Gold recommends high-short and low-longThe rise of the US dollar index benefited from Trump's tariff policy. Just yesterday, Trump suddenly announced that a 25% tariff would be imposed on the purchase of oil and natural gas from Venezuela. At the same time, he claimed that some tariffs would be reduced or exempted. The market's tense nerves were released, and the US dollar index rose sharply. As the end of the month approaches, the market needs to rebalance its investment portfolio and increase the allocation of US dollars to hedge against unknown risks, pushing the US dollar to continue to rise. Yesterday, the market news was light. Today, the market will welcome the speech of Federal Reserve Board Governor Kugler on "Economic Outlook and Entrepreneurship". Immediately afterwards, New York Fed Williams will speak at a public event. In addition, there is the March Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index at 10 pm. The above events and data are concentrated in the evening time today, which will have a certain impact on the market and need to be paid attention to. The price of gold has begun to retreat from its historical high, and the safe-haven buying force has eased. This retreat momentum is expected to intensify further, especially in terms of technology.
At present, the price of gold is running in a similar triangle range, and the correction cycle is extended. On the one hand, the bulls rebounded after the pressure of the high, and it is difficult to return to the strong position directly; on the other hand, the retracement is supported by the key top and bottom conversion support band of 3005-3000. This trading day focuses on the gains and losses below the low of 3000 at the end of last Friday, and the breakthrough below the upper 3030 pressure line. If it cannot break through, there is a high probability of oscillating around this range during the day. Gold operation suggestion 1: short near the rebound of 3020-3025, stop loss 3030, target 3005. Gold operation suggestion 2: long near the retracement of 3000-3005, stop loss 2995, target 3020
Xauusdanalysis
Gold 100% Trading SignalsIn the two trading days of Thursday and Friday, it fell from the high point of 3057 to the 3000 mark, and lost 57 US dollars. This decline is much smaller than the previous continuous upward space. From a technical point of view, it can at least reach the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high of 2980-2956, and the retracement should be around 100 US dollars.
But this trend often does not arrive in one step. The market fluctuations are not straight up and down. There is a process of adjustment from strong long to fall back. It may be pulled up and down several times at a high level. You will not be able to see the trend and direction at once. Be mentally prepared.
Every time gold rises or falls, when there is a big market, the media will generally report it. Often at this time, you should pay attention. As we all know, you should pay attention to the risks when you advertise widely. At this time, you will be the one who takes the plate. When everyone knows, the market will not rise.
On Friday, the price bottomed out at 3000 and rebounded, and closed at 3023 in the early morning. This position is very critical. On the one hand, it is in the middle of the decline of 3038-3000, and it can go up or down; on the other hand, the 618 golden section is just at 3023. If it falls here at the opening on Monday, there are technical reasons to support it. If it breaks the short-term line, it can only rely on the pressure of 3038 to be bearish.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, don’t blindly chase it when it opens in the morning, as it is easy to cause market interruption after the weekend. You can try shorting by relying on the pressure of 3038 on the top, and you can see more rebounds around the support of 3010 on the bottom. If there are changes in the specific market, it will be given in real time during the trading session.
In terms of trading, Jinsheng’s expected analysis layout was fully completed at the end of Friday yesterday, and the market was accurately realized. The short position at 3043 in the morning was successfully closed at 3030 at noon, earning 13 US dollars; the rebound at 3033 in the afternoon was shorted again, and the position was reduced at 3017 in the evening. The remaining closed at 3006, earning 27 US dollars; the two orders made a profit of 40 US dollars, and the weekly line ended perfectly
Gold 3030 line still needs to be shortedThe weekly closing line is mediocre, with shadows but not long, indicating that the short momentum above is not strong. The same is true for the daily line, with a long lower shadow pattern, which offsets the original strong downward pressure of the evening star, causing some participants to start to tangle. The market is likely to sweep up and down at the beginning of the week, and oscillate to measure the strength of the ups and downs. Note that if gold refreshes the 3,000 low this week, gold is expected to fall back to the 2957-65 top and bottom conversion position this week.
The gold 1-hour moving average has begun to turn downward, and is about to cross downward. If the gold 1-hour moving average crosses downward to form a dead cross short arrangement, then the gold downside may open up. The gold 1-hour moving average resistance has now moved down to around 3035. So the gold 1-hour will continue to be short at highs despite the pressure at 3035 in the early trading. The gold 1-hour high has formed a head and shoulders top structure. As long as the gold bulls cannot break through the new high again, the gold 1-hour is in the process of building a high top.
In addition, the opening of this week continued the weak adjustment of last week. Today, as in the weekly review, it is still bearish and retracement. For shocks, prices fluctuate, and it is difficult for us to think unilaterally. It depends on which side you grab. The upper resistance focuses on the early high of 3026, and the second is the opening point of last week at 3035! In the short term, all the divergences and indicators on the gold hourly chart have been corrected. Now it is correcting after oversold, which resonates with the big cycle. Pay attention to the continuous pull-down of the high point during the day, which resonates with the Bollinger Bands.
Gold rebounds to 3025-30 short, stop loss at 3035, target 3010-05.
Gold Accurate SignalsTechnical analysis of gold: From the technical point of view, gold has retreated for three consecutive days, which is somewhat special in the previous crazy continuous rise. Usually, the negative line in the daily continuous rise, as long as the European session is resistant to the decline, sell short before the US session, and the watershed morning high point, usually the US session will rely on the previous day's low point to make a watershed stop loss, and according to the technical form, the rhythm of the daily line is destroyed. Whether it can bottom out and rebound today still needs to be observed! Today, the gold price opened near the short-term moving average MA10, and the short-term moving average MA5 began to turn downward. After yesterday's market surged, it was blocked near the MA5 moving average and began to fall. Today, we need to focus on the resistance formed by the MA5 moving average. If the gold price falls below yesterday's low of 3002, then we can continue to follow the short trend and look down. Focus on the upper side of the row pressure level of 3028 at the end of yesterday's trading, and participate in short orders during the day at this position.
Gold 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands to rebound. The middle track is the short-term strength and weakness distinction point. In the adjustment trend, the weakness is below the middle track. It is also a distinction point, combined with the hourly chart above. In the step-down shock, although the rebound yesterday was slightly higher than the 3033 line, it was still running below the second highest point of 3038 as a whole, a complete step adjustment trend. The second highest point is not lost, the trend is not changed, and today's operation relies on the 3033 high point as a defense to continue to follow the trend and fall back. The low point of 2020-2026 is still a resistance point. After the short position of 2028 was reduced yesterday, the bottom position continued to break the 3000 small band. Short positions rebounded slightly today near 2020-2023 and continued to short. Defense at 3033 is enough. The target is to reduce the position and then leave the bottom position to look down at 2990-2980. The space depends on the shape. As long as it closes at a low level, the adjustment space will be further deepened the next day. On the whole, I suggest that the short-term operation strategy for gold today is mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long positions on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3020-3025 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2999-2980 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds around 3020-3023, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3000, break to target 2890
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 2990-2993, buy long positions in batches (buy up) with 20% of the position, stop loss 8 points, target around 3000-3005, break the position and look at 3010
Latest gold trend analysisGold fell by $57 from 3057-3000 at the end of last week. It fluctuated downward yesterday, and the daily line closed negatively, touching the short-term moving average. From the perspective of bull correction, the adjustment has not yet been completed, and there is still a possibility of further decline. The probability of breaking the 3000 mark is very high.
However, the current market has entered a period of volatility, and the long continuity is very poor. It fluctuated upward during the day yesterday, and only began to fall in the evening, closing at a low in the early morning. The overall trend is still a volatile trend. This morning, the bottom was hit and rebounded, and the price broke through the high of 3014 in the early morning, but it is not recommended to chase blindly. Focus on the trend of the European session. If the European session goes up, it will be regarded as a shock in the evening. If the upper pressure is touched at 3035-3038, you can go short.
However, if the European session falls and breaks below 3007, then today will be a bearish trend, and the 3000 mark will also be lost. Be careful not to repeat yesterday's trend today, so you must pay attention to the rhythm of the European session. If it fluctuates upward, you can still go high in the evening.
Therefore, in general, gold is still expected to fluctuate today. Pay attention to the pressure of 3035-3038 on the upper side, and the support below is 3007-3002. Pay attention to the watershed position.
In terms of trading, yesterday Monday did not continue the bearish view on Friday, but chose to buy more near 3010, but the market failed to give it. At noon, it was aggressively long at 3017, and the European session stopped profit at 3029, winning 12 US dollars; it fluctuated upward during the day, and stepped back to 3017 twice in the evening. The retracement of the US session was too large, and the stop loss was exited at 3014 before the break, losing 3 US dollars; two orders earned 9 US dollars.
The day's rebound is mainly highAt present, the gold market has been fluctuating in the range for some time, and the market has not made a directional choice, which means that the gold price will continue to fluctuate during the day, and it is a downward flag adjustment range. For our operation layout, we should keep high-altitude and low-multiple in the range.
In the oscillating market, we mainly focus on the recent direction. It is obvious that it is a short-selling oscillation after the top falls. In the range, high-altitude and low-multiple are the first to focus on the opportunity of shorting. In this market at noon, we still need to continue to wait for the opportunity to short. From the four-hour trend, the upper pressure is focused on the 3036 line, and the lower support is near the support level of 3010!
Gold operation suggestions: short near 3032-3036, stop loss 3042, target 3015
Evening gold analysis and operationTechnical analysis of gold: Gold rebounded to around 3031 yesterday and then began to retreat. It continued to rebound after touching the lowest level of 3012 in the US market, and the daily line closed in the form of a negative cross star. After opening in the morning, it has been rising all the way and has now reached above 3030 again, continuing to approach the previous high of around 3036-38. In the short term, it is very likely to form a range of shocks again, and this position may also be the position of the high suppression port in the near future, and it is also the ideal point for short positions. Once this position continues If the pressure is effective, a falling pattern is likely to be formed, which may also be the last wave of bullish pullback, and the support below will continue to be maintained near yesterday's low of 3012, which will also be the last line of defense for the bulls. Although the bulls seem strong at present, the pressure from above is self-evident. The market is often the same. What seems strong may not be strong, but just a confusing behavior to lure more. In the morning, I repeatedly emphasized that the key pressure level of gold is 3036, so I gave the idea of shorting at 3036 in the morning, and I am still making a profit.
Gold continued to fluctuate in a large range in the one-hour period. Before there is a trend breakthrough, gold will continue to fluctuate. Gold is under pressure at high levels and is still mainly short at high levels. After all, the overall strength of the bullish rebound is still weak. The high point of the gold bullish rebound has begun to decline, and the low point of the oscillation has also begun to decline. Then the overall situation is still a bearish oscillation. We should first arrange short orders around this position and wait to see the strength of the European session. If the European session continues to break upward, the bulls are likely to pull up again. On the contrary, the current high is likely to be generated. In this case, gold will first short near 3036-38 during the day, and the target will be near 3015-10. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3036-3038 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3010-3012 support line.
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds to around 3036-3038, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss at 3055, target around 3020-3015, break to target 3010
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3010-3012, buy two-tenths of the position in batches, stop loss 8 points, target around 3020-3025, and look at 3030 if it breaks
Gold Price Reversal Prediction – March 27, 2025This chart represents the Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe as published on TradingView on March 27, 2025.
Key Observations:
1. Support and Resistance Zones:
A strong resistance zone is marked around the $3,040 level (highlighted in red at the top).
A support zone is visible near $3,010 (highlighted in red at the bottom).
2. Price Movement & Pattern:
The price initially consolidates within the support zone before making an upward move.
A bullish move (marked in blue) pushes the price up toward the resistance zone.
The price is currently at the resistance zone and is expected to reverse downward as indicated by the blue projected move.
3. Trading Implications:
If the resistance holds, the price may decline back toward the support zone.
If the resistance breaks, further upside momentum could be seen.
Gold Bullish Frenzy? Watch for Reversal SignalsAt present, it seems that the situation for the bulls is promising. However, the market is not necessarily so. This kind of behavior to induce more long positions is quite normal in the market.
Market makers often operate in a strategic way. After they have reaped the profits from the bulls, it's highly likely that the next target will be the bears.
Looking at the gold market specifically, the price of gold is currently at a high level and is bound to decline. This frenzied bullish trend simply cannot be sustained, and this is an inevitable outcome. The current gold price has seriously deviated from its normal track. One could even
say that it has completely derailed or "strayed from the norm". Such a situation is clearly unreasonable, and a return to a reasonable level is inevitable.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Next Week Big Move?The daily chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a well-structured triangle pattern breakout, a strong uptrend, and a critical resistance zone near all-time highs (ATH). The price action suggests that gold is in a bullish phase but approaching a key decision point where it could either break higher or face a temporary pullback.
This analysis provides a detailed breakdown of the pattern, key levels, potential scenarios, and trading strategies for the coming week.
1. Technical Chart Breakdown
A. Triangle Pattern Breakout (Bullish Continuation)
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, which typically signals a consolidation phase before a major price movement.
After a period of accumulation within the triangle, gold broke out upwards, confirming a bullish continuation pattern.
This breakout was supported by strong volume and buying pressure, reinforcing the trend strength.
B. Trendline & Support Levels (Key Areas for Buyers)
A rising trendline has been acting as dynamic support, confirming that the market remains in a bullish structure.
Major Support Levels:
$3,000 – A psychological support level that may act as a bounce zone in case of rejection at resistance.
$2,885 – A well-defined horizontal support level, previously tested multiple times.
If the price falls below $2,885, it could signal a trend reversal or a deeper correction.
2. Key Price Levels & Market Sentiment
A. Resistance & Target Levels (Where Sellers Might Step In)
Primary Resistance Zone: $3,137 - $3,150
This level represents a combination of all-time high (ATH), historical resistance, and a key breakout target.
If the price breaks and holds above this zone, it could trigger further upside towards $3,200 - $3,250.
However, if sellers dominate at this level, a pullback or correction could occur.
B. Stop-Loss & Risk Management Considerations
Traders should be cautious around the resistance zone and place stop-loss levels strategically to manage risk.
Stop-Loss Suggestions:
For Long Trades: Below $3,000 (to protect against fake breakouts).
For Short Trades: Above $3,150 (if price rejects resistance and starts a reversal).
3. Trading Strategy for Next Week
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout & Continuation
If gold breaks and sustains above $3,137, it will confirm a bullish continuation.
Entry Strategy: Look for a retest of the breakout level ($3,100 - $3,137) before entering long positions.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $3,200
Second Target: $3,250+
Stop-Loss: Below $3,000, to protect against sudden reversals.
Scenario 2: Rejection at Resistance & Pullback
If gold fails to break $3,137 and forms a bearish rejection candle, it may indicate a short-term pullback.
Short Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmation of rejection with bearish price action signals (e.g., bearish engulfing, long upper wick).
Downside Targets:
First Target: $3,000
Second Target: $2,885 (major support)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,150, to avoid being trapped in a false breakdown.
Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal (Break Below $2,885)
If gold falls below $2,885, it could signal a potential trend reversal.
Short Trade Setup: Enter below $2,885, targeting $2,800 - $2,750 in the medium term.
Stop-Loss: Above $2,900, in case of a false breakdown.
4. Indicators & Confirmation Signals
A. Volume & Candlestick Patterns
Watch for high volume during breakouts to confirm strength.
Candlestick patterns such as bullish engulfing, hammer (for support bounces), or shooting star (for resistance rejection) can provide strong confirmation signals.
B. RSI (Relative Strength Index) & Overbought Conditions
If RSI is above 70, it could indicate that gold is overbought, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
If RSI stays above 50 but below 70, it confirms bullish strength.
C. Moving Averages for Trend Confirmation
50-day and 200-day moving averages can act as additional support and resistance zones.
If the price is above both moving averages, it confirms the bullish trend.
5. Conclusion – What to Watch for Next Week?
✅ If price breaks and holds above $3,137 → Expect continuation towards $3,200 - $3,250.
✅ If price rejects at $3,137 → Watch for a pullback towards $3,000 or $2,885 for re-entry.
✅ If price drops below $2,885 → Expect deeper correction with a shift in trend structure.
📌 Key Takeaway: Gold remains bullish, but traders should watch the resistance level at $3,137 closely for confirmation of a breakout or a possible reversal. Risk management is crucial in case of unexpected market shifts.
Would you like me to add more insights using Fibonacci levels or historical trends? 📊🚀
GOLD Long opportunity from 3,050 or 3,020 back to ATH'sThis week, my outlook on gold remains strongly bullish. Price has once again reached its all-time high (ATH) and broken structure to the upside, leaving behind new demand zones that present potential buying opportunities.
The first key area of interest is the nearby 6-hour demand zone. While not the most ideal setup, I will be monitoring how price reacts once it mitigates this level.
Additionally, there is a 15-hour demand zone positioned lower, offering a more favorable entry at a discounted price. This zone was responsible for the break of structure to the upside, making it a strong area of interest. If price reaches this level, I expect a slowdown followed by a buildup of bullish momentum.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes.
Clean 6-hour and 15-hour demand zones remain unmitigated.
Gold has been consistently bullish across both lower and higher timeframes.
DXY is trending bearish, reinforcing gold’s bullish bias due to their inverse correlation.
Note: There is some liquidity resting below in the form of an equal low and a small trendline. I will wait for confirmation in these areas before making any decisions.
XauUsdHello dear friends :)
According to the chart you see, a strong upward trend structure has formed (purple channel)
- Divergence is observed between waves 5 and 3, which is expected to have a correction to 3034 and after a correction to its own upward trend, it will move to 3122, then a strong correction is expected to the price level of 2950 and a change in the upward structure to a downward one.
#XAUUSD:$3200 Next Big Move, Bulls Are Like to DominatePrice has been bullish since many months as US Dollars continue to decline, the fear of further decline in dollar value is triggering the gold market to go all time high. There is a big possibility that price is likely to go upwards of region of 3200$. We will have to monitor the market next week since we have big news week coming up.
Like and Comment to Show us the support 🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
Sell@3080Today, the XAUUSD market is mired in extraordinary volatility. The uptrend in prices has continued unabated, with values rocketing to $3086. This powerful rally has inflicted heavy losses on bearish traders, leading to a mass liquidation of their positions.
Currently, the market is in a “double - whammy” situation, where both bulls and bears are feeling the pinch. This is the result of large - scale capital inflows. Savvy institutional investors and market players are deploying capital strategically, aiming to maximize profits.
Despite this current upward surge, we remain steadfast in our bearish outlook. Our in - depth analysis of multiple factors—including long - term economic trends, geopolitical developments, and technical indicators—reinforces our conviction. Many fundamental indicators suggest that the current rally is likely a short - lived market aberration. As the market continues to digest various macroeconomic data, we anticipate downward pressure to build, eventually reversing the current upward trend.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3085 - 3080
🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000
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XAUUSD:Still consider shorting at a high price.As I stated in my morning post, one could try shorting around 3080. It has been proven that this strategy is completely correct. Shorting around 3080 has achieved three consecutive profitable trades. Today is Friday and it's approaching the closing of the market. For gold, this strategy can still be implemented. Continue to short, with the take-profit level set around 3070.
sell@3080-3085
TP:3070-3065
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Gold breaks high strongly, how much room is there for the bulls?Gold broke through the high and headed straight for 3100, reaching a high of 3087! This wave of rise was frequent with long and short positions. First, it fluctuated back and forth between 3000 and 3038, and neither long nor short positions continued. It broke through the oscillation range strongly, and the price approached the previous high of 3057.
Operation suggestions: 3068 and 3062, it is better to be more cautious and look at 3062. The watershed is 3054, and the upper pressure is 3080-3100. When it touches 3100 for the first time, you can try shorting.
Is gold 3100 far away?The price of gold rose to 3085.91, and gold is expected to achieve a fourth consecutive week of gains. Technical analysis of gold: Gold closed with a full big positive K, a historical high before closing, and continued to rise. So can it continue to be strong and full of positives next? The short-term moving average position 3035-30 continues to maintain bullishness, but the height is far away from it at this time. If you try it, it will be a large-scale wash-out. Another is to rely on the top and bottom conversion support 3057 to support strong operation, and then go sideways at a high level and then attack. Therefore, the daily level should pay attention to two supports in the short term, the top and bottom conversion support and the short-term moving average support, and continue to maintain the bullish trend. As for the height, pay attention to 3094 in the future market, and then 3136. I personally expect that it will really be below 3094 and 3136. In the short term, there may be a large downward adjustment; of course, it is just an adjustment, so don't guess the top easily. Relying on the continued rise of 3054-53, it successfully reached the target of 3079, suppressed 3086 and fell back to 3066. Holding this position can also maintain a certain strong pattern. Therefore, it is recommended to continue to try to be bullish after a callback above 3066, and to test the high point 3086 for the second time to see how it is suppressed. If it breaks through, it will look at 3094, or even 3100 and above. If it fails to break through, it will fluctuate at a high level. In addition, if the middle track is not held by accident, it will turn into a shock, so the lower support will focus on the gains and losses of 3053.
Gold's strong breakthrough is accelerating, how much room is theFor today,There are two positions to choose from for long positions in the afternoon, 3068 and 3062. If you choose to be more conservative, you should look at 3062. The watershed is 3054, and the upper pressure is 3080-3100. You can try shorting when it touches 3100 for the first time.In addition, to be bullish, the market must continue to rise in the European session and break the high. If the European session goes sideways and does not rise, then be careful of a decline in the evening. Still pay attention to the appearance of a black swan on Friday.
Therefore, there is a possibility of a short squeeze near 3100. This wave of breaking highs will directly blow up the bears, while a strong break and rise can attract bulls. Another waterfall will be shocking. Therefore, we must pay attention to risks near 3100. We can be bullish but we must do a good job of risk control.
Finally, regarding the question of how much room for upward movement there is after this break, I personally think that 3100 is about the right level, because the previous correction was not large, and it went straight up after sideways fluctuations. This is somewhat related to Trump’s tariff policy in the past two days. After the news, everything is in chaos again.
Gold's strong breakthrough is accelerating!Gold broke through the high and headed straight for 3100, and did not give a callback. It went sideways at a high level and reached 3077! This wave of rising bulls and bears were frequently washed out. First, it fluctuated back and forth between 3000 and 3038. Neither bulls nor bears continued. Lian Yang strongly broke through the oscillation range, and the price approached the previous high of 3057.The weekly line ended with a strong rise. There are two positions to choose from for long positions, 3068 and 3062. If you choose to be more stable, you should look at 3062. The watershed is 3054, and the upper pressure is 3080-3100. You can try shorting when it touches 3100 for the first time. In addition, if you are bullish, you must continue to rise and break the high. If it goes sideways without rising, then be careful of a decline, or pay attention to the appearance of black swans. Finally, as to how much room there is for rising after this high break, I personally think that 3100 is about right, because the previous correction is not large, so there is a possibility of forced shorting near 3100. This wave of breaking high directly exploded the bears, and the strong breaking high rise can attract bulls. Another waterfall will be dumbfounded, so you should pay attention to the risks near 3100. Therefore, there is a possibility of a short squeeze near 3100. This wave of breaking highs will directly blow up the bears, while a strong break and rise can attract bulls. Another waterfall will be shocking. Therefore, we must pay attention to risks near 3100. We can be bullish but we must do a good job of risk control.
GOLD Down Strong Impulse IncomingPredicting Gold Down move from this area and will short it heavy id this start to happen.
Looks for positions above 3080.
Init Target 2880 and 2800.
setup invalidation at clean breaking above 3100.
Expecting this down move to be impulsive and strong.
Note: Not a Financial Advice.
XAU/USD 28 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has met expectations and analysis by printing a further bullish iBOS, however, pullback was minimal and with price not trading down to either discount of 50% EQ or Daily/H4 demand zone.
I will therefore, at present, not classify this as a bullish iBOS in order not to distort internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, bnut not confirm bearish pullback phase initiaiton. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090.
Alternative scenario:
Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias was not met with pricing printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold (XAUUSD) Short Setup: Bearish Confirmation & Key TP LevelsThe chart suggests that gold (XAUUSD) is approaching a key resistance level near 3,102, aligning with a trendline. The price has formed a weak high, indicating potential exhaustion. A bearish confirmation at this level could lead to a decline toward the target zone around 3,037. If the price fails to break lower, further bullish momentum may push it beyond resistance. Watch for a break of structure (BOS) and bearish signals before confirming a short position.
1. First TP: 3,060 – A minor support level before the main target.
2. Second TP: 3,037 – A stronger support zone and key target.
These levels provide a safe exit strategy for a short trade while minimizing risk. Watch for price action confirmation before executing.
How to operate when gold is trading sideways at a high levelStimulated by risk aversion, gold has been rising all the way, strongly pulling bulls back, and then gold adjusted. However, the previous box was broken by shocks, and gold fell back and still got support on the upper edge of the box. Bulls once again made efforts to attack, and the price continued to test the high point line. After the daily cycle was corrected for five trading days, bulls rose again, and the high point was likely to be refreshed. Stop loss and exit for short-term short orders within the day. According to the extension of the amplitude of the rise from 3003 to 3036, 3066/3080 can be seen above. After this correction is over and the high is broken, we will see whether we can go short. We never do dead longs or dead shorts. Since gold has chosen to break upwards in the shock, we still need to follow up and go long. Gold broke through and oscillated upwards during the day. The reasons are risk aversion and technical breakthrough. For the overall decline, it is still rising. The 1-hour moving average of gold now begins to diverge upward. After the gold retracement is confirmed, the bulls continue to exert their strength. After gold retraced to the support near 3033, it began to soar straight up. The bulls still control the home court. At present, the top-bottom conversion level is here at 3033, so the fall back to 3033-35 will continue. Overall, the short-term gold operation idea is to focus on callbacks and shorts, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3070-3080 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3040-3030 first-line support.