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XAUUSD: Analysis June 16Gold has a lot of momentum to increase and could head towards testing the all-time high around 3500 as there are too many risks emerging, from geopolitical developments to interest rate outlook, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term. Gold, after increasing around 3450 this morning, is currently correcting down. But overall, the uptrend with gold is still solid after breaking the downtrend channel. However, we should avoid buying in strong corrections. The support area around 3400 will be the ideal place for us to BUY today. And the resistance area 3440 - 3445 will be where we SELL.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
1
Gold Monday opening operation strategyDue to the situation in the Middle East over the weekend, gold is likely to open higher on Monday, but I am highly skeptical about its continuity. After the fermentation of the past few days, gold has met the conditions for a high opening. If it opens strongly at 3445-50 and continues, then we will focus on the 3488-93 line on Monday. If it falls back, we will continue to focus on the 3403-3408 line support. If it does not break, we will continue to go long. After all, the 3400 level has successfully bottomed out and rebounded on Friday, and the bulls are still the trend. We will continue to be bullish when we fall back. From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3403-08, and the key support below is the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3375-80. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue the main bullish trend. Next week, we will focus on the 3488-93 line suppression. The daily level will continue to maintain the same rhythm of retracement and long positions. We need to be cautious about short positions against the trend. Gold operation strategy: 1. Buy when gold falls back to 3408-10, and buy when it falls back to 3390-95, stop loss at 3388, target at 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by WillChurchill
XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold. Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
XAU/USD 16-20 June 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025. Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH. This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments. Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold (XAUUSD) Trading Setup – Mid-June 2025 Analysis🔰 Gold (XAUUSD) Trading Setup – Mid-June 2025 Analysis This chart represents a strategic price action-based setup on Gold (CFDs on Gold – US$/Oz) using a 15-minute timeframe. It includes clearly defined entry zone, support/resistance levels, and profit-taking targets (TP1, TP2) for both bullish and bearish scenarios. 🔍 Current Market Context Current Price: ~$3431.77 Structure: The price has been in an upward trend with a consolidation phase forming near the key mid-zone. Highlighted Zone: A decision zone is marked in red (between ~$3422 and ~$3418), acting as the key liquidity zone or breakout area. 📈 Bullish Bias If price breaks and holds above the red zone: ✅ TP1: $3480 ✅ TP2: $3580 These levels act as short- to mid-term bullish targets based on projected extensions of recent upward momentum. 📉 Bearish Bias If price breaks and holds below the red zone: ✅ TP1: $3320 ✅ TP2: $3260 This indicates a possible reversal or correction phase, with targets derived from recent swing lows and support areas. 📌 Trading Notes The blue shaded areas represent target zones for partial or full exits. Red zone is the critical breakout decision point. Ideal for breakout or pullback traders. Can be combined with volume/confirmation indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, or price action candles) for entry timing.
TVC:GOLD
by sonubachhav
Gold: Rebounding and Stabilizing Near 3340Gold Market Outlook: Watching Inflation, Technical Pressure Builds Markets are squarely focused on the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which could serve as a pivotal moment for shaping Federal Reserve policy expectations ahead of the September meeting. Current market pricing suggests a roughly 52% probability of a rate cut, but this is highly sensitive to how inflation data unfolds. The consensus anticipates headline CPI growth of 0.2% and core inflation at 0.3%. Any deviation—especially a softer reading—could significantly sway sentiment in favor of monetary easing, thereby reinforcing gold’s appeal as a defensive asset. Beyond the macroeconomic calendar, broader geopolitical undercurrents continue to influence the landscape. Optimism stemming from recent progress in U.S.-China trade discussions has buoyed risk appetite, yet this is tempered by lingering concerns after a court ruling upheld former President Trump’s authority to maintain certain tariffs. This legal development introduces fresh layers of ambiguity, keeping the U.S. dollar on the defensive and lending indirect support to gold prices. From a technical standpoint, gold remains confined within the narrowing bounds of a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic sign of consolidation and potential volatility ahead. The price action reflects a broader indecisiveness prevalent across multiple asset classes, as traders await clearer macro signals before committing to directional moves. Key support lies at 3301, 3330, and 3340, while resistance is seen at 3349, 3361, and 3375. Special attention should be paid to the critical 3330–3340 range, which has acted as a magnet for price in recent sessions. A decisive break and sustained hold above this zone—especially if supported by softer inflation data—could hand the bulls a tactical advantage, opening the door for a push toward higher resistance areas and renewed bullish momentum. In summary, gold is at a technical and fundamental crossroads. Inflation data will likely determine whether the metal can break free from its current consolidation or remain range-bound amid ongoing uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
"XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zones | Harmonic Setup in Play"Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a possible harmonic structure forming on the 15-minute chart. Key levels around 3344 and 3330 are being watched closely as potential support zones, with bullish and bearish scenarios mapped. Price action around these levels may offer clues for the next directional move. Chart illustrates both bullish breakout and extended correction scenarios. This is a technical outlook only, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakoutAn inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed on the 15-minute chart of XAUUSD. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked, and a breakout above the neckline has occurred with strong bullish momentum. Price has retested the breakout zone and is showing signs of support above the neckline and trendline. Volume also confirms the move, with increased buying pressure during the breakout. This setup indicates a potential bullish continuation. The trade idea includes a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the target zone near 3390 and stop-loss placed just below the neckline support around 3330. Technical Highlights: Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders Neckline Breakout Confirmed Support Levels: 3303, 3330 Resistance/Target Zone: 3390+ Volume Confirmation: Present This is a technical analysis idea and not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
Smart Trade Insight – XAU/USD Technical BreakdownKey Levels & Technical Zones: 🔹 Resistance Zone (🔼 SELL Area): 📌 3,315 – 3,340 This area has been tested and rejected multiple times, as highlighted by the strong bearish wicks. The recent price action failed to break above it, triggering short interest. 🔹 Minor Support Zone: 📌 Around 3,243 Acted as intraday bounce area previously, now likely to offer weak support in the coming move down. 🔹 Major Demand Zone (💚 BUY Interest Zone): 📌 3,120 – 3,140 Labelled as "BEST SUPPORT DEMANDING ZONE" – historical demand visible with strong bounce history. Ideal for monitoring bullish reversal opportunities. 📈 EMA Levels: 🔴 50 EMA: 3,299 🔵 200 EMA: 3,254 Current price action is hovering near the EMAs. The rejection at the resistance while below the 50 EMA indicates weakening bullish momentum. 🔍 Market Structure Overview: The double-top formation near the resistance shows exhaustion in buying. Lower highs forming → structure turning bearish short-term. Solid rejection confirms that this is a valid zone to initiate short positions 🛑📉. 📉 Forecast Path: 🔮 Projected Move: Price is expected to break below minor support at 3,243. Intermediate target: 3,206, then 3,167 🟠. Final destination: Demand Zone at 3,120 – 3,140 🟩 for potential bounce 📈. 💬 "Market not break the resistance level and rejected solid — this is a good entry for short-term sell trades." ✅ ✅ Trade Idea Summary: 🟥 Bias: Short 🎯 TP Targets: 3,206 → 3,167 → 3,122 📉 SL Suggestion: Above 3,340 resistance zone 🧭 Risk-Reward Setup: Favorable for short-term traders
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
27
XAU/USD Breakout Opportunity Above Descending TrendlineGold (XAU/USD) is showing a potential bullish breakout on the 15-minute chart. Price action has broken above a descending trendline, signaling a possible reversal from the recent downtrend. A strong bullish candle has closed above the trendline and horizontal resistance near the $3,302–$3,303 area, which may now act as a support. The setup shows a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with a long position targeting around $3,354, and a stop-loss placed just below the recent breakout zone at $3,288. This indicates a bullish bias as long as price holds above the broken trendline and horizontal support. Volume appears to be increasing, supporting the strength of the breakout. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
XAUUSD Approaching Breakout Zone | Technical Setup on 15m ChartGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute chart. The price has recently tested the upper trendline resistance but faced rejection, suggesting caution. Key observations: Structure: Descending triangle with multiple rejections at resistance. Support Zone: 3,285 – 3,290 area holds historical significance. Volume: Noticeable spike during the recent upward leg, hinting at strong participation. Bias: Watching for a clean breakout and close above the trendline for bullish confirmation. A rejection and breakdown below the 3,285 support area may shift short-term bias. This setup is ideal for traders monitoring breakout or reversal opportunities with defined risk management. Always confirm with your trading rules and strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
XAUUSD Short Setup | Clean Rejection + 600+ Pip OpportunityGold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bearish momentum after a clear supply zone rejection. Price failed to hold above 3,310 and broke down sharply. A short position was executed near the 3,300 region with a target toward the 3,254–3,253 demand zone. Key confluences: Breakdown from a rising wedge pattern Strong bearish volume candle confirmation Clean retest and rejection of minor resistance at 3,300 Risk-reward ratio aligned with smart trade management This move has already delivered over 600+ pips, showcasing the power of technical precision and discipline. Zones and price action remain valid unless a clear reversal structure forms above 3,310. 📉 Let the chart speak — analysis based on structure, not hype.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
1
XAU/USD 26 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Trend analysis under the interweaving of long and short factorsDuring the European session on Thursday, spot gold maintained a volatile downward trend and is now trading around $3,295/oz. During the day, everyone needs to focus on the US PMI data, which may cause significant fluctuations in the gold market. Although gold prices recorded a fourth consecutive trading day of gains on Thursday and hit a two-week high of $3,350/oz, the current rise has slowed down. The recent trend of gold is mainly supported by multiple factors: rising geopolitical risks, worsening US fiscal conditions and continued weakening of the US dollar. Specifically, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating and warned that the Trump administration's new round of tax reforms and spending plans may increase the size of US debt by 3 to 5 trillion US dollars, which significantly exacerbated market concerns about US debt risks. In addition, the increased expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the escalation of global trade tensions also supported gold prices. During the Asian session, gold prices approached a two-week high. However, as the market digests the previous good news, coupled with the upcoming intensive release of European and American economic data, the short-term trend of gold faces uncertainty. This trading day reminds everyone to pay attention to the key data including the May PMI data of European and American countries, the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, and the annualized total number of existing home sales in April. At the same time, the international trade situation, geopolitical dynamics, the progress of the G7 meeting, and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials may also have an impact on the market. It is recommended that everyone keep a close eye on it. On the 2-hour gold chart, gold rebounded continuously, setting a new high for the week, but the gold price fell back after rising during the day, and it is necessary to pay attention to the risk of short-term correction. Secondly, the intraday high point of gold is 3345 US dollars. The 5-day moving average slightly crosses, the MACD indicator crosses upward, the RSI indicator crosses downward, and the KDJ indicator crosses slightly. The short-term technical aspect shows that the downtrend is dominant, but the RSI indicator suggests that there is a need for adjustment in the short-term gold price, and it is recommended to be bearish. Operation strategy: Gold is recommended to short near the current price of 3290, stop loss at 3298, target 3275-3255, and hold after breaking.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by RoryKelvin
1
Gold's strong rise continuesToday's opening fell directly, and tested 3206 yesterday's low again. The more it tests, the greater the probability of breaking. Focus on the pressure of 3222-3232 during the day, the watershed is 3240, the target is 3190-3170, and the support is 3154-3120! Before the real big drop, it may be accompanied by the rise of the five-minute K line, up and down washing, which needs to be noted. As long as the European market is not strong, it can still be short; if the European market weakens, it will be short for the second time, but pay attention to the timing and beware of rebound. Finally, I would like to emphasize that the current decline in gold does not affect the long-term bullish direction. The US dollar index will continue to weaken and enter a downward cycle. It is only a matter of time before the US Reserve cuts interest rates, so the bull market of gold is still there, there is no doubt about it. It's just that the abnormal surge in April will always have some corrections. The market needs to cool down and return to rationality. The price base is high and the increase is large, so the correction range must be large, so look at it rationally.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by RoryKelvin
1