Xauusdanalysis
Follow master candle for today's SELL strategy✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD has continued a strong downtrend. Yesterday's D1 candle closed with a 60-price decrease, forming a master candle that determines the market trend. With the market having a master candle, pay attention to the 25% or 50% candle zones to trade in the direction of the trend. Today's main trading strategy will be to SELL according to the master candle. The BUY strategy will only be implemented when the 3313 zone is broken.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3285-3270-3250
Resistance: 3301-3312-3333
SELL Trigger. Rejection 3301, 3312
Target 3250
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Nonfarm Pay Attention Zone✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD is recovering and increasing towards the resistance zone of yesterday's US session. The 3315 zone is considered a strategic zone for Nonfarm today. A sweep up and then collapse to the liquidity zone of 3250 will be scenario 1 for Nonfarm today. If this important price zone is broken, we will not implement SELL strategies but wait for retests to BUY. It is very possible that when breaking 3315, it will create a DOW wave with the continuation of wave 3 when breaking the peak of wave 1.
📉 Key Levels
SELL trigger: Reject resistance 3315.
Target 3250
BUY Trigger: Break out and retest resistance 3315
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Gold establishes bullish wave. Wait for recovery point to BUY✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD Nonfarm announcement has shaped a new trend for gold price. completely broke the previous bearish wave structures and formed a new bullish trend with the break of wave 1 peak around 3315. Trading strategy next week only focuses on BUY signals. Maybe this bullish wave can make gold reach the all-time high.
📉 Key Levels
Support 3333-3315
Resistance 3373-3416
BUY zone: 3333 ; 3315 ( Strong support zone)
BUY DCA trigger Break resistance 3373
Target 3416
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Will prices stage a comeback? Continue their upward trend?Information Summary:
Market participants currently expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice before the end of the year, starting in September. Earlier this week, the Fed maintained interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%. Powell stated that it was too early to determine whether a September rate cut would occur, citing the need to monitor inflation and employment data.
Market Analysis:
Looking at the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, gold's Bollinger Bands are showing signs of opening upward after Friday's sharp rise. However, it's important to note that a surge-like top opening typically lacks sustainability, and the Bollinger Bands will close again after returning to technical levels. Currently, prices are trading above the upper band, which is not conducive to a direct rise.
The 1-hour chart shows a blunting of the moving averages, and the upper Bollinger Band is about to close. Overall, while gold is strong, it's not appropriate to be overly bullish. Focus on shorting opportunities next Monday, and then consider a bullish outlook after a price correction.
In the short term, focus on resistance in the 3375-3385 range above, and support in the 3345-3335 range below, followed by support near 3315.
Trading Strategy:
Short around 3365-3375, stop loss at 3385, profit range 3345-3335-3315;
Go long on a pullback to 3335-3340, stop loss at 3325, profit range 3350-3360;
Gold (XAU/USD): Supply Zone Rejection & Bearish Breakdown Chart Breakdown:
Supply zone rejection: Gold revisited the “supply zone” (light green/grey area) and failed to break above — a classic signal of seller dominance.
Uptrend invalidated: A sharp rise (steep black trendline) ended with a peak marked by the green arrow, followed by a decisive breakdown.
Ichimoku Cloud test: Prices slipped through the Ichimoku components, reinforcing the shift to bearish sentiment.
Potential targets: The red/green risk‑reward box highlights a short position, targeting ~3,347 then ~3,318 levels (blue labels) as initial support zones.
Strong supply base: The extensive grey zone below marks a "stronger supply zone" — this could cap any modest bounce and keep the downtrend intact.
🔍 Interpretation:
Bias: Bearish — sellers have taken control after a failed breakout.
Strategy: Short on rallies toward the mid‑green/red box (~3,373–3,380), targeting ~3,347 first and then ~3,319. Watch for support at the strong supply region (~3,292) for potential reversal or consolidation.
Risk management: Keep stop above the red zone—above recent highs (~3,380+) to limit risk.
🚀 In a nutshell: After failing to break supply and losing its short‑term uptrend, gold appears poised for a pullback. The next key levels to watch are ~3,347 and ~3,319—where buyers might step back in, or the downtrend continues toward the deeper supply base.
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction
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Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration
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🎯 Key Levels & Targets
Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss
Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340
Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340
A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions
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A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds .
📉 Market Context & Drivers
U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge .
Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction .
⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range.
Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume .
Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility).
Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets.
Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable.
🧠 Why This Plan?
Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height .
Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals .
✅ Summary
Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side:
Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond.
Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255.
Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
Has a bull market started? In-depth analysis.Friday's non-farm payroll report was unexpectedly disappointing, sending gold soaring.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that non-farm payrolls added only 73,000 jobs in July, far below market expectations of 100,000. The weak employment report quickly shifted market sentiment regarding the Federal Reserve's policy path. Market expectations for a September rate cut have soared to 75%, with another cut expected before the end of the year.
This shift has provided strong support for gold prices. Amidst persistent inflationary pressures and disappointing employment data, a Fed rate cut would be a substantial boon for gold.
Friday's data triggered a sharp rise in gold prices on the daily chart, reversing a week-long decline. This is the first sign of a pattern that breaks a weak downward trend. Following consecutive declines, the daily chart began to rise, directly reversing a week's losses. This pattern is likely to continue next week, forming a bullish pattern, with a potential second leg higher. Therefore, next week will be crucial for bullish sentiment, with key focus on whether it can break through the highs and the continuity of the bullish trend.
The bullish trend is likely to continue next week. It's also important to note that Friday's pullback to around 3340 marked an inflection point, a watershed between bulls and bears and a secondary bullish level. Since Friday's close was near resistance, it's important to watch whether the market will surge directly next week or retreat before rising again. If the rally isn't sustained in the early Asian session, a correction is likely to occur, accumulating upward momentum.
GOLD: $4000 on the way! Bulls has the controlGold is on the way hitting a record high since the global tension rising we can see gold creating another record high. Please note that it is a swing trades and may take weeks and months to hit the target or it may not even reach the target itself. This is prediction only so do your own due diligence.
Gold Surges on Non-Farm Data; 3330 Key Next WeekGold was strongly boosted by the significantly bullish non-farm payroll data, surging sharply like a rocket 🚀, with gains that completely "wiped out" all the weekly losses. The current gold trend, as if injected with super momentum, has completely broken the previous long-short stalemate. Starting from the 3300 level, it has been breaking through obstacles all the way up to 3350. At present, 3330 is like a critical "battleground" ⚔️ fiercely contested by both long and short sides.
This week, when gold was still "lingering" below 3300, I emphasized repeatedly that a rebound was inevitable – we just needed to stay calm and wait for the opportunity. As it turns out, our judgment was spot on, and we successfully took profits around 3340, reaping good gains 💴. Now, gold prices are oscillating back and forth in the 3340-3350 range. Based on a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, I boldly predict that gold is likely to pull back to around 3330 next week, so everyone can prepare in advance 🤗
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3350
🚀 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3310
🚀 Buy@ 3300 -3310
🚀 TP 3320 - 3330 - 3340
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Gold in PRZ + TRZ: Is a Bullish Reversal Brewing(Short-term)?Gold , as I expected in yesterday's idea , fell to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and started to rise again .
Today's Gold analysis is on the 15-minute time frame and is considered short-term , so please pay attention .
Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,307-$3,275) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold can complete the microwave C of wave B at the lower line of the descending channel.
I expect Gold to trend higher in the coming hours and rise to at least $3,311 .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,267
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
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Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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#XAUUSD: Gold is likely to create a record highGold will be bullish since the US and Russia tension rises, creating uncertainty within the global investors. As of now gold rejected nicely due to negative NFP data affected the US Dollar. We have now two strong fundamentals views that is supporting our view. Please use accurate risk management while trading gold.
Good luck and trade safe. Please like and share for more
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How to seize the key turning points in the gold market?The market is ever-changing, and following the trend is the best strategy. When the trend emerges, jump in; don't buy against it, or you'll suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is a haven for all kinds of resistance, so don't hold onto positions. I'm sure many people have experienced this: the more you hold onto positions, the more panic you become, leading to ever-increasing losses, poor sleep, and missed opportunities. If you share these concerns, why not try following Tian Haoyang's lead and see if it can open your eyes? I'm always here for you if you need help, but how can I help you if you don't even offer a hand?
Gold did not fall below 3280 during the day on Friday and started to fluctuate in the range of 3280-3300. The non-farm payroll data was bullish, and it directly broke through the pressure of 3315, and then broke through the important pressure of 3335 again. As of now, it has reached a high near 3355. The non-farm payroll data market has almost been exhausted. Next, we will focus on the technical form adjustment. At present, you can consider light shorting in the area near 3355-3370. After all, chasing long is risky, and the technical side needs to be adjusted. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me.
Based on the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance is near 3355-3365, with a focus on the key resistance level of 3370-3375. Short-term buy orders should be taken if a rebound continues. I'll provide detailed trading strategies at the bottom of the page, so stay tuned.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold in batches when gold rebounds to 3355-3370, with the target being the area around 3340-3335. Continue to hold if it breaks through.
**#XAUUSD H5 Higher Timeframe Analysis**
📊 **#XAUUSD H5 Higher Timeframe Analysis**
What we witnessed today was a **tremendous recovery in Gold 🟡** after **3–4 consecutive bearish sessions 📉**.
📅 **Today’s candle** has **completely flipped the weekly structure**, turning a fully **bearish weekly candle into a bullish one 📈** — thanks to the **NFP data** that came in **favor of Gold and against the Dollar 💵❌**.
🔍 However, price is now approaching a **critical confluence zone**:
* 🧭 A **long-running trendline** (since April)
* 🔴 An **H4 Bearish Order Block**
* 📐 The **Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.50–0.618)** at **3362–3372**
📌 **From this level, we have two possible scenarios:**
1️⃣ **Sharp Rejection 🔻:**
Price may **reverse sharply** from the 3362–3372 zone and **resume the bearish trend**.
2️⃣ **Breakout & Trap Theory 🔺:**
If price **sustains above this zone**, it may signal that the recent **3–4 day drop was a fake breakdown**, designed to **trap sellers** and grab liquidity for a **further upside move**.
✅ **Confirmation will come if we get an H4–H6 bullish candle close above the trendline** and back inside the **buying zone of 3375–3390**.
🔓 **A breakout above the triangle pattern** will likely lead to a **strong bullish continuation 📈🚀**.
GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP【XAU/USD】GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP
Gold continues to trade within a large symmetrical triangle, tightening toward the end of its range. However, current candle structure shows clear bullish momentum, indicating the potential for a strong upside breakout.
🔍 Today’s Key Focus: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Market expectations are pointing to weaker-than-expected US economic data, which could trigger strong FOMO-buying for gold if confirmed. A poor NFP report would likely weaken the USD, supporting bullish continuation.
🔑 Strategy and Key Technical Levels:
Watch for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline to trigger Wave 3 of the bullish structure.
CP ZONE + OBS BUY ZONE triggered yesterday already yielded 160+ pips profit.
Strategy: Prefer buy-the-dip entries. SELL setups only valid on strong resistance rejection. Avoid counter-trend trades near breakout zones.
🟩 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3274
Stop Loss: 3270
Take Profits:
3280, 3284, 3290, 3294, 3300, 3305, 3310, 3320, 3330, 3340, 3350
🟥 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3339 – 3341
Stop Loss: 3345
Take Profits:
3335, 3330, 3325, 3320, 3315, 3310, 3305
Gold is significantly bullish, where can we short?The positive non-farm payroll report pushed the market from 3300 directly above 3330, demonstrating overall bullish momentum. Congratulations again, everyone. Real-time strategies are like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. Charlie advises against blindly chasing highs. Trading advice (first hit is valid): Focus on key support levels: 3300 and 3310. Go long if these levels are reached.
~For those who want to go short above 3350-55, only use a stop-loss and feel free to try~ PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
XAU/USD GOLD NFP DIRECTIONThis chart analysis is for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe. The focus is on a bearish market structure, highlighting potential Price of Interest (POI) zones for a short (sell) setup.
Key Elements:
Market Structure: Clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
POIs Identified:
Optional POI: An initial supply zone where price might react.
Extreme POI: A more significant supply zone marked for a stronger potential reversal.
Labels & Notes:
The price levels are marked between 3,320 – 3,340, showing where the reversal is expected.
Interpretation:
The chart anticipates a retracement upward into the POIs before continuing the bearish move. Traders may look to enter short positions around these zones, especially the Extreme POI, which is seen as a high-probability reversal area.
Is the uptrend complete? Will there be a pullback?On the last trading day of this week, gold prices soared, rising nearly $56, driven by the non-farm payroll data. The rally began at 3300 and peaked near 3356. The price has now retreated slightly, fluctuating around 3345.
The current uptrend has repeatedly tested the resistance level near 3355 but has failed to break through. The RSI indicator hovered around 76.8, indicating a gradual flattening of the upward trend. The 3355 high is likely the end of this uptrend.
As this is the last day of a major data week, Quaid believes the current uptrend is complete. Consider a light short position around 3350-3355. The current low has yet to be confirmed, and the pullback is likely to end around 3335.
However, we cannot rule out the possibility that the price will remain within the upward channel with slight fluctuations on the last trading day of the week.
NFP data is positive, the bullish trend remains unchanged#XAUUSD
The current market, influenced by data such as NFP, remains bullish, even briefly pushing towards the 4H upper limit of 3350, reaching a high near 3354.📈
In the short term, gold still has upward momentum and could even reach the previous high resistance level near 3375.🐂
Currently, gold is undergoing a technical correction and needs to begin a pullback to accumulate more bullish momentum, giving traders who previously missed the opportunity to get on board.🚀
As resistance continues to rise, support below will also rise. 📊If gold retreats below 3335-3315, consider going long.📈
🚀 SELL 3335-3315
🚀 TP 3350-3375