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Xauusdidea

XAUUSD Forming Falling WedgeGold (XAUUSD) has recently completed a textbook falling wedge breakout, confirming a powerful bullish reversal setup on the higher timeframes. This pattern, known for its strong trend-continuation potential, has played out beautifully. After a period of consolidation and lower highs, price has decisively broken above wedge resistance and is now pushing higher with strong bullish momentum. We've already captured significant profit from the breakout zone, and price action suggests another wave to the upside is imminent. Fundamentally, gold continues to benefit from growing geopolitical tensions, elevated inflation concerns, and central bank reserve accumulation. With the Federal Reserve leaning cautiously dovish due to signs of a softening labor market and cooling inflation, real yields are under pressure. This is supportive for gold, especially as markets begin to price in potential rate cuts before year-end. The weakening US dollar and stable treasury yields are reinforcing demand for precious metals, particularly among institutional investors seeking safety and hedge assets. Technically, gold has broken its bearish structure and is forming a new bullish leg, supported by strong volume and RSI divergence at the lows. The breakout from the falling wedge pattern has opened up upside targets toward recent swing highs and potentially even all-time highs if macro conditions remain favorable. With price now above key moving averages and consolidating above the wedge breakout zone, the technical bias is clearly bullish. This move aligns well with seasonality and macro risk flows. As risk-off sentiment slowly builds and inflation risks remain unresolved globally, gold is regaining its status as a premier safe-haven asset. Expecting continued follow-through in the coming weeks, with clean structure and fundamentals favoring bulls, this setup remains a high-probability opportunity to ride the next impulsive bullish leg.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
XAUUSD Structural Analysis & Confluence - 16 July 2025 4-Hour Bias & Structural Context Gold has recently broken above a key structure level at $3,320, confirming a bullish market environment on the 4‑hour timeframe. This follows a Change of Character (CHOCH) around $3,300, signifying a shift from consolidation to an upward trend. The swing from the late-June low ($3,244) to mid-July’s high ($3,374) sets our Fibonacci context: 38.2% retrace ≈ $3,318 50% retrace ≈ $3,309 61.8% retrace ≈ $3,300 These fib levels also align with prior structure and key ICT/SMC zones, signaling strong areas of interest. 🧭 Key 4-Hour Confluence Zones Demand / Order Block → $3,300 – 3,305 Multi-method support: BOS, CHOCH, 50–61.8% fib convergence. Fair Value Gap (FVG) → $3,320 – 3,325 Volume deficient zone post-BOS, primed for a retest. Supply / Resistance Area → $3,360 – 3,370 High-timeframe supply, likely to cap further upside. 🧠 Smart Money Concepts BOS above $3,320 confirms bullish structure. CHOCH at ~$3,300 marks structure flip. Liquidity grab zones found between $3,335–3,340, validating the presence of institutional activity. Order Block at $3,300–3,305 supports buy-side interest. 📊 1-Hour Intraday Trade Setups 🔸 Setup #1 – FVG Re-Test Entry: At ~$3,325 on pullback into $3,320–3,325 zone SL: Below $3,320 TP1: $3,345, TP2: $3,360 🔸 Setup #2 – Demand OB Bounce (“Golden Setup”) Entry: In the $3,300–3,305 range SL: Below $3,298 TP1: $3,325, TP2: $3,345, TP3: $3,360 Edge: Tight risk, high confluence (SMC + fib + structure) 🌟 The Golden Setup Zone to Watch: $3,300–3,305 Why It Rates Highest: BOS, CHOCH, fib, and OB all align Offers tight stop placement and strong upside Risk-to-reward ~1:3 📌 Daily Watchlist Summary Directional Bias: Bullish (BOS above $3,320 intact) Primary Entry Zones: $3,300–3,305 (Demand OB + structure) $3,320–3,325 (FVG retest for continuation) Key Target Zones: $3,345–3,350 – realistic intraday exit $3,360–3,370 – major supply cap Invalidation Level: 4‑hour candle close below $3,298 negates bullish outlook Final Commentary Stay disciplined—only trade reactive signals at these levels: clean bounces, pinbars, or bullish engulfing patterns. The $3,300–3,305 zone stands out as the prime ‘Golden Setup’ entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold Pullback in Play – Still Aiming for 3450 📌 In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that bulls likely won the battle and that a new leg up toward 3450 could be next from a swing trade perspective. I also mentioned that buying dips remains the preferred strategy. And indeed – we got that dip. 📉 Price pulled back to 3340 and bounced, but it hasn’t yet touched my key area of interest: 3330–3335. What now? My view stays the same –I still expect a move toward the 3450 zone,but I also believe a deeper dip toward support is still on the table – likely a liquidity grab before the next leg up. Trading Plan: ✅ Buying dips remains the core strategy 🚫 Invalidation only comes on a break below 3305–3310 🎯 Upside target remains well above 3400, aiming for 1000+ pips Let’s stay focused and let price come to us. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
24
Gold: Data, Tariffs & Trading LevelsThis week is packed with market news and economic data 😣. Key focuses include the US CPI, PPI, retail sales data, and the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index. Additionally, former US President Trump plans to make a "major announcement" on Russia; the Federal Reserve will release the Beige Book (Economic Conditions Survey); and the CFTC's weekly positioning report is also worth monitoring 📊. Over the weekend, Trump imposed tariffs on the EU and other regions, prompting a strong counterattack from the EU. The subsequent evolution of the situation requires continuous tracking, as it has triggered sharp market volatility pushing toward the 3400 mark 😱. Trump has recently announced frequent tariff policies (e.g., 30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico, and threats of 100% tariffs on Russia), amplifying market uncertainty. While this theoretically benefits gold's safe-haven demand, the actual impact requires close observation of institutional capital flows 🤔. Gold prices consolidated at the bottom after a sustained pullback last night and extended their rebound this morning. Key pressure levels have undergone a support-resistance flip. The current gold rebound is merely a secondary confirmation of the 30-minute top structure, and after surging to 3365 in the afternoon, short-term signs of pressure have emerged 😕. In a volatile market, if prices start to consolidate sideways, it may signal the end of this oscillating upward trend, with a shift to a downward phase ahead. Given market sensitivity ahead of the CPI data release, it’s advisable to focus on a volatile pullback trend 🧐. After today’s rebound, key attention should be on the 3363-3368 range as a shorting zone, with the long/short defensive level set at yesterday’s intraday high of 3375. Downside support is focused on the 3340-3335 range 🔍
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
XAUUSD:Continue to go long The gold price has just fallen after being pressured by the 3365 level. Currently, there are no obvious signs of a bottoming out. However, the 3340-43 range is the support position from the previous several declines. Here, one can lightly participate in the bullish orders. If going further down, the 3330 level is an important support point. Both of these positions can be utilized to go long. Then the trading strategy: BUY@3340-43 TP:3360-65 If the price retraces to the 3330 level, increase the position of the long bet. The goal remains the same. I will keep you informed if there are any changes. More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
XAUUSD:Today's trading strategies for buying and selling The gold price reached a peak of 3374.69 during the Asian trading session. Overall, it remains in a bullish uptrend. From the half-hour and hourly charts, the 30-day line provides support at around 3353. Therefore, when trading within this fluctuating range, it is important to note that in a situation where the bullish trend is strong, short selling should be conducted with a light position. Trading Strategy: BUY@3353-57 TP:3370-75 SELL@3375-80 TP:3360-63 More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 14, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the upside, indicating that the bullish trend may continue into early next week (Monday). H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term correction is likely to bring momentum back down into oversold territory. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 chart, we observe a contracting triangle pattern (abcde) approaching its final stages. In the Friday trading plan, we anticipated that the corrective phase had ended and price was entering a new impulsive wave. However, there are two irregularities worth noting: A pin bar candle with high volume has appeared at the resistance zone near 3365, while H4 momentum is overbought. This signals a likely short-term correction — something that ideally should not happen if price is already in wave 3. Ideally, price should have surged to 3402 on Friday to strengthen the bullish case. On the H1 chart, bullish candles are small and overlapping, reflecting weak bullish momentum and a lack of conviction from buyers. These two signs suggest that the market may still be within the correction phase, and the 3402 level will serve as a key confirmation zone to determine whether the correction has truly ended. 💡 Trading Outlook The bullish momentum on the D1 chart still supports BUY positions for the coming week. However, since the H4 chart is overbought, a short-term pullback is likely. We will look to buy on dips toward lower support zones, targeting a move toward 3393 – 3402, which remains the target area as outlined in Friday’s plan with the original entry at 3332 – 3330. 📊 Trading Plan BUY Zone: 3342 – 3340 Stop Loss (SL): 3330 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3393
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD: Trading Strategy Before the US SessionAhead of the release of key US session data, gold is oscillating in a narrow range between $3340 and $3375. The daily chart shows a balance between bulls and bears. On the 4-hour chart, $3375, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, serves as a critical watershed for the market trend. In terms of trading strategy, it's advisable to trade within the aforementioned range and follow the trend once there is a clear breakout. If gold stabilizes above $3360 and breaks through $3375, it could rally towards $3400. Conversely, if it falls below $3340 and loses the $3310 - $3320 range, it may test $3300. It's essential to confirm the direction in conjunction with fundamental news and avoid blind trading. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_03
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 15, 2025🟢 Trade Update The BUY order at the 3342 – 3340 zone was triggered at 3341. As of now, price has moved up by 140 pips, and the market is still following the planned scenario from the previous analysis. 📊 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought zone, and indicator lines are showing signs of crossing — a warning signal of a potential reversal on the daily chart. H4 Timeframe: After a 6-candle decline from 3377 to 3342, H4 momentum has reversed upward. With 2 bullish candles already formed, we expect another 3–5 bullish candles, aiming toward the 3390 zone. 🌀 Elliott Wave Update Price action is currently moving toward the end of the abcde contracting triangle. We are monitoring two potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – Ongoing Triangle Correction If price returns to the lower boundary of the triangle, it is likely forming wave e, which would present a buy opportunity for the final leg of the triangle. Scenario 2 – 5-Wave Impulse Extension The current structure shows a 5-wave impulsive move, with wave 4 completed and wave 5 now beginning. The projected target for wave 5 aligns with the resistance zone at 3398 – 3402. After completing wave 5, the market could enter a corrective phase, consistent with the idea that wave d ends at this resistance. 🔔 If the price breaks above 3402, it would likely confirm that the abcde correction is complete and that a new impulsive bullish wave has started. 🎯 Trade Plan 📍SELL Zone: 3396 – 3398 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3406 🎯 TP1: 3376 🎯 TP2: 3327 📍BUY Zone: 3295 – 3293 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3285 🎯 TP1: 3327 🎯 TP2: 3365 🎯 TP3: 3402 ✅ Note: Prioritize entries only after confirmation from price action and momentum at key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Trade Plan | 15 July 2025After observing the recent low breakdown and a clear liquidity grab, we saw a strong direction confirmation breakout. This suggests that the market is likely to continue its upward momentum. 🔄 Breakdown/Seller Trap triggered the reversal 🔹 Last Important Low respected 📈 Breakout confirms bullish direction ✅ Plan: I’ll be watching for a pullback into the grey demand zone (highlighted area) for a potential long entry. 🕵️‍♂️ No FOMO — I’ll only enter after price shows clear bullish behavior in this zone. 🎯 Target: 3,365.89 resistance 📍 Entry Zone: Grey box (based on previous structure) Let me know your thoughts — are you also watching this zone? #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #LiquidityGrab #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TradingPlan #TradingView
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Jamtara_Trader
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: Bullish Continuation Play- 15 July 20244‑Hour Technical Outlook — Bullish Bias Above Key BOS Zone Gold remains in a strong structural uptrend on the 4‑hour chart, carving out a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Price is consolidating just below recent swing highs around $3,360, suggesting accumulation after last week’s impulsive rally. We saw a Break of Structure (BOS) above $3,340, confirming bullish control and establishing that area as a critical flip zone. Unless price closes decisively below that BOS, the directional bias remains bullish. 📐 Key Confluences & Zones on 4‑Hour 🔹 Fibonacci Retracement (Swing: $3,280 → $3,360): 38.2%: ~$3,331 — aligns perfectly with BOS & prior resistance turned support. 61.8%: ~$3,313 — deeper, but still within bullish context. 🔹 Supply & Demand Zones: Supply (Resistance): $3,355–$3,360 — recent highs, likely containing resting sell‑side liquidity. Demand (Support): $3,331–$3,335 — a bullish order block and fair value gap (imbalance) reside here. Deeper Demand: $3,313–$3,315 — secondary buy zone if the market hunts liquidity deeper. 🔹 Liquidity Profile: Buy‑side stops likely rest above $3,360 — breakout target. Sell‑side liquidity below $3,331 could trigger a shakeout before higher. 🧠 ICT/SMC Concepts Observed: ✅ BOS confirmed at $3,340, favoring longs. ✅ FVG/imbalance between $3,338–$3,342 suggests price may “fill” before next impulse. ✅ Recent wick above $3,355 hints at minor buy‑side liquidity grab — but no confirmed CHoCH (change of character) yet. ✅ Bullish order block formed at $3,331–$3,333, acting as strong support. 📈 1‑Hour Intraday Playbook — Aligned With Bullish Bias On the 1‑hour chart, momentum remains constructive above $3,331. Intraday traders can look for these setups: 1️⃣ Buy the Retest Entry: $3,335 (within 4H OB & FVG) Stop‑loss: $3,327 (below demand) Targets: 🔸 T1: $3,355 🔸 T2: $3,380 (next resistance) 2️⃣ Breakout Long Entry: Break and close above $3,360 Stop‑loss: $3,350 Targets: 🔸 T1: $3,380 🔸 T2: $3,406 (1.272 Fib ext.) 3️⃣ Deeper Pullback Buy Entry: $3,313–$3,315 (61.8% Fib + deeper demand) Stop‑loss: $3,305 Targets: back toward $3,355–$3,380 🎯 The Golden Setup: ✅ Long from $3,335, stop‑loss $3,327, targeting $3,355–$3,380. Why? This setup aligns BOS, bullish OB, FVG, 38.2% Fib, and current trend structure — highest confluence and best risk/reward ratio (~1:3). 🔎 Summary Table — Key Levels for Today 📈 Bullish Continuation Above $3,331 🟢 Strong Buy Zone $3,331–$3,335 🟢 Deeper Demand $3,313–$3,315 🔴 Resistance / Supply $3,355–$3,360 🚨 Bullish Invalidation Below $3,331 Bias remains bullish as long as $3,331 holds. Look for reaction in the $3,331–$3,335 zone to join institutional flows.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Today's summary and tomorrow's market forecast📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： Bros, I had some things to deal with just now so I went out for a while. Now I come back to share my ideas. When the market is blindly chasing longs, I chose to give a bearish trading opportunity. I know that after I proposed the idea of shorting to test the support level of 3340-3330 below, many people were skeptical and even looked at it with a sarcastic attitude. After all, most people in the market are long. But facts and results have proved that only by following the trend can there be better room for operation. When doing transactions, you must first have a clear goal. Those who follow the crowd will often only blame their mistakes on others or luck. Regarding the arrangements for future trading, first of all, 3375-3385 above is still an important short-term resistance. If today's closing is above 3360, then 3375 will most likely be tested again during the Asia-Europe trading session. Once it goes up again, it is very likely to break through the resistance area of 3375-3385. Before the US data, the price may stay at 3390 or 3400. On the contrary, if today's closing is below 3360, then the price still has room for adjustment. In this way, 3340 will not be the low point of this week. The bearish volatility in the Asian and European sessions will also test the strong support of 3330-3320. In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold's Bullish Momentum: Trading Strategy for TodayTechnically, gold prices continued their strong bullish rally to break new highs last Friday 😎. During the Asian and European sessions, prices broke through the 3320 mark and extended their upward momentum with sustained strength 💹. In the afternoon European session, gold prices kept surging, breaking through and standing above the 3340 mark, accelerating the upward trend 🔥. In the evening US session, the price further accelerated its rally, piercing the 3369 level before pulling back and closing strongly 📈. The daily K-line closed as a fluctuating and high-breaking bullish candle 🌞. On the daily chart, there has been a strong bullish rally breaking new highs for three consecutive trading days, and the overall price has returned to the 3360 mark, re-entering a strong bullish one-sided pattern. This morning, gold prices opened with a further gap higher, piercing the 3370 mark and continuing to fluctuate strongly 😜. Today's trend should focus on buying on dips 🙌. Although gold gapped up and surged for a while, the momentum is not strong. There must be a pullback for adjustment; otherwise, it will be difficult to maintain the upward momentum 🚶‍♂️. From the 4-hour chart analysis, the short-term support below today should focus on the hourly neckline around 3340-45 📍, with key attention to the 3325-30 support level. During the day, we should continue to take the opportunity of pullbacks to go long as the main strategy 😏. The key dividing line for the short-term bullish strength is the 3325 mark. As long as the daily chart stabilizes above this level, we will continue to maintain the strategy of buying on dips to follow the bullish trend. Before breaking below this level, we will keep the strategy of buying on dips to follow the trend 💪 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
7/14: Sell High, Buy Low Within the 3400–3343 Range for GoldGood morning, everyone! At the end of last week, renewed trade tariff concerns reignited risk-off sentiment, prompting a strong rally in gold after multiple tests of the 3321 support level. The breakout was largely driven by fundamental news momentum. On the daily (1D) chart, the price has fully reclaimed the MA60 and broken above the MA20, signaling an emerging bullish trend. The key focus for this week includes: Monitoring whether MA20 holds as support on any pullbacks Watching the 3400 resistance zone for signs of exhaustion or continuation From a 30-minute technical perspective, gold is currently trading within a short-term resistance band of 3372–3378, with a stronger resistance zone between 3387–3392. Key support levels are: Primary support: around 3358 Secondary support: 3343–3332 zone Given the recent increase in volatility due to geopolitical and macroeconomic headlines, flexible intraday trading is recommended within the 3378–3343 range, while broader trades can be framed around the 3400–3325 zone, still favoring a sell-high, buy-low approach. Lastly, as we move into the mid-year period, I may have more personal commitments, and strategy updates could be less frequent. I appreciate your understanding, and as always, feel free to leave a message if you have any questions or need trading guidance—I’ll respond as soon as I can.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Short position profit, focus on 3355-3345 support📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： The short-term bears have successfully hit the TP to realize profits, and the trading strategy is still valid. Continue to pay attention to the 3355-3345 support during the day. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long. For the rebound, the first TP can focus on the 3365 line. If the gold price breaks through 3380 in the future, it will not be far from 3400. If it falls below, pay attention to the support of 3330-3320 below. It is expected that this is the limit position of short-term bearishness. The impact of tariffs is still there, and the bullish trend remains optimistic in the short term, unless Europe, Japan and other countries have a new solution to tariffs. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3355-3345 TP 3365-3380-3400 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Market Analysis: Gold Climbs Higher Amid Market OptimismMarket Analysis: Gold Climbs Higher Amid Market Optimism Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,350 resistance level. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - The gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,330. - A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,350 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,280 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,330 and $3,350 resistance levels. There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,360. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,365 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,373 and the price is now consolidating. On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,350 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,282 swing low to the $3,373 high. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,350. The next major support sits at $3,330 and the 50% Fib retracement level. A downside break below the $3,330 support might send the price toward $3,300. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,280 support zone. Immediate resistance is near the $3,370 level. The next major resistance is near $3,380. An upside break above $3,380 could send Gold price toward $3,400. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,420 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Market Structure & Technical Context 14 July 20241. Price Action & Market Structure Gold has broken recent swing highs above ~$3,360, marking a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) and signaling upward momentum continuity Recent pullback zones around $3,350–$3,340 formed a clear Higher Low (Change of Character) — textbook price action confirmation. 2. Fibonacci Retracement / Extension Measuring from the last swing low near ~$3,326 to swing high ~3,374: 38.2% retracement at ~$3,352 coincides with the current bounce zone. 50% retracement at ~$3,350 aligns with key structure support. Upside extension targets: 1.272 at ~$3,396, 1.618 at ~$3,425 — overlapping major resistance zones 3. ICT & Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Order Blocks (OBs) identified near $3,340–$3,342 (prior resistance turned support) — ideal demand zone. A recent Buy-side liquidity grab eclipsed above $3,360, sweeping stops and gathering liquidity before the breakout — classic ICT setup . A Fair Value Gap (imbalance) lies around $3,345–$3,350 — zone to expect value-driven retracement. Higher timeframe has clear SMC alignment: BOS above 3,360 with CHoCH already formed. 4. Major Supply / Demand & Support / Resistance Zones Demand: $3,340–$3,352 (OB + Fib + BOS confluence). Supply: $3,380–$3,385 (intraday swing high resistance), followed by zone at $3,396–$3,400. Key resistance at $3,360–$3,362 — confirmed supply pocket that needs to be reclaimed 5. Moving Average Confirmation The 4‑hour SMA/EMA 100–200 band is sloping up just below current price (~$3,340–$3,350), reinforcing the bullish context . 1‑Hour Intraday Setups (Aligned with HTF Bullish Bias) Setup A: Pullback into 4‑Hour OB / Fair Value Gap Entry: Limit buy at $3,345–$3,350. Stop: Below $3,335 (below imbalance & BOS). TP1: $3,362 (former resistance). TP2: $3,380 (next supply block). Setup B: Breakout Retest of 3,360 Entry: Buy on retest of broken resistance at $3,360. Stop: Below $3,356. TP1: $3,380. TP2: $3,396 (Fib extension confluence). Setup C: Momentum Continuation Fresh Breakout Entry: Market buy on clear H1 BOS above $3,365. Stop: Below breakout candle low (~$3,360). TP: $3,396 (1.272 Fib) – extend to $3,425 if momentum strong. The Golden Setup: Setup A—buy from $3,345–$3,350—has strong confluences: 4‑hour demand OB + fair value gap, 38.2–50% Fib retracement, SMC BOS/imbalance alignment, ICT-style order block zone. This offers high edge with confluence clusters. ✔ Summary Report: Direction & Key Zones Directional Bias: Medium-term (4H): Bullish, confirmed by BOS above 3,360, higher lows, OB and Fibonacci alignment. 🔹 Primary Buy Zones: $3,345–$3,350 — 4H OB + fair value gap + Fib. $3,360 on retention — breakout retest zone. Momentum entry >$3,365. 🔹 Key Target Zones: First resistance: $3,360–$3,362. Next supply: $3,380–$3,385. Extension target: $3,396 (1.272 Fib), then $3,425 (1.618 Fib). 🔻 Watchdownside Risk: Daily invalidation if drop below $3,335 (4H OB break). Next support at $3,326–$3,330. 📋 Consolidated Table: Setups at a Glance Setup Entry Zone Stop Targets Golden $3,345–$3,350 $3,335 TP1: $3,362 / TP2: $3,380 Breakout Pullback $3,360 retest $3,356 $3,380 → $3,396 Momentum BOS >$3,365 (H1 BOS) < $3,360 $3,396 → $3,425 Final Thoughts On the 4‑hour chart, price is firmly in a bullish regime, supported by price structure, SMC, ICT concepts, and Fibonacci confluence. The $3,345–$3,350 zone is the highest‑probability entry for buyers, offering excellent risk/reward. The Golden Setup targets ~$3,380 and beyond, combining structure, gap fill, and liquidity strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512