XAU ! 10/18 ! Weekend price increaseXAU / USD trend forecast October 18, 2024
On Thursday, the European Central Bank cut interest rates for the third time this year, the first consecutive cuts in 13 years, and signaled more reductions due to the worsening economic outlook. The Federal Reserve is also expected to lower rates again after a significant cut in September, while weak UK inflation data has strengthened expectations for more aggressive easing by the Bank of England.
price increase to create new ATH - continue to wait for new ATH at the end of the week. FOMO is huge
/// SELL XAU : zone 2723-2726
SL: 2731
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2696)
Safe and profitable trading
Xauusdlong
XAUUSD: Sell@2710-2720 Gold has broken above 2700, followed by a slight retracement. Currently, a potential double-top pattern is emerging. Mid-term indicators still show bullish momentum, but short-term factors favor the bears. The trade strategy is to continue shorting. If the price reaches the 2718-2724 range, increase short positions, with a target near 2700.
Double-Top Pattern: This is a potential bearish reversal signal, especially if the price fails to break above the previous high and begins to decline, signaling a possible trend change.
XAU increased sharply! Continued bullish FOMO⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises for the fourth consecutive day, marking six positive days out of seven, and surpasses the $2,700 mark to reach a new record high during Friday's Asian session. Key factors driving this upward trend include anticipated rate cuts by major central banks, Middle East tensions, and uncertainty around the US Presidential election.
Thursday's strong US data reinforced expectations of moderate rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which boosted the US Dollar to its highest level since early August. However, this hasn't dampened the bullish momentum for Gold, which is set for strong weekly gains.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices show a crazy bull run in 2024 - continuing the crazy uptrend. Above the $2700 zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2733 - $2735 SL $2740
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2715
TP3: $2700
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2684 - $2686 SL $2679
TP1: $2692
TP2: $2700
TP3: $2710
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD Market Dynamics: Strategy AnalysisToday, XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) exhibited a robust upward momentum, successfully breaking through the upper trend line. From a candlestick technical analysis perspective, XAUUSD still possesses upward momentum and a continuing bullish trend. Additionally, the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election and conflicts in the Middle East are driving investors to seek safe-haven assets. Coupled with a loose monetary policy environment, this will further support gold prices at elevated levels.
Following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by 50 basis points last month, the market anticipates the potential for further rate cuts. The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties have collectively propelled gold prices up over 30% year-to-date, with the possibility of reaching new historical highs. Therefore, under the current market conditions, we recommend a proactive approach to building long positions at lower levels.
Today's Trading Strategy: Establish long positions in XAUUSD around the 2700 level, with a profit target set at 2710.
Golden Investment Strategy: Opportunities Amidst TensionThe current international situation is indeed tense, leading to a continuous rise in gold prices, which are now nearing $2700, compared to under $2000 last year. It is striking that "when the cannon fires, gold weighs heavy."
Until international relations stabilize, a significant drop in gold prices seems unlikely, so our investment strategy should favor a bullish approach.
Based on current conditions, MA30 will serve as a crucial support level; as long as this level holds, we can pursue long trades. However, a slight adjustment is expected today, potentially dropping to around $2684.
For the highs, we should look towards the $2704-$2712 range—if we reach that point, a decisive sell is advised. If $2700 remains unbroken for an extended period, consider a small short position, and upon a pullback to MA30, execute a minor long trade to see if a breakthrough occurs.
If a breakthrough happens, significant selling should take place, aiming to close positions around $2688.
XAU/USD : IMPORTANT Pre Market Analysis (READ THE CAPTION)Currently, the price of gold is hovering around **$2656.99**. Recently, gold has seen a slight increase, driven by several factors such as inflation concerns, recent CPI and PPI reports, and geopolitical tensions.
Key Influencing Factors:
1. Persistent Inflation: Recent CPI and PPI reports show that inflation remains slightly above expectations, keeping gold in demand as a safe-haven asset.
2. Interest Rates: Expectations around interest rate cuts have stabilized, which increases gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset.
3. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global political instability, particularly in regions like the Middle East, is adding upward pressure to gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
• Resistance Level: If gold prices break above $2685, there could be further bullish momentum.
• Support Level: On the downside, key support zones include $2636-$2642, $2628-$2630, and $2620, which should be closely monitored if the price declines, as strong demand in these areas could lead to a reversal.
Outlook:
Given the economic and geopolitical landscape, gold remains in a bullish trend. Traders should keep an eye on economic reports and geopolitical developments as any increase in uncertainty could further boost gold's price.
This sets the stage for today’s market session, with potential for continued upward movement.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAU ! 10/17 waiting for new ATH 2712XAU / USD trend forecast October 17, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) continued its upward trend and retested its all-time high on Wednesday, driven by expectations of rate cuts from major central banks. Markets have fully priced in a 25 basis points cut by the US Federal Reserve in November. Additionally, weak inflation data from Europe and the UK has strengthened expectations for more aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and BoE. This resulted in lower yields, supporting the non-yielding gold.
Strong uptrend - H2 frame forms DOW theory for next new ATH opportunity: 2712
/// SELL XAU : zone 2712-2715
SL: 2720
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2685)
Safe and profitable trading
After making a profit, how to plan the next strategyWe strategically positioned ourselves a few hours ago ahead of the U.S. data release, successfully capitalizing on a significant profit wave. Following the data-driven volatility, we anticipate a transition to a more technical-driven market.
Analyzing the hourly candlestick chart, we observe that XAUUSD remains in an upward trend; however, the potential for further gains is diminishing, indicating an impending shift in market momentum. Key resistance is identified at 2700, with support around 2688. Absent any major news or data releases, the trading range appears constrained, making it essential to accurately gauge market movements to achieve profitable outcomes.
Our forthcoming trading strategy is as follows:
XAUUSD: Short near 2700; Long near 2688.
The impact of Trump's failed assassination attempt on gold priceConsidering what happened to Donald Trump, it is not unlikely that gold will reach the $2500 level soon. We will wait until the excitement of the market is discharged at the reopening and after that we will decide to enter into the transaction. We are not in a hurry.
XAUUSD: Key Resistance at 2698-2708Yesterday, gold successfully held the support level between 2668 and 2663 during its pullback and subsequently began a consolidation and upward trend. As highlighted in my previous analysis, the strategy was clear: if the price held above this support, we would go long; if it broke below, we would wait for a rebound to go short. If you followed this analysis, I trust you captured significant profits from this movement.
Currently, the price is approaching the crucial resistance level of 2700, where substantial selling pressure is anticipated. It's possible that the price may either break through and subsequently pull back or begin to retreat as it nears this level. Therefore, the prudent approach is to adopt a short position initially and then reassess the situation based on support levels to determine whether to transition into a long position.
Gold on the Verge – Breakout to 2,705 or Drop Back to 2,673?Alright, folks, Gold (XAU/USD) is flirting with a breakout. If the bulls push it past 2,705, we could see some real upside momentum. But if it runs out of steam, we might dip back toward the 2,673-2,667 support zone for a reset.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 2,705 – A breakout here could spark a rally higher.
Support: 2,673 – Bulls need to hold this line to avoid more downside.
Fallback Zone: 2,667 – If this level cracks, we’re likely heading lower.
Right now, we’re at a pivotal moment. Will buyers keep the momentum alive, or are we headed for a quick pullback? Keep a close eye on the next move—there’s opportunity on both sides.
What do you think—are we breaking higher or taking a breather? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this helped you get prepped for the next move.
Mindbloome trader
Trade what you see
NEW ATH ! XAU ! wait to reach $2700 for gold⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The recent drop in Crude Oil prices is likely to reduce inflation pressures, enabling major central banks to cut interest rates further, which supports demand for Gold. The European Central Bank is set for its third rate cut of the year this Thursday, while a sharp decline in UK inflation has strengthened expectations of a Bank of England rate cut in November.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recovered - when war information continued to have a good impact on the Gold market. Expect to touch old ATH 2685 this week and correct to create additional liquidity
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2700 - $2702 SL $2707
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2663 - $2661 SL $2656
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: SELLAfter forming a head-and-shoulders bottom pattern, gold has not broken the support level at 2656 and subsequently surged to around 2680. Currently, there is a need for a pullback in this pattern. Traders can initially take a short position, monitoring the support in the 2668-2663 range. If this support holds, consider going long; if it breaks, wait for a rebound to enter short.
XAUUSD: After a New High, a Support Retest is Needed
Following a recent pullback, gold is now in the midst of a rebound, riding the momentum of its newly achieved all-time high. However, the difficulty of sustaining further upside increases at this stage. Therefore, it presents a strategic opportunity to establish short positions in the 2680-2690 range, anticipating a fresh support retest.
If the price holds above 2668 during this pullback, it could signal another buying opportunity, allowing traders to re-enter long positions with confidence.
Seize the Opportunity and Preemptively Position for ShortsShortly, the U.S. will release the initial jobless claims data and September retail sales month-over-month figures. Prior to the announcement, I personally predict these data points are likely to be bearish for XAUUSD, making it a good opportunity to preemptively position for shorts, suggesting a short entry around 2690 while awaiting the data release.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
Short at the high of 2688, with a take-profit target set at 2670.
XAUUSD: Continue to be bullish, buy during pullback, target 2700Yesterday, our strategy was to wait for a pullback to the support range before buying. The direction and prediction were very accurate. The gold price pulled back from the initial 2680, the lowest was 2666, and then rose again to the historical high of 2685. Unfortunately, the lowest point of the pullback only reached 2666, which was only 1-2$ away from our buying range of 2665-2660. Therefore, I did not trade yesterday and missed a wave of nearly 20$ of rising profits.
Now the gold price is still around 2680, and my view is still bullish, with a target of 2700.
But there is indeed a risk of pullback if you chase the rise now. After all, the historical high of 2685 has failed to break twice, and you are not sure whether it will appear for the third time.
Therefore, my trading strategy today is still to wait for the pullback to the support range before considering buying.
Depending on the situation, the buying range can be adjusted flexibly.
Bullish breakout tp 3000$Entry 2683 & 2674.5
Sl 2666&2678.60 ss trail stop
Pair above 2700 opens A whole 1000 points again like 1800/2000$ breakouts
2678.60 ImportAnt support to keep view to 2714/2800
2525/2600 daily support sl zone for buyers
Initial target now confidently with economic unsettling war commotion
Inflation cuts of covid
News in ImportAnt country distributors looking for gold buying/ back money by money
Rising indices to somehow work with this boosting as after crisis seems to buy hard after rallies will make gold compete for spotlight with btc
5000/10000$ &100000k
We will keep buying mn tp daily on lows even if price turns new figures
1M$ doesnt seem crazy but when longest term of hyperbolic trend
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Surges After U.S. Inflation Data | New perspective In this week’s analysis, we dive into Gold's 1% surge following U.S. inflation data, which has sparked fresh uncertainty over inflation trends and boosted demand for safe-haven assets. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.2% last month, while bullish PPI figures suggest the Fed could be on track for interest rate cuts in 2024.
With escalating geopolitical tensions, could Gold rally beyond $3,000 before year-end?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we’re zeroing in on the critical $2,660 zone. If Gold stays above this level, bulls may maintain control, potentially pushing prices to new highs. However, if Gold dips below, bears could force a pullback toward the descending channel’s support line.
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #InflationData #FederalReserve #SafeHavenAssets #Geopolitics #MarketAnalysis📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Peter Would be Proud! NEXT LEG UP CONFIRMED?#gold TVC:XAU We have now confirmation on the 12h chart by having a close strong above previous highs.
Entry on any retrace toward the green price range AND PLACE YOUR STOP at the most recent low.
If we do break below this low then we might be in for a bigger retrace... #SADPETER