GOLd possible short for 2465 & 2440Last weekly bar of the month of August in Gold is Inside bar. Range confined within the range of the previously weekly bar. First weekly bar of the month of September is Insurance bar, broker below the Inside bar low which confirmed further weakness ahead. selling zone for gold is 2517-26. stop loss above the previous two weekly bars high i.e. 2534. Target: 2465 (price may reverse back from there as a correction before further fall), next target level is 2440.
Xauusdforecast
Bold Maverick vs. Cautious Rabbit: XAUUSD Wedge Breakout BattleMaverick Approach: As a Maverick, you're always looking for opportunities to make aggressive moves when the risk/reward seems enticing.
Here's what stands out:
Retracement into a Key Support Zone:
The price is pulling back near the lower support channel and hovering around 2,498.860, just above the earlier consolidation zone. A Maverick would see this as a potential buying opportunity, betting that price will bounce off this support level and move back toward the previous high around 2,531.861. Given the structure, it's a chance to enter a long trade while the market is still within the rising wedge.
Action: Jump in for a quick buy at this level, looking to ride the bounce. Your bold side may put a take-profit target near the ATH or just shy of it, around 2,525 to avoid getting caught in the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Strategy: To protect from a breakdown, you'd want to place a tight stop-loss just below the wedge, around 2,490. The Maverick thrives on action, but with controlled risk in case the price falls.
Rabbit Approach: The Rabbit focuses on digging deeper into the structure, ensuring everything is aligned before taking a position.
Here’s how the analytical approach works:
Rising Wedge and Bearish Implications: The rising wedge pattern you're trading within is typically a bearish signal. This pattern suggests a potential breakdown, especially if the price doesn't hold the current support level.
The Rabbit would want to see multiple confirmations that buyers are stepping in before entering long. Waiting for a strong reaction or a higher low at the wedge boundary (around 2,490-2,495) would be ideal before considering a position.
Caution: Be wary of a break below the wedge, which could signal a bearish continuation back down to 2,470.907 or even lower.
Consolidation Zones for Reentry: The Rabbit would focus on the previous consolidation zone around 2,470.907, treating this as a potential re-entry point for longs if the price breaks the wedge support. That zone has shown strong buying pressure, making it a safer play.
Plan: If price revisits this zone with a strong bounce, it would offer a much lower-risk buy with a greater reward potential, aligning with the Rabbit’s need for precision.
Combined Strategy:
Aggressive Entry (Maverick): Buy at the current level (2,498), targeting a bounce back toward 2,525 or higher, with a stop-loss under the wedge (2,490). This setup is more for short-term profits before any wedge breakdown occurs.
Conservative Entry (Rabbit): Wait for confirmation at 2,498 or for a break below to re-enter near the 2,470 support. Ensure that the wedge pattern doesn’t break down entirely before committing to a long trade.
Conclusion:
For the Maverick: Act now if you see this as a low-risk bounce trade, aiming for quick profits near the ATH, but with the understanding that momentum could shift fast.
For the Rabbit: Be patient, observe price action at key levels, and avoid chasing a move that doesn't align with the bigger structure. Waiting for a retest of 2,470 or a clear bounce is your higher-probability play.
Whichever archetype you're channeling, stay sharp, and don’t let emotions get in the way!
XAU/USD imminent buys or rally from 2,460.000I anticipate that gold is gearing up for another rally to sweep the liquidity pool formed along the trendline. Price could either break past the 10-hour supply zone, potentially reaching a new all-time high, or we might see a short-term decline from this zone, pushing the price down to the 19-hour demand level.
If the price reaches this demand zone, I expect it to consolidate on the lower time frames, after which gold may expand to the upside. While we're currently seeing a reaction at the present demand zone, I believe it might eventually fail due to the significant liquidity on both sides.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- There is significant liquidity to the upside that remains untapped.
- Price shows strong bullish momentum on both higher and lower time frames.
- A clean, unmitigated 19-hour demand zone is present.
- There are equal lows above the demand zone, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before price expands.
P.S. As the price has already reacted to the current demand zone, I will be holding off for now and either wait for a short-term sell from the supply zone or until the price reaches the 19-hour demand zone.
Have a great trading week, everyone!
Why'd you go backwards, GOLD - punk?Gold analysis 1/09/24
FA: Rate-cut rotation has a reputation as a sleepy time in global stock markets, and the U.S. is no exception. Historically after rate cuts market has a dive, also September is the weakest month for the US market in general. At the next FOMC meeting, they will cut the rate by 25-50 points, and this news is already in price.
TA: Gold has been near ATH for quite some time, looks like the price is in a range and I would love to see liquidity sweep from one of the sides( top or bottom). Also one of the important things for GOLD is DXY. DXY is oversold and it has 4h and daily FVG higher + it just tested the bottom of the global range (almost 2 years in consolidation), and most likely it will bounce till dFVG, also on 15m and 1h time frame DXY has uptrend (MS( ChoCH) and BoS) until uptrend on 1h is not broken I will no consider reversal on DXY. But more about DXY in the next post
Considering all of this I would love to see moving forward on one side and then aggressive movement in the opposite direction. Keep in mind that usually at the beginning of the month, there is manipulation, and then the price moves in a real direction (learn about monthly/weekly/daily range structure
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices dipped into the $2,500 zone on Friday after the US Department of Commerce revealed that inflation remains subdued. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index held steady at 2.5% year-over-year in July, falling short of market expectations. This aligns with the Fed’s potential move to ease monetary policy in September, though the size of the rate cut remains uncertain.
As we head into a busy week with the release of ISM Manufacturing and Services PMIs, jobs data, and the Balance of Trade, this video breaks down the potential for both buyers and sellers in the Gold market. Will the $2,500 level hold, or are we in for more volatility? Dive into the analysis to prepare for the week ahead!
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,500 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #ForexTrading #JacksonHole #Investment #TradingStrategy #FXTrading📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 5th SeptLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
GOLD (Y24.P3.Video1).Dont miss buying gold for new ATHHi Traders,
There are many reasons to buying gold and on this platform, we focus on the charts and explain the price or market structure to why we paused here, and where its likely to target and potentially a few trading scenarios in-between on the smaller time frame.
Please give me a like and share,
Regards,
S.SAri
GOLD, raid for liqudity! Ver thik, her ek kom!Gold just took liquidity from the previous day's low (PDL) and previous week's low (PWL). It had the first market structure (MS) shift on the 15-minute chart, and now, after some consolidation and testing of the 15-minute order block (OB), it will most likely continue higher to take out liquidity from the equal highs (EQH) in the 2528-2531 area (which also includes the previous month's high (PMH) and previous week's high (PWH)). This aligns with the monthly theory that suggests price manipulation at the beginning of the month, followed by the real move during the 2nd and 3rd weeks of the month.
I would wait until the price moves higher to the 2507 area, breaks above it, and closes on the 15-minute chart with the candle body above the London open high (LOH). Only then would I open a long position targeting the previous week's high (PWH).
Always follow risk management: after a 1:1 risk-to-reward (RR) move, adjust the stop-loss to the entry point. At 1:2 RR, either take full profit (TP) or trim 80% of the position.
XAU/USD (GOLD) Longs from 2,480.000 back upMy analysis for gold this week remains focused on identifying long opportunities to capitalize on the bullish pressure we've been seeing. The plan is to follow the trend as it develops. Last week's consolidation and the current slowdown suggest that the bullish momentum is waning and a retracement might be due.
I've identified a 2-hour supply zone where the price might react and trigger a downward move. If this does not happen, I'll look for the price to decline towards the 17-hour demand zone, where I anticipate price accumulation and a potential rally continuation.
Confluences for gold buy opportunities include:
- Price has shown strong bullish behavior and recently took out the all-time highs.
- A clear 17-hour demand zone remains, which caused a break of structure to the upside.
-There's trendline liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
- This move aligns with the higher time frame trend, which is currently very bullish.
P.S. I particularly expect the price to sweep the Asian session low around 2484, where we might then see a slowdown. Additionally, there's also a significant 19-hour demand zone below to consider.
XAUUSD: Today will be the last chance to set a new highYesterday we sold at 2525 and closed at 2515. Just now, the gold price rebounded to 2525 again. I notified in the channel that I had done such a transaction again, and now it has been closed with profit. I believe that friends who have followed my trading strategies have made huge profits. Congratulations to everyone.
The 2525-2530 area has not broken for 5 consecutive times, which will obviously have a negative impact on the strength of the bulls.
However, I observed that in the 1H chart, the recent lows of gold prices are constantly moving up, which shows that gold prices are moving upward. Although the highs have been stuck in the 2525-2530 area, the upward movement of the lows indicates that there is already an idea of breaking through the resistance range.
In addition, there are multiple data to be released today, among which the important data PCE price index will be the top priority of the market. Once several of these data are bullish, coupled with the current high global risk aversion, I think gold is likely to break through the resistance.
Therefore, based on the above information, I give the following trading strategy:
Buy bullish when the price falls back to the 2500-2510 area
Or wait for the PCE data to be released and make other plans based on the data performance
I prefer the former because I have a feeling that the gold price will hit a new high today
XAUUSD: Price will likely to continue rising up towards 2558$! Dear Traders,
Price is likely to continue rising up towards 2558$ as price has been consolidating since last few days. Sellers tried to take the price down but they failed to do it so and it reversed back from our previous buying entry point. We will having big news in coming days which will likely to shape the market and trend. Good luck.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Today I waited until 2530 before tradingAs can be seen from the figure, my two trend prediction lines were drawn very accurately. It is a pity that we were in the 2500-2505 buying range, and the two buying orders were all profit-taking before the market closed. The best performance of these two rises was in the Asian session of the next day. During that period, I was still sleeping in Europe, which was quite regrettable.
But think about it the other way around. You should be content if you can make money, because you can't make money in all trends. It's always better to make money than to lose money, isn't it?
Yesterday before I took a break, I said that if the historical high cannot be refreshed today, then gold may start to fall. This high point has been attacked many times. After many unsuccessful attacks, the bullish force will weaken. Therefore, whether this attack can be refreshed is a key point. Please keep an eye on it.
How should I trade today? To be honest, I am not sure for the time being, because the current position is in the middle of support and resistance. If I continue to be bullish, it is too far away from the lower support. I feel that there is a risk. If I am bearish, it is still more than ten dollars away from the upper resistance, which is also risky.
Therefore, I think it is better to wait and see. Today, three US data will be released. When the data comes out, I think the direction of the market will be much clearer.
Trading strategy:
If it can break through the historical high today, I think it can chase the rise, with a target of 2550-2570
If it encounters resistance near 2530 today, you can consider selling at a high level, with a target of 2505-2500
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices surged on Friday as the US Dollar and Treasury bond yields tumbled, driven by dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. With the Fed signalling a policy shift and acknowledging that inflation is nearing the 2% target, the focus has turned towards achieving maximum employment. This backdrop has sparked renewed interest in gold among Western investors, especially as expected interest rate cuts could reduce the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal.
In this video, we analyze the current market dynamics, showing why gold may not be overbought and why there’s potential for continued upward momentum. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 25 bps rate cut is fully priced in, with rising odds for a larger cut. We’ll dive into both the technical charts and fundamental factors that favor higher gold prices in the coming week.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,495 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone then Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #ForexTrading #JacksonHole #Investment #TradingStrategy #FXTrading📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.