Gold shocks extreme pull, US market layout🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy we have given is still valid. The current gold price trend on the hourly chart shows a standard descending flag pattern. If this pattern continues to be effective, there is a high possibility that the gold price will fall below 3285-3280. Once it falls below this range, as we gave in the strategy this morning, it may fall to the 3260-3250 line. However, the premise for this expectation to be established is that the gold price cannot break through and stabilize on the upper track of the consolidation channel, otherwise the descending flag pattern will be invalid. Therefore, for US market operations, short positions can be arranged around the upper rail of 3325, paying attention to the suppression effect; for the lower rail, first pay attention to the support effect of 3300.
sell 3325-3330
TP 3310-3300
buy 3290-3280
TP 3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Xauusdlong
Gold bears will dominate the marketFrom the market point of view, the delay of the Fed's policy shift and the mitigation of geopolitical risks have a double-kill effect: on the one hand, high interest rates limit the attractiveness of gold; on the other hand, the retreat of safe-haven buying has intensified selling pressure. In the short term, pay attention to the support of the 3240-3250 range. If it fails, it may drop to the psychological level of 3200; but after oversold, be wary of technical rebounds. The 3280-3300 line above will become a key resistance. Be cautious in chasing orders, and the trend is mainly rebound shorting.
Gold recommendation: short near the rebound of 3282-3287, stop loss 3295, target 3253
Trade Idea:XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT )📉 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
🔹 H4 Chart (Macro Bias)
• Trend Context: Price is still broadly in an uptrend on the H4, but it’s testing the 50 SMA from above.
• MACD: Bearish crossover below the signal line suggests waning bullish momentum.
• Volume: Slight uptick in bearish volume as price pulls back from the recent highs.
• Bias: Neutral to Bearish Short-Term (H4 trend remains up, but weakening).
🔹 M15 Chart (Setup Zone)
• Structure: A sharp selloff broke both the 20 SMA and 50 SMA.
• Momentum: RSI ~16, oversold—but that can persist in strong trends.
• Volume: Large spike on the breakdown candle = strong bearish interest.
• ATR: 7.97 = elevated volatility.
• Bias: Bearish momentum, potential pullback retest opportunity.
🔹 M3 Chart (Execution Focus)
• Price Action: Freefall with clean rejections at the 20 SMA.
• Volume Spike: Bears in control, RSI also confirms momentum exhaustion but no reversal confirmation yet.
• Bias: Bearish with potential for bounce/pullback retest entry.
⸻
✅ Primary Trade Setup
Type: 🟥 Sell Limit
Rationale: Let price retrace into resistance before fading it, using structure for confirmation.
Entry Zone: 3270–3276 area (prior support becomes resistance near 20 SMA on M15 and 50 SMA on M3).
Stop Loss: Above structure high → 3283
Take Profit: Next key support zone ~3245–3250 (measured move + demand zone on M15/M3).
📌 Sell Limit Order
• Sell Limit @ 3273
• SL @ 3283
• TP @ 3248
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold hit bottom at 3250 and started to rebound?Gold opened at 3250 as expected and began to rebound. Gold opened at 3288, and rebounded after hitting the lowest level at 3250. So far, it has hit the highest level at 3260. The support below gold is still relatively strong, but the pressure above is also relatively large, and the volatility of gold is very large. We continue to pay attention to the support at 3250. In terms of operation, we will continue to buy if it does not break.
Gold 3325 Spell SuppressionFrom a technical perspective, the short-term bearish trend of gold is significant. On Wednesday, gold prices failed to hit the 3325 line several times, highlighting the strong resistance level in this area. In the four-hour analysis, the 3280-3270 range constitutes a key support. If it effectively falls below it, it may open up a deeper correction space; on the contrary, if it stands firm, it will maintain a volatile pattern. The current operation strategy is mainly high-altitude, focusing on short-selling opportunities after the rebound.
GOLD Breakout Retest – Long Setup with Strong Risk-Reward
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📝 Description:
Price has broken out of the descending trendline and is now retesting the breakout zone. A bullish reaction near the 3,285 support level indicates potential for a strong upside move. Entry is placed near the retest, with a tight stop loss and a high reward target around 3,360.
This setup offers a great risk-to-reward ratio and aligns with classic breakout-retest price action.
Technical Confluences:
Breakout of descending trendline
Retest of horizontal support zone
Bullish wick rejection
Volume spike confirmation
Always use proper risk management. This is not financial advice. 🔐
5/28 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold saw a sharp downward move, and we profited well by trading short based on the double-top pattern.
Yesterday, gold has reached the 3287 support area, and by the end of the U.S. session it rebounded slightly above 3300. Although the rebound lacks strong momentum, it does show that the support zone held on the first test. Whether the bulls can take back control depends heavily on today's follow-up strength.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
If bulls break above and hold 3323–3336, a bullish reversal is likely;
If the bounce is weak, short positions remain the preferred strategy;
4H support: 3268
Daily support: 3172
Before that, 3301–3275 also forms an important support zone;
If price breaks below 3301–3275, especially under negative news impact, a drop to 3150 or even 3100 is not out of the question.
🗞 Key News Focus Today:
Watch for May FOMC-related remarks during the U.S. session, which could become a catalyst for major market movement.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3342–3362 zone (strong resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3258–3248 zone (strong support)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3336 / 3328 / 3319 / 3306 / 3295 / 3286 / 3274 / 3266
Stay sharp and combine technicals with key news events to make informed trades. Feel free to reach out if you need support — wishing you a profitable day ahead!
Is gold going up or down?Gold is not so strong at the 4-hour level. The market encountered resistance and fell back at the upper track. Now the market has fallen and touched the lower track. The Bollinger Bands are not open and are flat, indicating that the market is in a short-term volatile trend. The lower support of 3280 just coincides with the lower track. The upper side focuses on the resistance near the middle track of 3325. If the pressure near the middle track of 3325 is broken, it can be seen to the upper track of 3365. If the market breaks below 3280, the market will weaken. At that time, it will be seen near 3250-3230. Intraday trading will be defensive at 3280 to see a rebound. The rise will gradually see 3325. Do not short at 3325.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold rebounds near 3325-3323, stop loss 3335, target 3305-3285; long gold falls back to 3285-3287, stop loss 3279, target 3300-3320;
Will gold rise if it fluctuates at a low level?On Tuesday, spot gold fell sharply during the day, falling more than 1%, and once fell below $3,290, but recovered some of its losses in the U.S. market, and finally closed down 1.26% at $3,299.91. U.S. Treasury yields fell back, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.449%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.987%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.2%. Although the market generally expects that the Fed will not cut interest rates in the near future, the recent gradual decline of the U.S. dollar index has limited the rebound space of gold. The gold daily line level includes a large negative line, the high price did not break the previous high, and the low price broke the previous low, showing a tailing trend, indicating that the gold shorts are relatively strong. In the short term, gold stabilized and fluctuated around $3,285, and tested upward many times. At the same time, it opened low at $3,292 today and then rose. The market outlook is expected to continue bullish. On the whole, the decline of gold has just touched the previous support level, and there is a probability of stabilization. In terms of operation, consider the pullback layout of long orders first, and high short orders as a supplement. Pay attention to the resistance of 3325-3347 US dollars on the top, and the support of 3300-3290 US dollars on the bottom.
XAUUSD Bullish Signal | Technical + Custom Algo📈
This signal is the result of a fusion between classic trend analysis and a proprietary algorithm I’ve personally developed.
First, the system identifies the market trend strictly through technical indicators — no emotional bias, no subjective interpretation.
Next, a custom-built intelligent algorithm analyzes the data to pinpoint optimal entry and exit points, then generates the signal.
🔍 The outcome? A fully data-driven signal — no guessing, no personal bias involved.
📌 Note: This signal is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
Geopolitics Fail to Lift Gold as Dollar Regains MomentumOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades near $3,300, respecting TL1 trendline resistance. A break below the $3,289 level may trigger a deeper pullback toward the key $3,247 support zone. On the flip side, reclaiming $3,315 could open the path toward $3,342 resistance.
On the news front, despite escalating Russia–Ukraine tensions and a record drone strike from Moscow, gold failed to gain. Risk sentiment improved after President Trump postponed the 50% EU tariff deadline, lifting both the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. U.S. consumer confidence also surprised to the upside at 98.0 in May, dampening safe-haven demand.
Markets now await the Fed’s May Meeting Minutes, which may reinforce the cautious hawkish stance. This poses near-term downside risk to gold if policy flexibility remains limited.
Resistance : $3,315 , $3,342
Support : $3,289 , $3,247
Gold Falls as Expected — Bearish Structure HoldsAfter today’s market open, gold entered the 3346–3358 resistance zone, but failed to maintain upward momentum.
As expected from yesterday’s analysis, the bearish pattern remained intact, and price turned lower.
🔔 Congrats to those who followed the plan — another profitable move locked in!
🔍 Current Market Outlook:
✅ Trend remains bearish, technicals do not currently support a bullish case;
✅ Key support zones:
First support: near 3306
Major zone: 3290–3280
Extended support: around 3260
📌 We’ll continue to focus on short setups as long as the bearish structure holds.
⚠️ Key Reminders:
The market won’t fall in a straight line — watch for temporary rebounds;
During rebounds, pay attention to support/resistance flips;
Be ready to adjust your strategy if the trend shifts!
📍 Important resistance levels:
3346–3338
3324–3318
(This has been highlighted multiple times — don’t ignore it.)
✅ Stick to the plan, adapt to the trend, and manage risk like a pro — that’s the key to consistent profits.
XAUUSD:Long trading ideas
On the whole, the easing of the trade end further reduces risk aversion, and the geopolitical situation supports the normalization. It is expected that gold will maintain a volatile pattern in the short term, and bullish in the medium and long term.
Below the strong support near 3288, back to step into the market can be more than a single rebound. (Those who hold long orders can add long positions at this position), the upper short target is 3320-25, then 3360.
So the trading strategy :BUY@3288-94 TP@3320-25
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
Analysis of gold trend at night and how to arrange it🗞News side:
1. Trump's view on Russia is not optimistic
2. Trump boasted in a post that his threat to impose tariffs on the EU worked
📈Technical aspects:
Gold does not seem to have a strong rebound. After touching 3305, the rebound momentum has weakened and it has been hovering between 3300-3290. Judging from the hourly chart, I think it is still in a state of correction. Then we may see another drop in the evening to accumulate momentum. This is why I chose to manually close the position near 3300 while waiting for the rebound just now. In the evening, bros can pay attention to the support line of 3280-3270 below to look for entry trading opportunities.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Finds Support in PRZ – $3,337 in Sight? As I expected in my previous idea , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved towards the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel.
Gold is moving near the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 can be complex . Confirmation of the end of the main wave 4 requires a break of the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) .
I expect Gold to move up after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the first target could be $3,314 and the second target could be $3,337 . If the momentum is high for Gold, you can consider higher targets for Gold to increase .
Note: If Gold touches $3,245 , we should expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold prices steady in recovery above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices fell over 0.50% on Monday, weighed down by reduced demand for safe-haven assets after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a delay in the imposition of tariffs on the European Union (EU). Trading activity remained subdued due to market closures in both the United States and the United Kingdom for public holidays. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,336.
Sentiment improved following Trump’s Sunday statement, which postponed the implementation of the 50% tariffs on EU goods to July 9. As a result, gold came under pressure, retreating after last week’s impressive 4.86% surge—its strongest weekly performance since early April.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to maintain the accumulation price range of 3300 - 3367, in recovery momentum
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3389- 3392 SL 3396
TP1: $3380
TP2: $3368
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3285- $3287 SL $3280
TP1: $3295
TP2: $3310
TP3: $3325
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD Update – 1H Confirmation/ 15 min Chart/ 3min Sell SetupGold failed to break above the Developing POC resistance and is now pulling back toward the demand zones marked on the chart.
At 3331.8, we entered a short position after the day's low was swept on the 3-minute timeframe, combined with our entry confirmations — resulting in a clean 1:3 R:R ✅
Now we’re waiting for price to reach the demand zones. If we get confirmation on lower timeframes, we’ll be looking to enter a long position.
🔔 The deeper price pulls into the lower demand zones, the better the long setups become, allowing us to consider increasing our risk from 1% to 3%, given a solid setup and momentum.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
5/27 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Yesterday, gold fluctuated within the flexible trading zone, and we only executed a long entry near 3323, which brought decent profit.
Today, gold opened with an upward move toward 3350, but quickly pulled back. The recent market shows a sideways consolidation, with the $3340 level acting as a key pivot zone:
Below 3340: dense support areas
Above 3340: resistance clusters
In this context, any breakout without strong momentum can easily lead to capital flow shifts, causing false breakouts or rapid pullbacks, making trend continuation more difficult.
📉 Technical View:
On the 30M chart, bearish momentum slightly outweighs bullish, and gold is likely to remain range-bound within the zone defined yesterday.
🗞 Fundamental Reminder:
There are a few important U.S. economic releases during the NY session. Watch closely to see if they provide a clear directional push.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3366–3386 zone (resistance area)
📈 Buy in the 3278–3256 zone (support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3353 / 3341 / 3334 / 3317 / 3309 / 3296 / 3284
Trade with flexibility, beware of fake breakouts, and focus on NY session data-driven opportunities. Let me know if you have questions — good luck and happy trading!
xau live trade and educational breakdown Gold hold on to higher ground above $3,330
Despite last week's significant climb, Gold has begun the week on the back foot, with gains restricted around $3,350 per troy ounce. The recent surge in market mood makes it difficult for XAU/USD to regain momentum. Monday is Memorial Day, thus financial markets in the United States will be closed.
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Central Banks Pick Gold (Here's Why)
The debate over the ultimate store of value has been reignited in the digital age. For centuries, gold, the immutable yellow metal, has been the bedrock of wealth preservation, the trusted haven in times of turmoil, and a core component of central bank reserves. In the last decade, a new contender has emerged: Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, often touted as "digital gold." Yet, as the dust settles on initial exuberance and institutional scrutiny intensifies, a clear preference is emerging from the world's most conservative financial institutions. Central banks, the guardians of national wealth and financial stability, are overwhelmingly demonstrating their continued faith in gold, signaling that when it comes to the ultimate safe reserve, tradition and tangibility still trump technological novelty.
The evidence for this preference is not merely anecdotal; it's etched in the consistent and accelerating trend of global gold accumulation by these institutions. In recent years, central banks have been on a gold buying spree, a phenomenon driven by a confluence of potent global factors. The shifting geopolitical landscape, characterized by increased tensions, trade disputes, and a move towards a more multipolar world, has spurred a desire for assets that are not tied to any single nation's political or economic fortunes. Policies emanating from major economic powers, including periods of heightened trade protectionism and shifting global alliances, have historically fanned uncertainty, prompting a flight to assets perceived as universally valuable and politically neutral – a role gold has fulfilled for millennia.
Furthermore, concerns over the long-term value of major fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar which has long dominated global reserves, are playing a significant role. Persistent fiscal deficits, expanding sovereign debt levels, and unprecedented monetary stimulus measures in various countries have led to an undercurrent of apprehension about potential currency devaluation. In such an environment, central banks are actively seeking to diversify their holdings and hedge against the erosion of purchasing power. Gold, with its intrinsic value and finite supply, offers a compelling alternative to holding ever-increasing amounts of fiat currency, whose value can be diluted by policy decisions. This strategic de-dollarization, or at least a diversification away from dollar-centric reserves, sees gold as a primary beneficiary. It is a tangible asset that sits outside the traditional financial system, offering a layer of insulation from the counterparty risks inherent in holding other nations' currencies or debt.
In stark contrast to this institutional embrace of gold stands Bitcoin. While proponents champion its decentralized nature, its mathematically enforced scarcity, and its potential as an inflation hedge, its inherent characteristics currently make it a challenging proposition for central bank reserves. The most glaring issue is its extreme volatility. Bitcoin's price history is a rollercoaster of meteoric rises and precipitous falls. For an individual retail investor, this volatility might be a tolerable, even attractive, risk in pursuit of outsized returns. However, for a central bank, whose primary mandate includes capital preservation and maintaining financial stability, such wild price swings are anathema. Reserve assets must be relatively stable, liquid, and dependable. Bitcoin, in its current state, struggles to meet these criteria consistently. A significant allocation to Bitcoin could expose a nation's reserves to sudden and substantial losses, undermining public trust and potentially destabilizing its financial position.
This volatility poses a tangible risk, not just theoretically, but as observed in the experiences of investors globally, including those in the U.S. While some have reaped fortunes, many others have faced considerable losses due to ill-timed investments or the market's unpredictable nature. Institutional investors, including those in the U.S., while showing increasing interest in Bitcoin as a speculative asset class or a small part of a diversified portfolio, still largely treat it with caution. The kind of deep, unwavering institutional trust that gold commands – built over centuries of proven performance as a store of value and a crisis hedge – has yet to be earned by Bitcoin. Gold’s market is deep, liquid, and well-understood, with established clearing and settlement mechanisms. Bitcoin's market infrastructure, while maturing, is still relatively nascent and fragmented compared to the centuries-old gold market.
Beyond volatility, other factors hinder Bitcoin's adoption as a mainstream reserve asset for central banks. Regulatory uncertainty remains a significant hurdle. The global regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is a patchwork of differing approaches, with some nations embracing innovation while others impose strict controls or outright bans. For central banks, which operate within stringent legal and regulatory frameworks, this lack of global consensus and clarity is a major deterrent. The operational risks associated with custody and security of digital assets at a sovereign scale are also non-trivial. While blockchain technology is inherently secure, managing private keys for billions of dollars' worth of Bitcoin requires sophisticated and untested protocols for institutions of this nature.
Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" sometimes overlooks fundamental differences. Gold is a physical commodity with diverse industrial and cultural uses, providing a baseline of demand beyond its monetary role. It is universally recognized and accepted, transcending technological barriers. Bitcoin’s value is derived primarily from its network effects, its code, and investor belief in its future utility and adoption. While powerful, these are different underpinnings than the tangible reality of physical gold bullion held in a central bank's vault.
The actions of central banks speak volumes. While a handful of smaller nations or entities might experiment with Bitcoin, the overwhelming majority of major central banks, those that collectively manage the bulk of global reserves, have either remained silent on Bitcoin or have issued cautious warnings, all while steadily increasing their physical gold holdings. This isn't to say that Bitcoin has no future role or value. It may well continue to evolve as a speculative asset, a niche store of value for some, or a technology platform for new financial applications. However, the idea that it is poised to usurp gold's position in the vaults of central banks appears premature, if not fundamentally misguided, given its current attributes.
In conclusion, the debate between Bitcoin and gold as the preferred store of value and reserve asset has a clear, if perhaps unexciting, winner in the eyes of the world's central banks. Faced with geopolitical instability, the specter of dollar devaluation, and the enduring need for reliable safe-haven assets, these institutions are doubling down on gold. Its long history, proven stability, tangibility, and lack of counterparty risk resonate deeply with their conservative mandates. Bitcoin's volatility, regulatory ambiguity, and operational complexities, while potentially surmountable in the distant future, currently render it unsuitable for the core reserve holdings of nations. While U.S. investors and others may grapple with Bitcoin's risk-reward profile, central banks have largely made their choice, and that choice, for now and the foreseeable future, remains firmly with the ancient, trusted allure of gold.
Gold Pullback as Expected, Range Trading ContinuesAs I clearly stated last Friday, key resistances are located at 3366 and the stronger zone between 3376–3391. On Friday, the price peaked near 3366 without touching the second resistance band, followed by a pullback — a natural result of recent buying pressure being released and previous trapped positions being closed out.
🎯 Congratulations to those who carefully followed and executed the strategy — you should have captured solid profits from this retracement!
🔍 Current Technical Outlook:
✅ A wave of selling has already been absorbed. Now we watch:
Support strength — if key levels hold, scalping on dips remains valid;
Rebound momentum — short-term indicators favor a bounce, though medium-term structures are still being repaired;
Focus zone: 3355–3357 is a newly created gap resistance, critical for today’s action;
Previously broken supports (3346–3338 and 3324–3318) now serve as resistance and should be watched during any upside attempt.
📈 Trading Strategy:
Today’s price range is relatively contained — stick to selling near resistance, buying near support. If there are any major changes or new developments, I’ll update everyone in time.