Xauusdintraday
XAU/USD 18 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price.
This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action.
After a very long period price has printed it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation which was in accordance to my intraday analysis of yesterday 16 September 2024.
Internal range has now been established.
Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price will be highly volatile.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at discount of 50% EQ or Daily and H4 POI's.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price met yesterday's intraday expectation by targeting weak internal low.
This is in-line with all HTF as a pullback is required.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at premium of 50% EQ. Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we should be mindful that, due to geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions, price is likely to be highly volatile.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 12-16 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has, as yet, failed to indicate bearish pullback following bullish bullish BOS and iBOS.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
However, price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price indicated bearish pullback phase initiation once it printed a bearish CHoCH.
Price then continued bearish, reacting at discount of internal 50% EQ denoted in blue.
Price has, once again, almost precisely reacted at 50% EQ of the internal structure, therefore, technically price should target weak internal high.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
XAU/USD 08 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued bullish and printed a bullish iBOS aligning itself with swing structure.
Price has evidently begun to pullback following bullish iBOS without mitigating daily supply zone which would question if price has the liquidity to 'fuel' it's drive down.
It would be prudent to stand aside and allow price to confirm it's intention.
Intraday expectation: According to current price action, price to pullback to either discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. However, I would personally stand aside and allow price to confirm it's intention.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has been fairly erratic printing small range bullish iBOS' followed by small range IBOS'.
Whilst range sizes are smaller than previous iBOS' and could be open to interpretation with reference to recent price action, I will keep the process mechanical.
Price is currently trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Bullish CHoCH lined is denoted with the blue dotted line, which is positioned close to M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, which would reposition CHoCH closer to current price action. Bearish iBOS has been printed, therefore, a pullback will be required to either premium of 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
GOLD Possible drop to daily 20EMAInstrument : GOLD
Possible direction : Bearish
Technical Analysis : From daily timeframe price has formed daily doji which has formed after multiple liquidity grab from both support and resistance.
We see a clear head & shoulder on the 1h chart that has led gold to breakdwon from the trend line and may lead the price to daily 20EMA.
On the retest of the hourly trend line a sell trade is high probable for short term.
Possible trade recommendation : Bearish as per chart sketch
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GOLD - Trading scenarios.Hello Traders! Very interesting moment!
Possible scenarios for XAUUSD.
Bearish GOLD -
1. Potencial Double Top forming pattern.
2. Potencial Bearish A Gartley.
3. Potencial Bearish Dragon pattern.
Bullish GOLD -
1. Potencial Bullish Gartley pattern.
2. Potencial Bullish Bat forming.
Let`s see.
Possible targets on the charts.
Good Luck! ;-)