GOLD heading for another ATH? I anticipate that gold will continue rising from the current price level around 2,880, targeting the relative equal highs above. Once price sweeps this liquidity, it will establish a new all-time high (ATH).
However, if price starts to accumulate and slow down, we could see a deeper mitigation, possibly into the 7-hour demand zone or even the 6-hour demand zone below. This would set the stage for a larger move to the upside.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
- Price has broken structure to the upside and remains in a strong bullish trend.
- Relative equal highs above provide a liquidity target for price.
- Price is currently sitting in a 4-hour demand zone, with additional key demand areas nearby.
- Gold continues to rally, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions.
P.S. If price reaches the 6-hour supply zone and starts forming a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frames, we may see a potential downside move from that point of interest (POI).
Xauusdanalysis
Gold at PRZ—Will Bears Take Over Soon!?Today, U.S. Retail Sales data will be released:
Core Retail Sales (Forecast: 0.4%) → If lower than expected, it may indicate weaker consumer spending, potentially weakening the USD ( TVC:DXY ).
Retail Sales (Forecast: 0.4%) → A lower-than-expected reading would signal economic weakness and increase expectations for Fed rate cuts.
Given recent economic trends and previous reports like CPI (inflation) and PPI (producer inflation) coming in higher than expected, retail sales data is more likely to be stronger than forecasted or at least in line with expectations.
Potential Market Impact : If the data is stronger than expected : USD strengthens → Gold declines .
There is a slightly higher probability that the data will be stronger than expected (or in line with forecasts). However, if the data disappoints , the market could react sharply .
If the indexes are close to or match the forecasts, there will be less expectation of emotional market movement.
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise, as I expected in the previous post . Currently, Gold is near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , Monthly Resistance(2) , and Yearly Resistance(1) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . One of the confirmation signs of the end of wave 5 can be the breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to go down to at least $2,920 first after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel, and if the Support zone($2,915-$2,905) is broken, we should wait for an attack on the 100_SMA(1-hour) and the Support line .
Note: If Gold breaks the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , we can expect more pumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD: Better trading opportunities next weekAfter the last short position was closed yesterday, the gold price finally closed at 2882, and the lowest reached the target range of 2880-2875, and the lowest reached 2876. From the trend observation, it is in the position of long and short conversion, so there is a certain support. If today is not the weekend, I will definitely continue to go long on gold and wait for it to rise. But the gold market is closed, and there is uncertainty in the news over the weekend, peace? Or war, which will cause gold to explode in the floating of rising or falling.
I think the money in everyone's pocket is not picked up from the ruins. So there is no need to take this uncertain risk. Let's make our trading risks more controllable and profitable next week. OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD – the dream run likely to continue .. the week of 17 Feb As my chart shows, price has been climbing steadily and comfortably, very ably supported by the 20ema and 50ema. The recent 4 weeks however have seen sideways price action as price bounced in a (wide) 590 pip range (see the pink box).
Earlier today (Fri) price tried to overcome the ATH at 2942.59 but seems to have encountered some serious profit taking and fell back down rather impulsively. We are now at the bottom of that range and also at a region that has acted both as resistance and (now) as support. This makes me cautious about an otherwise text book perfect buying opportunity but my bullish bias is intact. Price is also overextended (check how far above the MA(s) price has travelled) on the daily chart.
Because of these facts, I don’t want to rush into taking a long (also have an open trade already). Perhaps the current pullback will continue before the uptrend resumes. I will be monitoring price action on the H4 and H1 time frames to find bullish evidence and then take another position. The 1st target will be the current (ATH) all time high with a possible 2nd target at 3000.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
I t’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
XAUUSD: A new Bias On Gold, What you all think?Dear Traders,
Our last two Gold Setups did not work out in our favour, and that is why we had to rethink about our bias. Now we expect a continuous growth in gold prices as we expected changes in government policies.
Show support by liking and commenting our ideas that will means a lot to us!
Thank you
Profitable trading methodsDear Traders,
Since yesterday, I have maintained my short strategy on gold, entering small positions at 2919, 2927, and 2939, with a TP set at 2916. Gold faced resistance near the 2940 zone and has since retraced, hitting the TP of 2916 as expected. All of our short positions were closed with a profit when the TP was reached.
Based on the current structure, the 2940 region remains a significant resistance zone for gold in the short term. If gold fails to break this resistance, it could potentially form a double top pattern, which would favor further downside movement. We should first focus on the support at 2915-2910, and then monitor the 2900-2895 region for additional support. If gold manages to hold above 2900 during the pullback, we should avoid aggressively chasing short positions, as a potential liquidity increase could attract more buying interest.
