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XAUUSD: The beginning of range trading.Last week, I perfectly predicted the sharp rise in the market. At the beginning of this week, XAUUSD reached a high of 3451, which is the front pressure position. Due to the cooling of risk aversion in the international market, the New York market fell back to 3373 on Monday. XAUUSD did experience a typical "news-driven callback", and the analysis of technical and fundamental aspects is very critical. The following is a professional analysis and operation suggestions for the current market: Key points and technical structure 1. Pressure level: 3450 area - The previous high pressure is effective. This is the resonance resistance area of ​​the upper track of the daily level channel + Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, and the demand for long profit-taking is concentrated. 2. Support level: 3370-3380 area - Currently falling back to 3373, here is: - 50-day moving average dynamic support - 4-hour chart previous low level support platform - Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level - If the daily closing is above 3380, the technical structure is still a healthy correction. News-driven logic - Negative factors: Geopolitical situation and peace talks ➜ Risk aversion cools down ➜ Gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset decreases. - Potential risks: The progress of peace talks may be repeated (such as the situation between Israel and Hamas and Russia and Ukraine). If the negotiations fail, safe-haven buying will return quickly. Need to keep an eye on news sources. Key signals for long-short game Long signal: long lower shadow candlestick appears in 3370 area, US dollar index (DXY) falls below 105.0 Short signal: rebound fails to break through 3400 integer mark, US bond yield rises above 4.3% Trading strategy suggestion - *Long order opportunity*: 3370-3380 light position to try long, stop loss 3355 (below the previous low), target 3400/3420. - *Short order opportunity*: 3415-3425 to arrange short orders in batches, stop loss 3440, target 3390. 2: Break down - Trigger condition: daily closing price <3365 The callback is upgraded to a deep correction - Target: 3340→ 3300 (psychological barrier + trend line support) - Operation: Chasing short needs to wait for a rebound to around 3400, stop loss 3420. 3: Restart the rise (probability 10%) - Trigger condition: Break through 3440 and stand firm for 1 hour - Possible driving force: Geopolitical conflict escalates/Fed rate cut expectations rise - Target: 3480 (historical high psychological resistance) → 3500 - Operation: After breaking through 3440, step back to 3425 to chase longs, stop loss 3405. Key event risks this week 1. Wednesday: US May CPI data (core CPI expected to be 3.5%) - If data > expectations: expectations of rate hikes rise → bearish for gold - If data < expectations: expectations of rate cuts come earlier → bullish for gold 2. Thursday: Fed interest rate decision + Powell press conference - Pay attention to the dot plot's hints on the number of rate cuts in 2024 (current market pricing is about 2 times) 3. Geopolitical headlines: progress in the Iran nuclear agreement, black swan risks in the French election Position management principles 1. Total risk exposure ≤ 5% of account net value 2. Reduce positions by 50% 3 hours before key events (avoid instantaneous fluctuations in CPI/FOMC) 3. Breakout strategy stop loss setting: 15 points outside the previous high/low to prevent burrs Conclusion: The effectiveness of the current 3373 support needs to be verified by Wednesday's CPI data. It is recommended that the London market operate in the 3370-3420 range and reduce positions before the US market to wait for data guidance. If you hold long positions, 3380 is the last line of defense; if you hold short positions, consider taking profits in batches above 3400. The medium-term bullish trend of gold has not been broken, but the risk aversion premium needs to be digested in the short term. If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management to solve your long-term loss problem, please feel free to tell me your trading cycle and risk preference, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
TVC:GOLD
by Ludvig_Band_King
XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold. Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area. This decline was mainly driven by two factors: Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand. Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal. That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions. For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420. Trading Suggestion: Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur3017
