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Xauusdforecast

Gold Teeters on the Edge: Major Reversal or Breakout?The charts provided for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on various time frames present a comprehensive analysis scenario where several key patterns and zones align across different time frames. Analysis Breakdown: 1. **Daily Time Frame (1st Chart):** - Rising Wedge Pattern: This is typically a bearish reversal pattern, especially when it forms after a significant uptrend. The price is nearing the upper boundary of this wedge. - Daily Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at ~2,484, The price is within a critical liquidity zone. This zone often acts as a magnet for price action, where significant buying or selling can occur. A reaction here could signal a reversal, particularly since it aligns with the top of the wedge. 2. 4-Hour Time Frame (2nd Chart): - Continuation of the Rising Wedge: The 4-hour chart mirrors the daily chart, emphasizing the wedge pattern's significance. The price is testing the upper boundary of this wedge, which could result in a breakout or a reversal. - Confluence at LQZ: The price is closely interacting with the daily LQZ, reinforcing its importance. Multiple touches near this area might suggest either absorption of liquidity before a breakout or a potential exhaustion leading to a pullback. 3. 1-Hour Time Frame (3rd Chart): - Bearish Flag Structures: Two bearish flags are visible, which are typically continuation patterns indicating the possibility of a downward move. These have occurred within the broader rising wedge. - Approach to Key Resistance: The price is at a critical juncture where the rising wedge's upper boundary coincides with a strong resistance level. 4. 15-Minute Time Frame (4th Chart): - Breakout and Retest Scenario: On the lowest time frame, a breakout from the bearish flag is evident, with the price retesting the structure's top. This may indicate either a continuation to the upside or a failure and reversal, depending on how it interacts with the liquidity zone above. Potential Trading Scenarios: - Reversal Scenario: Given the rising wedge pattern and its bearish implications, combined with the proximity to a significant liquidity zone, there's a strong potential for a reversal. Watch for a clear bearish signal on the 4-hour or daily chart, such as a bearish engulfing candle, which could confirm the reversal. A break below the wedge's lower boundary would be a stronger confirmation. - Breakout Scenario: If the price breaks above the wedge's upper boundary and holds, especially on the daily chart, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. However, be cautious of potential false breakouts, especially around such strong resistance and liquidity zones. - Entry Considerations: If considering a short entry, look for a rejection from the LQZ on the 4-hour or 1-hour chart, ideally supported by bearish confirmation patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars). A reduced-risk entry could be taken on a lower time frame after the breakout and retest of the wedge or flag structure.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
4
XAU/USD 19-23 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all time highs with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. I have previously mentioned that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought close to current price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, and 50% internal EQ are almost identical. We currently do not have any indication of price pulling back. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning. Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Bullish momentum started again**Monthly Chart** XAUUSD monthly candle closed as doji due to the sideway movement of this pair between the High 2387.78 and low 2286.83 levels. This has created indecision bias in the market. Due to geopolitics reasons, this pair has strong momentum to move higher in the next few months. Therefore, we shall assess this pair near supply and demand zones for better risk-to-reward trades. XAUUSD has reached a new record high this month at 2,483.74 on 17th July 2024. However, this monthly candle is still active and bullish. This still confirmed the long-term bias is bullish for Gold. Last week, we saw a big selloff in XAUUSD for profit-taking after it reached a new record high. While the long-term outlook for the XAUUSD (Gold) is still bullish. **Weekly Chart** Last week's candle closed bearish after testing the midlevel of the previous week's key reversal. It has also tested the IPA of the 1st July 2024 week at 2,353.195 before moving higher. This has confirmed that the sell-off was completed and the buyers are entering the market as it pushed XAUUSD higher. **Daily Chart** Last week's move was a continuation of the previous weekly sell-off move and only tested the relative daily low at around the 2,353.19 level before it turned around and started a bullish move. For this week I expect to continue to be bullish and we will probably see a new high formed above 2,500 level in the coming weeks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PropSignals
XAUUSD Where it is going first?**Monthly Chart** Last month's XAUUSD (Gold) candle closed as a large bullish candle after creating a new record high shy of the 2,500 level (round number). This indicates that traders will try to push the price higher to break the record high. This is in line with geopolitical reasons happening in the Middle East at the current moment. This month's candle, which is still active, tested 50% of last month's candle and tried to push higher again after a large sell-off last week (Monday—5th August 2024). **Weekly Chart** The last weekly candle closed as a bullish fakey candle (or low test in the supply zone), indicating a solid buy around 2400 levels for 300 pips up. However, the price must still break the low at around 2360 levels before it pushes strongly upwards. This week, we will examine the price movement for a better entry setup to buy from the demand zone. **Daily Chart** Friday's candle closed as an indecision doji after testing the IPA (or FVG candle), indicating an indecision move after large buys from the previous day. This week, I would like XAUUSD to move lower first to test the liquidity pool generated around the 2,360 level. This level has created a great buying opportunity before the price moves higher and creates a new high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PropSignals
4
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold (XAU/USD) prices surged to near $2,430 in Friday's New York session, rebounding after a turbulent week sparked by the Bank of Japan's surprise rate hike. But with the Fed's potential September rate cut looming, will gold continue its climb? The recent recovery highlights a firm near-term outlook for gold, driven by strong speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin reducing interest rates in September. There is ongoing debate among investors about the Fed’s approach to rate cuts. Some are anticipating a more aggressive 50 basis point (bp) reduction, while others expect a 25 bp cut. According to the CME FedWatch tool, current 30-day Federal Funds futures data shows a 54.5% probability of a 50 bp cut in September. Additionally, projections for the year indicate a potential total reduction of 100 bps. In this video, I explored the current market sentiment, weighed the chances of both buyers and sellers in this volatile environment and discussed how to prepare for potential trading opportunities in the upcoming week. XAUUSD Technical Overview: This week, we're focusing on the $2,425 zone. This could be a make-or-break point just like it did last week. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone then Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights! 📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market! #gold #goldprice #goldtrading #swingtrading #marketanalysis #fed #rates #economy #usdata #nonfarmpayrolls #tradingstrategy #technicalanalysis #investing #finance #goldinvestors #goldbugs #goldnews #marketupdate📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 In this video, we dive into the XAUUSD pair, which has recently shown bearish momentum with a break of structure on the 4-hour time frame. The pair has pulled back and is now retracing into a critical resistance level. I see potential for further downside and am watching to see if the price holds below the current range low. If we get a breakout, I plan to enter a sell position, as explained in the video. If the price action doesn't set up as discussed, there’s no trade. However, it's important to understand that these insights are speculative and not guaranteed forecasts. It's crucial to confirm specific price actions before making any trades, as highlighted in the video. The analysis provides a detailed look at the current trend, market structure, and price behavior. Remember, this content is for educational purposes and doesn't guarantee success. Trading carries significant risks, so always use strong risk management strategies. 📈✅
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
1
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 🔍 In this video, we take an in-depth look at XAU/USD (Gold). Recently, it broke structure on the daily time frame with a strong bullish move toward previous resistance levels. However, on the 4-hour chart, we're seeing a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term downward trend. Despite this, the price appears to be holding steady, and I'm monitoring for a potential bullish breakout. If the price breaks resistance and retraces into the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci zone, it could present a buying opportunity. As always, this video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's important to understand that these insights are speculative and not a guaranteed forecast. Confirm specific price actions before making any trades, as discussed in the video. The analysis covers the current trend, market structure, and price behaviour in detail. Remember, this content is educational and doesn't guarantee success. Trading carries significant risks, so always use strong risk management strategies. 📊✅
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
XAU/USD (GOLD) Long from 2.390.000 back up My bias on gold remains bullish. Price has been reacting strongly to demand zones and imbalances, producing solid bullish candles. However, since price left a clean demand zone, I expect a small pullback into that zone for reaccumulation. Once price gives a change of character to the upside in the 20-hour demand zone, I’ll look to buy back up to target the Asia high below the 45-minute supply zone. Confluences for GOLD Buys: - Price changed character to the upside, leaving a clean 20-hour demand zone. - Liquidity above in the form of an Asia high. - -Market structure is bullish on both higher and lower time frames. Economic news and ongoing conflicts support GOLD longs. P.S. After sweeping the Asia high below the supply, I expect a short-term sell opportunity around the 45-minute supply at 2,470.000. However, I’ll wait to see how price reacts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold took a tumble last Friday, reversing its upward trend after disappointing economic data from the US. We saw a near 1% drop following a two-week high of $2477, driven by concerns about the health of the US economy. The latest Nonfarm Payrolls figures fell short of expectations, adding only 114K jobs in July, a significant miss from the estimated 175K. This comes on the heels of a dismal ISM Manufacturing PMI report, raising concerns about the health of the US economy. Major banks like Bank of America, Citi, and JP Morgan have adjusted their forecasts, now anticipating more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. While gold remains bullish in the current environment, the path forward isn't clear. What’s next for gold? With the market dynamics shifting, the path of least resistance for this safe-haven asset remains bullish. But which route will it take? In this video, I dive deep into my swing trading strategy and share how I plan to navigate the current market environment. Join me as I break down the latest developments and outline my approach to capitalize on potential opportunities in the gold market next week. XAUUSD Technical Overview: This week, we're focusing on the crucial $2,20 - $2,425 zone. This is a big deal for gold traders - it could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone then Bears might gain the upper hand, and prices could head south breaking down the support line of the ascending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights! 📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market! #gold #goldprice #goldtrading #swingtrading #marketanalysis #fed #rates #economy #usdata #nonfarmpayrolls #tradingstrategy #technicalanalysis #investing #finance #goldinvestors #goldbugs #goldnews #marketupdate📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 🔍 In this video, we take a detailed look at XAU/USD Gold. Recently, it broke structure on the daily time frame with a strong bullish move toward previous resistance levels. However, the 4-hour chart is currently showing a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a short-term downward trend. Despite this, the price seems to be holding steady, and I'm watching for a potential bullish breakout. If the price breaks resistance and retraces into the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci zone, it could present a buying opportunity. As always, this video is intended for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. 📊 ✅
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
3
XAUUSD: 1HR VIEW Targeting $2300! Second Entry UpdateDear Traders, Price has shown some strong bearish pressure as it failed to go beyond 2408, where it ranged for entire London and New York session. We waited until now to have some strong confirmation of how price may move. We are now confident enough to have a bearish outlook on Gold. If you like the idea then like and comment. Previous idea is running +400 pips. Keep supporting and good luck to everyone. Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
16