Get started

Xauusdforecast

XAUUSD Is gold on a bear-run for 2025? Hey 👋🏾 y'all I am back with my first publication of 2025! I hope everyone enjoyed their holiday season and is ready to absolutely CRUSH this year!! Let's dive in: As you can see from my 4H price is in a giant correction. Price attempted to push higher, however continues to fail to do so. The 15m liquidity zone (15m LQZ) we can see price is having difficulty closing above there and in fact sells off rather aggressively from that level. This is 1 indication, or confluence, that price will more than likely melt to the downside. Not, before however, giving us a false sense of hope that she will reach previous highs. By that I mean to say that I believe price will push higher first, stall out (form a smaller 1H or 15m ascending channel within my larger 4H ascending channel) and then melt. I expect price to push up and stall around where I have placed my top trendline - giving me the all-clear to ride this elevator to the downside. Like always it is not my job to predict the markets, but to react...time will tell. I have a setup in mind for the long position as well. However, let's see if this short position plays out this week (Thursday and Friday). I will update y'all at the end of the week 😁 byyyyeeee! ✌🏾
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MommaPreneur
XAU/USD - Weekly Analysis - Jan 13-17, 2025Overall Trend: The PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD pair has been riding a bullish trend over recent months, with gold prices hitting all-time highs in September 2024 near $2,635 per ounce. Currently, the pair remains above the 50- and 200-period moving averages, reinforcing the continuation of the upward trajectory. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: $2,657 : Now acting as a key level after previously serving as strong resistance during pullbacks. $2,621 : A previously identified support zone during price corrections. Resistance: $2,723 : A significant resistance zone, historically alternating as support and resistance since October 2024. $2,750 : Found at the lower boundary of the premium zone but would require a break of the descending trendline and the resistance above. Technical Patterns and Indicators: Candlestick Patterns: Recent bullish candlestick formations like "marubozu" and "bullish engulfing" indicate strong buying pressure. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The daily RSI is hovering near the overbought zone (above 59), signaling potential for pullbacks or consolidation. SMC (Smart Money Concepts) and Wyckoff: The current structure aligns with an accumulation phase, suggesting a high probability of a subsequent bullish breakout, consistent with Wyckoff principles. Key Fundamental Drivers: US Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve's recent half-point rate cut has added upward momentum to gold prices. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and other regions are boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Economic Data: Upcoming US economic reports, including Q4 GDP and the PCE Price Index, could sway market sentiment and drive volatility. Jan 14 - 1:30 pm GMT 0 - Producer Price Index (PPI): ECONOMICS:USPPIMM Jan 15 - 1:30 pm GTM 0 - Consumer Price Index (CPI): ECONOMICS:USIRMM ECONOMICS:USIRYY Jan 16 - 1:30 pm GMT 0 - Retail Sales ECONOMICS:USRSMM and Unemployment Claims $ ECONOMICS:USIJC Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If XAU/USD breaks above the descending trendline at $2,688, the price could target the $2,723 zone and, with enough momentum, push towards $2,750. Bearish Scenario: In the event of corrections, the pair may find support at $2,657, or in the case of a deeper pullback, near the base of the expansion channel at approximately $2,621. Seasonal Considerations: Historically, the start of the year tends to be favorable for gold due to increased demand for safe-haven assets and portfolio rebalancing by institutional investors.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by JoaoZarate
XAU/USD Shorts from 2,710 back down to 2,660This week, my analysis focuses on the potential weakening of GOLD after its strong bullish performance last week. I’ve noticed that price is building significant trendline liquidity with multiple taps, suggesting that a reversal may be imminent to clear that liquidity. While the bullish trend is still intact, I’m also considering a secondary scenario. In this case, I expect the price to retrace to around the 4-hour demand zone at 2,660. If the price breaks below this level, it’s likely to clear the trendline liquidity and push further down. Confluences for GOLD Sells: - Significant trendline liquidity below, waiting to be taken. - A 6-hour supply zone has caused a Change of Character (CHOCH) to the downside. - The price has also shifted structure on higher time frames. - The point of interest (POI) is at an extreme level. - For the bullish trend to continue, I expect a retracement back to the 2,660 region. Note: As we’re now in mid-January, market liquidity is increasing, providing more price action to work with. This makes it likely for GOLD to continue its typical patterns. Let’s stay focused and have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
2
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: First Swing of the Year Amid NFP WeekI initiated a long position on Gold (XAU/USD) following a retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level on the 8-hour timeframe. This setup marks the first swing trade on Gold this year, targeting the $2,680-$2,687 price zone. Gold opened the year on a bullish note, aligning with mid-range technicals. This trade reflects a mid-term outlook, aiming to capitalize on potential momentum driven by this week’s major macroeconomic events, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release and the FOMC’s intervention. Fundamentals: The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, suggesting a slowdown in interest rate cuts for 2025, is providing upward pressure on US Treasury bond yields. However, these signals are driving flows away from non-yielding assets like Gold. Alongside geopolitical risks and trade war fears, this creates a complex backdrop for Gold. Additionally, the pullback in the US Dollar from its November highs is offering some support for the precious metal. Traders will closely monitor Friday’s NFP report and the December FOMC meeting minutes for further direction. Key bullish themes for metals: • Rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s pause in rate hikes support Gold. • China’s green initiatives boost demand for metals. • Interest rate cuts could provide further upside for Gold. • Stagflation fears increase Gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset. Technicals: • Entry: Positioned after a 0.6 Fibonacci retracement. • Target Zones: $2,680 - $2,687. • Timeframe: 8-hour chart, aligning with the mid-range strategy. • Outlook: Maintaining a close watch on price action, especially with upcoming macro releases that could create volatility. Let’s keep the momentum strong and pay attention to market signals. Stay focused, and as always, pay yourself! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AR33_
Gold price up on safe-haven buying amid U.K. budget woesGold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Thursday, on some fresh safe-haven demand due to a budget crisis in the U.K. that may spread. February gold was last up $18.10 at $2,690.50 and March silver was up $0.36 at $31.05. U.K. financial markets tumbled overnight on growing worries over the government’s budget deficit, with the British pound hitting the lowest level in more than a year against the U.S. dollar. The 10-year U.K. gilt yield jumped to 4.92% and the FTSE 250 Index dropped for a third day in a row. This situation is being closely watched by the global marketplace, which is worried about a ..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShumbaFx07
1
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index records 3.6% annual gain S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 3.6% annual return for October, down from a 3.9% annual gain in the previous month. The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of 4.8%, down from a 5.2% annual increase in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 4.2%, dropping from a 4.6% increase in the previous month. New York again reported the highest annual gain among the 20 cities with a 7.3% increase in October, followed by Chicago and Las Vegas with annual increases of 6.2% and 5.9%, respectively. .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ShumbaFx07
Is Gold the Best Investment in a Mixed Metals Market?Gold Shines in a Mixed Year for Metals Markets In 2024, gold emerged as a standout performer in the often-volatile metals markets. While other metals experienced a mixed bag of results, gold surged by an impressive 27%, defying the broader market trends. This bullish run can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including US monetary easing, heightened geopolitical tensions, and strategic central bank purchases. A Year of Contrasting Fortunes The performance of base metals in 2024 presented a more nuanced picture. While some base metals witnessed healthy gains, others struggled. Iron ore, a key ingredient in steel production, witnessed a significant decline, and lithium, often touted as the white gold of the electric vehicle revolution, also faced headwinds. Gold's Allure: A Haven in Uncertain Times Gold's resilience throughout 2024 can be ascribed to its inherent characteristics as a safe-haven asset. When economic or political uncertainty clouds the horizon, investors often flock to gold, perceiving it as a store of value that can weather market storms. • US Monetary Easing: In 2024, the US Federal Reserve implemented a series of monetary easing measures, injecting liquidity into the financial system and lowering interest rates. This dovish stance by the Fed weakened the US dollar, making gold, a dollar-denominated asset, more attractive to international investors. • Geopolitical Upheaval: The year 2024 was marked by a heightened sense of geopolitical instability. Trade tensions, regional conflicts, and concerns over global security fueled investor anxieties. Gold, perceived as a hedge against geopolitical risks, benefited from this flight-to-safety bid. • Central Bank Buying Spree: Central banks around the world were significant buyers of gold in 2024. This strategic accumulation by central banks bolstered investor confidence in the yellow metal, further solidifying its position as a valuable reserve asset. The Road Ahead: A Look at 2025 As we enter 2025, the outlook for metals markets remains shrouded in some uncertainty. However, several key factors are likely to influence the trajectory of gold and other metals. • The Trajectory of US Monetary Policy: The future course of US monetary policy will be a critical determinant of gold's performance in 2025. If the Fed maintains its dovish stance, it could continue to buoy gold prices. However, if the Fed signals a shift towards tighter monetary policy, it could dampen gold's appeal. • The Evolving Geopolitical Landscape: The geopolitical landscape in 2025 will significantly impact investor sentiment. If geopolitical tensions escalate, gold could surge as investors seek a safe haven. Conversely, a period of relative geopolitical stability could lead to a pullback in gold prices. • China's Growth Engine: China's economic growth prospects will also be closely watched. China is a major consumer of metals, and its demand can significantly influence prices. If China's economy strengthens in 2025, it could provide a tailwind for base metals. Gold's Strong Gains: A Harbinger of Change? Gold's stellar performance in 2024 may signal a fundamental shift in market dynamics. After years of dominance by riskier assets like equities, investors may be returning to safe-haven assets like gold in anticipation of a more uncertain economic and geopolitical environment. In conclusion, the year 2024 was a year of contrasting fortunes for metals markets. While gold emerged as a clear winner, other metals painted a more mixed picture. As we look ahead to 2025, the trajectory of US monetary policy, the evolving geopolitical landscape, and China's growth prospects will be the key factors shaping the performance of metals markets. Gold's robust gains in 2024 serve as a reminder of its enduring allure as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. Whether this marks a long-term trend or a temporary blip remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: gold will continue to be a closely watched asset class in the ever-evolving global financial landscape.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln