Get started

Xauusdidea

5/21 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon, everyone! In yesterday’s trading, our buy-side positions performed well, but unfortunately, sell orders around 3280 weren't closed in time, resulting in a partial loss of profit. Today, gold has shown impressive strength, breaking above the 3300 level and forming an irregular inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Technically, this implies further upside potential. 🔍 Based on price action and technical patterns, this rally could extend beyond 3330, and even test 3350+. However, the 3346–3369 zone marks a strong resistance band, making it an ideal zone for medium-term selling opportunities. 📉 On the downside, we identify the first major support at 3278, followed by the 3261–3246 zone. 📰 On the news front, several Fed officials expressed economic concerns in speeches early this morning. Meanwhile, reports of Israel preparing to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities fueled safe-haven demand, pushing gold strongly back above the 3300 mark. 📌 Today's Trading Strategy: Sell between 3346–3373 (consider scaling in) Buy between 3260–3243 Flexible trading in the zones: 3338 - 3326 - 3318 -3309 -3298 - 3288 - 3272 Lastly, a heartfelt thought: Living in a peaceful country like China, it's truly heartbreaking to see so many innocent children suffering or even losing their lives due to war. Let us hope for peace soon—so all people may live safely, freely, and happily.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold trend analysis and operation ideasThe price of gold has been sweeping around the 3150-3250 area before, and then it repeatedly swept around the 3250-3200 range with 3250 as the suppression, and then directly hovered at a high level. The price continued to rise in the short term and rushed to the 3315 area, and then fell sharply by 30 US dollars to find 3285, and then continued to rise and break the high to the 3320 area. If it is strong, it will directly break through 3320 and further rise to find 3370. If it is a sweep, then the 3320 position will be tested repeatedly, and the pressure will fall back. This time the range is considered to be 50 US dollars, at least 30 US dollars. The space budget is around 50 US dollars, which is also the difficulty of the recent market. The start is 30-50 US dollars, and the process is not continued! At present, the price is hovering in the 3318-3320 area. The first pressure choice is here. We choose to use this as pressure to hold short orders, stop loss 3324, and suppress successfully to find 3300-3190, followed by 3170-3160.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by yniyth
Trend trading is the core strategyGold opened at 3290 and rebounded, reaching 3314 and retreating. Last night, gold broke through the box and oscillated, so it is reasonable to continue to move up. The gold moving average continues to cross upward and diverge. The strength of gold bulls is still there. The decline of gold is an opportunity to continue to go long. Gold is now at the top and bottom conversion position of 3275-85. Gold falls back to 3275-3285 and continues to go long. Gold has repaired the gap of the previous gap. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3315-21. Try not to chase the high position. We will intervene in the long position when it falls back. Today, the support below is around 3275-85, and the upper short-term focus is on the 3315-21 line. If it does not break, you can short. The important resistance is 3340-45. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3253-60. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Shorting can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to around 3275-85, with a target of 3300-3320. 2. Go short when gold rebounds around 3340-45, with a target of 3320-3300.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
1
May 19. Trading opportunities in the London market.A new week of trading opportunities is about to begin. There is a lot of news over the weekend. There is an increase in geopolitical uncertainty. This is undoubtedly a heavy news. At the same time, the instability of tariffs makes the trend of XAUUSD even stronger. The current price around 3230 needs to be tested to see if it stabilizes. If not, choose a lower position to buy. If the current price can stabilize, buy directly. Target 3245-3250 Share at least 4-5 accurate trading signals for trading every day. More operating opportunities. Lower risk. Greater profit. If you don’t know how to trade. Follow me.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Band_analysis
Gold breaks upward, space opens up 📌 Driving events Internationally, US media reported that US intelligence agencies found that Israel was preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities, and gold and crude oil both soared in the short term. Recently, the Iran nuclear talks and the Russia-Ukraine talks were carried out simultaneously, and the market risk aversion sentiment fluctuated greatly 📊Comment analysis While the medium and long-term outlook continues to be bullish on gold's performance this year, short-term operations are mainly based on news. Pay attention to light positions and maintain flexibility in short-term operations. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Buy Gold Zone: 3310-3315 SL 3307 Scalping TP1: $3318 TP2: $3325 TP3: $3330 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3332 TP3: $3320 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245 TP1: $3260 TP2: $3270 TP3: $3280 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Analysis on 4H in GOLD.This is a 4-hour chart for Gold Spot/USD (XAU/USD), and the analysis appears to be setting up a potential short (sell) trade. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: 📊 Key Levels Highlighted: 🔴 Sell Zones: Strong Level for Selling (~3,359.98) Marked as a high-probability area for price rejection. Aligns with a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG D). Also meets a descending trendline resistance. Temporary Level for Selling (~3,326.01) Could act as a short-term resistance if the price fails to break higher. 🟢 Support Zones: Resistance Become Support (~3,255 range) This zone was previously resistance and has now flipped to support. Price recently bounced from this area. Lower Support Zone (~3,208.61) Final support area marked as "resistance" from a historical perspective. Could be a take profit area for a short trade. 🔺 Price Action Setup: Current Price: 3,316.15 Plan: Wait for price to reach the strong sell level. If it shows signs of rejection (e.g. bearish candle patterns or divergence), a short trade could be entered. Stop Loss: Above the red zone (around 3,392.65). Take Profit: At or around 3,208.61. 🧠 Analysis Summary: This is a bearish bias setup based on: Fair Value Gap (FVG) Trendline resistance Supply zone Previous structure (support/resistance)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by m_zeeshan3644
Ready to Rob the Gold Market? XAU/USD Heist Plan Revealed!🌟 Gold Heist Masterplan: XAU/USD Profit Raid 🚀💰 Thieves and profit hunters! 🤑 Ready to raid the XAU/USD gold market? This *Thief Trading Style* fuses sharp technicals with key fundamentals for a slick long-entry plan targeting the high-stakes Red Zone. Let’s grab those gains! 📈🎯 **Entry Plan 📈** Strike when the breakout hits! Watch for a Moving Average crossover at 3380.00 to jump in for bullish profits. 🔔 - Set *buy stop orders* above the MA for breakout trades. - Prefer pullbacks? Place *buy limit orders* at recent swing low/high on 15M or 30M timeframes. 📌 *Tip*: Set a chart alert to catch the breakout candle in action! 🚨 **Stop Loss 🛑** Guard your stash with a *Thief SL* at the recent 4H swing low/high (3200.00). Tweak your SL based on risk tolerance, lot size, and open orders. Stay alert! 🔍 **Profit Target 🎯** Aim high for 3680.00, or lock in gains early to avoid overplaying your hand. Stay disciplined! 💪 **Scalper’s Edge 👀** Scalpers, stick to quick long-side trades. Big players can dive in now; smaller traders, ride the swing with a trailing SL to secure profits. 💰 **Market Pulse 💵** XAU/USD is charging bullish, driven by macro trends, COT data, sentiment, quantitative signals, and intermarket flows. Keep your eyes on fast-moving fundamentals! 🌎📊 **Latest Market Snapshot (UTC+1, May 21, 2025)** - *Forex (XAU/USD)*: Hovering around 3155.00, testing key 200-day SMA support after a 2%+ sell-off. - *COT Report (May 16, 2025)*: Non-commercial net long positions up by 5,200 contracts, reflecting strong bullish sentiment among speculators. - *Commodities & Metals*: Gold stabilizing near monthly lows; oil prices steady, supporting commodity-linked currencies. - *Indices & Crypto*: Risk-on sentiment in global indices aligns with bullish XAU/USD bias; crypto inflows up $785M last week. **Trading Caution 📰** Steer clear of new trades during major news to avoid volatility spikes. Use trailing stops to protect open positions and lock in profits. 🚫 **Power Up the Heist! 💥** Smash that Boost Button to fuel our trading crew! 🤝 With the *Thief Trading Style*, we’re snatching profits daily. Watch for the next plan! 🐱‍👤🚀 Happy trading, and let’s stack that cash! 💸🎉
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by Thief_Trader
Gold Gains on US Credit Downgrade, Tax RiskTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) surged to a one-week high of $3,306 on Tuesday, fueled by rising concerns over the U.S. economic outlook. The metal benefited from a weaker dollar, following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and renewed fears over President Trump’s proposed tax cuts, which could add $3–5 trillion to the national debt. Global risk sentiment also took a hit, with ongoing U.S.-Japan trade tensions and muted progress in U.S.-China talks. Technically, gold is approaching key resistance at $3,306. A firm breakout above $3,306 would signal bullish continuation, while short-term support lies at $3,288 and $3,240. The RSI around 60 suggests consolidation may precede another push higher. With central banks citing U.S. policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks lingering, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains intact. Resistance : $3,306 , $3,364 Support : $3,288 , $3,240
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
Gold is Heating Up! Breakout + Trendline Support Gold has shown strong bullish continuation after breaking above a key descending resistance line. Once that breakout occurred, price formed a strong rising trendline, which has since been respected as dynamic support. Additionally, a former resistance zone has now flipped into support, confirming a bullish market structure. Price is currently approaching a major upper resistance zone, where we may see a temporary pause or reaction. As long as the rising trendline holds, the momentum remains in favor of buyers — and a clean breakout above the upper zone could trigger the next leg higher.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by unichartz
Today's Gold Trading Strategy: Volatility ReturnsToday, gold volatility has returned to normal 🌟. With the long - term bullish trend remaining unchanged 📈, going long on dips is the simplest profitable strategy 💰. Currently, the support at 3,200 and resistance at 3,260 are relatively obvious 📊. You can directly go long near 3,200 - 3,210 📈. In the absence of any real - time news impact 📰, try to focus on bullish positions 📈 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@3210 -3220 🚀 TP 3240 - 3260 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign-
Will gold continue to rise to 3280-3330 today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. Today, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "debt surge and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies. Due to this influence, gold opened sharply higher today, Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250. Here is the 1-hour chart: If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later. The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time. For now, I think that as long as gold is above 3200 today, gold will continue to rise. So, if you do it in the short term, you can buy in the 3200-3220 range, with 3200 below as defense, and as long as the upper target stands firm at 3250, you can continue to see the 3280-3300-3330 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AmandaLaw
1
Gold Price Action Analysis (XAU/USD) – 1H ChartThis 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) highlights a key decision point in the market. The price is currently testing a significant resistance zone marked in grey. The note "IF THIS LEVEL GETS BREAKS IT WILL CONTINUE UPWARD" indicates a potential bullish breakout, targeting the upper resistance zone labeled "BUY 1ST TARGET." Conversely, failure to break this level suggests a possible rejection, with a downside move toward the lower support zone labeled "IF NOT GET BROKEN THEN SELL SIDE TARGET." Key structural levels such as BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) are also marked, showing previous shifts in trend direction and liquidity zones. The chart reflects a critical moment for traders watching price action confirmation for directional bias. NOTE: ( ALSO KEEP EYES ON FAKEOUT/DOWN)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Gold fluctuates, and the profit range is in this area 📌 Driving events After a phone call with Trump yesterday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that efforts to end the war in Ukraine are on track and Moscow is ready to work with Ukraine on a memorandum of understanding for a future peace agreement. The United States has begun serious trade negotiations with the European Union, which has slightly improved investor sentiment. These negotiations broke the long-standing deadlock and brought some hope for more deals after Washington signed a framework agreement with the United Kingdom earlier this month. Trump had previously said that he could also reach an agreement with India, Japan and South Korea, but the negotiations with Japan seemed to be deadlocked over the issue of automobile tariffs. 📊Commentary Analysis Gold prices fluctuated narrowly throughout the day, mainly due to the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand after Moody's downgraded the US government's credit rating. 💰Strategy Package For intraday short-term operations, pay attention to the 3200 area for long opportunities and defend 3193. Pay attention to the 3235 area for short opportunities and defend 3242. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Rebound firmly short-sellingThe US dollar index continued to fall yesterday, breaking through the 100 integer mark, but the gold price did not break through the key resistance level. In the short term, we need to be alert to the risk of gold price correction. In addition, the three major US stock indexes have continued to rise recently, but the market risk appetite has decreased. We need to be alert to the market panic and liquidity tightening that may be caused by the stagnation of the US stock market's rise, which will put pressure on the gold market. Technically, the gold price was blocked at the important pressure level of 3250 yesterday, and the support below was at the 3200 mark. In the short term, it is still mainly range-bound. At present, the upper resistance is 3226-3233, and the lower support is 3189-3184. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound short and supplemented by callback long. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound short at 3228-3235, and the target is 3210-3193. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3189-3185 and go long, and the target is 3215-3235.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold fell below 3,200 today? 📌 Driving Events In early Asian trading on Tuesday, gold prices (XAU/USD) fell slightly to around $3,230, affected by a slight rebound in the US dollar (USD). However, continued concerns about the health of the US economy - especially after Moody's recent credit rating downgrade - may help limit further downside for precious metals. The rebound in the US dollar has curbed the upward momentum of dollar-denominated assets such as gold. Nevertheless, heightened economic uncertainty is still supporting safe-haven demand. Moody's downgraded the US sovereign rating from "Aaa" to "Aa1" on Friday, citing its rising debt levels and interest payments that have exceeded other similarly rated countries. These developments have kept risk sentiment fragile and provided potential support for gold prices. 📊Comment Analysis Accumulating along the upper and lower trend lines, the gold price will break out and require more liquidity than the downward trend 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3224-3226 SL 3230 Scalping TP1: $3215 TP2: $3208 TP3: $3200 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3276-3278 SL 3283 Scalping TP1: $3260 TP2: $3250 TP3: $3240 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3152 - $3150 SL $3145 TP1: $3165 TP2: $3180 TP3: $3195 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Will gold fall to 3180-3158?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. If you have a different opinion, you can express your different opinions in the comment area. Yesterday, Monday, retail traders made a record bottom-fishing in US stocks, reversing the 1% drop in the S&P 500 index caused by Moody's downgrading the US credit rating last weekend. Yesterday, Monday, gold opened at a high point near 3250, but after the US stock market opened, it basically maintained a downward trend. From the current 1-hour chart, gold has been fluctuating above the 1-hour chart range yesterday, Monday, but there has been a change today. It has continuously fallen below the hourly chart range support position at the opening. Therefore, from the current point of view, gold is likely to retreat downward today, and the 3200 mark is currently difficult to hold. Therefore, we must be alert to the possibility of a retracement today. As for the operation, you can rely on the 3220-3225 range to sell, and look at the target to 3180-3158.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AmandaLaw
Perfect grasp of key points Insight into market trendsWith the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and the recent weak U.S. economic data, market expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut have increased. The U.S. dollar index has plummeted and is once again facing the 100 mark. Risk aversion sentiment has rebounded again, and gold has once again been sought after. It opened higher in the Asian session. However, we have mentioned the repetitiveness of sentiment many times recently, so we remind you not to chase the rise too much. We remind you to short near 3245, long at 3209, and short again near 3245. Both long and short positions are very accurate, giving perfect entry opportunities and successfully taking profits. Judging from the current trend, gold is under pressure again in the European session near 3248, and the US session has fallen back. The short-term strength has turned into a wide sweep again. Focus on the gains and losses of 3230. If it falls below or looks at the gap area of ​​3206-3203, go long if it falls back and does not break. The upper pressure is still focused on the area near 3253-60. Short-term fluctuations are increasing. If there is any adjustment, we will notify you in time. Operation suggestion: Go long in gold near 3206-03, look at 3230 and 3252!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold Price Soars After Moody's US Downgrade: What's Next?Gold's Resurgence: A Deep Dive into the Moody's Downgrade and Market Tremors The world of finance is a complex ecosystem, where a single event can trigger a cascade of reactions across global markets. Recently, such an event unfolded as Moody's Investors Service, one of the leading credit rating agencies, delivered a significant blow to the United States' financial standing by downgrading its sovereign credit rating. This unexpected move, occurring after a period of notable decline for gold, sent shockwaves through the financial landscape, prompting a sharp rally in the precious metal's price. In the early hours of Asian trading, gold surged by as much as 1.3%, reaching approximately $3,245 an ounce, a clear testament to its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. The Catalyst: Moody's Downgrade and its Implications Credit ratings are critical indicators of a borrower's ability to meet its debt obligations. For a sovereign nation, its credit rating influences borrowing costs, investor confidence, and its overall standing in the international financial community. Moody's decision to lower the U.S. sovereign credit rating by one notch, from the pristine Aaa to Aa1, was not taken lightly. The agency pointed to a confluence of persistent and concerning factors. Chief among these were the United States' chronic budget deficits, which have shown little sign of abatement despite various economic cycles. Moody's also highlighted a perceived erosion of political will and institutional strength to effectively address the nation's deteriorating fiscal trajectory. The growing burden of national debt and the escalating costs of servicing this debt were explicitly mentioned as significant concerns underpinning the downgrade. This wasn't the first time the U.S. had faced a credit rating downgrade. In 2011, Standard & Poor's (S&P) stripped the U.S. of its top-tier AAA rating, a move that also sent tremors through global markets. The parallels are noteworthy, as both instances underscored deep-seated concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. A sovereign downgrade, particularly for an economy as pivotal as the United States, has far-reaching consequences. It can lead to higher borrowing costs for the government, potentially impacting everything from infrastructure spending to social programs. Furthermore, it can dent investor confidence, leading to capital outflows or a re-evaluation of risk associated with U.S. assets. The immediate market reaction to Moody's announcement was a textbook flight to safety. The U.S. dollar, typically a beneficiary of global uncertainty, found itself under pressure. As the world's primary reserve currency, the dollar's value is intrinsically linked to the perceived strength and stability of the U.S. economy. A credit downgrade, by questioning that stability, naturally led to a weakening of the greenback. This weakening, in turn, provided a direct tailwind for gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so a cheaper dollar makes gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies, thereby stimulating demand. Simultaneously, U.S. Treasury bonds, long considered one of the safest investments globally, experienced a sell-off. This might seem counterintuitive, as a flight to safety often includes government bonds. However, a credit downgrade directly impacts the perceived creditworthiness of those bonds. Investors demand a higher yield (return) to compensate for the increased perceived risk, leading to a drop in bond prices (yields and prices move inversely). The Treasury yield curve, which plots the yields of bonds with different maturities, steepened, indicating greater uncertainty about longer-term economic prospects and inflation. U.S. stock futures also registered declines, reflecting concerns that higher borrowing costs and diminished confidence could negatively impact corporate earnings and economic growth. Gold: The Evergreen Safe Haven Amidst this turmoil, gold shone brightly. Its rally was a classic demonstration of its role as a premier safe-haven asset. Throughout history, gold has been a store of value, a tangible asset that retains its worth when paper currencies or other financial instruments falter. Its appeal transcends economic cycles and geopolitical shifts. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold's supply is finite, giving it an intrinsic scarcity value. In times of economic stress, such as those signaled by a sovereign credit downgrade, investors flock to gold for several reasons. Firstly, it acts as a hedge against currency depreciation. If the U.S. dollar weakens significantly, holding gold can preserve purchasing power. Secondly, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. If a government resorts to inflationary policies to manage its debt burden, the real value of money erodes, while gold tends to hold or increase its value. Thirdly, in periods of heightened geopolitical risk or systemic financial instability, gold provides a sense of security that other assets may not offer. It is a universally accepted medium of exchange and store of wealth, independent of any single government or financial institution. The downgrade by Moody's amplified concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, a narrative that has been building for some time. Commentators pointed to over a decade of what they termed "fiscal profligacy," where successive administrations and Congresses have struggled to implement sustainable long-term solutions to the nation's growing debt. The phrase "ticking debt timebomb" resurfaced in financial commentary, underscoring the anxieties surrounding the long-term implications of current fiscal policies for the world's largest economy. These anxieties naturally fueled demand for gold as a protective measure. Adding another layer to these concerns were reports of a U.S. House panel approving proposed tax cuts, which, according to some economic analyses, could add trillions more to the national debt, further exacerbating the fiscal imbalance. The Preceding Slump: A Market Breather The vigorous rally in gold prices was particularly striking given its performance in the preceding week. The metal had been on a downward trajectory, poised for what was described as its steepest weekly decline in six months. This earlier weakness was primarily attributed to a strengthening U.S. dollar and an apparent easing of trade tensions between the United States and China. When geopolitical risks appear to subside and economic optimism grows, investors often rotate out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets, such as equities, in pursuit of higher returns. This is often referred to as a "risk-on" environment. The announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs between the U.S. and China had injected a dose of optimism into the markets. This temporary truce in the protracted trade war improved investor sentiment, reducing the perceived need for the kind of insurance that gold provides. Consequently, capital flowed towards assets perceived to benefit more directly from improved global trade and economic growth, leading to a pullback in gold prices. However, the Moody's downgrade swiftly reversed this trend, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can pivot in response to unexpected news. Navigating a Complex Web of Global Influences Gold's price is rarely determined by a single factor. It is subject to a complex interplay of global economic data, geopolitical developments, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. While the Moody's downgrade was the immediate catalyst for the recent rally, other elements continue to shape the landscape. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world provide a persistent undercurrent of support for gold. Any escalation of conflicts or emergence of new geopolitical flashpoints can quickly send investors seeking refuge in the yellow metal. Furthermore, mixed economic data from major economies contributes to market volatility. For instance, softer-than-expected economic indicators from China, the world's second-largest economy, can dampen global growth expectations and influence risk appetite, which in turn affects gold. Statements from key policymakers also carry significant weight. Comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the potential reimposition of "Liberation Day" tariffs if trade negotiations with certain partners were not conducted in "good faith" served as a reminder that trade uncertainties remain. Such pronouncements can easily reignite concerns and support gold prices. The Long-Term Horizon: Bullish Undertones Persist Despite the short-term volatility, many analysts maintain a constructive long-term outlook for gold. Several underlying factors are expected to provide structural support for the precious metal in the coming years. One such factor is the potential for ongoing U.S. dollar weakness, driven by the country's twin deficits (budget and current account) and a gradual shift by some central banks to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from an overwhelming reliance on the dollar. This diversification trend, if it continues, could provide a sustained tailwind for gold. Moreover, the policies of major governments and central banks can also influence gold's trajectory. For example, periods of expansionary monetary policy, characterized by low interest rates and quantitative easing, can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which yields no income) and potentially lead to inflationary pressures, both of which are typically gold-positive. It's important to note that gold had already demonstrated strong performance in 2025, even before this latest surge. Year-to-date, the metal had appreciated significantly, reportedly by around 23%, and had even briefly surpassed the $3,500 an ounce mark for the first time in history during April. This underlying strength suggests that broader market forces were already favoring gold. Major financial institutions have also echoed this optimistic long-term view. JPMorgan, for instance, has projected that gold could average $3,675 an ounce by the end of the year, with a potential to reach $4,000 before the close of 2026. Similarly, Goldman Sachs maintained its forecast of $3,700 by year-end and a $4,000 target by mid-2026. These forecasts often consider a range of scenarios, including the path of Federal Reserve interest rate policy and the likelihood of a U.S. recession. Even with expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts and a potentially lower U.S. recession risk, these institutions see considerable upside for gold. Investor Strategy in a Shifting Landscape For investors, the recent events serve as a potent reminder of gold's role in a diversified portfolio. While gold can be volatile in the short term, its ability to act as a hedge against various risks makes it a valuable component for long-term wealth preservation. The Moody's downgrade and the subsequent market reaction underscore the importance of not being complacent about sovereign risk, even in developed economies. Retail investors might consider gold through various avenues, including physical bullion (coins and bars), gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the gold price, or shares in gold mining companies. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, often allocate a portion of their portfolios to gold as a strategic hedge and a diversifier. The key is to view gold not as a speculative tool for quick profits, but as a long-term strategic holding that can provide stability and protection during periods of economic or geopolitical stress. The optimal allocation to gold will vary depending on an individual's risk tolerance, investment goals, and overall market outlook. Conclusion: Gold's Enduring Relevance The sharp rebound in gold prices following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating is a multifaceted event with significant implications. It highlights gold's unwavering status as a safe-haven asset, its sensitivity to shifts in U.S. dollar valuation, and the profound impact of sovereign creditworthiness on global financial markets. The downgrade served as a stark reminder of the underlying fiscal challenges confronting the United States and their potential to create ripples of uncertainty that benefit traditional stores of value. Looking ahead, investors and market observers will be keenly focused on upcoming U.S. economic data, pronouncements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, and the evolving geopolitical landscape. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable, the fundamental factors that have historically supported gold – its role as an inflation hedge, a currency hedge, and a crisis commodity – remain firmly in place. As the global economic and political environment continues to navigate complex challenges, gold is likely to retain its allure as a critical component of a well-diversified investment strategy, a timeless guardian of wealth in an ever-changing world. The recent bounce may be more than just a fleeting reaction; it could be a reaffirmation of gold's enduring value proposition in an era of increasing uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
The market trend is highly consistent with the chart analysisGold opened with a gap up today, returning to the decline starting point near 3,252 last Friday before falling again. The short-term trend has entered a repeated oscillation, but the key level of 3,200 has not been broken.👉👉👉 On Monday, the international gold price rebounded by more than 1%, boosted by a weaker U.S. dollar and increased safe-haven demand. Gold first fell to the 3,206 level before recovering to the 3,250 level, reversing the early session decline. Gold has been under pressure in recent weeks as markets gradually digest stagflation expectations and reprice rate-cut expectations. The market now expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by about 58 basis points by the end of the year, compared with the peak expectation of 120 basis points during the panic in April. From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, the lower support continues to focus on the vicinity of 3170-75. The primary support level is the 3150 threshold, and the important resistance to pay attention to is 3270-3280. Overall, within this range, the main tone of participating in a cycle of selling at high levels and buying at low levels remains unchanged. At intermediate positions, it is advisable to observe more, act less, and be cautious about chasing orders. Be patient and wait for entry at key points. XAUUSD trading strategy buy @ 3215-3220 sl 3195 tp 3235-3240 If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
FX:XAUUSDLong
by JeromeGrote
The recent gold short position has a perfect harvestIt can be said that the market of gold on Wednesday was mainly range-bound. After the US market, gold began to follow a unilateral decline pattern, with the lowest reaching the 3173 line. The current rebound of gold is not strong. On the rebound, we will focus on the 3206-3210 line for suppression at the top and 3154-3154 at the bottom. 3160 is a first-line support. The general trend is still mainly rebounding and shorting. We continue to rebound and take advantage of the trend to intervene in short orders and be a stable trader. I have always been here. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate! Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side is currently focusing on the short-term suppression of the 3206-3210 first line. The counter-draw relies on this position to continue to go short first and then fall back. Before breaking through and standing at this position, the counter-draw main short-term rhythm will remain unchanged. The short-term support below is around 3154-3160, with interval operations as the main focus. Gold operation strategy: Gold rebounds and goes short at 3206-3210 line, stop loss at 3219, target 3160-3165 line, continue to hold if the position is broken;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj
2
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to continue shorting!Technical analysis of gold: After stabilizing at 3222 yesterday, the rebound was weak and stopped at 3244. After the European session fluctuated, it fell below the 3200 integer mark and a diving market appeared. The lowest intraday price fell to 3168 US dollars. This means that the support of 3200 has failed, and the price of the disk has increased its retracement. The saturated and sinister closing of the daily line means that there is still room for continuation during the day! After gold fell below 3200 this week, the current trend is as shown in the figure. The end of this wave is tentatively set at around 2950. There may be a rebound during the period, but it is only a rebound. After the news fades, it is a rebound in the analysis after the 9th of this month. It emphasizes that the gold price of 3500 is a top to look at the retracement, and also gives a short-selling strategy and a staged support position below. Now that the support level has been broken one after another, we can continue to look at the target according to the trend. Now let's make a brief analysis of the hourly chart. Gold prices must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is to adjust and repair by shocks, and the other is to rebound and repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions to rebound, so I think the rebound here at 3120 is just caused by some short orders choosing to sell at a profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the upper side mainly focuses on two positions. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of the early trading wave near 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the just low point of 3120. The lower ladder support focuses on 3088. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3170-3192 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3120-3100 line of support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 3168-3172 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 10 points, target near 3140-3120, and look at 3100 line if it breaks; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 3100-3105 when gold falls back, stop loss 10 points, target near 3130-3150, and look at 3170 line if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj