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XAU/USD | New perspective | follow-up detailsAmidst the revision of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers to accommodate new seasonal adjustment factors, the XAU/USD faced bearish pressure, culminating in a 0.50% dip, closing the week around the $2,025 area. This development has heightened focus on the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures from January, as market participants seek insights for potential Federal Reserve (Fed) decisions. Market participants are closely monitoring the Fed's actions, particularly as the soft CPI revisions appear to have provided some respite for officials contemplating rate adjustments. However, the strong Q1 growth predictions in the US market and escalating wage pressures within a tight job market suggest potential delays in rate cuts. Currently, the market sentiment indicates a shift from anticipating a cut in March to potentially expecting one in May. The forthcoming inflation reading will play a pivotal role in determining the timing of the easing cycle. Should the data support a delay in rate cuts, it could lead to further downside for the price of Gold. In this video, we delve into the current market conditions from a technical standpoint, providing insights into understanding and interpreting these developments. XAUUSD Technical Overview: In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviors, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities. Our focal point for the week is the $2,025 zone, characterized by historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,025 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment. Immerse yourself in the latest dynamics of the Gold market! Stay well-informed to make strategic investment decisions. #GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
2
XAU/USD 16 Feb 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/expectation remains the same as yesterday (15/02/2024) -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal Bearish. -> Has reached EQ. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH which is the first structural indication that pullback following bearish iBOS has initiated. Expectation is for price to continue bullish and react at H4 POI or 50% EQ. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Has reached EQ. Price has printed a bullish iBOS indicating H4 bullish pullback has initiated. Current intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday (15/02/2024) for price to continue bullish and react at nested H4 and M15 POI's. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 14 Feb 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal Bearish. -> Has reached EQ. As per previous analysis price did target weak internal low. Internal structure remains bearish. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS. Expectation is for price to react at a POI, which price currently is reacting to Daily and H4 nested demand levels. Bullish CHoCH, indicated by vertical dotted line will be first structural indication, but not confirmation, that pullback is underway. Expectation is for price to print bullish pullback and react at H4 POI. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. -> Sub-Internal: Bearish. -> Has reached EQ. Price has printed a bearish iBOS, as per previous analysis, price did target weak internal low where we are now seeing a bullish reaction to nested Daily and H4 POI's. Intraday expectation of previous analysis was for price to target weak internal low at 2001.895, therefore, expectation was reached. Current intraday expectation is for price to print bullish iBOS to confirm pullback following H4 and M15 bearish iBOS is underway. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 12-16 Feb 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Outlook and bias for this coming week remains unchanged. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. -> Did not reach EQ. Price has not yet reached 50% EQ. Price remains in pullback phase in the premium swing/internal, therefore, I will still be looking to looking to short. Bullish pullback following bearish iBOS now most likely complete and will target weak internal low. Bearish CHoCH will be the first indication that sweep of liquidity of internal high is confirmed bearish swing pullback has initiated (highlighted with dotted horizontal line) As mentioned last week, request to LTF's would be to shift bearish to facilitate bearish pullback. Anticipate structure to indicate start of pullback phase once price prints CHoCH. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Bias has remained unchanged since last week: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish -> Has reached EQ. Price pulled back following bearish iBOS as per expectation. Price has failed to close above strong internal high whereby we are now in premium EQ of the internal range. Price remains, as last week, to be trading within internal high and low. Expectation: Price to target weak internal low. As per analysis of last week, In the event price continues to trade bullish, which it did, the likely scenario is for price to trade up to strong internal high before continuing bearish internal order flow which remains active. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal Bearish. -> Has reached EQ. Price printed double bullish iBOS to confirm swing pullback phase is complete. Currently internal structure remains bearish. Expectation remains as H4 analysis dated 09/02/2024, for price to continue to trade bearish to target weak internal low. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD Shorts from 2030.000 or 2052.000Gold has experienced choppy price action, likely due to the recent attainment of all-time highs. Currently, it's caught within a range, with a breakout anticipated soon given the substantial liquidity buildup on both sides of the market. However, my focus is primarily on short-term selling opportunities, aiming to drive prices towards the 1990 mark. I've identified two potential points of interest for potential sells: the 20-hour supply zone near current price (A) and another atop the Asian high where supply (B) resides. Although there are equal highs and the possibility of upward movement, I anticipate the next significant bullish rally to originate from the daily demand at (C). Confluences for Gold Sells are as follows: - Lots of Asian lows below as well as a daily demand that needs to be mitigated. - Build up of liquidity needs to be swept before price decides to make a new bullish rally. - For price to maintain its bullish trend it must come down to a valid demand i.e. (C) - Clear supply zones are remaining, indicating potential selling opportunities and the possibility of a distribution pattern forming. P.S. I maintain a bullish outlook on gold; however, current trading conditions indicate a consolidation phase. My approach is to wait for an A-grade setup to materialize in either of my supply zones. If such a setup occurs, I'll consider selling down to the daily demand zone. Have a great trading week and stay cautious. Don't have FOMO let the opportunities come to you!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
1