Xauusdlong
Adjusting to go up - waiting for Gold to breakout⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) experienced a sharp intraday drop of over 1.5% on Wednesday after coming close to the record high. This decline followed the release of US consumer inflation data, which showed a downward trend in inflation and reinforced expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin cutting rates in September. However, investors reduced their expectations for aggressive rate cuts, leading to a modest rebound in the US Dollar (USD) from its recent multi-month low, which put pressure on gold.
Despite this, concerns about a potential escalation of conflict in the Middle East helped limit gold's losses, providing support around the $2,438 level. The precious metal recovered about $10 from its daily low and gained some momentum during Thursday's Asian session, though continued USD buying is capping significant gains. For now, XAU/USD appears to have halted its two-day losing streak as traders await US Retail Sales data and other key economic reports later on Thursday for fresh direction.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
It is inevitable that liquidity is swept from the 2441 zone, sideways around the price zone of 2441 - 2461 to be able to increase strongly next.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2426 - $2424 SL $2419
TP1: $2435
TP2: $2450
TP3: $2462
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2459 - $2461 SL $2464
TP1: $2455
TP2: $2448
TP3: $2440
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2484 - $2486 SL $2491
TP1: $2478
TP2: $2470
TP3: $2460
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Price XAU-USD I am closely monitoring W-bottom on 1m & 2m Breakout imminent on Gold XAU-USD need to break the top of W...'neck-line'
XAUUSD_2024-08-16_00-07-49_01a01.png
Plan of trade: Buy the break-out of price action past neck-line.
The market-makers love to pull price back before it breaks.
Good luck!
Cheers
Chris
Be aware that Silver is probably the better buy today and platinum...chart analysis. Either way lets wait for the break.
Gold Analysis==>FallingGold is moving in the Heavy Resistance zone($2,484-$2,431) and Resistance line .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) near the resistance line .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to GO down to at least the Support line .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
xauusd long FUNDAMENTALLY;
persistent inflation concerns drive investors to gold
geopolic tensions make gold as a safe haven
cpi came as negative which devalue from the dollar
technically ;
BULLISH TREND
BREAK OF THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONE
A DEEP RETEST ON THE DAILY zone
PRICE ABOVE THE SMAES
HIGH BULLISH VOLUME
PRICE IS ON A MONTHLY S/D ZONE
M LOOKING FOR SHRINKING CANDLES
MULTIPLE REJECTIONS
FEB RETRACEMENT EITHER 368 OR 50
A LONG WICK DOji CANDLE ON THE 4H FOR my ENTRY SIGNAL
1H DOUBLE BOTTOM
30M ENGULFING OR A VARIATION CANDLE
RM;
1%RISK
4.1 RRR
SCALING IN USING BOH setup while trailing in my stops
ps advice :
follow your plan and only
think of the setup itself not the money
manage risk vs reward
XAU/USD: Don’t chase the highs, beware of retracement risksGold market fundamentals:
The market believes that the Fed will definitely cut interest rates in September, but the uncertainty is whether it will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points.
The decline in U.S. bond yields and the low dollar index make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies, providing some support for gold prices.
In addition, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains tense, which also provides safe-haven support for gold prices.
Technical aspects of the gold market:
With the rise of today's Asian and European sessions, the gold price is now above 2440 points, and the resistance of 2430-2440 has been broken. The nearest resistance above is the previous high of 2458. From the trend of the daily chart, the 4-hour chart and the 1-hour chart, it is an upward trend, so it is sufficient to continue to be bullish in the general direction. In the short term, due to the pull-up of today's Asian and European sessions, the price is at a high level. I think it is very likely to rise again after a correction in the short term.
Trading strategy:
I will not chase the rise today, but consider buying when waiting for the pullback support.
Support range: 2425-2435
Resistance range: above 2458
Daily risk data: US New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations in July
CPI data comes, gold price is expected to exceed 2500Judging from the current gold price, I think it is of little significance to refer to technical indicators.
From the hourly chart, it is not difficult to see that gold has been fluctuating in the range of 2458 lows and 2475 highs in the past two days, and this state is very likely to change after the release of CPI data in 1 hour.
The current gold price shows an obvious bullish trend under the influence of geopolitical crises, interest rate cuts and other factors, and the safe-haven demand and attractiveness of gold prices are still increasing. In the short term, the price is very likely to break through the historical high and stand firm at the 2500-point integer mark.
The release of CPI data will not have a great impact on the current bullish trend of gold. If it is bullish for gold, the bullish power will be released directly, directly to 2500 points. If it is bearish for gold, the bullish power will be significantly stronger than the shortish power. This situation will not cause gold to turn downward.
Therefore, my strategy today must be mainly bullish. Here are two ideas for your reference. The first is to buy directly at the current price and wait for the price to rise. The second is to wait for the data to be released. If you are bullish, you can directly chase the rise, and if you are bearish, you can wait. Buy at the low point after the negative power is released
Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) Bullish FlagThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2474, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2496
2nd Support – 2506
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2450. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Can't go wrong with GOLD in this environment?XAUUSD price is forming a symmetrical triangle, and approaching record high territory.
Triangle Continuation pattern and the buy entry will be formed if the price latter break above the short-term downtrend line.
Can't go wrong with GOLD in this environment?
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Nears Key Resistance: Major Move Ahead?Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Market Analysis - August 13, 2024
Daily Chart Overview
- Broadening Wedge Pattern: The daily chart reveals a broadening wedge pattern, often associated with market indecision and potential reversal signals. This pattern, characterized by expanding volatility, suggests that the market is at a critical juncture, with the possibility of either continuing its uptrend or facing a significant correction.
- Ascending Channel (Bullish Flag): Within this broader wedge, a smaller ascending channel (bullish flag) has formed. While typically a continuation pattern, the flag is currently struggling to maintain its structure as price action approaches a significant resistance zone.
- Key Resistance Levels (Daily Liquidity Zone):
- The price is hovering just below the Daily Liquidity Zone (LQZ), ranging between 2,477.654 and 2,484.053. This area also aligns with the previous higher high, marking it as a critical resistance zone.
- A failure to break above this zone could lead to a reversal, while a successful breakout would open the path for continued bullish momentum.
- Support Levels:
- The Lower boundary of the ascending channel around 2,454.606 (which aligns with the 15M Liquidity Zone) serves as immediate support.
- A breakdown from this level could trigger a deeper correction towards the lower trendline of the broadening wedge, likely around the 2,420 - 2,430area.
4-Hour and 1-Hour Chart Insights
- Broadening Top Formation (4H): Echoing the daily pattern, the 4H chart displays a broadening top, indicating increased market volatility and a potential battle between buyers and sellers.
- Descending Channel (1H): A descending channel has formed within the broadening top on the 1H chart, suggesting a short-term bearish bias. This descending channel is pressing against the 4H and Daily LQZ, increasing the likelihood of a significant price movement soon.
15-Minute Chart Considerations
- Bear Flag Formation: The 15M chart shows a bear flag, a continuation pattern that could signal further downside. This pattern is forming near the 15M LQZ, reinforcing the importance of this support level.
- Potential Breakdown: The price is testing the lower boundary of this bear flag. A breakdown here could lead to a continuation of the downtrend, particularly if the 15M LQZ fails to hold.
Mass Psychology & Market Sentiment
- Indecision and Volatility: The broadening patterns across multiple time frames reflect growing market indecision and volatility. Traders should be cautious as this setup often leads to sharp and unpredictable price movements.
- Watch for Divergences: Keep an eye on potential bearish divergences on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, particularly around the key resistance levels. These could provide early signals of a market reversal.
Trading Strategy Recommendations
- Wait for Confirmation: Given the critical resistance at the Daily LQZ, it’s prudent to wait for clear confirmation of either a breakout or a reversal. A strong daily close above the LQZ would be more convincing for bullish continuation.
- Short-Term Bias: On the lower time frames (15M and 1H), the bias remains bearish. Caution is advised for long positions until there's a definitive break above resistance.
- Risk Management: Considering the broadening patterns and associated volatility, tighter stop losses or reduced position sizes are recommended to manage risk effectively.
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Summary: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is at a crucial inflection point, with significant resistance at the Daily LQZ and potential support at the 15M LQZ. Traders should closely monitor price action in the coming sessions, as a decisive move in either direction could set the tone for the next major trend.
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XAUUSD: Risk aversion heats up, continues to be bullishGold Market Fundamentals:
Yesterday, gold prices surged by over $40 due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, driving safe-haven inflows. Israel’s military actions in Gaza, potential Iranian retaliation, and Ukrainian attacks on Russia’s Kursk region have all heightened investor demand for gold. Additionally, the market's heightened sensitivity to geopolitical risks has increased gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. The market now sees a 49% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September. Falling U.S. Treasury yields are also supporting gold prices.
Gold Market Technicals:
Technically, the uptrend remains strong. After yesterday's rapid price increase, gold is facing resistance at previous highs. According to Fibonacci retracement, the 0.786 level is at 2456, which has shown some support but not strongly. The next strong support area is significantly lower than the current price.
Trading Strategy:
I have bought at 2461, targeting 2480 and 2500
Support Range: 2456, 2435
Resistance Range: Around 2480
Intraday Risk Data: U.S. July PPI
If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up and let’s discuss GOLD’s latest ideas together.
PPI - Waiting for Gold's new ATH⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) surged over 1% on Monday, driven by safe-haven demand due to concerns about escalating conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine's unexpected offensive against Russia. Additionally, dovish expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) weakened the US Dollar (USD), helping gold move closer to its monthly high during Tuesday's Asian session.
However, the positive market sentiment led to some selling pressure on gold in the same session. Bulls appear cautious, waiting for the upcoming US inflation data before making further moves. Despite this, gold remains near the all-time high reached in July and is likely to break out of the short-term range it has held for the past month.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price increased back to the highest resistance zone 2475-2480. There was an adjustment in the Asian and European sessions to expect to create a new ATH this week: over 2500
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2440 - $2442 SL $2435
TP1: $2455
TP2: $2470
TP3: $2500
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2518 - $2520 SL $2525
TP1: $2510
TP2: $2500
TP3: $2490
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
Price moves steadily on all 3 EMA lines, Uptrend expected to break ATH
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: Updated View, Safe Heaven is on the rise! Dear Traders,
Our previous analysis that we had anticipated price to drop, however, price were accumulating during that time and we failed to idefitfy the pattern. However, now we expect price to reach and touch previous HH point, which will be a key area for most of the traders, whether price will be reversing back to the 2300$ region or 2500$.
Good luck and trade safe.
Tuesday's Profit Signals and Strategies
#xauusd
Yesterday, gold rose violently by 2423-2476=530pips
The several areas I gave rose violently after only a small profit.
Then it broke through the red area of my chart and rose along the arrow.
Today I give several trading areas:
buy xauusd1 2451-2454 is at the 0.5 line of the rising channel. (Gold rebounded once at 2458. Next observation)
buy xauusd2 2442-2445 0.618 line. Today's most suitable price range for buying and rising.
buy xauusd23 2431-2435 If gold is at this price. You can buy directly.
sell xauusd 2481-2485 The highest price in history. If the gold price reaches this range. You can sell. If it breaks through the line in my chart, then gold may continue to rise violently
Please refer to my resistance and support area trading. This way you can get some safe profits. Don't be greedy. Trading opportunities always exist.
If you trade profitably with my signals or you like my analysis, then please give me a thumbs up and join me.
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 🔍 In this video, we take an in-depth look at XAU/USD (Gold). Recently, it broke structure on the daily time frame with a strong bullish move toward previous resistance levels. However, on the 4-hour chart, we're seeing a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term downward trend. Despite this, the price appears to be holding steady, and I'm monitoring for a potential bullish breakout. If the price breaks resistance and retraces into the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci zone, it could present a buying opportunity.
As always, this video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's important to understand that these insights are speculative and not a guaranteed forecast. Confirm specific price actions before making any trades, as discussed in the video. The analysis covers the current trend, market structure, and price behaviour in detail. Remember, this content is educational and doesn't guarantee success. Trading carries significant risks, so always use strong risk management strategies. 📊✅
XAUUSD | Road to 2,500 PhasePrevious analysis has now near enough completed with a large bullish surge today making its way over 2 key quarter level phases with 2500 being the last of this phase section, after breaking through the previous days high gold now tests the all time high of 2,485 where there is a lot of pressure to break through already.
With various events happening this week such as the CPI, PPI + Retail Sales I think the final event on thursday could provide key insight into golds growth and how the precious metal stands out from the rest, it is noteworthy of paying attention to the upcoming PPI although only short term impact it can play important roles within the FED and further conditions.
What are your thoughts and ideas? Let me know below :)
XAUUSD 4HR Update XAUUSD 4HR Update
Following the previous analysis we correctly identified the market pivot off the key psych quarter zone and saw a bullish surge back up into the 2400s where price now sits at 2427.45, Going forwards I foreseeing price to make a push for the key level of 2450 and complete the next phase section of 2500 target.
Check out my last update analysis to see how we progressed and leave a comment with your thoughts and ideas below :)
Gold Price Advances to Amid Rising Middle East Tension
Gold prices have surged to a one-week high, buoyed by a confluence of factors that have ignited investor interest in the safe-haven asset. For the third consecutive day, the precious metal has experienced upward momentum, driven primarily by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and mounting expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The escalating conflicts in the Middle East have cast a shadow over global markets, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold tends to appreciate during periods of heightened uncertainty and geopolitical instability. The ongoing tensions in the region have heightened concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies and the broader economic implications, thereby bolstering gold's appeal.
Simultaneously, growing speculation about a potential pivot by the Federal Reserve towards a more dovish monetary policy stance has also supported gold prices. As economic growth concerns persist, market participants are increasingly betting on interest rate cuts later this year. Lower interest rates typically benefit gold, as they reduce the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.
However, the upside potential for gold prices may be tempered by the overall positive risk sentiment in the market. While geopolitical tensions and rate cut expectations have provided a solid foundation for gold's rally, a generally upbeat market mood could limit gains. Investors are also likely to adopt a cautious stance ahead of the release of crucial US inflation data this week. The inflation figures will provide valuable insights into the trajectory of the US economy and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path.
As the market digests the evolving geopolitical landscape and awaits key economic indicators, gold prices are expected to remain volatile in the near term. While the underlying fundamentals remain supportive, the potential for profit-taking and shifts in investor sentiment could introduce some headwinds.
Going forward, the interplay between geopolitical tensions, interest rate expectations, and overall market sentiment will be crucial in determining the direction of gold prices. Traders and investors will be closely monitoring developments in the Middle East, as well as economic data releases, for clues about the metal's future trajectory.