XAUUSD 9/9/2024 Is the Downtrend Over?
Looking at H1 we see a 5-wave structure has ended and then the price has decreased to the 2491 area.
- Looking at the current price structure, we expect the price to create a new bullish structure larger than the current structure, which I denote as the orange structure
- So with the 5-wave orange structure, we expect wave 1 to be completed
- And now wave 2 I measure the target at the price zone of 2481 - 2479, this will be the target for us to BUY
- I still do not rule out that the adjustment process is not yet complete because the adjustment process is only confirmed when the price surpasses 2532, so I still calculate the possibility that the price is still adjusting
- At that time, the target price zone ends the adjustment at the price zone of 2435 - 2432, this will be our BUY target when the price breaks through 2471
Regarding the SELL zone, I see that there is a very large supply at the price zone of 2511 - 2514 This zone is determined by the Volume profile tool when the price touches this zone, there must be a supply absorption phase before it can continue to increase, so this will be our SELL target
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2477 - 2474
SL: 2467
TP1: 2487
TP2: 2497
TP3: 2510
BUY ZONE: 2435 - 2432
SL: 2425
TP1: 2453
TP2: 2471
TP3: 2410
SELL ZONE: 2511 - 2514
SL: 2521
TP1: 2499
TP2: 2487
TP3: 2477
Xauusdidea
Bold Maverick vs. Cautious Rabbit: XAUUSD Wedge Breakout BattleMaverick Approach: As a Maverick, you're always looking for opportunities to make aggressive moves when the risk/reward seems enticing.
Here's what stands out:
Retracement into a Key Support Zone:
The price is pulling back near the lower support channel and hovering around 2,498.860, just above the earlier consolidation zone. A Maverick would see this as a potential buying opportunity, betting that price will bounce off this support level and move back toward the previous high around 2,531.861. Given the structure, it's a chance to enter a long trade while the market is still within the rising wedge.
Action: Jump in for a quick buy at this level, looking to ride the bounce. Your bold side may put a take-profit target near the ATH or just shy of it, around 2,525 to avoid getting caught in the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Strategy: To protect from a breakdown, you'd want to place a tight stop-loss just below the wedge, around 2,490. The Maverick thrives on action, but with controlled risk in case the price falls.
Rabbit Approach: The Rabbit focuses on digging deeper into the structure, ensuring everything is aligned before taking a position.
Here’s how the analytical approach works:
Rising Wedge and Bearish Implications: The rising wedge pattern you're trading within is typically a bearish signal. This pattern suggests a potential breakdown, especially if the price doesn't hold the current support level.
The Rabbit would want to see multiple confirmations that buyers are stepping in before entering long. Waiting for a strong reaction or a higher low at the wedge boundary (around 2,490-2,495) would be ideal before considering a position.
Caution: Be wary of a break below the wedge, which could signal a bearish continuation back down to 2,470.907 or even lower.
Consolidation Zones for Reentry: The Rabbit would focus on the previous consolidation zone around 2,470.907, treating this as a potential re-entry point for longs if the price breaks the wedge support. That zone has shown strong buying pressure, making it a safer play.
Plan: If price revisits this zone with a strong bounce, it would offer a much lower-risk buy with a greater reward potential, aligning with the Rabbit’s need for precision.
Combined Strategy:
Aggressive Entry (Maverick): Buy at the current level (2,498), targeting a bounce back toward 2,525 or higher, with a stop-loss under the wedge (2,490). This setup is more for short-term profits before any wedge breakdown occurs.
Conservative Entry (Rabbit): Wait for confirmation at 2,498 or for a break below to re-enter near the 2,470 support. Ensure that the wedge pattern doesn’t break down entirely before committing to a long trade.
Conclusion:
For the Maverick: Act now if you see this as a low-risk bounce trade, aiming for quick profits near the ATH, but with the understanding that momentum could shift fast.
For the Rabbit: Be patient, observe price action at key levels, and avoid chasing a move that doesn't align with the bigger structure. Waiting for a retest of 2,470 or a clear bounce is your higher-probability play.
Whichever archetype you're channeling, stay sharp, and don’t let emotions get in the way!
XAUUSD/USD 4H WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 08.09.24Global economic events: Events and economic conditions in the U.S., such as changes in interest rates, geopolitical tensions, or financial crises, can affect global investor sentiment. These events can influence the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, impacting its price worldwide, including in India
Strong level / best time to sell on correction from the level (all signals on real account )
The situation with gold (XAU/USD) is currently characterized by several key factors that affect its value. First, the gold price often reacts to changes in economic data and the political environment. The unpredictability of global financial markets, inflation, and changes in U.S. interest rates particularly affect the demand for gold as a safe haven.
Second, there has been a recent increase in interest from central banks in gold holdings as they seek to diversify their foreign exchange reserves. This could lead to additional demand for gold in global markets.
In addition, a strengthening US dollar usually has a negative impact on gold as it becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. At the same time, geopolitical instability and conflict situations can contribute to the rise in prices for the precious metal as investors look for ways to protect their assets.
At the moment, volatility in XAU/USD quotes can be observed, which creates both risks and opportunities for traders. Technical analysis shows important support and resistance levels that can influence further price movement.
XAUUSD: SELL@2514-2528
Gold has a significant support level around 2488. If it breaks this level again, the price is likely to fall further to around 2452. Tomorrow's NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) data will be released, and given today's ADP data being bullish for gold, there is a high probability that tomorrow's NFP data will also be favorable for gold, barring any unexpected outcomes. However, it is important to watch the market before the data release—if there is an early rally, there is a possibility that the price may see a brief spike after the data release, followed by a sharp decline. If the data comes in surprisingly negative and is bearish for gold, a short position can be taken directly.
Trading Area for Gold based on S/RMy idea is based on the Support & Resistance levels observed on 1H TF
I'm anticipating price bounce from the identified support areas (Support-1 & Support-2) My plan is to enter long position when the price reach these support levels and close the trade at the resistance level
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Long from the Support-1 & Support-2
Take Profit: at Resistance area
Stop Loss: Below Support-2
Good Luck
Go long gold!Today's NFP market is the highlight, and gold's performance in NFP is exactly in line with my expectations. First, I explained that I am optimistic about gold's rebound after the decline in the NFP market, and focus on the 2516-2512 support area and the 2505-2500 area.
Before the release of the NFP data, gold just fell back to around 2512, and then rose to around 2518; after the release of the NFP data, gold instantly fell back to around 2508, and then rose sharply to around 2528. Basically, it meets my expectations that gold will fall back first and then rise.
At present, gold has fallen back to the 2505-2500 area again, and the current lowest point has reached around 2503, retesting yesterday's rebound area of 2504. If the test support is effective, gold will rebound again. I expect gold to rebound to at least the 2515-2520 area. So I have decisively chosen to go long on gold.
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GOLD At Perfect Res ,Can We Sell It To Get 500 Pips This Week ? This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Why'd you go backwards, GOLD - punk?Gold analysis 1/09/24
FA: Rate-cut rotation has a reputation as a sleepy time in global stock markets, and the U.S. is no exception. Historically after rate cuts market has a dive, also September is the weakest month for the US market in general. At the next FOMC meeting, they will cut the rate by 25-50 points, and this news is already in price.
TA: Gold has been near ATH for quite some time, looks like the price is in a range and I would love to see liquidity sweep from one of the sides( top or bottom). Also one of the important things for GOLD is DXY. DXY is oversold and it has 4h and daily FVG higher + it just tested the bottom of the global range (almost 2 years in consolidation), and most likely it will bounce till dFVG, also on 15m and 1h time frame DXY has uptrend (MS( ChoCH) and BoS) until uptrend on 1h is not broken I will no consider reversal on DXY. But more about DXY in the next post
Considering all of this I would love to see moving forward on one side and then aggressive movement in the opposite direction. Keep in mind that usually at the beginning of the month, there is manipulation, and then the price moves in a real direction (learn about monthly/weekly/daily range structure
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 5th SeptLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
GOLD +680 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid To Who Missed It !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD 5/9/2024 Will the uptrend continue?
Looking at H1, we will see a complex correction in which the correction waves are intertwined, so I will move to the H4 time frame so that you can easily see the wave structure
- Looking at H4, we have a Flat ABC correction structure, the above process looking at the present, we see that the wave has completed wave B and the current process is completing wave C.
- The key to the problem is that we determine the end point of wave C to find a trading point.
- Case 1: the price reaches the 2472 area and then increases sharply until now, we expect a recovery wave to the 2472 - 2469 area, then this price area will be the price area of wave 2 in the new 5-wave increase structure and this is also our BUY target.
- Case 2: the price continues to break 2472 to complete wave C, then the first target I aim for is the length of wave C equal to the length of wave A, then we have the first target at the 2467 - 2464 area and this is also our second BUY target area.
- In the area above, I see the price area of 2515 - 2518 according to Volumeprofile, this area is the area where a large amount of supply was concentrated before, so when the price approaches this area, it needs to absorb all of this supply area before increasing further, so this price area continues to be our SELL target area.
Trading Plan
SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518
SL: 2525
TP1: 2509
TP2: 2501
TP3: 2482
BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479
SL: 2472
TP1: 2499
TP2: 2509
TP3: 2515
BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467
SL: 2454
TP1: 2472
TP2: 2482
TP3: 2500
Gold may directly point to the 2465-2455 areaToday I made more gold near 2480 and around 2474, and then lock the profit at the nearby position near 2484. In fact, I have explained very clearly about the trading strategy in the short term.
Because gold faces the resistance of 2486-2488 in the short-term, this is why I chose to close our bulls in 2484 in advance. And the shorts are relatively obvious at present, and we do more gold just to do the game gold will not fall below the support area near 2470. In addition, many people should have a plan to wait for the gold to rebound to short gold in the 2486-2490 area. Therefore, in order to lock the profit in time, I must choose to make a profit near 2484.
At present, the golden short mood is strong. We first observe the performance of gold in the 2486-2490 area. If gold touches the area fall, then we can observe the support of the 2475-2470 region again, and consider making more gold with the support of the area; if the gold breaks through the area in the short term , or even the possibility of continuing to rebound to the 2505 area, then there is no doubt that we can take short gold again!
The operation may be less profitable, but it is undoubtedly a safer operation strategy. Once the gold rebounds to the 2505 area, there is no doubt that the gold is short. If the gold falls and falls below the 2470 region, the gold will directly fall to the 2465-2455 area, pointing directly to our stage goals!
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
XAUUSD 4/9/2024 complex correction has ended?
Looking at H1, the complex correction process will create very difficult conditions for determining the specific structure of the wave. In such a situation, we will rely on the Fibonacci measure to determine the target price zones for the end of the entire correction process based on the previous up wave.
- With such an approach, I will determine the target price levels for this correction downtrend.
- Looking at the chart, we have a temporary 5-wave structure formed. We will rely on this combined with Fibonacci to set up trading zones
- Case 1 if wave 5 has ended, then we expect the price zone 2482 - 2479 to BUY
Case 2 if the price breaks below 2473, then the price zone ending wave 5 will be the price zone 2464 - 2467
- Above the strong supply zone 2510 - 2507 has not been broken yet, so this is still our target to SELL
- Next is the zone 2515 - 2518, this is the strong supply zone above that we choose to place a SELL order/
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479
SL: 2472
TP1: 2492
TP2: 2582
TP3: 2499
BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467 SL: 2454 TP1: 2478 TP2: 2492 TP3: 2499 SELL ZONE: 2510 - 2507 SL: 2520 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP3: 2482 SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518 SL: 2525 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP 3: 2482
GOLD, raid for liqudity! Ver thik, her ek kom!Gold just took liquidity from the previous day's low (PDL) and previous week's low (PWL). It had the first market structure (MS) shift on the 15-minute chart, and now, after some consolidation and testing of the 15-minute order block (OB), it will most likely continue higher to take out liquidity from the equal highs (EQH) in the 2528-2531 area (which also includes the previous month's high (PMH) and previous week's high (PWH)). This aligns with the monthly theory that suggests price manipulation at the beginning of the month, followed by the real move during the 2nd and 3rd weeks of the month.
I would wait until the price moves higher to the 2507 area, breaks above it, and closes on the 15-minute chart with the candle body above the London open high (LOH). Only then would I open a long position targeting the previous week's high (PWH).
Always follow risk management: after a 1:1 risk-to-reward (RR) move, adjust the stop-loss to the entry point. At 1:2 RR, either take full profit (TP) or trim 80% of the position.
Continued correction from the level. Time to sell from the levelContinued correction from the level. Time to sell from the level.
The gold market is currently characterized by high volatility and uncertainty. Gold is trading at levels that can serve as both support and resistance, depending on macroeconomic factors such as inflation, interest rates and global economic instability. Investors will turn to gold as a safe haven amid the risks associated with financial markets. Analysts are watching how gold prices react to news of changes in central banks' monetary policies, which could affect its value in the short and long term. There is also interest in gold as a hedge against a potential recession.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD 3/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price has reached the target of wave 4 that we expected and then decreased near TP3. Once again I would like to congratulate all of us on continuing to have a big win near Full TP3.
- So now the price is completing the down wave 5 to then continue to increase
- Looking at the overall correction, we can easily identify that this is a complex correction with many intertwined correction structures.
- In a complex correction trend, it is difficult for us to determine when the new trend starts. But with real trading, we only care about the setups that qualify for our trading, I will not try to predict each wave accurately
- Currently, I expect the wave 5 target to end at the price zone of 2487 - 2484 and this is also our BUY target
- Above, I see 2 large supply concentration zones, which are the 2507 - 2510 zone, this zone is the target zone last time the price just approached this zone and was pushed down very quickly, and the 2525 - 2528 zone, looking at the chart, we see that the price was pushed down very deeply after approaching this zone last Friday. and these 2 zones are also our SELL target zones
BUY ZONE: 2487 - 2484
SL: 2477
TP1: 2499
TP2: 2507
TP3: 2518
BUY ZONE: 2471 - 2469
SL: 2461
TP1: 2485
TP2: 2499
TP3: 2510
SELL ZONE: 2507 - 2510
Sl: 2517
TP1: 2500
TP2: 2487
TP3: 2470
SELL ZONE: 2525 - 2528
SL: 2535
TP: 2518
TP2: 2510
TP3: 2500