully broken through the critical $3,400 psychological level, confirming the continued strength of bullish momentum. The price structure remains within a strong upward trend channel dominated by the bulls.
🔸The moving average system shows a bullish alignment;
🔸Bollinger Bands are expanding upward, with price candles holding firm near the upper band;
🔸The MACD lines remain in a bullish crossover with increasing momentum bars;
🔸The KDJ indicator is in overbought territory — suggesting potential short-term pullbacks due to overheating risks.
🔴Key Resistance Levels (Short-Term)
🔰Initial resistance: 3,445 (dense previous high zone);
🔰If this level is broken, it could open further upside potential, targeting the 3,450–3,485 range.
🔰In the event of further geopolitical escalation and global market panic, gold may surge toward the 3,600 psychological level.
🟢Key Support Levels (Short-Term)
🔰Critical intraday support lies in the $3,410–$3,400 zone. A successful pullback and hold above this range would present a strong buy-the-dip opportunity;
🔰Deeper support lies in the $3,371–$3,360 area. A break below this range may trigger a short-term technical correction, with potential downside toward $3,330.
✅Intraday Trading Strategy
🔰If the European session pulls back to the $3,410–$3,400 support zone and holds, consider entering long positions; Initial upside target: $3,440;
🔰If gold holds above $3,420 ahead of the U.S. session, bullish momentum is expected to continue.
⛔Risk Management
If there are signs of easing geopolitical tensions or short-term profit-taking, gold may see a rapid retracement. Pay close attention to the $3,371 and $3,360 support levels for potential defense zones.
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way!
Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600
Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor .
Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment
.
📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge.
🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?
🌍 Geopolitical Shock Fuels Market Volatility
The gold market responded sharply after Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, including the Natanz uranium site. These actions triggered global concern:
Gold jumped to $3,430/oz, hitting a new weekly high
WTI crude surged by over 8%
US equity indices dipped significantly
The US remains officially neutral but confirmed it will defend its troops if provoked
Investors are now moving rapidly into safe-haven assets, especially gold.
📊 Technical Breakdown (H1/M30)
Trend Structure: Bullish momentum continues following the breakout above $3,392
Key Support Zone: $3,412–$3,426, with price holding above this region
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identified between $3,405–$3,412, could act as re-entry zone
EMA Alignment: Price is above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs — signalling strength across short and long-term moving averages
Psychological Resistance: Eyes now on the $3,454–$3,456 zone for potential selling pressure
🧠 Market Sentiment & Risk Behaviour
Risk-off mood dominates: Capital is rotating into gold, CHF, and JPY
Traders are reacting to news headlines over economic data
Institutional flows are entering strongly on dips, building positions in defensive assets
🎯 Trade Setup for 13th June
✅ Buy Zone: 3384 – 3382
Stop-Loss: 3378
Targets: 3388 – 3392 – 3396 – 3400 – 3405 – 3410
❌ Sell Zone: 3454 – 3456
Stop-Loss: 3460
Targets: 3450 – 3446 – 3442 – 3438 – 3434 – 3430
📌 Tactical Summary
Gold remains a go-to asset amid geopolitical uncertainty. While the technicals support further upside, caution is warranted near resistance. Any easing in military headlines could trigger a fast retracement.
🔍 Pro tip: Avoid chasing. Let price confirm near key levels before entering. Manage risk diligently in high-volatility environments.
GOLD - where is current support? What's next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our last idea regarding gold with fundamental support of Israel attacked.
Now market have 3410-11 as immediate supporting area and if market sustains above that then we can expect further push to upside.
Good luck
Trade wisely
GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H CHART – BULLISH BREAKOUT TRADE SETUP🔵 Trendline Breakout 📈
📏 Price broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
🔼 This breakout is often seen as a buy signal by traders.
🧱 Resistance Area 🛑
🔹 Price has entered and broken through a horizontal resistance zone.
🔄 This zone may now flip into support, adding confidence to the long setup.
🟧 Demand Zone 📦
📍 Marked between 3,267 – 3,298.
🛡️ Strong buying interest historically observed in this area.
📉 EMA (70) at 3,298.065 acts as dynamic support.
🟦 Entry Point 🚪
🎯 Entry Level: 3,322.930
🔄 Enter after retest confirmation or bullish candle above resistance.
🔴 Stop Loss ⛔
⚠️ SL Level: 3,267.993
💣 Below the demand zone and EMA — protecting against false breakouts.
🟩 Target Point 🎯
🚀 TP Level: 3,490.000
📌 Prior high zone — strong historical resistance expected here.
💰 Trade Setup Summary
✅ Buy Above: 3,322.930
❌ Stop Loss: 3,267.993
🎯 Target: 3,490.000
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable (approx. 1:3)
🔎 Technical Confidence Levels
🔵 EMA Support ✅
🔵 Trendline Breakout ✅
🔵 Resistance Flip ✅
🔴 False Breakout Risk
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 13 June 25Hello Traders,
First of all congratulations to all of you as 3430-40 zone GAP filled today but sad new is war scenarios resume
so advise for you is take limited risks
all eyes on 3450 Psychological level breakout, intraday expected range is 3400-3450 if markets break 3450 then it will move towards 3480
if market breaks 3400 successfully then it will move back towards 3370 or even 3355
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
The situation escalates. Will the price of gold continue to riseEvent summary:
On June 13, Israel launched an air operation codenamed "Lion Rising" against Iran. So far, five rounds of air strikes have been launched.
As the situation in the Middle East escalates, gold has risen again due to risk aversion, directly breaking through 3,400. Gold risk aversion has increased, and there is no sign of easing for the time being, so gold risk aversion continues to rise, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise. Under the blessing of risk aversion, gold bulls have begun to dominate again.
Market analysis:
The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross and formed an upward trend. The upward momentum of gold is getting stronger and stronger. In the early Asian session, it once surged above $3,440, only $60 away from the historical high of 3,500. The outbreak of risk aversion is entirely the release of accumulated kinetic energy. Only when it is fully released can the strength of gold bulls weaken. The decline of gold means going long. If the price of gold falls back to the support level near 3,400 during the Asian session, buy on dips.
Focus position:
First support level: 3405, second support level: 3390, third support level: 3380
First resistance level: 3440, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3470
Operation strategy:
Long strategy: Buy near 3405, stop loss: 3395, profit range: 3430-3450;
Short strategy: Buy near 3455, stop loss: 3465, profit range: 3400-3380;
If you want to trade aggressively, you can buy at the current price and wait for the price to reach a high point near 3350.
Gold Price Analysis June 12Yesterday's D1 daily frame bounced and closed above 3348. That led to a price gap today.
3375 is a resistance zone that is showing price reaction in the Asian session. If it cannot be broken at the end of the session, it is possible to set up a sell at 3355 for BUY strategies in the GAP zone.
Any price decrease today is considered a good opportunity for buying Gold to aim for 3411.
Pay attention to the 3355-3347-3338 zone for BUY signals today. Target is still 3411 but there is still 3386 which may have a reaction.
Xauusd overview (with trend analysis )We've experienced gold surge in the last 3days (about 1000pips)
This analysis was made on the Daily timeframe were we've observed a bullish trend and if we break past 3430, we have a lot of liquidity above and could float; But if it holds through, we expect a minor bearish pullbacks
Further updates would be given, Stay Tuned
Fakeout or Takeoff? Gold Retakes 3350 Before NY Close1. Recap of Yesterday's Move
Yesterday was a volatile day for Gold. Price initially broke above the key 3340–3350 resistance zone, only to drop back below it—but intriguingly, it closed above it on the New York session. That close is the detail that changes everything.
2. Key Question: Will Gold Stay Above 3400 and Push Toward New ATHs?
Let’s split this into two scenarios:
________________________________________
🟢 Bullish Scenario – Buy the Dip?
• The short-term structure is undeniably bullish.
• The reclaim of 3340–3350 is not a fakeout, but a clean signal of strength.
• If momentum holds, we can expect price to push toward 3405 and then 3435.
• As such, the strategy remains: buy dips, targeting those key levels.
________________________________________
🟡 Long-Term Breakout? Not So Fast
• Yes, the higher lows at 3120, 3250, and 3295 suggest that the correction from 3500 may be over.
• A clean breakout and stabilization above 3400, ideally near 3430, could signal a path toward a new all-time high.
• ❗ However, volatility remains wild, and if geopolitical tensions de-escalate or trade tariffs get resolved, Gold could see a sharp drop of 1500–2000 pips, as part of a broader risk-off unwind. Peace and stability could hurt safe-haven demand.
________________________________________
📌 Trading Plan
• Short-term: Buy dips while above 3340-3350 (ideally on a re-test), aiming for 3405 and 3435.
• Long-term: Stay flexible. Wait for confirmation above 3430 before going for the ATH narrative.
________________________________________
💡 Conclusion
Technically, Gold is bullish in both the short and long term. But with global uncertainty in play, don't ignore the fundamentals. Trade the chart, but respect the world around it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYGold (XAU/USD) is showcasing strong bullish momentum after breaking above the key resistance zone near $3,404, now acting as fresh support. 🔄 The price formed a bullish structure with clean higher highs and higher lows on the 30-minute chart, confirming buying strength. 🟣 The marked demand zone around $3,392–$3,404 is critical—if price retests and holds this level, we can expect a continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. 🚀📌 Traders should watch for bullish confirmations on pullbacks to this zone for potential long setups. 🧠⚡
Gold Market Analysis and Trading Recommendations for TodayYesterday, gold surged then pulled back in a washout move triggered by CPI data, before rebounding again in the evening on news-driven sentiment, closing the daily chart bullish. This morning's opening saw further rally breaking new highs, confirming strong bullish momentum. Today's strategy remains buying on dips with the uptrend.
On the 4H chart, gold stabilized at the mid-Bollinger band before rebounding with consecutive bullish candles. Moving averages are bullishly aligned and Bollinger bands are widening—all signaling strong bullishness. However, as the triangle consolidation range remains unbroken, chasing the rally is unadvised. Focus on dip-buying: key supports at 3,345–3,340 and 3,325; resistances at 3,385 and 3,400, where potential shorting opportunities may be considered based on price momentum.
XAUUSD
buy@3340-3350
tp:3370-3380
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Gold price fluctuates again, layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data favors bulls
📈 Market analysis:
The high of 3392 in the US market fell back for the first time to test the 3377 area to stop the decline and then tried again but failed to break through the 3400 integer mark. It can be seen that this position is very suppressed. The top and bottom conversion of 3377 has become the watershed for bulls to defend in the future market. 3400 is the short-term key pressure and the closing line has a long upper shadow K. If 3377 is lost, the price will fluctuate again. In the short term, focus on the 3390-3400 resistance on the upside and the 3377-3365 support on the downside.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3385-3395
TP 3370-3360
BUY 3365-3360
TP 3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD 1H – Clean Impulsive Setup UnfoldingGold has completed a clean Wave (2) correction, bottoming at $3,292.30, respecting both structural demand and fib confluence. Price is now showing early signs of Wave (3) development to the upside.
📌 Key Structure:
Wave (1) High: $3,403.30
Wave (2) Low: $3,292.30 (confirmed higher low structure)
Market is now consolidating slightly above the 0.5 fib level ($3,324.45), with bullish structure still intact.
📈 Technical Confluence:
Price is holding the internal bullish trendline
RSI is neutral but building potential upside momentum
Price action is forming higher lows, indicating strength post-correction
🎯 Next Bullish Targets:
$3,366.08 (0.236 fib level of Wave (2) correction)
$3,403.30 (Wave (1) high retest)
Final Wave (3) extension zone: $3,445 – $3,500
📉 Invalidation Level:
A break and close below $3,292.30 would invalidate this Wave (2) bottom and open the door for a deeper correction.
✅ Bias:
Bullish, as long as price holds above the 0.618 – 0.705 fib zone. A strong push from this area could confirm the next leg of Wave (3).
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