GOLD Bulls Taking Over (DAILY)GOLD bulls seem to be taking over, as shown by the bullish engulfing candle and increase in buying momentum. We also have confirmation of the trend line and bottom of the pitchfork area acting as support. Best target looks to be the bottom of the channel that gold broke out of before, which might act as resistance.
Xauusddaily
XAU/USD Complete Price RangeXAU/USD Complete Price Range then will sideways or make some correction to contineu bearish trend
Watch and wait price action in vital price & area
Write trading planing and exit planing to backup your trade if your analysis going wrong
Always write exit planing first before you go in market calculate the risk according to which you are able to receive it
limit your losses and let gains run
GOLD - Fourteen hundredGold had every chance to tag to the purple trendline while the dollar rallied.
That never happened though. Gold's intermediate corrections was getting shorter and shorter during the last year. The reason is the central banks' money printing since 2009. I think that money landed in the stock market first and in the last year it was migrating into the precious metal sector.
Notice how shallow was the gold drop despite the dollar rally :
This long call is based on the Heikin Ashi daily chart : we are printing the 3rd green candle with MACD crossing over and RSI 6 intermediate correction signals.
A daily close above 1358-1360 will signal the breakout and a clear path to 1400.
First target is 1400 in the next 3 weeks.
Levels to watch:
20 EMA
Blue trendline
100 SMA
1360 Level
Gold - Playing The Regression Channel: Long PositionsWe have some low risk long opportunities presenting themselves in XAUUSD. As one can see from the chart we are still in a slow, but steady uptrend, we recently kissed the bottom bollinger band in conjunction with being at the bottom of the lower regression channel these indicate that long positions are presenting themselves.
XAUUSD Short-Mid Term Long Positions at 1306!Technical Anlaysis
Great opportunity to get some optimum positions for gold 0.08% longs, with minimum draw-down and substantially high reward.
Looks like a compression range is beginning to emerge in the daily, lots of volatility with the uncertainty with Iran. Looking to minimise my risk and enter around the 1306 level, with stops safely placed at the key 1300 S/R and psychological level.
XAUUSD: Ranging between key R/S. a breakout is imminent.Chart explains everything.
Note: These are simply my personal views and analysis which may not fit with yours. Please use these as education or another views. Only rely on your own analysis. Always remember Risk Management.
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XAU/USD tests dominant channel downXAU/USD tests dominant channel down
In result of the surge that was triggered by two disappointing macroeconomic data releases as well as the rising 55- and 100-hour SMAs the price of yellow metal ended up at the 1,273.00 mark. The further advance seems unlikely, as the exchange rate faces resistance formed by the monthly PP and the upper trend-line of a four-month long dominant descending channel that supposedly started to transform into rising wedge formation. However, the overall market sentiment as well as allocation of pending orders suggest that rise of the bullion might continue. In case the pair crosses the above barriers, it will be free to climb up to the 1,287.15 level, which represents location of the 100-day SMA.
XAU/USD relentlessly tries to reach monthly R1 at 1,298.00XAU/USD relentlessly tries to reach monthly R1 at 1,298.00
Despite release of better than expected American housing data the bullish pressure prevailed. To certain extent, the surge was supported by a combination of the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs in conjunction with the monthly PP. However, the fact that the pair managed to break through the upper boundary of medium-term ascending channel and practically reach the monthly R1 at 1,298.01 suggests that traders were also concerned about discussion and vote on the new tax reform plan.
At the moment, it is too early speak about dissolution of the above pattern, as it is possible to simply adjust its boundaries. In that case, the exchange rate is expected to start moving in the opposite direction and trying to reach the weekly PP at 1,287.22, which soon will become additionally strengthened by the rising 55-hour SMA.
XAU/USD trades below moving averages XAU/USD trades below moving averages
Using support provided by the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs together with the monthly PP, the exchange rate managed to climb to the weekly R1 located at 1,287.92. In other words the pair has practically managed to form the third reaction high of a four-week long ascending channel. However, a release of widely expected American data created a momentum that enabled bears to return the rate back to the weekly PP at 1,277.10. Hence, all four abovementioned support levels turned into resistance. As they are all concentrated around the 1,279.00 mark, it is unlikely that bulls will manage to push the pair through them without new strong upside momentum. There is a need to notice that the similar situation has already happened in beginning of the week when the gold failed to climb upstairs after a solid strengthening of the buck.
XAU/USD falls by 1.1% XAU/USD falls by 1.1%
The exchange rate dropped by almost 1.1% on Friday in result of 10 minutes trade that moved about 4 million ounces of the precious metal. Nevertheless, the drop was generally anticipated, as it illustrated a breakout from the rising wedge formation on daily chart. In any case, there are two main options for further movement of the pair. As majority of traders remain bullish on the pair, they might try to elevate it to the pre-fall 1,283.90 level. However, the fact road to the north is obstructed by the weekly PP and the 200-hour SMA as well as the 61.8% retracement level and the monthly PP, the pair is likely to form either a flag or pennant pattern and then resume the downfall. Such scenario would also be in line with trade pattern theory.
XAU/USD breaks from falling wedgeMorning outlook - XAU/USD breaks from falling wedge
In result of the previous trading session, the exchange rate made a breakout from the falling wedge formation. The surge was not sharp, as the pair was slowed down by a combination of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. In first half of the day the pair is expected to test the 200-hour SMA near 1,284.77. The strength of this moving average most probably will force the pair to temporarily retreat.
In larger perspective the yellow metal might notably recover against the buck, as the above breakout simultaneously signified a rebound from the bottom trend-line a one-month long ascending channel. In that case, there the pair is unlikely to reach the support line of a long term dominant ascending channel in the foreseeable future.
XAUUSD : WATERFALLSHi traders!
(This trade was already shared with students)
I needed confirmation of the down move before going into this trade. Now that gold clearly broke support and close under it is what we needed. USDJPY also showed us the way! We will have a classic retracement of the up move with gold going for those FIB extension
Here is what I'm thinking :
XAUUSD SHORT:
ENTRY : 1283.77
SL : 1289.67
TP : 1260.26
Trade safe!
Disclaimer: This is my trading analysis, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
XAU/USD surges in two channelsMorning outlook - XAU/USD surges in two channels
Due to increase of the US Consumer Price Index, the yellow metal continued to advance against the buck simultaneously in two ascending channels. On the one hand, the pair is experiencing pressure from the 55- and 100-hour SMAs, which are continuously pushing it to the top. On the other hand, the pair faces a notable resistance level formed by the monthly PP at 1,304.85, which it has already failed to bypass once.
There is a need to notice that intersection between the above two channels reminds another pattern, i.e. rising wedge. If this assumption is true, the pair has to make a breakout to the bottom somewhere between the 1,305 and 1,310 marks. However, if macroeconomic background will remain unfavourable, the rate most likely is going to surge to the 1,314 level.
XAUUSD : POWER TRIP!Hi traders,
Here we have a nice MM move with that daily wick after NFP happened. I always try to keep a close eye on this type of movement as it changes trends. This makes this entry a very nice RR trade.
MACD divergence
MM daily wick
Heavy support at current price level
Here's what I think :
XAUUSD LONG:
ENTRY : 1273.87
SL : 1259.93
TP : 1315.70
Trade safe!
Disclaimer: This is my trading analysis, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
XAUUSD: BURIED ALIVE!Hi traders!
I posted the chart yesterday but didn't fully post my analysis here. As I mentionned, gold broke his uptrend channel again. DXY making still pushing upwards.
I leave my chart to do the rest of the talking.
We are already in this trade like, here's what I suggested :
XAUUSD SHORT:
ENTRY : 1301
SL : 1308
TP : 1274
Trade safe!
Disclaimer: This is my trading analysis, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
XAUUSD : JUST FOMC THINGS..Hi traders,
If you been following me you saw the call I made before the FOMC news dropped. We are already off in profit but I still will put up the analysis.
We still need a break of the red line in the chart. If you look at the WEEKLY timeframe, a very nice bearish wick is now there and the MACD is about to go HAM on us.
SL is already in profit
Here was my take :
XAUUSD SHORT :
ENTRY : 1311.67$
SL : 1321.21$
TP 1 : 1236.82$
Trade safe!
Disclaimer: This is my trading analysis, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
XAU/USD continues to move downwardsMorning outlook - XAU/USD continues to move downwards
In accordance with expectations, the surge of the gold price did not last for long, as the pair was turned around by the monthly PP located at the 1,300.00 level, which transformed from support into resistance.
At the moment, there are certain signs that the rate is going to try to climb to the top again. However, this new attempt is expected to fail due to presence of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs plus the updated weekly PP, which altogether additionally strengthen the above resistance level.
In addition to that, the further deprecation of the bullion against the gold is expected from a daily perspective, as the rate is fluctuating in a junior descending channel, which forms a part of a larger long-term ascending channel.
XAUUSD : GIVING US THAT OLD.. ONE, TWO STEP!Hi traders!
Gold may give us the same kind of pattern we saw on that last bull run it had before falling down to the abyss. MM looks again this week to flush every current long out before going back to its bullish ways.
We have FOMC decision this week... and last time we had a Fed intervention in the market, we saw gold swing hard both ways (25$ swings) before going up. We will probably not see that hard of a swing but with FOMC right around the corner, we never know.
Gold has one nice support now @ 1298. It may or not go there. I'm taking a safe approach of putting a buy limit right at a previous bull candle daily wick.
MACD is still bearish and RSI is slowly going down too. Generally giving us a sign a downtrend still present for this pair.
Here is the scenario I'm suggesting :
XAUUSD BUY LIMIT :
ENTRY : 1304.22$
SL : 1295.26$
TP 1 : 1337.40$
TP 2 : TRAIL
Let's see how this week goes!
Trade safe!
Disclaimer: This is my trading analysis, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
Gold long continued.Today we saw a "drop" of $5. Of course that's all it takes for the bears to flood TV with their sub 1200 predictions (they'd probably just be happy to close their current underwater positions at BE).
One of the main issues people are having, is that they think this rally is solely due to the tensions with North Korea. As we've all seen with political tensions like this, every gold spike is given back. These "events" do not ever lead to held gains. To anyone who wasn't blind, you could clearly see there was a lot of momentum building under gold, and it was only a matter of time before we breached above the 1300 level. This was a very obvious trade, as long as you didn't have a predetermined bias.
If this was purely a safe-haven trade, then we would have seen a stock market decline, and we would have seen heavy buying in the yen. If you take a look at the USDJPY, we did not make a new low in this currency pairing, yet we made a significant new high on the year in gold. That alone should tell you this run was not due the "NK scare".
The USD, along with fiat currencies in general, are dying. With China banning ICO's, the country will turn to gold as an alternative to fiat currency. This baby gold bull during 2017 is due to people wanting to get out of fiat currencies (especially the USD), not because NK is doing what it's always done.
With that being said, there are always small corrections during bull runs, and this bull run won't be an exception. IF we are to drop, and that is an IF, the two main buying zones will be the blue boxes on my chart. (1318-1322, and 1303-1307)
GL to both sides of this trade.
XAUUSD : DEAR BEARS....Hi traders!
What is this? Going along with the USD? Oh it seems like we are my friends! MACD just crossed and DXY is finishing strong this wednesday close. RSI is lowering and all other pairs are following suit.
This is for the short term but it seems that USD will be taking some breather and regain some of those losses before going back to that weakness that we came so accustomed to!
XAUUSD SHORT :
ENTRY : 1322.28$
SL : 1328.88$
TP 1 : 1308
TP 2 : 1300 OR 1296 (ON A QUICK DIP)
Trade safe!
Disclaimer: This is my trading analysis, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
XAUUSD : THE BULLS GIFTED US YET AGAIN!Hi traders!
Last week, XAUUSD hit our TP so perfectly... it kind of hurts!! Price went up to 1356 before dropping more than 200 pips.
Now, since we had the retracement I was waiting for, we are going long yet again for the third time. Nothing has really changed in the forex market
DXY still weak
USDJPY still weak
RSI topped and is lower
MACD same
XAUUSD LONG :
ENTRY : 1338.42
SL : 1329.87
TP 1 : 1374.45
Trade safe!