How long can the gold bull market last?Since the beginning of the gold price in the morning, the gold price has nearly been climbing consistently throughout the day, with no retracement, and any K-line exhibiting a negative trend is a chance to go long! During this time, we cannot afford to wait for a significant retracement. Gold is strong, and this tendency is tough to reverse. It is impossible to go short, and the next stage will be to retain an optimistic outlook. The upper K-line of the gold price in the evening shows a downward tendency. Gold has entered the short-term adjustment market. It's preferable to wait for a decrease! The first support number is 2880. If the gold price falls to 2880 in the evening, keep going long!
Overall, the current short-term gold trading strategy is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The upper side's short-term resistance line is 2910-2912, while the lower side's short-term support line is 2878-2880.
Xauusdlong
Gold is alert for short-term peakGold surged during the day. After the long orders were closed, the market showed signs of weakening from the current gold hourly chart. In addition, 2907 is also the 161.8% position of the extension of 2853-2886. Beware of the possibility of a sudden plunge!!!
You can short in the 2907-2909 area in the evening, looking down to 2890, 2880.
xauusd:Continue to buy gold prices.Global physical gold ETFs achieved net inflows in the first month of 2025, an increase of US$3 billion. Europe led the inflows, increasing by US$3.4 billion, the largest monthly inflow since March 2022; North America declined for two consecutive months, with an outflow of US$499 million. As of the end of January, the total asset management scale of global gold ETFs rose to US$294 billion, setting a new record, and holdings increased by 34 tons. The average daily trading volume of gold in the global market in January was US$264 billion, a month-on-month increase of 20%. This increase was mainly attributed to the 60% month-on-month surge in trading volume on the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) at a time when strong gold prices attracted traders, driving the trading volume of global exchanges by 39%.
Observe from the combination of graphics and news. The price of gold may also increase due to war factors and risk aversion, which will lead to an increase in demand. As a result, the price of gold will continue to rise sharply. Therefore, it is necessary to buy or hold gold now and wait for it to rise.
The news side has driven the trading atmosphere as a whole.
Trading is still mainly buying:
Buy around 2890-2980. tp2915.sl2860
Can gold break through 3,000?From a technical perspective, the daily relative strength index (RSI) of spot gold is still in the overbought area, indicating that it may face certain consolidation pressure in the short term. If the gold price stabilizes above $2,900, it may further open up room for growth.
In terms of the lower support level, the gold price has initial support in the $2,855-2,854/ounce area. If it falls below this level, it may fall back to around $2,834/ounce. If it falls further, the $2,815-2,814/ounce area will be the key support level, and the $2,800 round mark may also provide strong support.
The focus of the market this week will be the congressional testimony of Fed Chairman Powell and the US CPI data for January. If the inflation data is stronger than expected, it will further strengthen the Fed's stance of maintaining high interest rates, thereby supporting the US dollar, which may put some pressure on gold in the short term. However, from a long-term trend, the market's concerns about global economic uncertainty still exist, and the safe-haven demand for gold may continue. In the short term, the performance of gold prices around $2,900 will be the key to market attention. If it can effectively break through, the current round of gains may continue.
here what is the possible scenario for Xauusd"XAUUSD (Gold) is presenting a strong bullish setup driven by multiple factors. Here’s why it’s a prime time to consider buying:
Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty are driving investors toward gold as a reliable store of value.
Weakening USD: The US Dollar is showing signs of weakness, which typically boosts gold prices as it becomes cheaper for foreign buyers.
Inflation Hedge: With rising inflation concerns, gold is attracting attention as a hedge against currency devaluation.
Technical Breakout: XAUUSD has broken key resistance levels, confirming a strong upward trend with potential for further gains.
Central Bank Buying: Increased gold purchases by central banks worldwide are supporting long-term price appreciation.
Don’t miss this opportunity to capitalize on gold’s upward momentum. Always manage risk and set appropriate stop-loss levels. 🚀📈"
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before trading.
Gold prices are about to drop by about $20 per ounce
XAUUSD: In the short term, it is in the range of high pressure and strong support, forming a dense trading area. High pressure is above 2870. Strong support is below 2860. The profit margin is about 10-15 US dollars per ounce.
Follow the high pressure to short. Strong support to buy opportunities. You can get profits.
xauusd: Sell above 2873. tp2860-2850.sl2680
xauusd: Buy below 2860. tp2870-2880.sl2650
XAUUSD's Volatility: Will it Fake Us Out or Continue Long?Many have been anticipating Gold to move in both directions. Some are expecting a nice drop while others are camping out for that long. I've been on both sides. Here, I explain my reasons for wanting to Long Gold (XAUUSD) with anticipated targets for both a short-term sell and the buy continuation.
Please boost this if you like my ideas. Comment with your thoughts and/or agreement. I look forward to connecting!
World trade tensions, gold price opportunity above 2900✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 02/10/2025 - 02/14/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold extended its rally on Friday as US-China trade tensions escalated and US employment data delivered mixed signals. XAU/USD climbed 0.24%, trading at $2,862.
President Donald Trump’s plans to impose reciprocal tariffs on multiple countries next week provided a boost for bullion, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Rising geopolitical uncertainty over the weekend could further drive demand for gold.
Meanwhile, US data showed January’s Nonfarm Payrolls fell short of expectations, but the Unemployment Rate declined from both estimates and December’s reading. This resilience in the labor market could deter the Federal Reserve from easing policy in the near term.
🔥 Identify:
The long-term framework continues for the upcoming uptrend, in the context of the risk of trade war is still very tense, gold becomes a safe investment channel, the opportunity to reach ATH 3000 this year
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2886, $2900, $2944
Support : $2833, $2810
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
$XAU TAKE PROFIT 3 DONE & Price Serged 8.75% ~ $2963 ATH NOW BITGET:XAUTUSDT TAKE PROFIT 3 DONE & Price Serged 8.75% ~ $2,963 ATH NOW
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"Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup with 2,888–2,900 Target"This chart shows a bullish structure in gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a rounding bottom pattern forming. Multiple break-of-structure (BOS) and change-of-character (ChoCH) points indicate a continuation of the uptrend. The price is currently consolidating near resistance, with a potential breakout targeting the 2,888–2,900 zone. If the weak high is broken, momentum could push higher. Support zones are visible around 2,840 and lower in case of a pullback. OANDA:XAUUSD
NFP released . WHATS NEXT? The U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Changed By 143,000 In January, Compared With Expectations Of 175,000 And A Previous Value Of 256,000
1. Stock Market
Negative Sentiment in Growth-Oriented Sectors: Slower job growth may point to a cooling economy, potentially dampening investor sentiment, especially in sectors reliant on strong consumer spending (e.g., retail, technology).
Support for Defensive Sectors: Sectors like utilities, consumer staples, and healthcare may see gains as investors seek safety amid uncertainty.
Volatility Increase: Markets may experience heightened volatility as traders assess the implications for corporate earnings and broader economic growth.
2. Bond Market
Treasury Yields May Decline: Weak job growth often leads to expectations of slower economic expansion, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasuries. This could drive bond prices higher and yields lower.
Expectations for Federal Reserve Policy: If the labor market shows signs of slowing, it could reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve may halt or even reverse interest rate hikes to support the economy.
3. Currency Market
Pressure on the U.S. Dollar: A weaker labor market could weigh on the U.S. dollar as it may signal reduced economic resilience and lower interest rate differentials with other currencies.
Opportunities for Other Currencies: The euro or yen, perceived as alternatives to the dollar, might strengthen.
4. Commodity Market
Gold Prices May Rise: Gold could benefit from lower bond yields and a weaker dollar, as it is considered a safe-haven asset in times of economic uncertainty.
Oil and Industrial Metals Might Decline: A slowing labor market could signal reduced industrial activity and energy demand, potentially weighing on commodity prices.
5. Federal Reserve Policy Expectations
Rate Cuts May Be Anticipated: A weak NFP report strengthens the argument for a more dovish Fed stance. Markets may begin pricing in rate cuts or pauses, especially if future labor data corroborates a slowdown.
Focus on Inflation Data: The Fed's response will also depend on inflation. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed could be caught between addressing economic weakness and maintaining price stability.
Gold's Rally and Bitcoin's Dip: Decoding the SignalsIs Gold's Glitter a Warning Sign? Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets as Physical Gold Demand Soars
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has been experiencing a resurgence, raising eyebrows and sparking discussions about potential economic headwinds. Its recent outperformance, coupled with a dramatic drop in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and a surge in physical gold deliveries, suggests growing concerns about the global financial landscape. Are these developments harbingers of fiscal worries ahead?
Gold's Allure Returns
Gold's appeal as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty has been rekindled. While the yellow metal has historically played a crucial role in portfolios seeking diversification and stability, its recent performance has been particularly noteworthy. Gold prices have reached all-time highs, driven by a confluence of factors, including geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and fears of economic slowdown.
One significant factor contributing to gold's rise is the escalating trade tensions between major economic powers. Past trade disputes, such as the tariff exchanges between the US and China, have historically fueled safe-haven demand, benefiting gold. The current geopolitical climate, marked by increasing uncertainty and potential for conflict, further strengthens this narrative.
Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets: A Shift in Investor Sentiment?
The Bitcoin-gold ratio, a metric that compares the price of Bitcoin to that of gold, has recently plummeted to a 12-week low. This decline suggests a shift in investor sentiment, with many seemingly favoring the traditional safe haven of gold over the more volatile cryptocurrency. While Bitcoin has often been touted as "digital gold," its price volatility and perceived regulatory risks may be driving investors back to the established stability of physical gold. This shift could indicate a broader move away from riskier assets and towards more traditional safe havens.
Physical Gold Demand Soars: A Flight to Tangible Assets
Adding fuel to the gold fire is the dramatic increase in physical gold deliveries. Reports indicate a surge in gold shipments to the U.S., with traders actively loading the precious metal onto planes bound for American shores. Furthermore, major financial institutions are playing a significant role in this trend. Investment banking giant JPMorgan, for example, is reportedly planning to deliver a staggering $4 billion worth of gold to New York this month. This substantial demand for physical gold underscores a preference for tangible assets, potentially signaling a lack of confidence in the stability of financial markets or fiat currencies.
Global Gold Demand Hits Record High: India Sees Uptick
The global appetite for gold is not limited to the U.S. According to the World Gold Council, global gold demand has reached record highs in 2024. Even in price-sensitive markets like India, gold demand has seen a 5% uptick. This widespread increase in gold consumption further reinforces the narrative of a flight to safety and a growing unease about the global economic outlook.
Is Gold's Outperformance a Sign of Fiscal Worries Ahead?
The confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence – geopolitical uncertainty, trade tensions, declining Bitcoin-gold ratio, and soaring physical gold demand – raises the critical question: are these indicators of deeper fiscal worries on the horizon? While it's impossible to predict the future with certainty, the historical precedent suggests a strong correlation between periods of economic uncertainty and increased demand for gold.
Gold's role as a hedge against inflation and economic turmoil is well-established. When investors perceive heightened risks in the global economy, they often flock to gold as a safe haven, driving up its price. The current environment certainly exhibits many of the characteristics that have historically triggered such a flight to safety.
The Potential Implications
If the current gold rush is indeed a sign of growing fiscal concerns, the implications could be significant. Increased demand for gold could put further upward pressure on prices, potentially exacerbating inflationary pressures. Furthermore, a shift away from riskier assets could lead to increased volatility in financial markets and potentially trigger a broader economic downturn.
A Word of Caution
While the evidence suggests a potential link between gold's outperformance and fiscal worries, it's essential to exercise caution. Market dynamics are complex and influenced by a multitude of factors. Gold's price can be volatile, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. It's crucial to avoid drawing hasty conclusions based solely on gold's price movements.
Conclusion
Gold's recent surge, coupled with the decline in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and the surge in physical gold deliveries, presents a compelling narrative. While it's too early to definitively declare a looming fiscal crisis, the confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence warrants close attention. Investors should carefully consider these developments and assess their potential impact on their portfolios. Whether gold's glitter is a mere reflection of market jitters or a harbinger of deeper economic troubles remains to be seen. However, the current trends certainly raise important questions about the health of the global economy and the potential for increased volatility in the near future.
INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE FOR XAUUSDSupport Zone: 2854–2859
Pivot: 2854.00
CURRENT TREND
Long positions over 2854.00, with targets of 2879.00 and 2890.00 in extension.
BREAKOUT
Below 2854.00, expect for further fall with objectives of 2840.00 and 2830.00.
The next resistances are at 2879.00 and 2894.00.
Supports and Resistances
2900.00
2890.00
2879.00
2867.09
2854.00
2840.00
2830.00
Trade closed: target reached
it reached target of 2840
SIDEWAY and go up to make ATH 2800⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
In January, the US ADP National Employment Change showed private sector job growth accelerating from 176K to 183K, surpassing expectations of 150K. Meanwhile, the ISM Services PMI came in at 52.9, slightly above the 52.8 forecast but down from December’s 54.0. Similarly, the S&P Global Services PMI fell from 56.8 to 52.9, still exceeding projections of 52.8. Money markets are now pricing in 52 basis points (bps) of Fed rate cuts in 2025.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is sideways around 2855 - 2882, accumulating and will continue to go up: resistance price zone to pay attention to: 2900
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2898 - $2900 SL $2905
TP1: $2890
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2850
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2832 - $2834 SL $2827
TP1: $2840
TP2: $2850
TP3: $2860
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
INTRA DAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE OF XAUUSDSupport Zone
2854-2859
Pivot
2854.00
CURRENT TREND
Long positions above 2854.00 with targets at 2879.00 & 2890.00 in extension.
BREAKOUT
Below 2854.00 look for further downside with 2840.00 & 2830.00 as targets.
The next resistances are at 2879.00 and then at 2894.00.
Supports and resistances
2900.00
2890.00
2879.00
2867.09
2854.00
2840.00
2830.00
XAUUSD OUTLOOK for today 1-28-2025.This trading chart, specifically analyzing the price movements of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe. The chart includes multiple technical analysis elements:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
A resistance zone is marked in the range of $2,751 - $2,758.
A support zone is identified around $2,720 - $2,734.
2. Trend Lines and Entry Zones:
An ascending trendline (blue) suggests a short-term uptrend.
Two entry zones are highlighted:
The upper entry zone (~$2,751 - $2,758) suggests a potential sell entry.
The lower entry zone (~$2,734 - $2,741) suggests a possible buy entry.
3. Price Projections (Black Lines):
The chart outlines a possible bullish breakout from the current consolidation pattern.
If the price reaches the upper entry zone, a reversal (downward movement) is expected.
The projection suggests a potential decline toward the lower entry zone and possibly further down.
4. Volume:
The volume bars at the bottom indicate trading activity.
Potential Trading Strategy Based on the Chart:
Bullish Scenario: If the price sustains above the purple horizontal resistance, it could indicate further upward movement toward the upper entry zone (~$2,758).
Bearish Scenario: A fake breakout at the upper entry zone could signal a sell opportunity, leading to a drop toward $2,734 or lower.
This chart is likely used for short-term trading decisions, applying a combination of trendlines, resistance levels, and price action analysis.
ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS AND TAKE PROFIT WHEN TRADE ACTIVE AND ALSO USE PROPER
MONEY MANAGEMENT OR RISK MANAGEMENT.
XAUUSD - Where will gold go?!US President Donald Trump has raised serious concerns among global economies and financial markets by threatening to impose punitive tariffs on the country’s largest trading partners. So far, he has imposed a 10% tariff on goods imported from China, delayed the implementation of 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, and indicated that the European Union will be the next target of his trade policies. However, beyond the political hype, tariffs have important practical and economic effects.
Tariffs are actually a type of tax on imported goods that, like other taxes, are a source of revenue for the government. Many countries impose these taxes to protect domestic production, as tariffs increase the price of foreign goods and therefore strengthen the competitiveness of domestic products. Trump, however, is using this tool not only to support domestic industries but also as leverage in his foreign policy. One example of this policy is his decision to postpone the imposition of new tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, which was made after the two countries agreed to implement stricter measures to control immigration and combat drug trafficking at their common borders.
Tariffs were once a major source of revenue for the US government, but their share has declined significantly over the past century. According to an analysis of official data by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, as of last year, tariffs accounted for less than 3 percent of total federal revenue.
If the tariffs were to be permanently imposed, as Trump initially proposed, the total additional costs to American importers over the next decade could reach $1.1 trillion. The nonpartisan Tax Foundation estimates that the policy could lead to tax increases of up to $110 billion by 2025 alone. The think tank also estimates that tariffs on China, which began under Trump and expanded under Biden, currently generate $77 billion in revenue for the U.S. government annually.
Economic studies show that ultimately, American consumers and businesses will bear the brunt of these tariffs. While some foreign producers may lower their prices or accept some of the costs from American importers, in many cases, companies will raise the prices of their goods to compensate for the additional costs, and those costs will be passed on to consumers.
A look at recent U.S.-China trade relations provides a clear example of the impact of tariffs. During Trump’s first term, he imposed a series of tariffs on Chinese imports, including steel, aluminum, and industrial engines. The policy has reduced China’s share of U.S. imports from about 20 percent in 2018 to 14 percent by 2023.
Meanwhile, official demand for gold continues to play a major role in the precious metal’s market, keeping prices near record levels. It’s not just emerging market central banks buying gold to protect their currencies.
Krishan Gopal, senior analyst for Europe, the Middle East, and Africa at the World Gold Council, pointed to data released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in a social media post that showed Taiwan’s central bank increased its gold reserves in October. According to the report, the official gold reserves of the Central Bank of Taiwan reached 424 tons three months ago.
Despite the recent volatility in the gold market, analysts believe that the continued purchases of central banks will continue to be the main factor in maintaining the bullish trend of the precious metal. Joy Yang, global head of index product management at MarketVector Indexes, said that with the increasing geopolitical uncertainties caused by Trump’s economic policies and the slogan of “America First”, central banks are looking for more neutral assets to preserve the value of their reserves. According to him, these policies of the Trump administration have made gold a more attractive option for countries that want to protect themselves against economic risks and reduce their dependence on the US dollar and Treasuries.
Katie Kriski, commodity market strategist at Invesco, also believes that the high demand for gold by central banks continues to create significant value for retail investors. He also predicted that this trend will not stop in the near future, citing the People’s Bank of China as one of the most prominent examples of this behavior in the global gold market.
Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A correction towards the demand zone for gold will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
which is the next stop of xauusd?Technical Perspective: Gold's Bullish Trend
Current Trend
Gold’s bullish trend remains intact, with strong price action maintaining upward momentum.
The precious metal has successfully breached the $2,850 level, signaling potential for a move toward $2,900.
Bullish Channel
Gold is trading within a well-defined bullish channel, which provides:
Strong Support: At $2,835.
Resistance Zone: Between $2,875 and $2,900.
Key Indicator:
As long as Gold holds above the $2,835 support level, the bullish momentum is expected to persist.
Anticipated Trading Range (Today)
Support: $2,835.
Resistance: $2,875.
The market is likely to continue testing these boundaries in the short term.
Potential Breakout
The technical setup suggests a high likelihood of breaking higher if additional external factors provide support, such as:
Weaker Economic Data: Signals from U.S. economic reports.
Dovish Fed Commentary: Hints at further interest rate cuts or accommodative monetary policy
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Continuation with Key Targets This chart shows a bullish trend for gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with price respecting an upward trendline and staying above key moving averages. A possible buy zone is identified near the trendline support, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
The first target is set around 2,880, while the second target extends to 2,901. The structure indicates break-of-structure (BOS) and change-of-character (ChoCh) points, confirming bullish momentum. If price holds above the buy zone, further upside movement toward the targets is likely. A break below the trendline could signal a short-term cor OANDA:XAUUSD rection.