XAUUSD Short Setup | Clean Rejection + 600+ Pip OpportunityGold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bearish momentum after a clear supply zone rejection. Price failed to hold above 3,310 and broke down sharply. A short position was executed near the 3,300 region with a target toward the 3,254–3,253 demand zone.
Key confluences:
Breakdown from a rising wedge pattern
Strong bearish volume candle confirmation
Clean retest and rejection of minor resistance at 3,300
Risk-reward ratio aligned with smart trade management
This move has already delivered over 600+ pips, showcasing the power of technical precision and discipline. Zones and price action remain valid unless a clear reversal structure forms above 3,310.
📉 Let the chart speak — analysis based on structure, not hype.
Xauusdforecast
XAU/USD 26 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Trend analysis under the interweaving of long and short factorsDuring the European session on Thursday, spot gold maintained a volatile downward trend and is now trading around $3,295/oz. During the day, everyone needs to focus on the US PMI data, which may cause significant fluctuations in the gold market. Although gold prices recorded a fourth consecutive trading day of gains on Thursday and hit a two-week high of $3,350/oz, the current rise has slowed down. The recent trend of gold is mainly supported by multiple factors: rising geopolitical risks, worsening US fiscal conditions and continued weakening of the US dollar. Specifically, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating and warned that the Trump administration's new round of tax reforms and spending plans may increase the size of US debt by 3 to 5 trillion US dollars, which significantly exacerbated market concerns about US debt risks. In addition, the increased expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the escalation of global trade tensions also supported gold prices.
During the Asian session, gold prices approached a two-week high. However, as the market digests the previous good news, coupled with the upcoming intensive release of European and American economic data, the short-term trend of gold faces uncertainty. This trading day reminds everyone to pay attention to the key data including the May PMI data of European and American countries, the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, and the annualized total number of existing home sales in April. At the same time, the international trade situation, geopolitical dynamics, the progress of the G7 meeting, and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials may also have an impact on the market. It is recommended that everyone keep a close eye on it.
On the 2-hour gold chart, gold rebounded continuously, setting a new high for the week, but the gold price fell back after rising during the day, and it is necessary to pay attention to the risk of short-term correction. Secondly, the intraday high point of gold is 3345 US dollars. The 5-day moving average slightly crosses, the MACD indicator crosses upward, the RSI indicator crosses downward, and the KDJ indicator crosses slightly. The short-term technical aspect shows that the downtrend is dominant, but the RSI indicator suggests that there is a need for adjustment in the short-term gold price, and it is recommended to be bearish.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to short near the current price of 3290, stop loss at 3298, target 3275-3255, and hold after breaking.
Gold's strong rise continuesToday's opening fell directly, and tested 3206 yesterday's low again. The more it tests, the greater the probability of breaking. Focus on the pressure of 3222-3232 during the day, the watershed is 3240, the target is 3190-3170, and the support is 3154-3120! Before the real big drop, it may be accompanied by the rise of the five-minute K line, up and down washing, which needs to be noted.
As long as the European market is not strong, it can still be short; if the European market weakens, it will be short for the second time, but pay attention to the timing and beware of rebound.
Finally, I would like to emphasize that the current decline in gold does not affect the long-term bullish direction. The US dollar index will continue to weaken and enter a downward cycle. It is only a matter of time before the US Reserve cuts interest rates, so the bull market of gold is still there, there is no doubt about it. It's just that the abnormal surge in April will always have some corrections. The market needs to cool down and return to rationality. The price base is high and the increase is large, so the correction range must be large, so look at it rationally.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Market OutlookMy current bias on XAUUSD remains bullish, as we are targeting the lower high (LH) around the 3,438 level. However, the market is currently in a pullback phase within the LH & LL. Price has entered an OTA level within a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), ranging between 3,370 and 3,333. This presents a potential opportunity for short setups as we move towards the 3,251 level.
On the 4-hour timeframe, there's a valid FVG Breaker near our Fibonacci-based OTA level, aligning closely with the 3,251 support zone. This is a key area to watch for bullish confirmations. Any long positions should ideally be considered from this zone.
Important Note:
When trading gold, patience and discipline are essential. Only act on clear, confirmed setups that align with your strategy. Quality over quantity always wins in the long run.
[20250522] - Gold Overview1️⃣ Market Overview:
📌 Recent Closed: 3315
📌 Bullish sentiment confirmed above (3265)
📌 Key reversal threshold: (3296)
2️⃣ Key Observations:
✅ Price above (3253) suggests continued bullish bias.
✅ Recent High 3320—watch for a strong breakout or exhaustion.
✅ Next liquidity Range: 3337 (upside), 3264 (downside).
3️⃣ Potential Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Continuation: Closing above 3320 confirms momentum toward 3337.
🔹 Bearish Exhaustion: Failure to hold 3296 could trigger a reversal toward 3253.
🔹 Invalidation: 💡 A break below 3296, failing Bull POC (3265), would shift sentiment bearish.
4️⃣ Entry & Target Levels:
🔹 Bullish Entry:
✔️ Price holding above 3296 strengthens bullish sentiment.
✔️ A confirmed break above 3320 opens room for a run toward 3337 liquidity zone.
🔹 Bearish Entry:
✔️ If price fails to sustain above 3296, watch for confirmation near 3253 VAH.
✔️ A strong rejection leads price toward next liquidity at 3264.
🎯 Targets:
Upside: 3320 breakout leads toward 3337 liquidity zone.
Downside: Failure at 3296 opens movement toward 3264 liquidity support.
📢 Your Thoughts? Drop a comment and let me know what you think! 🚀
XAU USD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE WITH SO MUCH UP AND DOWNIn hourly time frame it takes rejection and after opening session we can see two scenarios...
After opening new session if it comes down then tgt: 3385, from here have 90% chances to reverse for tgt: 3340, if it will not reverse and continue down side then we can go for the tgt:3275 to 3209
Will gold continue to rise to 3280-3330 today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. Today, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "debt surge and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Due to this influence, gold opened sharply higher today, Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250.
Here is the 1-hour chart:
If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later.
The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time.
For now, I think that as long as gold is above 3200 today, gold will continue to rise.
So, if you do it in the short term, you can buy in the 3200-3220 range, with 3200 below as defense, and as long as the upper target stands firm at 3250, you can continue to see the 3280-3300-3330 range.
Rangbound with rising patternXAUUSD H1& H4 Timeframe .
Although gold is intact with the rising channel at trend line meets with 3205-3250
- I will sell on top from 3270-3280 structural resistance area if i got confirmation of rejection and to long target at 3130.
-if we get candle above 3235 then we'll see upside surprise towards 3252 first then 3270.
BEARISH SCANARIO:
-if 3210-3205 breaks then we should leave the upside back behind and sell towards 3180 in first stage then we will have to wait for the 3180 structural support Invalidation towards bottom side .once 3180 breaks in h4 then move your weapons towards 3130 target.
#XAUUSD
Will gold fall to 3180-3158?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your different opinions in the comment area. Yesterday, Monday, retail traders made a record bottom-fishing in US stocks, reversing the 1% drop in the S&P 500 index caused by Moody's downgrading the US credit rating last weekend.
Yesterday, Monday, gold opened at a high point near 3250, but after the US stock market opened, it basically maintained a downward trend.
From the current 1-hour chart, gold has been fluctuating above the 1-hour chart range yesterday, Monday, but there has been a change today. It has continuously fallen below the hourly chart range support position at the opening.
Therefore, from the current point of view, gold is likely to retreat downward today, and the 3200 mark is currently difficult to hold.
Therefore, we must be alert to the possibility of a retracement today. As for the operation, you can rely on the 3220-3225 range to sell, and look at the target to 3180-3158.
GOLD set for another drop?As expected in our previous analysis XAUUSD bounced to daily resistance and started to get rejected with a strong momentum in the major direction of the trend. As we see series of lower high formation XAUUSD may continue to drop to daily support level following the long term trend.
XAUUSD FLAG BULLISH PATTERN (HIGHER HIGH) ANLYSISThe XAUUSD Market momentum has made a flag bullish pattern showing the strong uptrend had the confirm targets at different zones.
1st Target Zone 3260
Final Target Zone 3350
resistance level: 3100
Conclusion: If the market momentum moves towards target then hold on your trades but if the market moves against to the target then there is an option of stop loss point active and all the trades should be closed.
"XAU/USD Bearish Structure Developing Below Resistance"Gold price showed a sharp upward movement but faced resistance near the 3212–3220 zone. After forming a lower high, the structure appears to be setting up for a potential downside move.
The market seems to be respecting a descending channel and if the current resistance holds, we could see further continuation toward the 3120–3122 support area. Volume spike during the drop also indicates possible seller strength.
This is an educational analysis based on price structure and market behavior.
Feel free to share your thoughts or give a boost if it aligns with your view.
🔍 Key Points:
Resistance Area: ~3212–3220
Current Price Reaction: Forming lower highs
Target Zone: 3120–3122 (support)
Pattern: Bearish flag or channel
Volume: Increased on downside move – shows selling pressure
Gold Reversal Potential from Falling Wedge + Demand Zone
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal on the 15-minute chart. After forming a falling wedge pattern and reaching a key demand zone around 3120, price action suggests a possible bounce.
Falling wedge breakout observed with increasing volume
Strong rejection from the 3120 support zone
Risk-to-reward setup aligned with bullish momentum
Watch for continuation if price holds above the minor trendline
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Channel Breakout with Bullish Reversal on XAUUSD (15M)"
Price moved within a clean descending channel and eventually broke out with momentum. After forming a strong reversal candle near previous support, a long position was considered. Volume increase confirms potential buyer interest. Setup aims for upper imbalance / liquidity zones. Chart shown on 15-minute timeframe.
Will gold rise today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. From the current 1-hour chart range, gold is at risk of falling again to 3200.
The current 1-hour chart range has been broken. After breaking the range support today, it has rebounded again, so the previous support has become a suppression position.
Therefore, if gold cannot stand above 3250, then we must be careful of the risk of gold testing 3200.
You can focus on 3240-3250. As long as it cannot stand above 3250, you can sell gold at 3240-3250. The target below is still around the bottom of the range 3200.
"XAUUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Falling Channel Breakout Se
Gold (XAUUSD) has been moving within a well-defined falling channel. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the channel, indicating a potential bullish breakout. The recent uptick in momentum and volume suggests buying interest is building.
Key resistance is seen around 3215–3220, while immediate support lies near 3170–3160. A confirmed breakout above the channel could open the path for further upside, while rejection may lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
This is a technical outlook based on chart structure and volume behavior — always manage risk accordingly.
Gold fell below 3200 as expected. How to operate gold?An overall bearish trend of consecutive negative and single positive declines is formed. The double top above 3400 is suppressing the decline, and a top shape structure of a large M head is formed. The key lies in whether a substantial breakthrough can be formed at the previous low of 3200. Once it breaks down, the space below will be opened up, and the other half of the M head will continue to extend downward. At that time, the daily level may usher in an accelerated decline.
At present, gold has broken through 3200 and has been exploring downward. We have said before that we have been emphasizing that gold is mainly short. Keep paying attention to the trend of gold. Today's successful prediction of the trend of gold has been very rewarding. Keep up with my pace and you will definitely gain something. In the future, gold will still be mainly short. Go short immediately after the rebound
Will gold continue to rise?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your thoughts in the comment area. At present, the first important position of gold is around 3295, and the second is 3320-3330.
3295 is the 382 position of gold in this round. If the rebound does not pass here, then if it falls again next, it is very likely to break the support of 3200.
The second is 3320-3330, which is the gap on Monday. If it goes up, the possibility of filling the gap is also very high.
So, next pay attention to the two positions I mentioned above, 3295 and 3320-30. If you want to sell gold, it is best to wait for these three price positions.