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XAU/USD 11-15 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024 Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation. The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions. In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase. This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning repositioned significantly nearer to recent price action subsequently printing a bearish CHOCH. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024. Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355 Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 08 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355 Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react from either the discount of 50% internal equilibrium level (EQ) or the M15 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe is in a bullish pullback phase, it's no surprise that the M15 chart has printed a bullish iBOS. However, with H4 price trading up to premium of 50% internal EQ and reacting from that premium zone, it wouldn’t be surprising if the price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As highlighted in my analysis dated 31 October 2024: We should remain aware that the daily timeframe has been showing early signs of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation, suggesting that price could print a bearish iBOS despite H4 internal structure being bullish. This printed as anticipated, with price printing a bearish iBOS that also confirmed the swing structure. Price is now trading within an established swing range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the start of a bullish pullback phase. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As detailed in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 06 November 2024, I noted that price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Following this, price has printed an additional bearish iBOS and a bullish CHoCH, confirming the internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low after reacting from either the premium of 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone. Note: Considering the Fed’s softer stance, and rising geopolitical tensions, price volatility is likely to remain elevated. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 06 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As outlined in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 05 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. While price has not yet printed a bullish CHoCH, it has moved up to the premium of 50% EQ, allowing me to confirm the internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low. Note: Given the ongoing Presidential elections, the Fed’s softer stance, and heightened geopolitical tensions, price is expected to remain highly volatile. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 04 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As noted in my analysis dated 01 November 2024, I mentioned that I would confirm internal structure if the price reached the premium of the 50% EQ of the internal range. Price has now achieved this, confirming the internal structure. Although price has made attempts to target the weak internal low, it has not yet succeeded. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD with two probabilities for 10/28/2024GOLD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/28/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Abderrahmane_24
Gold breaks new high againGold prices hit a high of 2509 last Friday and closed at 2506, crossing the 2500 mark for the first time in history. Last week, it closed steadily at the 2500 mark. Although it fell back at the opening of this week, the support of 2480 below was not broken, and the overall bullish thinking remains. If the gold price can remain above the key support level and the technical indicators show a positive trend, you can consider going long on dips; if the gold price approaches the important resistance level and the technical indicators show signs of overbought or divergence, you can consider going short on rallies. - Operation strategy: - Pay attention to the 2528 position. If it reaches the 2525 position, you can try to go short with a light position, and then watch the gold price go down to test the 2500 support. The stop loss of short orders can be set in the 2530-2535 range. You can go long directly at 2500, TP2530-40
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevin-Trading-King
1
XAU/USD 23 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. As a result of this strong bullish momentum, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action, reducing the need for a deep pullback to indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Price is not currently showing any signs of a pullback, so I will remain on standby. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal low and instead printed a bullish iBOS. As previously mentioned, price remains extremely volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. After a bullish iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, of a bearish pullback phase initiation would be a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. Price is currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold with two probabilities for 10/22/2024Gold with a high probability to make the decision for 10/22/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Abderrahmane_24
1
The GOLD market fluctuates strongly after the Non-Farm Payrolls XAUUSD analysis on 05/08/2024: Gold's plunge on Friday, August 2, 2024, from the 2478 zone to 2410-2413 as we predicted. Gold is still expected to correct but without breaking the long-term uptrend structure. Predicting gold could reach the 2800 milestone is entirely possible. Key price zones to watch: 2463-2470, 2390-2396, and 2370-2377. Recommended orders: Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2465-2467 SL 2471 TP 2462-2450-2430-2396. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2394-2396 SL 2390 TP 2399 -2420- 2445 -open. Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2375-2377 SL 2371 TP 2374-2395-2420-open.
FX:XAUUSD
by wetdyerap
#XAUUSD/GOLD breaks out, is it a long-term buying opportunity?After breaking through the resistance zone of 2430-2433, the current gold price is forming a peak around 245x, with the breakout at 2386 giving gold an upward momentum again. The market is very difficult to trade, and the trading trend for the Europe - US session is BUY. Key price areas to watch are 2428-2432 and 2390-2400. If the price fills this liquidity area, it will be an opportunity for us to target the peak zone of 2480-2484. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2429 - 2432 SL 2426 TP 2435 - 2450 - 2373. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2390 - 2393 SL 2387 TP 2400 - 2430 - 2373. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2451-2453 SL 2457 TP 2448 - 2440 - 2432 (small volume).
FX:XAUUSDShort
by wetdyerap