XAUUSD: The Rebound Is Not Over YetDue to the impact of the news, gold prices have fallen significantly. When gold prices approached around 2660, I suggested buying within the 2660-2652 range to capture the rebound after the sharp drop. The first wave of the rebound reached a high of around 2678, with a gain of over $20, and those who followed the signal made very decent profits.
Currently, gold prices are oscillating in the bottom range, with volatility gradually decreasing. However, the rebound has not ended yet, and there is still room to buy. This rebound should at least push prices above 2680.
Tomorrow, we have the interest rate decision, and the market widely expects a 25 basis point rate cut. After today’s drop, gold should not see much more downside in the short term. Therefore, tomorrow’s trading should focus on buying at lower levels. The first key support levels to watch are the 2652-2648 range, followed by around 2639.
Overall, the current market environment still holds opportunities, but it's crucial to stay flexible and adjust strategies according to market movements. Patience and risk management will be the keys to successful trading.
Xauusdidea
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in my analysis dated 31 October 2024: We should remain aware that the daily timeframe has been showing early signs of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation, suggesting that price could print a bearish iBOS despite H4 internal structure being bullish.
This printed as anticipated, with price printing a bearish iBOS that also confirmed the swing structure.
Price is now trading within an established swing range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the start of a bullish pullback phase.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As detailed in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 06 November 2024, I noted that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Following this, price has printed an additional bearish iBOS and a bullish CHoCH, confirming the internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low after reacting from either the premium of 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone.
Note: Considering the Fed’s softer stance, and rising geopolitical tensions, price volatility is likely to remain elevated.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 4th NovLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD: Buy@2660-2652 TP 2686-2702The result of the election, with Trump becoming the President of the United States, led to a significant drop in gold prices. The original target range for this week was between 2786-2752, but due to the news impact, the target was reached earlier than expected, so the upcoming trading plan needs to be adjusted.
Today's trading was quite volatile. The long positions entered early were closed near 2728, resulting in some losses. However, these losses were effectively compensated during the subsequent rebound. At the same time, short positions brought in substantial profits .
Currently, gold prices have dropped to around 2760.. It's important to note that gold's price corrections often come with strong rebound signals. If you're currently holding long positions and temporarily trapped, it's advisable to remain patient, as a rebound is expected soon. My personal target for this rebound is around 2700. The potential for this rebound is worth watching closely.
XAUUSD: 300+ Pips Daily 1 HR View! Dear Traders,
Price dropped from 2792 to 2733 record 600 pips, now we are looking at the price correct the fair value gap that it has created due to that massive drop. Now we are looking at the nice correction and price might reject from the 2772 area. Good luck.
Trade safe!
XAUUSD / UNDER CHOICE PRESIDENT AMRICAN / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Market Influence of Election Results:
The text suggests that if Donald Trump wins the election, it could impact the financial markets by increasing the price of gold and decreasing the value of the dollar. This reflects the common market reaction where political uncertainty or risk can lead to a “flight to safety” in assets like gold.
Current Gold Price Levels:
• The current price range mentioned is between $2,728 and $2,709. This is described as a support or stabilization zone, where prices are attempting to maintain a level above $2,709.
• If the price stabilizes above this range, there’s an expectation that gold could continue to rise, aiming for a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between $2,756 and $2,772. Above this FVG, there is a “supply zone” where upward momentum might slow or reverse due to selling pressure.
Downward Scenario:
• If the gold price falls below $2,709, it suggests a possible decline toward the “demand zone” between $2,688 and $2,672. A demand zone indicates a level where buyers might come in, potentially stopping or reversing the price decline.
Overall Trend:
• The text concludes that gold is trading under upward pressure, meaning that current market sentiment is biased toward price increases. This could be influenced by factors like inflation concerns, economic instability, or political uncertainties tied to the election.
XAU/USD 06 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As outlined in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 05 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
While price has not yet printed a bullish CHoCH, it has moved up to the premium of 50% EQ, allowing me to confirm the internal structure.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low.
Note: Given the ongoing Presidential elections, the Fed’s softer stance, and heightened geopolitical tensions, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 05 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 04 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to continue targeting the weak internal low.
Price followed this expectation, reaching the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Subsequently, price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Internal structure has also been confirmed.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at either premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionIn this video, we dive into the latest Gold (XAU/USD) market analysis and review the impacts of recent U.S. economic data on Gold prices. On Friday, Gold saw high volatility, with prices hitting the $2,760s following a weaker-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. However, a sell-off brought prices back down to the $2,740s as additional data from the Institute of Supply Managers (ISM) showed mixed economic signals.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #GoldPrice #NFP #ISMData #SafeHaven #GoldMarketAnalysis #WeeklyGoldOutlook #EconomicData #GoldTrading#economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD: Continue to Monitor Resistance at 2750-2758Gold has once again tested support without breaking it, indicating short-term upward momentum. During the Asian and European sessions tomorrow, consider focusing on low buys, with resistance continuing to be monitored around the 2750-2758 area.
The upcoming election news during the US session is likely to have a significant impact on the market, so while seizing opportunities, be mindful of potential risks.
Seize the opportunity and welcome Super WeekMarket Analysis: No need for lengthy discussions; the best strategy in the current market is to initiate long positions in gold at lower levels. With the U.S. elections and Federal Reserve decisions approaching, the gold market remains bullish. Recent rumors of Iranian retaliation against Israel, coupled with disappointing employment reports, suggest the Fed may lower interest rates, all of which will likely drive gold prices higher.
Technical Analysis: Gold has retraced to the strong support level of 2733-2735. This area represents a robust support zone from the past few days. In the absence of bearish news, it is unlikely that this support will be broken. Thus, our trading strategy this week will pivot from last week’s approach, focusing on going long at lower levels.
Today’s Trading Strategy:
Entry Strategy: Go long on gold near the support level
Take-Profit Target: 2748-2750
Stop-Loss: 2718-2720
Conclusion and Recommendations: This week marks a super week for the month, with numerous major events and data set to impact market trends. How should you navigate these trading conditions? What will the market trend look like? After reviewing my analysis, you’ll have a clearer sense of direction. For specific trading strategies, please reach out to me, and I’ll share the comprehensive trading plan for the week with all my VIP members.
XAUUSD: Can Gold Return to 2780?On Friday, gold prices experienced a slight decline, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields. However, weaker-than-expected U.S. job growth fueled market speculation for a Fed rate cut, cushioning gold’s decline.
In October, due to hurricane disruptions and an aerospace industry strike, U.S. nonfarm payrolls saw a modest gain of just 12,000 jobs, marking the smallest increase since December 2020. Although the dollar initially retreated, it closed up 0.4%, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rebounded from early losses, diminishing the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Gold prices returned to the support zone, aligning with prior predictions. Current chart patterns suggest a potential “W” bottom, signaling bullish prospects, with short-term indicators pointing to a likely upward move. However, a mid-term bottom pattern has yet to form, and bulls should watch for resistance around 2750 in Monday’s trading, as a retest of support remains possible.
With the U.S. election approaching and reports of a potential retaliatory move by Iran against Israel, multiple uncertainties hover over the market. Coupled with a lackluster jobs report, many analysts now see a near 100% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut next week.
While rate cut expectations might bolster gold bulls, this scenario could already be priced in, meaning gold prices may potentially drop in response to the rate decision. Ahead of this, the U.S. election on Tuesday and initial jobless claims on Thursday will be key factors influencing gold.
In summary, a turbulent week lies ahead for gold, with investors encouraged to remain vigilant and approach trades with caution.
XAUUSD GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves, " A " Corrective Waves and making its " B " Corrective Wave in a Consolidation in Short Time Frame. Strong Bullish Divergence in RSI. Need to wait until it Breaks and Retest its Extreme Point of Interest ( POI ) and Complete its Order Block
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHART XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD touched the support level of 2,734.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couble of hour . The pair moved up to the support level of 2,734.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy order at 2,735.
Set your stop loss at 2,727. below the previous low ($8.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,755. ($20.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
XAU/USD 04 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As noted in my analysis dated 01 November 2024, I mentioned that I would confirm internal structure if the price reached the premium of the 50% EQ of the internal range. Price has now achieved this, confirming the internal structure.
Although price has made attempts to target the weak internal low, it has not yet succeeded.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 4-8 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as last week's analysis dated 27 October 2024
Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions.
In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase.
This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning now significantly nearer to recent price action, marked by a blue dotted vertical line.
Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated. While price is currently giving very early signs of this by printing a higher high that has brought the CHoCH positioning closer, this is still an indication, not a confirmation of a potential pullback. The first more concrete signal of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH).
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart: