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Xauusdforecast

XAU/USD 31 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. In yesterday’s intraday analysis, I mentioned that technically, price was expected to react at the internal 50% EQ discount to target the weak internal high. However, there was also potential for a bearish iBOS, which is exactly what unfolded. Price has made multiple attempts to breach the strong internal high at 2,789.855 but has yet to succeed, leaving it intact. Intraday Expectation: Price has reacted from the H4 supply zone. Technically, price is now expected to target the weak internal low at 2,770.925. Note: Price remains highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s dovish stance. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
#XAUUSD: On the way to $2800! 600+ Pips Swing Buy**XAUUSD: 1-Hour Chart Analysis** Hello Traders, Gold experienced a surge, reaching 2605 before reversing its direction. Investors anticipated a decline below 2700$. However, the price rebounded to 2743$, filling the volume gap and subsequently dropping to 2715$, which marked the last low. Despite this, the price failed to establish another lower low. Subsequently, it fluctuated within the vicinity before exhibiting a shift in price character. The upcoming chart analysis indicates an exceptionally bullish outlook. Price has the potential to create another higher high, supported by robust fundamentals and technical indicators signaling a strong bullish sentiment. Traders with open buy positions may consider holding them. Best of luck and trade safely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
22
Gold Short: Pullback from Overbought HighsCurrently, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of nearing overbought levels, with price action testing the upper resistance channels on the 30-minute timeframe. A descending trendline aligns with key Fibonacci retracement zones, suggesting a potential reversal opportunity from recent highs around $2,764. In this setup, I’m monitoring price action around the trendline for any signs of rejection, which could indicate the start of a short-term downward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, currently close to 69, which often signals an imminent pullback. This, combined with recent highs, gives a strong technical basis for a short position targeting a reversion to lower support levels. Fundamental Context: Fundamental factors are adding weight to this setup. Market sentiment remains risk-off due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East and a closely watched U.S. presidential election, both of which have driven safe-haven demand for Gold. Additionally, there is a 96% market expectation for a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points, creating a low-interest rate environment, further supporting bullish Gold sentiment. However, despite these bullish drivers, any signs of easing in geopolitical tensions or unexpected outcomes in the Fed’s rate decision could diminish the upward momentum. Combined with RSI overbought conditions, this presents a tactical opportunity to capitalize on a potential corrective move in Gold’s price. Trade Plan: 1. Entry: Short position near the $2,755 resistance level. 2. Stop Loss: Set above the recent high around $2,770 to guard against a false breakout. 3. Target: Initial target at $2,720, with potential to add partials or adjust if price action shows signs of reversal. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
Escalating Middle East Tensions and Gold Trading StrategyIsrael has launched an attack on Iran, but the missiles were intercepted by Iran's air defense system, resulting in minimal casualties. Interestingly, in the attacked areas, people stood on rooftops to watch the “fireworks,” which is quite a humorous image. The response from Iran regarding this attack will be important to monitor. Regardless, the war continues, and for gold, another rise seems inevitable. After the market opens on Monday, I believe we can pursue the bullish trend. When the price approaches previous highs, we should close our long positions and begin selling, aiming for a small swing trade. If the price gets near MA20 and shows strong support, we can continue to buy; if not, we’ll consider buying again near MA60.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MichaeliaDefoe
2
XAU/USD 28 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27 October 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists amid the Fed’s dovish tone and heightened geopolitical tensions, solidifying its safe-haven appeal. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling, but not yet confirming, the start of bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Despite the bearish CHoCH, price has yet to pull back into the internal 50% EQ discount. We could see a reaction at the H4 supply level before any confirmation of bearish pullback initiation. Technical Note: The strong high at 2,758.525 is anticipated to remain protected. However, with CHoCH positioning on the daily timeframe somewhat distant, price may print a bullish iBOS in the near term to align with the daily timeframe’s movement. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 24 October 2024. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase. As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Continue to short goldFrom the market point of view, the decline of gold in recent trading days is inseparable from the boost of news, but overall, the bears have clearly taken the advantage. In terms of the daily line, the current daily line structure is six consecutive negatives, which is very weak from the perspective of the shape alone, especially after breaking the 2630 low support and closing at a low level. After the gold price tested near 2630 yesterday, the upward weakness was fully revealed. The short-term indicators continued to probe downward, and the price was under pressure. The short-term 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average formed a strong suppression. The other period moving averages maintained a short-term arrangement and development. The daily line tended to be obviously weak, and the overall bears had the advantage. Operation ideas: It is recommended to continue to look at the performance of bears for intraday operations. As for the upper resistance, continue to pay attention to the 2630 area. This is the low point of last week and is a strong support. It is also the current top-bottom conversion. Therefore, there is a probability of continuing to explore the 2600 area or even breaking through it during the day. If it is strongly broken by the bulls, it may form a wave of continued pull-up. At that time, we need to focus on the intensive strong pressure in the 2645-2650 area. After being pierced at the end of last week, there was a large decline, which fully demonstrated that its suppression was strong, so we can continue to arrange short positions. As for the lower support, pay attention to the 2605-2600 area. As the low point of yesterday's trading, it is the first time to approach it in the white market today. Short-term long can be considered, but any break will increase the probability of short-term extension downward. At that time, we need to pay attention to the short-term support formed in the 2685-2688 area. Of course, for these short-term supports, I think we can only participate in short-term long when the opportunity arises. After all, the current short-term control ability is constantly strengthening.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by jfqch1
1
Gold's strong rise hits key resistanceDear traders, you need to be cautious when trading, and set SL and TP for every transaction. This will better protect your account from being trapped. I will continue to update the gold trading strategy. Gold has tested the 2604 support line several times in the past few days, but failed to break through successfully, indicating that the support at this position is still relatively strong. It is difficult to make a decent adjustment without breaking 2600 in the short term. If it falls back, it will give us an opportunity to enter the market or increase our positions! We still need to pay attention to the 2650 pressure line on the top. If it breaks through this position, then this round of correction will come to an end. Otherwise, gold will continue to fall. On the whole, Jin Shengfu recommends shorting on rebounds as the main strategy for short-term gold operations today, and long on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2648-2650 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2620-2624 support line.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by jfqch1
Gold intraday operation suggestionsDear traders, you need to be cautious when trading, and set SL and TP for every transaction. This will better protect your account from being trapped. I will continue to update the gold trading strategy. Last night, the price of gold fell and only reached the 2604 line. This is the second time that it has touched the 2604 line and rebounded again, indicating that the support effect of 2604 is obvious. After the decline last night, gold has entered the stage of rebound correction. We short-term operations followed closely and went long. In the short term, the price of gold will further test the stabilization strength of the 2600 integer mark. If it does not break the support below, it still needs to rebound. Today, the upper resistance will focus on yesterday's opening price around 2625-30, the lower support will focus on the 2600 integer mark, and the short-term gold price long and short strength line is 2630. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go short on the rebound at 2630-35, stop loss at 2643, and target 2605-2608. 2. Gold falls back to the 2600-2605 line and does not break it. Go long, stop loss 2596, target 2625-30 line.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by jfqch1
Gold fluctuates and falls from high levelDear traders, you need to be cautious when trading, and set SL and TP for every transaction. This will better protect your account from being trapped. I will continue to update the gold trading strategy. Technical analysis of gold: Gold closed higher with a small positive line on the daily line, and continued to rise for five consecutive days, but they were all small positive star K lines, without a high-level volume movement, and belonged to a slow and high-shrinking movement. In the short term, the volume is temporarily insufficient, and the US dollar is also strong, which limits the momentum of further volume of gold prices. Gold was only a line away from a new high yesterday, and fell under pressure. Today, gold is particularly critical. If it breaks through a new high, then gold will rise again. If it falls under pressure again, then gold will start a large correction. In terms of today's short-term operation ideas for gold, Jin Shengfu recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2682-2685 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2638-2640 line support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by jfqch1
1
XAU/USD 25 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 October 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling but not confirming the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: While there are no clear signs of a pullback yet, price is expected to react at either the 50% equilibrium (EQ) or H4 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. I'll remain on standby for further developments. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 October 2024. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase. As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 24 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling but not confirming the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: While there are no clear signs of a pullback yet, price is expected to react at either the 50% equilibrium (EQ) or H4 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. I'll remain on standby for further developments. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase. As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also respond to nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold at Key Fibonacci Retracement: Bullish Move Ahead?Gold has retraced to my level of interest, hitting the 0.6-0.7 Fibonacci retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the trend retest area. The confluence of technical signals here suggests a potential bounce from this level, supported by the Fibonacci levels and the current trend structure. A careful approach will be required as we wait for the price action to confirm a bullish continuation or a deeper retracement. Technical Overview: • Entry Point: Based on a key retracement to the 0.6-0.7 Fibonacci level, indicating a possible bullish reversal. • Trend Retest: The price is interacting with the trendline retest, and maintaining above this level could signal further bullish momentum. • Risk Management: Stop-loss levels are set below the 0.7 Fib level, as this area will be a key invalidation point should price break through. Fundamental Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) continues to rise, recently scaling new highs beyond $2,750 during the European session, driven by a risk-off sentiment due to tensions in the Middle East and ongoing US political uncertainty. This is compounded by expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve policy, with potential smaller interest rate cuts after the upcoming US Presidential election. While the rally in the US Dollar is dampening some of Gold’s demand, the broader macroeconomic environment continues to provide bullish support for the precious metal. Moving forward, key drivers for the gold price will include any further escalation of geopolitical tensions, as well as central bank policies related to interest rates and monetary easing. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AR33_
2
Gold prices will continue to rise after the market opens As of the market close, a total of six trades were executed today, with two sell orders at $2732 and $2738, and four buy orders around $2727. All members of the rapid trading strategy group reported profits, and low-position buy orders are being held into the close, anticipating a target exit above $2731 tomorrow. The current market remains in a bullish trend, with recent pullbacks considered mere technical corrections. The recommended strategy is to focus on buying at lower levels, with critical support identified in the 2700-2712 range. I expect the market will likely break through upper resistance this week. While the U.S. dollar remains strong, the impending impact of interest rate cuts could provide upward momentum for gold. Additionally, geopolitical factors may also support price increases. In the coming hours, gold prices are expected to experience notable gains, making buying at the market open a prudent choice. The likelihood of an upward movement in the Asian market is very high, followed by a technical correction in the London market before a significant rise in New York. This is my fundamental view for the market tomorrow. OANDA:XAUUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Some investors may perceive limited trading opportunities in gold, even facing ongoing losses; however, I disagree. As Warren Buffett famously said, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." Market opportunities often lie within the current volatility. If you are facing losses, low profits, or uncertainty about your trading direction, please feel free to reach out—I will respond promptly. Wishing everyone profitable trading in the market each day.
TVC:GOLDLong
by George_parse
XAU/USD 23 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. As a result of this strong bullish momentum, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action, reducing the need for a deep pullback to indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Price is not currently showing any signs of a pullback, so I will remain on standby. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal low and instead printed a bullish iBOS. As previously mentioned, price remains extremely volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. After a bullish iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, of a bearish pullback phase initiation would be a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. Price is currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Update and How To Day Trade GOLD👀👉 This is an update to my previous video. In that session, I discussed the importance of identifying a retracement and waiting for a bullish structure break to enter long positions. In this video, we will analyze gold on a lower timeframe, specifically focusing on strategies for engaging with the trend on a 15-minute chart. Disclaimer: This video is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
FX:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
XAU 1M Gold price formation history and future expectationsGold , or as denote the main trading pair XAUUSD , has been gaining a lot of attention around itself in recent years. As soon as major analysts or hedge fund top-managers begin to say that the next crisis is near, investors immediately start buying gold as a defensive asset, and its price, accordingly, goes up. Let's walk a little through the history of the Gold price. We finished drawing the graph, to what exists on tradingview.com, based on the data that is freely available. 1) In 1933, to overcome the crisis after the "Great Depression", US President Roosevelt issued a decree on the confiscation of gold from the population. The price for an ounce of gold is set at $20.66. 2) In 1971, a real rise in the value of gold begins. After decoupling the US dollar rate from the "gold standard", which regulated the cost of 1 troy ounce of gold at $35 for a long period from 1934 to August 1971. 3) 1973 - "The First Oil Crisis" and the rise in the value of gold from $35 to $180 - as the main anti-crisis instrument, a means of hedging investment risks. 4) 1979-1980 Islamic Revolution in Iran (Second Energy Crisis). The cost of gold, as the main protective asset, in a short period of time grows more than 8 times and sets a maximum at around $850 5) During 1998-2000, the world swept through: the "Asian economic crisis", defaults in a number of countries, and the cherry on the cake - the "Dotcom Bubble". During this period, the price of gold was twice aggressively bought out by investors, from the level of $250. It was a clear signal - there will be no lower, next, only growth! 6) And so it happened, from 2001 to 2011 there was an increase in the value of gold from $250 to $1921 . Even the mortgage crisis of 2008 could not break the growth trend, but only acted as a trigger for a 30% price correction. Looking at the XAUUSD chart now, one can assume that large investors were actively buying gold in the $1050-1350 range during 2013-2019. It is hard to believe that investors who have been gaining long positions for 6 years will be satisfied with such a small period of growth in 2019-2020. For ourselves, we establish a Gold purchase zone in the range of $1527-1600 per troy ounce, from where we expect the growth trend to continue to the $3180-3350 region What are your views on the future price of gold? Share them in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by P_S_trade
24