XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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XAUUSD week 3, May 2024 How far will the increase continue?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone.
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Last week, we saw that the US economy also sent remarkable messages. For the first time, the number of applications for unemployment benefits decreased despite the softening of the labor market, this shows that the American people are gradually adapting to the current controlled economy, plus the CPI released last week has increased beyond expectations, this will create motivation for the Fed to continue maintaining high interest rates in the near future
Besides, we see some notable points: the assassination of the Slovak prime minister, we know that Slovakia is a pro-Russian country, or the Russian president's official visit to China, which raises concerns about risks. global geopolitical risk. In addition to geopolitical concerns, this visit of Russian President Putin may promote the development of the BRISC bloc, which will accelerate the purchase of gold by the central banks of this bloc to prepare gold reserves. designed to strengthen the bloc's common currency
Although the US economic situation will still keep high interest rates to restrain inflation, this will create strength for the USD, but the current geopolitical fluctuations in the world will still create conditions for gold prices to increase and volatility to occur. The gold became a safe place for him to hide
Looking at the 1D chart, we rely on the Elliot wave principle to analyze price movements
- Last week we saw a strong price increase and currently the price is clinging to the peak of 2433.
- At this point, it is still early to conclude whether correction wave 4 has completed or not.
- We have the price level that confirms the completion of wave 4 and the start of wave 5 at 2433.
- If next week the price breaks out through 2433 then we have confirmation that wave 4 has completed and the price is in rising wave 5 then we will measure 2 expected price targets for the end of wave 5 which is the 2500 area. and area 2550
- If the price cannot break the 2433 zone and turns down, then the price is still in correction wave 4 and at a smaller wave level, the price will complete wave b and will continue to complete wave c as shown on the chart.
- Then wave b is confirmed when the price breaks out through the 2280 area, then we will have the target to end wave c measured at the price range 2455 and 2211
Above is Deekop's plan for next week and the daily plan will be updated by Deekop every day
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
Gold: Struggles at Resistance Barrier.. XAUUSD SHORTGold has pulled back from the crucial $2,400 level during trading on Thursday, which is an area that has been important multiple times. With that being said, I think we are just simply entering some type of consolidation area more than anything else. The $2,400 level above continues to be an area that I'll be paying close attention to, and therefore, if we can break above there on a daily close, then I'm interested in getting long. If we pull back from here, then the market could drop all the way down to the $2,300 level, which of course is a major support level based on the previous action. And now that the 50 day . OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn this week's XAUUD analysis video, we delve into the recent surge in Gold prices amidst economic uncertainties in the United States. The previous week witnessed a notable uptick in Gold prices amidst the struggle of the US treasury to gain traction. Additionally, the University of Michigan survey revealed a pessimistic sentiment among Americans, with Consumer Sentiment plunging to its lowest level in six months.
As we dissect the market dynamics, Friday's sentiment data and weaker labor market figures underscored a gloomy outlook for the US economy. While fears of a significant economic slowdown lingered, market participants sought refuge in safe-haven assets, propelling the price of Gold higher.
Federal Reserve officials remained in the spotlight, with divergent views on monetary policy. Atlanta's Fed President Raphael Bostic maintained a hawkish stance, projecting just one rate cut in 2024. Conversely, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman advocated for policy stability, indicating no immediate need for rate cuts this year. Similarly, Dallas Fed's Lorie Logan dismissed the notion of interest rate cuts.
Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed's Neel Kashkari adopted a cautious "wait and see" approach towards future monetary policy decisions. Looking ahead, next week's US docket is set to unveil crucial inflation figures, retail sales data, building permits, and a slew of Fed speeches. These releases are anticipated to offer fresh insights into the direction of Fed reserve monetary policy.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a thorough analysis of the XAUUSD chart, integrating both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our focus for the upcoming week centres around the $2,360 zone, which holds significant historical importance and is poised to influence next week's trading activity significantly. Sustained bullish momentum above this level could fuel continued buying interest, potentially driving prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,360 level, accompanied by ongoing selling pressure, may indicate a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we unpack the implications of these factors and explore possible trading opportunities in the Gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
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Gold falls as Fed officials downplay interest rate cutsThe yellow steel fell on Thursday after a sequence of Fed officers warned towards making a bet on a direct hobby fee reduce.
Some individuals of the primary financial institution`s hobby-fee-placing committee stated the primary financial institution will want a lot greater convincing that inflation is easing past a moderate blip in April.
This shows buyers are beginning to provide a few desire for a fee reduce in September. The greenback and Treasury yields additionally recovered from in advance declines this week.
However, a few lower-than-predicted customer rate index figures positioned gold on a trajectory for a 0.7% weekly gain.
Gold falls as Fed officials downplay interest rate cutsThe yellow steel fell on Thursday after a sequence of Fed officers warned in opposition to putting a top class on an instantaneous hobby price reduce.
Some contributors of principal banks` hobby-price-putting panels stated principal banks could want to illustrate a lot extra that detectability become falling past the tepid emissions visible in April.
This shows buyers are beginning to present a few desire for a price reduce in September. The greenback and Treasury yields additionally recovered from in advance decelerations this week.
However, a few lower-than-anticipated client charge index facts become factored right into a 0.7% weekly gain.
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 16Gold increased with bar D1 having a wider range than some recent price bars yesterday, showing good buying pressure during the day. The price was pushed out of the previous Inside bar model, creating upward price momentum. But now the price is approaching the resistance confluence + round number 2,400 so it may level off. D1 Gold chart structure is cumulative sideways in an overall uptrend.
The upward trend in price continued in H1 when the price created a new peak after yesterday's upward push. However, because D1 has approached the resistance confluence, it may stall at this time. The main trend for H1 Gold today is to wait to buy from the supports below, to catch price pullbacks, not to chase above.
💡H1 trend: Gold increases.
Today trading idea: Buy Gold.
After 2 consecutive sessions of strong increases in world gold In his speech in Amsterdam, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that inflation is still high and the Fed will have to spend more time in this fight. He said the Fed will maintain restrictive monetary policy until inflation falls to its 2% target.
Marex analyst Edward Meir said that the fact that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell did not signal a rise in interest rates is a positive thing for gold and could help this precious metal increase further.
The weakening of the USD and Treasury yields following US producer price data in April also provided momentum for the yellow metal.
After 2 consecutive sessions of strong increases in world gold prices, gold prices today will continue to increase following the increase in world gold prices./.
Will gold continue to hit new highs? Or a callback?
Gold continues to rise in Asian markets. Continuing to the London market. The current price of gold remains at 2261. Combined with the high point ahead, visual inspection shows a double top trend. This is not a good trading position at the moment. Focus on paying attention first. If it breaks through the previous high point and fails to stabilize later, you can sell gold at a high price.
World gold prices continued to increase quite strongly for the sWorld gold spot price is around 2,395.3 USD/ounce, up 25.3 USD/ounce compared to overnight. Gold futures price in June 2024 on the Comex New York floor is at 2,398.8 USD/ounce.
Gold price today is trading on the world market at 2,370 USD/ounce. Gold delivered in June 2024 on the Comex New York floor is at 2,374 USD/ounce.
World gold price on the night of May 15 is about 14.9% higher (307 USD/ounce) compared to the end of 2023. World gold price converted by USD bank price is 73.5 million VND/tael, including Taxes and fees are about 16.7 million VND/tael lower, so the domestic gold price is as of the last afternoon of May 15.
World gold prices continued to increase quite strongly for the second consecutive session. According to the US Department of Labor, the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.3% in April, lower than the previous month's increase and lower than the forecast of a 0.4% increase by experts in the Dow poll. Jones.
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 15After a slow start to the week, gold prices recovered on Tuesday, reclaiming the $2,350 mark. If the upside gains accelerate in the coming trading sessions, the next technical hurdle lies near trendline resistance at $2,370. Removing this barrier could spur increased buying activity, setting the stage for a potential rally to $2,420 and even $2,430.
In the event of a bearish reversal and drop below $2,350, there is no significant support area nearby, suggesting that any downward movement could progress towards $2,280 - the relevant technical floor next on the map. Further losses below this point could give way to a drop to $2,260, a key area corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the 2024 rally.
XAUUSD has now increased to 239x.GOLD has now accelerated to 239x. With this Trend, it's miles very feasible that Gold will growth through 24xx withinside the quick term, all and sundry. If everybody has been following current movies or comments, from these days I advocate and percentage with all and sundry the Perspective of Buying GOLD from the location 2306>2308.
>Today I`m nevertheless following the uptrend, however I'm additionally going to promote on small beats and comply with Rsi too. Buy on huge frames.
>With Current Price, You Can Buy GOLD Around 2383>2386
SL 2380
TP 2396>24xx
>Certainly Today Gold can even have mild reversals while reacting to Rsi being overbought. When selling, you must simply attempt to promote. Surf from 3>four prices, then take a look at the candles with MA and change in keeping with an appropriate trend.
GOOD LUCK MN ❤️❤️
Investors are ready for tonight's CPI dataGold prices fell amid falling US government bond yields and a strong USD. The 10-year US government bond achieved a yield of 4.4% and decreased nearly 4 basis points compared to the opening level. The USD index (DXY), which tracks the movement of the USD against 6 other currencies, is currently down 0.03% to 105.00 and is struggling here.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the PPI Index increased 0.5% over the previous month, surpassing the forecast for a 0.3% increase. Similarly, the core PPI index, excluding food and energy prices, also increased by 0.5%, exceeding the expected level of 0.2%. Both figures were significantly higher than the 0.1% decline in March in both global and core inflation, indicating a jump in producer prices.
April CPI is expected to remain unchanged compared to March at 0.4% month-on-month. Core CPI is expected to continue its downward trend from 0.4% in March to 0.3% month-on-month.
Other data will be released during the week, led by Retail Sales on May 15, Initial Jobless Claims and Industrial Production on May 16.
The Fed released its monthly consumer expectations survey on Monday, showing inflation expectations for the year rising to 3.3% from 3% in March. The data came after a sentiment poll. University of Michigan consumer survey shows one-year inflation expectations rising from 3.2% to 3.5%.
