Xauusdlong
Gold "skydived" from $3,500, where will the landing price be?Fundamental analysis: the game between policy signals and safe-haven demand
From a fundamental perspective, Trump's moderate statement is the core driving factor of this round of gold correction. However, as tariff expectations cool, investors are beginning to reassess the attractiveness of risky assets. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell slightly, indicating that the market's confidence in the economic outlook has recovered. Against this background, the safe-haven premium of gold has been weakened, and profit-taking has accelerated.
In addition, the Fed's policy expectations are still an important variable affecting gold. At present, the market generally expects the Fed to continue to cut interest rates in 2025, but the pace and magnitude depend on inflation data and economic performance. If the expectation of interest rate cuts further heats up, the US dollar index may be under pressure, thereby providing some support for gold.
Technical analysis: pullback pressure and key support
The gold price fell below the support of $3,300, and the next key level points to $3,282, which coincides with the low point on April 17. If the decline continues, $3,150, as the pivot point in early April, will become an important defensive line for bulls. On the contrary, if the price stabilizes and rebounds, the pivot point of $3,415 will be the first resistance level, and further upward movement needs to pay attention to the higher resistance of $3,464. It is worth noting that the current price is far away from the resistance level of $3,415, and the rebound momentum may be limited in the short term, unless new fundamental catalysts appear to push the RSI back to the overbought area.
Quaid's comprehensive analysis:
The gold market has entered a consolidation phase after a rapid rise, and short-term correction pressure still exists, but in the long run, safe-haven demand and fundamental support remain solid. Quaid recommends that traders pay close attention to US policy trends, the trend of the US dollar, and the performance of key technical levels to grasp the market rhythm.
At the same time, Quaid will always pay attention to international news so as to make timely analysis and suggestions for traders; to help traders get out of the current predicament.
4/23 Gold Trading StrategyGold saw a sharp decline from 3500 to around 3360 yesterday, and our selling strategy delivered significant returns.
Over the weekend, Trump stated he has no intention to fire Powell and hinted at easing trade tensions. This quickly dampened market risk aversion, causing gold to plunge at the open today to near 3320. The downward momentum remains strong.
In this kind of market, flexibility is key. A sharp drop is usually followed by a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is what matters. Technically, the potential bounce is estimated at around $50, but whether the price continues to rise or resumes its decline will depend on how the market digests the news.
Technical levels (excluding news impact):
Key resistance: 3410–3440
Key support: 3328–3303
Considering the news:
Key resistance: 3346-3372
Key support: 3298–3268
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3410–3440
Buy between 3297–3267
Trade flexibly within 3386–3332 / 3296–3328
Analysis of the latest gold trend and trading layoutThe uncertainty of the current tariff policy remains the focus of market attention. Gold has shown signs of easing recently, but a specific agreement has not yet been implemented, and market concerns about potential risks remain. This uncertainty puts pressure on the US dollar, and as a safe-haven asset, the price of gold may face correction pressure when risk appetite rebounds. From a technical point of view, the 4-hour trend of gold shows a volatile downward trend, and the price rebounded only after hitting the previous support level, indicating that short-term short forces are still dominant. In terms of hourly trend, the price of gold maintains a low and narrow range of fluctuations and lacks rebound momentum. The upper resistance is currently at 3295-3300, and the lower support is at 3250-3245. In terms of operation, it is recommended to do long callbacks in late trading, supplemented by rebounds from high altitudes.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go long in the callback of 3233-3227, stop loss 3220, and the target is 3260-3285.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go short in the rebound of 3315-3320, stop loss 3327, and the target is 3290-3260.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Can gold continue to fall and set a new high?This wave of gold correction is still ongoing. In fact, the market has a warning for today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so the trend of gold will definitely continue. Moreover, after gold rose to the 3500 level yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive trend, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
Policies may drive the pace.Regarding the Federal Reserve Chair's statement indicating a halt to drastic interventions, it has, to a certain extent, bolstered the sentiment in the equity market, leading to an outflow of some funds from the gold market. Meanwhile, the market is also assessing the potential pace of subsequent policies. There remains a divergence in the market's expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in the coming months. The persistent phenomenon of policy stance reversals within the United States has resulted in inconsistent views on the macroeconomic outlook among market participants. Influenced by the aforementioned factors, after surging significantly to around $3,500 in the earlier period, the gold price experienced profit-taking. Technically, gold oscillated and declined all the way from around the high of $3,500 yesterday, reaching a low of $3,291, with a decline of over $200. In the short term, the decline in the gold price has halted, and the bullish sentiment persists. In actual trading, today, long positions were opened around the bottom of $3,302. After the decline in the evening, long positions can be further established.
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Trump's remarks and policy moves: Stirring the financial marketsTrump's remarks have sent shockwaves through financial markets and had a substantial impact on gold prices😰! He declared that he would not dismiss Fed Chair Powell, yet simultaneously called for interest rate cuts. His prior threats to remove Powell had stoked fears among investors regarding the Federal Reserve's policy, compelling them to turn to gold as a safe haven, which caused the price of gold to soar🚀. However, his most recent statement alleviated investors' concerns, leading funds to flow back into dollar - denominated assets and causing gold to decline from its peak levels📉
When it came to trade, Trump showed signs of leniency during the talks with China, aiming to reach a swift agreement that would reduce tariffs by 145% (although not to zero)🤝. The past unpredictability in trade relations had driven up the price of gold, and potential future easing measures might dampen the demand for gold as a safe haven asset⏳
Currently, the upward movement of XAU/USD has been put on hold⏸️. A large amount of capital has rushed into the virtual currency market, resulting in a significant surge in the price of BTC📈
⚡⚡⚡ XAUUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@3300 - 3280
🚀 TP 3260 - 3240 - 3220 -3200
The market has been extremely volatile lately 📈📉 If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others 💰
Gold shorts are rampant! Can the 3300 mark be maintained?Yesterday, the international gold price fell from 3,500 USD/ounce to 130 USD, breaking through several important support levels. As of today, the lowest price reached 0.328, around 3291, which has given up all the gains this week. Focus on 0.382, 3291, within the day. If there is no break, the bulls will resist. After the break, the bears will continue to attack and look at around 3243-3228.
Spot gold today's operation strategy and key points analysis
Core view: The daily pressure adjustment continues, pay attention to the effectiveness of 3293 support in the short term, and the 3228-3240 area may become the end point of the adjustment;
The rebound is mainly high-altitude, pay attention to the 3340-3356 resistance area, and maintain a bearish outlook before stabilization;
1. Spot gold intraday operation plan
Resistance and short-selling area
Rebound: 3340-3356-3471 (4-hour middle track and MA5 daily resistance golden section 0.236)
Strategy: If the rebound is under pressure near 3340 (hourly chart K-line closes negative or stagflation signal), try shorting with a light position, stop loss above 3358, and target 3293-3280.
Aggressive short order: If the rebound is unable to break through 3335 (MA10 hourly moving average), you can enter the market in advance.
Support and potential bottom-picking area
First support: 3291 (Daily MA10 382 retracement)
Observation signal: If it rebounds and recovers 3291 after a rapid decline, you can short (light position), stop loss 3285, target 3340.
Strong support area: 3228-3240 (50% retracement, previous starting point)
Strategy: When it touches around 3228 for the first time, combined with bottom divergence or long lower shadow, try long with light position, stop loss 3210, target 3280-3300.
Breakthrough market response
Unexpectedly break through 3358: If the hourly chart closes at 3358, short orders will be temporarily exited, pay attention to the counter-pressure of 3380 (4-hour middle track), and short orders can still be tried.
