Will gold fall again after rebounding?Gold is suppressed by the double top structure in the 4-hour period. Gold rebounded to 2905 and then fell back directly. Gold rebounded to 2905 in the afternoon and continued to go short on highs. The gold short position has just begun and there is no fear of rebound. Gold is just rebounding. Gold will go short directly after the rebound to 2905. Gold will fall as expected and be harvested first. Gold is still just a rebound and will continue to go short on the rebound. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that shorting will be the main focus on rebounds, and longs will be supplemented by callbacks. The upper short-term focus will be on the 2903-2905 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus will be on the 2864-2834 first-line support. Friends, you must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches near 2903-2905 when gold rebounds, stop loss 6 points, target near 2890-2875, break to see 2865 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches near 2864-2866 when gold pulls back, stop loss 6 points, target near 2875-2885, break to see 2895 line;
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD: SMA’s guidelines are very simpleCombining the four-hour gold price trend chart below, we can see that the gold price is still in a high box and fluctuating normally. The price is still moving in the SMA20-SMA50 range, relying on the support of SMA50 below, and intends to continue moving upward.
Combined with the one-hour trend chart below, the gold price is above the lifeline of SMA200, and the price is above SMA20, in normal operation
Combined with the thirty-minute trend chart. In the short term, SMA20 and SMA50 are about to form a cross, which will promote further strengthening of gold prices.
Comprehensively evaluated, the general trend is upward, relying on the support of the news, the short-term trend is still in a strong upward stage. It is necessary to observe that if the position of 2906-2913 is effectively broken, the upper 2920-2942 will be touched again. If there is no news that is bearish for gold prices, the rise will proceed slowly. On the contrary, when the factors that are favorable to the rise of gold prices are announced, the gold price will rise rapidly to the first-line position.
Therefore, the short and medium term are mainly based on long gold prices. It is better to miss the short-selling opportunity than to take the risk of shorting the gold price and gain profits that do not belong to you.
Friendly reminder: Because the US stock market is closed today, the impact on the gold price will be reduced after the New York market opens.
COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
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Evening US tradingToday morning, the real market was long at 2908, and gold rose as expected. When it rose to 2915, the position was reduced, and when it rose to 2920, it was suggested to leave the market. This order made a profit of 120 points.Gold fell to around 2909 and rebounded as expected.The real market also prompted longs near 2909, and prompted to reduce positions when it rose to around 2919, and the remaining positions were protected against principal loss. This order made a profit of 100 points, and today's two waves of longs made a total profit of 220 points. If you follow the trend in trading, you are the main force. No matter how much money you have, as long as you stand on this side of the trend, you are the main force. Not doing anything during fluctuations is also a kind of following the trend, and taking a short position is also a kind of operation. To do trading, you must first learn to stop loss. The key to making money is to make small losses and big profits. The right or wrong prediction has no direct relationship with profit and loss.
The latest real-time price layout of the US market!Spot gold is trading sideways at a high level, and the current price is 2919 USD/ounce. The support and pressure levels are high and low, with the pressure level at 2936 and the support level at 2800. Gold opened at a high level in the morning and continued to rise in the morning. At this stage, it is trading sideways. If it is trading sideways at a high level, it will fall. The longer it is sideways, the longer it will be vertical. Focus on the two areas below 2850 and 2823. If these two areas are broken, the bears can come back at any time. It is just a matter of time. When the bearish trend comes, the bulls can be knocked off at any time. If it is given a high level, it is an opportunity to go short. The overall idea of gold is to go short at any pullback point. The current price of gold is near 2919. Go short and look down at the 2800 area. If it breaks, go down to the 2788 and 2752 areas. It depends on the real-time situation!
Gold 4-hour chartThis week, the gold market has experienced dramatic price fluctuations. Although the price of gold has once pulled back due to profit-taking and technical pressure, the overall performance is still on an upward trend. As of press time, the spot gold price was reported at $2,882.85/ounce, slightly down from the record high of $2,942.70/ounce at the beginning of the week, but the cumulative increase this week was close to 0.8%. Although the price of gold has experienced a pullback this week, it is still expected to record a seventh consecutive week of gains, which undoubtedly reflects the strong support of the current market. Although the gold market faces certain profit-taking pressure in the short term, the long-term upward trend remains unchanged. The Trump administration's tariff plan, inflation expectations, a weaker dollar and global trade tensions will continue to support the rise of gold. At the same time, the slowdown in US economic growth and the uncertainty of the Federal Reserve's policy have also provided strong support for the gold market. Next week, the market will continue to pay attention to the global economic trends and US economic data. The safe-haven demand for gold may further heat up, pushing the price of gold to remain in a higher price range.
Technical analysis of gold: Gold fell sharply on Friday night, and the technical form showed a double top structure. Gold fell and adjusted. Secondly, the negotiations between Trump and Ukraine promoted the easing of the situation between Russia and Ukraine, and the safe-haven property of gold cooled down, which led to a sharp decline in gold. This incident also reminds us to pay attention to the risk of gold changing at any time in the near future! On Friday, gold fell and broke through the 10-day line support of 2880, which is a strong support level that the market has generally paid attention to recently. The gold price can get effective support here during the decline, and there is an obvious rebound signal, which means that the shorts are still dominant; Friday closed near 2882, which is also glued to the 5-day line, approaching 2880 US dollars. The current gold price is in an important position. After the formation of double top pressure and selling, the support here will be the key and the watershed position of the market. At present, the gold double top pattern shows that gold has begun to show signs of peaking above 2940; gold shorts may continue; the rebound will continue to be short next week.
XAU/USD 17 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
If you miss the transaction, you can only wait for the next timeThe entire short pressure has been released, and the price of gold today is still mainly buying low. The increase in the Asian market is almost the same, and now it is waiting for the longs in the London and New York markets to be released. The target that the price of gold is expected to reach today is about 2910-2920.
Trading:
Buy near 2900-2985. tp2920, sl2980
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Market Analysis: Gold Price Break RecordMarket Analysis: Gold Price Break Record
Gold price rallied further and traded to a new all-time high.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a steady increase above the $2,880 zone against the US Dollar.
- A major bullish trend line is forming with support at $2,885 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $2,855 zone. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a strong increase above $2,900.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $2,920. The bulls pushed the price above the $2,930 and $2,935 resistance levels. Finally, the price climbed as high as $2,940 before there was a pullback.
The price tested the $2,880 zone and is currently rising. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downside correction from the $2,940 swing high to the $2,878 low, and the RSI is stable above 45.
Immediate resistance is near the $2,910 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downside correction from the $2,940 swing high to the $2,878 low.
The next major resistance is near the $2,915 level. An upside break above the $2,915 resistance could send Gold price toward $2,940. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $2,950 level.
Initial support on the downside is near a major bullish trend line at $2,885. The first major support is near the $2,878 zone. If there is a downside break below the $2,878 support, the price might decline further.
In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,855 zone. Any more losses might push the price toward the $2,840 level.
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Gold short-term analysisFrom the current market, the unexpected plunge of gold not only caused the 2900 mark consolidated last week to be lost again, but also formed a weak daily line to close sharply, and the closing of 2882 made the advantages accumulated by the bulls vanish. However, although gold has lost its upward advantage at present, I do not recommend being overly bearish or chasing shorts this week!
Because firstly, the overnight gold price plunge was not caused by the essential reason, but was stimulated by the outside world, which triggered the market to sell. In this case, the follow-up force is difficult to maintain;
Second, the decline trend on Friday and Tuesday is somewhat similar. Although the possibility of a lower test cannot be ruled out, with the break of the 2900 mark, the support strength obtained by the bulls will become stronger;
Third, in addition to the known fundamentals that are favorable to gold, the current gold ETF holdings are still rising, which means that the market is still enthusiastic about buying gold, so it is optimistic that the gold price will return to the 2900 mark this week.
From a technical perspective, the weekly line has rarely risen for 8 consecutive weeks. Last week, a rising candle with a long upper shadow line was closed, which is favorable for the shorts. However, given that other periodic indicators maintain a bullish arrangement, the Bollinger Bands are running upward as a whole, and the weekly level is generally biased towards the bulls.
In terms of the 4-hour level, after the obstructed decline on Friday this week, the short-term moving average has completed a downward turn, and the short-term moving average extends downward in a dead cross pattern. Among them, the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average overlap in the 2908 area, forming a double suppression. The Bollinger overall intends to open, and the MACD indicator dead cross downward pattern shows sufficient downward momentum. From this point of view, the 4-hour level is still dominated by the shorts. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to focus on rebound selling, supplemented by retracement buying!
Key points:
First support: 2873, second support: 2862, third support: 2853
First resistance: 2893, second resistance: 2900, third resistance: 2908
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2865-2868, SL: 2857, TP: 2890-2900;
SELL: 2897-2900, SL: 2908, TP: 2870-2860;
Gold’s Wild Ride: From Record Highs to Sudden Sell-OffsLast week was highly volatile for Gold prices.
After reaching a new all-time high on Tuesday, the price dropped sharply by approximately 800 pips. However, it began recovering on Thursday and climbed back to the 2940 zone on Friday.
In the final hours of trading, Gold experienced another sharp decline, closing the week exactly at the 2880 support level.
These repeated sell-offs from the all-time high suggest that a deeper correction may be underway, potentially confirming a double-top pattern. If this scenario unfolds, the measured target for the drop could be around 2820.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies against the recent 2940 all-time high.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Breaking news affects the trend of gold.Peace talks:
1. Russian media: Russian and US officials will hold a meeting on Ukraine in Saudi Arabia on the 18th.
2. European leaders: Russia-Ukraine conflict negotiations without European participation are "unacceptable".
3. Trump: A meeting with Putin is expected to take place soon; Putin hopes to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict as soon as possible.
4. US Special Envoy for Ukraine: Russia-Ukraine conflict negotiations may focus on Russia's territorial concessions and Russia's oil revenues. It is too early to say when Trump's Ukraine plan will be ready. Europe will not participate in the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks.
Under the influence of this news, the price of gold rose rapidly after the market opened, then fell rapidly to release the short pressure, and then rose sharply again to the current price of 2900.
Under the influence of the dominant news, the price of gold abandoned the original technical trend, and was influenced and guided by the news, and walked out of the independent market outside the technical aspect.
The entire short pressure has been released, and the price of gold today is still mainly buying low. The increase in the Asian market is almost the same, and now it is waiting for the longs in the London and New York markets to be released. The target that the price of gold is expected to reach today is about 2910-2920. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Trading:
BUY 1: 2879-2885
BUY 2: 2893-2896
TP: 2910-2920
SL: 2870
World gold continues to run out of timeGold prices today in the world February 17: Trade tensions pushed gold prices to record highs
Precious metals investors have endured a volatile week, as dismal US economic data and escalating tariff threats pushed gold prices to new record highs. However, at the end of the week, some optimistic news about the US economy and the US-Russia peace negotiations caused gold to take profit and fall sharply. The downward trend has not stopped today, gold is still trading below 2,900 USD/ounce.
Unfavorable economic data from the US has also pulled the USD down, possibly creating opportunities for commodities traded in USD. Specifically, retail sales in the US in January decreased by 0.9%, in contrast to the increase of 0.7% (adjusted from 0.4%) in December, according to an announcement from the US Census Bureau on Friday. This decrease is lower than market expectations, only -0.1%.
With this situation, although gold prices are currently trending down in the short term, unstable factors from Trump's tax policy or concerns about trade wars can still create momentum to help gold prices go up in the future, especially when the demand for safe assets increases.
XAU/USD 17-21 February 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Since my last weekly analysis price has printed a bullish iBOS. Bias and analysis has been accurate over the last few months.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Bearish ChOCH positioning is denoted with a blue shorter dotted line and is very well positioned to print bearish CHoCH which is the very first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD weekly episode(on Retracement)Through my weekly Episode multitime frame analysis , you will get deep insights .
Market in on rising channel since last month,our eyes will be at 2830 milestone on this weekly candle.
First of all market is n critical channel if any H4 close below 2880 well see 2850 direct and 2830 in extension
Gold Market Analysis | Double Top Pattern,, 500+ Pips Target...📉 XAUUSD Price Forecast 📉
Gold is at the top of an uptrend and has formed a Double Top reversal pattern. This indicates a potential bearish move, especially as the market is nearing a breakdown of the 200EMA and neckline of the pattern.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
Bearish Order Blocks:
💢2880 – After the neckline breakdown
💢2910 – After a retracement to resistance
✅ Target Range:
From the pattern height, the expected drop is 500+ pips.
🎯 Technical Target Levels:
〽️2862 – First support
〽️2842 – Second support
〽️2831 – Key level
〽️2812 – Critical breakdown point
〽️2774 – Final target after trendline breakdown
📢 Trading Insight:
Gold is showing strong bearish momentum, and after confirmation of the breakdown, holding short positions could yield high returns. Stay patient and follow the structure.
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Kind Regards, TrendLogic1 🚀
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Will the dove of peace take off?
A large number of heavy bombs made in the United States arrived in Israel late at night. At 12:53 Norwegian time, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu delivered an important speech: We will eliminate the military capabilities of Hamas. Unless all our hostages are released, the gates of hell will open. All our war goals will be achieved.
From the news perspective, the news that affects the gold price over the weekend is mixed. The good news is that the dove of peace is about to fly, and the bad news is that the war bomb is about to explode. It depends on whether it is just a "talk".
From my personal understanding, I tend to go long on the gold price at a low level. Because the gold price will retreat, this is based on technical support. From the graph, the MA cross pattern is about to form. After touching the larger MA200 support below, the speed of the XAUUSD price decline is reduced. It is just a buffer, not a real stop, and then it closes. At the same time, combined with the technical pattern trend of MACD, the kinetic energy column below is still expanding, and the selling pressure in the market still exists. This selling pressure will be concentrated at the next opening. Release. COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Back to the chart, we observe the price changes, the current price is 2882. As mentioned above, the gold price has not stopped falling significantly, so we pay attention to whether the small-level support near 2860 can stop the gold price from falling. I think it is about the same. This is what we need to pay attention to. The gold price may quickly retreat to this position and then rebound. Then this is a good time to buy.
From the price, it is reflected that it will fall directly or adjust first and then fall. For short selling, some profits can be obtained, but remember that the gold price will not fall all the time, because after short selling, it is necessary to go long at the right time to make a profit.
Gold price analysis February 13⭐️Fundamental analysis:
Bullion traders are ignoring the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January due out on Wednesday. Traders are also ignoring the possibility of a peace deal being struck with US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, who spoke by phone to outline a meeting soon to hammer out the outlines of a peace deal. Despite these significant tail risks, gold is rallying, indicating a firm commitment from traders to continue to hold onto the safe-haven asset.
Meanwhile, traders are looking ahead to two testimonies from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell on Capitol Hill before lawmakers. The release of January CPI data on Wednesday demonstrates that the Fed is on the right track to keep interest rates steady for longer.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is falling and heading towards support at 2883, when closing below 2883 there is a zone of 2836. Resistance is focused on the zones of 2929 and 2940. Looking at the h4 frame, we can see the market's wave structure being pushed up to 2880 and forming an uptrend, proving that the buyers are very strong around 2880 and 2865 is being noticed by the buyers to jump into the market for a decline. The H4 candle that just closed shows that there is selling pressure but it is not clear yet. The next H4 candle plays an important role when it closes beyond 2910, becoming a Downtrend as analyzed and closing above 2910
GBPUSD analysis week 7🌐Fundamental Analysis
The US dollar is under heavy selling pressure, opening the door for GBP/USD to rise as risk-on flows dominate financial markets.
US President Donald Trump refrained from announcing new reciprocal tariffs on Thursday, instead explaining that he has tasked his economic team with drawing up plans to impose reciprocal tariffs on every country that taxes US imports, triggering a risk-on rally.
At press time, US stock index futures were trading sideways on the day. Should major Wall Street indices open on a bullish note and continue higher into the weekend, GBP/USD could extend its weekly gains.
🕯Technical Analysis
GBPUSD is pulling back to 1.250 and is looking for some buying interest towards the 1.272 resistance. The support at 1.250 is supported by two EMAs and a trendline. This trading range is the focus next week and it is quite difficult to break this trading range.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD 1.250-1.248 Stoloss 1.245
SELL GBPUSD 1.272-1.274 Stoploss 1.277