Forecasts for an interest rate cut by the end of the year remain at 35 basis points, according to data provided by Chicago's CBOT exchange.
💡XAUUSD: Analysis May 14Gold decreased yesterday, ending the previous streak of 2 consecutive days of increases. The previous day's D1 bar created an upward but weak breakout, and because yesterday's D1 bar closed below the bottom of the previous rising D1 bar, it turned that break into a false break - which could cause Gold's upward momentum at D1. stalled, even pulled back down. The chart structure of Gold D1 is still moving sideways and accumulating in an overall upward trend.
H1 gold is having a downward pull after the previous price increase. Price is receiving support from the confluence of the lower barrier + the upward sloping trendline below. However, because in D1 there was a false break creating a bull trap, H1 today can catch up to sell down. Will switch to buying if Gold H1 is pushed back up to the old peak, absorbing all the recent decline. At that time, you can wait to buy on the retest.
H1 trend: Gold moves sideways
Today's trading idea: Sell/Buy Gold.
The most accurate gold analysis.Yesterday, on Monday, we believed that investors' expectations of the Federal Reserve delaying an interest rate cut still put pressure on gold. However, there was little hope for a ceasefire in Gaza, and risk aversion sentiment increased, supporting gold's rebound. The upper pressure focused on $2,328, followed by $2,340, and the lower Support is focused on $2,305, followed by $2,291 and $2,281.
Judging from the subsequent trend, after gold encountered resistance near US$2,324, it continued to fall under short-term pressure, stabilized and rebounded near the high point of US$2,315, and reached a maximum of US$2,331 when it encountered resistance. After that, it fluctuated sideways around US$2,324 until the close. At the opening of trading on Tuesday, gold tested upward, reaching a maximum of $2,329. After encountering resistance, it fell back in shock, falling to a minimum of $2,311. It is currently trading around $2,314. Overall, although geopolitical concerns supported gold's short-term rebound, the rise was limited and gold prices continued to remain range-bound.
Although the U.S. non-farm data was weak, market speculation on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut increased, and the ceasefire negotiations in Gaza reached an impasse, the risk aversion sentiment increased, which jointly supported the rebound of gold. However, judging from the signals released by the Federal Reserve after last week's meeting, The Federal Reserve will delay cutting interest rates, which will limit the rise in gold prices. Considering that the U.S. data this week is very light, gold may remain volatile in the absence of unexpected factors (mainly geopolitical risks).
In terms of news, Fed Chairman Powell's speech was less hawkish than expected and still released a new high in interest rate cuts to the market. However, he also said that the next step is unlikely to be an interest rate cut, and given previous data, confidence has decreased. The U.S. non-farm payroll data in April was weak, with both employment and wage growth slowing. The weakness in the labor market is favorable for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Gaza's ceasefire negotiations reached an impasse, and the situation became tense for a time, boosting market risk aversion. However, Habas announced on Tuesday that it had agreed to a ceasefire agreement, which dampened safe-haven buying of gold.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to treat it with a shock idea. The upper pressure will focus on $2,325, followed by $2,338. The lower support will focus on $2,312, followed by $2,300. If gold prices fall below $2,300 and are weak in the short term, they may test $2,280 again.
Risk aversion rises, latest analysis of gold.Federal Reserve officials have made intensive statements earlier, saying that there is no urgency to cut interest rates. At the same time, Powell's recent speech, although less hawkish than expected, also expressed reduced confidence in interest rate cuts. These factors have put gold under pressure. The U.S. data released last Friday Weak non-agricultural data once supported gold's rise, but the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields quickly rebounded to recover their losses, putting gold prices again under pressure. However, the situation in the Middle East has become turbulent again, and there is little hope for an armistice in Gaza. Risk aversion has increased to support gold prices. . Looking ahead to the market outlook, U.S. economic data this week are light, and it is recommended to pay attention to geopolitical risks. If the risks cool down, gold may maintain a volatile trend. If the conflict escalates again, this will cause gold to continue to rise.
XAU/USD 14 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 13 May 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS.
After bullish BOS expectation is for price to pullback.
We have nested Daily and H4 supply levels where price is expected to initiate pullback.
CHoCH is positioned at quite a distance away from current price, therefore, there is a possibility price could engineer a CHoCH closer to current price to indicate initiation of pullback.
Previous intraday expectation dated 10 May 2024 was for price to continue bullish, react at nested Daily and H4 POI levels to start pullback phase which price is indicated as printing.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at discount of 50% EQ or H4 POI, both of which are closely positioned before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a printed a bullish BOS and iBOS
After BOS we expect price to pullback.
Price is now in discount zone of 50% EQ and has reacted to M15 POI but is unable to sustain a bullish move. Buyers are expected to step in once in discount zone of 50% EQ, which has happened.
Intraday expectation dated 13 May 2024 was for price to react at M15 POI, discount zone of 50% EQ or H4 POI before targeting weak internal high where we saw a reaction.
Current intraday expectation: Remains similar to yesterday's expectation. Price to target weak internal which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
M15 Chart: