Trade Idea: Long XAUUSD (BUY STOP)
Bias: Long
Order Type: Buy Stop
Entry: 3392.60 (above current swing high & clean momentum continuation)
Stop Loss: 3379.00 (below local support & M15 20/50 SMA)
Take Profit: 3430.00
Risk-Reward: ~2.7R
⸻
📈 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
H4:
• Structure remains bullish.
• Price is breaking out of a range with a clean reclaim of both SMAs.
• Momentum increasing, MACD histogram turning up, signaling trend continuation.
M15:
• Strong impulsive rally from ~3290s to ~3390.
• Higher highs and higher lows cleanly respected.
• Price consolidating at the highs—ideal for breakout continuation setups.
M3:
• Momentum is persistent with shallow pullbacks.
• Small flag forming near 3390 = ideal for a stop entry just above.
• RSI cooling off but still in bullish structure—no divergence yet.
⸻
🧠 Trade Logic:
This is a momentum continuation play after a clean intraday impulse. The market has shown strong upside commitment across all timeframes and is now pausing in a flag/pennant above the breakout zone. A buy stop avoids chasing and only gets triggered if the market confirms with new demand.
⸻
🛡️ Risk Management & Execution:
• Invalidation Window (SL-to-BE Zone):
Move SL to breakeven once price closes above 3401 on M3 with bullish structure.
→ This marks a clear micro higher high and exit from the current consolidation range.
• SL Placement Justification:
3379 is just below the M15 demand zone and SMA confluence—if price breaks below, momentum has failed.
• Entry Execution:
If the flag structure gets invalidated before entry (e.g., price dips sharply), cancel the buy stop.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Xauusdanalysis
After the price surge, has the trend of gold changed?Gold opened slightly higher in the Asian morning on Monday and then rose. It basically maintained a slow and volatile rise throughout the day. It rose to around 3383 before the close, and the daily line closed with a big positive line.
The current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a golden cross and extend upward. This signal indicates that the short-term trend is strong. In the short term, we need to focus on the moving average support. The 5/10-day moving average support is in the 3330-3325 area. As long as the price remains above this area, it can be treated as strong. The upper resistance level needs to pay attention to the previous secondary high point of 3438.
In terms of points, the lower support level first looks at around 3360, which is the previous high point of the short-term. After breaking through, we need to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion. The second is the 3330-3325 area support. Pay attention to the top and bottom conversion. If the price falls back strongly, we need to pay attention to the 3300 mark support. This is the current support area of the trend line formed by the low point connection of gold since the rise of 3120.
The upper resistance level is around 3410, followed by the resistance in the 3448-3458 area. This area is the current resistance area of the rising channel formed by the high point since the rise from 3120.
Operation strategy:
Short at current price, stop loss at 3390, profit range 3360-3340;
Long at price drop to around 3340, stop loss 3325, profit range 3345-3360.
Bullish Momentum Stalls as Gold Hits Key ResistanceRight now, we can see that gold’s upward momentum is starting to stall at a resistance level that has historically acted as a strong barrier and triggered significant reversals in the past. Given its historical relevance, the way price behaves here could increase the likelihood of a pullback if sellers step in.
If sellers confirm their presence through bearish signals such as long upper wicks, bearish candlesticks, or fading buyer strength, I believe we could see a move down toward the 3,324 level. However, a clean breakout above this resistance would challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. This is a critical area where price action is likely to offer valuable clues about the market’s next move.
Just my personal view on support and resistance, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage risk accordingly.
Good luck!
GOLD - Now CUT N REVERSE area? What's next??#GOLD.. market perfectly holds our area and bounced as we discussed in our last idea.
Now market have 3382 as a immediate and major support of the day.
Keep close 3382 and if market hold it in that case we can expect further bounce to upside.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse below 3382 in confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀
🔍 Chart Overview:
This chart illustrates the price movement of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on a mid-term time frame, highlighting a potential bullish breakout scenario from a key resistance zone.
🟩 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 🛡️
➤ $3,140 – $3,200
This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times, preventing further declines and serving as a springboard for bullish moves.
Breakout Zone (Current Level): ⚡
➤ $3,340 – $3,390
Price is currently testing this crucial resistance-turned-potential-breakout zone. A successful close above this level could confirm bullish continuation.
First Target: 🎯
➤ $3,435.87
This intermediate resistance aligns with a previously tested high. It may act as the first barrier after the breakout.
Second Target: 🥇
➤ $3,502.13
This is the major resistance zone. If bulls maintain momentum, this area will likely be tested.
🧭 Market Structure & Bias:
Price is forming higher lows, signaling growing bullish strength.
The chart shows a bullish breakout of a sideways consolidation zone.
The upward arrows and curved projection suggest a potential pullback-retest scenario at the breakout level before rallying towards targets.
🧠 Trading Plan (Illustrated by Chart):
📈 Breakout Entry:
Wait for confirmation above $3,390 with strong bullish candles and volume.
🔁 Retest Opportunity:
If price pulls back to the breakout zone ($3,340 – $3,390), this may serve as a solid re-entry point for long positions.
🎯 Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,435
TP2: $3,502
🛑 Invalidation:
A strong close back below $3,320 may invalidate the bullish bias.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart indicates a bullish continuation setup for XAU/USD with clearly defined breakout, retest, and target zones. Traders should monitor price action closely around the breakout area for confirmation before entering long positions. Risk management remains key. 🧮⚖️
Gold surges, what is the subsequent trend?Weekly chart analysis:
From the weekly chart, gold has been pushed upward for five waves from the starting position of 1614. The current market is in the extended wave of wave 3. Gold has adjusted downward from the high point of 3500. The current market is divided into two situations.
In the first case, assuming that the high point of 3500 has completed the 3rd wave, then 3500 will adjust downward for 4 waves. The three-wave ABC structure within the 4th wave regards 3500-3120 as wave A, 3120 upward as wave B, and there is another wave C decline after wave B to complete the 4th wave adjustment, and then the 5th wave will rise. Therefore, after the market rises, pay attention to the C wave decline at any time.
In the second case, assuming that the 3rd wave has not been completed yet, 3500 is still in the internal adjustment of the extended wave of wave 3. At present, the three-wave ABC adjustment of 3500-3120 has ended, and a new round of upward rise from 3120 may complete the last wave of the 3rd wave. Therefore, after the market rises above 3500, it will face the 4th wave decline at any time.
Hourly chart analysis:
In the 1-hour chart, no matter how the market operates, the current market trend is in a state of shock. Affected by the increased risk aversion due to the weekend news, the market rose sharply after opening on Monday. So what will the trend be after the surge? I think that after the rise, try not to chase the rise, but look for high positions to short, and wait for the market to adjust downward before going long.
Operation analysis:
Currently, the upper resistance is 3385-3405, and the lower support is 3350-3330. Short-term operation suggestions: short at the high point area of 3385-3395, stop loss at 3410, profit range 3360-3350, and continue to look down at 3330-3320 if it breaks. It is recommended to continue to look above 3400 if 3350 is not broken.
Is there still room to chase long positions in gold?On Monday, gold prices surged more than 1.5%, hitting a new four-session high. After the European market opened today, spot gold prices advanced strongly, reaching an intraday high of $3,378 per ounce. This robust performance not only recouped part of last week's losses but also set the highest level in nearly four trading days. Market analysts generally agree that this rally is primarily driven by two major risk factors: the sharp escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and fears of a trade war triggered by potential U.S. steel and aluminum tariff hikes. The financial markets are bracing for a thrilling week!
Comprehensive Trading Strategy:
For short-term trading of gold today, the recommended approach is to prioritize pullback long positions with counter-trend short positions as a secondary strategy.
Upward Resistance: Focus on the short-term resistance zone at $3,390-$3,400/oz.
Downward Support: Monitor the short-term support zone at $3,350-$3,340/oz.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3340-3350
TP:3390-3400
Trading opportunities after gold accelerates its rallyTechnical analysis:
Gold has risen sharply and has broken through the resistance areas near 3330 and 3355. In the short term, gold has formed an upward force and has a clear willingness to rise. At present, gold bulls still have the potential to continue to test the 3370-3380 area. As gold rises and breaks through, the 3340-3330 area below has become a strong support in the short term; if gold cannot fall below this support area during the retracement, gold may even continue to rise and try to hit the 3405-3415 area.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3340-3330 support area, TP: 3360-3370;
2. Consider going short on gold in small quantities after gold first touches the 3370-3380 area, TP: 3355-3345.
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakoutAn inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed on the 15-minute chart of XAUUSD. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked, and a breakout above the neckline has occurred with strong bullish momentum.
Price has retested the breakout zone and is showing signs of support above the neckline and trendline. Volume also confirms the move, with increased buying pressure during the breakout.
This setup indicates a potential bullish continuation. The trade idea includes a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the target zone near 3390 and stop-loss placed just below the neckline support around 3330.
Technical Highlights:
Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders
Neckline Breakout Confirmed
Support Levels: 3303, 3330
Resistance/Target Zone: 3390+
Volume Confirmation: Present
This is a technical analysis idea and not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Don't chase long positions easily during high-level adjustments📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, the double high points above the gold price are suppressed at the 3365 line. The MACD indicators at the 4H and daily levels tend to form a golden cross, releasing bullish signals. In the short term, if you want to confirm a unilateral upward trend, you need to break through the 3365 line. Despite the strong bullish signals, as I just reminded you, the current technical indicators are close to overbought areas, and I still think there is a certain risk of a correction. In the European session, I will consider trying to short at the 3355-3365 line, and pay attention to the short-term support at 3340-3330 line below. Later, after the price gets some support at the support level, we can consider long trades.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3355-3365
TP 3340-3330-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? what's next??#GOLD - market broke his tringle line and rise and now again marke trade above his current supporting area that is around 3342 to 3345
keep close that mentioned supporting region and keep close.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse below that region on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold is rising strongly, waiting for a breakthrough.Gold prices soared after the Asian market opened, reaching an intraday high near 3363. However, today's market is also affected by many black swan events.
Event summary:
On the eve of the ceasefire negotiation between Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine attacked a Russian military base with a drone; the United States said it was unaware of the incident.
Trump made a statement saying that China violated the relevant provisions on trade tariffs, and then the US Treasury Secretary said: The United States will never default. This news has worsened Sino-US trade relations.
Due to the sudden black swan event, the sentiment for gold as a safe-haven asset has rapidly heated up, and the price of gold has skyrocketed in the Asian market.
At present, due to the impact of international events, the price of gold has calmed down after the correction, and is currently consolidating around 3355. The 1-hour chart shows that the 5-day MA moving average is currently flat, but the 10-day and 30-day MA moving averages have turned sharply and are on an upward trend, so I think that the current rise in gold has not yet reached its peak.
Market analysis:
The support level in the Asian morning session is around 3300, and the gold price has successfully stood above 3330, and the lower support has also moved up to around 3330; the intraday gold price has a very small retracement, and it is still breaking through the upper side. It is currently trying to break through the cycle suppression level of 3365. After a strong breakthrough, it will reach the cycle high point of 3370. If it fails to break through strongly, the price will fall below 3365 and may touch the current support level of 3330.
Operation strategy:
Buy near 3345, stop loss 3335, target range 3360-3370.
6/2 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood evening, traders!
Gold surged more than $70 today, reaching an intraday high of 3363.
If you held short positions from last Friday’s close based on my plan, I hope your SL protected you from major losses.
📉 Technical Insight:
The rapid rally has triggered overbought signals and correction pressure
Watch for pullback support levels at:
3342
3328–3321 zone
If these hold, price might retest 3400 tomorrow
🎯 Trading Plan:
📉 Sell around 3360–3372 (with tight stop)
📈 Buy near 3328–3318 (if price stabilizes)
🔁 Scalp zones:
3332 / 3338 / 3343 / 3352 / 3366
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone,
So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend.
Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420.
Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists.
The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves.
Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
Gold: Bullish Flag Formation Suggests Further Upside Potential Hello guys, let's dive into Gold analysis!
Gold is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that typically follows a strong upward impulse (flagpole). After a sharp rally, the price consolidated within a downward channel, creating the classic flag structure.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Flagpole: The strong bullish rally in early April marks the beginning of the uptrend.
Flag (Channel): Price has corrected in a downward-sloping channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds, creating a textbook flag pattern.
Breakout Zone: Price is now testing the upper boundary of the flag. A confirmed breakout above this resistance would signal a continuation of the prior uptrend.
🎯 Price Targets:
First Target: Around $3,445, which aligns with the measured move from the breakout point.
Second Target: Around $3,725, representing full flagpole projection from the breakout zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout Confirmation: A strong 4H close above the flag’s upper boundary (~$3,260) with volume confirmation would validate the pattern.
_____________________________________
Invalidation: A rejection from the resistance and a fall below the channel may delay the bullish scenario, potentially retesting lower support around $3,090.
📊 Conclusion:
This setup favors bulls, but patience is key. Traders may consider waiting for a clear breakout and retest for safer long entries, aiming for the outlined targets.
Gold Price Analysis June 2With the recovery waves of the D1 frame, the position of Gold returns to the wide Sideway near the ATH zone
3360 and 3260 sideway 100 price for the current trend. And today it is still possible to break this zone.
GOLD increased strongly in the European session, touching the upper border of the sideway model
The h1 wave is still a more bullish wave. With the support zone opening the GAP of the Asian session 3296 is still considered a strong support zone today. The breakout zone in the morning also becomes an important support zone
In the opposite direction of the break 3360, there is still a zone 3368 as the immediate resistance before the Gold price is on the way to ATH. Attention daily resistance 3396
gold on sell retrace#XAUUSD price have been bullish since tension increases, now price is trying to correct before any further movement.
Firstly we await price to fall below 3341 to sell, Target 3331-3317. Stop loss 3357
Any further breakout above the 3366 will form a strong bullish which will reach 3390-3420
XAUUSD | 1h BearishGold (XAUUSD) 1H Analysis
Currently, gold is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal from a key supply zone. Price tapped into the previous high and reacted with strong rejection, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. This area aligns with a clear zone of interest, where sellers previously stepped in, adding confluence to our bearish bias.
The structure has been respected so far, and price has now broken below the minor trendline support, which previously acted as dynamic support for this bullish leg. A pullback to retest this broken structure or the imbalance zone just above could provide an optimal entry for further downside.
The trade idea is built on a potential shift in market structure:
A double top internal structure formation is visible at the recent high, indicating exhaustion in the uptrend.
Price is expected to push lower, targeting TP1, which sits at the previous strong support zone and aligns with the internal structure break.
Further continuation to the downside could take price toward the 0.5 FIB retracement level and PDL (Previous Day Low)—both strong liquidity areas.
We are anticipating a reaction from these lower zones. If bullish momentum reappears there, it may offer a chance to reposition for long setups later. For now, the bias remains bearish while price holds below the supply zone and structure confirms.
Will the Dollar’s Drop Fuel More Gold Upside After Weak PCE DXY OUTLOOK – Will the Dollar’s Drop Fuel More Gold Upside After Weak PCE and Trade Tensions?
📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE – DXY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has failed to hold the 99.20–99.30 support zone and continues to respect its bearish structure on the H2 chart. The sharp sell-off at the end of May was a direct response to weaker-than-expected PCE inflation data, combined with growing political uncertainty surrounding US–China and US–EU trade negotiations.
🔻 Key Resistance Levels: 99.234 – 99.618
🔻 Key Support Zone: 98.030 – A clean break below this may open the door toward 97.50
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – USD UNDER PRESSURE ON MULTIPLE FRONTS
Trump’s tariff decisions remain unclear. While some deadlines were delayed (e.g., steel tariffs on the EU), no substantial agreements have been reached.
Core PCE inflation – the Fed’s preferred gauge – continues to ease, reducing expectations of further rate hikes in the short term.
Institutional flows are shifting toward safe havens like gold, especially as uncertainty clouds the outlook for both US fiscal and trade policy.
📊 IMPACT ON XAUUSD – DOLLAR DROP GIVES GOLD ROOM TO RALLY
Gold remains supported by:
A weakening DXY trend
A bullish structure on H1 with EMA 13–34–89–200 alignment in favor of upside
Strong safe-haven demand heading into a new month with fresh capital inflows
If DXY breaks below 98.70 and slides toward 98.030, gold could extend its rally toward key resistance zones at 3348 – 3361.
🎯 TRADING STRATEGY (Based on DXY Bearish Continuation):
Prioritize buy setups on XAUUSD if DXY fails to reclaim the 99.23 resistance
Watch for a potential DXY pullback to resistance – if rejected, this would confirm momentum for gold to climb further
📌 NOTE: Traders should stay alert to any major news from the Fed or new developments in US–China–EU trade talks. While the current DXY structure favors continued downside, short-term pullbacks can provide gold with consolidation before another leg higher.
GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS & DOLLAR FATIGUE SUPPORT GOLDMACRO CONTEXT – GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS & DOLLAR FATIGUE SUPPORT GOLD
US-China trade friction is heating up, and ongoing tax negotiations with the EU have stalled. Investors are growing wary of prolonged policy uncertainties.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has pulled back from recent highs, with market expectations cooling on aggressive Fed policy.
Gold is regaining safe-haven status amid rising geopolitical noise and weakening risk appetite early in June.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – STRUCTURE FLIP & RETEST POTENTIAL
A clear breakout above the descending trendline and multiple moving averages (EMA 13–34–89–200) confirms strong short-term bullish structure.
Institutional footprints likely evident from the Asian session impulse candle.
The next upside targets lie at 3,348 and 3,361, with high probability of a retest toward breakout zones.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES & STRATEGY
🟢 BUY ZONE ON RETEST:
Entry: 3,325 – 3,322
Stop-Loss: 3,317
Take-Profit: 3,330 → 3,340 → 3,348 → 3,361
🔴 SELL ZONE (OVEREXTENSION SCENARIO):
Entry: 3,361 – 3,364
Stop-Loss: 3,370
Take-Profit: 3,355 → 3,348 → 3,340 → 3,330
📌 STRATEGIC NOTES
As long as 3,322 holds as support, buyers remain in control.
A clean retest of this zone may present a prime long opportunity.
Failure to hold may lead to a drop toward the EMA confluence between 3,301 – 3,294, where buyers could reload.
✅ Conclusion: Gold has flipped bullish with a convincing breakout. Traders should favor buy-the-dip setups while monitoring resistance at 3,348 – 3,361 for potential profit-taking or short-term reversals.