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Xauusdforecast

XAU/USD possible shorts from 3,350 towards 3,290 longsThis week, my focus is on a potential sell setup that could form within the 4-hour supply zone, which is currently near price. I’ll be patiently watching for signs of Wyckoff distribution within this point of interest (POI), which could confirm a short opportunity. Given that price action has been bearish, this would be a pro-trend setup, especially with the visible liquidity resting below that we can look to target. Additionally, there is an 8-hour demand zone further below, which may provide a potential long opportunity once price reaches that level. Confluences for GOLD Sells: - Bearish market structure: Gold has been trending downward and has recently left behind a clean, unmitigated 4-hour supply zone, which could prompt a bearish reaction. - Liquidity targets below: There's significant liquidity under recent lows, including Asia session lows and the 8-hour demand zone, which can be targeted. - DXY correlation: The dollar has reacted strongly from a notable demand zone, suggesting potential upside for DXY, which may add bearish pressure on gold. - Higher timeframe Wyckoff: A Wyckoff distribution pattern has also formed on the higher timeframe, which may indicate temporary bearish order flow. P.S. If price disrespects the current 4-hour supply zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 3-hour supply zone above. Until price reaches that level, I may look for short-term buy setups to trade the move up. Wishing everyone a great and profitable trading week! Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook Published by Mohsen Mozafari## 📍 XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook ⏱️ *Published by Mohsen Mozafarinejad* --- ### 🔍 Market Structure: The market currently shows a **bearish structure**. After a recent **BOS (Break of Structure)** near the 3344 zone, price retraced to mitigate unfilled sell orders within the **Extreme Supply OB (TLQ)**. --- ### 🔸 Key Observations: - Price is reacting from a clear **supply zone (TLQ)** following BOS. - The move appears to have cleared liquidity from late long entries. - OB efficiency remains intact, indicating healthy market flow. --- ### 🧭 Scenario A – Short Bias > If price consolidates or rejects below the 3340 level, a **high-probability short** may form. 🎯 Target: **Demand OB at 3295** 🚫 Invalidation: **Break & close above 3354 (last HH)** --- ### 🧭 Scenario B – Fakeout & V-Shape Reversal > If price sweeps above TLQ but loses momentum, it could trap buyers and sharply reverse below BOS. This would signal potential **seller exhaustion**. --- ### ⚙️ Technical Summary: - **Structure:** Bearish 🔻 - **Efficiency:** Efficient ✅ - **MSU & VTA levels:** Valid for lower timeframe confirmations - **Momentum:** Controlled pullback detected --- > 📌 *"Precision beats prediction. Let the chart speak before you act."* --- #### 🔖 Hashtags: #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #OB #BOS #ScalpingGold #ForexAnalysis #MohsenMozafarinejad
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Outlook | What’s Next for Gold?Gold starts the new trading week still locked in a consolidation range, holding just above the $3,328–$3,327 support zone. Despite multiple attempts, price continues to struggle at the $3,356 resistance. The 50MA and 200MA are now compressing, suggesting the market is preparing for a breakout. Until then, structure remains neutral and range-bound. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: $3,356 ‣ $3,383 ‣ $3,400 ‣ $3,416 ‣ $3,440 Support: $3,328 ‣ $3,313‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241 ‣ $3,208 / $3,179 – Deeper downside if bearish pressure builds 🔎 Fundamental Focus The key risk event this week is Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes. Markets will be looking for clues on the Fed’s internal stance regarding future rate cuts and inflation expectations. 🔗 Follow for live updates and intraday chart setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold Short Term OutlookIn yesterday’s analysis, we highlighted that the $3,327–$3,328 support zone needed to hold for bulls to maintain momentum. Price respected that level, bouncing off intraday support and is now attempting a recovery. Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance, and we need to see a clean break above the $3,352–$3,356 resistance zone for bulls to challenge higher levels. However, if price fails to break above this resistance cluster, we may see a pullback toward the $3,327 support once again. A break below that would likely expose price to a deeper retracement toward $3,298. 📌 Key Resistance: ‣ $3,352 ‣ $3,356 ‣ $3,364 ‣ $3,383 📌 Key Support: ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,298 ‣ $3,270 🧠 Fundamental Focus: With U.S. markets partially closed today, expect low liquidity and increased volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
I say nothing , you say me any thing about 📌 **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 30m | 2h | Smart Money Perspective** 🔍 After weeks of precision tracking and structural validation, price has now tapped the **Right Shoulder** of a clean *Reverse Head & Shoulders* formation — with absolute respect to structure, liquidity, and OB zones. 💥 This wasn't just a random bounce. It was: - A confirmation of **previous BOS & CHoCH** - A retest of **TLQ/ILQ liquidity zones** - A reaction from the *Extreme OB* within a compression channel - And a final push fueled by **inefficiency fills** on the left 🎯 The bullish intent remains strong, and if momentum follows through, we're looking at: - **TP1** → 3345–3355 (minor OB & void fill) - **TP2** → 3375–3390 (liquidity sweep target) - **TP3** → 3420+ (range expansion goal) 🧠 This analysis has not just been correct. It’s been **respected by the market.** I take pride in every reaction the chart gives us when we respect the language of price, structure, and timing. There’s no shortcut here — just observation, logic, and discipline. We don’t chase the trend. We wait for it to **bow in confirmation**. Like it just did. — *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* 🧭 #SmartMoney #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingView #MarketStructure #BOS #OB #MSU #ReverseHeadAndShoulders #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mmozafari1357
1
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we highlighted that gold had reclaimed the 200MA and that the $3,327 support level needed to hold for further upside. Since then, price has steadily climbed and is now testing the $3,364 resistance — a level that also aligns with an unfilled gap. Price action remains bullish for now, with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA. If buyers manage to clear and hold above $3,364, we could see further upside toward $3,383 and $3,400, with possible extension into $3,418. However, if price fails to break above $3,364, we may see a pullback into the $3,335–$3,327 zone. A break below there could open the door for a deeper drop into $3,298 or even $3,270. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 • $3,418 Support: $3,352 •$3,335 - $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 🧠 Fundamental Focus: 📌 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 📌 Initial Jobless Claims 📌 ISM Services PMI 📌 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ⚠️ With multiple red folder events on the calendar, expect elevated intraday volatility. Manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2# XAU/USD | Gold Market Outlook by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2h | July 2–3, 2025 --- ## 🔍 Technical Overview: | Timeframe | Structure | Efficiency | Context | |-----------|-----------|------------|---------| | 15min | Bullish ✅ | Efficient ✅ | Reverse H&S complete – price entering neckline zone | | 30min | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | Clean BOS – ready for potential continuation | | 2H | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | HL confirmed – clear bullish delivery range ahead | --- ## 🧠 Key Insights: - **Left Shoulder - Head - Right Shoulder** clearly visible and now validated with neckline break - Price is reacting from **last TLQ + ILQ zones** with MSU - Strong **liquidity gap** above 3,380–3,405 likely to be targeted - **Highs around 3,420–3,440** may act as liquidity magnet if clean break happens - **BOS and CHoCH** confirmed across all LTFs — strong bullish intent - Structure remains **bullish** as long as 3,312–3,320 HL holds --- ## 🎯 Price Zones to Watch: | Zone | Action | |--------------|----------------| | 3,335–3,340 | OB Flip Support / Demand (Retest Possible) | | 3,368–3,375 | Reaction Zone / Short-Term Take Profit | | 3,404–3,420 | Major Liquidity Above / SH Grab | | 3,428–3,440+ | Stop-Hunt Potential for Final Exit | --- ## 📌 Trade Scenarios: ### 🟢 Long Setup - **Entry:** 3,340–3,348 (OB retest or continuation) - **SL:** below 3,328 - **TP1:** 3,375 - **TP2:** 3,400 - **TP3:** 3,420+ ### 🔴 Caution for Short Only valid if price shows **CHoCH + strong rejection** from above 3,420–3,440. Otherwise, trend continuation is dominant. --- ## 🧭 Summary: > Gold continues its bullish structure in all LTFs. > Reverse H&S has broken neckline cleanly. > Momentum + inefficiency zones above = clear drive to liquidity. > Patience is key – reentry on OB retest = high R/R setup. --- 🖋️ Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad** *Smart Money | Liquidity Zones | Order Blocks | MSU/MSD Framework*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we saw gold reclaim the 200MA and push into the $3,352 resistance. Price remains supported above the $3,327 level, keeping the bullish structure intact for now. As long as price holds above $3,327, bulls remain in control, and a breakout above $3,352 could open the path toward $3,364 and $3,383. However, failure to hold above $3,327 may lead to another retest of $3,298, with deeper downside toward $3,270-$3,41 support zone if that level gives out. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 Support: $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Below of last update of reverse head and shoulder post XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad 🔸 **Instrument:** Gold / USD (XAU/USD) 🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min 🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure 🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup 🔍 Market Context: --- ## 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone) 2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed 3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315** 4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet 5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB --- ## 📌 Trade Plan: | Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) | |----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------| | | Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 | --- ## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch: - 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview) - 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk - 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses --- ## ✅ Summary: > **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum. > The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**. > Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting. **Structure:** 🔴 bearish momentum **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean **Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL 📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold was attempting a recovery from the Support Zone but remained below both the 50 and 200 MAs, meaning bearish pressure was still intact. Since then, price has broken and held above $3,298, and is now trading around $3,330, just beneath the 200MA. This marks a shift in short-term momentum — gold has reclaimed the 50MA and is now challenging the 200MA. If bulls manage to break and hold above the $3,327 resistance, it could open the path toward $3,352 - $3,364 and potentially higher resistance zones. However, if price rejects the 200MA and fails to hold above $3,327, we may see a pullback toward $3,298 or deeper into $3,270, where bulls could look to reload. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,327 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 Support: $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241 🧠 Fundamental Focus: 📌 Fed Chair Powell speaks today at the ECB Forum in Portugal. Markets will closely watch for any shift in tone on inflation or rate outlook. His comments may influence USD direction and gold volatility. 📌 ISM Manufacturing PMI – a key gauge of economic activity. A strong print may pressure gold; a weak reading could support it. 📌 JOLTS Job Openings – offers insight into labor market strength. A tighter market could delay rate cuts and weigh on gold. With multiple risk events packed into today, expect increased volatility across the board.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen # Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad 🔸 **Instrument:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min 🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure 🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup --- ## 🔍 Market Context: - **Structure:** Bullish on LTF (MSU) - **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean & Efficient Delivery - **Recent Activity:** Reverse H&S completed + double BOS + CHoCH confirmed - **Price Level:** Trading near key Supply zone (3300–3315) - **Monthly Context:** July begins with bullish momentum & previous session showed aggressive buy-side pressure --- ## 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone) 2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed 3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315** 4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet 5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB --- ## 📌 Trade Plan: | Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) | |----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------| | Long | Above 3,303–3,310 (structure hold) | Below 3,294 | TP1: 3,325 / TP2: 3,340 / TP3: 3,348 | | Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 | --- ## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch: - 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview) - 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk - 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses --- ## ✅ Summary: > **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum. > The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**. > Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting. **Structure:** 🟢 Bullish **Trend:** 📈 MSU **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean **Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL --- 📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
Gold Short To Medium Term OutlookGold bounced from the lower Support Zone after briefly breaching $3,270. Price is now attempting a recovery, currently trading near $3,290, but remains below both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA — confirming bearish pressure is still intact. For bulls to gain momentum, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,298–$3,327which would open the path toward $3,352 and possibly higher resistance levels like $3,364 and $3,383. Until then, this move may simply be a short-term pullback within a broader downtrend. If price fails to reclaim $3,327, watch for a drop back toward $3,270, with a deeper correction targeting the $3,241–$3,211 zone. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,298 • $3,327 • $3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383 Support: $3,270 • $3,241 • $3,211 • $3,179 🧠 Fundamental Focus: This week is packed with high-impact events — including Non-Farm Payrolls on Thursday. These could trigger sharp moves in gold, so stay cautious and manage risk wisely.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold Short to Medium Term Outlook Last week, gold bounced from the lower Support Zone after briefly breaching $3,270. Price is now attempting a recovery, currently trading near $3,290, but remains below both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA — confirming bearish pressure is still intact. For bulls to gain momentum, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,298–$3,327which would open the path toward $3,352 and possibly higher resistance levels like $3,364 and $3,383. Until then, this move may simply be a short-term pullback within a broader downtrend. If price fails to reclaim $3,327, watch for a drop back toward $3,270, with a deeper correction targeting the $3,241–$3,211 zone. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,298 • $3,327 • $3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383 Support: $3,270 • $3,241 • $3,211 • $3,179 🧠 Fundamental Focus: This week is packed with high-impact events — including FOMC minutes on Wednesday and Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday. Both events could trigger sharp moves in gold, so stay cautious and manage risk wisely.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Reverse Head & Shoulders Setup | Gold Spot | 15min | by Mohsen M 🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 🔸 **Timeframe:** 15min 🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Pattern Recognition 🔸 **Focus:** Reverse H&S, Order Blocks, TLQ, BOS --- ## 🔍 Market Context: - **Market Structure:** Bearish on higher TF - **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up) - **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — clean price delivery - **Key Pattern:** Bullish **Inverse Head & Shoulders** --- ## 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 1. **Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder** perfectly forming within a high-value demand zone 2. Price reacted strongly from **Order Block (OB)** + TLQ marked at the bottom wick (Head zone) 3. BOS confirms bullish attempt to shift structure 4. Anticipating neckline break at ~3345 level for further upside 5. Potential resistance and liquidity resting above 3400 (HH region) --- ## 📌 Trading Plan (Pre-London Open / Monday 1:30 AM UTC+3:30): - **Entry Idea:** Watch for bullish confirmation after price stabilizes above Right Shoulder zone (~3300–3320) Or re-entry on a retest of neckline after breakout - **Stop Loss:** Below "Head" and OB zone (~3260) - **Take Profits:** - TP1: Neckline break zone (~3345) - TP2: 3400 – Liquidity pool - TP3: Final HH sweep (~3420+) --- ## ⚠️ Alternate Bearish Case: > If price breaks below the "Head" zone and OB fails to hold, > → Expect bearish continuation to the next liquidity zone near **VTA @ 3200** --- ## ✅ Summary: This is a clean **bullish reversal setup** using SMC logic and a classic H&S pattern: **OB + TLQ + BOS + Efficient Market + Clear Pattern ➝ High-Probability Setup** Structure: 🟥 Bearish (macro) Trend: 🔼 MSU (micro) Efficiency: ✅ Efficient Pattern: 🟩 Inverse Head & Shoulders --- 📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
8
Is today Black Friday?On Thursday, gold prices rose to 3350 with support from 3333-30. When the key support of 3320 was broken, it indicated that the short-term rise turned into a fall. This morning, the rebound to 3320 confirmed the pressure of the top and bottom conversion, and then slowly fell all the way to break the integer mark of 3300 US dollars. In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two support positions below, namely 3277 and 3263. Don’t expect a big rebound before going short in the negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot. Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3377 and 3363 below. If you consider more, you may be at a relatively extreme position of 3363. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by DrewJudson
Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription: > This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB). Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad. --- 📊 Market Context: Current Structure: Bearish Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up) Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones) --- 🧠 Technical Highlights: 1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum 2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep 3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation 4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance 5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed --- 🎯 Scalping Plan: Entry Zone: Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation (preferably on lower timeframe like M5) Stop Loss: Just below OB (around 3327) Take Profits: TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B) TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH --- ❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS, → short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C). --- ✅ Summary: This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles: BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals. Prepared by: 📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mmozafari1357
1
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday’s chart analysis played out well. Price broke above the MA50 and tested the $3,346 resistance zone. However, this zone failed to hold, and gold dropped aggressively toward the $3,306 support. Once again, price is trending below both the 50 and 200 moving averages, indicating continued bearish pressure. For now, the $3,306 support is holding. Bulls need to break above $3,330-$3,346 for higher levels to open up. 🔑 Key Levels: Resistance: $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375 Support: $3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold needed to close and hold above the $3,330 resistance to open the path toward $3,346 and potentially $3,375. Since then, price rejected the intraday support and is now trending above the $3,330 level. Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance. A clean break above it could trigger a move toward $3,346 and possibly higher resistance zones. However, if bullish momentum fades, price may drop back toward the key support area, where buyers could look to step in again. 🔑 Key Levels: Resistance: $3,330 • $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375 Support: $3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
1