Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold May Fall to 2595.00 - 2605.00
Pivot Point: 2631.00
The pivot at 2631.00 is a significant resistance level. The price remaining below this point indicates bearish sentiment in the market. If the price breaks above this level, it may signal a shift towards a bullish trend.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Initiate short positions below 2631.00.
Target Levels:
2605.00: This is the first target, representing a potential decline of 26 pips from the pivot. This level may attract some buying interest; however, strong bearish momentum could push through it.
2595.00: The next target indicates a further decline of 36 pips. If selling pressure continues, this level could be reached as a significant downside extension.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price moves above the pivot point at 2631.00, consider long positions.
Entry Point: If the price breaks and sustains above 2631.00, initiate long positions.
Target Levels:
2642.00: The first upside target, suggesting a potential rise of 11 pips from the pivot. This level could serve as initial resistance.
2653.00: The next target indicates a further upside move of 22 pips, suggesting potential for a stronger bullish trend if momentum builds.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: The RSI is likely reflecting bearish momentum, suggesting further downside as the price remains below the pivot.
MACD Indicator: The MACD is expected to be below its signal line, confirming bearish sentiment.
Moving Averages: Gold is likely trading below its 20- and 50-period moving averages, indicating short-term weakness and reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Market Dynamics:
As long as the resistance at 2631.00 is not surpassed, the risk of breaking below 2605.00 remains high, potentially leading to further declines toward 2595.00.
A sustained break above 2631.00 may shift market sentiment, opening the path for a move toward the upside targets at 2642.00 and 2653.00.
Gold is poised for a potential decline as long as it remains below 2631.00, with targets set at 2605.00 and 2595.00 for further downside.
A breach above 2631.00 could indicate a shift to bullish momentum, targeting 2642.00 and 2653.00 for further upside.
Xauusdlong
#XAUUSD 4HBased on the current 4-hour analysis, we’ve identified two key zones for potential swing-long positions on #XAUUSD:
1. 2600.00 - 2695.00**
2. 2558.00 - 2560.00
At this stage, it’s best not to place any limit orders. Instead, wait for solid **bullish confirmation** before entering any positions.
Time to swing!
XAUUSD: Double Top/Head and Shoulders
From a broader perspective, gold currently resembles a head and shoulders pattern. However, if we focus on a smaller scale, it appears to be forming a double top. For now, we will base our market analysis on this smaller pattern to guide our trades.
Typically, after a double top forms, a rebound often follows. This is one of the primary reasons why I recommended a buy position before yesterday's close. When bullish momentum is strong, the price tends to rebound towards or even above the resistance level. In cases of weaker bullish strength, the rebound peak may fall below or only reach the resistance level.
Given the current state of the market, the bulls still hold decent power, making it likely that the rebound will test or even surpass the resistance zone around 2629-2638. This area can be considered as a potential exit point for long positions and an ideal entry point for shorts.
For short positions, the initial target can be around 2596, which was a previous resistance level during the uptrend. The mid-term target aligns with the low formed during the left shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern, around 2558. The final target would be near 2518, the starting point of the head and shoulders formation.
Every trader has their own preferred strategy, but the key is to align with the overall trend. Even if short-term volatility creates challenging situations, staying patient and trusting the broader market direction will lead to success in the end. The process may involve several tests, but perseverance and timing are crucial.
Gold 2630-2638 Range Is Good For Shorting
After a significant rally, gold has finally retraced to the 2600 level. If you’ve been following my recent analysis, you should have already taken advantage of this move.
Yesterday, my strategy was to short at 2648, closing near 2618, while recommending a long position near 2610 with a target range of 2620-2628. This approach played out perfectly, securing notable profits.
Gold is now hovering around the MA20, where resistance is expected to be minor. The key resistance zone lies between 2632-2638, close to the MA60. While it may not reach this level, the current rebound is not over yet.
If it reaches the MA60 region, it will present an ideal shorting opportunity with at least $10 of downside potential.
Successful trading always relies on strong signals—don’t you agree?
XAUUSD: Sell@2634-2644
The bearish trend is still very obvious. Short-selling is the main method in the near future. If the price falls below 2600 in the short term, there will be a rebound of about $20. Before that, the rebound during the decline will not be too large, so if you have long positions, you must not be too greedy.
Gold May Fall to 2615.00 - 2625.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold May Fall to 2615.00 - 2625.00
Pivot Point: 2650.00 – This level acts as key resistance, capping potential upside moves. A sustained break above it would indicate a shift in momentum.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Short positions below 2650.00.
Target Levels:
2625.00: This serves as the initial downside target, indicating a potential decline from the pivot point.
2615.00: If bearish momentum continues, further downside towards this level is likely.
Alternative Scenario:
Entry Point: If the price moves above 2650.00, consider long positions.
Target Levels:
2659.00: A move higher could test this resistance level first.
2670.00: Further bullish momentum may drive Gold toward this higher resistance.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: Likely indicates bearish sentiment, suggesting a risk of further declines as long as resistance at 2650.00 holds.
MACD Indicator: May be below its signal line, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Gold is likely trading below its 20- and 50-period moving averages, suggesting continued short-term weakness.
Market Dynamics:
As long as 2650.00 remains resistance, further price declines are anticipated, targeting 2625.00 and potentially 2615.00.
A break above 2650.00 could shift momentum to the upside, with targets at 2659.00 and 2670.00, indicating a reversal of the current bearish trend.
sideway and accumulation! XAU! 10/8XAU / USD trend forecast October 8, 2024
Gold prices dipped during Monday's North American session, trading between $2,630 and $2,659, as rising US Treasury yields limited gains. However, the intensifying conflict in the Middle East prevented further declines. XAU/USD is at $2,645, down 0.30%. Market sentiment worsened due to ongoing violence, with Israel expanding ground operations in Lebanon and Hamas firing rockets at Tel Aviv. Ceasefire hopes diminished as groups like the Houthis also attacked ships in the Red Sea, escalating the conflict.
The price range of 2625-2685 is almost awaited by investors to wait for the next interest rate information, the longer the accumulation, the stronger the gold price fluctuates. Sideway will continue today.
/// BUY XAU : zone 2624-2627
SL: 2619
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2644)
Safe and profitable trading
End of the Bull Run: Time to Short as Gold Enters
The bullish momentum in gold has come to an end, and we are now entering a correction phase. Based on the current Moving Average (MA) alignment, the price is likely to decline towards the 2620-2580 range. This presents an excellent opportunity for short positions.
I suggest taking advantage of this setup by consistently selling within the 2643-2675 range. Follow this strategy and capitalize on the forthcoming downtrend.
XAUUSD Will Bounce For Today!Hello Traders!
House Of Profit Analysis CUrrent Price : 2646
Today is monday and we need to keep that in mind that today market will move in range of 2632 - 2365 and big range.
As of my analysis gold is going give us a strong buy today when it reaches the level of 2640 - 2635 or if it does go below then 2632.
there is a zone which i doesn't mark 2650 - 2653 if we buy from 2638 we have to monitor whar prices do at this 2650 level if it does breaks it easily then we could keep our buy going!
liking or following would be appreciated!
Gold anchors at peak, experts neutral on gold prices this weekCome up with ideas and wave trends for today, 10/7, 2024. In my opinion, tomorrow there will be a short-term wave during the day that pushes the price up to the 2662 zone, so tomorrow you can watch for the correction wave and then watch for Buy. To watch for Buy at this wave, pay attention to the price zone of 2650 - 2647. Here, find the Buy factor, SL below the foot of the previous small wave. Because the price is within the Wyckoff boundary of the value zone, last week you can see that all your entries and trends are only within the boundary. Do not go too far to avoid the case where the entry is finished and the price goes sideways and then returns to liquidity to sweep the entry. Longer-term views from the 30-50 price range will be established when the price breaks out of the Wyckoff boundary when forming the cause and returning the result. Here, I can click and calculate the P&F of the target price to find, so avoid trading with high expectations and over-predictions. Finally, all transactions must always comply with capital management and SL. This is The most important thing that the channel always tells you is to not get too excited when you win and when SL loses, feel lucky because you lose only a part of your account, so that your mentality is comfortable and you are not afraid of losing or holding on to negative too much.
---
Jesse Colombo, an independent precious metals analyst and founder of BubbleBubble Report, believes that the price of this precious metal will trade in the range of 2,650-2,700 USD/ounce and notes that investors can buy when the price drops.
16 Wall Street experts participated in the latest Kitco News Gold Survey. Of which, 7 experts (equivalent to 44%) said that gold prices will increase this week. 3 experts (19%) predicted that gold prices will decrease. The remaining 6 (37%) believe that gold will trade sideways.
In addition, 104 retail investors, or 59%, of the 176 Main Street investors surveyed expect gold to continue its upward trend. Another 36, or 20.5%, said the yellow metal would trade lower, and the remaining 38, or 20.5%, were neutral on gold prices this week.
XAU/USD getting ready for another rally?Gold appears to be generating significant liquidity, suggesting a potential setup for another rally to the upside. We’re seeing liquidity engineering, which points toward the possibility of gold making a push to retest all-time highs.
I’m watching for a chance to capitalize on this move. There’s a 1-hour demand zone just below a pool of liquidity that has recently triggered a change of character (CHOCH) to the upside. I’ll be looking for price to mitigate that demand zone before taking liquidity higher.
Confluences for Gold Buys:
- Gold is consolidating, likely preparing for a breakout.
- Trendline liquidity to the upside still needs to be taken.
- The 1-hour demand zone has caused a CHOCH to the upside.
- Gold remains bullish, aligning with the overall trend.
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of bearishness from its supply zone, supporting the bullish outlook for gold.
Note: If price continues to drop and fails to hold at the 1-hour demand zone, I’ll anticipate it to fill the imbalance below and mitigate the 10-hour demand zone. This area is another point of interest where a potential bullish rally for gold could form.
01/10/2024 - XAUUSD - Bullish Bat PatternAs of October 1st, 2024, XAU/USD (Gold) has formed a bullish bat pattern, indicating potential upward movement. Here’s the trade plan:
Trade Details:
Entry: Based on the bullish bat pattern and divergence in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
Stop Loss: Below support level
Take Profit Target: 1:1 ratio
Target Price: 2650
Reason for Trade:
The bullish bat pattern, combined with divergence in the PRZ, suggests a strong potential for an upward move. The target is set at a 1:1 ratio with stop loss placed below the support level for effective risk management.
Disclaimer : This is not trading advice—it's for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
XAU continues sideways - accumulate waiting for new ATH 2705
✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 10/07 - 10/11/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices pulled back after a stronger-than-expected US jobs report suggested that the labor market remains robust, indicating the Federal Reserve (Fed) may ease policy in smaller 25-basis-point increments. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,643, down 0.40%.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported strong job growth for September, easing concerns about the labor market. This reduced pressure on the Fed, which had previously cut interest rates by 0.50% in September amid concerns about reaching its maximum employment goal.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is sideways - accumulating in a large range of 2625 - 2681. The uptrend on the H4 frame is still stable and waiting for new momentum to reach the next new ATH. In the context of escalating Middle East tensions - gold price continues to increase strongly this year.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2671, $2685, $2705
Support : $2626, 2588
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Nearing Major Support at 2667 - Bullish ReversalGold is approaching a crucial support level at 2667 on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential bullish reversal. This level holds significant importance due to its confluence with technical indicators that suggest a possible upward move. Let’s break down the key elements of the current setup:
2667 is a well-established major support level where buyers have historically stepped in, making it a critical zone to watch.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) has crossed above 50 multiple times, which is a strong signal of increasing bullish momentum. This suggests that, despite recent price consolidation, there is underlying strength in the market. The fact that RSI is sustaining above the midline indicates that the market sentiment is shifting towards bullishness.
On the 4-hour chart, the most recent candle formed a Hammer, a classic bullish reversal pattern. This suggests that the market is rejecting lower prices, with buyers defending the support level.
Gold closed the weekend at 2667.80, sitting right on this major support level, further confirming the importance of this zone.
All these technical indicators point towards a potential bullish setup for Gold, with the RSI's multiple crossings above 50 strengthening the case for upside movement. If the price bounces from this support, we could see a rally in the near term.
However, it's essential to recognize that Gold's price action is also influenced by global events, particularly geopolitical tensions such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East. These developments could introduce volatility and sudden shifts in sentiment.
Traders should closely monitor price behavior around the 2667 support level and look for further confirmations of a bullish reversal, such as continued RSI strength, bullish candlestick formations, and breaks above resistance levels. If the support holds and these signals align, Gold could be poised for a significant upward move. However, a failure to maintain this level may lead to further downside, so caution is advised.
Stay updated on global events, as they can heavily impact Gold's trajectory in the days ahead.
Trade Idea: Gold Breakout to Reach Next Resistance TargetI’m watching gold as it approaches a key resistance level. If we get a breakout above this resistance, I believe the price could continue upward and reach the next target at the following resistance level. This could present a good opportunity for a long position if the breakout is confirmed.
BREAK - NF create new ATH 2700 ?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Department of Labor reported a slight rise in unemployment claims to 225K for the week ending September 28, up from 218K. This follows stronger-than-expected private-sector job growth in September and an unexpected increase in job openings in August, signaling a resilient labor market. Additionally, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.9 in September, its highest since February 2023, indicating solid economic performance in the third quarter.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price begins to break the downtrend in H1 frame - expect NF to push gold price to continue increasing today
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2625 - $2623 SL $2618
TP1: $2632
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2698 - $2700 SL $2705
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
10/4/24 wait news ATH from XAU ! NF XAU / USD trend forecast October 4, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues trading within a narrow range, as traders await a new catalyst to determine the next directional move. Attention is focused on the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, set to be released later on Friday. The data could shape expectations about the pace of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, impacting US Dollar demand and influencing gold prices.
NF and war tensions are the main drivers for gold prices to continue to rise - creating new ATH
/// SELL XAU : zone 2698-2700
SL: 2706
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2680)
Safe and profitable trading