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Xauusdforecast

XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 3, 2025 a comprehensive trading strategy. ## **1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)** ### **M30 (30-Minute Chart)** - **Equilibrium Zone (~$2,870 - $2,875)** is being tested. - **Previous Day Low (PDL) ~$2,825 is intact**. - **Minor bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) observed**, suggesting a possible retracement. ### **H1 (1-Hour Chart)** - **Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continued downside bias**. - **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,950) remains a strong resistance**. - **Retracement to equilibrium ($2,875 - $2,885) is likely before further downside**. ### **H4 (4-Hour Chart)** - **Price rejected from the previous weak low (~$2,825)**. - **Liquidity grab occurred, but market remains bearish**. - **Potential retest of previous support at $2,885 - $2,900 before continuing down**. ### **D1 (Daily Chart)** - **Strong BOS confirmed bearish sentiment**. - **Premium rejection zone ~$2,950 remains strong**. - **If price stays below $2,900, further downside to $2,800 - $2,780 is possible**. --- ## **2. Expected Scenarios & Probability** ### **Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)** - If price **rejects $2,880 - $2,885**, the downtrend is expected to continue. - **Target: $2,840 - $2,825**. - **Confirmation:** A bearish candlestick formation in the **$2,875 - $2,885 zone**. ### **Scenario 2: Short-Term Bullish Retracement (30% Probability)** - If price holds above **$2,860**, a short-term retracement to **$2,900 - $2,920** may occur. - **Target: $2,900 - $2,920** before another decline. - **Confirmation:** A **bullish breakout above $2,875**. --- ## **3. Trading Plan** ### **Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 70% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,875 - $2,885. - **SL:** $2,905 (Above resistance). - **TP1:** $2,850 (First liquidity level). - **TP2:** $2,840 (Weak low). - **TP3:** $2,825 (Major demand zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:4. ### **Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 30% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,860 - $2,865. - **SL:** $2,850 (Below weak low). - **TP1:** $2,880 (Short-term equilibrium). - **TP2:** $2,900 (Key supply zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:3. --- ## **4. Final Trade Execution Summary:** | Trade Type | Entry | Stop-Loss | Take-Profit 1 | Take-Profit 2 | Take-Profit 3 | R:R | |------------|------|-----------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----| | **Sell Setup** | $2,875 - $2,885 | $2,905 | $2,850 | $2,840 | $2,825 | 1:4 | | **Buy Setup** | $2,860 - $2,865 | $2,850 | $2,880 | $2,900 | - | 1:3 | --- ## **📌 Additional Execution Tips:** - **Use M5/M15 for precise entries.** - **Wait for confirmation candles before entering.** - **Avoid entering trades during high-impact news releases.** - **Risk per trade:** 1-2% of capital for optimal drawdown control.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wizzywise1
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKGOLD 12H CHART UPDATE: 24th FEB 2025 Hello Everyone, Here’s the latest 12H GOLD chart update, offering a thorough review of recent price movements and key insights for the upcoming sessions. Since October 2023, our careful tracking has maintained 100% target accuracy, as reflected by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s explore the highlights and what lies ahead. * Gold touched ATH last week at 2954.81 * Gold price has been fluctuating between two weighted level above with a gap 2948 and with a gap below 2903 the whole week. The Resistance 2948 and support level 2903 reacted well. What is next for GOLD? * Resistance Levels: 2948, 2993, 3041, 3092 * Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2900, 2856, 2813, 2770, 2710, 2664, 2599 * FVG is providing strong support at 2920 which might push price bullish EMA5 Behavior (Red Line): Current EMA5: 2937.47 Bullish Targets EMA5 cross and lock Above 2948, will open the following bullish target 2993 EMA5 cross and lock Above 2993, will open the following bullish target 3041 EMA5 cross and lock Above 3141, will open the following bullish target 3092 Bearish Targets EMA5 hold and cross Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2856 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2856: will open the following bearish target 2813 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2813: will open the following bearish target 2770 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2770: will open the following bearish target 210 EMA5 cross and lock Below 2710: will open the following bearish target 2664 (Retracement Range) Long-Term Outlook: Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities. Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops. Trade with precision, discipline, and confidence. Our accurate, multi-timeframe analysis equips you to navigate the market effectively. Stay updated with daily insights to remain ahead of market trends. We appreciate your support! Don’t forget to like, comment, and share this post to help others benefit. Best regards, 📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
XAUUSD Trading SignalsFrom the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2930, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2950-55 line. The overall main tone of relying on low-long participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to the 2930-35 line, and cover long positions when it falls back to the 2920-25 line, stop loss at 2814, and target 2950-2955 line.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
1
Golden interval operationGold 4-hour level, yesterday's high and low repeatedly roller coaster consolidation, the current Bollinger band has gradually narrowed, the upper track 2952, the lower track 2918, and the overall 4-hour current operation is a bullish trend with gradually rising highs and lows. In the short term, it is temporarily running within the upper and lower tracks. Wait for the Bollinger band to reopen before choosing to follow the trend The upper pressure is focused on the 2950-55 area. If it breaks, it will be 2965-2985. The lower support is the 10-day moving average of 2915. If it breaks, it will be 2906-2880. Tonight, we will focus on the breakthrough of this range. The decline in the early trading today and the European trading will continue, so the US market will rebound and there will be a second decline. Therefore, the operation is mainly high-short, supplemented by low-long. Gold operation suggestions: It is recommended to go short in the 2940-45 area, stop loss at 2951, and target 2925-2915 area;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
Can the gold bullish force continue? Interpretation of European From the current observation, the 2922-2925 range constitutes the current main resistance zone. Once the gold price successfully stands above 2925, the breakthrough of the previous high of 2930-2942 will be just around the corner, and the market is bullish. The 2911-2909 area below has built a solid support line. As long as the support is not effectively broken, the gold price is expected to continue the bullish trend during the European session. Therefore, for European trading, we recommend that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented by high shorts, and a steady layout is made, waiting for good news. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to pull back to 2912-2907 long, stop loss 2900, and the target is 2925-2930. Break to see 2945. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to try to go short near the rebound 2937, stop loss 2945, and the target is 2915-2905.
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
XAUUSDGold is approaching the high of 2942 again, and may hit the 3000 mark again. It fell briefly at the double top pressure at the high of 2942 before, and took a small wave of correction. Yesterday, it rose again and approached 2940. It has been trading sideways at a high level since the opening of the market this morning and in the afternoon. Will the market form a three-top top pattern here, or will it hit the 3000 mark? From a technical point of view, the strong in the bull market often encounters resistance. Generally, it will be tested many times and form a market that breaks and rises. The magnitude of the suppression of the decline will not be too large, so the resistance of the bull trend market is used to break the position. The probability of winning by going long with the trend is far greater than that of going short against the trend. If you look at the three-top top pattern near 2942, the price will generally fall rapidly after touching it, and close with a long upper shadow line. Only when it meets this pattern can you see the top. But now it is obviously not. Instead, it continues to fluctuate sideways near the high point, accumulating momentum to rise. It is only a matter of time before it breaks. The probability of breaking today is very high, and it may set a new high and point directly to the 3000 mark. You can focus on the 2930 line to be bullish. The watershed is 2924. If it falls below this position, it will be meaningless to be bullish. The upper pressure is 2950-2960. If you break the high and step back, you can see a second rise. What are your views on gold? Welcome to share your opinions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
Golden Strategy for Stable ProfitsFrom the daily level, the gold price has successfully stood above the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average (MA5, MA10), and closed with a positive line. In the case that the current moving average has not been effectively broken, based on the strong state of gold, there is still the possibility of further rise in the future. If the daily line can close with positive lines continuously, the room for growth is expected to gradually open up. In the 4-hour chart, gold is currently in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. The daily line maintains a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintains a golden cross upward; the weekly line has risen sharply for seven consecutive days, strongly opening up the upper Bollinger track space, and the bullish sentiment is high. Since it has successfully broken through and stabilized the key point of 2906 today, the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of ​​callback, and pay attention to the pressure near 2940 in the evening. Short order strategy: Short gold rebounds near 2940-2942, target near 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 2906-2910, target near 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
Is the gold bull market still going on?From the daily level, the gold price has successfully stood above the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average (MA5, MA10), and closed with a positive line. In the case that the current moving average has not been effectively broken, based on the strong state of gold, there is still the possibility of further rise in the future. If the daily line can close with positive lines continuously, the room for growth is expected to gradually open up. In the 4-hour chart, gold is currently in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. The daily line maintains a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintains a golden cross upward; the weekly line has risen sharply for seven consecutive days, strongly opening up the upper Bollinger track space, and the bullish sentiment is high. Since it has successfully broken through and stabilized the key point of 2906 today, the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of ​​callback, and pay attention to the pressure near 2940 in the evening. Short order strategy: Short gold rebounds near 2940-2942, target near 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 2906-2910, target near 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
GOLD → Bullish, News-Driven PriceGold (XAU/USD) Outlook: Navigating Key Support Amid Economic Uncertainty Gold prices remain in a bullish trend, rebounding from previously tested trend support and signaling a potential upside continuation. The metal’s safe-haven appeal remains intact as global economic uncertainties persist, driving investor interest. However, market sentiment is influenced by key geopolitical and macroeconomic developments. Geopolitical & Economic Factors Influencing Gold Investors remain highly cautious ahead of the upcoming US-Russia discussions in Saudi Arabia, where efforts to negotiate a resolution to the Ukraine conflict will take center stage. Any significant breakthroughs or escalations from these talks could inject volatility into the markets, impacting gold’s movement. Meanwhile, a weak risk appetite is currently supporting the US dollar. The greenback is benefiting from cautious rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials, who continue to express concerns about inflation. Policymakers are urging patience in easing monetary policy, which reduces the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. The market’s focus now shifts to upcoming Fed speeches and the release of the January FOMC meeting minutes, which could provide further insights into the central bank’s stance on interest rates. Technical Analysis: Key Levels & Market Structure In the Asian trading session, gold successfully broke above the 2905 level, which now serves as a critical support zone. This level has historically played a key role in price action, and its ability to hold could determine gold’s short-term trajectory. Immediate resistance levels: 2922 and 2938 Support levels: 2905 and 2893 The most probable scenario is a retest of the 2905 support zone, given the existing liquidity interest below this level. However, the broader bullish trend suggests that any dips are likely to be met with renewed buying pressure. Additionally, an imbalance in favor of buyers could continue pushing the price upward. A decisive breakout and consolidation above 2915 could act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially driving the price toward the next key resistance levels. Conversely, if gold fails to maintain support, a deeper retracement toward 2893 could unfold before any renewed bullish momentum takes over. Conclusion Gold’s price action remains highly sensitive to both economic and geopolitical developments. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term fluctuations driven by risk sentiment, Federal Reserve commentary, and geopolitical negotiations will play a crucial role. Traders and investors should closely monitor price reactions at key support and resistance levels, as well as upcoming macroeconomic events, to assess the next move in XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
Gold strategy with over 200% profit in a weekGold hit a high and then fell again last Friday. Although it did not set a new high again, it also touched the historical high near 2940 and then quickly retreated. It hit the lowest point near 2876 and then began to pull back and correct. It rose directly after opening during the day. The current highest point is near 2906. After a sharp decline last Friday, the daily line closed in the form of a large negative line. Today, Monday, gold opened at the lowest point of 2878 and rebounded. Gold is just like our weekend trend analysis. From the current trend of gold, the support below is around 2875-85, and the pressure above is around 2908-13. The overall support is based on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 2877-2885, and the target is 2910-2915;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
Gold to $3,000? Key Levels to Watch-XAU/USD AnalysisGold has been on a tear lately, pushing up towards $2,942, and the big question now is: Do we see a pullback, or is $3,000+ on the horizon? Here’s what I’m watching: 🔹 $2,942 – Key resistance level. If we break above, momentum could take us straight to $3,000. 🔹 $2,875 – A potential pullback zone where buyers might step in before another leg up. Markets are moving fast, and this could get interesting. Are you bullish or bearish on gold right now? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Mindbloome-Trading