Iran seeks peace, Israel strikes – Gold dip, buy opportunity🌍 Iran's peace overtures sent gold prices plummeting to 3382, but Israel is unlikely to accept the olive branch lightly. With no clear signs of de-escalation in the Middle East situation, it's advisable to continue going long at lower levels 📉→📈 Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu vows military strikes will continue until Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile capabilities are fully dismantled—showing no signs of halting ⚡. While he claims regime change is not the objective, he notes that given the weakness of Iran's leadership, political upheaval could emerge as a collateral outcome of the operations 🌪️ 🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3385 - 3390 🚀 TP 3410 - 3420 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
GOLD Best 2 Places For Sell Very Clear To Get 500 Pips !Here is my 15Mins T.F Chart On Gold and here is my fav 2 places to sell this pair , if we take a look on the chart we will see that we have avery good support @ 3431.50 and the price broke it and close below it and now i`m waiting for retest to this broken support and new res , and if i have a good bearish price action i will enter a sell trade and targeting the first support @ 3425.00 and if i have a good closure below it at least with 30 Mins Candle then i can add another contract and targeting the second support , if we have a closure above 3431.50 this idea will not be valid .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Elite_Club
Safe-Haven Demand Drives Gold Higher – 3500 Within ReachWishing everyone a peaceful weekend—despite turbulent times. This weekend has been anything but calm. The escalating conflict in the Middle East continues to widen, with rising casualties. As always, war is often a pursuit of power by those at the top, while the real cost is borne by innocent civilians. Though we are mere observers from afar, it’s hard not to feel the weight of the situation. From a geopolitical perspective, this conflict coincides with U.S.–Iran nuclear negotiations. Could this be a calculated move by certain powers to shift the balance in their favor? While it remains speculative, what’s certain is that the intensifying conflict is already shaking global financial markets. In such a climate, safe-haven assets are clearly benefiting. Gold’s upward momentum appears firmly established, and oil’s direction hinges on the situation at the Strait of Hormuz. If the strait is closed, a surge in USOIL prices toward $100 would no longer seem unlikely. Under the influence of such impactful news, traditional technical analysis plays a lesser role. The market direction is largely determined by sentiment, and chart patterns now serve more as entry point references rather than decisive indicators. My trading outlook for Monday: If gold opens with a bullish gap and rallies toward the 3480–3500 zone, this area could present a short-term selling opportunity—ideally executed with a quick in-and-out strategy; If a pullback follows, look to build intraday long positions: aggressive traders may consider entries near 3430, while conservative ones can wait for a potential retest of the 3418 level. One crucial reminder: News-driven markets are highly uncertain. Eventually, every war comes to an end, and when the demand for safe havens fades, so too will prices. Stay rational in your decisions, and always manage your risk appropriately.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD:Waiting to go long For gold I am still bullish, do long, rather than blindly chase long. Today's lowest reretreat to around 3408, from the short-term level or long willingness is stronger, the hourly level is a little pressure, trading can wait for the pullback before buying long, the important support below 3404. Short-term support looks at 3407-12 Trading Strategy: BUY@3407-12 TP:3427-30 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Gold Regains Bullish MomentumGold Regains Bullish Momentum Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,375 resistance level. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,420 against the US Dollar. - A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,415 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,300 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,350 and $3,375 resistance levels. There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,400. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,420 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,450 and the price is now consolidating gains. On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,415 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,415. The next major support sits at $3,375 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high. A downside break below the $3,375 support might send the price toward the $3,335 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,300 support zone. Immediate resistance is near the $3,450 level. The next major resistance is near the $3,460 level. An upside break above the $3,460 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,480. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,500 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
XAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran StrikesXAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran Strikes In 2025, the price of gold continues to form a long-term upward trend, highlighted by the black line. The red line previously acted as resistance, resulting in the formation of a contracting triangle on the XAU/USD chart – a typical sign of market equilibrium. However, this red line was breached (as indicated by the arrow) amid news of the exchange of strikes between Israel and Iran. In response, gold price movements have more clearly outlined the rising blue channel, which began to take shape in the second half of May. Over the weekend, the strikes continued, and on Monday morning, trading opened with a modest bullish gap. This indicates that geopolitical risk concerns are helping to keep gold prices anchored above the red line. What could happen to the price of gold next? Much will depend on how the situation in the Middle East develops. Should the exchange of strikes between Iran and Israel subside and official statements offer hope for de-escalation, a pullback from the upper boundary of the blue channel is likely. If such a scenario plays out, technical analysts may focus on the support zone around $3,390–3,400 on the XAU/USD chart, formed by: → the psychological level of $3,400; → the red line, which previously acted as resistance; → the median of the blue channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Safe-Haven Demand Expected to Push Gold Prices Toward 3500Last week, intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran triggered a strong wave of risk-off sentiment in the markets. As a result, we saw sharp rallies across major safe-haven assets and crude oil. Over the weekend, tensions continued to escalate and even showed signs of further expansion. Under such circumstances, it's clear that heightened geopolitical risk will continue to support gold prices. However, 📍$3500 remains a major resistance zone at the moment. If gold spikes to this level intraday, it’s very likely we’ll see a short-term pullback — Whether due to profit-taking, cautious positioning by sideline capital, or selling pressure from trapped shorts above 3490, ⚠️ this kind of correction is a natural market reaction — driven by human nature. Even with strong risk-off demand in place, after a $200 rally, the market is still subject to volatility from profit-taking behaviors. 🔑 Trading Strategy for This Week As long as tensions in the Middle East persist, 🎯 the primary bias remains bullish. However, the entry point is crucial. 💡 Important notes: Avoid chasing price after sudden spikes caused by breaking news. Those spikes are not ideal buy zones — instead, look for short-term selling opportunities at those highs. Once the price pulls back, assess the retracement level and key supports before looking to buy the dip. We are now within a historically high price range, which means any rally could trigger profit-taking from earlier longs. While the overall trend may still head higher, ⚠️ you need to carefully evaluate the size of potential pullbacks and whether your account can withstand the associated risks. 📊 Technical Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3450-3455 (minor), 3468-3474 (previous high), and 3487-3499 (major historical high) Support: 3420–3410 zone, and the deeper 3400–3386 range Stay alert, trade wisely, and remember — in volatile geopolitical environments, timing and discipline are more important than ever.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur3017
Gold (XAUUSD) Trading Setup – Mid-June 2025 Analysis🔰 Gold (XAUUSD) Trading Setup – Mid-June 2025 Analysis This chart represents a strategic price action-based setup on Gold (CFDs on Gold – US$/Oz) using a 15-minute timeframe. It includes clearly defined entry zone, support/resistance levels, and profit-taking targets (TP1, TP2) for both bullish and bearish scenarios. 🔍 Current Market Context Current Price: ~$3431.77 Structure: The price has been in an upward trend with a consolidation phase forming near the key mid-zone. Highlighted Zone: A decision zone is marked in red (between ~$3422 and ~$3418), acting as the key liquidity zone or breakout area. 📈 Bullish Bias If price breaks and holds above the red zone: ✅ TP1: $3480 ✅ TP2: $3580 These levels act as short- to mid-term bullish targets based on projected extensions of recent upward momentum. 📉 Bearish Bias If price breaks and holds below the red zone: ✅ TP1: $3320 ✅ TP2: $3260 This indicates a possible reversal or correction phase, with targets derived from recent swing lows and support areas. 📌 Trading Notes The blue shaded areas represent target zones for partial or full exits. Red zone is the critical breakout decision point. Ideal for breakout or pullback traders. Can be combined with volume/confirmation indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, or price action candles) for entry timing.
