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Xauusdidea

Today's trading trend, entry buyLast week, world gold prices fell due to continued pressure from strong economic data and "tough" stances from US Federal Reserve (FED) officials. According to experts, this week's gold price will have many fluctuations when the market receives a lot of important information such as the purchasing management index report in the manufacturing and service sectors, the number of applications for unemployment benefits and May non-farm payrolls. Besides, the Central Banks' decision on interest rates this week will likely cause the market to recalculate the timing of the FED's interest rate easing. Marc Chandler, CEO at Bannockburn Global Forex, said that this week the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Canada are likely to cut interest rates. "Gold prices seem ready to go higher and the move above 2,372 USD/ounce is an indicator of precious metal prices conquering the 2,400 USD mark again," said Mr. Marc Chandler. Sean Lusk, co-head of commercial hedging at Walsh Trading, said that short-term interest rates may have peaked, putting pressure on the USD and possibly causing gold prices to rise again. According to Kitco News, this week, the majority of experts and retail investors expressed optimism about the short-term prospects of precious metals, with only a few of them keeping a neutral or bearish stance. Specifically, 6 Wall Street experts (equivalent to 60%) think that gold prices will increase higher this week. 2 analysts (20%,) predict the price will decrease and the remaining 2 investors think the precious metal will move sideways in the short term.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Strategy at the beginning of the week, gold increased slightlyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,329 USD/ounce. World gold prices this week are forecast to have a lot of fluctuations when the market receives a lot of important information, including the purchasing management index report in the manufacturing and service sectors, and the number of applications reported. unemployment benefits and non-farm payrolls report for May. In addition, investors will also closely monitor developments and interest rate decisions of the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank. Central banks' decisions this week may cause the market to recalculate the timing and scale of interest rate easing by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Recently, in the context of economic instability, persistent inflation combined with geopolitical tensions and rising interest rates, gold prices have had a notable surge. At the end of May, this precious metal broke the record level reached in mid-April exceeding the mark of 2,400 USD/ounce. However, the price of this precious metal has turned down due to strong economic data combined with "hawkish" statements from Fed officials. A recent article on CBSnews gave reasons why investors should buy gold when prices fall. According to the article, June is the right time to buy gold. Accordingly, after conquering the all-time high of 2,439.9 USD/ounce, gold has dropped more than 100 USD. The sharp decline in prices provides favorable opportunities for those who want to buy gold at a relatively lower price. Besides, short-term fluctuations in gold are difficult to predict. Therefore, it is unlikely that current price levels will last as gold prices could recover or even surpass previous record highs within days or weeks. Therefore, the advice is that investors should not miss the opportunity to buy gold at lower prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD week 1 June 2024 US economy going down? 1. US Q1 GDP was revised down due to weak consumer spending. 3. Israel will not end the conflict to reach an agreement to release all hostages. 4. OPEC+ is working on a complex production cut agreement for the period 2024-2025. 5. US April pending home sales suffered the largest decline in three years. With important information last week we see - The US economy is under strong pressure from the Fed's tightening monetary policy. - Besides, OPEC cutting oil production will push oil prices up and when oil prices increase, gold also increases. - The continued escalation of the Israeli conflict will push gold prices higher. Looking at H4 we see - After news of PCE, gold price increased sharply then decreased, completely negating the previous increase and breaking 2323 stone. - The 2323 price range was broken, invalidating our previous wave counting process with the expectation that the correction had ended. So with the 2323 price range being broken, the correction process is still continuing. - So it is possible that the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at the price range 2317 and 2311. - We have the 2465 zone which confirms wave 5 has completed when the price surpasses this zone - Next week we will wait for the price reaction in these areas to conduct buying transactions. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAU/USD Longs back up to 2,340 or higherMy analysis for gold this week is based on the imminent mitigation of the 19-hour demand zone I marked out last week. This key level has caught my interest, and I anticipate a strong reaction from this high-quality demand area. On Monday, I will wait for a sweep of the Asian low in the form of a spring and look for a Wyckoff accumulation to take place. This will be my signal to enter buys, aiming to ride the price back up to the next supply zone, where I expect a bearish move to occur. Confluences for gold buys: - Price is in a 19hr demand zone that has caused a BOS to the upside - Price has already slowed down momentum and could be a good sign for buys back up. - There's a trendline above that needs to be taken as well as untouched asia highs - Price is overall bullish on the higher time frame. Could be a start of a new rally. P.S. If the price breaks the current zone, I will look to take buys from a 4-hour demand zone below, as it is at a more favorable price. However, I will wait for lower time frame confluence before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
1
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals. The news was announced yesterday Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6% Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k News that pending home sales are down 7.7% Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control. Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy. The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. . Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded. - After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week. - Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332. Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsAfter the release of encouraging US economic data recently, Gold prices are showing signs of stabilization following consecutive days of losses triggered by the hawkish tone in the Fed Meeting Minute. FOMC Minutes revealed that Fed officials are uncertain about the level of policy restrictiveness and anticipate a prolonged wait before gaining confidence in sustainable inflation moving towards 2%. While the US Durable Goods Orders exceeded expectations, a downward revision in the prior month's figures tempered the report’s impact, emboldening Gold buyers as evidenced by a surge in trading activity before the weekend. Improved US business activity is reducing the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Moreover, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment poll displayed a modest uptick, though inflation sentiment remained mixed. The US 10-year Treasury note is yielding at 4.461%, experiencing a slight dip of one-and-a-half basis points on Friday, putting pressure on the US Dollar. Geopolitical tensions escalated as China initiated a second day of military exercises near Taiwan, and the decisions by Ireland, Norway, and Spain to recognize Palestine as an independent state have added volatility to markets, potentially fueling demand for Gold. Given these recent changes, the question looms: will buyers or sellers come out on top in this shifting landscape? XAUUSD Technical Overview: In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our attention is fixed on the critical $2,350 level for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,350 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment. Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy #GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets #GoldPrices #FedMeeting #EconomicData #GeopoliticalTensions📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Margin trading in forex, commodities, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments carries high risk and may not suit all investors. This content is for educational purposes only to assist with independent investment decisions and is provided for reference. Evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, objectives, and risk tolerance carefully. Consult an independent financial advisor before making any investments. I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and am not liable for any loss or damage from its use. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
6
XAU/USD 31 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 30 May 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish BOS. After bullish BOS, expectation is for price to pullback. As previously mentioned, price was showing very early signs of pullback, however, we did not have indication or confirmation. I also previously mentioned that first indication, but not confirmation, would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH. The CHoCH line is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms pullback initiation. As previously mentioned, if price cannot sustain its bullish momentum, it may seek to mitigate the H4 demand zone below. Price was failing to break above discount of 50% EQ which could indicate the bulls are losing control momentarily or seeking further liquidity. As previously mentioned, I have started to map internal structure to gain a better understanding of price action. I mentioned that the blue dotted line will indicate an internal bearish CHoCH as price may pull back deeper to the extreme of the H4 swing low structure which is marked with a blue solid vertical line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH with price currently being contained within an internal range. Black EQ marked 0.5 is swing range. Blue EQ marked 0.5 is internal range. Intraday expectation: Scenario one: Price to continue bullish to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. Scenario two: Price to continue bearish and react at H4 POI below to then target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed another bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback is underway. Price is now contained within an internal range. After reacting at discount of 50% EQ price has been unable to target weak internal high. This could indicate that price is seeking further liquidity. Intraday expectation: Price to react at M15 POI to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. The internal low, which is also denoted with a blue dashed line to the bottom of the chart is expected to hold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold price continues to decrease, strategy to sell todayWorld gold prices remained stable this morning as traders focused on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) report, the FED's preferred inflation measure, expected to be released this evening. can provide a more specific view on the timing and extent of interest rate cuts by the FED this year. According to financial and securities market analysis site MarketWatch, inflation will increase by 2.7% over the same period last year. If this forecast is correct, it means that April inflation remained unchanged compared to March, that is, this inflation level is still much higher than the FED's 2% target. A weaker dollar, lower yields and the recent stock market sell-off have provided bullish momentum for gold, said Kitco senior analyst Jim Wyckoff. Regarding the outlook for precious metal prices, experts say that, along with central banks continuously adding gold to their reserves, demand from Chinese investors will continue to increase in the near future. coming will bring solid support for gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Today's trading strategy, sell XAUUSDWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.7 USD to 2,342.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,364.5 USD/ounce, up 27.6 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold prices reversed to increase after the latest published data showed that economic growth in the US has slowed down from the beginning of the year until now. According to preliminary data on first quarter GDP released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on May 30 (US time), the US economy achieved growth of 1.3% in the first 3 months of the year, lower than the previous quarter. The previous forecast was 1.6% and down from 3.4% reported in the fourth quarter of 2023. Both the dollar and Treasury yields fell on expectations the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year increased after the report. ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that recently, traders' views have increasingly favored the scenario that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer, increasing the opportunity cost of holdings of the yellow metal and creating strong price resistance. However, this expert said that gold has benefited from strong safe-haven demand due to fears of geopolitical instability and economic instability, as well as large state purchases. He hopes that these factors will likely continue in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD - lost bullish positionThis morning I noticed that there has been a moderate downtrend, barely trying out the 2338>2340 region once more. As I shared yesterday, if Gold breaks via the forty five.forty five Zone and can't be strong, it'll surely lower to retest the Buyer`s Zone and the MA Wave. >Currently, the Trend in H4 and D1 is displaying a lower and in quick spans, I suppose Gold can nevertheless increase. >I Will Watch To Buy GOLD 2332>2336 SL 2300 TP 2346>236x >If Gold declines beyond 2330 or will increase once more with out breaking beyond 2346>2350, I can even sell. Watch to Sell When Gold retests at 46>50 or breaks via 2330 at this rate, I will watch for greater reactions to Sell. Temporarily, I'm looking out to Buy GOLD in keeping with RSI too. Sell at Frame M15 and the Buyer's Resistance Zone, everyone 👌
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheLeader_WOLF
The short sell is far from over, continue to short gold!At present, gold still maintains a weak downward trend and successfully breaks through the previous key support area of ​​2335-2330. It has already fallen below the previous low of 2325. Although it is just a puncture, the upward trend of shocks has been destroyed. The market trend has obviously changed. In addition, gold is running below the moving average today, and there is almost no resistance during the decline. The short-selling force will temporarily dominate the direction of the market. As gold falls, the upper resistance also moves down. At present, the short-term resistance is concentrated in the 2340-2350 area. So we are still boldly shorting gold in this resistance area! I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alongwineer
2
XAUUSD on May 30, 2024, the rally is about to beginWith the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. Today will release news on unemployment claims, preliminary GDP, and pending home sales, with forecasts worse than last period, if tonight's actual index reflects correctly. This seems to signal that the US economy is being affected by monetary policy due to maintaining current high interest rates. Tomorrow is an important day to announce the PCI index (Index of price changes and consumer goods purchased by consumers excluding food and energy). If this index cools down, it could influence the Fed to loosen current monetary policy. Looking back over recent times, we see that the CPI inflation index has begun to show signs of decreasing, combined with economic pressure that may cause the Fed to decide to loosen its monetary policy, especially tomorrow if PCI index cooled down. Looking at H1, we see that the price has completed wave 4 and is continuing to complete wave 5. - We see that the current price has broken below the supply and demand balance zone as shown on the chart - With the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. - We wait for the price to reach the 2322.7 or 2311.5 areas to find reversal signals to decide to buy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
Continuing downtrend, entry sell todayAnalysts say world gold prices dropped after an official of the US Federal Reserve (FED) commented on monetary policy. This person believes that high US interest rates will be kept stable, or even increased if necessary. Immediately, the currency market reacted. The USD increased in price compared to many other strong currencies, putting pressure on gold prices today. In particular, US bond interest rates suddenly increased to 4.6%. That means the value of bonds declines. This has motivated investors to increase their bond purchasing power to earn profits. As a result, very little money flows into precious metals. A sharp decline in world gold prices is inevitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trading strategy today, continue to sell lightly and wait to buyWorld gold prices turned down sharply with spot gold down 24 USD to 2,336.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,336.9 USD/ounce, down 25.5 USD compared to yesterday morning. The recovery of the USD, rising bond yields and "hawkish" comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have weighed on sentiment in the gold market, while investors wait. Look forward to the key inflation report later this week for more insight into the Fed's policy path. A 0.4% rise in the dollar made gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies, while US 10-year Treasury yields rose to a nearly one-month high, increasing opportunity costs. hold gold. This week, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari emphasized that the US Central Bank should wait for evidence that inflation is decreasing before cutting interest rates. Although gold is under a lot of pressure due to interest rate expectations, commodity analysts at UBS say that the precious metal's upward momentum is far from over with forecasts of prices rising to $2,500/ounce. in September and reach 2,600 USD/ounce by the end of this year. Previously, this Swiss bank forecast levels of 2,400 USD and 2,500 USD/ounce. USB also forecasts that gold price will increase to 2,700 USD/ounce by June 2025.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD May 29, 2024 Is the upward correction over?Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 Looking at the preliminary forecast of US economic indicators tomorrow night we see. - Prelim GDP q/q decreased from 1.6% to 1.2% - Unemployment Claims increased from 215K to 218K - Pending Home Sales m/m decreased 3.4% to -1.1% US economic indicators show that the economic situation appears to be weakening due to tightened monetary policies. Maintaining high interest rates today makes it difficult for people and businesses to access capital, leading to a decrease in people's demand for housing consumption, in addition to pushing up raw material prices, leading to increased commodity prices. making it difficult to maintain operations of factories, leading to an increase in people applying for unemployment benefits. This continues to put pressure on the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the near future. Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 and the price is reacting sideways in this area. If the price breaks below the 2352 area and then recovers without exceeding the previous peak area, this is a very good sell down signal. - If the price rises above the 2364 area, we wait for the target wave number 2 of wave 4 to find a sell signal. - After the price completes wave 4, it will continue to trend with wave 5. From the current data, we will get the expected targets of wave 5 at target zone 1 at 2322 and target 2 at zone 2311. - In the target areas of wave 5, we will find suitable conditions to enter a BUY order Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
Still believe in gold, short-term selling strategyWorld gold prices continued to increase with spot gold price at 10.2 USD increasing to 2,360.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,362.40 an ounce, up $9.90 from the bright spot. The world's yellow metal continues to gain modestly, fueled by the weakening of the USD, while investors are still eagerly awaiting US emission data later this week for more clarity. about interest rate cuts. The US Dollar Index fell 0.2% to its lowest in more than a week, becoming bullish faster than other currency holders. TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek said that the monetary policy dreams of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could very well create gold that cannot be closed and future forums are very negative. lots of data. However, this expert continues to maintain his optimism about gold. The focus this week will be on the core US personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), the Fed's desired product quantity measure, which will be released on Friday. Considered a hedging tool, gold benefited after minutes from the Fed's latest meeting last week showed that the US Central Bank did not discuss maintaining high interest rates for a longer period but also talking about the possibility of increasing interest rates in the context of finding that it is still "tough" and there is still a difficult path to achieving the 2% target. Traders are assessing the possibility of a rate cut of around 63% in November.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD:Bullish, pay attention to the resistance near 2368 The gold small-level trend indicator has formed a bullish trend. Before the US market, the main trend is long. Today's important resistance is still around 2368. The unemployment benefit data to be released during the US market is expected to be favorable to gold bulls. In addition, there is a choice of direction in the market at present, so the volatility will be very intense at that time. If I make a mistake in my prediction, if there is no good risk management measure at that time, the loss will inevitably be relatively large, so everyone must be cautious when trading and do not put their accounts at risk of being burned. If you have any questions, feel free to leave me a message. Good day, good luck to everyone!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Ex
Go long gold first, then go short goldGold has tended to be volatile in the past two days. As I predicted a few days ago, after the sharp decline, gold may digest the sharp decline in a volatile manner. Although the current market fluctuations are not large, it is still profitable. Judging from the current trend, the short-term decline has been alleviated, and the bulls have the motivation to continue to rebound. However, last week's high black candlestick chart was engulfed, laying the foundation for bearishness this week. The overnight strong impact also failed to break through the 2365 key point, indicating that there are still a lot of short pressure above 2360. So overall I still tend to be bearish on gold. However, gold has now fallen back to around 2340. Before gold fails to fall below the 2335-2330 area, gold bulls still have room to fight back. So for the time being, I will not be too bearish on gold. In terms of short-term trading, I think both long and short sides have the potential to make profits. So it has fallen back to around 2340. We can first participate in short-term long gold. After gold rebounds, we can consider shorting gold at the right time! I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alongwineer
XAUUSD: 2368-2373 is a good short trading range In the past day, gold reached a high of around 2364, just one step away from the resistance. Today's focus is still on whether the resistance is broken or not. Judging from the current market situation, I still want to try the resistance. It depends on whether I can accumulate enough bullish power in the 2347-2334 range during the backtest. If I can, then there is hope for the first attempt at resistance today. If I want to break through the resistance and achieve the resistance in the range of 2383-2391, there is little chance today. The focus is on tomorrow's data. If it is favorable to gold bulls, then this possibility will be greater. Today's trading focus is on the resistance range of 2368-2373. If it can reach this position, it will be a better short trading area. If it cannot be reached, continue to maintain the strategy of going long at a low position. Friends who need detailed trading signals can leave me a message to receive them.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Allen_Ex