Xauusdforecast
Gold’s Correction: Signals to Watch for the Next RallyLast week, I suggested that Gold would experience a pullback at some point.
However, this wasn't a prediction of a trend reversal, but rather a temporary correction following its extended upward move.
On Friday, Gold did indeed decline, reaching an intraday low in the 2643 zone.
Now the key question is: Has the correction ended?
In my view, there is still potential for a further dip, with the next leg of the correction possibly pushing Gold down to around 2630, which could present an ideal buying opportunity.
In this scenario, Bulls may look for entry points and aim for the recent highs.
Additionally, a break above the Asian session high could indicate the correction is over, marking the 2645 zone as the bottom
Gold, is rally over?Gold Market Analysis:
Gold has been in a strong rally since the beginning of the year, with only one minor negative month interrupting an otherwise consistent upward trend. Over the past year, the rally has been quite aggressive, but given the current market conditions, I would refrain from considering long-term positions at this point. Instead, short-term scalping or intraday trades seem to offer better opportunities for this instrument.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, XAU/USD appears to be in a range-bound market. Recently, we’ve seen a deviation from the bottom of this range, and the price has moved into a 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). If there’s no significant reaction within this area, the next target will likely be the 4-hour Order Block (OB).
At that point, it will be crucial to monitor the market’s reaction. If the price breaks above the 4-hour OB, we could see gold rally towards the top of the range. However, I’d be anticipating a potential reversal at that level if the price is rejected by the OB. Should the price dip below the 2652 level, the market could experience a continued downward trajectory, signaling a deeper correction.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailThe Federal Reserve delivered a surprise 50 basis point rate cut, sending gold prices skyrocketing past $2,600! 🤯 This larger-than-expected cut underscores the Fed's commitment to maintaining low unemployment as inflation continues to ease. 📉
🚨 Gold prices surged past $2,600, reaching all-time highs as speculation grows that the Fed will keep lowering borrowing costs. Along with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, global central banks are now expected to follow the Fed's path of easing monetary policy and slashing interest rates. 🌍
The Fed’s December 2024 fund rate futures suggest another significant drop, with 53 basis points expected across the final two meetings this year. Markets are now pricing in a 25 bps cut in both November and December.
📅 What’s Next? Looking ahead to next week, key Fed figures like Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic, Chicago’s Austan Goolsbee, and Minnesota’s Neel Kashkari will take center stage. Important data releases, including S&P Global Flash PMIs, housing data, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, will also play a vital role in shaping the XAU/USD outlook.
🔍 In this video, we analyze the technical structure of the gold chart and key fundamental factors to prepare for next week's trading.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,590 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#GoldPrices #XAUUSD #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JeromePowell #RateCuts #MiddleEastTensions #GoldTechnicalAnalysis #FOMC #MarketAnalysis #Inflation #GoldTrading #ForexTrading📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD: Are We Heading Towards $2700?Dear Traders,
XAU touched $2400 region and then left a strong wick, the fundamental site has strong support for the gold to continue the bullish move due to the current war like scenario happening in the world. However we can enter a buy entry at our target area and target 500 pips at least from the entry. Good luck
XAUUSD: +400 PIPS Intraday Opportunity! Dear Traders
Gold has created a record higher high after touching 2670, price has made a minor correction after that, however, in our opinion it was a small correction due to liquidity emerged as the London Session opened. We think from current trending price we can see a clean move towards 2700$. Good luck.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS 4HRS TIMEFRAMEXauusd is likely to keep moving up but there is a probalilty to make a pull back before continue going upward so is very important to keep watch the market till is make a strong support before considering of buying . So entry level for buy should like 2584.690 - 2569.669 with a traget profit of 2610.374 and 2650.453. Use money management
#XAUUSD 1HThe 1-hour analysis indicates that the price is consolidating near the trendline support area. If it closes below 2624.00, we will look for a selling opportunity after a retracement from that zone. Alternatively, if the price reaches 2650.00 directly, we can anticipate a significant drop.
#XAUUSD
XAUUSD: End of the bullish move? OANDA:XAUUSD
Price on today rose to 2589 which is the record all time high on gold, and rejected from that point. Since that price has been consolidating in range. After looking at how price have behaved now we are certain that price is likely to drop. We need to monitor the price in asian session and see if we can see a huge drop in price.
XAU/USD 23-27 September 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs and surge with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned, for over one month, that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to price.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price had printed a bullish iBOS and continued it's surge in price.
After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback, which, at the moment, is not showing any signs of bearish pullback.
First indication, but not confirmation of pullback is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to price which allows for more realistic expectation of pullback indication.
Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue doted line.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish.
Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line
Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by.
H4 Analysis:
XAUUSD: It may fall below 2500
The price is hovering around the resistance level once again, and the difficulty in breaking through remains high. Therefore, today's trading strategy should prioritize short positions.
If there is no significant change over an extended period, I believe there is a strong likelihood that this drop will eventually break below 2500. This is a judgment that requires time to confirm, so let's wait and see with patience.
#XAUUSD 1DAYXAU/USD Daily Analysis: Sell Opportunity
Market Overview:
The XAU/USD pair is presenting a notable sell opportunity at the $2,600 level. As gold prices approach this resistance point, several technical indicators suggest a potential downward move, making this an ideal entry for short positions.
Technical Analysis:
1Resistance Level: The $2,600 mark has historically proven to be a significant resistance zone, with recent attempts to breach it resulting in price reversals.
2.Moving Averages:The price is currently below the 50-day moving average, which is trending downward, indicating bearish momentum in the market.
3.Momentum Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows overbought conditions, suggesting that upward pressure may be waning, further supporting a potential decline.
Market Sentiment:
The broader market sentiment is leaning bearish for gold, driven by factors such as rising interest rates and a strengthening US dollar. These conditions typically exert downward pressure on precious metals.
Strategy:
Sell Level: Enter short positions at $2,600.
Target Levels:
Primary target at $2,550, where significant support has been previously identified.
Secondary target at $2,450, aligning with lower support zones and providing an opportunity for further gains if momentum continues.
Stop-Loss: Implement a stop-loss order above $2,620 to protect against adverse price movements.
Conclusion:
With strong resistance at $2,600, bearish technical signals, and unfavorable market sentiment, the XAU/USD pair presents a compelling sell opportunity. Traders should closely monitor price action and adjust their strategies as needed to maximize potential returns.