Gold Analysis April 17Another day of half-full D candle increase but today there is a bearish wave appearing
The h4 frame has shown signs of sellers jumping into the market and H1 also formed bearish waves.
The bearish wave formed with support 3322. Breaking 3322 is very easy to form a strong bearish wave but the necessary condition is that the 3315 zone will have to be broken. If 3315 increases, 3338 is the zone that the Sellers are also waiting for. 3354-3355 ATH zone will still have a reaction from the Sellers before creating a new ATH.
Trading zone when there is confirmation
Price zones to pay attention to BUY 3315, 3293, 3275
Price zones to pay attention to SELL 3337, 3354
Xauusdanalysis
4/17 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday, the escalation of the tariff issue significantly strengthened bullish momentum in gold, leading to a one-sided upward move. There’s no need for lengthy analysis today — in this kind of market condition, the focus should be on identifying sell opportunities. A sustained rally like this is almost always followed by a correction, even without any additional catalyst.
Furthermore, today’s initial jobless claims data may provide an opening for the bears. Even if the data is bullish for gold, the likelihood of another sharp rally is low at this stage.
Today’s Trading Recommendations:
Sell Zone: 3350 – 3390
Ideal for initiating short positions as gold approaches extreme levels.
Buy Zone: 3268 – 3252
Key support zone where long positions can be considered upon a pullback.
Range Trading Zone: 3330 – 3288
Suitable for flexible intraday trades based on market structure and real-time price action.
Summary:
After a strong one-sided surge, gold is now in overbought territory. Look for short setups at resistance zones, especially with potential catalysts like jobless claims data on the horizon. A healthy correction is both expected and necessary before any further sustained move upward.
Technical indicators warn of the risk of a short-term correctionThe recent gold price has reached a record high, mainly driven by the escalation of global trade frictions and the expectation of the Fed's easing. Although the Trump administration has temporarily revoked tariffs on some goods, it has threatened to impose tariffs on automobiles, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. The repeated policies have exacerbated the market's risk aversion. At the same time, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and the US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level since April 2022, further supporting gold prices.
Technically, gold prices are facing short-term correction pressure, with the key position below being supported by today's lowest point at 3312. If the opening high of 3344 is effectively broken above, it may rise to the 3358-3370 range again. In the medium and long term, trade uncertainty and expectations of monetary easing will still provide support for gold, but we need to be wary of the volatility risks brought about by policy easing or a rebound in the US dollar. Focus on key price breakthrough signals and respond flexibly to short-term fluctuations.
Gold recommendations for the evening: Go long at 3317-3312, with a target of 3340.
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The decline from 3357-3320 reached 37 US dollars, so focus on the pressure of 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high during the day, you can still go short; the support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, you can go long to see the rebound.
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!The rise and fall broke the pattern of the morning cycle, which means that this wave of unilateral rising from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold will die of overeating and the timid will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing the long position will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The price fell from 3357 to 3320 in the morning, reaching 37 US dollars. In the afternoon, we should focus on the pressure at 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high point during the day, we can still go short at night. The support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, we can go long to see the rebound.
Gold hits new heights again, price correction may occurThe current consolidation fluctuations are completely in line with my previous predictions.
The market has hit new all-time highs again and there is a possibility of moving towards higher levels. The price has now hit the resistance area around 3320, which may mean the possibility of a correction in this area, creating long opportunities. The price has formed a sideways trend around 3220 points, which may be looking for a buy trade signal. In addition to these, there is an ascending trend line below the range, which previously served as both support and resistance. In view of the interest rate cut information released by the European Central Bank today, Quaid expects market volatility to increase. The expected target is the resistance area around 3390 points.
The market may continue to rise. On the chart, the price formed a strong positive line, which indicates the continuation of the upward trend. Currently, its price is retracing after hitting a new high. Some consolidation areas can be seen now, which play a supporting role in the bullish market. In addition, there is an ascending trend line, which has been broken many times before. I think that the retracement area of the previous volatility range may be a benign area to expect the continuation of the rise.
Quaid recommended:
Aggressive trades can be made by going long in the current consolidation area.
Smooth trading allows for part-time observation.
I hope this analysis can help you.
I am Quiad. Seeing my analysis strategy, no matter the past gains and losses, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
XAUUSD Technicals🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: ~ $3,345 – $3,360
Minor Resistance: ~ $3,330
Pivot Zone: ~ $3,305 – $3,310
Support: Around $3,290 (not shown but implied if break continues)
💡 Price Action Insights:
Strong bearish candle broke below the pivot with high volume (big red arrow). This could be a liquidity grab or a genuine breakdown.
The chart shows a possible fakeout scenario – price dips below pivot, sucks in sellers, then reverses to trap them and push higher.
Projection path suggests:
Bounce back above pivot
Break minor resistance
Push to resistance zone (~$3,360)
Confirmation needed: A strong bullish candle reclaiming the pivot on increasing volume.
🧠 Volume Clue:
Notice the volume spike on the break of pivot.
If this is absorption (buyers taking in sells), reversal is likely.
If follow-through selling comes next, expect deeper drop.
✅ What to Watch:
If price reclaims the pivot with a strong green candle, expect a push to $3,330–$3,345+; if it’s rejected with a weak bounce, it may drop back to $3,290–$3,280; and if it breaks below the pivot again on high volume, anticipate a bearish trend continuation.
Gold trend analysis and latest forecastGold directly rushed to the 3358 line, continuing the previous upward trend. The spot gold price has once again hit a record high, breaking through 3350 US dollars for the first time. The decline of the US dollar index is close to a three-year low, triggering a sharp rise in risk aversion in the market, pushing up the gold price. The current basic trend of gold rising has not changed, and the bulls are strong. However, from the perspective of time nodes, even if you are bullish today, you must pay attention to the adjustment space at any time. Gold rose and fell. The European session did not continue to rise but fluctuated and fell. You must pay attention to the second bottoming out in the evening. In addition, the market will be closed tomorrow, Friday, and will not open normally until next Monday. Therefore, today, Thursday, we must do a good job of risk prevention; such as shorting, adjusting positions, and a series of other measures.
A short-term correction or sideways consolidation is a bullish opportunity for the future market. The operation idea is still to follow the trend. Pay attention to the intraday low of 3312 and the support level of 3300 area. This is a strong support area. If it does not break, it will continue to rise strongly. If it breaks, the market will turn to shock. Look down to the 3293-3288 area, which is the 0.5 division level and the support level of the low point of yesterday's European session. If it falls below 3288, gold may accelerate its decline. Therefore, don't be too bullish today. Be bold and be cautious!
Operation suggestions: Aggressive strategy: Try to buy with a light position above 3300, stop loss at 3285; Conservative strategy: Intervene after confirming that the support at 3312 is effective, and wait and see if it breaks below 3293, as the market is changing rapidly.
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!For gold today, the gold surged and then fell, breaking the pattern of the morning cycle of rise, which means that this wave of unilateral rise from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold ones will die of overeating and the timid ones will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing more will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The decline from 3357-3320 reached 37 US dollars, so focus on the pressure of 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high during the day, gold can still be shorted; the support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, you can go long to see the rebound.
Gold prices soar as tariffs escalate!Yesterday, the gold market opened at 3230 and then fell back slightly to 3229.4. After that, it fluctuated upward all the way. After breaking through the integer mark of 3300 during the session, the US market accelerated its rise. The daily line reached a high of 3342.8 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 3342.2 and the market closed with a basically saturated large positive line. After ending in this pattern, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, it directly rose to 3355 at the opening and tried to short stop loss at 3361. The targets are 3341 and 3332. If it falls below, it will exit near 3328 and 3320 to prepare for daily level long orders.
Gold Intraday Buy Setup from Key Support Zone| Targeting 3333 48This 15-minute chart for XAUUSD shows price reacting from a support zone after a bearish structure break. The market formed a bullish candle at support, hinting at a potential reversal.
Key levels:
- Key Point: 3333 – a crucial resistance to break for bullish continuation.
- 1st Target: 3333 – aligning with the key point, a breakout here would confirm buyer strength.
- 2nd Target: 3348 – next major resistance level.
- All Time High zone is above this level, signaling a potential longer-term bullish push if broken.
The current price action suggests buyers may step in from this support, aiming first for 3333 and then possibly extending to 3348.
Based on the chart setup and price structure:
🟢 Buy Setup (From Support Zone):
- Entry: Around 3318–3315 (current price area)
- Stop Loss (SL): 3305 (just below the support zone to allow some buffer)
- Take Profits (TPs):
- TP1: 3333 (near key point resistance — secure partials here)
- TP2: 3348 (major resistance zone — potential full target)
---
🔐 Risk Management Suggestion:
- Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:1 for TP1, ~2:1 for TP2
- Once TP1 is hit, consider moving SL to entry to secure the trade.
It is critical to grasp the entry point when stepping backYesterday, the technical aspect of gold opened in the Asian session and immediately ushered in a strong bullish pull-up. The European session broke through and stood above the 3300 integer mark and entered a strong shock consolidation. The US gold price fluctuated repeatedly and stabilized above the 3300 integer mark and ushered in an accelerated pull-up. Finally, the gold price broke through the 3320 mark in the early morning and continued to rise to around 3350 and closed strongly. The daily K-line closed with a shock break and a long positive, and the daily increase reached 120 US dollars. The overall technical form has completely entered the rhythm of bullish squeeze. At present, all technical aspects are overbought, and short-term technical indicators are distorted. The overall rise logic is greatly affected by the external risk aversion sentiment. The bullish momentum still exists, and the retracement continues to look for opportunities to go long. However, it is worth noting that Friday is Good Friday, and today's weekly close will lead to profit-taking in the market.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's lower support focuses on 3310-3305, and focuses on the important support of 3293-90. This position is also the watershed between the strength and weakness of the bulls and bears during the day. Be cautious about chasing more at high levels. I will prompt you with specific operating strategies during the session, so please pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 3310-3305, and add to long position when it falls back to 3288-93. The target is 3345-3350.
Gold Price Correction Alert: Watch Key Fibonacci Support as Mark Market Structure Analysis:
Reversal Signal:
Gold recently surged to a new high of $3,357.6, then quickly reversed and broke below the early-session low, forming a classic “bull trap” or false breakout, suggesting a technical correction could follow in the short term.
Historical Pattern Recurrence:
The current price action mirrors the April 11 and April 3 market structure — early strength followed by steep intraday drops. This indicates a potential trend cooling phase or consolidation window.
🔧 Key Technical Levels:
Primary Support:
$3,292–$3,294: 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, also the previous session’s confirmed support and breakout point, aligning with the trend channel switch.
Secondary Support Levels (if broken):
$3,283 (green channel line), followed by $3,305 → $3,292 → $3,283 as downside targets.
Resistance Zones:
$3,356–$3,358: Recent high and primary resistance
$3,344–$3,345: Intraday rebound resistance
$3,330–$3,333: European session breakdown level
📊 Trend Bias:
The current pullback is seen as a technical retracement within an intact medium-term bullish trend.
This is considered a consolidation phase, not a trend reversal, providing opportunities for repositioning rather than exit.
🎯 Strategic Trading Guidance:
For Short-Term Traders:
Monitor the $3,292–$3,283 zone for support confirmation. If the area holds, consider buying on dips with tight stops for a rebound play.
For Conservative Traders:
Wait for a breakout above $3,333–$3,356 before entering long positions to confirm bullish resumption.
Risk Management:
Set clear stop-loss levels, avoid chasing breakouts, and stay disciplined amid potential volatility and fake-outs.
Gold Price Surpasses $3,300 for the First Time in HistoryGold Price Surpasses $3,300 for the First Time in History
Just six days ago, we highlighted the historic breakthrough of the $3,200 level for the first time. Now, as the XAU/USD chart shows today, the price of an ounce of gold on global exchanges is fluctuating above $3,300.
Bullish sentiment is being driven by a weakening US dollar and rising trade tensions between the United States and China, which are boosting gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. In response to these developments, Goldman Sachs analysts have raised their year-end 2025 forecast to $3,700.
However, technical analysis is beginning to flash some bearish signals.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
Using the latest data, we have drawn an ascending channel on the hourly chart that more accurately reflects price action since 8 April. Initially, the price moved within a narrow range, but after breaking the S-line, it found support (indicated by an arrow) at the lower boundary of the channel.
At present, there are signs of fading upward momentum in the gold market, as the price:
→ is failing to reach the median line (marked with a symbol);
→ is falling below the lower boundary of the channel.
After a rally of over 26% since the beginning of the year, the market may now be heavily overbought, and a correction could help “let off steam”. In this case, a test of the $3,250 level cannot be ruled out.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold continues to wait for a new ATH of 3381
📌 Driving Events
On Thursday, gold prices (XAU/USD) entered a consolidation phase, fluctuating in a narrow range near the all-time highs set during the Asian session, as investors digested conflicting market signals. Stronger-than-expected US retail sales data and tough comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell supported the US dollar (USD), curbing some of the upward momentum of gold. At the same time, optimism in the stock market and slightly overbought technicals prompted traders to remain cautious, currently limiting a new round of buying interest in precious metals.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold now continues to maintain its high strength, and gold is still in a bullish trend. The short-term correction does not change the upward trend of gold. The decline of gold is an opportunity to go long. The current price of gold is 3320, which is directly long!
💰Strategy
Long position:
Gold is long around 3320-25, defend around 3310 area, and the target is above 3340
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
XAU/USD 17 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 April 2025. You will note that CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to current price.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 14 April 2025, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price.
Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed according to yesterday's analysis by targeting weak internal high and printing a bullish iBOS.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3, 357.775.
Alternative Scenario:
As we await for price to print a bearish CHoCH on H4 TF is would be necessary for price to print a bearish iBOS on M15 TF (this is the fractal nature of markets) therefore, it should not come as a surprise is price printed a brearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold hits resistance at highs, is the bull market over?The highest price hit the 3358 line in early trading, but we need to be wary of the risks of chasing higher prices. Tomorrow is Good Friday and the market will be closed for one day. There is a high probability that those who hold long orders may take profits and exit. Yesterday, the price of gold rose sharply after opening at US$3,230, with a single-day increase of more than US$100. The daily line closed positive, but it has fallen slightly after rising in early trading. From a technical perspective, if the price of gold falls below the early morning low of 3343, it may turn into a volatile pattern; if it holds this support, there is still a chance to challenge new highs. The key support is located at the top-bottom transition level of the 3310-3305 first-line area. If it falls further to $3270, we need to be alert to the risk of a short-term correction. The upper resistance is clearly at the intraday high of 3358
Intraday gold operation advice
1. In the short term, you can go short, target the 3310 line, and hold if you break the position.
2. If the support below is strong, go long 3300-3310, with the target at 3335-3345.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
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Target 🎯: 3130
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2 hours ago
Gold is bullish but not high, but be careful to adjust the risk!
📌 Driving Event
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made a clear statement at the Chicago Economic Club on Wednesday (April 16) that he would wait for more economic data to be released before deciding the direction of interest rate adjustment. He particularly emphasized that the recent market volatility is a reasonable response to the Trump administration's tariff policy, and bluntly denied the possibility of "Federal Reserve support". This hawkish speech directly led to
the expansion of the decline in US stocks and the continued surge in gold.
The US dollar index has risen in the past two days, and with the increase in tariff policies, there will be no unfavorable factors if the game between major powers does not stop.
📊 Commentary Analysis
Gold continued to rise unilaterally in the past two days, especially the full-day increase of more than 100 US dollars on Wednesday, which almost beat the shorts without any ability to fight back. At present, gold continues to rise and fall, setting new highs, and there is no way to see where the high point is in this rally. For the current market, the only effective trading strategy is to go long on the decline and continue to be bullish. If there is no adjustment and decline space, it is better not to trade.
Even if you are bullish today, you should be aware that there will be room for adjustment at any time. If it falls below 3320, it will not be very strong. If it falls below 3280, gold may fall in retaliation. Therefore, don't be too bullish today and pay attention to the risk of high gold prices. Moreover, Friday is Good Friday, and the US market will be closed for one day. Beware of the risk of closing positions after long positions are profited. 🔶Personal
💰Strategy
Long position:
Gold is long near 3330-35, defend near 3320 area, and target 3360
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold Price Analysis April 16Gold price is at ATH and no stopping point is seen
safe trading strategy can only be waiting for retest of strong buying zones to BUY
There is no specific strategy when gold is at the current price range. Today's strategy focuses on Buy around 3275-3273. The best zone to BUY today is 3246-3244. 3313 is a notable Fibonacci resistance zone, breaking this zone Gold will head to the next Fibonacci zone around 3350.
wish you a successful trading day.
Gold has been crazy recently, how to trade it?
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to be arranged with golden crosses upward. It is difficult for gold bulls to make a major correction. Gold's US market directly continues to break upward. Then gold's short-term 3317 will once again form a support. If gold falls back near 3320, it can continue to go long.
Although gold is going crazy now, when you are bullish, you should also pay attention to the opportunity for a pullback. Unless the strength is suddenly strong at that time, don't chase the bullish easily. Wait patiently for the chance of a pullback.