Potential opportunities for bottom-picking in the market: focus on 3240-3228-3167
IV. Summary
Main idea: rebound high and high, focus on 3340-3356-3371*, if it does not break, continue to adjust;
Bottom-picking opportunity: wait for the stabilization signal in the 3228-3240-3167 area, and it is safer to trade on the right side;
Short-term trading depends on the system, and the market depends on the level. Short-term trading is high frequency, fast in and fast out. It is obviously impossible to pursue a high success rate in this model. Therefore, it can only rely on the system to win. There is a clear trading system, stop loss and stop profit system and risk control system. As long as these are done well, short-term trading can also make money. Moreover, short-term trading is a compulsory course for every trader. The market is the core of the real path to profitability, leapfrogging and successful trading, which requires considerable accumulation and precipitation, including the accumulation of mentality, funds, and technical level, and the market is also the path that every trader must reach and must eventually reach and move towards.
Gold is falling wildly, is a key position coming?As of press time, spot gold has fallen wildly to below the support level of $3,300, having hit a record high of $3,500.05 the previous trading day.
At present, gold has fallen more than 5% from its historical high, and the fundamentals seem to be changing.
Quaid believes that gold has reached a key "turning point". After a strong rebound, the precious metal not only gave up all its gains, but also fell to a new low.
The sharp rise in gold prices is mainly due to the market pricing of "stagflation" risks, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold may experience a significant correction, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades in the market, and its parabolic rise is an obvious signal. From a larger cycle perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, because the real yield may continue to decline against the backdrop of the Fed's easing policy. But in the short term, if good news about tariffs continues to be released, gold prices may fall further, and the market will adjust according to the new environment.
Daily chart analysis
From the daily chart, gold has given up all of Monday's gains. From a risk management perspective, buyers may look for a more cost-effective entry position at 3290 in the hope of further gains, while sellers hope that prices can break further down, thereby increasing bearish bets.
4-hour chart analysis
In the 4-hour chart, prices found support around 3300 and rebounded. Buyers intervened at this position and set risks below this support level in an attempt to push prices higher again. Sellers hope that prices fall below this level to push prices further down.
Quaid's analysis:
The current market is crazy. If it can fluctuate and adjust around the 3300 support level, the downward trend will stop and it may rise to 3400.
If this support level fluctuates and falls, it may plummet to around 3150.
Traders can wait and see for a short period of time before trading.
I hope Quid's analysis can help you get out of your current predicament. I also wish that all traders can fight for their own money waves in the market and achieve financial freedom under Quaid’s advice and analysis.
3280 becomes the key for bulls!The previous surge in gold prices was mainly due to the market pricing of "stagflation" risks, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold may experience a significant correction, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades in the market, and its parabolic rise is an obvious signal.
From a larger cycle perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, because the actual yield may continue to decline under the background of the Fed's easing policy. But in the short term, if the good news about tariffs continues to be released, the price of gold may fall further, and the market will adjust according to the new environment.
Views on gold tonight!
In fact, the market has a warning for today's retracement. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after yesterday's gold rose to the 3500 line, the trend weakened, and the market fell all the way to break the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest 3290 line! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market retracement, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! In my opinion, the key entry point for long orders today is the previous starting point of 3280. The short-term retracement of gold is obviously continuing, and in the medium and long term, gold is still bullish. So our entry point is actually relatively simple. When it retreats to 3280, we can directly enter the market. There are still many opportunities for long orders. The retracement is not the peak!
GOLD UPDATEHello friends
As you can see in the picture, everything is clearly defined.
After a strong rise, we see a double top pattern at the top of the channel, which indicates that we should gradually wait for a correction.
Now, how far will the correction continue? In the picture, we have identified the support levels that the price can reach.
*Trade safely with us*
Trump sends out a major signal of tariffs, gold prices plummet
📌 Driving events
On Tuesday evening, local time, US President Trump said that he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Trump also said that tariffs on Chinese imports would be "substantially" reduced from the current 145%.
In addition, Trump said that he would not take "tough measures" against China during the tariff negotiations, and was "optimistic" that he could reach an agreement with it "fairly quickly" and "substantially reduce" the huge 145% tariff imposed on Chinese imports.
Because of President Trump's erratic tariff policy changes, investors' confidence in the outlook for the US economy continues to weaken.
📊Commentary analysis
The slowdown and decline in gold prices are inevitable. The profit-taking mentality and the cooling of news on tariffs and Russian-Ukrainian military operations led to a decline in gold prices.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3350 points, profit target is around 3290 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
GOLD Following The Instructions ! Can We Add Moe To Upside ?The price is following the instructions very good and gave us first +200 Pips , but still need a 4H Closure In Bullish price action to confirm that the price will go up for the next 500 pips , so i booked my profits and waiting for 4h confirmation to confirm the next movement , hope you all followed my instructions and hope we can add another entry .
The gold market suddenly "changed its face"Gold plunged down from the high of 3500 yesterday, mainly due to the fact that US President Trump said at the swearing-in ceremony of Atkins, chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, on Tuesday local time that he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, although he was disappointed that the Fed did not cut interest rates faster. The cooling of risk aversion directly affected the gold price, which once fell to $3366, and then closed near 3382, with the largest drop of 134 points on Tuesday. This wave of gold correction is still continuing. After opening today, it fell straight to 3315. Although it has completely recovered the decline, I think the short position still has continuity, so today's operation strategy is still mainly high-altitude.
Gold is currently trading below 3357. There are signs of a rebound in gold prices at the beginning of the European session. Now the upper suppression level can be moved down. The short-term suppression reference is 3330 here, followed by the second highest point on the way up to 3357; the lower support focuses on the vicinity of 3285, and after effectively breaking it, it can focus on the vicinity of 3245. Now the gold price is trading near the Asian low of 3315. The prudent operation idea is to short at 3331 to protect the gold price near 3320 and wait for the gold price to reach 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound to 3300 and then go short to 3245. It is not recommended to participate in long orders.
Gold is down 100 points, but it still remains high and short.Technically speaking:
① Yesterday's daily line hit a high and fell back to close with a hanging neck line with a long upper shadow, which represents a short-term peak signal. Today's opening opened low and rebounded to repair the gap, which can determine the bottom support in the short term. Therefore, today's range has become a large range of 3313-3500.
From the daily Fibonacci retracement extension line, the current support is around 3291, that is, the range of 3291-3371, and the middle 0.236 is located at 3370.
②The 4-hour indicator macd is dead cross at a high level and runs with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is running near oversold, which means that the 4-hour market is still volatile and weak. In the short term, pay attention to the middle track and the moving average MA5 and MA10 corresponding to the 3403-3358-3404 line, and the short-term moving average MA30 corresponds to the 3350 line. From the 4-hour perspective, the current range is 3291-3371.
③ The current MACD of the hourly line is dead cross with shrinking volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is hooked upward, which represents the rebound trend of the hourly line. At present, we focus on the MA60 moving average, the middle track and the MA30 moving average, which currently correspond to the 3397-3354-3405 line, but will gradually move down over time.
In summary: short-selling in the area near the upper pressure of 3321-3351-3371, and maintaining high altitude as the main theme
Summary: In the short term, the high altitude callback is the main focus, and the key support level is arranged in batches for long orders to follow the long-term trend.
Gold Trading DirectionGold fell back under the pressure of 3386, and then pulled back to the pressure of 3365. The watershed was the morning high of 3386. Focus on the break of the low of 3313. If it breaks, the support of 3283 can be long. The strong support is 3245. If the European session does not break the low, but continues to fluctuate sideways at a low level, then be careful of the rebound at night.
Is gold’s downtrend turning bearish?Gold plunged from a high of 3,500 yesterday, mainly because US President Trump said at the swearing-in ceremony of SEC Chairman Atkins on Tuesday that he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, although he was disappointed that the Fed did not cut interest rates faster. The cooling of risk aversion directly affected the gold price, which once fell to $3,366, and then closed around 3,382, with the largest drop of 134 points on Tuesday. This wave of gold correction is still continuing. After opening today, it fell straight to 3,315. Although the decline has now been completely recovered, I think the short position still has continuity, so today's operation strategy is still mainly high-altitude.
XAUUSD Today's strategyThere has been a remarkable negative correlation between DXY and gold prices for a long time. Although this internal logic is short-term disturbed by multiple complex factors, the core correlation has always dominated the market rhythm. Recently, the joint remarks by the U.S. Treasury Secretary and Trump on easing tariff issues may boost the U.S. dollar emotionally in the short term, thereby suppressing the bullish momentum of gold. However, this impact needs to be examined within the macro framework.
Currently, the high uncertainty of the global economy, the intermittent escalation of geopolitical risks, and the reconstruction of inflation expectations in some economies jointly form a long-term supporting logic for the safe-haven attribute of gold. From a trading perspective, the above-mentioned short-term disturbances instead provide a window for strategic allocation —
Long-term investors who have not yet positioned or exited midway can take the opportunity of market sentiment fluctuations to build positions in batches, with key attention paid to the test opportunities of the critical support range of $3,250-$3,280。
Short-term traders need to strengthen discipline and strictly follow the established stop-loss and take-profit rules. Given the amplified volatility and enhanced randomness of the current market, it is recommended to appropriately shorten the operation cycle and closely track the intraday dynamics to adjust strategies.
Overall, the marginal changes in tariff policy expectations only constitute small-level fluctuations in the trend process, and the medium-to-long-term upward logic of gold remains undamaged. Investors can grasp structural opportunities under the premise of controlling positions according to their own risk preferences.
XAUUSD
buy@3250-3280
tp:3300-3340
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
GOLD Took Third Scenario , New Entry Valid To Get 500 Pips !Here is my second place we can buy gold from it after the first entry that gave us more than 700 pips from last analysis please check it to know all scenarios for the next days , now i`m looking to buy gold again after retest the previous high that already broke , and with any bullish P.A , We can enter a new entry with 500 pips target .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold Short Term UpdateGold on M15 formed a valid descending trendline with 4 touches rejected
so now we're waiting for a M15 candle to broke and close above the touch of the trendline to activate the long (buy) trade
Trade safe and don't forget to trade with risk management
Follow us for more updates and ideas
Can gold continue its decline and hit a new low?Gold price is currently trading below 3330. The downward trend in the Asian session fell below 3313, and our short position also successfully harvested a wave of big profits. Gold price showed signs of rebound at the beginning of the European session. Now the upper suppression level can be moved down. The short-term suppression refers to 3330, followed by the second highest point on the way up to 3357; the lower support focuses on 3285, and after effectively breaking it, we can focus on 3245. Now the gold price is trading near the low point of 3318. The prudent operation idea is to short at 3320 for protection at 3331 to see the gold price go to 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound of 3300 and go short again to see the position of 3245. It is not recommended to participate in long positions.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends shorting mainly on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3320-3330, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3285-3245.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3320-3325, stop loss 6 points, target around 3290-3260, and look at 3245 if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3245-3250, stop loss 6 points, target around 3280-3290, and look at 3300 if it breaks;
GOLD Starting To Go Up Again , Are You Ready To Get 1000 Pips ?Here is my opinion on gold for the next move , after we enter a lot of sell trades and got more than 3000 pips , now the time for looking for buy this pair if we have a 4H Closure in bullish , then we have 2 places to buy from it , show on the chart , but first we need a 4H Closure to confirm , and we will targeting 1000 pips target .
The president's words instantly changed the gold market
📌 Driving events
Today, Wednesday, Trump said that although he was frustrated that the Federal Reserve had not been able to lower interest rates faster, he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
The remarks marked a huge shift in Trump's attitude. He has recently stepped up his criticism of Powell and refused to rule out the possibility of taking the unprecedented step of firing Powell.
After Trump said he had no intention of firing Powell, the situation between Russia and Ukraine slowed down, and the market's optimism about the possible easing of trade tensions heated up, U.S. stock index futures soared and the dollar strengthened.
Asian spot gold opened directly at a gap down on Wednesday, and then the decline widened further, reaching a low of $3,293. It is only $10 away from the 3,283 support line I predicted before.
📊Comment analysis
Gold has some signs of a head and shoulders top, and the current shoulder position is almost here at 3,340-50.
So, if there is a chance to pull back to 3,340-50 next. The support line is still around 3282.
Be sure to enter the market and short without hesitation.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3350 points, profit target is around 3290 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account