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XAU/USD 18 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed both a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and a subsequent bearish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the need for a pullback across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Currently, price action remains in alignment with the broader pullback requirements. Intraday Expectation The expectation for the intraday session is that price will print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) to signify the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. The positioning of this bullish CHoCH is indicated by the blue dotted line on the chart. However, it is also possible that price could extend to a new low, bringing the CHoCH positioning much closer to the current price action, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal signal. Note: Given the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold prices is anticipated to persist. Traders should exercise caution and remain vigilant in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: The prior intraday expectation was invalidated as price printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), signaling a shift in internal order flow. Following bullish iBOS, the next anticipated move is the printing of a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which would indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. This CHoCH positioning is marked by a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line Alternative Scenario: On the H4 timeframe, there are signs of a bullish pullback phase potentially developing, though there is no confirmation as of yet. In my view, the bullish momentum on the M15 timeframe is to assist the H4 timeframe in confirming its pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 18-22 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is projected to move downward toward either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Price Action Analysis: In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I forecasted that price could potentially make new highs, thereby shifting the bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) closer to recent price action. This repositioning would serve as a trigger for a bearish pullback phase initiation. As anticipated, this scenario unfolded with CHoCH shifting nearer to the current price and ultimately printing a bearish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range (highlighted in blue), trading in the discount zone of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ) and approaching a Daily demand zone, where a reaction is likely. Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to react upon reaching the Daily demand zone and could trade upward to target the daily internal high. However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing -> Bearish. -> Internal -> Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Analysis remains the same as previous bias from my analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed both a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and a subsequent bearish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the need for a pullback across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Currently, price action remains in alignment with the broader HTF pullback requirements. Intraday Expectation: The expectation for the intraday session is that price will print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. The positioning of this bullish CHoCH is indicated by the blue dotted line on the chart. However, it is also possible that price could extend to a new low, bringing the CHoCH positioning much closer to the current price action. Note: Given the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold prices is anticipated to persist. We should exercise caution and remain vigilant in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Is a XAUUSD (GOLD) Monster Trade on the Horizon?👀👉 XAUUSD Gold has recently reached a critical support zone on both the weekly and daily timeframes, showing signs of being heavily oversold. In this video, we explore a potential bullish scenario: if XAUUSD reverses and breaks market structure, it could set up a substantial trading opportunity as price targets previous highs. Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always assess your risk tolerance before entering a trade.*📊
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
9
XAU/USD 15 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Following price has printing bearish iBOS, price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,536.896. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD Hits Local Top—$2400 First, Then New Highs AheadTime to Get Serious with TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Weekly chart printed a reversal signal right before the election date. If this signals follows through and closes below $2600 by the end of the week, we could potentially see prices drop below $2400. The monthly chart looks strong overall, with TVC:GOLD being slightly overextended beyond the second target and failing to reach the $2900 level. This timeframe also points to $2300 as a good area to consider buying back. This will likely take weeks to come to fruition. Expect prices to potentially range around current levels, with $2750 being a key area to keep shorting until it breaks. Q2 should bring some positive movement for TVC:GOLD , but for now, it seems like a local top, and a new consolidation phase above prev ATHs (All-Time Highs) is likely to form in the coming months.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZelfTrade
Short-Term Rebound in Gold, but Bearish Trend PersistsGold experienced a brief rebound today, rising nearly $15 during the Asian session. This rally is primarily driven by an oversold bounce, and while there may still be some upward movement during the U.S. session, the overall trend remains bearish. Since Trump's election victory, the U.S. economy has continued to show strength, further driving the U.S. dollar higher, putting additional downward pressure on gold. The market is now focused on today's U.S. CPI data, as investors will assess whether this will prompt the Federal Reserve to continue its rate-cutting policy after December. If the CPI report is bearish, gold may face more significant downside pressure, and the probability of further rate cuts by the Fed could increase. As a result, gold remains in a bearish market for the remainder of this week, though we anticipate a gradual recovery starting next week. With only a few trading days left this week, the strategy should remain focused on shorting gold. Today's Trading Strategy: During the U.S. session, gold may experience some upward movement. This provides an opportunity to continue shorting gold, especially ahead of the CPI data release. Be sure to implement stop-loss and take-profit orders to effectively manage risk. I recommend following this approach for your trades. Ensure proper risk management with stop-loss and take-profit settings, securing profits while mitigating potential risks. If you need a more detailed strategy, feel free to reach out. I will share the complete weekly strategy with all VIP members.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Falcon-Training-Camp
XAU/USD 13 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold- In search for a bottomTrading OANDA:XAUUSD has been nothing short of a roller coaster since early October. Initially, it seemed like the rally might never end, but now the drop is unfolding in a similar manner. Although I anticipated a strong decline, I’ll admit that I didn’t expect it to be quite this steep. Gold has now fallen 2,000 pips from its all-time high, and to me, it’s clear that the 2,800 level is likely to hold for a while. However, the outlook for the downside remains uncertain. The price has broken below several key support zones and even briefly tested levels below the 2,600 mark. On a positive note for the bulls, each dip below 2,600 has been met with a quick reversal, which may suggest a false breakout. Whether this holds true is still unclear and requires confirmation—a move back above 2,620 would be a positive signal, potentially setting 2,660 as the next target. On the downside, there is significant support at 2,525, although recent rebounds from 2,600 make it unlikely this level will be tested in the coming days (though with this level of volatility, anything is possible). In summary, I am currently out of the market but will be watching closely for clear signs of a bottom to confirm a new buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Key Data Signals a Challenging Week AheadThis week, it is essential to prioritize a bearish stance on the gold market, aligning with the prevailing downtrend. As analyzed yesterday, the broader environment remains unfavorable for gold. Trump’s recent election victory continues to strengthen the U.S. dollar, and given his focus on boosting the American economy, gold is likely to face sustained downward pressure. Additionally, key economic data scheduled for release this week—including Wednesday’s October Consumer Price Index (CPI), Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly jobless claims, and Friday’s retail sales data—are expected to weigh further on gold prices. Therefore, the most prudent trading strategy this week is to focus on short positions in the gold market. For those following this analysis, this provides a clear trading direction. For a detailed, actionable trading strategy, please reach out. I will share the complete weekly strategy with all VIP members.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Falcon-Training-Camp
XAU/USDS 12 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD: Today's Strategy—Buy LowFollowing yesterday's significant decline in gold prices, short-term indicators show a strong rebound potential. Today’s strategy is to buy at lower levels and wait for prices to rise above $2,640, at which point we can adjust the approach based on market movements. The detailed strategy was shared during yesterday’s session, so please refer to it if you need clarification. If you have any questions regarding trades, feel free to leave a comment, and I’ll be happy to assist.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal