Gold Price Analysis February 12⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Asian and European traders were cautious ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks to Congress. Powell said he was in no rush to adjust monetary policy and wanted to see more progress on inflation, saying the economy was in a "pretty good place." His remarks helped stabilize financial markets, helping Wall Street trim losses and the dollar recover.
Powell will continue his testimony on Wednesday, and investors are also awaiting January CPI data, which is forecast to have risen 2.9% year-on-year, with core annual growth of around 3.1%.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is accepting the 2941 area as a top, and the decline has created quite clear structures. 2873-2871 is an important support zone in pushing gold prices to increase again. If gold prices cannot close the h4 candle above 2890, it will be considered a confirmation of a dow breakout and a downtrend wave that can extend to 2833. In the direction of gold going up again, 2807 and 2827 will be the zones that the SELL side will pay attention to in order to participate in the market.
Xauusdanalysis
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
XAUUSD trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now XAUUSD ready for buy trade XAUUSD buy zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
enter point (2882) to (2880) 📊
First tp (2889)📊
2nd target (2894)📊
Last target (2900) 📊
stop loss (2874)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
CPI NEWS TARGET (GOLD BIG MOVE ALERT)🚨 Alert Traders 🚨
The gold market is currently stuck in a no-trade zone. 🛑
We’ve identified our support and resistance zone between 2889 and 2879. 📊 Let’s wait for a candle to either break and close above or below this range.
🔻 If the price breaks below our support level, we’ll aim for previous support levels as our targets:
🎯 TP1 = 2860
🔺 If the price breaks above our resistance zone, which is also a new All-Time High (ATH), we can use the trendline to identify the new ATH:
🎯 TP1 = 2905
✨ Best of luck! 💰💪
"Gold Price Analysis: Key Support Break Could Target 2865 and LoThe chart shows that gold (XAUUSD) is currently in a descending channel after a strong uptrend. The price is testing a major support zone around 2883, and a break below this level with bearish confirmation could lead to further downside. the bearish structure suggests more downside pressure. Keep an eye on confirmation signals before taking a position.
If gold breaks below 2883, the first short-term target would be 2865. If bearish momentum continues, the next target would be around 2845, followed by the key support at 28 72. Watch for confirmation before entering a position.
XAUUSD is on structural support on H4As in our recent previous commantary we mentioned our selling order which Tp has been hit with 130 pips.
What possible scenario do we have?
We are still expecting the little correction towards at 2855-2860 if 2880 structural support break 2855-2860 on mark.
On the other hand ,for buyers if H4 Candle closes above 2890 our eyes will be again at 2930 structure.
Today CPI Fundamental is also on alert ⚠️
Gold Price Analysis: Is a Deeper Pullback Coming?Since the beginning of the week, I have been writing that although the overall trend remains bullish, Gold is due for a correction.
Indeed, after a blow-off top to a new all-time high of 2943, the price started to decline and reached the confluence support zone at 2885.
At the time of writing, the price has returned to this support level, and there is a high probability of a break below this level, leading to a continuation of the correction.
In such a scenario, traders could anticipate a test of the 2840 support zone.
My strategy is to look for selling opportunities on rallies above 2900.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD - at DO or DIE area, holds or not??#GOLD - well guys as you know that today is CPI day and we will see aggressive move in market according to technical point of view we have single supporting area that is around 2881 to 2886
that is today most expensive region.
and only holdings of that region can create and resume buying trend again otherwise below that market will again drop towards his next supporting areas.
so don't be lazy here and stay sharp at that region and don't hold your buying positions below that.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 2881
good luck
trade wisely
XAU/USD 12 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD: Riding the Momentum 4H is doing exactly what it should—straight bullish, no hesitation. Momentum is clear, and I’m not here to fight it.
Dropped to the 30M to catch the continuation. IDM has already been taken out, so now it’s a waiting game. Just need price to dip into the 30M order block for that clean mitigation before I step in. Nothing forced, just precision.
Most traders chase gold. I position myself before the move. Let’s see if price respects the blueprint.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
FED Chairman's testimony before CongressGold prices fell from historic levels as investors evaluated Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's congressional testimony and new trade policy statements from US President Donald Trump.
Market sentiment is mainly influenced by two important developments. First, President Donald Trump's announcement on Sunday of plans to impose 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, with no exceptions or exemptions, has raised concerns about potential trade conflicts.
Second, FED Chairman Jerome Powell's hearing also had a big impact on market developments. In his opening speech, Mr. Powell emphasized that the FED remains cautious in cutting interest rates, citing the solid economy and inflation continuously exceeding the FED's 2% target.
Investors are closely watching Mr. Powell's two-day testimony for clues about upcoming monetary policy, especially in the context of consumer price index (CPI) data about to be released. If inflation is higher than expected, market expectations of two interest rate cuts this year could be challenged.
The decline in gold prices from record highs also reflects profit-taking activities after a strong increase since mid-December, with an increase of about 370 USD, equivalent to 14.25%. This adjustment shows that investors are taking advantage of profit-taking opportunities, while reassessing the outlook for monetary policy and trade risks.
25.02.12 New correction for GOLD down to 2783?Hello traders,
Tuesday, Hawkish Signals in Powell's Remarks
Despite the neutral tone, Powell's remarks revealed several hawkish signals:
1. Rising Neutral Rate
Powell acknowledged that the neutral rate has "likely moved up significantly" post-pandemic. This has key implications:
Neutral Rate: The theoretical rate that sustains full employment and stable inflation without stimulating or restricting growth.
Impact Chain: Neutral rate ↑ → Fed funds rate ↑ → Real rates ↑ → 10-year Treasury yield ↑ → Dollar funding costs ↑.
2. Dashed Rate Cut Hopes
Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates before the next election or impeachment. This contradicts market expectations of rate cuts in March or June.
3. Higher Bar for QE
Powell stated that QE would only restart if rates return to 0%. This suggests the Fed will continue QT through 2025, even if bank reserves shrink.
Impact on Gold: Real Rates Pressure
Rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, creating downward pressure on prices.
Dollar Strength
A stronger dollar (due to higher funding costs) typically weighs on gold, as it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers.
Technically, in the 4H CHART,
Price Structure as:
Current Price: 2,894.025 (-0.12%);
Critical Extreme Fibonacci Extensions: 2.27(2,939) as the new high for gold could be the end of the 5th main upward wave;
The target for the corrective wave Level could be : 2783 where be retest and broken through.
In the daily chart, GOLD has made a single bearish signal on the top, this is no good for traders who want to open buy at current position.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
Gold is expected to continue to fall to the 2870-2860 regionAs I Stated in My Previous Analysis,gold has shown clear rejection signals around the 2942 and 2929 levels, indicating the presence of selling pressure and panic-driven resistance. Based on the current market structure, a noticeable shift in trend is emerging, with the price action gradually shifting downward.
Following the trading strategy I shared in my previous update, short positions initiated around the 2910-2920 resistance zone have played out well, as gold has already declined as expected, reaching a low of 2894. If gold fails to break above the 2910-2920 zone, further downside movement toward the 2870-2860 region remains highly likely.
Bros, did you follow my short trade on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Short gold after reboundDear Traders,
After retracing to the 2881 level, gold has rebounded and is currently extending its recovery above 2907. It is evident that as prices push higher, bearish forces are actively countering the move, and some profit-taking is taking place. The candlestick chart shows clear rejection signals near the 2942 and 2929 levels, indicating notable selling pressure and fear-induced resistance at higher levels.
For short-term trading, short positions can be considered within the 2910-2920 range. I believe that before resuming its uptrend, gold may still need to retest the validity of the 2900 support level. Furthermore, if downside momentum persists, there remains a possibility of further testing the 2870-2860 region.
Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD - Technical Analysis [Long Setup]🔹 XAUUSD Analysis on 1H chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- There is no divergences
- Continuation pattern is present which is bullish flag
🔹 Trade Plan For 1HR
- Entry Level = 20386.3
- Stop Loss = 20312.7
- TP1 = 20458.6
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP 1:2
- BE @ TP1
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 1% of your portfolio
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
Gold hits record highsToday, gold has risen sharply by about 50 US dollars. The single-day increase is very large. Our short order of 2895 96 has only been corrected by 4 US dollars. Next, we will focus on the short-term support 2890 and the short-term pressure 2905/06.
If it falls below 2890, there is a high probability that it will not set a new high tonight. If it stands near 2905, it is necessary to consider the next major pressure area 2916-2920 (area). This position was mentioned before during the callback of the 2876 major pressure area, and it is the second major pressure area.
In addition, there is usually a competition for the 2900 integer level. The probability of completely stabilizing in the short term is not high, and this also needs more attention.
Gold Operation AnalysisGold 38-42 short orders were accurately entered and perfectly profited. There is a probability that Europe will rise rapidly, but now it has formed support between 08-04, and the current price order has been entered. According to the daily line analysis, 2886 is not effectively broken down and the bulls are still strong. We will enter the market in the middle and late stages of Europe based on the actual break direction.
Intraday strategy ideas: Long orders will take two steps today. The first step must be stable. Now long orders have been entered near 08. Then we just need to follow the strategy later. The recent market is extreme, and profits must be protected in time, and don’t be too aggressive;
◆Short order◆
Aggressive short at 40.5, short at 47-53, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss at 57. Target: 36-28 break and continue to reduce holdings;
◆Long order◆
Be cautious with long orders, there is a high probability of rapid break, divided into two steps, and the second step is performed for conservative ones;
Step 1: 98-92 long, stop loss 7 points, target: 16-22-30, break 32 to see new highs;
Target: 16-22-30, breaking 32 and looking for a new high;
Gold staged a roller coaster market, with high range shocks becoThe gold price rebounded to around 2929, but then encountered resistance and fell back to 2909. Overall, gold did not continue the unilateral upward trend of yesterday, but fluctuated in the range of 2945-2900. The current upper resistance is mainly concentrated in the range of 2945-2950, while the lower support is stable at 2903-2896. The European trading operation recommends maintaining the strategy of overvaluation and low slag in the range, flexibly responding to market fluctuations, and steadily grasping investment opportunities.
European trading strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 2905-2900, stop loss at 2892, and the target is 2925-2940.
European trading strategy 2: It is recommended to buy at 2940-2945, stop loss at 2950, and the target is 2920-2907
Gold reaches the long position as expected◆Short order◆
Aggressive 30 short, with 7 points loss, short at 40-46-52 after loss, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss 57. Target: 2898-82 break and continue to reduce holdings;
◆Long order◆
Long orders have been entered in the late European session, and positions have been reduced and covered. There is a probability that it will fall again in the future, and we are ready for other strategies;
Aggressive 78 long, 72-66 long, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss 60. Target: 90-98;
Pattern analysis: long orders have been entered, and positions are now reduced with insurance. The US market is likely to fall further, so continue to buy;
Intraday strategy ideas: Both short orders made a lot of money, and the lowest price of long orders after several attempts was 81. There is a probability that it will fall again when entering the US market. Be cautious with long orders, and there will definitely be a 100-meter dive in the near future;