Bitcoin & Gold: Weekly Options Trading Recap
Gold: 🌟 The entire past week saw a positive trend in gold trading, characterized by a continuous accumulation of vertical call spreads targeting $2925-$2950. On Friday, higher targets around $2990-$3000 were added, with expiration in August of this year. The sentiment remains positive. However, volatility increased last week and remains at a relatively high level, indicating potential turbulence in the precious metals market.
Bitcoin: 💰 Interesting portfolios aiming for $120,000-$140,000 have been observed in Bitcoin trading. These portfolios emerged on January 16 when Bitcoin was around $99,000. Within a couple of days, Bitcoin surged by 6.8% and broke the previous high around $102,500.
Xauusdlong
XAUUSD TODAY LONG MAPPING IN 1H Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 1-Hour TF
Trend Structure:
The chart displays a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an uptrend. Price swings and suggest a bullish pattern.
SUPPORT AREA 2701
2ND SUPPORT AREA 2692
TARGET WELL BE 2742
Conclusion:
The setup looks bullish, with a breakout and retest pattern signaling a possible upward move. However, confirming momentum and watching for reactions near resistance levels is crucial for a clearer trade signal. Let me know in the comments section for more highlights!
XAUUSD TODAY MAPPING IN 1H TF CHECK IT GUYS Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 1-Hour TF
Trend Structure:
The chart displays a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an uptrend. Price swings and suggest a bullish pattern.
Conclusion:
The setup looks bullish, with a breakout and retest pattern signaling a possible upward move. However, confirming momentum and watching for reactions near resistance levels is crucial for a clearer trade signal. Let me know in the comments section for more highlights!
SCALPING ! XAU ! Gold correction - back to BUY entry⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
This week's US data indicated easing inflation, boosting expectations of two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, which supported the Gold price. Additionally, Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated on Thursday that inflation is expected to decline further and suggested three or four rate cuts might occur if US economic conditions worsen. The prospect of Fed rate cuts drove a further drop in US Treasury yields and kept the US Dollar near a one-week low, providing extra support to XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold is adjusting down as necessary, balancing the market. Short and long term frames are still showing that the upward force will continue.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2700 - $2698 SL $2695
TP1: $2704
TP2: $2708
TP3: $2715
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold will have a correctionThe US core CPI was lower than expected, a positive sign for gold, increasing the likelihood that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates this year.
The market now expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 40 basis points by the end of the year, compared to around 31 basis points before the inflation data.
Meanwhile, gold is stuck in the crosshairs of Donald Trump, who is about to start his second term next week. Experts say that imposing tariffs on many types of imports could increase inflation and further limit the Fed's ability to cut interest rates.
Many believe that precious metals will have no shortage of bullish catalysts in 2025. According to Chris Mancini, portfolio manager of Gabelli Gold Fund, the main catalyst he is watching is economic uncertainty and the impact on consumer prices.
XAUUSD; long-term analysis pre-NFPHere is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels.
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2670s. Our scenarios are in play after the NFP data is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view.
Scenario 1: long-term BUYS
-We broke above 2675.
With the break of 2675 we can expect a possible move up to 2690. With a retest back at 2700s, that would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on our next KL (Key Level) at around 2714 or previous highs at 2726.
Scenario 2: long-term SELLS
-We respected our KL and stayed below 2675.700.
If we start making our way down to 2646 and manage to break below it, we could see more sells in play down to 2604.
NFP DATA! WHAT’S COMING?
With the NFP data coming out tomorrow , we can expect huge volatility. Spikes are to be expected. With the Jobless claims report we got yesterday, we can possibly anticipate more positive numbers for the TVC:DXY and potentially leading into more sells on OANDA:XAUUSD which would play by our Scenario 2 ! If on the other hand the NFP data comes in lower than expected, we should follow by our long-term Scenario 1 .
IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS:
- 2690 ; breaks above would result in gold revisiting previous highs
- 2675 ; breaks above would result in more upside
- 2646 ; breaks below would result in sells
- 2633 ; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 2620 ; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 2604 ; breaks below would confirm gold is bearish and we should see lower levels (2590..)
Personal opinion:
As the new financial year is here, and we are barely in the first weeks of trading, the direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. The spikes we had last few days on XAUUSD did not give us the best or most optimal trading conditions. The market is undecided on the direction, until we get the NFP Data out. Stay patient and be smart.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking above 2675 would confirm buys.
- XAUUSD failing to break above 2675 could result in lower prices.
- Breaks below 2646 would result in sells.
- The market has no directions until we get the NFP Data out on Friday 10th.
- Positive NFP Data would result in stronger DXY and lower prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 2.
- Negative NFP Data would result in weaker DXY and higher prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 1.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
XAU SCALPING ! Resistance 2712 entry SELL ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond continued to pull back from the 14-month high reached on Monday, pushing the US Dollar to a one-week low. However, investor confidence that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate-cutting cycle later this year has renewed demand for the USD, limiting gains for XAU/USD. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin acknowledged progress toward the central bank's 2% inflation target in recent data but emphasized the need to maintain restrictive interest rates.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Uptrend continues today - scalping sell short resistance zone 2712
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2712 - $2714 SL $2717
TP1: $2708
TP2: $2703
TP3: $2695
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold outlook: Buy dips remains the strategyIn my post yesterday, I mentioned that gold could test levels above 2700. True to expectations, the price rose steadily throughout the day, briefly spiking just above this critical 2700 level overnight.
After a short-lived correction, the price has returned to the 2700 zone. My outlook remains bullish as long as the 2660 support zone holds strong. For now, buying on dips remains the preferred strategy.
The immediate target is the 2720 resistance zone, which could act as a key level to watch for profit taking on buys.
2720 - wait for gold price to touch this bullish zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) reached a new one-month high during Thursday's Asian session but struggled to sustain momentum above the $2,700 level. Reduced concerns about US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed trade tariffs and expectations of two potential Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts this year have supported positive market sentiment. However, a slight uptick in the US Dollar (USD) has limited further gains for the safe-haven metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Short and long trends are both supporting the uptrend - resistance zone 2720 H4 frame waiting for price to reach today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2677 - $2675 SL $2670
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2692
TP3: $2700
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2720 - $2722 SL $2727
TP1: $2710
TP2: $2700
TP3: $2690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Price Update: Potential Bullish ContinuationGold prices are showing signs of a potential bullish continuation. The price has retraced to the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 2,677.26 USD after a strong upward move and appears to be stabilizing around this support.
The current consolidation above 2,677.26 USD suggests the possibility of another upward push toward the 1.0 Fibonacci level at 2,697.98 USD, with further resistance levels at 2,718.71 USD and 2,729.08 USD. However, if the price fails to hold above 2,677.26 USD, the next support level to watch is 2,666.89 USD.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 2,697.98 USD (1.0 Fibonacci level)
Support Zone: 2,677.26 USD (0.5 Fibonacci level) and 2,666.89 USD (0.25 Fibonacci level)
Potential Targets: 2,729.08 USD (1.75 Fibonacci level)
This setup indicates a bullish outlook if key support levels hold. Should monitor price action closely for confirmation of the next move.
Gold Trend and PatternsTrend and Patterns
Long-term trend: Based on the latest analysis, the XAUUSD pair shows mixed signals. On the one hand, there are forecasts for a possible rise in the gold price to $2900-$3000 levels in 2025, after which a significant drop to $1700-$1500 is expected. On the other hand, current analyses point to a possible continuation of the uptrend in the short term.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: Important support levels include areas around 2607 and 2638.88 where there is buying interest.
Resistance: Resistance levels include 2663, 2680.35, and a higher level around 2720, which may restrain further price gains.
Indicators and Oscillators
Fibonacci: The use of Fibonacci levels shows that the pair is testing pullback levels such as 38.2% and 61.8%, which may provide signals for market entry.
Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis shows that retail traders are often in long positions, which may indicate the possibility of counter-trend trading.
Conclusion
The XAUUSD pair has exhibited volatility typical of precious metals this year, with possible upside and downside scenarios. Strong support and resistance levels indicate potential entry and exit points for trading. It is important to keep an eye on the key levels mentioned above, as well as macroeconomic news that can significantly influence the gold price.
Continue to be bullish, buy above 2683 todayGold maintains a bullish trend structure intact, and the daily chart continues to close strongly. The price runs along the middle and upper rail channel of the Bollinger Bands, and the MA10/7-day moving average continues to open upward and gradually moves up to 2668/80, and the RSI indicator turns upward above the middle axis. The short-term four-hour moving average system also keeps opening upward, and the price gradually moves up along the high point of the 10-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands keep opening upward and the price runs in the middle and upper rail channel.
There is no change in the technical side, buy at a low price, and the trend is rising. Gold is strong in the Asian session, gold has broken through the previous high point, and gold bulls are better. Gold bulls have broken the shock pattern. Since gold bulls are stronger, then take advantage of the bulls.
Gold's 1-hour moving average has entered the golden cross upward pattern again. After falling last night, gold has bottomed out and rebounded again, and set a new high. Gold fell to 2676 in the US market and then bottomed out and rebounded. The gold moving average support moved up to 2683. Buy on dips above 2683. You can enter the market first when gold falls back to 2685.
First support: 2690, second support: 2683, third support: 2672
First resistance: 2708, second resistance: 2718, third resistance: 2730
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2683-2685
SELL: 2718-2720
XAU ! Scalping ! break trend price increase towards 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Eased concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed trade tariffs have bolstered investor confidence, as reflected in the generally positive sentiment across equity markets. Additionally, the strong US jobs report has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate cuts later this month.
This has kept US Treasury bond yields elevated, which could limit traders' appetite for aggressive bullish positions on non-yielding Gold. Attention now shifts to upcoming US consumer inflation data for fresh market direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
M15 short term frame - shows price broke 2680 zone and is trending up stronger
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2697 - $2699 SL $2704
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bulls - Gold price increases! 2698⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices remain resilient despite elevated US real yields, which hover around 2.34%.
The US Dollar softened following the data release, with the Dollar Index (DXY) slipping 0.26% to 109.21. Meanwhile, the US 10-year Treasury bond yield held steady at 4.794%.
In December, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 3.3% year-over-year, slightly below the anticipated 3.4%. Excluding volatile components, Core PPI increased by 3.5% annually, improving from November’s figures but falling short of the 3.8% forecast.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Expected increase 2698, buying pressure is supported, sideway price zone 2670 to accumulate
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2647 - $2645 SL $2640
TP1: $2652
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2670
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2697 - $2699 SL $2704
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2684 - $2686 SL $2689 scalping ( Asian and European sessions)
TP1: $2678
TP2: $2674
TP3: $2668
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold is rising!If we look closely at the gold chart, we have broken a good pattern up and we have an untouched point as a target. We expect to move towards the specified target after a short correction. Of course, next week the correction may be much smaller than expected! Selling deals are a bit more risky at the moment
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Daily/Monthly Long Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Long position initiated within a high-confluence zone supported by multiple technical and structural factors.
- Confluence Factors:
- Daily/Monthly Buy Signal: Higher timeframe signals indicate strong bullish momentum and continuation potential.
- Trendline Support: Price has respected a long-term ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Entry aligns with a daily FVG in a discount zone, offering a high-probability long opportunity.
- Kijun Support: Both daily and weekly Kijun lines provide additional support confluence.
- Liquidity Zone: Recent sweep of liquidity below equal lows clears the path for a bullish reversal.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set below the trendline and daily FVG for tight risk management.
- 1:3 RRR targeting the weak high at 2,910 , with secondary targets near 3,000 for extended profits.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Safe-haven demand for gold is rising amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty, aligning with bullish technical signals.
- Dollar Weakness: Weakening USD supports upside momentum in XAUUSD.
- Volume Profile: Strong buy-side volume near key support levels indicates institutional participation.
Execution Plan:
- Long entry near the confluence zone of the trendline, FVG, and Kijun support.
- Maintain stop-loss below the daily FVG to manage risk effectively.
- First target near 2,910 , with extended targets at 3,000 for partial or full profit-taking.
- Reassess position if price closes below the trendline or invalidates the daily buy signal.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic events such as interest rate announcements or geopolitical developments that could affect gold prices. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
GOLD Awaits Breakout Amid Key Data Releases!
GOLD is forming a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout soon. The price is consolidating near the 2675-2681 resistance zone, a key area to watch.
The PPI data released yesterday slightly disappointed dollar buyers, offering support to the forex market and causing a small correction in gold. Looking ahead, CPI data could bring further support to the market and drive volatility.
If GOLD breaks above 2681, we could see an upward move toward higher levels. However, a failure to hold above this zone may trigger a bearish breakdown toward lower supports.
Resistance: 2675, 2681, 2690
Support: 2667, 2656
The triangle’s apex suggests a decisive move is imminent.
Watch the CPI data and stay alert for the breakout! 🚨
XAU/USD – Key Support and Upside Potential
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a strong bullish structure, with prices recently bouncing off a major support zone around $2,660. This area, reinforced by the 200 EMA, has acted as a strong foundation for the next potential rally.
The chart highlights:
📌 Support Zone: Key demand area providing stability for a bullish continuation.
📈 Trend Channel: Prices moving within an ascending channel, signaling a steady uptrend.
🚀 Next Target: If momentum sustains, we could see a move toward the $2,720 level.
Stay cautious of any retracements, but the technical suggest the bulls are in control for now. Keep an eye on these levels for your next move!