XAU/USD finally breaks weekly R1Morning outlook - XAU/USD finally breaks weekly R1
The way the yellow metal moved yesterday gives us an important clue for the further analysis. First, the buck failed to drag the pair down through the 55-hour SMA. Second, the gold managed to recover and break through the weekly R1 at 1,339.42. These facts suggest that the today the exchange rate most likely will fail once again to sneak to the bottom.
And in the meantime, it has a good chance to try to reach the monthly R1 at 1,348.36, using the abovementioned support. However, both these assumptions hold true until a release of the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 GMT. An effect from this data release might either help the bullion to jump even higher, or will strengthen the buck and push the pair closer to the 100-hour SMA.
Xauusddaily
XAU/USD slips to 1,303.75Morning outlook - XAU/USD slips to 1,303.75
Yesterday the American Dollar continued to strengthen against the yellow metal and even managed to form a little descending triangle, whose lower support line matched with the upper boundary of a former long-term ascending channel.
In the early Thursday morning the bullion lost another 0.33% and slipped below the 100-hour SMA. On the one hand, a forming downtrend suggests that the plunge can continue at least until the 200-hour SMA near 1,295.80. On the other hand, over the last three days appreciation of the buck was mainly driven by various fundamental events.
In contrast, today there will be no significant data releases that could give the Dollar a necessary impulse for the further surge.
XAUUSD : ALREADY MADE 250 PIPS? LET'S DO IT AGAIN!Hi traders,
Following our super successful LONG. We had all positive USD news, which gave DXY a nice breather. It gave us a nice entry also.
Refer to previous analysis to understand where this is going. Refer to this chart also!
XAUUSD LONG :
ENTRY : 1306.08
TP 1 : 1326.06
TP 2 : 1336.36
TP 3 : TRAIL!
SL : 1298.86
Trade safe!
XAU/USD surges above 1,316.50Morning outlook - XAU/USD surges above 1,316.50
During the whole previous trading day, the yellow metal was continuing to appreciate against the US Dollar. The only barrier that managed to stop the surge was a combined resistance level formed by the monthly R2 at 1,315.30 and the weekly R3 at 1,316.51.
On the one hand, today the buck should try to restore some of the lost positions. On the other hand, the bullion now has a new, solid support level, which it can use to try to reach a new target, such as the monthly R3 at 1,359.22 or a long-term ascending channel's upper boundary near 1.350.00. Even though the market sentiment remains mixed, the second option in the nearest future seems a more viable scenario.
But in the meantime, there is also a need to take into account an effect from escalation of the North Korean crisis and a release of data on the US CB Consumer Confidence today at 14:00 GMT as the subsequent weekly releases.
XAU/USD heads towards 1,292.91Morning outlook - XAU/USD heads towards 1,292.91
The way the bullion moved yesterday confirmed that a theory that a support area formed by a combination of the 200-hour SMA and the weekly PP near 1,284.70 was a stronger barrier than the 55- and 100-hour SMAs.
As a result, the pair broke to the top and has practically reached the monthly R1 at 1,292.91.
Most probably, today the yellow metal is going to repeat this attempt.
Such assumption is supported by an aggregate of technical indicators, which sends a strong buy signal.
However, even if the gold will lose some value while waiting for beginning of the Jackson Hole Symposium, the drop is unlikely to go below the above combined support level.
XAUUSD : UPDATE TO THE SUCCESFUL LONG !!Hi traders,
I found that it was way too easy to short at 1300, a triple top and a change of trend? Hell no! Now we are back above 1290 which is key. PA couldn't close under our blue zone which is bullish to me.
The same analysis applies here but I'll link it to our previous setup
Trade safe!
XAUUSD : IT DID FALL DOWN! (UPDATE)Hey guys,
This is more of an update to a previous analysis we had. We had a good short on gold before we went long on the rebound. It is now clear that gold broke to the downside and it's trying to go for our new zone highlighted in our blue rectangle. We could see a bounce off the last FIB or it could go straight down to our preferred zone. PA is always key.
We need to see where this lands before entering the market with a trade. I'll keep you guys posted.
For quicker updates, follow me on Telegram or Instagram
Trade safe!
This was an update to this chart :
XAUUSD -Gold/Dollar: Possibilities AnalysisSince price has been following upward to retest resistance (down/green) trendline, it can attempt to test other resistance: the past high swing & resistance at that price as is (blue line).
Test of these prices resisted may be needed to ever start a short condition, yet Daily TF:(Following image) shows attempt at resistance (MBL slightly upward (yellow line), but green/red moving down), so I assume price will rise higher most likely to later form a better sell opportunity as it now slightly consolidates to "subtrendline" or the uptrendline.
Waiting for GOLD to Form a Head & Shoulders Pattern Before ShortAs you can see from this Daily chart, Gold has been in a short/medium term bull trend recently.
This bulltrend could potentially be running out of steam here - as you can see from the Fibonacci I have applied to the bear trend before it, Gold has now reached its 61% retracement area.
It pulled back from the 61% Fibonacci area (around $1255~) quite rapidly and it wasnt for the close of the last daily candle being quite bullish (a hammer) I would have been short first thing Monday.
However because Gold managed to pull back right at the end of the day (if you check the 4hourly you will see it only pulled back in the last 4 hours of trading), meaning the body of the daily candle did actually close above the outer trendline - as you can see on the chart.
This gives me a feeling Gold will pullback up slightly, hitting the Resistance of the left shoulder (blue dotted line) forming a right shoulder, indicating the end of the recent bull trend/start of its next leg down.
If Gold does form a head and shoulders pattern, I will be looking for a daily close below the Outer Trendline to enter short.
Probably with an inital target of $1225 or the next blue dotted line of support - but I do belive $1200 and below would not be far behind once these levels have been breached!
We will have to wait and see what the price action does, remember anything can happen in the market!
Will update more next week.
Gold Daily Analysis 2-26-17Gold has finally gotten a break above the 1250 level. We are approaching overbought levels so I am expecting some pullback to the 1240 area before further upside. There is only slight RSI divergence which I do not believe is enough pressure to get us back under the support. The bullish sentiment on Gold and Yen have bee strong. As long as equities keep topping out I see more money flowing toward safe havens.
XAUUSD Weekly View: Remain bearish testing major resistanceSell below 1250.00. Stop loss at 1310.00. Take profit at 1125.00.
Reason for the trading strategy:
We remain bearish below 1250 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance) for a push down to 1125 support (swing low support, Fibonacci extension, Fibonacci retracement).
RSI (34) has made a bullish exit and warns off a potential further rise.
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing major resistance at 94% where we expect a reaction from.