TVC:GOLD
by sonubachhav
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD June 16, 2025 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 timeframe, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) in green, with the market currently in wave 4. Last Friday, after breaking above the 3444 high, price failed to continue toward 3482 and instead reversed lower. This behavior suggests that wave 4 is developing as a Flat correction in black abc structure. 👉 Based on this outlook, wave c is expected to complete around 3314, marking the end of wave 4 in green. From there, a bullish impulse is anticipated to complete wave 5. 🔎 Momentum Overview D1 timeframe: Momentum is rising → indicating the dominant trend for early this week is likely bullish. H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining → supporting the scenario that wave c of wave 4 may still have one more leg down. H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn downward → suggesting a potential drop during the Asian session on Monday. 🚨 However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could trigger unexpected price spikes, especially during the Asian session. 📈 Trade Plan Buy Zone: 3415 – 3412 Stop Loss: 3405 Take Profit 1: 3444 Take Profit 2: 3482
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone, So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend. Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420. Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists. The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves. Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey! Cheers, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
10
XAUUSD: Still Bullish with improved entry zones! Gold experienced a sudden drop today, falling to 3335 after briefly reaching 3391. This unexpected decline was not anticipated given the bullish price momentum. However, it has provided clarity for buyers, particularly swing traders. The price could drop to 3340 once more before reversing and hitting our first target, followed by a second target later. Another possible scenario arises if the price continues to drop further. In this case, the second entry scenario becomes more secure, as Asian session volatility could cause the price to go sideways. Please use accurate risk management and consider liking and commenting on this idea. Good luck and trade safely. Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
XAUUSD:06/06/2025 Update! Gold experienced a decline to 3314 following the release of unexpectedly strong NFP data. However, this decline is unlikely to lead to further price drops below 3314. This is primarily due to the ongoing turmoil within the president’s own political party, which is only just beginning to unfold and will likely intensify in the coming weeks. Before making any trading decisions, it is advisable to conduct your own analysis. Additionally, the current price action has established an AB=CD pattern, where the price has successfully reversed from point ‘d’. This pattern suggests that waiting for the price to break out could be a prudent strategy for a safe entry. Three targets have been reasonably set, with the potential to reach target two. However, the target three remains uncertain. The total potential profit from this idea is approximately 1300 pips. It is also important to monitor the DXY closely. We recommend waiting for the price to complete its bullish correction before taking an entry on gold. We sincerely hope that this analysis proves beneficial. Please consider liking, commenting, and sharing this post to encourage us to provide more such insights. Best regards, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
6
GOLD D1 Chart Shorter Term UpdateHello Traders, Gold D1 Chart just shared with you with crucial zone for now GOLD is facing war scenarios and keep goin in Buy Direction further you may check Israel & Iran War updates time to time for the latest scenarios All eyes on for now 3500 Psychological Level we may expect some selling from 3500 but keep in mind but if war scenarios gets heat up then GOLD will may rise towards 3600/3700 or 3800 Psychological Levels for downside only if market breaks below 3400 Psychological then it will move towards 3350 or even 3300 Psychological Level Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
OANDA:XAUUSD
by forexmoneya
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Friday, the strategy of going long on gold at relatively low levels was once again precisely fulfilled. The morning strategy clearly suggested opening long positions within the range of 3400 - 3410. As expected, the price of gold once again surged to around the 3445 level, and profits were successfully secured once more. The hourly chart of gold shows a volatile upward trend. Driven by risk aversion in the early morning, it surged rapidly but fell back for correction after hitting resistance at 3444 during the European session. Before the U.S. session, it stabilized at 3412 and rallied again. The previous large bearish candlestick was more of a minor shakeout—after washing out floating chips, it has now regained its upward momentum. Maintain a strongly bullish approach for now. The 3415-3410 range forms a key support zone, and long positions can be continued above this level. Upper resistance remains at 3445-3450; a valid breakout could lead to further gains toward 3475 and beyond. However, be aware that a sustained rally may trigger a pullback due to overbought indicators or divergences. For operations, consider going long near support and exercise caution when chasing highs near resistance XAUUSD buy@3405-3315 tp:3430-3450 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField