Xauusdidea
XAUUSD trading plan for the week of June 4, 2024
So after Friday's sharp drop, we had a profit of 500 pips. This decrease also confirmed the completion of orange wave C in the ABC correction.
After the ABC correction is completed, we bet that the previous downtrend wave will continue.
- With Friday's decline, we see that the momentum has entered the oversold zone, showing that sellers are showing signs of exhaustion. So in the immediate future there will need to be a short-term correction for sellers to regain their strength.
- We measure that this decrease is likely to end at 2 price zones: 2309 or 2395.
- With the assumption that the price range ends at 2309, we measure the target of this temporary upward adjustment ending at 2340.
- Then the price continues to decrease to complete the big wave 5 at the target price areas that we measured before, which are 2256 and 2210.
- When does our wave counting process fail? That's when this rally price broke through the 2374 area, then confirmed that we have to do the wave count again, then I will update later if it happens.
- On the H4 chart, I have drawn important resistance and support zones, which we can rely on to plan Scalping when the price approaches these zones.
- I will update specific price developments every day.
XAUUSD June 21, 2024 Is the rising wave over?Our wave C target has been achieved, looking at the price we see
- Yesterday after the news of unemployment benefits was announced, the price increased sharply to our target area of 2364 and is currently correcting. So the price increased sharply and quickly, which is the characteristic of wave 3, then the price decreased and adjusted until now, so it is likely that the price is in wave 4.
- So we may have wave 5 to end this wave C and from current price data we can measure the target area for this wave C from 2364 to 2374.
We will consider the price range from 2364 to 2374, this is a very good price range to sell down.
After the price reaches the target of wave C as above, if the price breaks the 2387.5 zone, then our trading plan must change.
In case the price drops, we have the goal of completing the big wave 5 as shown on the chart at area 2256 and area 2210.
XAUUSD:Entering the bearish zone, target around 2268
Gold rose sharply yesterday, breaking through the 2352 resistance in one fell swoop, and is currently located near 2360.
The chart is now entering the triangle consolidation stage. After the price breaks through 2352 and stabilizes above it, the resistance has turned into support. Then in the next consolidation stage, the first support to focus on is the area near 2352. The upper resistance is based on the previous high point, which is located near 2368, 2374, 2379 and 2383 respectively.
Today, we can focus on 2368-2374. If we enter this range, we can sell directly, and the probability of profit is more than 80%.
After the price reached above 2352, my overall trading strategy has changed from long to short, and I will do trend-based medium-term trading, with the target maintained near 2268, just like our previous short target near 2280 and the long target at 2352. It takes a time to complete, so if you want to follow, please be patient!
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD on June 20, 2024 after bank holidayToday will be announced the number of applications for unemployment benefits. This index will tell us how the current economic situation is affected by the Fed's policy on interest rates.
If these indexes decrease, it will tell us that the Fed's recent policies have not had a large impact on the economic situation, which will create conditions for the Fed to maintain its hawkish policy and then the USD will increase. and XAU will decrease
If this policy increases compared to the previous period, this signals that the Fed's policies are negatively impacting the economy, affecting all classes of people, creating pressure for the Fed to relax interest rates in the future. in the near future and this will cause the USD to decrease and XAU to increase.
Price broke out of the triangle wedge this morning with a strong candle. So we are leaning towards the ABC correction model
- So the price target of wave C as last time we measured at 2 price zones 2350 and 2365 price zone.
- After the price reaches this target, the price will continue to trend down to complete the large wave C in the D1 time frame.
- Our current trading plan is to wait until the wave C target at 2350 or 2364 to find a selling point or we can go to smaller time frames for scalping trading.
XAUUSD: Next week we can see bullish dominance: 2000+ pips move!Dear Traders,
Upcoming weeks we can see strong bullish price momentum to continue, price successfully rejected at 2290 and then rebounded strongly. Another confirmation that we have is when price reconfirmed the 2300 area where we saw how strongly price moved. These are the two main confirmation that has given us enough confidence to be sure of how upcoming direction the price can be going towards.
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XAUUSD: Bearish trend, target 2268
Gold found short-term support near 2300 and rebounded again. It is currently around 2330. The large-scale indicators show that the bullish force has not been fully released. There is a high probability that there will be another wave of upward market in the US market today or early next week. The strong resistance will be mainly concentrated around 2352. At that time, the release of bullish force will end and enter the buffer period. If the indicator cannot form a bullish trend again, the gold price will return to below 2300. The next short target will be around 2268.
At present, my trading strategy will be mainly short.
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Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD Trading strategy for complex corrections
Look at H1
- We see that currently the price is tending to form a triangle correction pattern.
- As I said before, the price is currently in a complicated adjustment process, we can only wait for the model to complete to determine the next trend.
- And I am also predicting an ABC correction model with the target wave C on the chart with 2 price ranges 2350 and 2365. However, currently we see that the price is in a position where it can form a triangle correction model and ABC correction pattern may continue. So at the present time we wait at the price of 2341.8 to confirm any model.
- If the price breaks 2341.8, the targets of wave C continue to be completed. Then we wait for the target levels of wave C, i.e. area 2350 or area 2365, to sell down.
- If the price cannot break the 2341.8 area, the price may form a triangle correction pattern abcde. Then we wait for the price to break the lower boundary of the triangle pattern to sell to the target area of wave 5.
In general, in a complex adjustment process, it is not feasible to conduct many transactions in this area, so we should patiently wait for the target areas. In this process we will prioritize Scalping
GOLD Shared Today , +100 Pips 0 Drawdown , Did You Enter ? This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAU/USD 19 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same analysis dated 17 June 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price traded to the downside, however, price was unable to breach and close below weak internal low where we saw a reaction at a H4 demand level.
Nonetheless, internal structure remains bearish, therefore, price should technically target weak internal low.
Price could potentially continue to trade bullish, react at either premium of 50% EQ or H4 supply level before targeting weak internal low.
Strong swing low is expected to hold, however, it would be worth noting the swing low must be taken as the weekly and daily TF's are both in pullback phase.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 17 June 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS following US CPI data release 12 June 2024.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback initiation following bullish iBOS.
Price has reacted from H4 POI and continued bullish to target weak internal high, however, price was unable to breach and close above weak internal high reacting at an M15 POI.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high. Price could target more liquidity by trading down to nested H4 and M15 POI's before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative scenario is price could target strong internal low as H4 internal structure is bearish.
M15 Chart:
Get ready to short goldToday, as the U.S. May sales monthly rate was bullish for gold, gold rose rapidly in the short term. Our long positions near 2317, 2310 and 2306 respectively hit TP2319 and took profits. Very beautiful trading results. In today's gold long trade, my profit totaled more than $25K. Very good trading results.
According to the current short-term structure, gold has returned to above the moving average and maintained a strong trend, and there is still some room for gold to rise. But overall, gold is still in a period of shock, so after gold rises, it will still fall again. Therefore, we still have to focus on shorting gold at the moment, but we must seize the opportunity to short gold.
Gold has risen strongly in the short term and has a certain continuation. According to the current short-term momentum, gold will continue to rise and try to touch the 2330-2335 area, or even near 2340, which is also a short-term resistance area. So in terms of short-term trading, I will short gold in batches in the 2330-2340 area. After the bullish momentum is consumed, gold will continue to fall!
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XAUUSD June 18, 2024 a potential sharp declineGold prices are recovering after last week's sell-off as the US economy forced the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance. Weak manufacturer inflation data and a rise in initial jobless claims supported lower interest rates. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions, such as increased attacks by Hezbollah on Israel and more Russian warships in the Caribbean, have contributed to this rebound.
Looking at the adjustment process from June 8 to the present time, we can see that this is a complicated adjustment process.
- Trading in a complex correction is not recommended. We watch for this adjustment process to complete
- During this process we can scalp in short price ranges in smaller frames.
- When the price reaches the expected targets, we will consider placing an order.
Looking at H1, we see that the wave C correction process is still continuing. We observe the price reaching the target price zones 2350 and 2356.
- The price will confirm the target areas of wave C when it breaks out of the 2341.8 area, then we focus on observing the chart to find a Sell order.
- In case the price breaks out of the 2296 price range, it is likely that the adjustment process has been completed and if the price also breaks out of the 2287 area, then the target price area for wave 5 is 2256 and 2210 will be the areas we focus on. closely to find Buy orders.
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