Xauusdforecast
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold prices are on a roll, climbing for the third consecutive quarter! What's driving this surge? 👀 It's all about inflation and the Federal Reserve.
This gain comes after a key U.S. inflation gauge, favored by the Federal Reserve, was broadly in line with expectations, fueling hopes of potential interest rate cuts by September.
On Friday, market sentiment shifted as traders bet on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by September and again in December. This speculation followed the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index report, which showed no inflation rise from April to May. The PCE's steady data and moderate consumer spending have influenced this outlook.
Despite Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin's neutral stance on rate cuts and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's positive remarks on current policy effectiveness, the market remains hopeful. Economic indicators, including declining business spending on equipment and a widening goods trade deficit, underscore a slowing economic momentum. This, combined with a weakened dollar and falling benchmark 10-year yields, has made gold more attractive to investors.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders are now pricing in an 89% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, up from 64% before the latest inflation data release. This video will show you how I plan to position for the next move in the gold market.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our attention is still fixed on the key level at $2,330 for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,330 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
#GoldPrices #XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis #FedRateCut #TradingStrategy #EconomicIndicators #ForexTrading #Investment #MarketSentiment #CMEFedWatch #FinancialNews📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn this video, we delve into the recent reversal of gold prices, which saw a decline of over 1.70% on Friday. This shift comes on the heels of robust economic data from the United States, leading investors to adjust their expectations for future Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,317, below its opening price and after reaching a daily high of $2,368.
The US economy has presented mixed signals regarding its strength. On one hand, S&P Global’s June PMI readings exceeded estimates and outperformed May’s figures, indicating resilience. On the other hand, the housing sector showed signs of weakness, with May's Existing Home Sales falling short of expectations and decreasing compared to April's data.
With this backdrop, we explore whether gold prices will continue their downward correction after a three-month rally that began in March or if there's potential for an uptrend continuation, given that the price remains within a familiar demand zone.
Additionally, we highlight insights from the World Gold Council’s annual survey, which revealed that 81% of respondents anticipate an increase in global central bank gold reserves over the next year, up from 71% a year ago. Despite high prices, more central banks plan to bolster their gold reserves due to ongoing macroeconomic and political uncertainty. This development suggests that the path of least resistance for gold may still be upward, although we cannot discount the potential influence of sellers.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our attention is still fixed on the key level at $2,320 for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,320 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
#GoldMarket #GoldInvestment #GeopoliticalImpact #InterestRates #AsianDemand #GoldETFs #MarketAnalysis #Investing #TradingTips #GoldPrices #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #FederalReserve #USEconomy #PMI #HousingMarket #WorldGoldCouncil #CentralBanks #MarketTrends #Investment #EconomicData #Forex #Trading #MarketAnalysis #GoldReserves📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detail [8 - 12]The gold price just hit a one-month high, and the Fed's next move is on everyone's mind!
The June US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a stronger-than-expected jobs gain, but revisions to previous months hinted at a cooling labor market. 📉
While average hourly earnings stayed flat month-over-month, they declined year-over-year, adding to concerns about economic growth.
All eyes are on the Fed: The recent string of weak economic data has increased expectations for an interest rate cut by September. The CME FedWatch tool shows the probability of a rate cut has jumped to 72%! 🚀
But it's not just the US economy driving gold's gains: The ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, along with the BRICS bloc's push for de-dollarization, are boosting demand for gold as a safe haven asset. 🛡️
This video breaks down the key market forces shaping gold's price, and how I'm using historical data on the charts and the economic calendar to plan my trading strategy this week. This analysis is crucial for understanding the current market trends and making informed decisions.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our attention is still fixed on the key level at $2,350 for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,350 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
#Gold #GoldPrice #Fed #InterestRates #MarketAnalysis #Trading #EconomicCalendar #Geopolitics #BRICS #DeDollarization📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 12 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As previously mentioned, following bullish iBOS price did not pull back significantly enough to indicate bearish pullback initiation which could indicate that price is seeking further liquidity to fuel its drive down.
I also previously mentioned that price could also create a new high, higher than the current fractal high to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action and tap into daily supply zone.
This is precisely what happened which was also assisted by yesterday's US CPI reading.
Intraday expectation: Following bullish iBOS price is expected to pull back to print a bearish iBOS which would indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback initiation Price should react at discount of 50% EQ of the internal structure (50% EQ denoted in blue) or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS which was assisted by yesterdays US CPI reading.
Following pullback, bearish pullback initiation began after reaction from daily supply zone where price printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback initiation.
Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high as price is currently the discount zone of 50% EQ with internal structure being bullish, however, we should be mindful that H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, therefore, I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 11th JulyLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAU/USD 11 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 10 July 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following bullish iBOS price has not pulled back significantly enough to indicate bearish pullback initiation.
This could indicate that price is seeking further liquidity to fuel its drive down.
Price could also create a new high, higher than the current fractal high to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
Intraday expectation: According to current price action, price to pullback to either discount of 50% EQ of the internal structure (50% EQ denoted in blue) or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. However, I would personally stand aside and allow price to confirm it's intention as price has failed to print bearish CHoCH or reach discount of 50% EQ.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met with strong high being breached and price printing bullish iBOS, aligning itself with swing structure.
Following pullback, bearish pullback initiation began after reaction from M15 supply zone printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback initiation.
However, price could not sustain it's bearish pullback phase and has reacted from premium of 50% EQ to target weak internal high. This would bring into question if price has enough liquidity to break and close above weak internal high.
Intraday expectation: If price fails to break and close above weak internal high I would expect price to pull back to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 10th JulyLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD remains Bullish**Monthly Chart**
XAUUSD monthly candle closed as doji due to the sideway movement of this pair between High 2387.78 and low 2286.83 levels. This has created indecision bias in the market. However, due to geopolitics reasons, this pair has strong momentum to move higher in the next few months. Therefore, we shall assess this pair near supply and demand zones for better risk-to-reward trades.
**Weekly Chart**
Weekly candle closed as a bullish low test candle indicating that there is still a strong bullish directional basis towards 2369 level and then 2400 level.
**Daily Chart**
XAUUSD moved higher creating an engulfing candle after testing the demand zone suggesting a continuation of the bullish move. At least to test the high of the IPA around 2387 level. We might see a small retracement in lower time frames before the price pushes higher this week.
GOLD (XAUUSD): More Growth is Coming?!
Today's Powell Speech has a very limited impact on Gold.
Since early morning, the market turned bullish and
successfully violated a resistance line of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
The market may keep growing now.
Next resistance - 2390
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Czech Gold Holdings Rise as Governor Michl Diversifies Reserves he Czech Republic expanded its gold reserves in June as central bank Governor Ales Michl continues to execute a plan to diversify investments to make his institution profitable. Czech holdings of the precious metal increased to 41.5 metric tons, from 39.7 tons in the previous month, central bank data showed on Tuesday. The value of gold totaling $3.1 billion at the end of June still represented only a fraction of the overall reserves of $146.5 billion, which are one of the highest in the world relative to the size of the economy. Michl, who started his six-year tenure in July 2022, has set a goal to boost the ...
XAUUSD possible drop to support level?XAUUSD has move to previous support 2368.42 which turns resistance and has formed a double top. The price just just tested the previous support turn resistance and rejected from smart money zone 2366.00 and may continue it's local downtrend and may drop to 2351.185 which is the long term support. A down bearish trade is high probable.
XAUUSD: 2300+ PIPS Trade Idea in Making! Gold price rebound to 2365$ area before started to drop again, price reverse from a solid imbalance zone where price rejected strongly. After carefully, looking at the price behaviour it is likely to have a strong drop on gold prices in coming days. We expect price to continue dropping down until it reaches 2280 region where a strong reversal/rebound can be expected. So good luck and trade safe.
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XAUUSD: 2200+ Pips On Making Just Wait Until Big News! Dear Traders,
Price is dropping nicely towards our area our entry point , we expecting price to fall around our area on Thursday or Friday. With accurate risk management, we can target 2200 pips.
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Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD: Possible Early Price Mitigation! Dear Traders,
OANDA:XAUUSD we have updated our views on gold, in our opinion price is likely to continue the bullish momentum from this moment onwards, next possible targets are 2390$ and 2450$. However, if current strong resistance upholds then price can drop 2290$ or 2280$ region can be strong opportunity where buyers can strongly rebound.
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Team SetupsFX_
#XAUUSD: As we planned, everything is moving as expectedDear Traders,
As we explained in our previous charts that gold will rebound from 2290 region and price did exactly as we expected. Now we expect price to continue the bullish momentum up until 2500$ region, which will be our long term entry. There are major economical data on our way in this week also next week, those may impact the future trend of the Gold. However, we remain firm with our positions.
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XAUUSD: Bullish Move to Continue Dominate!Dear Traders,
Hope you are well, our previous analysis did not work out in our favour as price dropped to 2295$ region taking the sell side liquidity. Now, we think that price will remain bullish and the trend will be going as we expect. Please use the accurate risk management and do your research before entering or taking entry solely using our analysis.
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD: Three take profit area set, worth 1500+ pips. Dear Traders,
Based on our last analysis, we still have the same bias where we expect price to continue the bullish momentum upside 2400$ which is the least target that we have set. Now, we have witness the changes in price, price behaved very bullish in last few 4h timeframe. Which suggest future growth in the market. Good luck and trade safe.
Team Setupsfx_