XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Behavior , Prices are trading inside a demand zone—a price range where buying interest is expected to be strong, leading to potential price increases.
Today, prices have declined by 1.80%, signaling short-term weakness.
A potential decline is expected to continue toward the demand line at $2,685. This level serves as support, where buyers may step in to stop further declines.
If prices stabilize inside the demand zone or if a 4-hour candle opens above/inside the zone, this suggests a potential increase.
In this case, the target price levels are $2,750 and $2,757, implying a bullish rebound.
If prices break below the demand zone, this indicates further weakness.
In this case, prices are expected to decline further toward $2,685 and possibly $2,663, suggesting a bearish continuation.
Xauusdideas
Gold stays high despite rising U.S. yields and a stronger dollarGold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new record high on Wednesday, surpassing $2,750 in the European trading session. Risk-averse sentiment and the threat of escalating tensions in the Middle East have driven capital into the precious metal. Political instability in the U.S. and accommodative monetary policy have also supported gold prices.
Despite the U.S. dollar rising to its highest level since early August, bullish sentiment remains strong. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates less and concerns about spending deficits following the presidential election have pushed U.S. Treasury yields to a three-month high, which could hinder further growth in XAU/USD amid light overbought conditions.
Personal opinion:
XAU/USD has faced resistance near the $2,750 level, followed by the $2,767 area, which is the upper boundary of a two-week upward channel. If this barrier is cleared, it’s likely that the price of gold will continue to grow. If that happens, we could see gold reaching the $2,800 mark.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2738 - 2736
SL: 2731
Buy Scalp: 2749 - 2747
SL: 2742
Sell Zone: 2767 - 2769
SL: 2774
XAUUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Trend , The price of gold continues to rise and is approaching $2,750. Despite reaching the initial target, prices are still under upward pressure.
the price is attempting to break through the $2,750 level, which represents the next significant resistance. If prices remain below $2,750, a decline is expected.
If the price declines, it is likely to reach $2,730, with a further potential drop to the demand zone between $2,724 and $2,701.
Breakout Potential , A break above $2,750 could signal further increases in price.
Historical Context , The recent breakout above the previous all-time high (ATH) of $2,685 on September 26, 2024, has driven the current upward momentum, with the market now aiming for a new ATH at $2,750.
Overall Conclusion , Gold prices are in an upward trend, with critical resistance at $2,750. A failure to break this level could lead to a pullback, but breaking through may trigger further gains.
Demand Zone : $2,724 and $2,701.
Demand Line : $2,730.
XAUUSD / UNDER MIDDLE EAST TENSION / 4H XAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After breaking the previous all-time high (ATH) of $2,685, gold prices have continued to rise. My next targets are set at $2,750 and $2,788. The ongoing tensions in the Middle East are a significant factor contributing to the upward momentum, making it likely that gold will reach these levels.
As long as gold remains stable above the demand zone between $2,714 and $2,701, bullish pressure is expected to persist, potentially driving prices to my target levels. However, if the demand zone is breached, it could signal a decline, with prices possibly revisiting the previous ATH of $2,685.
In conclusion, as long as tensions in the Middle East continue, the overall outlook for gold suggests sustained upward pressure.
Demand Zone : $2,714 and $2,701.
New Historical Zone : $2,750 and $2,788.
XAU/USD 21 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remain unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2024.
Price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS.
Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.
The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs).
Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line.
At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued to surge, driven by a softer stance from the Fed and increasing geopolitical tensions.
Since the last analysis, price has printed a BOS followed by a series of bullish iBOS’.
The internal range of iBOS has narrowed, with price now targeting the weak internal high after reacting from the M15 demand zone.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 21-25 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no signs of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line.
Price has continued to rise, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to analysis dated 22 September 2024.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions.
Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are no current signs of it materialising.
The first indication, but not a confirmation, of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action.
The bearish CHoCH level is denoted by a blue dotted line.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since the last analysis, due to illness, price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS.
Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.
The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs).
Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line.
At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL AND ATH AT 2,685$ / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is experiencing upward momentum after breaking out of a channel, suggesting a bullish.
The price has broken its previous ATH at $2,685 and is currently attempting to reach a new ATH at $2,700. ATH levels are significant as they represent new highs in price, and breaking them often signals bullish strength.
The price is hovering around a fair value gap between $2,685 and $2,682. As long as it stabilizes above this range, it suggests further potential for upward movement towards $2,700 and even $2,720.
If the price breaks below this FVG, it may decline toward a demand zone between $2,676 and $2,670. Breaking this demand zone would indicate a further decline.
Demand Zone : 2,676$ and 2,670$.
FVG : 2,685$ and 2,682$.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE TREND / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Price Movement on Friday , The price rose by 0.93%, trying to reach $2,668 before declining to
$2,645 and $2,636.
Key Level at $2,668 , If the price breaks and stabilizes above $2,668, further upward movement is expected. The target for this rise is the all-time high (ATH) at $2,685.
Stabilizing Below $2,668 , If the price stabilizes below $2,668, it suggests a continued decline toward $2,645 and $2,636.
Breaking the ATH of $2,685 , If the ATH is broken, prices are predicted to move into a new historical zone between $2,700 and $2,710.
Breaking the Demand Zone at $2,636 , If prices break below and stabilize under $2,636, it
indicates further declines.
Trading Range , The price is expected to fluctuate between $2,685 and $2,604 overall.
Key Points:
Price Target Levels: $2,668, $2,685 (ATH), $2,700-$2,710 (new zone), and $2,636 (demand zone).
XAUUSD / TRADING INSIDE SUPPLY ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Supply Zone ,The price is trading between $2,652 and $2,639, which is identified as a sell zone. This range suggests a likelihood of downward price movement as long as the price stays within this zone.
If the price remains in this range, it is expected to decline to the demand zone, which is between $2,610 and $2,604.
This would indicate potential buying opportunities, as the demand zone typically reflects areas where buying interest might emerge and support the price.
If the price breaks and stabilizes above the $2,652-$2,639 zone, it suggests an increase in price.
In that case, the price is likely to target the next supply zone between $2,668 and $2,685, signaling further upward momentum.
The overall tone of the analysis indicates that the market is under bullish pressure, meaning that the expectation is for price increases unless the bearish scenario plays out.
Supply Zone : 2,652$ and 2,639$ , 2,668$ and 2,685$.
Demand Zone : 2,610$ and 2,604$.
XAU/USD 10 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT CHANNEL / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
You’re observing a bearish trend, meaning prices are moving downward or are under selling pressure. This could be due to various factors such as a correction after an uptrend, external market conditions, or the asset hitting resistance zones.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price range that was quickly passed through during a previous move, creating an imbalance in market orders (usually between aggressive buyers and sellers). These gaps often act as key levels of interest where prices may retrace.
FVG Resistance Zone: You have identified an FVG between $2,621 and $2,637. As long as the price stays below this range, it indicates bearish sentiment and the likelihood of further decline ,This gap can act as a resistance zone, meaning price is struggling to rise above it due to strong selling pressure in that range.
If the price fails to break above the FVG resistance zone, you expect it to continue declining, with targets at:
Demand Zone $2,604 to $2,595: This is an area where buyers previously stepped in, causing prices to rise. It acts as support and a potential reversal point. If the price reaches these levels, you expect some buying interest to potentially stabilize or reverse the trend.
However, if the price breaks below the $2,595 support level, it could signal a deeper bearish move.
If the price manages to break above the FVG (i.e., trades above $2,637), this would suggest a potential bullish reversal or upward momentum, leading to the next key levels:
Supply Zone $2,645 to $2,652, This is where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers, and price dropped. Reaching this zone could lead to consolidation or resistance unless there is enough buying power to push through.
Uptrend Confirmation , To confirm a more sustained uptrend, the price needs to break above the $2,652 level. A successful breakout here could lead to a move toward the next target of $2,664.
XAUUSD / TRADING ACCUMULATION ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Zone A (2,659$ - 2,653$) , The price is currently attempting to stabilize within this range.
If stabilization occurs, it suggests a potential breakout to reach the demand zone (2,631$ - 2,623$).
Demand Zone (2,631$ - 2,623$) , If the price breaks below Zone A, this demand zone is the next target , A breakout from this zone could lead to a rise towards Zone B.
Zone B (2,664$ - 2,672$) , If the price breaks into Zone B, remaining stable suggests a potential decline back to Zone A and possibly lower to the demand zone , However, if the price breaks above Zone B, it may aim for Zone C.
Zone C (2,681$ - 2,685$) , A breakout above Zone C could lead to further increases, but stabilization here may result in a decline back to Zone B or lower to Zone A.
Historical Zone (2,700$ - 2,710$) , Breaking the key resistance levels could indicate a move towards this new historical range, suggesting bullish sentiment.
Supply Zone : 2,659$ - 2,653$ , 2,664$ - 2,672$ , 2,681$ - 2,685$.
Demand Zone : 2,631$ - 2,623$.
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION IN THE MIDDLE EAST / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The text refers to the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news, which typically has a strong influence on the financial markets. In this case, it states that after the NFP announcement, gold prices declined by 0.45%. This indicates that the market reacted to the news with a short-term bearish movement, likely due to positive employment data leading to expectations of tighter monetary policy.
Current Price , Gold is currently trading above an FVG (Fair Value Gap) area, specifically around $2,648 to $2,644. An FVG is a technical term often used to indicate areas where the price may have gaps or imbalances from previous trading activity, often suggesting potential price support or resistance.
As long as the price remains above the FVG, the text suggests a bullish continuation, with gold possibly increasing towards a supply zone between $2,664 and $2,670. If gold breaks above this supply zone, the text predicts that it could reach ATH (All-Time High) levels at $2,685.
On the other hand, if gold breaks below the FVG area, with confirmation from a 4-hour candle close, the text predicts a decline towards a demand zone between $2,631 and $2,623. This would indicate a shift in sentiment to a more bearish outlook in the short term.
The overall sentiment is bullish as long as prices stay above the demand zone and within the mentioned price ranges. The range of $2,685 to $2,623 is key to monitor, with any move beyond these levels signaling potential continuation or reversal of the current trend.
Supply Zone: 2,664$ and 2,670$.
Demand Zone: 2,631$ and 2,623$.
FVG: 2,648$ and 2,644$.
XAUUSD / SENSETIVE AREA TRADING - 4HXAUUSD / 4HTIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Yesterday: Gold prices declined by 1.70%.
Today: Prices began to recover, rising by 0.95%.Analysts expect a further increase in prices, potentially reaching gains of 1.50%
Gold is currently trading below a supply zone between $2,655 and $2,665. This zone represents a key resistance level, where sellers may dominate and prevent further price
If gold continues to trade below the $2,655–$2,665 supply zone, it could decline further, with support levels at $2,637 and $2,614.
If the price breaks above the supply zone, it may rise towards $2,686, a potential resistance level.
Despite the recent dip, the market is under bullish pressure, indicating that buyers are still in control and could push prices higher in the near future.
Supply Zone : 2,655 and 2,665$.
Demand Zone : 2,637$ and 2,614$.
XAU/USD 01 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
The price has continued its surge, reaching all-time highs with minimal pullbacks.
The bearish swing pullback phase has now been confirmed by a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which also establishes the swing range. Currently, we are trading between the swing high and the fractal low.
In yesterday's analysis, I noted that the internal range had narrowed significantly, allowing the price to confirm the swing pullback phase by printing the bearish iBOS. This is now reflected in the price action.
Intraday Expectation: We expect the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, indicated by a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), denoted with a blue dotted line. However, since the bullish CHoCH is positioned in the premium zone, confirmation of the internal low will only occur if the price retraces to the 50% equilibrium (EQ).
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Price met expectations by targeting a weak internal low and printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS).
As previously mentioned, price action has been erratic due to ongoing macroeconomic data and heightened geopolitical tensions.
Since the last analysis, price printed another bearish iBOS, followed by a bullish iBOS after reacting from an M15 demand zone.
Recent bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) suggests the potential initiation of a bearish pullback phase, though this is not confirmation but an indication. I will closely monitor this as the CHoCH positioning is near the internal high, requiring discretionary judgement.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the 50% equilibrium or the M15 supply zone before aiming for a weak internal high.
It's important to remain cautious, as the H4 timeframe has confirmed swing pullback phase with a bearish iBOS, which may limit upside momentum.
With rising geopolitical tensions, Gold is likely to remain highly volatile in the short term.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION OF THE MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After reaching an all-time high (ATH) of $2,686, the price began to decline by 1.60%. This dip is likely due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, given the instability in the region, the price is expected to rise again, potentially reaching a supply zone between $2,700 and $2,720.
As long as the price remains stable above the $2,637 and $2,614 levels, my target is to see it returning to $2,686. However, a break below $2,614 triggered a further decline, bringing the price down to $2,586 and potentially testing the next support at $2,559.
My Target : 2,586$.
Supply Zone : 2,700$ , 2,720$.
Demand Zone : 2,586$ , 2,559$.
XAU/USD 30 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 29 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued to surge in price printing all time highs with price pulling back very minimally.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. We also have established an internal range.
You will note the internal range has extensively narrowed, allowing price to confirm swing pullback phase by printing bearish iBOS. However, we remain bullish.
Although price has tapped in to strong internal low, price has been unable to close below
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, due to the narrowing of the internal range and all HTF's requiring pullback, it would not be unrealistic if price prints a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Last week's intraday expectation (27 September 2024): In my previous analysis, I mentioned an alternative scenario where, due to all higher time frames (HTFs) requiring a pullback, it would not be surprising if the price printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This is exactly what transpired, with the price printing a bearish iBOS.
This marks the first bearish iBOS since 18 September 2024, confirming the swing structure.
Following the bearish iBOS, the price has now printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating a potential shift in momentum. Currently, the price is contained within an internal range and is trading in the premium zone above the 50% equilibrium (EQ) of that range.
Intraday Expectation: The price is expected to react at the M15 supply level before potentially targeting a weak internal low.
With rising geopolitical tensions, Gold is likely to remain highly volatile in the near term.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 30 September - 04 October 2024Weekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs and surge with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price has continued higher with CHoCH positioning remaining the same as last week's analysis dated 22 September 2024.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and continued it's surge in price lead by soft US macroeconomics and increasing geopolitical tensions.
After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback, which, at the moment, is not showing any signs of printing.
First indication, but not confirmation of pullback is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has remained unchanged.
Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue doted line.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued to surge in price printing all time highs with price pulling back very minimally.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. We also have established an internal range.
You will note the internal range has extensively narrowed, allowing price to confirm swing pullback phase by printing bearish iBOS. However, we remain bullish.
Although price has tapped in to strong internal low, price has been unable to close below
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, due to the narrowing of the internal range and all HTF's requiring pullback, it would not be unrealistic if price prints a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD /UNDER TENTIONS THE MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Trend:
The price has declined by 1.15% since reaching the ATH , A further decline is anticipated, potentially reaching a 1.80% drop , Despite the decline, the text suggests that there is still upward pressure on the price, indicating a possibility of recovery or resistance against further losses , The author expects that if tensions in the Middle East continue, prices could rise above the ATH by 1.34% in October , This suggests a correlation between geopolitical events and market movements.
Technical Analysis:
Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 2,600$, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price trades above FVG between 2,650$ and 2,636$ , it's expected to rise to 2,686$.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 2,686$, it suggest to reach new resistance level between 2,700$ and 2,721$.
Downward Condition:
- If the price falls below 2,636$ , it suggests a potential decline:
- Target : A decline to 2,600$.
XAU/USD 27 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued to surge printing all time highs with price pulling back very minimally.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. We also have established an internal range.
You will note the internal range has extensively narrowed, allowing price to confirm swing pullback phase by printing bearish iBOS. However, we remain bullish.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, due to the narrowing of the internal range and all HTF's requiring pullback, it would not be unrealistic is price printed a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Intraday expectation was met with price printing bullish iBOS.
Price is now contained within an internal range and is in discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high. Expecting reaction from discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone.
Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not be unexpected if price prints a bearish iBOS.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD / TENTIONS MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD/ 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Trend:
- Prices have risen by 2.21% and reached a target.
- Prices are now trading below $2,670.
Short-Term Outlook:
- There is an expectation of a 2.00% decline.
- For the downtrend to be confirmed, gold prices need to break below $2,600.
Further Decline Potential:
- If prices stabilize below $2,600, a further decline of 5.20% is anticipated.
Reversal Possibility:
- However, if prices stabilize above $2,615, a rise of 3.25% is expected.
Technical Analysis:
Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 2,615$, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price trades above 2,650$, it's expected to rise to 2,670$.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 2,670$, the next target is 2,700$.
Downward Condition:
- If the price falls below 2,650$ , it suggests a potential decline:
- Target 1: A decline to 2,637$.
- Target 2: If it breaks below 2,637$, further decline is expected to 2,615$.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 24 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish.
Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Since previous analysis price has continued bullish, as a result, CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to recent price action.
Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback by printing bearish CHoCH, therefore, I will be standing by.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
*CORRECTION* - I overlooked yesterday's analysis stating internal was bearish when it was in fact bullish.
Yesterday's intraday analysis was correct as price did target weak internal high, printing a further bullish iBOS.
Price is now contained within an internal range and is positioned at the extreme of the strong internal low of internal 50% EQ and M15 demand zone.
Currently strong internal low is holding.
Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high.
Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS.
M15 Chart: