XAUUSD: Navigating Key LQZ 4 HIGH-PROBABILITY shortMulti-Timeframe Analysis of XAUUSD
1. 4-Hour Chart
Key Structure:
All-Time High (ATH) at $2,600.318: This level acts as a strong resistance. Price has rejected this zone, showing an initial failure to break higher.
Corrective Channel: The price has formed a small ascending corrective channel after the ATH rejection, which often indicates a potential continuation move downwards.
Key Liquidity Zones (LQZs):
4H LQZ at $2,522.172: This zone could act as the next support if the downtrend continues.
Daily LQZ at $2,511.042: Deeper support that aligns with the broader timeframe.
Implication: Based on the corrective channel and the rejection of ATH, a continuation down towards the 4H and Daily LQZ is likely unless a strong bullish push occurs.
2. 15-Minute Chart
Bearish Momentum: The price formed a sharp drop after the ATH rejection, leading to a corrective structure forming.
Ascending Channel: A bearish ascending channel (corrective) is visible, which may suggest further downside. A clean break below the lower boundary of this channel would confirm bearish continuation.
1H LQZ at $2,542.056: This zone is likely to be the first target if the breakout occurs.
Implication: If the price breaks below the corrective channel, a potential short entry targeting the 1H LQZ is a strong play. A further drop to the 4H LQZ could follow if momentum continues.
3. 5-Minute Chart
Current Reaction:
The price is bouncing from the lower part of the small corrective structure. There is a minor bounce from the 5M LQZ at $2,562.855.
Next Step:
Monitor for price rejection or failure at the 5M LQZ. If it fails to sustain this level, a short opportunity arises.
Implication: A break below the 5-minute structure could lead to a fast move down toward the 1H LQZ. Watch for strong rejections at this level.
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Trade Setup Suggestion:
1. Entry:
Aggressive: If the price breaks the corrective channel on the 15-minute chart, you can enter short near $2,562-$2,564.
Conservative: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the lower channel boundary.
2. Stop Loss:
Set above the corrective channel high, around $2,580, to protect against sudden bullish reversals.
3. Targets:
First target: 1H LQZ at $2,542.056.
Second target: 4H LQZ at $2,522.172.
Third target: Daily LQZ at $2,511.042 if further downside persists.
Conclusion:
The price structure and liquidity zones indicate a bearish continuation is possible, especially if the corrective channel breaks down. Keep an eye on how price interacts with the liquidity zones to refine entries and exits.
Xauusdforecast
XAUUSD: Sell@2577-2590
Have a nice day. I was away on a business trip Tuesday, and just got back today—I hope everyone is doing well.
Gold did not follow my initial expectation of a decline. Instead, after breaking through resistance, it experienced a significant rally. Today, it broke past 2580, setting a new all-time high. Based on current indicators, the market still has upward momentum, and we can't rule out the possibility of testing 2600. However, before that happens, there will likely be a test of support.
Thus, my trading approach is to short gold in the 2577-2590 range for now.
Gold on the Edge: Rising Wedge Breakdown or Support Bounce?4-Hour Chart:
Consolidation Below All-Time High:
After reaching the all-time high, the price is consolidating in a rising wedge pattern. This formation reflects indecision in the market, but the overall structure suggests potential for a downward move.
Key Levels:
4H LQZ TP1 (2,550.342): A strong support level and a possible target for short positions if the price drops.
4H LQZ TP2 (2,522.172): The second support level, likely to attract buyers if tested.
Strategy: If the price breaks down from the rising wedge and fails to hold support at 2,550.342, a move toward 2,522.172 could be expected. A reversal could occur at either of these liquidity zones.
1-Hour Chart:
Descending Channel (near support): The price is trending lower after failing to break above the all-time high. The descending channel is not steep, suggesting mild bearish pressure.
Support Levels:
1H LQZ (2,542.481): Immediate support for the current descending structure.
4H LQZ (2,522.172): Deeper support, aligned with the broader market structure, giving more room for a potential pullback.
Strategy: A break below the 1H LQZ could accelerate the sell-off, targeting the 4H LQZ. Watch for consolidation or buying pressure at these levels, as they are potential reversal points.
15-Minute Chart:
Rising Wedge: The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal, suggesting potential weakness in the uptrend. The price has made lower highs while testing a crucial support zone.
Key Levels:
All-Time High (2,589.652): The price tested this region but has failed to sustain momentum above it. This could indicate a major resistance level.
1H LQZ (2,542.481): The first level of significant support, serving as a take-profit target (TP1) for short positions. If the price breaks below, it could accelerate toward this level.
4H LQZ (2,522.172): The next key support zone (TP2), which could act as a strong buying area if the price corrects further.
Strategy: Watch for a potential breakdown from the rising wedge. A confirmed break below the wedge and support levels could indicate a stronger move downward toward 1H LQZ or 4H LQZ.
Overall Summary:
Bearish Bias: Across all time frames, the rising wedge formation points to potential bearish pressure, especially with failure to break above the all-time high.
Key Levels:
The all-time high (2,589.652) remains the major resistance.
Watch for reactions around 1H LQZ (2,542.481) and 4H LQZ (2,522.172) for potential support and buying opportunities.
Breakout or Breakdown: If the price breaks below the wedge patterns on the 15-minute and 4-hour charts, further downside toward the liquidity zones is likely. However, a rebound could signal renewed bullish momentum.
This setup is perfect for monitoring entry points based on key support/resistance levels and the wedge formations' breakdown potential.
XAUUSD | Bearish DivergenceCurrently, XAUUSD (Gold) is in an uptrend, making new higher highs and higher lows while moving within a parallel channel, supported by its trendline. Additionally, fundamental factors are pushing gold to reach new highs.
However, on the 1-hour time frame, there is a hidden bearish divergence, suggesting a potential trend reversal into a downtrend. This indicates that we may soon see the formation of new lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), and the price could move towards a high-demand zone.
Moreover, with high-impact USD news expected this week, we anticipate a potential retracement in price. After this pullback, we could expect an upward rally in gold.
In summary:
1: Uptrend: Gold is making higher highs and higher lows, moving within a parallel channel.
2: Fundamentals: Support the uptrend and push for new highs.
3: Hidden Bearish Divergence: On the 1-hour chart, indicating a potential shift to a downtrend.
4: High-Impact USD News: Expected to cause a retracement, followed by a potential upward rally.
Expectation: A short-term pullback, followed by a possible continuation of the uptrend.
These factors suggest short-term downside potential before a likely continuation of the uptrend.
XAU/USD "GOLD MINES" Bearish Robbery Plan to steal GoldHola ola My Dear,
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#XAUUSD 15MINOn the lower timeframes, I’m personally looking for a buying opportunity around the support zone of 2580.00 to 2578.00.
Targets: 2585.00 / 2590.00
Avoid placing advance orders for now. Wait for solid bullish confirmation before entering a trade.
Keep in mind, if the price closes below the 2575.00 level, stay away from buying.
#XAUUSD
#XAUUSD 1HBased on the 1-hour analysis, if the price closes below the 2575.00 level, we should consider selling opportunities.
The 2585.00 to 2587.00 range is a key zone for our sellers.
However, avoid placing any advance orders at this time. Wait for strong bearish confirmation before entering a trade.
#XAUUSD
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 16th SeptLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD M30 IdeaGold Prices Record High Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation
- Gold reached an all-time high of $2,586 per ounce last week, rising over 3.25% as speculation grows about a potential U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut.
- Traders are betting on a larger-than-expected cut, potentially 50 basis points, to stimulate the economy, which has been impacted by inflation concerns and global uncertainty. This surge marks gold’s strongest weekly gain since mid-August.
• Rate Cut Expectations Drive Gold’s Rally
- The likelihood of a 50-basis-point rate cut has grown to 50%, up from just 14% earlier in the week.
- Speculation surrounding aggressive Fed action has boosted gold’s appeal, as lower interest rates make non yielding assets like gold more attractive.
• Support from U.S. Dollar, Bond Yields, and Global Easing
- Despite gold's rise, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a slight gain, while bond yields fell, with the 10-year Treasury dropping 2.1 basis points. Lower bond yields decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold, further driving its appeal. Meanwhile, global monetary easing, including a rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB), and increased gold reserves by central banks, especially in emerging markets, have added to the metal's strength.
• Looking Ahead: — Gold’s Outlook
- All attention is now on the Fed’s upcoming meeting, where a rate cut is widely expected.
- The market anticipates a 25-basis-point reduction, though there’s a 49% chance of a larger 50-basis-point cut. A larger cut could push gold prices above $2,600 per ounce. The Fed will also provide projections on future rate cuts, which could suggest further easing in 2024, supporting gold’s bullish trend.
- In the short term, gold prices are likely to remain strong, with the possibility of testing new highs depending on the Fed’s actions.
- If the central bank continues to ease monetary policy and inflation moderates, gold could remain a favored asset, particularly if bond yields remain low.
#XAUUSD: 900+ big move in making| Do not miss out| Setupsfx_OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been accumulating since past few weeks and it has now reached an exhaustion point where we expect a breakthrough taking out buy side liquidity and creating a record higher high. Since last three days we have been waiting for an outbreak since it did not happen last week even with help nfp. Now looking at how price is behaving we are confident enough that price is going to breakthrough the accumulation phase. As always this is not a guarantee and should only be used for secondary bias, do your own analysis before taking any trade on any instruments. Good luck.
XAUUSD: Price is Moving as we had predicted in previous chart! Dear Traders,
We had predicted the last bullish move that occurred from 2430 to 2500 as we had explained why we think that price will move big from 2430 region. Now, as the price in final phase of AB=CD pattern, last CD pattern move will be crucial for us to reach our final target which will be 2550. Good luck.
Gold Trading Strategy: A Professional Approach to XAUUSD 👀 👉 This comprehensive video presents a sophisticated trading plan for the XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) market, designed to maximize profitability through a structured approach. We delve into crucial aspects of technical analysis and leverage TradingView's advanced tools to gain a competitive edge in the markets.
Key topics covered include:
1. Trend identification and analysis
2. Entry and exit criteria
3. Market overextension assessment
4. Discount entry strategies aligned with institutional positioning
5. Higher timeframe trend analysis combined with 4-hour chart entry points
6. Price action and market structure interpretation
Our methodology emphasizes the importance of avoiding premium entries in bullish markets and instead focuses on identifying optimal discount entry opportunities. By aligning our strategy with institutional movements, we aim to enhance the probability of successful trades.
The video provides a detailed exploration of various technical analysis components, including:
- Trend analysis techniques
- Market structure interpretation
- Price action patterns
- Overextension indicators
- Traded Volume indicators
- Multi-timeframe analysis (higher timeframe trend combined with 4-hour chart entries)
This comprehensive approach to XAUUSD trading is designed to equip traders with the tools and knowledge necessary to navigate the gold market effectively and potentially increase their trading success.
Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making any investment decisions. Trade responsibly and use proper risk management techniques. 📉✅
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailLast week, Gold (XAU/USD) remained range-bound, trading within the $2,510 and $2,530. This followed a rebound fueled by weak Nonfarm Payrolls data, which showed a significant slowdown in US hiring.
Traders reacted quickly, with Fed interest rate cut probabilities fluctuating. At one point, a 50 bps cut was priced in with 70% odds, but by the end of the week, a 25 bps cut became the most likely scenario.
Adding to the dovish sentiment, several Fed policymakers, including John Williams, Christopher Waller, and Austan Goolsbee, have signalled their openness to easing monetary policy.
With the Fed leaning towards rate cuts, what does this mean for Gold's price in the coming week?
Join me in this video as I analyze the latest developments and discuss the potential path for Gold.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,485 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#GoldPrice #XAUUSD #Forex #MarketAnalysis #FedRateCut #GoldOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #NonfarmPayrolls #CMEFedWatchTool📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD 30M TRIANGE BREAKOUT PROJECTION 12.09.24Reason for Bullish In Gold
Any change in its demand anywhere in the world, either for jewellery or as an industrial input, affects the price of gold. The increase in the price of gold is directly proportional to the demand for gold and consumer goods. A crucial factor determining this demand-supply, is the production of gold.