XAUUSD swing failure with FVGpotential short setup, loads of liquidity from 8th of july sell off, if no retest before reaching local new lows ( mid range of target) look for continuation buys
Xauusdlong
XAUUSD Loses Short-Term Support – Deeper Decline May FollowAt the current moment, gold (XAUUSD) has made a significant breakout, surpassing the key resistance zone at 3,326 USD and is now trading around 3,328.94 USD. This breakout confirms that the short-term bullish trend remains strong.
1. Short-Term Trend: Bullish Momentum Expands
After holding the key support zone around 3,311 – 3,315 USD (aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement), XAUUSD bounced back and broke above the previous high at 3,326 USD. The current uptrend is confirmed by higher lows and a clear breakout candle from the recent consolidation.
2. Updated Support and Resistance Zones:
Immediate Support: 3,318 – 3,320 USD, near the rising yellow trendline and breakout retest zone.
Next Resistance Target: No clear barrier on the 15-min chart, but psychological levels and Fibonacci extensions suggest 3,332 – 3,335 USD could act as the next upside targets.
3. Price Action Highlights:
The breakout candle closed strongly above the 3.618 Fibonacci extension level (3,326.26 USD), showing solid buying pressure.
A bullish signal ("B") from LuxAlgo was triggered near the minor pullback at 3,318 USD, adding further confirmation.
4. Key Technical Signals:
Price has broken out of the purple rectangle consolidation zone, expanding its trading range.
The 0.618 Fibonacci level at 3,311.78 USD continues to act as firm support.
The ascending yellow trendline remains intact, providing dynamic support to the bullish trend.
5. Suggested Trading Strategy:
Buy on Pullback: Consider long positions around 3,318 – 3,320 USD if price retests this zone with bullish confirmation.
Breakout Continuation Buy: A firm close above 3,330 USD with high volume could signal a move toward 3,335 – 3,340 USD.
If price falls below 3,315 USD and closes weakly, the bullish momentum may begin to fade.
XAUUSD is in an extended bullish phase after breaching the 3,326 USD resistance. As long as price holds above the 3,318 – 3,320 USD zone, there is room for the uptrend to continue.
Do you think gold will break above 3,330 USD? Drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s discuss trading strategies together!
XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity PlayFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
🔍 Analysis Overview:
Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations:
📌 NOTES:
The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior.
Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers.
This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops.
My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap.
📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower.
The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup.
💡 Conclusion:
If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #TrendlineBreak #MarketPsychology #TradingSetup #SMC #PriceAction
BULLISH H4 MOMENTUM ACTIVATED...?📊 Pattern & Structure:
The chart shows a downward channel (falling wedge) pattern that has recently been broken to the upside, indicating a bullish breakout.
The breakout is clean, with a sharp upward move, confirming the reversal from the bearish trend.
🔍 Key Levels Identified:
Support Zone:
142.284 – 141.790 (marked with an orange box)
This zone acted as a strong demand/support area.
Price bounced strongly after reaching this zone.
Immediate Resistance Levels:
145.799 – Near-term resistance.
147.000 – 147.629 – Key resistance zone (highlighted with a red horizontal line).
148.725 – Final bullish target/resistance on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario (highlighted with arrows and wave projection):
Price has broken out of the falling wedge, retested, and is pushing higher.
Target zone: 147.000–148.725.
The chart suggests a bullish projection, with further gains expected if the price sustains above 145.47.
Start buying gold, a rebound may come at any time!Gold is undoubtedly weak at present, and bears have the upper hand. However, since gold touched the 3290-3280 area, gold bears have made more tentative moves, but have never really fallen below the 3290-3280 area, proving that as gold continues to fall, bears have become more cautious.
From the perspective of gold structure, multiple technical structural supports are concentrated in the 3285-3275 area, which makes it difficult for gold to fall below this area easily. After gold has failed to fall below this area, gold is expected to build a short-term bottom structure with the help of multiple supports in this area, thereby stimulating bulls to exert their strength and a rebound may come at any time.
Therefore, in the short term, I do not advocate chasing short gold; instead, I prefer to try to find the bottom and go long gold in the 3290-3280 area; but we should note that because gold is currently in an obvious short trend, we should appropriately reduce the expectation of gold rebound, so we can appropriately look at the rebound target: 3305-3315 area.
4-Hour Chart Strategy: Sell High, Buy Low Within 3280-3325 RangeBased on the 4-hour analysis 😎, today's short-term resistance above focuses on the hourly top-bottom conversion level around 3318-3324 🚫. If there's an intraday rebound leaning on this zone, first go short to target a pullback ⬇️. The short-term support below is around 3280 🔍. Overall, rely on the 3280-3325 range to maintain the main strategy of "shorting at highs and buying at lows" in cycles ✅. For prices in the middle of the range, always watch more and act less 👀, be cautious of chasing orders 🚫, and wait patiently for key levels to enter positions 🕙
Strategy：
🚀 Buy @3280 - 3285
🚀 TP 3290 - 3295 - 3305
🚀 Sell @3320 - 3315
🚀 TP 3310 - 3305 - 3295
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold price drops to 3250Today's daily line is in the negative, rebounding in the morning, and the high point yesterday morning was 3310, and the bearish point is also at this point. It is higher than the 382 line of yesterday's decline and rebound, 3307. After the morning rebound, the current decline formed a morning downward trend. The watershed is 3308-10, today's short stop loss position. The market fell in the morning, and the strength of the rebound should not be strong. The top and bottom conversion position is 3297-98. The European session broke the bottom, and the US session continued to fall. The next double bottom support is around 3275. If the rebound is in place, it is still bearish, and the decline continues. 3258-60 line.
Big day for xauusd (gold)today fed (fomc ) will change the game , so i provide the level on chart. please check that levels . chart say #xauusd touch the level 3264 on negative news that level for buy and positive news for #gold 3296 and 3307 level and next t day 3328 and 3343 . so all thing on fed sir. and i am going for buy . thanks
gold on buy retrace#XAUUSD buy on 2 times breakout above 3300. The bullish needs formation there to start buying.
Buy limit 3300 on 2 times breakout, target 3316-3328, stop loss 3290.
Below 3287 holds bearish continuation if the m30-H1 closes below there target 3267.
GOLD Intraday H2 Chart update for 9 July 2025Hello Traders
as you can see that we have strong resistance on 3310 level only break above that level will consider bullish move
Below 3300 Psychological level market remains Bearish and move towards 3245 level
FOMC Meeting minutes dues today
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAUUSD 15Min – Bullish Reaction from Demand Zone | SMC AnalysisSmart Money Concept (SMC) Analysis
Price has tapped into a clearly defined 4H Demand Zone (highlighted in green) with multiple rejections. Prior liquidity was swept below the 3288 region, trapping early sellers and grabbing institutional interest. This is a classic liquidity grab + demand zone confluence.
🔹 Entry: 3290 – Inside Demand Zone
🔹 SL: 3282 – Below Liquidity Sweep
🔹 TP: 3320 – Targeting Last Broken Structure (Break of Structure)
🧠 Smart Money Clues:
Liquidity grab under the lows ✅
Clean rejection wick ✅
BOS (Break of Structure) above needed for confirmation
Anticipating move back to 3320.57 (blue line) – previous SMC mitigation level
🟢 If price breaks above 3300 with strong volume, more upside is likely.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SMC #DemandZone #LiquidityGrab #TradingView #ForexSignals
Focus on the Fed meeting minutesFrom a technical perspective, the trend of gold is obviously weak. In the morning trading yesterday, the price of gold failed to continue the previous day's rise, and the rebound high kept moving down. After breaking the key support level during the US trading session, it accelerated downward, and the daily line closed with a big negative line, and the short-selling force had the upper hand. Today's closing situation is crucial. If it continues to close with a negative line, the short-term downward trend may be established. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting will also bring new variables to the gold market. The policy direction may further affect the trend of gold prices. At present, the upper resistance is 3303-3308, and the lower support is 3284-3278. It is recommended to do more on the callback.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to do more on the callback of 3280-3275, with a target of 3295-3307 and a stop loss of 3370.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis : Structural Analysis + TargetGold is currently trading near $3,292 on the 30-minute timeframe, showing classic signs of accumulation and compression within a well-respected descending channel. The current price action is approaching a critical decision zone, and the market is offering potential clues for both short-term and swing traders.
🔎 Detailed Breakdown of Chart Elements:
🔷 1. Descending Channel & Dynamic Support
Gold has been moving inside a falling channel, with price repeatedly reacting to both the upper and lower boundaries.
The lower boundary of the channel, currently acting as support, has been tested multiple times, suggesting a strong buying interest at this level.
This channel also aligns with the broader downtrend structure, giving sellers confidence while also creating interest for counter-trend buyers looking for reversal setups.
📐 2. Trendline Pressure and Compression
A downward sloping trendline, drawn from the recent swing highs, continues to apply bearish pressure.
Price is squeezing between the channel support and this descending trendline — a tight range compression, which often precedes a volatile breakout.
The analysis notes: “We have to wait for a trendline breakout” – this is a crucial technical signal that will determine the next move.
🚧 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Zones
Two potential bullish BOS (Break of Structure) levels have been identified:
Minor BOS (~$3,300):
A break above this level may signal short-term bullish intent and invalidate minor lower highs.
Early confirmation for buyers to enter with tight risk management.
Major BOS (~$3,310):
This is the key swing high which, if broken, would invalidate the current bearish structure and flip market sentiment bullish.
A strong bullish candle closing above this level could signal the start of a larger upward leg.
📍 4. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Area: $3,320 – $3,330)
This zone represents a strong supply area where previous price action saw heavy selling.
If bulls manage to clear the BOS zones, this area becomes the next target/resistance.
Price reaching this level could lead to a pullback, making it an ideal area for partial take-profits or reassessment of continuation trades.
📈 5. Scenario Planning & Strategy
✅ Bullish Bias (If Breakout Occurs):
Wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline and Minor BOS with volume.
Ideal long entry would be on the retest of the trendline (now acting as support).
First target: Major BOS, then extend to the Reversal Zone.
Stop-loss can be placed below the channel support or latest swing low.
🚫 Bearish Continuation (If No Breakout):
If price fails to break above the trendline and continues to reject at resistance, sellers may look to short the retest of the trendline.
Targets can be set at the channel's lower boundary or previous lows.
Confirmation: Bearish engulfing patterns, rejection wicks, or divergence.
🧠 Technical Summary & Outlook
Gold is currently in a neutral to slightly bullish consolidation, showing early signs of demand at the bottom of the channel. The market is in "wait-and-watch" mode — traders should focus on the trendline breakout, which will serve as the trigger for directional bias.
The structure is clean, zones are well defined, and potential is high for both scalping and intraday setups. Traders are advised to stay patient and follow price action confirmation before entering trades.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,285 (Channel Base)
Trendline Resistance: ~$3,294–$3,296
Minor BOS: ~$3,300
Major BOS: ~$3,310
Reversal Zone (Supply): $3,320 – $3,330
Gold Recovery Trade As gold moved around 500 pips on last day. The pull back seems good and this trade's possibility will be good and a good Risk Reward ratio. Keep your risk small if you want to take the trade. This isn't an investment advice this is a probability analysis. Which according to market structure seems good.
There is still a chance to rebound from the bottomFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support line of 3287-3295 is concerned below, the short-term resistance line of 3316-24 is concerned above, and the watershed of 3345-50 is concerned. The overall main tone of participation in the high-altitude and low-long cycle remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy in the link, so pay attention in time.
7/9: Failure to Break Above 3321 May Lead to a Drop Toward 3220Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold tested support and attempted a rebound but failed to break through resistance, followed by a second leg down that broke the support zone, invalidating the potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and resulting in a drop below the 3300 level.
On the daily (1D) chart, price has now broken below the MA60, signaling a further confirmation of the bearish structure.
However, due to the sharp drop, a double bottom or multi-bottom structure is forming on the 30-minute chart, which may be building momentum for a potential test of the 3321 resistance zone.
📌 Key focus areas:
If 3321 is broken and held, there is room for a short-term rebound to extend;
If 3321 holds as resistance, the current rebound is likely a short-selling opportunity.
Technically speaking, without the support of bullish news, if gold fails to reclaim and sustain above 3321, there is a strong chance of a further move lower—potentially down to 3220, where the weekly MA20 is located. A deeper decline could even test the 3200–3168 support zone.
📉 Therefore, the primary trading bias remains bearish, with sell-on-rebound as the preferred strategy until a stronger bullish signal emerges. Monitor the 3321 zone closely for direction confirmation.
Will gold continue to rise if it accelerates its decline?Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction. The current long-short watershed is at the 3390 mark. If the gold price cannot effectively break through and stand above 3315, the short-term rebound can be regarded as a good opportunity to enter a short position. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price has received support after touching 3287 and slowly repaired the decline, but it is still in a volatile pattern in the near future. Although the 3287 support is effective, the oscillation range has not been broken. The future direction needs to pay attention to the actual defense strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range break. The operation suggestion on Wednesday is to rebound high as the dominant strategy. The upper resistance area focuses on the 3315-3320 range, where short positions can be arranged. The downward targets are 3270 and the key support level 3260. If 3260 is effectively broken, it may open up a larger downward space.
XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money Concept (SMC) SetupPrice action on the 4H chart shows a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) at the 3,320 level, marking a shift from a bearish trend into potential bullish order flow. This CHoCH is supported by a strong break of internal structure followed by a pullback.
🧠 Smart Money Insight:
CHoCH Zone (Break of Structure): Price broke the previous lower high, confirming possible bullish intent.
POI (Point of Interest): A refined 4H demand zone sits between 3,280–3,310, aligning with a previous accumulation area. Price is currently approaching this zone with decreasing momentum (potential liquidity sweep below minor lows).
Liquidity Grab: Several equal lows were formed before the POI — prime setup for a liquidity sweep before a bullish push.
Refined Entry Zone: Based on candle wicks and order block imbalance.
🎯 Trade Idea:
🟢 Entry: Wait for bullish reaction or confirmation inside the POI zone (3,295–3,305)
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: 3,380 (reaction level)
TP2: 3,420–3,440 (major supply zone + inefficiency)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3,270 (invalidates demand zone and structure)
📈 Bias: Bullish unless POI fails
🔍 Confluences:
✅ 4H CHoCH Confirmed
✅ Price approaching refined demand zone
✅ Liquidity resting below recent lows
✅ Previous imbalance not yet filled
✅ Clean supply zone overhead (TP target)
💬 Conclusion:
This is a clean SMC-based long setup. We are waiting for price to tap into demand and show bullish intent before entry. Strong probability of reversal into premium pricing zone if structure holds.
📍Drop a like if you caught this setup or save it to monitor the reaction!
Wednesday's Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsGold surged on Tuesday but then kept pulling back during the U.S. session, hitting a recent new low, with intense seesawing between bulls and bears currently. The fluctuating U.S. tariff policies have triggered volatility in risk-averse sentiment, while the over 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July has provided support to the U.S. dollar.
Technically, focus should be on the key support level around 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows short-term moving averages diverging downward, with candlesticks under pressure and showing short-term weakness, suggesting there is still a need for a pullback tomorrow. The current bull-bear watershed lies at the 3390 mark; if gold fails to break through and stabilize above 3315 effectively, any short-term rebound can be seen as a good opportunity to enter short positions.
The 4-hour chart indicates that gold found support near 3287 and slowly recovered losses, but it remains trapped in a consolidation pattern recently. Although the 3287 support is effective, the consolidation range has not been broken. The future direction depends on the actual defensive strength of the 3260 support level and the direction of the range breakout.
For Wednesday's trading, the main strategy is to go short on rebounds. Focus on the resistance zone of 3315-3320, where short positions can be established. The downside targets are 3270 and the key support level of 3260 in sequence. If 3260 is broken through effectively, it may open up more downward space.
XAUUSD
sell@3315-3320
tp:3300-3280-3260
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
The intraday low has already appeared, so go long on gold boldlyGold unexpectedly fell sharply to around 3287. To be honest, the short position is relatively strong. However, since gold fell below 3000, we can clearly see that gold has shown strong resistance to falling during the decline, and the volatility tends to converge around 3287, proving that the buying support below is strong; and as gold continues to retreat, the off-market wait-and-see funds will be more willing to go long on gold; and some short positions will be more willing to go long on gold after profit taking;
In addition, although the short position is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term. The intraday decline is basically in place. It is estimated that 3287 is the intraday low, so at this stage, it is inconvenient for us to continue to chase short gold. On the contrary, we can boldly go long on gold in the 3305-3295 area and look at the target area: 3320-3330.
Gold is still in rangeGold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. The price has fallen from the historical high of 3500 to 3120 in the first round this year. After rising to 3452, it is currently in the second round of downward cycle. The mid-term top idea is maintained, and the operating target is 3120;
The non-agricultural data at the end of last week was under pressure at 3365, and it dropped to 3296 on Monday and rebounded. It broke the high overnight, and the daily chart closed positive. The K-line combination is in a volatile arrangement. In the short term, it will maintain consolidation below 3365; short-term support is 3330-3326, and strong support is 3320-3316; short-term resistance is 3350-3358, and strong resistance is 3365;
7/8: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern, Support at 3321–3312Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke below the 3321 support during the session, dropped to around 3296, then staged a strong rebound back toward the opening price—forming a classic deep V-shaped reversal and regaining support above the MA60 on the daily chart.
The market remains in a consolidation phase between the MA20 and MA60 on the 1D chart, with no clear directional breakout yet.
On the 30-minute chart, the previous head-and-shoulders top pattern has been completed with the recent decline. The current structure can be tentatively viewed as the formation of a head-and-shoulders bottom.
If this bullish reversal pattern holds:
The 3321 level must act as valid support during any pullback; deeper confirmation may come from 3312, which corresponds to the previous left shoulder low. Although this was partially driven by a data-related spike, most candle bodies remained around 3321—so 3321 is the primary support, and 3312 is the backup.
If confirmed, the price may advance toward the 3360 target zone.
If the pattern fails, watch for the development of a double bottom formation, with MA60 on the daily chart remaining a key support level.
📌 For today, focus on trading within the 3312–3352 range, using a buy-low/sell-high approach, and stay flexible in response to evolving chart patterns.
Will gold continue to fall?Judging from the current trend of gold, it is weak in the early trading and continues to break lows in the European trading. Then there will be a second bottoming action in the US trading. Pay attention to the 3330 and 3335 areas for short selling before the US trading. Pay attention to the two support levels of 3318-3315 below. The market changes in real time, and it is recommended to operate in real time according to my prompts before the trading!
