Xauusdidea
XAUUSD at the Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around $3,237, currently testing a descending trendline and minor resistance. A clear breakout above this level could open the way to retest the $3,289 resistance area, followed by the $3,435 recent high and potentially the all-time high near $3,498.
Failure to break higher may see the price remain range-bound between $3,240 and $3,289. A break below support at $3,123 would be bearish and could trigger a drop toward $3,050.
Fundamental Drivers:
Moody’s US credit downgrade continues to support safe-haven flows
Fed commentary and trade uncertainty cap directional clarity
Higher Treasury yields remain a headwind for Gold
📌 Key Levels:
Minor resistance: $3,240
Major resistance: $3,289 / $3,435
Support zone: $3,123 / $3,050
Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on 1H.This chart is an analysis of the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown:
Key Zones and Levels:
Entry Zone (highlighted in orange and red):
This is the area where the trader expects price to pull back before continuing downward.
It's marked as a potential sell zone or resistance area.
The Stop Loss (SL) at $3,301.500.
Target Level:
The expected move is bearish (downtrend).
Arrows indicate a move down toward the Take Profit (TP) target at around $3,203.000.
Trade Idea:
Type: Sell/Short
Plan:
Wait for price to enter the Entry Zone.
Enter a short trade within this zone.
Place Stop Loss above the zone at $3,301.500.
Target a move down to $3,203.000.
Beware! Gold Falls
📌 World Situation
Gold prices fell more than 1.5% on Friday and are on track to close the week with a loss of more than 4% as improving risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and into stocks and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily high of $3,252.
The precious metal started the week lower following a reported significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including an agreement by both sides to reduce tariffs by 115%. Despite trading between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold prices struggled to maintain bullish momentum, with weakening buyer interest becoming increasingly apparent against the backdrop of stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data.
📊Comment Analysis
Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia-Ukraine peace talks
💰Strategy Package
Resistance: $3265, $3357
Support: $3160, $3112
In this range, you can enter the market in batches in real time to flexibly grasp the market changes.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold Market Analysis for Next WeekLast Friday's chart analysis was highly consistent with the market trend, and satisfactory results were achieved in trading.👉👉👉
Based on the 4-hour trend analysis, for the opening of gold on Monday, we will first focus on the short-term resistance at the 3,224-3,230 level, and the key resistance at the 3,253-3,260 level. Below, we will pay attention to the short-term support at the 3,170-3,175 level. The operational suggestion is to focus on shorting on rebounds.
XAUUSD trading strategy
sell @ 3230 - 3240
sl 3260
tp 3215 - 3220
If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
Gold Market Summary for Last WeekLast Friday's chart analysis was highly consistent with the market trend, and satisfactory results were achieved in trading.👉👉👉
On Friday, the international gold price fell, potentially recording its largest single-week decline in six months. This trend is mainly attributed to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and the easing of concerns about the China-U.S. trade war, which together weakened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices plummeted by more than 2% at one point on Friday, with a cumulative decline of nearly 4% this week—largely driven by increased risk appetite brought about by the trade agreement—marking the largest single-week drop since last November.
The mitigation of the trade war has led to a rebound in risk appetite across the market. This shift has prompted futures traders to take profits, particularly in the gold market, triggering a week-long wave of position liquidation. Gold has faced pressure in recent weeks as the market has ruled out stagflation expectations and repriced rate-cut expectations. Currently, the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by approximately 58 basis points by the end of the year, compared to 120 basis points at the peak of panic in April. However, in the short term, the repricing of rate-cut expectations may exert pressure on gold.
XAUUSD trading strategy
sell @ 3230 - 3240
sl 3260
tp 3215 - 3220
If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
XAUUSD[GOLD]; Is it the beginning of the major correction? XAUUSD dropped from 3265$ to 3127$, as predicted in our previous analysis. However, after touching 3127$, the price has retraced slightly and is currently trading at 3178$. In our opinion, the price can go up to $3220 maximum and reject at that level. We need to wait and see how prices behave. Another possible entry point is at 3178$, which is the current trading price. We believe this region is good for selling because the price has struggled to break through it. Please use a proper trading plan while trading gold.
As always, this analysis doesn’t guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading gold. Good luck and trade safely.
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XAUUSD FLAG BULLISH PATTERN (HIGHER HIGH) ANLYSISThe XAUUSD Market momentum has made a flag bullish pattern showing the strong uptrend had the confirm targets at different zones.
1st Target Zone 3260
Final Target Zone 3350
resistance level: 3100
Conclusion: If the market momentum moves towards target then hold on your trades but if the market moves against to the target then there is an option of stop loss point active and all the trades should be closed.
"XAU/USD Bearish Structure Developing Below Resistance"Gold price showed a sharp upward movement but faced resistance near the 3212–3220 zone. After forming a lower high, the structure appears to be setting up for a potential downside move.
The market seems to be respecting a descending channel and if the current resistance holds, we could see further continuation toward the 3120–3122 support area. Volume spike during the drop also indicates possible seller strength.
This is an educational analysis based on price structure and market behavior.
Feel free to share your thoughts or give a boost if it aligns with your view.
🔍 Key Points:
Resistance Area: ~3212–3220
Current Price Reaction: Forming lower highs
Target Zone: 3120–3122 (support)
Pattern: Bearish flag or channel
Volume: Increased on downside move – shows selling pressure
Technical & Historical Key TakeawaysThis chart analyzes the historical price cycles of Gold (XAU/USD) over the past decades, focusing on the alternation between long bull runs and prolonged bear markets.
You highlighted clear phases:
1970 - 1980: 10-year Bull Run
Massive price rally, followed by a sharp correction.
1980 - 2001: 20-year Bear Market
Prolonged sideways and downward movement.
2001 - 2011: 10-year Bull Run
Strong upward trend, reaching new all-time highs.
2011 - 2016: 5-year Bear Market
Significant correction but shorter in duration.
2016 - 2025: 10-year Bull Run
Another strong bullish phase, possibly ending in May 2025.
🔮 Scenarios projected:
Scenario 1 (Blue path):
A shorter bear market (5 years) similar to 2011-2016 correction, then continuation of the long-term uptrend.
Scenario 2 (Yellow path):
Gold enters a long-term 20-year bear market, similar to what happened post-1980.
You are asking if Gold is now entering a short bear phase (Scenario 1) or will fall into a multi-decade bear market (Scenario 2).
Cyclicality of Gold:
Gold has shown repetitive cycles of 10-year bull runs followed by either short (5-year) or long (20-year) bear markets.
These cycles seem to reflect macroeconomic shifts (inflation, interest rates, global crises).
Current Cycle (2016 - 2025):
If we respect the pattern, May 2025 might mark the end of the current bull cycle, opening the door to a corrective phase.
Scenario 1 favors a soft correction:
Based on the last cycle (2011-2016), a 5-year bear market might occur.
This would keep the long-term bullish trend alive, especially if macroeconomic conditions stay inflationary or geopolitical risks remain high.
Scenario 2 warns of a harsh bear market:
If history repeats the 1980-2001 phase, gold could enter a multi-decade bear market, driven by reduced inflation fears, strong dollar cycles, or financial system stability.
Key Indicators to watch:
Real interest rates.
USD strength vs global currencies.
Demand from central banks and emerging markets.
Geopolitical tensions and inflation expectations.
GOLD Update – Short Opportunity After Pullback! Gold traders! 💛 Our key support zone (3,212 - 3,196) has just been broken, and price is now consolidating below! 🎯
We previously took big profits from this level (our followers know!), and now we’re waiting for a pullback to enter a high-probability short trade!
⚡️ Golden Rule:
✅ If price retests the level as new resistance, go SHORT!
✅ If it reverses and breaks back above, consider a LONG!
📌 Always trade with a strategy—be ready for any scenario!
💸 The Secret to Trading Success:
🔹 Keep losses small & controlled.
🔹 Let profits run & grow!
🔹 We can’t control the market, but we CAN control our risk!
🚀 Gold is always hot—what’s your take?
👇 What’s your analysis on this move?
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
The focus of gold today is 3200!News:
The US economic data in April was weak across the board, with the producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output falling by 0.4%, which severely hit the market's confidence in the US economy. Affected by this, the US bond market fluctuated violently, with the 10-year US bond yield plummeting by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield plummeting by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index fell by 0.2%, and the real interest rate fell. At the same time, geopolitical risks continue to heat up. The Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a deadlock, Putin refused to meet with Zelensky, and the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations have not progressed smoothly. Against this background, the safe-haven attribute of gold has been highlighted, and market attention has increased significantly. Looking ahead to this trading day, a number of important US economic data will be released soon, and the progress of the Russia-Ukraine talks and Trump's dynamics are also attracting much attention. These factors will continue to affect market trends.
Technical aspect: From the perspective of the daily line, gold can no longer be regarded as a unilateral decline after yesterday's bottoming out and rebounding. It should be directly followed by the idea of oscillation! The primary focus today is still the position of the dividing line of 3200.
Trading idea: Go long if it doesn’t break around 3200, sl3190, target 3230
Latest trading opportunities for XAUUSD.The market went to the target position smoothly as expected.
Due to the sharp decline this week, there was a huge rebound in technical demand on Thursday. The highest broke through 3175/3200/3250. There were some pullbacks in the Asian market. So what positions should we pay attention to now? How to trade?
From the news side. The results of today's meeting between Russia and Ukraine are very important. The delay of one day in yesterday's negotiations has increased geopolitical uncertainty again. This is the biggest black swan event and the factor affecting the rise of XAUUSD. Before the results are announced today. There are still uncertain factors, which are the support for the decline of XAUUSD. However. If the results of the meeting are announced on the news side, then XUAUSD will have a corresponding response in the market. Then we can naturally choose the direction of trading.
Two results. Stop or extend the truce, then XAUUSD will fall further. If no agreement is successfully reached, then it is an opportunity to buy. So the impact of today's news results is very large. It needs to be paid attention to.
The basic data needs to pay attention to the support of 3200. Maintain the principle of long.
Gold is likely to trend upward Gold has made a perfect V - shaped reversal today. It opened at 3,177 and declined unilaterally in the Asian session, once dropping to around 3,120, reaching a new low since April 10. Then it gradually climbed all the way, and has now completely recovered the decline, with a rising trend.👉👉👉
On Friday, we continue to anticipate a bullish daily close for gold. However, if the pullback falls below 3,200, the daily cycle may narrow again, leading to a sustained rebound to 3,235 and 3,260. Therefore, the key point is to monitor whether the price holds above or breaks below 3,200.
For short-term trading of gold, the recommended strategy is to focus on going long during pullbacks and supplement with shorting during rebounds.
Short-term key resistance to watch above: 3250-3260 level
Short-term key support to focus on below: 3190-3200 level
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3210-3215
sl 3195
tp 3230-3240
If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
5/15 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke the support after some sideways movement and touched the buy zone near 3170, but profit was limited.
Today, after opening, gold rebounded to above 3190 but faced resistance and started dropping again. Notably, the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence, and although not yet corrected, such divergence usually leads to a rebound of at least $60 — a potential opportunity worth watching.
🗞 News Highlights:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
Research conference on monetary policy and economy
These events may significantly impact gold, so stay alert.
📌 Today’s Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3113 – 3076
🔴 Sell Zone: 3208 – 3223
🔄 Flexible Trading Ranges:
▫️3123-3152-3168-3187-3198
✅ Maintain cautious, flexible positioning. Watch for divergence correction opportunities for a potential sharp rebound.
XAUUSD H1 (15/05/2025)For today setup, i like to make sell position at price 3168 - 3171 for short position
for now i can see Gold can go down until demand h1 (3123 - 3116) and will make bounce if respect that demand. if you guys see the daily timeframe. you can see structure is for buy because daily make breakout. For the position, i will take short position and then fokus buy.
🎯 The Ideal Combo for trading:
📌 A discipline mind
📌 A trading edge
📌 Risk management
📌 Long-term mentality.
Gold Breaks Lower: Geopolitics Calm, Yields Rise, Bulls RetreatOANDA:XAUUSD Gold weakened beneath $3,150 as easing US-China trade tensions and fading Fed rate cut expectations dented safe-haven demand. US Treasury yields rose, putting further pressure on non-yielding assets. Technically, gold is testing crucial support at $3,123. A break lower can see potential for downward movement to $3,084. Fed Chair Powell speech and PPI data remain key for short-term guidance.
Resistance : $3,171 , $3,229
Support : $3,123 , $3,084
XAUUSD SellThis week's trading cycle is fast. And there are huge fluctuations. The news is still more negative. So the decline is expected. Followers have also gained rich profits.
At present, the entire trading logic is still mainly selling. With the gradual realization of the goal, the space below becomes larger.
After the target of 3160-3130 is reached, XAUUSD has reached the lowest position of 3119. This is a huge drop. The trading opportunities are also greater. At present, 3150-3130 is a support in a dense trading area. In the short term, you can pay attention to the rebound position of 3160-3172DE selling position. The target is 3100-3070.
If it breaks through 3175, then the short-term needs to pay attention to the upper pressure level of 3200-3210. The transaction is still mainly selling.
Gold slips as trade optimism dents safe-haven demandOANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains stable around $3,237 as easing US-China trade tensions eroded safe-haven demand. The US cut its "de minimis" tariff on small Chinese parcels to 30%, with further progress in talks dampening gold's short-term appeal. Market focus now turns to the upcoming US PPI data for clues on the Fed’s rate path. Technically, gold is hovering just above the key $3,213 support. A break below could trigger further losses toward $3,132. Resistance remains near $3,264 and $3,306.
Resistance : $3,264 , $3,306
Support : $3,213 , $3,132
Gold heads towards 3100 price zone, long or short?
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell for the second straight session on Thursday, the third decline in the past four days, and fell to a more than one-month low below $3,150 during the Asian trading session. The continued downward pressure is largely due to renewed optimism after signs of a substantial de-escalation in the Sino-US trade dispute, a development that has dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets such as gold.
The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession fears in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The shift supported the continued rise in US Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for the non-interest-bearing gold.
📊Comment Analysis
Downtrend, bears continue to exert downward pressure on the market, heading towards the 3100 price area
⭐️Set Gold Price:
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Area: 3178-3188 SL 3191
TP1: $3180
TP2: $3170
TP3: $3160
🔥Buy Gold Area: $3101 - $3099 SL $3094
TP1: $3110
TP2: $3120
TP3: $3130
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
XAUUSD target range 3160-3130Continue to short and make a profit. So how to trade next time?
The news is very stable at present. Especially about the news related to geopolitics and tariffs, there are no more conflicts to cause the momentum of XAUUSD to rise. So the feedback on the chart is a decline.
Although there were some small losses in buying. But the subsequent shorting made a good profit. After making up for the losses, there is still some profit.
Next, continue to pay attention to the target range of 3160-3130 below. Investors with larger funds can choose to trade at the current price. 3210-3200 gradually increase the buy order. More detailed information can be obtained in the band trading center.
If you don’t pay attention, you can observe and read it. You can also leave me a message.