Will Economic Data Push Gold to New ATH or Cause a Reversal?Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced the Funding Rate , and Jerome Powell's speech followed. These events created market volatility, influencing traders’ sentiment towards gold. Now, we turn our attention to today's key economic data releases .
Today's Key Data Releases & Gold Impact :
Advance GDP : The reported 2.3% is weaker than expected (2.7%), which may create mild support for gold as it signals slower economic growth. A stronger GDP reading would have strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on gold.
Unemployment Claims : The 207K claims are better than expected (224K), suggesting a strong labor market, which may limit gold’s upside as the USD gains strength.
Advance GDP Price Index : The reported 2.2% inflation is lower than the expected 2.5%, which could reduce gold’s appeal, as it suggests easing inflationary pressure.
Given today’s key economic data, gold is likely to face downward pressure due to stronger labor market data and lower inflation, although the weaker GDP might provide some support in the short term. Expect volatility based on the combination of GDP growth and inflation trends.
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is approaching its Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and All-Time High(ATH=$2,790.17) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 can be completed in PRZ . ( Of course, if the other wave counting scenario happens, we should have a correction from PRZ ).
I expect Gold to follow the Roadmap I specified in the chart.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Xauusdlong
Xauusdn weekly chart Gold price stands tall near fresh record highs after closing Thursday well beyond the symmetrical triangle target of $2,785 or the previous all-time high of $2,790.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently near 68, suggesting that there is more room to the upside before Gold price enters the overbought territory at 70.
The ongoing bounce in the US Dollar triggers a knee-jerek in Gold prices, slipping back to the $2,800 region per ounce troy following the confirmation of US tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China.
Accumulating uptrend above 2800 zone ! XAU / USD✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 02/03/2025 - 02/07/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices hover near record highs above $2,800 on Friday as risk aversion grows following the White House’s clarification on US tariff plans. Contrary to earlier Reuters reports, Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed that 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect on February 1, not March 1, and announced a 10% duty on Chinese imports. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $2,797, up 0.15%.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price creates new ATH this week: 2817, market has great potential. In the context of the Trump administration applying tax on Canada and Mexico, the dollar is certainly affected to decrease, under pressure from the tax again, opportunity for gold price to continue to grow.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2817, $2833, $2850
Support : $2788, $2762, $2718
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold continues to dominate the headlines, trading near all-time highs above $2,800 as market participants grow risk-averse. The White House’s confirmation of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico set to take effect on February 1 has sent ripples through the market, adding to the uncertainty.
On the macroeconomic front, December’s Core PCE Price Index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—came in as expected, surpassing November’s numbers. This follows soft Q4 GDP figures and the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy meeting, where officials signalled that inflation risks remain tilted to the upside—strengthening the US Dollar and keeping traders on edge.
📉 So, where is Gold headed next? Will we see a breakout to fresh highs, or is a pullback on the horizon?
In this video, I break down my thought process on Gold’s next potential move and how I’m positioning myself for the upcoming trading week. 🚀
📌 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Do you see Gold continuing its rally, or is a correction due?
#GoldPrice #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #GoldForecast #TradingGold #ForexTrading #Commodities #MarketAnalysis #GoldBreakout
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD post ATH outlook (Bullish oppurtunities)I expect gold to maintain its bullish momentum. After breaking the all-time highs (ATHs), price is likely to slow down and potentially form a Wyckoff distribution. A corrective move may be required before gold continues its push to the upside.
Following the recent break of structure, I’ve identified two clean demand zones where a potential buying opportunity could develop. While the deeper 3-hour demand zone is more ideal, I’ll be watching for price to reach the nearby POIs, where I’ll seek lower time frame confirmations to continue trading in line with the uptrend.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Price has taken out ATHs, indicating that bullish momentum remains.
- The overall structure on higher time frames remains bullish.
- Another break of structure to the upside confirms the trend.
- Clean demand zones have formed, which could serve as strong bases for the next rally.
- This is a pro-trend trade that aligns with market bias and the DXY chart.
Note: If price starts to slow down and shift character to the downside, I’ll look for valid supply zones to form. This could present a counter-trend opportunity to ride the sells back down to key demand levels.
PCE news - gold continues to make new ATH⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices remain steady despite the Fed’s hawkish stance, as the central bank unanimously held rates at 4.25%–4.50% on Wednesday, citing a resilient economy, slow inflation progress, and a recovering job market. Meanwhile, uncertainty lingers over Trump’s tariff plans, with a Saturday deadline for 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada and hints at broader levies exceeding the 2.5% previously suggested by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The swaps market anticipates 50 bps of Fed rate cuts in 2025.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Bullish Market FOMO - Waiting for New ATH 2816 to be Reached Today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2815 - $2817 SL $2822
TP1: $2808
TP2: $2800
TP3: $2790
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2764 - $2766 SL $2759
TP1: $2772
TP2: $2780
TP3: $2790
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Downward correction - waiting to create ATH in US session⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices remain steady despite the Fed’s hawkish stance, as it unanimously kept interest rates at 4.25%–4.50% on Wednesday, citing economic resilience, slow inflation progress, and a strengthening labor market. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounds Trump’s trade policies, with a Saturday deadline for 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, alongside plans for broader levies exceeding the 2.5% previously suggested by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The swaps market currently prices in 50 bps of Fed rate cuts for 2025.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still sideways around the price range of 2785 - 2800, accumulating and waiting for PCE news in the US session.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2786 - $2784 SL $2781
TP1: $2790
TP2: $2795
TP3: $2800
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Consolidates - Trying to Return to Bullish Momentum⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher during Thursday’s Asian session but remain range-bound amid mixed market signals. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish pause after its two-day policy meeting strengthens the US Dollar, limiting gold’s upside. However, declining US Treasury yields and concerns over President Donald Trump’s tariff policies provide support for the safe-haven metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold is mostly sideways below the old ATH 2789, the market is accumulating before wanting to reach a new ATH
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2784 - $2786 SL $2791
TP1: $2778
TP2: $2770
TP3: $2760
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2746 - $2748 SL $2743 scalping
TP1: $2752
TP2: $2758
TP3: $2765
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2731 - $2733 SL $2726
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2750
TP3: $2760
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSDHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in XAUUSD CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
XAUUSD/GOLD Indecision & Decisive Trading (Short Term)Previously suggested price action worked exactly, achieved falling target 2740 and bounced back to 2765/2766 from 2740/2733 marked support exactly.
Based on fundamental event, investors are adopting cautious approach & we are watching this as indecisiveness on decisive market where bulls have edge on bears.
We are expecting a false breakout/stoploss hunting or liquidity grab kind of scenario developing that is keeping bulls and bears to think what to do on intraday terms however on short term may give good buying opportunity.
Still our ultimate goal is around 2782/2790+.
gold on sideways move#XAUUSD can retrace back below 2759 or more but firstly we await 2770.99 on double breakout before selling, TP 2759-2750, SL 2780. Now above 2787.57 price have multiple breakout before possibly bullish which will break above 2800-2810 will occur, but if price reject on multiple and touch 2790 former ATH then full retracment on sell will start from therr.
Gold Buy Limit OrderHey guys.
We have a beautiful FVG and I think this area is good to set an order.
There are other areas in this leg that I'm interested in, but I think this one has the most potential.
Let's see what happens next week.
Good luck.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
FOMC - Can Gold Return to ATH 2789?⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to extend its previous gains, fluctuating above $2,760 during the Asian session on Wednesday. Improved stability in equity markets limits demand for the safe-haven metal.
However, a renewed decline in US Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts this year restrain the US Dollar’s recovery from a one-month low. Additionally, uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies provides support for gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers - market is positive again after a short correction. FOMC important information for the market to continue to be positive or not
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2787 - $2789 SL $2794
TP1: $2780
TP2: $2770
TP3: $2760
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2716 - $2718 SL $2711
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2732
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD - signalAs it was highly requested we are publishing a signal for XAUUSD. We took adaptive buys due to negative CB Consumer Confidence data was lower than forecast and lower than previous, and due to it’s negative affect on TVC:DXY we are in buys.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2755
- SL: 2746.531
- TP: 2772.300
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD should see more upside due to negative news for the US dollar.
- XAUUSD is still overall bullish
Happy trading!
FxPocket
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAP UPDATEDHello Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD weekly chart we’ve been closely monitoring and trading. Below is a detailed overview of the current range we've been tracking for an extended period.
Previously, we identified a strong resistance level at 2790, which we highlighted as a potential trigger for a reversal. At that time, we recommended holding off on trades since the price was prone to reverse at any moment. Additionally, we mentioned that if EMA5 crosses and holds above the ENTRY LEVEL at 2735.35, it would signal a buy opportunity with a target at TP1. However, the EMA5 has not crossed this level yet, and we are still waiting for confirmation.
Our analysis played out perfectly. There were multiple break attempts into the channel, but EMA5 failed to cross the ENTRY LEVEL, confirming rejection as anticipated.
This week started with a significant bounce on Monday, with the FVG providing solid support in the 2730-2735 range. This support could potentially help the price make another attempt to cross the resistance level. However, we will wait for confirmation by seeing if EMA5 crosses and holds above 2735.
For more details, check our smaller timeframes for a deeper insight.
Please follow our channel, and don’t forget to show your support by liking, commenting, and following.
The QUANTUM Trading Mastery
GOLD 4H CHART ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHello Traders,
Here’s our updated analysis for the 4H GOLD chart. Last week’s projections played out perfectly, with EMA5 crossing and holding above key levels, successfully reaching our targets TP1, TP2, and TP3 (marked with orange circles on the chart).
Target Levels for the Coming Week:
This week, GOLD reversed from the resistance level at 2785.94. Currently, EMA5 and price are fluctuating between two weighted levels, with a gap above at 2785 and a gap below at 2733. We’ll need EMA5 to cross and hold above or below the ENTRY LEVEL at 2733 to determine the next range.
Key Updates:
Resistance Level: 2785.94
Bullish Targets:
TP1: 2785
TP2: 2810
TP3: 2833
If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2758, the next bullish target is TP1 (2785).
If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP1 (2785), the path to TP2 (2810) will open.
If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP2 (2810), the path to TP3 (2833) will open.
Bearish Targets:
Key Level: 2733
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2733, it will open the path to 2706.
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2706, the path to 2680 will open.
If EMA5 crosses and locks below 2680, the path to 2653 will open.
Additional Ranges:
Retracement Range: 2706 - 2680
Swing Range: 2664 - 2634
We will continue to monitor these levels and provide updates based on how EMA5 interacts with the weighted zones.
The QUANTUM Trading Mastery
Chances of gold price hitting new ATH this week?⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported that both Services and Manufacturing PMIs have moved into contraction, signaling a potential slowdown in the global economy.
In the US, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for December showed improvement by exiting negative territory, indicating signs of economic recovery.
Looking ahead, this week's US economic calendar includes key data releases such as Durable Goods Orders, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting, Q4 2024 GDP figures, job market updates, and the Fed's preferred inflation measure—the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold adjusted down within the range of 2 H1 trendlines, sideways price range 2730-2750 in Asian and European sessions, waiting for US session news data
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2705 - $2707 SL $2700
TP1: $2715
TP2: $2723
TP3: $2730
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2759 - $2761 SL $2766
TP1: $2750
TP2: $2740
TP3: $2730
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account