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Xauusdanalysis

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan | June 2, 2025 🌀 Current Wave Structure On the H1 timeframe, wave 2 (black) appears to have completed as a zigzag pattern, with price reacting strongly after touching the 3272 level — signaling that the abc corrective wave (green) may be finished. Zooming into the M10 timeframe, the recent rally shows a 5-wave leading diagonal, indicating that wave 1 (red) is complete. Currently, price is in the pullback phase of wave 2 (red). 📍 The ideal correction zone for wave 2 (red) is around 3281, which is our key area to look for Buy opportunities. However, if price breaks below 3272, this wave count becomes invalid, and we’ll wait for a new setup aligned with deeper correction. 🔋 Momentum Outlook • D1: Momentum is preparing to turn bullish ⇒ supports the start of wave 3 (black) and a bullish outlook for the week • H4: Momentum is bottoming and about to reverse ⇒ supports wave 3 (red) forming in upcoming sessions • H1: Currently declining ⇒ expect early-session pullback. Watch for bullish reversal signals as long as 3272 holds for potential entries ✅ Trade Setup 🎯 BUY ZONE: 3282 – 3279 🛑 Stop Loss: 3272 🎯 Take Profits: • TP1: 3308 • TP2: 3324 • TP3: 3346 ⏳ Note: Price action around the 3272–3281 zone will be key to confirming whether wave 2 (red) is complete. If confirmed, wave 3 could begin with strong momentum — especially after breaking above 3296.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
2
GOLD AND WAR NEXT TO 4K$Hello traders as i can see gold is trading in a Decending Triangle zone and it had tested Fibo 0.61 ratio in month of may dip as we can see gold close monthly candle above 3280 zone which is a clear sign that big players and banks are still prefer Safe haven we can see US econmey in a bad recession zone unemployment and higher inflation is a big problrm for $ and on all these things Mr. Trump Tariffs is a game changer in commodities markets if we see Geopolitical issues around the world it esculating more war in diffrent regions of the world.. Now Israiel & US have a new biggest problem Iran which is showing us a attack on Iran can be happen incoming days as we can see 6 meetings was unsucessful in Oman for a Deal to Stop Iran's Nucler Enrichment Program which is not good... other then fundamental Charts are crystal clear and showing us a clear view for a New ATH on Gold our Risk reward ratio is prefect for us have a proper research before taking any trade its just an trade idea share your thoughts with us it will help many other traders Comments are open we love your comments and support the channel so it can diliver to many other new traders Stay Tuned for new updates ..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by apextradingacadmey
XAU/USD Gold short to long ideaIn this week’s analysis, price is currently positioned between a few key zones where we could expect reactions. Given the overall bullish trend, we’ll be using the broader bias to guide our setups, but there’s also opportunity for tactical short-term plays. Recently, price has shown strong bearish structure, forming new supply zones such as the 6H supply, which is now close by. If price reacts from this level, there’s potential for short-term sells targeting the clean 9H demand zone below — a solid area where I’ll be looking for a possible Wyckoff accumulation and bullish continuation with the trend. Confluences for GOLD Shorts: - Recent strong bearish structure and downside moves - Significant liquidity and imbalance to the downside - Well-defined 6H supply zone has formed nearby - Market appears overbought, and bearish pressure is becoming more visible - For long-term bullish continuation, price may need to revisit the demand zone below P.S. If gold pushes higher first and sweeps the liquidity above, I’ll be watching closely for signs of Wyckoff distribution before considering any short-term sell setups. Patience is key — let the market show its hand before reacting.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
Technical Analysis → Gold will remain stableThroughout May, the news backdrop, including international trade tariffs and geopolitical turmoil, led to a technical peak of around $3,430 and a low near $3,130 in gold. As of now, the price per ounce is stable at around $3,300, roughly the same level as at the beginning of the month. This shows that supply and demand forces are basically balanced, and prices are maintained between these two extremes. Gold technicals further confirm this and highlight the importance of the $3,300 level. Bearish perspective: The A→B→C→D→E sequence forms a peak high and a cycle low, which is a clear downtrend signal. The trajectory is marked in red, and the upper line constitutes resistance. Bullish perspective: Since the beginning of 2025, the price of gold has been in an upward trend, represented by the blue channel, and its lower boundary constitutes key support (marked with arrows). It is worth noting that these support and resistance lines are converging, forming a narrowing triangle. This shows that supply and demand are balancing and the market has reached a consensus around the $3,300 level, which is exactly the central axis of the triangle. Based on this, we can reasonably assume that the technical side of gold in June may continue to fluctuate within this triangle unless a special event occurs that causes a significant break in the current balance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold retested as expected, what to do next? Gold rebounded from 3308 in the US market and fell to 3272. The recent market is good-looking but difficult to do. The long and short positions are repeatedly washed. The monthly line basically closed at the cross star. Under the fierce game between long and short positions, the performance was balanced. The short-term hourly line is only a single negative line that fell rapidly, and it does not have downward continuity. The high point of the US market rebound is around 3302. If you want to participate, you can go short when it reaches around 3302. As of press time, gold is accumulating strength around 3293. If you step back below, you can rely on the low point for defense. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Trade Idea:XAUUSD SHORT ( SELL STOP )🔍 Multi-Timeframe Analysis 📉 H4: • Price is compressing below the 20 and 50 SMAs. • Recent attempts to break higher failed to sustain; MACD is slightly bearish, hinting momentum is fading. • Consolidation after the big push suggests potential for another leg down if support breaks. 🕒 M15: • Strong bounce into resistance, now stalling at the underside of the previous structure (~3315–3320). • 20 SMA is curling down and converging with the 50 SMA, signaling a potential momentum shift. 🕒 M3: • Price just lost short-term bullish structure after failing to break 3318. • Flattening and slight downward curl in the 20 SMA. • Volume shows a slowdown on the bounce and heavier selling earlier in the day — signs of weakness. ⸻ ✅ Trade Idea Type: Sell Stop Entry: 3308 Stop Loss: 3322 Take Profit: 3273 ——— 🧠 Why This Setup Works • This is a momentum breakdown trade: placing a sell stop just below short-term support (3308) to catch the shift in momentum if price breaks lower. • Price already rejected the high around 3318; if it pushes below 3308, it confirms that sellers have taken back control. • There’s clean room down to 3273 — a previous reaction zone and recent demand level — offering a good risk-to-reward. ⸻ 🛡️ Risk Management & Execution • SL to BE Rule: Move stop loss to break-even once price reaches 3293 (15 points in your favor, 1R). That’s the halfway point to target and right above a small reaction zone that could cause a pullback. • Invalidation Window: If price moves above 3325 before activating entry, cancel the trade idea. That would invalidate the lower-high structure and suggest momentum has shifted bullish again. ⸻ ⏱️ Session Timing & Considerations • NY session opens at 6:30 AM Pacific (PT). • Ideally, this trade should activate and move by pre-New York to early NY session. If price stalls or consolidates near the entry level for too long into the session (after 9:30–10:00 AM PT), consider canceling or reassessing. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by KeN-WeNzEl
Gold price rebounded. Strategy is coming.Gold rose yesterday under the stimulus of risk aversion; gold did not continue the upward trend today, which means that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has been digested. The 4-hour moving average of gold formed a dead cross, and MACD also formed a dead cross. Then gold is likely to maintain the morning support position near 3290 for oscillation. I think we can continue to short after gold rebounds. After the opening of the US market, the rise of gold has been under pressure at the 3310 line and cannot break through. Gold rebounded under pressure at 3310 and continued to short on rallies. The market situation is changing all the time. We cannot always use the same trading strategy. If the price fails to rise, we will implement a short strategy; in line with the changes in the market, we can make profits faster. Operation strategy: Short near 3305, stop loss 3315, profit range 3270-3260.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
5/30 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone! Yesterday, we successfully executed short at 3290 and long at 3250, and also entered the 3316–3328 short zone near the close. All signals were hit, and profits were solid ✅. 📉 Technical Outlook: The 1-hour chart remains in a clear bearish trend, indicating that this pullback is not yet complete. Initial support at 3296 is very likely to break Focus shifts to 3278 support, though it appears technically weak If price hits 3278, a minor bounce is expected, but it's likely just a retracement, not a reversal 🗞 Fundamental Watch: The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index will be released during the U.S. session today. Market reaction is expected to be similar to yesterday’s initial jobless claims — possibly triggering short-term moves, but not changing the broader trend. 📈 Trade Plan for Today: 📉 Sell in the 3316–3328 zone (key resistance) 📈 Buy in the 3238–3221 zone (key support area) 🔁 Scalp/flexible trading zones: 3303 / 3288 / 3276 / 3265 / 3252 / 3238 Stick to proper risk management, and stay alert during U.S. data releases. Trade with the trend and close the week strong! Additionally, on the 30-minute chart, gold appears to be forming a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern. If this pattern completes and breaks the neckline successfully, the price may surge toward the 3336–3352 area, or even up to 3360. For those considering short positions, it’s crucial to control position size and avoid entering too early. Try to wait for price action to reach higher resistance levels before making a move. Don’t worry about missing a perfect entry — even if one trade is missed, it won’t affect your overall profitability for the week. The market always offers opportunities. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and remember: consistency and patience lead to long-term success.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short! 📊Comment analysis Gold rose yesterday under the stimulus of risk aversion, so gold did not continue to rise today, which means that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has been digested, and the 1-hour moving average of gold has also begun to turn downward and has not crossed upward, so the momentum of gold shorts has begun to increase, and gold rebounds and continues to be short. After gold surged, it has been under pressure at the 3310 line and cannot break through. Therefore, gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short at highs under pressure at 3310. 💰Strategy Package US trading operation ideas: Gold 3304-3310 short, stop loss 3315, target 3280-3270-3260; ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Reversal Setup – Inverse Head & ShoulderDescription (Safe for TradingView): Gold on the 15-minute chart is forming a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The structure is well-formed with the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder clearly visible. ✅ Key Technical Highlights: Neckline breakout occurred around the 3303.165 level. Price is currently retesting the neckline as support. Volume confirms breakout strength. Potential for upward movement toward the 3340–3350 zone if support holds. 🔵 Support Zone: 3302–3303 🔴 Risk Management: Stop below recent swing low (near 3288) 🟢 Target Zone: 3340+ 📊 Always follow your risk management rules. This is a potential opportunity, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD H1 30/05/2025 🔍 Wave Structure Update As of now, price has broken above the X wave high and is undergoing a retracement. This is a positive signal, suggesting that Wave 1 (black) of the larger green impulsive wave may have completed. Currently, price is likely in Wave 2 (black) – offering a good opportunity to position for the upcoming Wave iii (green). Within Wave 2, we expect classic corrective structures such as zigzag or flat to form. Based on current price action, a short-term bounce followed by another leg down is anticipated to complete the corrective phase. 🎯 Potential Wave 2 Target Zones • Target 1: 3290 • Target 2: 3272 ❗ If price drops further to 3245, the assumption that Wave 2 has ended may be invalid. In that case, the broader correction could continue toward 3215 (Wave Y target). 📈 Momentum Outlook D1 Chart: Momentum shows signs of reversal to the upside – supporting a bullish bias for the coming week. H4 Chart: Momentum is weakening, suggesting price may move sideways or pull back today as part of Wave 2 development. H1 Chart: Currently oversold, indicating a likely short-term bounce or sideways movement to maintain this oversold condition until H4 also reaches oversold. 🧭 Trading Plan 🔹 Scalp Buy • Entry: 3291 – 3289 • SL: 3286 • TP1: 3306 • TP2: 3324 • TP3: 3346 🔹 Main Buy Zone • Entry: 3272 – 3269 • SL: 3262 • TP1: 3290 • TP2: 3324 • TP3: 3373
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD: Is the Downtrend Likely to Continue?OANDA:XAUUSD is a classic case of a market continuing its downtrend after rejecting resistance within a clearly defined descending channel. This move indicates that sellers are stepping in and maintaining the bearish structure inside the channel. If the downward momentum persists, we could see a move toward the 3,250 level , which aligns with a significant internal support area within the channel. This zone could serve as a short-term target. A decisive break below this level may open the door to further declines. However, failure to sustain this bearish move could result in a retest of the upper channel boundary. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as lower highs forming below the recent supply zone or strong bearish candles near resistance before considering short setups. If you agree with this outlook or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasMgoldview
3
Data is out. Gold is fluctuating.Information summary: On Wednesday, US time, the Trade Court ordered an immediate halt to tariffs; the next day, the Federal Court of Appeals immediately resumed the policy. At the same time, the Trade Court was required to respond by June 5, and the government by June 9. Tariff policies are back and forth, and it is difficult to figure out. In other words, don't expect the US government to come up with any good news. Today, the annual rate of the US core PCE price index in April was 2.6% in the previous value and 2.5% in the expected value. The expectation seen at the beginning of the week was 2.6%. Now the expectation is directly lowered. Is it to leave room for this announcement? If the increase is not higher than the previous value, it is not a significant increase, but it leaves room for interest rate cuts. For gold, the increase is not higher than the previous value, and the short position is limited. This mediocre data can directly provide a basis for speculation on the current economic situation in the United States. After yesterday's strong rise, with a very long lower shadow left on the middle track of the Bollinger Band, after stabilizing the middle track, the fast and slow lines further converged and flattened, indicating that the main funds are also hesitating. From this perspective, today's market may continue to fluctuate within the middle track. At the same time, the closing line is also the most critical, which is around 3285-90 near the middle track. Operation strategy: Today's trading needs to pay attention to the cycle suppression position of 3315-3330 on the upper side, and the cycle support level of 3385-3380 on the lower side. This range can be maintained for scalping trading. If the gold price breaks through strongly upward or downward, the new trend will be realized in a very short time, so traders need to make profits and stop losses in time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold Update – Has the Downside Ended or Just Taking a Break?📉 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAUUSD) I started the day under a good omen – 🎯 my 3250 target being hit perfectly. However, what initially looked like a standard correction turned into a stronger bounce. Gold broke back above my re-selling zone and even pushed above 3310, triggering my stop loss, and worth nothing that we are now back under 3300- I take it like a man and move forward:). ❓ Has Gold finished with the downside, or is this just a pause before another drop? 🔍 Reasons to expect more downside: - Although Gold reversed strongly from the 3250 support, the confluence resistance around 3330 capped the move, and sellers stepped in, dragging the price back under 3300. - The fact that price returned to support so quickly signals weak bullish momentum – buyers couldn’t sustain the rally. - Gold failed to stabilize above the 3330 zone, which would’ve been a key bullish sign – instead, it got rejected. - And here’s the part that doesn’t sit right – Gold came back to the 3290 zone too easily, as if the market wanted to offer a second chance to buyers who missed the initial bounce. That usually doesn’t end well. 🧭 Trading Plan I’m currently out of the market after the stop loss hit, but my bearish bias remains unchanged. Watching the 3280–3290 area closely – if we drop back below, I’ll look to re-enter short trades. 🚀 Final thought Yesterday’s move reminded me who’s boss – the market . But unless bulls break key resistance and hold above, the bearish case still has more to say. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
30
It seems calm, but there are actually undercurrents!Today, the monthly, weekly and daily lines closed simultaneously. At the same time, the PCE data will be released during the US trading session, and the market volatility may intensify. From a technical point of view, 3285 is also the key to long and short today. If gold does not break 3285 today, the strength of gold bulls is expected to continue, and there is still room for gold to move upward. If gold continues to fall and falls below 3285, then gold may begin to fluctuate in a large range. The upper resistance is in the 3320-3330 area, and the focus is on the 3335-3340 line of suppression. Pay attention to the 3290-3285 line of support below, and the key position below is in the 3280 area. If it breaks below the 3280 area during the day, the market is expected to fall again to the 3265-3250-3240 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
1
Gold Poised for a Breakout After Sideways ConsolidationGold has retraced to the 3300 level and remained range-bound for an extended period. This prolonged consolidation suggests that a sharp breakout may be imminent, with the next move — whether up or down — likely to be swift and volatile. Looking at the 2-hour chart, the current price structure is complex. It could be interpreted as a potential double top, but it also resembles the early formation of an inverse head and shoulders, which makes trading decisions more challenging. From a technical standpoint: Moving averages are aligned in a bearish setup, and the area above remains densely packed with resistance. MACD on the 2H chart shows a bearish crossover, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend. However, on the 30-minute chart, MACD shows some short-term bullish momentum, with the next resistance near 3306. For bulls, if the price attempts to rise toward the 3306–3312 zone but then quickly pulls back, this would indicate weak buying pressure, and caution is advised. In summary, short-term signals are bullish, but the medium-term trend remains bearish. With the market in a sideways range, it's best to remain patient and watch for breakout signals. The two trading opportunities shared yesterday remain valid and worth monitoring closely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur3017
XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Gold Price Stabilises Around $3,300XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Gold Price Stabilises Around $3,300 Throughout May, a turbulent news backdrop — involving both international trade tariffs and armed conflicts — led to the formation of a peak around $3,430 and a low near $3,130 on the XAU/USD chart. As of today, the price per ounce stands around $3,300 — roughly the same level as at the beginning of the month. This suggests that supply and demand forces are largely balanced, keeping the price contained between these extremes. The XAU/USD chart provides further confirmation, emphasising the significance of the $3,300 level. Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart From a bearish perspective: The A→B→C→D→E sequence forms lower highs and lower lows — a clear sign of a downtrend. This trajectory is marked in red, with the upper line acting as resistance. From a bullish perspective: Since the beginning of 2025, the gold price has been moving in an uptrend,indicated by a blue channel, with its lower boundary serving as key support (highlighted with arrows). Notably, these support and resistance lines are converging, forming a narrowing triangle — an indication that supply and demand are balancing, finding consensus around the $3,300 level, where the axis of the triangle lies. Given this, it is reasonable to assume that in June, the gold price on the XAU/USD chart may continue to fluctuate within this triangle — unless an extraordinary event causes a significant shift in the current balance. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold 1M & 15M Bearish Breaker Block Setup, Targeting 3,202 ZoneI’ve marked a bearish breaker block on the 1-minute chart (3,316–3,319), also visible on the 15M timeframe. ✅ Last bullish push before the sharp downside breakout. ✅ Price retested this zone, wicked through it, and then sold off aggressively — reinforcing bearish order flow and the potential for deeper downside. I’m tracking this move as the final C wave of an ABC corrective pattern. ✅ The C wave started from the 3,319 high and is unfolding in a 5-wave substructure. ✅ 1-Minute breaker block around 3,316–3,319 — I’m watching for rejection here, which aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement as an estimated end of wave 2. ✅ My current expectation: wave (3) and (5) of C could extend lower to the 3,256–3,202 zone. 🧩 Key Confluences: Bearish breaker block rejection 15M downtrend structure remains intact #XAUUSD #gold #forex #elliottwave #bearishbreakerblock #orderflow #priceaction
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by EWaveInsights
Gold XAUUSD Move 29 May 2025Price Action: The price recently approached the 3,320-3,325 resistance zone (highlighted by horizontal lines) and rejected it, forming a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star / doji). This suggests strong selling pressure at this level. Trendline: The trendline from the recent high shows a potential double top or head-and-shoulders pattern, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal. Support Levels: Immediate support lies around 3290/80 (previous consolidation zone). Volume (implied): A spike in selling volume at 3,320-3,325 could confirm the rejection. Analysis: The rejection at 3,320-3,325, combined with the trendline break, indicates a potential sell-off. The market may be shifting from bullish to bearish momentum, especially if the price closes below the recent low. Signal: Sell at 3,320-3,325 if the price rejects again with a bearish candle confirmation. Target 3,200-3,250, stop loss above 3,335.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard XAUUSD PLAN – Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard After a sharp rebound candle yesterday, gold unexpectedly reversed in the Asian session, plunging over $30 as market participants rushed to exit positions ahead of the monthly close. The move reflects strong technical rejection and potential macro pressure. 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US-CHINA TRADE TENSIONS BACK IN FOCUS Trade negotiations between the US and China are showing renewed signs of strain, especially around tariff policies. The uncertainty has not triggered safe-haven flows into gold—a sign of waning momentum. Dollar Index (DXY) remains range-bound, offering no clear direction. Broad market sentiment indicates institutional cash-out behavior ahead of the weekly and monthly candle closes. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – BEARISH STRUCTURE STILL INTACT Gold is respecting a downward sloping channel on the H1 timeframe. Price failed to hold above EMA 200, reinforcing bearish bias. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 are in bearish alignment, showing continued downside momentum. Support at 3274 – 3276 is a key reaction zone for potential scalping opportunities. 🔑 KEY PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3322 – 3324 Stop-Loss: 3328 Take-Profit: 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3306 → 3300 → 3295 → 3290 → 3280 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3266 – 3264 Stop-Loss: 3260 Take-Profit: 3270 → 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300 ⚡ BONUS SCALP SETUPS Support Zone 3274 – 3276 → Look for bullish rejection for a quick BUY SCALP (Target: 50 pips / SL: 50 pips) Resistance Zones 3302 – 3304 and 3310 → Watch for early rejection to enter SELL SCALP, with extended downside targets. 📌 STRATEGY NOTES Priority: Short-term sell bias unless price reclaims 3310 with momentum. Avoid trading in the mid-range; wait for price to reach key reaction zones. Today’s structure favors liquidity sweeps, so patience and disciplined entries are crucial—especially during London and NY overlap.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAU/USD 30 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK