XAUUSD Long Setup – Retest of Broken Structure & Safe-Haven FlowGold has pulled back to retest a strong former resistance (now support) zone around $3,385–$3,390. This level aligns with a previous breakout and marks the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. The pair is now showing bullish structure with back-to-back continuation patterns (bull flags), suggesting further upside potential.
Given escalating geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel strikes, Trump-led evacuation urgency), slowing Fed cut expectations, and softening inflation-adjusted yields, gold remains in demand.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows maintained.
Support Zone: $3,385–$3,390 (retest zone) – bulls stepping back in.
Targets:
TP1: $3,451
TP2: $3,470
TP3: $3,495 (new local high)
Stop Loss: Below $3,369 (recent low)
Pattern Context: Bull flags continue to form and break bullish – reinforcing trend.
🧠 Fundamental Context (June 17):
Bullish Drivers:
Middle East escalation → safe haven bid surging (Iran missile launches, Israeli retaliation, US political chaos).
Fed on pause → real yields are subdued, favoring non-yielding assets like gold.
Convexity & bond volatility rising → investors hedging with hard assets (confirmed via CME sentiment reports).
Risks:
Sudden peace deal or ceasefire.
Unexpected US CPI spike → reawakens rate hike fears.
📅 Key Events to Watch:
Fed speeches (confirmation of dovish tone)
Any ceasefire or major diplomatic development
Oil movement (energy risk spillovers)
Xauusdlong
Gold (XAUUSD) – Demand Zone Holding, Silver Leading BreakoutGold has respected its demand zone near $3,367–$3,382 and is attempting to bounce higher. Importantly, Silver (XAGUSD in pink overlay) is leading the upside move, having broken out cleanly above $37.00 and still climbing. This confirms the bullish momentum across precious metals.
Geopolitical tensions, dovish Fed commentary, and risk-off market conditions continue to favor a move toward $3,451, $3,471, and possibly $3,495.
🔍 Technical Breakdown (4H)
Support Zone: $3,367–$3,382 (retest of broken resistance)
Bullish Structure: Rising lows, trendline holds, and higher timeframe support remains intact
Projected Targets:
🎯 TP1: $3,451 (recent high)
🎯 TP2: $3,471 (key extension)
🎯 TP3: $3,495 (top of range)
Stop Loss: Below $3,351 (invalidates demand structure)
🪙 Silver (XAGUSD) Overlay Insight:
Currently at $37.11+, showing leadership in the breakout.
Suggests gold will likely follow through — watch for Gold catching up.
🧠 Macro & Fundamental Context (June 17)
Bullish Drivers:
🔥 Ongoing Middle East war escalation (Iran-Israel, US troop buildup)
🏦 Dovish Fed tone, soft retail sales, rate cuts expected from Sept
🧾 Silver strength confirming demand across metals
Risks:
☮️ Unexpected ceasefire headlines could cause knee-jerk pullbacks
📈 Hot inflation data or hawkish Fed rhetoric could pressure upside
📅 Key Events to Watch:
FOMC members' speeches this week
US Core PCE inflation print
War headline velocity — particularly involving shipping or direct US-Iran confrontation
🧭 Strategy Suggestion:
Tactical Buy on Rejection Wick from current demand zone
Watch Silver momentum — if it breaks $37.50+, gold likely catches up fast
Consider scaling out around $3,451–$3,471 with final target near $3,495
XAUUSD: Accumulation in process,Waiting for Bullish DistributionHello,
Today, we will analyse the key points of each significant move.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CDTheHeyIndeed, we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Expect gold to break 3400 for 3430 post-FedIn recent years, after the U.S. economy was hit by a round of high inflation, inflation data has gradually shown signs of easing 📉. Logically, the weakening inflation pressure should have paved the way for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, but surprisingly, the Fed has chosen to remain on the sidelines and maintain its high-interest-rate policy ⚖️. The Fed's decision to keep rates high has had a significant impact on gold prices and the U.S. dollar 💱. First, high interest rates typically push up the U.S. dollar exchange rate, thereby dampening gold demand 💰↓.
Gold's price movement this week deviated from market news or expectations 📉≠📢. Driven by geopolitical conflicts, gold rallied on Friday 📈, and the momentum continued to simmer over the weekend, leading to a gap-up opening on Monday followed by a steady decline 📉. On the hourly timeframe, the low points are gradually shifting downward, with 3,400 becoming a short-term resistance level 📊. Although gold fell from 3,452, it is clearly oscillating around 3,380 🔄
I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause gold to directly break through 3400 and reach around 3430 🌟📈
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3380 - 3385
🚀 TP 3400 - 3430
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Accumulate around 3400, Keep interest rate today⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices slipped below the $3,400 threshold on Tuesday, weighed down by renewed strength in the US Dollar (USD), despite a worsening global risk sentiment. The resilience of the greenback limited gains in the safe-haven asset, though mounting tensions between Israel and Iran continue to offer underlying support. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,380, down 0.05%.
Although risk appetite remains subdued, gold has struggled to rally, as the US Dollar regains ground. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the currency against a basket of six major peers, climbed 0.46% to 98.58.
Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions intensified after US President Donald Trump abruptly departed the G7 summit in Canada on Monday in response to unfolding events in the Middle East. In a stark warning posted to his social platform, he urged, “Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran,” signaling a sharp escalation in the conflict that began last Friday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is moving in accumulation zone below 3400 - 3365. Break and return above 3400, continue to accumulate.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3437- 3439 SL 3444
TP1: $3425
TP2: $3410
TP3: $3395
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3338-$3340 SL $3333
TP1: $3346
TP2: $3355
TP3: $3370
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Fed Rate Decision: Gold's 3,400 Threshold as Bull-Bear DivideToday, the market has consolidated in a range throughout the day, with neither price direction nor volatility breaking through the range. However, our trading approach proved accurate: short positions were initiated near 3,400 during rebounds, and long positions were entered near the key level of 3,370 during pullbacks. Investors following our strategy have achieved profits from both directions. With limited price movement currently, the Fed's interest rate decision due to land in an hour will become the core variable dominating the market trend for the rest of the month.
Currently, gold prices continue to trade below the 3,400 threshold, maintaining a weak market structure. The 3,400 level serves as a key watershed between bulls and bears, and the validity of its breakthrough will determine the trend inflection point: if prices effectively hold above 3,400 after the data release, it indicates that gold will break out of its weak pattern, with the potential for an accelerated rally ahead. Conversely, if prices remain suppressed below 3,400, it is highly likely to trigger further downward exploration. It is recommended to closely monitor the breakthrough signal at the 3,400 threshold after the data release, using this as the operational basis for trend switching.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3380
tp:3400-3420-3450
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Tuesday, gold dipped to around $3,374 in the early trading session, then rebounded to the intraday high. In the U.S. trading session, it is currently quoted at about $3,388, approaching the psychological level of $3,400. From the 4-hour chart of gold, the current upward momentum remains intact. The support below is focused on around $3,350, and the strong support is highlighted in the $3,350-$3,330 area, which is also the position of the 5-week moving average. Only by breaking the $3,350 area is there hope to reverse the trend and fall completely. If it does not break here, the bulls may still repeat.
Regarding the current trend, gold tends to continue to test the bottom and then rebound, maintaining a large range of sweeping. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long when gold rebounds to the vicinity of 3370-3360, with the target looking at the 3490-3400 range. The short strategy is to go short near 3400, with the target looking at the 3370-3350 line.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3360
tp:3390-3400
sell@3395-3400
tp:3370-3350
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis 📊 XAU/USD Technical Analysis (June 18, 2025)
🟢 Current Market Overview
Price: $3,381.19
The market is currently trading within a defined range, showing consolidation above a strong support zone.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,360 – $3,375
This level has been tested multiple times and held firmly, indicating strong buying interest 📈.
Resistance Zone: $3,435 – $3,455
Price has previously rejected this zone, suggesting active sellers in this area ⚠️.
🧠 Price Action Insight
The recent price structure shows a pullback into support after a strong bullish move.
The current consolidation suggests accumulation before a potential breakout.
A bullish reversal pattern seems to be forming near support, pointing toward a possible rally toward resistance.
📈 Projected Move
📍 Scenario: Bounce from support zone → Break toward resistance.
The marked projection curve suggests price may retest support, then rally to the $3,440–$3,455 resistance area.
🧾 Trading Outlook
Bias: Bullish (above $3,360)
Entry Zone: $3,365 – $3,375
Target: $3,440 – $3,455
Invalidation: Break and close below $3,355 (would indicate weakness) 🚫
📅 Fundamental Context
Multiple high-impact USD events are approaching 🇺🇸 (noted at the bottom of the chart). These could cause volatility and may act as catalysts for the breakout.
✅ Conclusion
The market is currently in a bullish accumulation phase above strong support. As long as this level holds, a move toward the resistance zone remains the high-probability scenario. Monitor closely for confirmation via bullish candlesticks or volume increase.
GOLD Made Inverted H&S Pattern , Long Scalping Ready !Here is my 15 mins chart on gold and we have a reversal pattern , ( inverted head & shoulders ) and we have a clear closure above our neckline so we can buy it to get the target and then wait for the news tonight and then decide the new direction after news effect .
Gold falls back and then risesThe recent market has been up and down, and the long and short positions have been frequently switched. Many investment friends are caught off guard or don’t know where to start. As soon as they buy, the price drops, and when they exit, the price rises. In fact, this is the situation that many novice friends will encounter. Here I tell you that when trading, first of all, do not trade frequently. Secondly, you need to have a precise control of the market and stick to your own trading system.
Analysis of gold trend:
Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It is just a wave of highs. It quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now after falling below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support and the weekly MA5 support to go long. Pay attention to the 3403-3408 resistance card short on the rebound. You can follow the short, but it can only be short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does. We will go short in the rebound in the next two days!
From a technical perspective, the current 4-hour MACD high dead cross with large volume, and the smart indicator STO is running oversold, which represents the 4-hour oscillation trend. The current 4-hour Bollinger Band three-track narrowing also represents the range compression. The current 4-hour upper pressure is located at the adhesion point of the middle track and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, and the corresponding support is the 3380-3363 line near the moving average MA30 and MA10. From the current 4-hour perspective, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current 1-hour MACD dead cross of gold is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator STO is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to oscillate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion and suppression of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go short near 3410-12, stop loss at 3420, target at 3390-3380, break at 3370;
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Wednesday, the morning strategy suggested going long on gold at 3,375-3,365, perfectly seizing the pullback low and rebounding to the 3,400 level as expected. Today, there is also the Fed interest rate decision. Before the data release, short positions can be taken if the 3,400-3,405 level remains unbroken. If the 3,405-3,410 level is broken, we will continue to be bullish. Gold is in short-term oscillation, so try not to chase the market. Wait for a good entry opportunity. The upper level has also been repeatedly contested recently, and the Fed data is likely to break the range after its release.
For gold, continue to adopt an oscillating approach. In the 4H cycle, it is operating below the middle band. The short-term range is 3,405-3,365. If it breaks above 3,405, it can continue to target 3,420 and 3,450. Conversely, if it breaks below 3,365, it can fall to 3,350. In operation, prioritize long positions with short positions as a supplement, and adjust the strategy when a breakout occurs.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3375
tp:3390-3400-3420
sell@3395-3400
tp:3380-3370
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
XAUUSD:Fed & Middle East as Breakout CatalystsGold is currently fluctuating between $3,375 and $3,405. A breakdown below $3,375 could trigger a direct move toward $3,360, while a decisive breakout above $3,405 with sustained momentum would target $3,430.
The ability to breach this range hinges on today's Fed data release and evolving Middle East tensions. For now, adopt a range-trading strategy (sell high/buy low) within the band, and await key data to follow market momentum.
XAUUSD
sell@3395-3405
tp:3380-3370
buy@3370-3380
tp:3395-3405
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAU/USD: Buy on DipsDriving Logic
- Fed policy decision in line with expectations; escalation of Iran-Israel conflict boosts safe-haven demand; gold ETF inflows hit $230M daily, a 1-year high.
Key Levels
- Strong resistance at $3,400; support at $3,360-$3,370 (confluence of 50-day MA and Fibonacci retracement).
Trading Strategy
- Long on bullish candlestick reversal at $3,370-$3,360; stop-loss at $3,350; targets at $3,390-$3,400. Monitor PPI data and Middle East developments.
XAUUSD
buy@3360-3370
tp:3385-3395
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Trump's comments boost risk aversionThe 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact. The focus of the day is on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3420 range is maintained for the day. In the evening, the gold operation strategy, Mr. Weng, suggested that the callback to the 3370-3375 area should be arranged in batches. If the support of 3360-3365 is broken, add positions to go long.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long at the callback to 3370-3375 for gold now, and add positions to go long at the support level of 3360-3365, with a stop loss at 3352 and a target of 3380-3420.
Gold falls back to bullish trendAfter gold opened at 3450 this week, it gradually fell to 3365, with a range of 100 US dollars. Although the main force of the two trading days is a decline, the bullish trend remains unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. From the 4-hour chart of gold, gold has continuously appeared in the form of a negative line, and the price continues to run below the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average forms a downward resistance. The adhesion of the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average forms a strong pressure, and the MACD indicator also shows a dead cross pattern, suggesting that the bears may continue the downward trend. However, the lower track of the Bollinger Band provides some support, so at the 4-hour level, the bears are dominant and gold may continue to extend downward. The range performance in the 4-hour chart is obvious. On Tuesday, it fell sharply to 3365, which is just the support point of the lower Bollinger track. The performance of weak fluctuations is temporarily below the H4 Bollinger middle track. The range in the short term is 3405-3365. If it breaks 3405 upward, then the 4-hour chart becomes stronger and 3450 can be seen above. This possibility is very high because the market may have performance news at any time. However, if it falls below 3365, there is still a possibility of going to 3350 in the daily cycle. Therefore, there is actually no absolute certainty for gold in this cycle. For the intraday market, it is recommended to accumulate in the short term. In the case of no new lows, the 3370 support is an opportunity to go long. If it does not break 3405 above, it is necessary to break 3405 in the short term to get out of the trend strength.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3395-3393, stop loss at 3403, target at 3370-3364; it is recommended to go long gold when it falls back to around 3370, stop loss at 3360, target at 3390-3400;
Strong support at 3365/3350In recent years, following the easing of high inflation pressures in the U.S., the Federal Reserve has maintained a high-interest-rate policy, a decision that has significantly impacted gold and U.S. dollar markets: high rates have boosted the U.S. dollar while suppressing gold demand 📉.
This week, gold prices defied market expectations: fueled by geopolitical conflicts, gold surged last Friday and opened higher on Monday, only to trend lower thereafter ⬇️. The hourly chart shows a series of lower lows, with 3,400 emerging as short-term resistance, while gold currently oscillates around 3,380 🔄. With key economic data pending release, gold may still rebound (the initial jobless claims data was advanced to Wednesday) ⏰.
Technically, gold remains in a unilateral uptrend on the daily chart, with strong support at 3,365/3,350 from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages—though not yet in an extremely strong trend 📈. Key resistances lie at 3,430/3,450: a break above 3,450 could pave the way for a challenge to the previous high of 3,500 🏔️!
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375
🚀 TP 3395 - 3405
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold falls back to bullish trendAnalysis of gold trend:
This week, after gold opened at 3450, it gradually fell to 3365, with a range of 100 US dollars. Although the main force of the two trading days was a decline, the bullish trend remained unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. From the 4-hour gold chart, gold has continuously appeared in the form of a negative line, and the price continues to run below the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average forms a downward resistance. It suggests that the bears may continue the downward trend. However, the lower track of the Bollinger band provides some support, so at the 4-hour level, the bears are dominant and gold may continue to extend downward.
The range performance in the 4-hour chart is obvious. On Tuesday, it fell sharply to 3365, which is just the support point of the lower Bollinger track. The performance of weak fluctuations is temporarily below the H4 Bollinger middle track. The range in the short term is 3405-3365. If it breaks 3405 upward, then the 4-hour chart becomes stronger and 3450 can be seen above. This possibility is very high because the market will have performance news at any time. However, if it falls below 3365, there is still a possibility of going to 3350 in the daily cycle. Therefore, there is actually no absolute certainty for gold in this cycle. For the intraday market, it is recommended to accumulate in the short term. In the case of no new lows, the 3370 support is an opportunity to go long. If it does not break 3405 above, it is necessary to break 3405 in the short term to get out of the trend strength.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold rebounds near 3395-3393, stop loss 3403, target 3370-3364;
2. It is recommended to buy gold when it falls back to around 3370, with a stop loss of 3360 and a target of 3390-3400;
Long Trade Setup: XAUUSD 🟡 Trade Setup: XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bullish Reversal
Type: Liquidity Trap Breakout
Instrument: Gold / USD
---
🧠 Step 1: Market Context
Gold has been in a downtrend, forming consistent lower lows. Recently, it broke below a key support level, making it appear like further downside is coming. However, price has since moved sideways, suggesting loss of bearish momentum.
---
🎯 Step 2: Liquidity Trap Detected
This breakdown below support seems to be a false move, possibly engineered to:
Trigger stop-losses below the previous low
Attract sellers expecting further downside
Create sell-side liquidity for institutions
This pattern is known as a liquidity trap or stop hunt.
---
📏 Step 3: Confirmation from Price Action
A descending trendline breakout is visible on the 1H timeframe.
Price broke out, retested the trendline, and is now showing bullish candles.
This signals potential accumulation and trend reversal.
---
💼 Step 4: Trade Details
Entry: 3,393.73
Target (TP): 3,500.41
Stop Loss (SL): 3,351.50
Risk to Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1
This trade offers a solid risk-managed setup, ideal for intraday to short-swing traders.
---
🔍 Step 5: What to Watch For
Watch for bullish continuation above 3,400.
If price closes above 3,420, breakout buyers may join in.
If price drops below 3,375, exit and reassess.
---
📌 Summary
This trade banks on the idea that smart money is accumulating positions while retail traders are trapped short. The risk-reward ratio is favorable, and technical signals align for a potential upside move.
XAUUSD, Gold analysis, Liquidity trap, Stop hunt, Trend reversal, Technical analysis, Gold breakout, Smart money move
#XAUUSD #Gold #Breakout #LiquidityTrap #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney
#Forex #TradingView #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendReversal #RiskReward
Continue the uptrend, gold price returns to 3444⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) slipped for the second consecutive session on Tuesday, retreating from an early uptick during the Asian session that briefly pushed prices above the $3,400 mark. A slight rebound in the US Dollar (USD) continues to weigh on the precious metal, acting as a key drag. However, the downside appears limited amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will initiate further rate cuts in 2025.
Meanwhile, the ongoing aerial conflict between Israel and Iran has entered its fifth day, heightening fears of a wider regional escalation. This persistent geopolitical uncertainty is keeping demand for safe-haven assets like gold supported. Investors are also exercising caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) two-day policy meeting, the outcome of which may shape the next directional move for non-yielding bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price takes liquidity from lower supports: completed 3385, 3373. short term downtrend break. Gold price will soon return above 3400.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3443- 3445 SL 3450
TP1: $3435
TP2: $3422
TP3: $3407
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3352-$3350 SL $3345
TP1: $3368
TP2: $3376
TP3: $3390
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Middle East Tensions Intertwined with Fed Rate Cut SpeculationThe Middle East situation remains tense ⚠️, and with rumors of a Fed rate cut emerging 👂, gold is likely to see significant volatility in the near term 📈📉. Due to the war, we still favor going long at lower levels 💹. During the current U.S. trading session, another pullback may occur—we need to wait for the correction before continuing to go long ⏳
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375
🚀 TP 3400 - 3410
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