Gold Trend and PatternsTrend and Patterns
Long-term trend: Based on the latest analysis, the XAUUSD pair shows mixed signals. On the one hand, there are forecasts for a possible rise in the gold price to $2900-$3000 levels in 2025, after which a significant drop to $1700-$1500 is expected. On the other hand, current analyses point to a possible continuation of the uptrend in the short term.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: Important support levels include areas around 2607 and 2638.88 where there is buying interest.
Resistance: Resistance levels include 2663, 2680.35, and a higher level around 2720, which may restrain further price gains.
Indicators and Oscillators
Fibonacci: The use of Fibonacci levels shows that the pair is testing pullback levels such as 38.2% and 61.8%, which may provide signals for market entry.
Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis shows that retail traders are often in long positions, which may indicate the possibility of counter-trend trading.
Conclusion
The XAUUSD pair has exhibited volatility typical of precious metals this year, with possible upside and downside scenarios. Strong support and resistance levels indicate potential entry and exit points for trading. It is important to keep an eye on the key levels mentioned above, as well as macroeconomic news that can significantly influence the gold price.
Xauusdlong
Continue to be bullish, buy above 2683 todayGold maintains a bullish trend structure intact, and the daily chart continues to close strongly. The price runs along the middle and upper rail channel of the Bollinger Bands, and the MA10/7-day moving average continues to open upward and gradually moves up to 2668/80, and the RSI indicator turns upward above the middle axis. The short-term four-hour moving average system also keeps opening upward, and the price gradually moves up along the high point of the 10-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands keep opening upward and the price runs in the middle and upper rail channel.
There is no change in the technical side, buy at a low price, and the trend is rising. Gold is strong in the Asian session, gold has broken through the previous high point, and gold bulls are better. Gold bulls have broken the shock pattern. Since gold bulls are stronger, then take advantage of the bulls.
Gold's 1-hour moving average has entered the golden cross upward pattern again. After falling last night, gold has bottomed out and rebounded again, and set a new high. Gold fell to 2676 in the US market and then bottomed out and rebounded. The gold moving average support moved up to 2683. Buy on dips above 2683. You can enter the market first when gold falls back to 2685.
First support: 2690, second support: 2683, third support: 2672
First resistance: 2708, second resistance: 2718, third resistance: 2730
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2683-2685
SELL: 2718-2720
XAU ! Scalping ! break trend price increase towards 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Eased concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed trade tariffs have bolstered investor confidence, as reflected in the generally positive sentiment across equity markets. Additionally, the strong US jobs report has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate cuts later this month.
This has kept US Treasury bond yields elevated, which could limit traders' appetite for aggressive bullish positions on non-yielding Gold. Attention now shifts to upcoming US consumer inflation data for fresh market direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
M15 short term frame - shows price broke 2680 zone and is trending up stronger
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2697 - $2699 SL $2704
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bulls - Gold price increases! 2698⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices remain resilient despite elevated US real yields, which hover around 2.34%.
The US Dollar softened following the data release, with the Dollar Index (DXY) slipping 0.26% to 109.21. Meanwhile, the US 10-year Treasury bond yield held steady at 4.794%.
In December, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 3.3% year-over-year, slightly below the anticipated 3.4%. Excluding volatile components, Core PPI increased by 3.5% annually, improving from November’s figures but falling short of the 3.8% forecast.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Expected increase 2698, buying pressure is supported, sideway price zone 2670 to accumulate
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2647 - $2645 SL $2640
TP1: $2652
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2670
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2697 - $2699 SL $2704
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2684 - $2686 SL $2689 scalping ( Asian and European sessions)
TP1: $2678
TP2: $2674
TP3: $2668
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold is rising!If we look closely at the gold chart, we have broken a good pattern up and we have an untouched point as a target. We expect to move towards the specified target after a short correction. Of course, next week the correction may be much smaller than expected! Selling deals are a bit more risky at the moment
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Daily/Monthly Long Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Long position initiated within a high-confluence zone supported by multiple technical and structural factors.
- Confluence Factors:
- Daily/Monthly Buy Signal: Higher timeframe signals indicate strong bullish momentum and continuation potential.
- Trendline Support: Price has respected a long-term ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Entry aligns with a daily FVG in a discount zone, offering a high-probability long opportunity.
- Kijun Support: Both daily and weekly Kijun lines provide additional support confluence.
- Liquidity Zone: Recent sweep of liquidity below equal lows clears the path for a bullish reversal.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set below the trendline and daily FVG for tight risk management.
- 1:3 RRR targeting the weak high at 2,910 , with secondary targets near 3,000 for extended profits.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Safe-haven demand for gold is rising amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty, aligning with bullish technical signals.
- Dollar Weakness: Weakening USD supports upside momentum in XAUUSD.
- Volume Profile: Strong buy-side volume near key support levels indicates institutional participation.
Execution Plan:
- Long entry near the confluence zone of the trendline, FVG, and Kijun support.
- Maintain stop-loss below the daily FVG to manage risk effectively.
- First target near 2,910 , with extended targets at 3,000 for partial or full profit-taking.
- Reassess position if price closes below the trendline or invalidates the daily buy signal.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic events such as interest rate announcements or geopolitical developments that could affect gold prices. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
GOLD Awaits Breakout Amid Key Data Releases!
GOLD is forming a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout soon. The price is consolidating near the 2675-2681 resistance zone, a key area to watch.
The PPI data released yesterday slightly disappointed dollar buyers, offering support to the forex market and causing a small correction in gold. Looking ahead, CPI data could bring further support to the market and drive volatility.
If GOLD breaks above 2681, we could see an upward move toward higher levels. However, a failure to hold above this zone may trigger a bearish breakdown toward lower supports.
Resistance: 2675, 2681, 2690
Support: 2667, 2656
The triangle’s apex suggests a decisive move is imminent.
Watch the CPI data and stay alert for the breakout! 🚨
XAU/USD – Key Support and Upside Potential
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a strong bullish structure, with prices recently bouncing off a major support zone around $2,660. This area, reinforced by the 200 EMA, has acted as a strong foundation for the next potential rally.
The chart highlights:
📌 Support Zone: Key demand area providing stability for a bullish continuation.
📈 Trend Channel: Prices moving within an ascending channel, signaling a steady uptrend.
🚀 Next Target: If momentum sustains, we could see a move toward the $2,720 level.
Stay cautious of any retracements, but the technical suggest the bulls are in control for now. Keep an eye on these levels for your next move!
SCALPING ! GOLD ! Gold accumulates at price range 2670⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to resolve the conflict in Ukraine and announced plans to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin "very soon" after assuming office next week.
The US has indicated progress toward a ceasefire deal, with Hamas reporting positive developments in negotiations. According to two Israeli officials, the agreement's first phase would involve Hamas releasing 33 hostages.
Meanwhile, investors await key US inflation data for further direction, starting with the Producer Price Index today, followed by consumer inflation figures on Wednesday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price range 2665 - 2675 sideway waiting for PPI news today, uptrend is waiting ahead
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2656 - $2658 SL $2653 scalping
TP1: $2662
TP2: $2667
TP3: $2675
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAUUSD
The price broke out of a strong intraday resistance zone and a long-used Trendline but we have yet to retest the broken structure.
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken resistance and used as support before I look for a LONG trade.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold adjusted down waiting for PPI today⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) saw some buying interest during the Asian session on Tuesday, recovering part of the previous day's pullback from near a one-month high reached last week. Reports suggesting that US President-elect Donald Trump's economic team is considering a gradual implementation of tariffs to avoid a sharp rise in inflation led to a slight retreat in US Treasury bond yields, offering support to the non-yielding metal. However, the recovery lacks a clear catalyst and is likely to remain limited due to expectations of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Short-term frame - need to adjust down to create liquidity, sideway has enough strength to increase more strongly
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2646 - $2644 SL $2639
TP1: $2652
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2670
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2697 - $2699 SL $2704
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2678 - $2680 SL $2683 scalping Asian and European sessions
TP1: $2674
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2665
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU/USD Gold Long Trade before 20-Jan-2025The market is showing a bullish move according to technical analysis, before 20-jan-2025, the market can either take support from the small trend line and go bullish or retest the zone of 2630 and give a bullish move. This analysis is only for learning purposes. Please calculate your risk before making any trade. The bullish side target is 2730 before 20th Jan 2025.
1/14 Gold Trading StrategiesTrading Strategy:
SELL 2677-2684
TP 2664-2652
Resistance is located between 2677 and 2684, while support is between 2656 and 2648.
On the 1-hour chart, this pullback has not broken below the support zone, so the overall trend remains bullish. During this rebound, the key resistance lies in the 2677-2684 range. If the resistance is not broken, a retest of the support becomes inevitable. Based on the current indicators and market structure, the probability of a breakout seems low. Therefore, the trading strategy is to focus on shorting around the resistance zone.
Gold continues to move up at the beginning of the week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) faced selling pressure during the Asian session on Monday, ending a four-day rally that brought the metal to a one-month high near $2,700 on Friday. The strong US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report has bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will pause its rate-cutting cycle this month. This has kept US Treasury bond yields elevated at over a year high and the US Dollar near a two-year peak, weighing on the non-yielding Gold.
At the same time, hawkish Fed expectations and ongoing geopolitical tensions are curbing risk appetite, reflected in weaker equity markets, which provides some support for safe-haven Gold. However, traders may await stronger signals before concluding that Gold's three-week upward trend has reversed. Attention now shifts to the upcoming US inflation data for fresh insights and potential market direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Long term uptrend, gold sideways at the beginning of the week and accumulation waiting to reach above 2700
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2662 - $2664 SL $2657
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2690
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2703 - $2705 SL $2710
TP1: $2695
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
xauusd 1hr chart analysisTechnical Analysis
Key Levels
Support:
Primary Support: $2,675- 2680, a crucial level that has consistently held over the past weeks.
Secondary Support: A breakdown below $2,675 could lead to further declines toward $2,669 and $2,663
Resistance:
Primary Resistance: $2,693–$2,700, a zone gold must clear to confirm bullish momentum.
Extended Target: A sustained move above $2,703 could push gold toward $2,713 or higher, with the long-term target near $2,723
Price Action:
Gold has been consolidating around $2,650, indicating indecision in the market. Traders are awaiting a catalyst for a breakout in either direction
Indicators:
RSI: Neutral, indicating no overbought or oversold conditions.
Moving Averages: Gold is trading near its 50-day moving average, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Suggests the current correction phase might end soon, potentially paving the way for an upward movement