Gold opens low, beware of gap filling!Today, under the influence of various negative news over the weekend, gold opened sharply lower and directly broke through 3300, reaching a low of 3259. The most important point is that China and the United States have agreed to establish a trade consultation mechanism, and will finalize the relevant details as soon as possible. A joint statement reached at the talks will be issued on May 12, which is considered to be substantial progress.
This round of gold surge was caused by the trade war. Before April, the rise of gold was strictly based on the technical aspects, which was relatively easy to grasp. The rise and fall of the technology was more reliable, and the technical trend was more regular. In April, gold prices rose sharply due to the tariff war, and the market started to rise and fall sharply, mainly driven by news factors. The large amplitude and many opportunities also increased the risks. It was not so easy to grasp, and it was easy to make money and lose money. This is the coexistence of risks and profits.
Last week, gold failed to reach a high for the second time and fell sharply. The short-term trend turned bearish, but it is still bullish in the medium and long term. On the one hand, geopolitical conflicts have not decreased under the great changes that have not been seen in a century, trade frictions are still there, and the global economy is at risk of recession; on the other hand, the credit of the US dollar has declined, and the US Reserve has entered a cycle of interest rate cuts. Amid various risk aversion sentiments and capital seeking profits, gold is still a very good and trustworthy variety.
The current decline is just an adjustment to the previous crazy rise in gold. This year, the gold price rose from 2600-3500 to 900 US dollars in just four months, and it was only 800 US dollars in the whole of last year. Capital's short-term profit flight is also part of the reason. If the increase is too high, the callback range must be large. The daily and weekly lines deviate seriously from the short-term moving average and the 100-day moving average, so gold may fluctuate widely at a high level in the future. Wait until the market adjustment is over, and the next interest rate cut by the US Reserve is an opportunity
Today, gold opened sharply lower. Pay attention to the gap filling. The low level in the morning fluctuated sideways. Pay attention to the rebound strength in the afternoon. The upper pressure is 3290-3292.
According to the previous operating rhythm, the European session rebounded after falling in the morning. If the European session rebounded to fill the gap, it would rely on the 3320-3325 pressure to go short, and then gold would be a volatile market.
If the European session did not fill the gap, but was suppressed below 3292 and fell, then the rebound could be shorted for the second time. If the European session broke the low and fell and weakened, gold would continue to be bearish, and the support below was 3222-3200.
