XAU USD After reaching the target areas on the 4-hour frame, we have two scenarios that the market has started to form with the aim of rising to the target:
The first scenario (drawn in white as shown in the picture): Decline now and take the buying areas then break the CHOCH area.
The second scenario (drawn in blue as shown in the picture): Break the X line then correct to the BC areas then take a new entry and stop and we cannot determine them now and this depends on the strength of the rise and how far it will reach after breaking the X line but the structure was drawn for clarification.
Xauusdlong
Continue to hold a bulls in the 2515-2516 areaBrothers, although gold once rebounded to around 2526, I explained six reasons in my private domain that gold cannot be shorted, and gold may challenge the previous high again or even set a new high. So I refused to short gold.
Gold once retreated to around 2515, brothers! Although I did not short gold, it is obvious that I seized the opportunity to go long on gold in the 2515-2516 area!
I cannot guarantee that gold will reach a new high, but I think gold will challenge the resistance in the 2525-2530 area at least once. Once it breaks through this resistance area, gold may continue to rise and touch the 2540-2550 area. So I still hold my long position now, let us look forward to the performance of gold together!
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XAUUSD: Today will be the last chance to set a new highYesterday we sold at 2525 and closed at 2515. Just now, the gold price rebounded to 2525 again. I notified in the channel that I had done such a transaction again, and now it has been closed with profit. I believe that friends who have followed my trading strategies have made huge profits. Congratulations to everyone.
The 2525-2530 area has not broken for 5 consecutive times, which will obviously have a negative impact on the strength of the bulls.
However, I observed that in the 1H chart, the recent lows of gold prices are constantly moving up, which shows that gold prices are moving upward. Although the highs have been stuck in the 2525-2530 area, the upward movement of the lows indicates that there is already an idea of breaking through the resistance range.
In addition, there are multiple data to be released today, among which the important data PCE price index will be the top priority of the market. Once several of these data are bullish, coupled with the current high global risk aversion, I think gold is likely to break through the resistance.
Therefore, based on the above information, I give the following trading strategy:
Buy bullish when the price falls back to the 2500-2510 area
Or wait for the PCE data to be released and make other plans based on the data performance
I prefer the former because I have a feeling that the gold price will hit a new high today
XAUUSD:Flag pattern consolidation, watch for the breakout direct
Gold continues to fluctuate at high levels. Keep an eye on the resistance. If it breaks through, we could see a significant rally next week. If it fails to break through, you can continue trading within the 2480-2520 range until the market decides on a direction.
If the support is broken, the next low could appear below 2450. If the resistance is broken, the high has a chance of reaching the 2543-2558 range.
XAUUSD: Price will likely to continue rising up towards 2558$! Dear Traders,
Price is likely to continue rising up towards 2558$ as price has been consolidating since last few days. Sellers tried to take the price down but they failed to do it so and it reversed back from our previous buying entry point. We will having big news in coming days which will likely to shape the market and trend. Good luck.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Long on Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H TimeframeWe are entering a long position on Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe after a significant retracement and consolidation near the lower support zone. The recent price action suggests a potential reversal, presenting an opportunity to capitalize on a bullish move. We aim to position ourselves for upward momentum as we prepare for market dynamics leading into September.
Key Levels:
• Entry Point: Initiated after the price found support near a key level, with confirmation of bullish momentum building.
• Target Zone: Aiming for an initial target near the previous resistance level, where profit-taking or consolidation might occur.
• Stop-Loss Placement: Set below the recent low to manage risk effectively and protect against unexpected downward movement.
Technical Analysis and Rationale:
The decision to go long is based on the recent price action, which shows a retracement to a key support level, followed by signs of a bullish reversal. The market appears poised to rebound, and our entry leverages the potential for a recovery rally. The Fibonacci retracement zones, moving averages, or trend lines are all aligning to support a potential upward move.
Fundamental Considerations:
As we approach September, economic data releases and geopolitical developments are likely to influence gold prices. With potential shifts in investor sentiment toward safe-haven assets, we are positioned to capture any upside movement that may unfold.
Risk Management:
By maintaining a strict stop-loss and monitoring the market conditions closely, we aim to manage risk while allowing for the possibility of significant upside. As always, adjust the position size according to your risk tolerance and trading plan.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Breaking the main level for correctionBreaking the main level for correction
At the moment, the gold market is characterized by increased investor interest due to global economic uncertainty, inflation risks and geopolitical factors. Gold prices remain high as it is traditionally seen as a safe haven in volatile times. In addition, currency fluctuations and changes in central banks' monetary policies are also impacting the market. Investors are actively monitoring economic data to forecast further movement in gold prices.
Strategic Gold Plays: Maverick-Rabbit Precision in Key PatternsBased on your archetype, a combination of the Bold Maverick and the Analytical Rabbit, you have a natural tendency to take calculated risks while also ensuring that those risks are backed by thorough analysis. This hybrid nature likely drives you to engage in trades that have high potential rewards, but only when they meet specific analytical criteria.
Chart Analysis and Coaching on Your Positions
Overview:
Context: This is a 15-minute chart of XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD).
Structure: The chart shows a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. There are multiple channel formations, liquidity zones (LQZ), and key levels identified (including a 4H Over Ride/LQZ level).
1. Position Analysis:
First Entry - Inside the Ascending Channel:
Entry Reasoning: You likely identified the ascending channel as a bullish continuation pattern and entered within it.
Archetype Reflection: As a Bold Maverick, you're comfortable entering before a full breakout, assuming the trend continuation. However, as an Analytical Rabbit, you probably also considered the channel support before entry.
Coaching: This entry aligns with your dual archetype. You took the position inside the channel, expecting price to continue its upward momentum. However, consider tightening your stop loss in case of a fake breakout to protect your position.
Second Entry - Near the LQZ:
Entry Reasoning: You likely saw price approaching the Liquidity Zone (LQZ), expecting a bounce or reaction at this level.
Archetype Reflection: Analytical Rabbits love analyzing levels like LQZ, while Bold Mavericks might anticipate a reaction before confirmation.
Coaching: Good job recognizing the importance of the LQZ. You probably set a trailing stop to capture profit while letting the trade run. Just be cautious with overconfidence—always have a plan if the price moves against you.
Third Entry - At the 4H Over Ride / LQZ level:
Entry Reasoning: This level is crucial as it represents a 4H Liquidity Zone (LQZ), a significant potential reversal point.
Archetype Reflection: This is a classic Bold Maverick move—anticipating a strong reaction at a higher timeframe LQZ. The Analytical Rabbit side of you likely analyzed the 4H timeframe and identified this as a high-probability zone.
Coaching: This is an aggressive yet well-informed entry. Ensure your stop loss is adjusted to below the LQZ to minimize risk in case the market turns against your position.
2. Trailing Stop Loss (SL) Usage:
Position: You’ve used trailing stop losses, which is a smart move, especially given the bold yet analytical approach.
Coaching: Trailing stops can help lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Ensure that the trailing distance is neither too tight (to avoid premature exit) nor too wide (to protect against significant pullbacks). This aligns with the Analytical Rabbit’s cautious nature.
3. Key Levels and Patterns:
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the channel boundaries, which validates your initial entries.
LQZ & 4H Override: Price has shown reactions at these levels, indicating they are well-chosen.
4. Risk Management:
Balance Between Risk and Reward: Your trading strategy seems to balance the Bold Maverick’s appetite for risk with the Analytical Rabbit’s focus on minimizing unnecessary exposure.
Coaching: Given your dual archetype, keep refining your entry and exit points. Use the rule of three (waiting for confirmation after three touches on key levels) to align with your analytical side.
Conclusion:
Your trading approach is a robust mix of intuition and analysis. You're combining bold entries with a solid understanding of market structure. Continue to refine your strategy, especially in the context of multi-timeframe analysis and liquidity zones, to maximize your trading effectiveness. Make sure to always have an exit strategy and avoid letting the Maverick side take over without sufficient backing from the Rabbit’s analysis.
XAU / USD ! Sideway to growth over 2531 soonXAU / USD trend forecast August 29, 2024
"Gold prices (XAU/USD) are recovering on Thursday after hitting weekly lows below $2,500 per troy ounce. Expectations of US interest rate cuts could boost gold demand, as lower rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Political uncertainty in the US, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and global economic worries also support gold's upward trend.
However, a stronger US Dollar could pressure gold prices, making it more expensive for international buyers. Investors will focus on the second estimate of the US Q2 GDP on Thursday for insights into the Fed’s rate cut pace. Additionally, July's US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, due Friday, will be closely watched."
The longer the sideway accumulation - the stronger the breakout. Wait for XAU to touch new ATH in late August 2024
/// SELL XAU : zone 2540-2543
SL: 2548
TP: 50 - 150 - 250 pips (2518 )
Safe and profitable trading
Still Bullish on $GOLDI am trusting the pattern that has emerged on the TVC:GOLD price hourly chart in a strong ascending channel indicating a high of $2,570 by Monday night. 3 phases have emerged over the past 2weeks after sustained strong price reversal days (8th and 16th August 2024).
The price has been rising into a green phase where it fluctuates over 30-36hrs testing the resistance and support from previous prices before breaking out for a second ascend to breach the next resistance and make the high of the next >72hrs (green flag).
The red flag (high of next >72hrs) is near the channel's ascending support line and begins the amber phase which has a slight decline to test an immediate support within the ascend from the green phase. the 1st test rebounds slightly towards the high set at the beginning but certainly lowers back.
This starts the red phase towards the 72hrs low which is a target for entry to catch the next rapid +2% rise (green flag).
The green flag is occurring without any decent test of the ascending support line for this bullish channel. You will see the pink zone is hardly occupied by any candles (any red ones at that!). If the pattern persists and the next green flag produces the same +2%...$2,550 - $2,570 is a target price for this analysis.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices surged on Friday as the US Dollar and Treasury bond yields tumbled, driven by dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. With the Fed signalling a policy shift and acknowledging that inflation is nearing the 2% target, the focus has turned towards achieving maximum employment. This backdrop has sparked renewed interest in gold among Western investors, especially as expected interest rate cuts could reduce the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal.
In this video, we analyze the current market dynamics, showing why gold may not be overbought and why there’s potential for continued upward momentum. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 25 bps rate cut is fully priced in, with rising odds for a larger cut. We’ll dive into both the technical charts and fundamental factors that favor higher gold prices in the coming week.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,495 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone then Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
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Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU !! Try to surpass ATH by the end of August 2024⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged past $2,500 per ounce on Wednesday, driven by rising tensions in the Middle East. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent comments at Jackson Hole, hinting at imminent rate cuts, also boosted the metal, as lower rates make gold more appealing by reducing the cost of holding it.
Investors are now looking to Fed officials Christopher Waller and Raphael Bostic, who will speak on Wednesday, for further clues on interest rates. Attention will then turn to the Q2 GDP and PCE data due later this week. Stronger-than-expected results could strengthen the US Dollar and limit gold's gains.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The movement in the price fluctuation range above $2,500 creates very good momentum for Gold with a high possibility of reaching a new ATH.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2495 - $2493 SL $2488
TP1: $2500
TP2: $2515
TP3: $2530
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2557 - $2559 SL $2564
TP1: $2550
TP2: $2540
TP3: $2530
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION Reason for Bearish
Trading XAUUSD pair is popular among gold traders who seek opportunities in the fluctuations of gold prices relative to the dollar. This trading pair is influenced by factors such as supply and demand, economic data, geopolitical events, and central bank policies.
XAUUSD Asia- Long Opportunity 1:5 RRGood Morning Asia,
This morning, I'm anticipating a long from 2510.50 towards a prior imbalance at 2510.10. I'll be waiting for a 1 mins entry confirmation if price pulls back towards my entry zone. Price is currently in a bullish cycle on the 15mins and 30mins.
It is important to note that the H1 timeframe still seems to be in a bearish cycle (see chart-shot below) with the final more aggressive phase of the cycle still pending. I see price building up liquidity at the moment before the final expansion to the downside potentially later today.
Happy Trading.
XAUUSD: Buy bullish in 2500-2505 area, target 2530Gold fundamentals:
The US dollar continued to fall, closing at a low of 100.55, and fell 3.2% in August, the largest monthly drop since November 2022, which significantly increased the attractiveness and demand for gold.
The market's expectation of a rate cut in September is almost a foregone conclusion. The current focus is on the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Rate cuts usually reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making gold more attractive as an interest-free asset.
In addition, Powell's dovish signal at the Kansas City Fed meeting has boosted demand for non-US dollar wealth storage tools. Futures traders expect a cumulative rate cut of about 106 basis points in 2024, which further enhances the market's bullish expectations for gold.
At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine has intensified the market's risk aversion and further promoted demand for gold.
Gold technical aspects:
In yesterday's gold analysis, I clearly mentioned the support strength of the 2500-2505 area, and this area has resisted the decline for many times without breaking, so we can still continue to believe in the support of this area. If it retreats to this area during the day, you can consider buying again.
Of course, we still need to consider the precautionary actions after the break here. Combined with the above analysis, my trading strategy today is similar to yesterday, as follows:
First of all, the main bullish, as long as the gold price retreats to the 2500-2505 area, you can consider buying, the target is 2530, 2550
On the contrary, if it effectively falls below 2500, you can choose to sell near 2500. What needs to be noted here is the effective break, not the false break
If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up, let's discuss the latest ideas of GOLD together
XAUUSD:It could break through 2530
The price continues to fluctuate within the resistance zone. Looking at the 4-hour chart, both the indicators and the current pattern favor the bulls. If the price doesn’t break below the 2517-2511 area before tomorrow’s New York session, we can expect an upward move.
At the same time, the DXY is starting to show signs of forming a bottom, the likelihood of it moving in the same direction as gold is low. Once the DXY successfully bottoms out (which I expect to happen around the 99.5-99 level), it will likely mark the medium-term top for gold. At that point, the trading strategy should focus on selling at high levels.
XAUUSD: Short, target 2463-2452
Gold is fluctuating within the 2508-2519 resistance range, and indicators are starting to show weakness. A pullback is expected next week, and a second test of the resistance near 2519 cannot be ruled out. From the overall trend perspective, I lean towards the likelihood that it won’t break through, leading to a significant drop. The first major support during the decline is around 2500, followed by 2488-2477, and finally around 2452.
If strong resistance is encountered near 2520 and it fails to break through, a double top pattern could form, making a drop to around 2452 highly likely. Therefore, in next week’s trading, focus on observing the resistance and prioritize short positions.