For the upcoming trades, there are two possible scenarios:
1. If gold rebounds above 2930, we can consider shorting again.
2. If gold maintains support above 2910-2900 or fails to break below this range, we could look to take long positions.
Bros, have you followed me to short gold and made a profit? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD - Roadmap for 3003! Read ChartHello Traders!
As we know gold is trading in two parallel Channel internal and external channel and in bullish trend we are watching gold's impulsive wave breaking every time to upper trendline of external channel and retesting only internal channel's down trendline.
we seen a corrective move from 2943.329 to 2864.450 and suddenly gold again hit its ATH and this impulsive move will end at 3003 then we can expect trend reversal with any confirmation.
Support Levels: 2916,2919,2922
Resistance : 2943.300
For Now i am bullish till 3003 with stop loss at lower support
Gold accuracy 99%Gold technical analysis: From the perspective of technical pattern analysis, since the price hit the key point of 2583, the gold price has shown a step-by-step upward trend. In the rising process, although there are negative lines, the number of negative lines does not exceed two at most, and the price adjustment cycle has never exceeded two trading days. After completing the closing yesterday, today has become a key time node for the gold market trend. Whether today can successfully close positive will directly determine whether the subsequent market can continue the strong pattern. According to the cyclical pattern of the previous gold market price trend, this trading day should first be treated as a strong market, and the price is expected to turn positive.
In addition, the current trend rhythm of the gold market is in the callback stage after the upward trend, which is not a fundamental turning point of the trend. Looking back at the historical market data, the change of the upward trend usually requires the appearance of typical turning patterns such as large negative lines arranged continuously and a large negative line engulfing multiple positive lines. For example, the trend change of gold prices at the historical high of 2790 in the previous period and the two declines after being under pressure at 2725 points were accompanied by such significant turning signals. However, the gold market has not shown similar morphological characteristics at present, so it can be firmly judged that the current market is only a relay correction stage in the process of bullish rise. The purpose of this correction is to accumulate strength and create favorable conditions for the further rise of gold prices in the future. Based on the above analysis, it is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy for today's gold market. In terms of specific operations, we should carefully select the points to arrange long orders, continue to maintain an optimistic expectation of the rise in gold prices, and expect the bullish forces to exert their strength again after completing the correction to start a new round of upward market. In terms of point selection, focus on the gold price falling back to the integer mark of 2900. Once the stop-loss signal appears at this point, follow up with long orders and continue to look at the price upward. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2929-2934, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2900-2895.
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD - at support? holds or not??#GOLD. market just near to his current supporting region that is around 2909-10 to 2914-15
that region is most important for now and if market hold it in that only case we can see bounce again. otherwise not,.
Note: 2908-09 is the final area for now and we will go for cut n reverse below that.
good luck
trade wisely
XAU/USD 14 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD: February 14 short-term bullish, long-term target 3000Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2950, support below 2852
Four-hour resistance 2950, support below 2896
Gold operation suggestions: Gold bottomed out and rebounded strongly to break a new high in the shock yesterday. The price of the Asian and European sessions was under pressure and fell back to the 2922 mark and then fluctuated repeatedly. The US session fell and stabilized for the second time at the 2906 mark and ushered in a strong rebound to break a new high. The gold price stood firmly above 2925 and continued the bullish strength. Today, the gold price hit the 2930 mark again at the opening of the Asian session. The short-term gold price experienced a slight adjustment and returned to the bullish strong range.
From the 4-hour analysis chart, today's support below is around 2900-2896, and the pressure above is around 2940-45. Rely on this range to wait for low-price buying during the day. The target is 2950 and then look at the 3000 mark. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 2896. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to buy at a low price.
BUY:2896near SL:2893
BUY:2910near SL:2906
BUY:2943near SL:2940
The strategy only provides trading directions.
XAUUSD "GOLD" POTENTIALLY BULLISHWe have seen OANDA:XAUUSD continue in the strong bullish rush creating higher highs and higher lows along the line. In the most recent time, price broke out on the most recent high (2,883.097) and not only found it as a support zone but also gave a price action candle showing some rejection of same zone.
My take, if this current H4 candle closes as a bullish candle in the next few hours, I will be going long with my first targets at 2,935 and then ride the move with a "breath-able" trailing stop
Disclaimer: Past results does not guarantee future results, trading instruments like gold is high risk
"Gold Bullish Continuation: Waiting for Retest and Buy ConfirmatThis XAUUSD 4-hour chart shows a strong bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. A major support zone has been identified, and price is expected to retest this area before a potential continuation to the upside. The weak high suggests liquidity above, making it a potential target. The analysis indicates waiting for a retest at the support zone and confirming a buying opportunity before targeting higher levels. OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 13.02.2025Market Analysis (XAU/USD)
Trend: The market appears to be in an overall uptrend with a recent pullback.
Support & Resistance:
Resistance Level: Around 2,940 (marked with a red horizontal line).
Support Levels: Key levels at 2,864 and 2,900 (marked in blue and pink).
Indicators:
Moving Averages & Bollinger Bands: The price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting possible continuation or a short-term pullback.
Higher Lows Formation: The price is making a series of higher lows, which indicates bullish momentum.
Price Action:
A strong bullish move has been seen after bouncing from support at 2,864.
The price is currently consolidating near 2,917, which is a minor resistance zone.
Trade Signal:
Entry: Buy above 2,909.
Target: 2,930 - 2,940.
Stop Loss: Below 2,900.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable bullish setup.
Signal: Buy (Bullish Setup)
Reason: Higher lows, price above moving averages, strong rejection from key support.
Confirmation: If the price breaks above 2,920, it could trigger further bullish momentum toward 2,940.
Please do follow, comment and like.
Gold's Bear Trap—Ready for a Bullish Breakout?Today’s US inflation data came in hotter than expected, reinforcing concerns about persistent price pressures. Core CPI rose 0.4% (vs. 0.3% expected ), while headline CPI jumped 0.5% (vs. 0.3% expected ). Annual inflation also exceeded forecasts at 3.0%. In his speech , Fed Chair Powell signaled no urgency in cutting rates, further strengthening the US dollar ( TVC:DXY ).
According to the published US indexes , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) suddenly fell but started to rise again from the Support line and created a Bear Trap .
Educational Tip : Basically, after every Bull or Bear Trap , the market moves against the created Trap.
Gold is moving near the Support zone($2,889-$2,878) , 100_SMA(1-hour) and has managed to break the Resistance line , any pullback can be a good opportunity for us to take a Long position . Of course, you can enter the position in another way ( be sure to follow the capital management ).
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of completion can be the breaking of the resistance line .
I expect Gold to attack the Resistance zone($2,915-$2,905) in the coming hours .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,889-$2,878), we should expect more fall and break the support line. Especially if Gold goes below $2,863.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold is in an extremely strong setupWhile a weaker USD is the main driver pushing gold prices higher, this stems from two factors, including tariff concerns and January's Producer Price Index (PPI) report.
Anxiety continues to increase after US President Donald Trump's announcement of imposing reciprocal tariffs on countries that tax imports from the US. Besides, the US has just released the January PPI index, showing that producer prices increased by 0.4% this month.
"Gold is in an extremely strong setup. As the USD strengthens, we are seeing a surge in gold buying from Asia, including central banks, retail investors, and financial funds."
Shorting gold has started to pay off wellDear Traders,
As I shared in my previous article, gold failed to break higher after reaching around 2933. The selling pressure above, coupled with profit-taking, continues to exert downward pressure on gold. Currently, gold shows clear signs of a bearish reversal, with the price action gradually shifting downward. Based on the current structure, I believe gold will likely need to retrace to the 2915-2905 region.
Our current short position on gold is in profit, and we can continue holding it while patiently waiting for further profit expansion!Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
This is a 2-hour timeframe chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)• Price Levels & Key Zones:
• Support & Resistance zones are indicated by pink and yellow lines.
• Price is bouncing from the 2,886 - 2,884 blue highlighted demand zone.
• Resistance is visible around 2,906 - 2,920 and 2,930 - 2,940.
• Market Structure & Projection:
• A higher low has formed.
• An expected bullish move is predicted, shown by the yellow line and arrow, indicating a potential move to higher levels.
• A break and retest scenario is also visible on the chart.
The price action of XAUUSD (Gold) on a 2-hour timeframe,Key Observations:
• Current Price: 2,928.940
• Bullish Channel: The price is moving within an upward-sloping channel.
• Highlighted Box Zone: This appears to be a potential consolidation area.
• Breakout Expectation: The price is expected to break out upwards, with a target around 2,979.350.
• Volume Data: Visible at the bottom, which helps analyze market activity.
This chart suggests a bullish momentum,