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Gold Ideas 1H Market Analysis - Easter Monday 21st of April✅ XAUUSD – 1H Market Analysis (April 21, 2025 – NY Open Prep) 🕊️ Market Reminder: It’s Easter Monday, and London + German markets are closed, so price may behave oddly due to lower European liquidity. NY might be more manipulative — expect traps, not clean momentum. 🧠 Current Market Context Price is holding firm at new ATH: 3397 We’ve entered the "danger zone" — structure is still bullish but we’re deep in premium No bearish CHoCH on 1H — but momentum is slowing down visibly Clean higher lows since April 17 low (around 3284), all protected so far 🔺 Zones ABOVE Price (Premium Trap Zones) 🔺 Zone Range Notes 🟥 Premium Liquidity 3405–3414 Prior ATH + fib extension + ADR high – ideal NY fakeout zone 🔻 Spike Risk Zone 3425–3445 Overextended 1.272–1.414 fibs – only in case of news/fake rally ⚠️ Exhaustion Layer 3455–3470 Extension of fib projection (1.618 zone) – major trap risk if touched 🟢 Zones BELOW Price (Discount Value Areas) 🟢 Zone Range Notes 💧 Minor Imbalance 3373–3380 Quick scalp retrace area – only valid on clean rejection wick or M5 OB ⚙️ Intraday Balance 3350–3360 Great sniper re-entry zone – clean imbalance + OB overlap – 💥 HOT ZONE 🟩 Demand Base 3325–3305 Deep value OB + macro continuation zone – long setup if we fully retrace 🧱 Institutional Support 3284–3288 Clean CHoCH origin – trend-defining demand, invalidation if broken 📍 Structure Summary 1H still bullish, no bearish BOS ADR is almost maxed out, so NY might trap above 3400 and then sweep lower No fair retrace since 3360 breakout — buyers are sitting below, not above Major liquidity pools now exist both above 3410 and below 3350 🔥 Bias: Cautiously bullish, but we’re due for a shakeout. 🔻 If NY pumps into 3410–3425 and fails → fade it. 🟢 If price returns to 3350–3360 → sniper buy zone. 📉 No blind trades today. Let price trap first. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold Ideas ahead of CPI on April 10thCurrently, Gold is at 3082, with a mix of uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's CPI release. The market is in a wait-and-see mode as traders position ahead of the data, which could drive volatility. With the macro context in mind, we’ll be focusing on key support and resistance levels, aiming to capture price action based on SMC &more. 🔻 Sell Zone #1 – Intraday Fade 📍 Sell (confirmation only): 3,095 – 3,108 📉 SL: 3,110 🎯 TP1: 3,080 🎯 TP2: 3,060 🎯 TP3: 3,040 ⚠️ Tip: Move SL to breakeven when TP1 hits fast 🔺 Sell Zone #2 – Double Tap and Dump 📍 Entry: 3,125 – 3,139 (Ideal: 3,135 – 3,139) 📉 SL: 3,145 🎯 TP1: 3,105 🎯 TP2: 3,080 🎯 TP3: 3,055 ⚠️ Tip: Use only with clear rejection (M5/M15 M-pattern or bearish engulfing) 🟢 Buy Scenario 1 – “Reclaim Retest” 📍 Entry: 3,066 – 3,068.50 📉 SL: 3,062 🎯 TP1: 3,089 🎯 TP2: 3,113 🎯 TP3: 3,127 🧠 Trigger: M1/M5 CHoCH or Bullish Engulfing 📌 Confluence: M5 Order Block + Fair Value Gap (Discount Zone) 🟩 Buy Zone – Deep Value Pullback (Fresh Setup) 📍 Entry: 3,035 – 3,040 📉 SL: 3,025 🎯 TP1: 3,080 🎯 TP2: 3,095 🎯 TP3: 3,110 ⚠️ Tip: Wait for strong bullish reaction (M5/M15) 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. 📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow. 💛
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
6
Gold is about to plummet, double short gold!Brothers, gold accelerated to around 2985, but it could not cross 2990. The closer it is to the 3000 mark, the greater the resistance it faces. After the news is digested by the market to a certain extent, it is difficult for gold to have enough momentum to continue to break through the 2990-3000 market psychological mark in the short term, so a retracement will inevitably follow! The accelerated squeeze of gold has been separated from the technical side. After the news returns to normal, gold will inevitably have a technical retracement demand, so we can boldly short gold again in the 2985-2990 area! Tomorrow, Friday, will definitely be a turning point. Gold will at least retrace to the 2950-2940 zone tomorrow, and may even extend to the area around 2935. So in short-term trading, I still insist on using double trading lots to short gold at 2985-2990! Looking forward to making a profit of 400-500 pips in the short term!Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold is about to take off like a rocket, boldly go long gold!Bros, don't have any doubts about the rise of gold. Gold is just accumulating upward momentum during the shock process. Once the shock ends, gold will take off like a rocket. In the short term, gold has tested the support of the 2900-2890 area many times and has never fallen below, confirming that the support in this area is effective. In addition, the candle chart forms multiple long lower shadows in the short period, indicating that the gold price refuses to fall, which will attract more off-market funds to buy gold. In this market, the longer the gold shock time, the higher the increase, so please relax and let us look forward to the gold rocket taking off! The first target in the short term is 2920. Once gold stands above 2920, gold is bound to reach 2930, and it is even expected to continue to rise to 2955 Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
Buy gold and wait for a breakoutBros, the recent rise and fall of gold has not continued, and the overall price is still fluctuating widely in the 2930-2895 area. After the fierce game between the long and short sides, there is not enough momentum to support the structural breakthrough of gold. However, according to the current structural trend, gold has repeatedly tested the area around 2920-2930 and has been effectively supported at 2890-2900. Overall, the probability of gold breaking upward is greater. Then in short-term trading, we can temporarily go long on gold in the 2905-2985 area, and first see whether gold can stand above 2920. If gold stands above 2920 for a long time, then gold will definitely break through 2930 and still have the opportunity to test the previous high area near 2955. Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
Continue to short goldBros, gold is currently continuing to rebound to around 2892. This wave of rebound is really unexpected. It was originally expected that gold would fall back after rebounding to around 2890. Unexpectedly, gold broke through the 2890 mark after a slight pause. Fortunately, gold was not strong during its breakthrough, indicating that the sustainability of gold's rebound remains to be examined, and the 2900-2910 zone above poses structural resistance to gold in the short term. I predict that gold will fall back again before it can even touch 2900, so I am still optimistic about gold's retracement in the short term. Now I have shorted gold. Although I have a slight loss now, I am not worried about my short position. If gold cannot continue and break through the 2900-2910 zone in one fell swoop, gold will also retest the 2875-2865 support zone. Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
TVC:GOLDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold is expected to continue to reach new highs of 2970-2980Dear Traders, Although gold has slightly retreated after touching around 2948, it is still holding above the 2935-2930 region, maintaining a strong bullish trend. Based on the current gold structure, gold has repeatedly failed to break the 2920-2925 support zone during its pullback, and has not formed a sustained downtrend. On one hand, this reflects strong buying support at lower levels; on the other hand, the pullback space is limited. Therefore, before any trend reversal, gold is likely to have another rally to test new highs. I expect that if gold manages to hold above the 2950-2955 region in this rally, it will likely attempt to reach the 2970-2980 zone. So, for short-term trading, leading into Thursday and Friday, we should primarily focus on going long on gold, with key support around the 2940-2930 region. If gold reaches the 2970-2980 region, we can then consider shorting it. Bros, are you optimistic about gold continuing to hit new highs? Do you know how to grasp the trading rhythm? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
What to do if you hold a short position?Dear Traders, Gold has continued its upward movement, supported by strong buying interest, pushing above 2930, with bullish momentum regaining control. However, at this stage, I do not believe it is wise to chase further long positions in gold. I am currently still holding short positions in gold, and despite its apparent strength, I am not concerned about my short positions. This is because gold is once again facing resistance at previous highs, and according to the trendline, the 2936-2940 region remains a key resistance zone. Therefore, it is likely that gold will pull back upon reaching this zone and test support in the 2915-2910 region. In terms of short-term trading, I will continue to short gold in batches above 2930, using the 2936-2940 resistance zone, and expect a retracement towards the 2915 area. Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Continue to hold long positions, target: 2670-2680Bros, as I mentioned in my previous article, gold remains in a clear bullish structure. The recent short-term pullback is merely a consolidation phase to accumulate bullish momentum for further upside. As anticipated, gold retraced to the 2650-2640 zone, reaching a low of around 2650 before rebounding. Currently, gold has recovered to approximately 2658. In line with my trading strategy, I have already entered long positions on gold. Although I went long slightly earlier at around 2651, it is clear that gold has rebounded as expected, and our long positions are now profitable! Based on the step-like structure of gold's upward trend, there is still potential for gold to continue rising to the 2670-2680 region. Let’s hold on to our long positions and look forward to achieving even greater profits! Bros, have you followed me to do long gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
Continue to buy goldAs I mentioned in my last article, gold will continue to rise. We went long on gold near 2662 in the last transaction and closed the transaction by hitting TP: 2676 for profit, easily earning 140 Pips, a very successful transaction! At present, gold has risen to a maximum of around 2679, breaking yesterday's high in one fell swoop. The hourly level M top suppression has been ineffective, and the rising pattern remains intact. At present, gold still has the momentum and space to continue rising, so gold may still rise or even try to touch around 2690. , then we can just follow the trend and go long gold in trading. Of course, we can't chase gold directly, but because gold has a small retracement space during the rise, we can't expect too much retracement before going long on gold, and the short-term support area has moved up to the 2670-2660 area, so we can go long on gold based on this support area. Bros, do you continue to be bullish on gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
First short gold, then go long gold!Bros, this week's new trading journey begins from now! Gold rebounded again under the support of safe-haven buying, and now it has reached around 2658. To be honest, gold is currently in a relatively obvious upward arrangement, and there is still room for gold to continue to rise. However, overall, gold has not yet escaped the scope of shocks, so it is not good to directly chase gold near 2658, and the current strength of gold's rise is not firm. Gold needs to fall back to increase the liquidity of gold bulls, so we might as well consider trying to short gold with 2660-2670 as resistance, and wait for gold to fall back to the appropriate area before participating in long gold! Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back before re-participating in long gold!If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAU/USD 29 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold remains around $2,675-$2,670 due to a stronger USD.Gold (XAU/USD) stays around $2,672-$2,670 as trading opens in Europe on Monday, continuing its recent downtrend from the October 31 record high. The USD remains slightly below last week's 4-month peak, driven by optimism over Trump’s economic policies, which are pressuring gold for the second consecutive day. Investors expect Trump’s policies to boost growth and inflation while limiting strong Fed easing, keeping US Treasury yields high and pushing funds away from non-yielding gold. However, a mild risk sentiment may support gold as traders await US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speech later this week. Personal opinion: A sell-off below last week's low around $2,643 could trigger further downside, potentially pushing gold towards the October range low at $2,605-$2,602. However, a rebound above $2,700 faces strong resistance near $2,718 and the $2,740-$2,745 zone. A break above these levels could signal the end of the correction and push gold towards $2,750 and the $2,758-$2,790 range, or even the record high from October 31. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2656 - 2654 SL: 2649 Buy Zone: 2666 - 2664 SL: 2659 Sell Zone: 2687 - 2689 SL: 2694
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHART XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart XAUUSD touched the support level of 2,734.00 General outlook XAUUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couble of hour . The pair moved up to the support level of 2,734.00. Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy order at 2,735. Set your stop loss at 2,727. below the previous low ($8.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,755. ($20.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
TVC:GOLD
by QAZIFXTRADER
XAU/USD 30 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally continues, driven by the Fed’s dovish tone and escalating geopolitical tensions, further reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Price has printed a bullish iBOS, positioning it within an internal low and a fractal high, with the bearish CHoCH level denoted by a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Since the internal range has yet to establish, I’ll remain on standby for now. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As noted in the weekly analysis from 27 October 2024, the daily timeframe’s CHoCH positioning was distant, making it likely for both H4 and M15 to print bullish iBOS, which has since materialised. Price has now printed two bullish iBOS' within a significantly narrowed internal range, and we’re currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high, with CHoCH positioning marked by a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react at the internal 50% EQ discount to target the weak internal high. However, a bearish iBOS is also plausible. As emphasised before, price remains highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s softer stance. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 25 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 October 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling but not confirming the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: While there are no clear signs of a pullback yet, price is expected to react at either the 50% equilibrium (EQ) or H4 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. I'll remain on standby for further developments. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 October 2024. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase. As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
Gold stays high despite rising U.S. yields and a stronger dollarGold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new record high on Wednesday, surpassing $2,750 in the European trading session. Risk-averse sentiment and the threat of escalating tensions in the Middle East have driven capital into the precious metal. Political instability in the U.S. and accommodative monetary policy have also supported gold prices. Despite the U.S. dollar rising to its highest level since early August, bullish sentiment remains strong. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates less and concerns about spending deficits following the presidential election have pushed U.S. Treasury yields to a three-month high, which could hinder further growth in XAU/USD amid light overbought conditions. Personal opinion: XAU/USD has faced resistance near the $2,750 level, followed by the $2,767 area, which is the upper boundary of a two-week upward channel. If this barrier is cleared, it’s likely that the price of gold will continue to grow. If that happens, we could see gold reaching the $2,800 mark. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2738 - 2736 SL: 2731 Buy Scalp: 2749 - 2747 SL: 2742 Sell Zone: 2767 - 2769 SL: 2774
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
XAU/USD 21 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remain unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2024. Price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge, driven by a softer stance from the Fed and increasing geopolitical tensions. Since the last analysis, price has printed a BOS followed by a series of bullish iBOS’. The internal range of iBOS has narrowed, with price now targeting the weak internal high after reacting from the M15 demand zone. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21-25 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price has continued to rise, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to analysis dated 22 September 2024. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions. Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are no current signs of it materialising. The first indication, but not a confirmation, of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The bearish CHoCH level is denoted by a blue dotted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since the last analysis, due to illness, price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 10 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024. Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low. CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024. Analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS. We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 01 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. The price has continued its surge, reaching all-time highs with minimal pullbacks. The bearish swing pullback phase has now been confirmed by a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which also establishes the swing range. Currently, we are trading between the swing high and the fractal low. In yesterday's analysis, I noted that the internal range had narrowed significantly, allowing the price to confirm the swing pullback phase by printing the bearish iBOS. This is now reflected in the price action. Intraday Expectation: We expect the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, indicated by a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), denoted with a blue dotted line. However, since the bullish CHoCH is positioned in the premium zone, confirmation of the internal low will only occur if the price retraces to the 50% equilibrium (EQ). H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Price met expectations by targeting a weak internal low and printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). As previously mentioned, price action has been erratic due to ongoing macroeconomic data and heightened geopolitical tensions. Since the last analysis, price printed another bearish iBOS, followed by a bullish iBOS after reacting from an M15 demand zone. Recent bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) suggests the potential initiation of a bearish pullback phase, though this is not confirmation but an indication. I will closely monitor this as the CHoCH positioning is near the internal high, requiring discretionary judgement. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the 50% equilibrium or the M15 supply zone before aiming for a weak internal high. It's important to remain cautious, as the H4 timeframe has confirmed swing pullback phase with a bearish iBOS, which may limit upside momentum. With rising geopolitical tensions, Gold is likely to remain highly volatile in the short term. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK