Xauusdidea
GOLD Giving Amazing Bearish P.A , 500 Pips Waiting For Us !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Gold price stands firm near all-time high!Gold price retains its bullish bias amid worries about Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war. Sliding US bond yields weigh on the USD and lend additional support to the precious metal. The Fed’s hawkish outlook could cap the XAU/USD pair amid slightly overbought conditions.
XAU/USD Technical Overview
The short-term technical outlook for Gold price remains more or less the same.
The daily chart shows that Gold price hangs near the record high of $2,947. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) flatlines in the overbought territory, currently near 73, suggesting that there is some room to the upside before a correction kicks in. Gold buyers await acceptance above the $2,950 barrier on a daily closing basis to extend the record rally. The next relevant resistance is seen at the $2,970 round level.
Conversely, a fresh pullback could call for a test of the $2,900 round level, below which the February 14 low of $2,877 will be threatened. A firm break of that level will initiate a fresh downside toward the $2,850 psychological barrier.
XAUUSD Quick possible 50 pip bounceXAUUSD 1h has managed to bounce from the support level and has grabbed 2 step liquidity and prepared for a possible move back to the upside. As daily doji formation, new daily candle open with a bullish bias and may bounce back above the daily high signaling potential daily trend continuation.
XAUUSD H1: Wyckoff with chart!Update for you guys from Wyckoff's perspective in Elliott wave, the price has reached 2946 as updated for you guys yesterday. Currently TPO is still in an uptrend, but when reading through the Elliott wave structure, UTAD is predicted at 2946, because when this level is reached, the new ATH price is also 5 psychological waves formed, so the possibility of "TRAP" is very high or can be understood according to Wyckoff as a UT phase or Up Thust Action, in case of sustainable increase, it is necessary to observe the test point, otherwise today it is easy to reverse at 2946, and I only trade when there is a certain confirmation, so today I will take precautions to warn you guys to pay attention, if there is an entry signal, I will notify you!.
Gold Bulls Are Insatiable—Is a Breakout Above 2940 Next?Yesterday, Gold continued its rebound from Friday’s sell-off. Although I expected a new leg down from my 2920-2925 sell zone, the price exceeded that level and retested the all-time high zone for the third time in just eight days.
This type of price action—strong reversals after a sell-off—could indicate that bulls are not done yet, making a breakout above 2940 likely.
At this point, I’ve cut my losses and exited the market, waiting to see if the price confirms the potential for a new all-time high this week.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Long xauusd again made a big profitAfter the last transaction, the order successfully reached tp. The trader who followed made a good profit on the last transaction because the increase was more than 30 p.
The current position of gold price is around 2930, facing the upper pressure level. Combining technical indicators and trend lines to judge that the short-term gold price will be blocked and then sharply corrected and fell.
The upper pressure level that needs to be paid attention to is around 2940.
If you are concerned about when the gold price will fall and have seen this article, then you can consider following the trading plan to short.
Xauusd: Sell, 2930. Sl2945. Tp2900.
Gold–A Bullish Revival or Just a Correction After Friday's Drop?Yesterday was a very quiet day for TRADENATION:XAUUSD traders.
After a normal rebound from the 2880 support, the price hovered around 2900 in a low-volatility environment.
Overnight, bulls found some strength and pushed the price to a high of 2916. At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 2910.
In my view, this is merely a correction following Friday’s sharp drop, not a resumption of the bullish trend. As I mentioned yesterday, I am looking to sell rallies.
My idea would be invalidated by a daily close above Friday’s high.
As for the target, in the medium term, we could see the price drop to 2850.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD → Bullish, News-Driven PriceGold (XAU/USD) Outlook: Navigating Key Support Amid Economic Uncertainty
Gold prices remain in a bullish trend, rebounding from previously tested trend support and signaling a potential upside continuation. The metal’s safe-haven appeal remains intact as global economic uncertainties persist, driving investor interest. However, market sentiment is influenced by key geopolitical and macroeconomic developments.
Geopolitical & Economic Factors Influencing Gold
Investors remain highly cautious ahead of the upcoming US-Russia discussions in Saudi Arabia, where efforts to negotiate a resolution to the Ukraine conflict will take center stage. Any significant breakthroughs or escalations from these talks could inject volatility into the markets, impacting gold’s movement.
Meanwhile, a weak risk appetite is currently supporting the US dollar. The greenback is benefiting from cautious rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials, who continue to express concerns about inflation. Policymakers are urging patience in easing monetary policy, which reduces the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. The market’s focus now shifts to upcoming Fed speeches and the release of the January FOMC meeting minutes, which could provide further insights into the central bank’s stance on interest rates.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels & Market Structure
In the Asian trading session, gold successfully broke above the 2905 level, which now serves as a critical support zone. This level has historically played a key role in price action, and its ability to hold could determine gold’s short-term trajectory.
Immediate resistance levels: 2922 and 2938
Support levels: 2905 and 2893
The most probable scenario is a retest of the 2905 support zone, given the existing liquidity interest below this level. However, the broader bullish trend suggests that any dips are likely to be met with renewed buying pressure. Additionally, an imbalance in favor of buyers could continue pushing the price upward.
A decisive breakout and consolidation above 2915 could act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially driving the price toward the next key resistance levels. Conversely, if gold fails to maintain support, a deeper retracement toward 2893 could unfold before any renewed bullish momentum takes over.
Conclusion
Gold’s price action remains highly sensitive to both economic and geopolitical developments. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term fluctuations driven by risk sentiment, Federal Reserve commentary, and geopolitical negotiations will play a crucial role. Traders and investors should closely monitor price reactions at key support and resistance levels, as well as upcoming macroeconomic events, to assess the next move in XAU/USD.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry at market price
Sell Entry at 3020.00
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 2835.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 3060.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3020.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2780.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
1. Supply and Demand: Gold's demand is increasing due to its use as a safe-haven asset and central banks' purchases.
2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
3. Mining Production: Gold mining production is expected to decrease in the next few years, which could put upward pressure on prices.
🔰 Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with gold prices increasing by 15% in the last quarter.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
🔰 Market Sentiment
1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on gold.
2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 60% bullish, 15% bearish, and 25% neutral on gold.
3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions.
🔰 COT Report
1. Non-Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short
2. Commercial Traders: 50% long, 50% short
3. Non-Reportable Traders: 30% long, 70% short
🔰 Positioning
1. Institutional Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral
2. Banks: 45% bullish, 25% bearish, 30% neutral
3. Hedge Funds: 55% bullish, 20% bearish, 25% neutral
4. Corporate Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral
5. Retail Traders: 60% bullish, 15% bearish, 25% neutral
🔰 Overall Outlook
1. Bullish: Gold prices are expected to increase due to increasing demand and a potential global economic slowdown.
2. Volatility: Gold prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Gold at Key Resistance – Waiting for a Short SetupGold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, but I believe a selling opportunity may emerge soon.
• Price is trading near the top of a rising channel, approaching a key resistance zone.
• Overextension and possible exhaustion could signal a reversal or deeper pullback.
• My approach is to wait for confirmation—signs of weakening momentum, bearish price action, or fundamental shifts before entering a short position.
Technical Outlook:
• Resistance: $2,900 - $3,000 (potential rejection area)
• Support: $2,600 - $2,500 (targets if a sell-off occurs)
• Indicators: Watching RSI for overbought conditions and candlestick patterns for reversal signs
Fundamental Factors:
• U.S. economic outlook – A strong labor market or inflation surprises could pressure gold.
• Central bank demand – If demand slows, gold may correct.
• Geopolitical risks – Uncertainty could delay a reversal, but a shift in sentiment may trigger selling.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to start with an incline into the lower support regions in order to give us another long opportunity into the target level 2902 initially, which was our Excalibur target. Gold however had another plan and started the move from the open, this allowed us to trade on the red boxes and trade the move upside surpassing the target level into the highs that we witnessed last week.
During the week, we update our traders with the path upside and suggested looking for the short trade from the Red box active level, which worked perfectly giving the move downside that we saw on Friday.
It was a fantastic week in Camelot, not only completing 8 Gold targets on Excalibur, but also all the bias level and red box targets. Not to mention the targets completed on all the other pairs we share and analyse. Well done to the traders who followed!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week we’re looking for price to potentially give us further opportunities to short, however, we have a key level above of 2910! Support on the intra-day stands at 2870-65, which if targeted early session could give buyers the confidence they need to take that long into the 2890-5 region and above that 2904. There is an extension of the move into the 2910 region, but anywhere between the 2904-10 region are the levels we want to monitor for RIPs, and if they present themselves, the opportunity to take that swing short may be there again.
The key order region (liquidity pool) is sitting below at 2850-55 which is a decent level for price to attempt, but this region needs to be broken to go lower! If broken, we won’t be looking to go long again until we’re closer to lower 2800’s, so please trade with caution this week.
We do have higher targets on Gold, but, there needs to be a correction and if this is it, we’ll make sure to take advantage of it just like we have done for years, up, down, where ever it goes, we’ll trade it with our trusted pal Excalibur, the EA and our Red box indicators.
Not much more to say, low volume news this week, Monday could be a ranging day so expect choppy and whipsawing price action.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2865 with targets above 2885, 2895, 2902 and above that 2910
Bearish on break of 2865 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2843, 2835 and below that 2828
RED BOXES:
Break above 2885 for 2888, 2902, 2910 and 2913 in extension of the move
Break below 2875 for 2870, 2865, 2857, 2855 and 2850 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG