Gold: Economic Risks May Drive Prices UpGold Surges Amid Global Uncertainty, Testing Key Resistance
Gold has continued its impressive rebound, climbing steadily from its recent trough at $2,957 to reclaim territory above the psychological $3,000 mark. This upward momentum is being driven by a confluence of macroeconomic factors, including a softening US dollar and a pause in the previously relentless climb of US Treasury yields. With markets recalibrating their expectations around interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, investor appetite for safe-haven assets like gold has gained renewed strength.
At the heart of the current rally lies mounting geopolitical tension, particularly the intensifying trade standoff between the United States and China. Washington's proposal to impose 50% tariffs on a broad array of Chinese goods has rattled global markets. In response, Beijing is signaling potential retaliatory measures, further stoking fears of a prolonged economic conflict between the world's two largest economies. These developments are injecting volatility into risk assets and increasing demand for traditional hedges such as gold.
From a technical standpoint, the precious metal is currently grappling with a significant resistance level near $3,013. If the price manages to consolidate above this threshold following the current retracement, it could pave the way for a continued upward drive toward the next resistance zones at $3,033 and $3,057. These levels represent key pivot points that could dictate the short- to medium-term trajectory of gold.
On the downside, immediate support lies at $2,996, with stronger backing at $2,981. These levels may provide a cushion for any near-term pullbacks, especially as traders look for opportunities to re-enter the market during dips.
The broader narrative remains highly fluid, shaped by the ever-changing dynamics of global trade policy and monetary strategy. As the tug-of-war between Washington and Beijing intensifies, markets are left navigating a highly politicized and uncertain environment. With neither side showing signs of capitulation—China maintaining its firm stance, and the US administration likely to resist backing down—the potential for further escalation remains high.
In this context, gold’s appeal as a strategic asset grows stronger. The current setup suggests that the metal may gain additional bullish traction if it finds support around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level or holds above $3,013. Investors are keenly watching these technical and fundamental cues, weighing the growing economic risks that could propel gold into a sustained rally.
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD hourly trend analysis for April 09, 2025XAUUSD trend is currently bearish. Once it closes above 3023, there is an immediate resistance at 3050. But 3050 may not indicate bullishness unless Trend trading indicator confirms the signal. Once the Buy is confirmed, there would be an immediate resistance at 3090. This is just my view.
XAUUSD Breakdown Setup – Gold Bears Eye $2,845 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its rising channel structure, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to potential bearish continuation. After a sharp rejection from the $3,167 high, price is currently consolidating just below the psychological $3,000 level, which now acts as resistance.
Key Technical Zones:
Current Price: $2,985
Resistance Zone: $3,000 – $3,005 (key rejection area)
Support Targets:
TP1: $2,923
TP2: $2,844
TP3: $2,832 (swing low)
Bearish Trade Setup:
📉 Entry Zone: If price retests and rejects the $3,000 resistance
📈 Invalidation Level: Break above $3,005
📉 Target Zones:
$2,923 – Previous structure support
$2,844 – $2,832 – Deeper support and channel base
Technical Confluence:
✅ Bearish flag formation following strong impulsive sell-off
✅ Channel break confirms shift in trend
✅ Lower highs and bearish momentum building beneath $3,000
✅ Strong psychological resistance at $3,000
Gold is Bullish, Target 3030-3060At the market open today, we signaled a buy opportunity near the 2980 level for gold. Since then, the price has surged over $30, and those who followed the strategy have already secured solid profits.
Gold is now approaching a short-term resistance, so a minor pullback may occur. However, the overall uptrend for the day remains intact, and our strategy continues to favor buying on dips.
Based on the current chart pattern, there's potential for the price to rise toward the 3030–3060 zone later today.
Stay alert for retracement opportunities, manage your position size wisely, and trade with discipline.
If you missed this entry, don’t worry — the next opportunity is just around the corner!
XAUUSD - 2950 As the market is continuing its bearish order flow, I'm expecting it to react from the current supply range. Which is 1H supply zone and 15 refined supply zone.
Here’s the expected sequence of movement:
1. It gave a fake out from the channel pattern.
2. I expect a push higher to take out the previous LTF swing high, resulting in an iBoS.
3. Following that, I need market to give CHoCH and tap in the supply zone which caused the
CHoCH and continue to fall until it reaches the price lvl of 2950 range.
Even if the price starts to fall from the current trading price the plan is still the same 📉.
This is my current plan for now. If there's any changes arise, I will update the outlook accordingly.
Thanks you for your time..
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📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (3050) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2960
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bearishness),., driven by several key factors.👇
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Tariff policy triggers roller coaster marketTrump's tariff stick is wielded around the world, and gold bulls have taken advantage of the trend to pull up, demonstrating its safe-haven properties. Although the gold price has fallen back, the K-line has stabilized above 3110, and the bulls' strength should not be underestimated. After falling below the support level of 3130, the market has weakened, and we need to be alert to the risk of further correction. At present, the focus below is on the support of the integer mark of 3100, which is also the location of the previous small double bottom. The upper resistance is in the range of 3137-3141. In terms of operation, it is recommended to mainly go short on rebounds.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to go short at the rebound of 3137-3142, with a stop loss of 3150. The target is 3110-3100, and the battle for 3085 will be launched if it breaks.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Golden Horizons on the PrecipiceGold on the Brink of a Downturn: A Shift in Market Sentiment
Gold, once a shining symbol of financial security and prosperity, now finds itself on the cusp of a significant bearish turn. The precious metal, which has long been a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty, is entering a new phase that could see its value dwindle in the face of shifting global financial conditions.
The Russian central bank, historically one of the major players in the gold market, is currently at the forefront of this market retreat. By liquidating a significant portion of its gold reserves, Russia is not just participating in the market shift, but may be sending a signal to other nations and financial institutions. Their decision to sell is not an isolated move; it could well be the beginning of a broader trend.
As the Russian central bank offloads its holdings, it's highly probable that other central banks, which have long viewed gold as an essential asset for economic stability, may soon follow suit. These institutions, often holding vast quantities of the precious metal, could begin liquidating their reserves in an effort to take advantage of the currently elevated prices. The global economic landscape is constantly in flux, and with many countries facing mounting fiscal pressures, the temptation to cash in on gold's recent price surge could become too great to resist.
Hedge funds and private investors, always looking for opportunities to capitalize on price movements, may also jump on the bandwagon. They have the flexibility and agility to react swiftly to market shifts, and with a growing consensus that gold may have reached its peak, it would not be surprising if they decide to sell off their positions in the metal. With such a large portion of the market potentially pulling away from gold, the selling pressure could intensify, leading to a sharp drop in prices.
If this trend gains momentum, we could witness a rapid and dramatic decline in gold’s value. The metal, which has been the go-to asset for many investors during times of economic uncertainty, could soon lose its appeal as a safe haven. The factors driving this potential downturn are multifaceted, ranging from shifting monetary policies and global inflationary pressures to geopolitical tensions and central bank strategies.
The impact of this market shift could be far-reaching. Not only would it affect the price of gold, but it could also send shockwaves through the broader commodities and financial markets. If the sell-off gathers pace, it could have a cascading effect, causing investors to rethink their positions in other assets traditionally viewed as safe havens, such as silver or even government bonds.
The question on many investors’ minds is whether this bearish trend is a temporary correction or the beginning of a longer-term downturn. Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: the dynamics of the gold market are shifting, and the once steady climb of the metal may now be facing a downward spiral.
For those who are closely following the market, it is essential to stay updated on the latest developments. A deeper analysis of the factors driving this potential gold sell-off and the broader market implications can offer valuable insights into the direction of this volatile asset.
As we continue to monitor the situation, I encourage you to stay informed and consider how these developments could impact your own investments. While gold may still hold value in the eyes of many, its future trajectory is now uncertain, and the risk of significant price fluctuations looms large.
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you the best of luck navigating these turbulent financial waters!
XAUUSD breakdown?XAUUSD possibly break below as market opened with gap and the price started to drop from the most important level. Past week with NFP price has rejected with a head & shoulder formation and signaling possible change of trend. In a way price is moving it may respect 3051.00 level and may continue to drop for possible long term change of trend.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff
Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1
The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4
Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7
However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon.
Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price.
Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy.
Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices.
Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings.
The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking.
However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power.
Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run.
In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
#XAUSUD: Small Time Bearish Correction With Three Take Profit! After reaching a record high of $3,150, the XAUUSD currency pair has experienced a decline. Analysis conducted over the past few hours has led us to anticipate that the price may experience minor corrections within a short time frame.
Upon analysing the data and price movements, we have identified three distinct zones or targets that could serve as potential price levels for the XAUUSD pair.
For further insights into chart analysis, please consider liking and commenting on our content. We appreciate your continuous support.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
Snipper plan ideeas before NFP and Powell Speech - April 4th📌 Macro & Market Context
Gold remains in a strong HTF bullish market structure, with recent highs around $3,160 acting as a key resistance.
NFP data, Unemployment Rate and Powell's speech will add increased volatility later today.
The market is currently correcting after liquidity grab above $3,160, showing signs of distribution.
📊 Market Structure Overview (4H & 1H)
Bullish/Sell bias remains neutral, but a temporary retracement is underway.
Premium supply zones are positioned above $3,140–$3,160.
Discount demand zones are around $3,080–$3,050.
📍 Setup 1 SELL
Scenario: Bearish retest to this zone
Entry: $3,135 - $3,145 (if price returns to this zone).
Confirmation: Rejection wick + Bearish Engulfing on 15M or 5M.
Stop Loss: Above $3,153
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,110
TP3: $3,090
📍 Setup 2 SELL
Scenario: Wait for price to push back into 3,091–3,095 zone (M5 imbalance retest).
Entry: 3091-3095
Confirmation: Entry on rejection + BOS or CHoCH M1/M5.
Stop Loss: Above 3,096
TP1: 3066
TP2: 3054
TP3: 3040
📍 Setup 2 BUY
Scenario: If price retraces to key demand zones $3,080–$3,070, look for a long entry.
Entry: Buy at $3,080–$3,075.
Confirmation: Liquidity grab + Bullish engulfing on LTF (1M, 5M).
Stop Loss: Below $3,070.
TP1: $3,100
TP2: $3,120
TP3: $3,135
📍 Setup 3 BUY
Scenario: Bounce/reversal confirmation near 3,054 (last demand block + imbalance edge).
Entry: Buy at 3048-3055
Confirmation: Entry only if M1/M5 shows CHoCH + volume.
Stop Loss: Below 3048
TP1: 3085
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3128
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
If you find the ideas contribute to your views on the market be kind to press boost🚀/like button. Your support is appreciated.
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedThe current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support below is still the 3100 line. The strong bullish thinking remains unchanged above 3100. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and gradually move up near 3116. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds but does not break the high, then short the US session at highs. Pay attention to the resistance of 3140-45 above.
Gold: Soaring on Tariffs, Testing Technical WatersIn the early trading session of the Asian market on Thursday (April 3rd), spot gold continued its upward trend and once reached a new all - time high of $3,167 per ounce. This was because US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he would impose a benchmark tariff of 10% on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of America's largest trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war that he initiated after returning to the White House, causing the market's risk - aversion sentiment to soar sharply.
However, given the rapid increase in the gold price, one should not blindly chase after buying more gold. On the one hand, the rapid rise in the gold price has accumulated a certain amount of pressure for a correction, and there is a high probability that a pullback and subsequent recovery rally will occur. On the other hand, the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls data will be released tomorrow. On the eve of its announcement, the market will not quickly break out of a well - defined trading range and price level.
On the daily chart level, gold entered a downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous consecutive upward trend with positive candles. However, the current moving - average system still maintains a pattern of diverging upwards. Today, the key focus is on whether the downward movement of the market is sustainable. Firstly, we need to pay attention to the support effectiveness of the short - term moving average MA5. Currently, this moving average is roughly located around 3098, which is extremely close to yesterday's low of 3100 when the price dropped. If this support level can hold, then in the short term, gold can still be regarded as being in a strong pattern.
XAUUSD
buy@3105-3115
tp:3140-3160
XAUUSD Analysis: Why I’m Not Buying Gold at the Highs!Gold’s Rally: A Strategic Plan for the Next Buy Setup!
✨ Gold (XAUUSD) has experienced a strong rally recently, fueled by the stock market sell-off. However, I’m waiting for a better entry point rather than buying at the current highs, as price is trading at a premium. 📉 My focus is on a potential retracement on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, targeting a pullback into the swing low-to-high range. Specifically, I’m watching for price to return to the equilibrium zone around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 If price pulls back and we see a bullish break of market structure in this area, it could present a solid buying opportunity. Until then, patience is key! 🛠️
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and conduct your own analysis.
Gold suppresses the fall and shorts make big profitsYesterday, gold fell under pressure at 3150 and then tested the 3100 mark again in the evening, breaking the previous trend line that had been rising for several days. The market gradually slowed down from strong bullish trend, and the daily line turned negative.
Don’t expect the market to turn to bearish and fall sharply at this point. The long-short conversion needs time to brew, and now it is still a bullish trend, so the probability of forming a volatile trend here is relatively high, with a range of 3138-3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning to bearish.
If the daily line is just a single negative correction, it will not change the overall upward trend. It depends on whether it can continue to close negative today.
If the European session suppresses the decline and weakens, then the third test of 3100 may break.
If the European session continues to strengthen and break through 3138, it will also hit the high point of 3148-3149
Gold is expected to strengthen further before non-farm payrollsIn today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3150-3160, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3110-3120. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3150-3155, stop loss at 3162, target around 3135-3130, and look at the 3125 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3125-3128, stop loss at 3090, target around 3140-3150, and look at the 3155 line if it breaks;
Gold continues to hit new highsFundamentally, although the tension between Russia and Ukraine has eased, it has not ended peacefully. There is still a certain degree of uncertainty and temporary stability. In addition, the situation in the Middle East is also intensifying. Trump also threatened to bomb Iran this week, which has increased the risk aversion of the market's geopolitical situation. In terms of US tariffs, Trump's tariff policy is still continuing. The reciprocal tariffs to be announced in the Rose Garden of the White House on April 2 will also put global economic trade at risk. Its uncertainty has made the market wait and see, and more inclined to safe-haven gold. Although Fed officials said that there is no stagflation in the economy and the expectation of interest rate cuts has weakened, as long as it does not turn to interest rate hikes, even if inflation strengthens, it will boost the commodity attributes of gold and support the strengthening of gold prices. In addition, major banks around the world have raised their gold price forecasts, and strong capital inflows from gold-backed ETFs, etc., will become the main factors supporting gold prices.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends focusing on callbacks and shortings, with the upper short-term focus on the first-line resistance of 3138-3143, and the lower short-term focus on the first-line support of 3110-3105.