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Xauusdforecast

Will gold fall today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. From the current daily chart, gold is currently in a five-wave upward trend. You can see that the low point of gold last week was near 2955, which is exactly the top position of the first wave of this wave. The retracement from 3167 to 2955 is the retracement of the fourth wave, and the retracement did not break the top position of the first wave near 2950. So, the current trend from near 2955 is running in the fifth wave of rise. I also drew it in the picture, and it may eventually reach the high point near 3308-3328. Today's highest point reached near 3275, and then it retreated sharply to near 3256. Maybe you think this is a high and fall, but I don't think so from the trend. Gold opened at 3230. If you look at the trend of 3230-3275, you can find that 3255 is exactly the 618 support position of this trend. If the retracement does not break 618, then there will definitely be a new high. Using 123 to find 4, we can see that if the high point of 3290 continues to break, the subsequent high point will be around 3300, followed by 3328. And 3300 coincides with the daily high above. Therefore, if gold can reach around 3300 next, we must be careful of the possibility of a high fall.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OctaviaRobinson
The first negative line after three consecutive positive linesThe current gold market is facing dual drivers of policy and fundamentals. Trump's tariff policy trend has become a key variable. Coupled with expectations of a slowdown in the US economy in 2025 and rising global geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand continues to support gold prices. Gold technicals show the first small negative line after three consecutive positive lines, and the correction signal is to be confirmed. The intraday shock adjustment is obvious, and the magnetic effect of the 3235-3200 range is significant. It is recommended to maintain the range thinking at the operational level. The upper resistance is currently at 3232-3235, and the lower support is at 3200-3195. Wait for the key guidance on Wednesday to clarify the direction. The market is in a sensitive period of market change, and it is necessary to focus on the pulsed impact of policy dynamics and geopolitical risk evolution on gold prices. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound to 3233-3237 short, stop loss 3245, and the target is 3210-3200. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3190-3185 long, stop loss 3178, and the target is 3210-3230.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
Gold Maintains Weekly Bullish Structure Amid PullbackGold Weekly Technical Outlook Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a clear bullish trend on the weekly chart, currently trading around $3,230. After marking a new high, price action suggests a potential pullback—a healthy retracement that could set the stage for further gains. Key Levels to Watch: Current Price: $3,230 Retracement Zone: First support at $3,100, a recent consolidation level Deeper support between $2,950 – $2,900, aligned with prior breakout structure and strong demand from earlier in the trend These levels are key for a potential bounce, as they mark high-probability zones for buyers to re-enter the market. Upside Targets: Short-term resistance: $3,280 Primary target (by mid-May): $3,400 This level aligns with the projected extension of the ascending structure and continuation of bullish momentum Technical Outlook: As long as gold holds above $2,900, the weekly bullish trend remains intact. A rebound from the retracement zone would likely lead to a renewed rally targeting the $3,400 region.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuantumFusionWave
GOLD Analysis: Will buyers push toward 3,230?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both upper and lower boundaries. The recent price action suggests buyers are currently in control, indicating the potential for continued upside. Given the strength of the current bullish momentum, there is a strong likelihood that price may break above the key resistance zone. If that happens, it could come back to retest the level as support before continuing higher. A successful retest would reinforce the bullish structure and open the door for a potential move toward the 3,230 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary. However, if price fails to break above the resistance zone, it could signal weakening bullish momentum and open the door for a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk accordingly. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
132
XAU 1M Gold price formation history and future expectationsGold , or as denote the main trading pair XAUUSD , has been gaining a lot of attention around itself in recent years. As soon as major analysts or hedge fund top-managers begin to say that the next crisis is near, investors immediately start buying gold as a defensive asset, and its price, accordingly, goes up. Let's walk a little through the history of the Gold price. We finished drawing the graph, to what exists on tradingview.com, based on the data that is freely available. 1) In 1933, to overcome the crisis after the "Great Depression", US President Roosevelt issued a decree on the confiscation of gold from the population. The price for an ounce of gold is set at $20.66. 2) In 1971, a real rise in the value of gold begins. After decoupling the US dollar rate from the "gold standard", which regulated the cost of 1 troy ounce of gold at $35 for a long period from 1934 to August 1971. 3) 1973 - "The First Oil Crisis" and the rise in the value of gold from $35 to $180 - as the main anti-crisis instrument, a means of hedging investment risks. 4) 1979-1980 Islamic Revolution in Iran (Second Energy Crisis). The cost of gold, as the main protective asset, in a short period of time grows more than 8 times and sets a maximum at around $850 5) During 1998-2000, the world swept through: the "Asian economic crisis", defaults in a number of countries, and the cherry on the cake - the "Dotcom Bubble". During this period, the price of gold was twice aggressively bought out by investors, from the level of $250. It was a clear signal - there will be no lower, next, only growth! 6) And so it happened, from 2001 to 2011 there was an increase in the value of gold from $250 to $1921 . Even the mortgage crisis of 2008 could not break the growth trend, but only acted as a trigger for a 30% price correction. Looking at the XAUUSD chart now, one can assume that large investors were actively buying gold in the $1050-1350 range during 2013-2019. It is hard to believe that investors who have been gaining long positions for 6 years will be satisfied with such a small period of growth in 2019-2020. For ourselves, we establish a Gold purchase zone in the range of $1527-1600 per troy ounce, from where we expect the growth trend to continue to the $3180-3350 region What are your views on the future price of gold? Share them in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by P_S_trade
26
Gold Price Surpasses $3,200 for the First Time in HistoryGold Price Surpasses $3,200 for the First Time in History According to the XAU/USD chart today, the price of an ounce of gold is fluctuating above the $3,200 level on global exchanges — a level never reached before. Since the beginning of 2025, gold has gained approximately 22%. Why Is Gold Rising Today? Today’s bullish momentum in the gold market is driven by two key factors. First, inflation data. Figures released yesterday for the CPI (Consumer Price Index) revealed a slowdown in inflation in the United States. This suggests a greater likelihood of monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve. According to Reuters, gold prices now reflect expectations of three interest rate cuts by the end of 2025 — and lower rates typically support a stronger XAU/USD. Second, fears of a global recession. Although US President Donald Trump has introduced a 90-day delay on the implementation of international trade tariffs, this does not apply to China, where tariffs have been increased to a striking 145%. Traders fear that Beijing could retaliate by raising tariffs on US goods beyond the current 84%. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD At present, the gold market is showing strong upward momentum, which began in early March (as illustrated by the blue trend channel). Key points include: → A breakout above the upper boundary of the channel; → The RSI indicator suggests a potential bearish divergence forming. This points to the possibility of a short-term pullback into the blue channel, which would be a natural correction — especially considering the rapid $200 surge from $3,000 to $3,200 over just two days. However, given the current news backdrop, it seems unlikely that the bulls will relinquish control anytime soon. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold's Downtrend PersistsGold's Bearish Outlook Continues Despite Temporary Upside Spike Market Overview: The overall outlook for gold remains bearish, even though the market recently experienced a surprising and sharp upward movement. While a deep correction was anticipated and in line with prior expectations, the nature and timing of the recent surge raised some eyebrows among analysts and traders alike. The unexpected bullish reaction came shortly after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension on reciprocal tariffs—a development that typically would not warrant such a dramatic price rally in gold. Normally, easing geopolitical or economic tensions would dampen safe-haven demand, causing gold to retreat. In this case, however, the opposite occurred, which suggests the possibility of non-fundamental drivers at play, potentially even artificial market influence or manipulation. Technical Outlook: Despite the sudden upward movement, gold’s larger technical structure has not changed significantly. The overall trend remains bearish unless we see a sustained breakout above the 3167 resistance level. A clean breach above that threshold would be uncharacteristic based on current fundamentals and could indicate external interference or speculative overreaction rather than a genuine shift in sentiment or macroeconomic conditions. The price action continues to favor the bears, with lower highs and lower lows still forming on the larger timeframes. Until there’s clear evidence to the contrary, any rallies should be viewed with skepticism and treated as potential selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bullish trend. Key Support Zones: Looking at potential areas where gold may find some temporary footing, the following support levels should be closely monitored: 3054 – Minor support; could serve as a short-term pause point. 3000 – A psychological level and round number that often acts as a magnet for price action. 2925 – More significant historical support zone with prior buying interest. 2840 – Deeper support, aligning with the longer-term bearish trajectory. Conclusion: In summary, while gold has shown a sudden upward burst, the broader picture remains cautious. The technical indicators, market context, and recent price behavior all point toward a continuation of the downtrend unless key resistance levels are convincingly breached. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, avoid emotional reactions to short-term volatility, and refer closely to technical signals when making decisions. The chart provides further clarity on this setup—feel free to review it for a more visual representation of the analysis. Thank you for reading, and best of luck in the markets!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
Gold platform diving has peaked in the short term!Gold is now covered by dark clouds at its daily high level, and a rebound will give shorts an opportunity. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and the bulls have suffered a heavy blow. After the rebound is repaired, the only way to go short is to continue. The support below the range of gold 1 hour ago was 3135. Now the US market rebounded and was under pressure for the second time, so the short-term support of gold at 3135 has formed an effective suppression. The US market rebounded at 3135 and continued to go short under pressure. Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the 3135-3138 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3054-3066 first-line support. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3133-3135, stop loss 6 points, target around 3105-3085, and look at 3065 if it breaks; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3065-3068, stop loss 6 points, target around 3090-3100, and look at 3110 if it breaks;
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by UptonCharlotte
1
Market Analysis: Gold Crashes As Trade War EscalatesMarket Analysis: Gold Crashes As Trade War Escalates Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,050. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,150 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar. - A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,068 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,050 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,150 before the bears appeared. A high was formed near $3,167 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,100 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,000 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the $2,970 zone. A low is formed near $2,970 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,167 swing high to the $2,970 low. However, the bears are active below $3,050. Immediate resistance is near $3,040. The next major resistance is near the $3,068 zone and a key bearish trend line. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,167 swing high to the $2,970 low. The main resistance could be $3,135, above which the price could test the $3,165 resistance. The next major resistance is $3,200. An upside break above the $3,200 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,250. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,320 level. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,000 level. The first major support is near the $2,970 level. If there is a downside break below the $2,970 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $2,950 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1 The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4 Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7 However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon. Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price. Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy. Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices. Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings. The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment. Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking. However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power. Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run. In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
Will the price of gold fall at night after it surges?Analysis of the latest trend of gold market: Analysis of gold news: Spot gold opened higher and moved higher in the morning trading on Monday (March 31), breaking through $3090/ounce and setting a new record high of $3127.73/ounce, with the largest intraday increase of 0.43%; COMEX gold futures rose to $3122/ounce, an increase of 0.25%. This market is mainly driven by geopolitical risks. Trump's threats against Iran and Russia have aggravated the market's risk aversion and stimulated investors to pour into gold assets. Analysis of gold technical aspects: From the weekly chart of gold, after three consecutive weeks of steady upward movement, the current structure has formed four consecutive positives, and there is a lack of obvious pressure reference above, so it can only continue to be treated as a large integer range, such as the position of the 3100 mark, which is quite critical. At this stage, the short-term moving average group presents a perfect long arrangement, and the MACD indicator below is also in a golden cross state, so the bulls once again have a clear advantage. From the daily chart of gold, although the latest inflation index shows the risk of rebound, it is more likely to be caused by the tariff policy. Therefore, risk aversion is undoubtedly the dominant factor, which also caused the gold price to rise to 3127. The current moving average group is an extremely strong upward signal. However, due to the certain distance from the current price, we should beware of the possibility of correction at the beginning of the week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends focusing on callbacks and shortings, with the upper short-term focusing on the first-line resistance of 3135-3140 and the lower short-term focusing on the first-line support of 3105-3100.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by UptonCharlotte
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKGOLD 12H CHART UPDATE: 24th FEB 2025 Hello Everyone, Here’s the latest 12H GOLD chart update, offering a thorough review of recent price movements and key insights for the upcoming sessions. Since October 2023, our careful tracking has maintained 100% target accuracy, as reflected by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s explore the highlights and what lies ahead. * Gold touched ATH last week at 2954.81 * Gold price has been fluctuating between two weighted level above with a gap 2948 and with a gap below 2903 the whole week. The Resistance 2948 and support level 2903 reacted well. What is next for GOLD? * Resistance Levels: 2948, 2993, 3041, 3092 * Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2900, 2856, 2813, 2770, 2710, 2664, 2599 * FVG is providing strong support at 2920 which might push price bullish EMA5 Behavior (Red Line): Current EMA5: 2937.47 Bullish Targets EMA5 cross and lock Above 2948, will open the following bullish target 2993 EMA5 cross and lock Above 2993, will open the following bullish target 3041 EMA5 cross and lock Above 3141, will open the following bullish target 3092 Bearish Targets EMA5 hold and cross Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2856 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2856: will open the following bearish target 2813 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2813: will open the following bearish target 2770 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2770: will open the following bearish target 210 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2710: will open the following bearish target 2664 (Retracement Range) Long-Term Outlook: Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities. Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops. Trade with precision, discipline, and confidence. Our accurate, multi-timeframe analysis equips you to navigate the market effectively. Stay updated with daily insights to remain ahead of market trends. We appreciate your support! Don’t forget to like, comment, and share this post to help others benefit. Best regards, 📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Gold Price Hits Record HighGold Price Hits Record High On 19 March, we reported that gold had surpassed $3,000 per ounce for the first time in history and suggested this psychological level could be tested. As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price briefly dipped below $3,000 but quickly rebounded. According to the Smart Money Concept methodology, this may have been a liquidity sweep triggered by stop-loss orders placed below the key level. Regardless, the test occurred (as indicated by the arrow), and the bulls resumed the rally. The new all-time high is now around $3,080 and could be broken again today. Why Is Gold Rising? ➝ Uncertainty over Trump’s tariff plans ➝ Expectations of lower interest rates Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in a low-rate environment. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have raised their year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,300. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD ➝ Looking at gold’s broader trend, price movements continue to follow an upward channel (marked in blue), which has remained relevant since early 2025. ➝ Alternatively, a second, less steep ascending channel (marked in purple) suggests that gold is currently near its upper boundary, indicating a possible pullback. However, the $3,056 level—previously resistance—could now act as support, paving the way for a move towards the next milestone at $3,100. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Latest gold trend analysisCan gold break through 3000? Will the market trend turn bearish? How should we view gold today? At the end of last week, gold fell by 57 US dollars from 3057-3000. Yesterday, it fluctuated downward, and the daily line closed negatively and touched the short-term moving average. From the perspective of long correction, the adjustment has not yet been in place, and there is still a possibility of further decline. The probability of breaking the 3000 mark is very high. However, the current market has entered a period of volatility, and the long continuity is very poor. Yesterday, it fluctuated upward during the day, and it began to fall after 10 o'clock in the evening. It closed at a low level in the early morning. The overall trend is still a volatile trend. Today, the bottom was bottomed out and rebounded this morning. The price broke through the high of 3014 in the early morning, but it is not recommended to chase blindly. Focus on the trend of the European session. If the European session goes up, it will be regarded as a shock in the evening. If the upper pressure is touched at 3035-3038, you can go short.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenedictLuc8
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 OANDA:XAUUSD Daily Timeframe: As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, gold started its decline when it hit the red channel line. This decline will continue, but the support area of ​​2955 could trigger a rebound. At the support area of ​​2955, the up trend line will also prevent further declines. If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of ​​2789.95. This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity. So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE. 💡 TVC:GOLD H4 Timeframe: The price is in a Corrective wave. Given the break of the ascending trend line in the RSI, the corrective wave is expected to continue to a depth of 2955. 💡 H1 Timeframe: A Head and Shoulder Reversal Pattern has formed and the neckline has also been broken. Price is touching the neckline again. It is very likely that the downward wave will start from this area. 3027.83 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now! Forecast: Correction wave toward the Sell Zone Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:XAUUSD
by ForecastCity
17