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Xauusdforecast

Gold Market Update: Bullish Momentum ResumesYesterday, gold experienced a pullback, dropping to an intraday low of around 2835. However, the price quickly rebounded, and overnight, bulls regained control, pushing it back above 2860—a key confluence resistance level. This move suggests that the correction may be over. Looking ahead, the upcoming NFP data could drive further momentum, potentially leading to a new all-time high by the end of the week. From a broader perspective, the bullish outlook remains intact as long as yesterday’s low holds. A more significant correction would only come into play if we see a weekly close below this level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
3
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSISHello Traders, Here’s our 12H chart analysis and target updates: 📌 Previous Chart Review Key Resistance: Identified 2,790 as a critical resistance level, anticipating a potential reversal. Buy Signal: Recommended waiting for EMA5 to cross and hold above TP1 (2,745) as confirmation for a bullish move toward TP2 (2,786) & TP3 (2,826). Dynamic Support: Highlighted the FVG zone (2,745) as a key support area. 📊 Outcome ✅ All targets and entry levels (marked with Golden Circles) were achieved as predicted. ✅ EMA5 crossed above TP1 (2,744), leading to TP2 (2,786) being achieved. ✅ Resistance at 2,790 was broken. ❌ TP3 was nearly reached but reversed after EMA5 failed to cross and hold above TP2 (2,786). 🔍 What’s Next for GOLD? The daily candle closed above TP2 (2,786), but EMA5 failed to sustain above it. This suggests a potential short-term reversal. 📉 Key Levels 📌 Support: Strong support expected from the FVG zone and Gold Turn Levels (2,770, 2,745 & 2705). ⚠️ Downside Risks If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,770, the next target shifts to 2,745. If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,745, the downside extends toward 2,705 (Retracement Range). 📈 Bullish Path A bounce from support could retest TP2 (2,786) and potentially extend toward TP3 (2,826). 📌 Trading Recommendations 🔹 Short-Term Trades: Utilize 1H and 4H timeframes to capitalize on dips at Gold Turn Levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade. Focus on shorter positions in this range-bound market to navigate volatility. 🔹 Long-Term Bias: We remain bullish and view pullbacks as buying opportunities. Buying dips from our marked levels provides better risk management rather than chasing tops. 📢 Final Note Trade with confidence and discipline—our precise analysis ensures you’re well-equipped to navigate the market. Stay tuned for daily updates and multi-timeframe insights. Best regards, 📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
XAU/USD 28 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27/01/2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060. It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase. This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD XAUUSD New All Time High? A Cheeky Short SELL Maybe? XAU A🌟Gold has been a monster and very kind to all those who have been accumulating this precious metal.🌟 🟢 As XAUUSD approaches another ALL TIME HIGH. 🔴 A fair case can easily be made for a SHORT UP HERE. You know already I don't advocate for trying to catch tops and bottoms Buttttt... THIS TIME IT'S DIGFERNT RIGHT? lol🤣 Only kidding. In all seriousness anticipating a retracement from all time highs is always a fair trade if your TRIGGER SIGANL arrives. Risk is easy to identify x points above the new high bar test is always an option. ✅️ You know I always require a HIGHER HIGH & LOWER CLOSE when trying to catch a short reversal. Have A GREAT WEEKEND & REMEMBER manage your risk well and you will always be arround to trade another day.✅️ ⭐️No trigger No Trade⭐️ ℹ️ I will be digging into the Crypto charts this weekend so stay tunned
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by seekingpips
XAUUSD - Push it to the Limit?!Happy (Asia session) Wednesday Y'all! I am back with my first video of the new year & I'm really excited to start publishing videos again for y'all... Let's dive in! On the daily we are in a HUGE correction/ascending channel. So what am I looking for? Bullish: I explained it in the video lol but a quick recap - push down to the 15m LQZ then push up to the 3rd touch of my trendline OR the 4H LQZ - we'll see how price shapes up Bearish: I want to see price come down to that same LQZ - push through AGGRESIVELY - followed by some consolidation in the form of a flag. It is on the flag that I am interested in looking for an entry EZ-PZ y'all textbook trade! Just gotta be patient and actually WAIT FOR YOUR SETUP!! I will most likely post an update/recap so be on the lookout for that! I hope this was informative and helped even just 1 of you traders out!! Thanks for watching!! Happy Trading - Peace!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MommaPreneur
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast LONGMain scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 2576.36 with a target of 2880.00 – 2976.66. A buy signal: the price holds above 2576.36. Stop Loss: below 2570.00, Take Profit: 2880.00 – 2976.66. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 2576.36 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 2464.30 – 2282.23. A sell signal: the level of 2576.36 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 2585, Take Profit: 2464.30 – 2282.23.recast for 10.01.25 – 17.01.25. The ascending fifth wave of larger degree 5 is presumably developing on the weekly chart...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShumbaFx07
XAUUSD Is gold on a bear-run for 2025? Hey 👋🏾 y'all I am back with my first publication of 2025! I hope everyone enjoyed their holiday season and is ready to absolutely CRUSH this year!! Let's dive in: As you can see from my 4H price is in a giant correction. Price attempted to push higher, however continues to fail to do so. The 15m liquidity zone (15m LQZ) we can see price is having difficulty closing above there and in fact sells off rather aggressively from that level. This is 1 indication, or confluence, that price will more than likely melt to the downside. Not, before however, giving us a false sense of hope that she will reach previous highs. By that I mean to say that I believe price will push higher first, stall out (form a smaller 1H or 15m ascending channel within my larger 4H ascending channel) and then melt. I expect price to push up and stall around where I have placed my top trendline - giving me the all-clear to ride this elevator to the downside. Like always it is not my job to predict the markets, but to react...time will tell. I have a setup in mind for the long position as well. However, let's see if this short position plays out this week (Thursday and Friday). I will update y'all at the end of the week 😁 byyyyeeee! ✌🏾
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MommaPreneur
XAU/USD - Weekly Analysis - Jan 13-17, 2025Overall Trend: The PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD pair has been riding a bullish trend over recent months, with gold prices hitting all-time highs in September 2024 near $2,635 per ounce. Currently, the pair remains above the 50- and 200-period moving averages, reinforcing the continuation of the upward trajectory. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: $2,657 : Now acting as a key level after previously serving as strong resistance during pullbacks. $2,621 : A previously identified support zone during price corrections. Resistance: $2,723 : A significant resistance zone, historically alternating as support and resistance since October 2024. $2,750 : Found at the lower boundary of the premium zone but would require a break of the descending trendline and the resistance above. Technical Patterns and Indicators: Candlestick Patterns: Recent bullish candlestick formations like "marubozu" and "bullish engulfing" indicate strong buying pressure. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The daily RSI is hovering near the overbought zone (above 59), signaling potential for pullbacks or consolidation. SMC (Smart Money Concepts) and Wyckoff: The current structure aligns with an accumulation phase, suggesting a high probability of a subsequent bullish breakout, consistent with Wyckoff principles. Key Fundamental Drivers: US Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve's recent half-point rate cut has added upward momentum to gold prices. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and other regions are boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Economic Data: Upcoming US economic reports, including Q4 GDP and the PCE Price Index, could sway market sentiment and drive volatility. Jan 14 - 1:30 pm GMT 0 - Producer Price Index (PPI): ECONOMICS:USPPIMM Jan 15 - 1:30 pm GTM 0 - Consumer Price Index (CPI): ECONOMICS:USIRMM ECONOMICS:USIRYY Jan 16 - 1:30 pm GMT 0 - Retail Sales ECONOMICS:USRSMM and Unemployment Claims $ ECONOMICS:USIJC Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If XAU/USD breaks above the descending trendline at $2,688, the price could target the $2,723 zone and, with enough momentum, push towards $2,750. Bearish Scenario: In the event of corrections, the pair may find support at $2,657, or in the case of a deeper pullback, near the base of the expansion channel at approximately $2,621. Seasonal Considerations: Historically, the start of the year tends to be favorable for gold due to increased demand for safe-haven assets and portfolio rebalancing by institutional investors.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by JoaoZarate
XAU/USD Shorts from 2,710 back down to 2,660This week, my analysis focuses on the potential weakening of GOLD after its strong bullish performance last week. I’ve noticed that price is building significant trendline liquidity with multiple taps, suggesting that a reversal may be imminent to clear that liquidity. While the bullish trend is still intact, I’m also considering a secondary scenario. In this case, I expect the price to retrace to around the 4-hour demand zone at 2,660. If the price breaks below this level, it’s likely to clear the trendline liquidity and push further down. Confluences for GOLD Sells: - Significant trendline liquidity below, waiting to be taken. - A 6-hour supply zone has caused a Change of Character (CHOCH) to the downside. - The price has also shifted structure on higher time frames. - The point of interest (POI) is at an extreme level. - For the bullish trend to continue, I expect a retracement back to the 2,660 region. Note: As we’re now in mid-January, market liquidity is increasing, providing more price action to work with. This makes it likely for GOLD to continue its typical patterns. Let’s stay focused and have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
2
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: First Swing of the Year Amid NFP WeekI initiated a long position on Gold (XAU/USD) following a retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level on the 8-hour timeframe. This setup marks the first swing trade on Gold this year, targeting the $2,680-$2,687 price zone. Gold opened the year on a bullish note, aligning with mid-range technicals. This trade reflects a mid-term outlook, aiming to capitalize on potential momentum driven by this week’s major macroeconomic events, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release and the FOMC’s intervention. Fundamentals: The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, suggesting a slowdown in interest rate cuts for 2025, is providing upward pressure on US Treasury bond yields. However, these signals are driving flows away from non-yielding assets like Gold. Alongside geopolitical risks and trade war fears, this creates a complex backdrop for Gold. Additionally, the pullback in the US Dollar from its November highs is offering some support for the precious metal. Traders will closely monitor Friday’s NFP report and the December FOMC meeting minutes for further direction. Key bullish themes for metals: • Rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s pause in rate hikes support Gold. • China’s green initiatives boost demand for metals. • Interest rate cuts could provide further upside for Gold. • Stagflation fears increase Gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset. Technicals: • Entry: Positioned after a 0.6 Fibonacci retracement. • Target Zones: $2,680 - $2,687. • Timeframe: 8-hour chart, aligning with the mid-range strategy. • Outlook: Maintaining a close watch on price action, especially with upcoming macro releases that could create volatility. Let’s keep the momentum strong and pay attention to market signals. Stay focused, and as always, pay yourself! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AR33_