Xauusdlong
Gold continues to look above 3100Today, we will focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If it fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to go long if it falls back to 3100-02. It is still possible to go short if it falls back to 3102 and then rebounds to 3125-27. If you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, then going short may be the best choice. It is better not to do it than to make a mistake! Watching more and doing less is also a suitable strategy. Overall, it is recommended to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds in terms of short-term gold operations. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3128-3130 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3097 support line.
Operational Strategy;Gold will pull back to around 3100-3102, buy 20% of the position in batches, stop loss at 3090, target around 3115-3125, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies.
The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil
The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward.
Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand.
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon
Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility.
This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand.
The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence
The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend.
The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices.
Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge:
• Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
• Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income.
• Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets.
• Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices.
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Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices
Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue:
• Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets.
• Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist.
• Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds.
However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices:
• Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors.
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets.
The Significance of Gold's Milestone
Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty.
As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
How to interpret the rise or fall of gold at the opening?From the 4-hour chart of gold, since the low point of 3012 stabilized, it has been rising strongly all the way. 3086 briefly suppressed a negative line. As long as it maintains a strong unilateral trend, this negative line is likely to be a single negative line. Then we must hold the MA5-day support of 3070. If it cannot be held, the MA10-day position below 3054, which is also the intraday low, will support it. From the hourly chart, it closed strongly at a high level overnight, and continued to rely on the MA10-day moving average to rise. It is in a forced short and slow rise, and fell back to the low point of 3066. You can go long near this position on Monday. But if it is particularly strong, don't give it a chance. However, before the key resistance of 3087 is broken, it is not recommended to be too aggressive. Aggressive people can stop loss again. If the market breaks through 3087 on Monday, look at about 10 US dollars, and then you can continue to go short, unless the market closes and stabilizes at 3100. Pay attention to the support around 3066. Gold may have a double top in 30 minutes. Don't chase more for the time being. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a decline, otherwise the adjustment range at high level may be large. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold next Monday is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3097-3100 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3057-3060. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
When gold falls back to around 3066-3070, buy two-tenths of the position in batches, stop loss at 3045, target around 3080-3090, and look at 3100 if it breaks;
Is gold going to be eclipsed?
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Timeframe: 240 Min
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The price action suggests a completed impulse structure originating from the 2833 low, with gold now trading at an all-time high. Based on cluster zones and Fibonacci extensions, wave (5) still has the potential to extend toward the 3150-3200 range. This zone represents a key resistance level where buying momentum may slow down, signaling an impending shift in market dynamics.
Once wave (5) completes, it will mark the end of wave ((3)) of a higher degree, setting the stage for a corrective move. A retracement toward the previous wave (4) level is expected as wave ((4)) develops, aligning with historical corrective behavior after extended rallies. This phase will provide crucial insights into the market’s next major move. Stay tuned for further updates.
XAUUSD:Tomorrow, focus on going long on pullbacksLast Friday, influenced by both the evening market sentiment and capital flows, gold had a relatively high probability of rising overall. However, after the release of the PCE inflation data, the market reaction was poor as the data was bearish.
Gold failed to directly break through the previous high and reach a new peak. It was evident that the gold price did not hold firm above 3086, dropping rapidly after touching that level twice. Thus, one should not blindly chase long positions. If the gold price breaks below 3060, a genuine adjustment may ensue.
Overall, for tomorrow's short-term trading of gold, the trading approach should mainly involve going long on pullbacks and be supplemented by selling short on rebounds. In the short term, closely monitor the resistance level at the 3095-3100 range on the upside, and the support level at the 3070-3065 range on the downside.
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3/31 Gold Trading StrategiesThis seems to be a 5-wave upward trend, and GOLD is currently in the final phase of the upward movement. Given the strength of the bullish momentum, a rise towards the 3100 level is highly probable. Therefore, in tomorrow's trading, it would be reasonable to continue buying with a take-profit target in the 3095-3105 zone. Once the take-profit area is reached, consider switching to a short position.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Analysis: Bullish Pennant Breakout to Target1. Overview of the Chart
This 4-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a bullish pennant pattern, which is a strong continuation formation, indicating that the price is likely to continue its upward trajectory. The price action has followed a clear trend structure, and we can identify key support and resistance levels, breakout points, and potential profit targets.
This analysis provides a comprehensive breakdown of the chart setup, including:
The technical pattern formation
Key support and resistance zones
Trade setup with an ideal entry, stop loss, and profit target
Risk management considerations
Market conditions and external factors to monitor
2. Breakdown of the Chart Pattern: Bullish Pennant Formation
Understanding the Bullish Pennant Pattern
A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that occurs after a strong upward movement (known as the "flagpole"). The market then consolidates within a small triangular shape, forming the pennant. This consolidation is seen as a temporary pause before the next bullish move.
Key Characteristics of the Pennant in this Chart
Flagpole Formation:
The steep rally before the pennant formed represents a strong bullish impulse, driven by increased buying pressure.
This rapid price increase set the foundation for the pennant pattern.
Consolidation (Pennant Formation):
Price action moved within converging trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangular pattern.
The market temporarily paused, as some traders took profits while others awaited further momentum.
This type of consolidation is common before the price resumes its trend.
Breakout from the Pennant:
The bullish breakout above the upper trendline of the pennant confirms the continuation of the uptrend.
A strong breakout suggests renewed buying interest, likely pushing prices toward the next resistance level.
3. Key Technical Levels on the Chart
A. Resistance Level (Potential Selling Zone)
A critical resistance zone is marked between $3,100 - $3,125, where selling pressure could emerge.
If the price faces rejection in this zone, a temporary retracement could occur before another push higher.
A breakout above this resistance level would further strengthen the bullish case, possibly pushing gold toward the $3,175 - $3,200 range.
B. Support Level (Demand Zone)
The support zone is around $3,025 - $3,017, which is the last significant swing low.
This level represents a strong buying area where traders may look for re-entry on a pullback.
A break below this support could invalidate the bullish setup, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
C. Trendline Support (Dynamic Support)
The dashed black trendline represents an uptrend support.
If price retraces toward this level and holds, it may offer another buying opportunity before resuming its uptrend.
A break below this trendline would be a warning signal, suggesting a weakening of bullish momentum.
4. Trade Setup and Execution Strategy
A. Entry Strategy
The ideal entry point was upon the confirmed breakout above the pennant, around $3,075 - $3,085.
Aggressive traders may have entered at the breakout itself.
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to retest the breakout zone before entering, ensuring confirmation.
B. Stop Loss Placement (Risk Management)
A stop loss is placed below the support zone at $3,017 to minimize downside risk.
This placement protects against false breakouts or unexpected market reversals.
Keeping a tight stop loss allows for a higher risk-to-reward ratio while maintaining a disciplined approach.
C. Profit Target Projection (Expected Price Movement)
The target price is determined using the measured move approach, where the height of the flagpole is added to the breakout point.
The expected profit target is in the range of $3,175 - $3,200, offering a potential upside of 4.29% from the breakout level.
If price maintains its bullish momentum, further gains could be expected beyond the target zone.
5. Risk Management & Considerations
A. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This trade setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
With an entry near $3,085, a stop loss at $3,017, and a target around $3,175, the trade offers a reward-to-risk ratio of approximately 3:1.
This ensures that even if the trade does not succeed, the risk is controlled while allowing significant upside potential.
B. Factors That Could Invalidate the Setup
Failure to sustain the breakout: If price falls back below the pennant, the setup may be invalid.
Break below the support zone ($3,017): This would signal a possible trend reversal.
Weak volume on breakout: A lack of volume could indicate a false breakout, leading to price retracement.
C. Alternative Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1: Retest & Continuation:
If price pulls back to retest the breakout zone ($3,075 - $3,085) and holds, traders can look for another buying opportunity.
Scenario 2: False Breakout & Reversal:
If price falls below the support level ($3,017), traders should exit long positions and re-evaluate market conditions.
6. Market Conditions & External Factors to Monitor
A. Gold’s Correlation with USD & Interest Rates
Stronger USD → Downward Pressure on Gold
Weaker USD → Bullish Gold Trend
Interest rate decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve play a significant role in gold prices.
B. Economic Events & News Impact
Inflation Reports: Higher inflation often supports gold prices.
Geopolitical Tensions: Political instability can lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Stock Market Movements: A weaker stock market can drive capital into gold.
7. Conclusion: Bullish Outlook with Cautious Optimism
Key Takeaways:
✔ Bullish pennant breakout confirmed – strong continuation signal.
✔ Price is above key support & trendline – maintaining bullish structure.
✔ Clear trade plan with entry, stop loss, and target levels.
Trading Plan Summary:
Entry Stop Loss Target Risk-Reward Ratio
$3,075 - $3,085 $3,017 $3,175 - $3,200 3:1
📌 Final Recommendation:
Maintain a bullish bias as long as price holds above the support zone ($3,017).
Watch for volume confirmation to ensure the breakout is valid.
Adjust stop loss or secure profits if price reaches key resistance levels ($3,100 - $3,125).
If you need further clarification or alternative trade scenarios, let me know! 🚀
Accurately predict the timing of short position entryAs of now, we have made profits during the trading session. But gold hit the 3048 area yesterday. What should we do if some brothers did not close the order in time? We have made corresponding adjustments according to the current market.
Gold news:
On Friday, the price of gold climbed to 3083, mainly driven by factors such as rising risk aversion, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the global central bank's gold buying boom and increased inflationary pressure. The tense situation in the Middle East, global economic uncertainty and expectations of a depreciation of the US dollar have further enhanced the attractiveness of gold. This week, gold is expected to rise for the fourth consecutive week. The US PCE (personal consumption expenditure) data to be released tonight has attracted much attention from the market because it is the core indicator of the Federal Reserve to measure inflation and may have a significant impact on market expectations and asset prices. If the PCE data triggers concerns about stagflation, it may cause US Treasury yields to rise, further boosting gold prices. If the data eases inflationary pressures, it may boost risky assets, but gold may rise simultaneously due to rising expectations of interest rate cuts. Boosted by risk aversion, gold advanced all the way yesterday afternoon, hitting a new high of 3059 during the US trading session. Today's market continued to rise at the opening, and the current highest has reached 3086. Gold bulls rose like a tiger, where is the top?
Gold technical analysis: From the wave point of view, the large level is no longer repeated. The daily line 2832 runs a standard 5-wave structure upward, wave 1 2832-2929, wave 2 2929-2880, wave 3 2880-3057, wave 4 3057-2999. Yesterday's market broke through 3057 and rose. The current market is in the 5th wave. From the wave rule, wave 1 runs 97 US dollars. If the amplitude of wave 1 and wave 5 is equal, the high point of wave 5 can be seen near 3097. Using the Fibonacci retracement extension line, pay attention to the two resistance levels of 3088-3108 above. Therefore, the short-term continues to follow the trend of low-multiple bullishness. Pay attention to whether there is a structure to go short near 3108 above. Gold is currently high, and it is bound to fall back. This crazy bull trend cannot last long. This is inevitable. The gold price is currently seriously off track, that is, it is directly off track. This is unreasonable. Return is inevitable. There must be a deep fall today. The support below is around 3050, which is also the target of the fall.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold 3075-70 to increase the number of transactions. Target 3060-3050
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. The short profit area of 3060-3050 is all closed.
3. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
XAU GOLD TRADE REVIEW AND LIVE BREAK DOWN AND TEACHING LONGGold price rallies over 0.7% and ekes out a fresh all-time high at $3,086.
Markets are heading into safe-haven Gold while Equities and Cryptocurrencies drop.
Gold traders are now targeting $3,100 in the near term.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is printing another record performance this Friday, hitting $3,086 as the new all-time high for now and trading around $3,077 at the time of writing. Bullion sees another wave of safe-haven inflow, this time from investors that are exiting Equity and Crypto positions. From here, the next big psychological target and level to beat will be $3,100.
XAUUSD:Analysis of the Gold Market Trend for Next WeekOn Friday, the gold price fluctuated between 3,086 and 3,066, but there was no sign of peaking. Currently, the bullish trend in the gold market remains intact, and it is expected to reach new highs next week.
In the early trading session on Thursday, it was already indicated that the trend would turn bullish, and the consecutive upward movements on Thursday and Friday were in line with our expectations. At present, the gold price closed at around 3,085.
On next Monday, one needs to be wary of the risks of a gap-up or gap-down opening. The upper resistance lies between 3,090 and 3,094. If it firmly stands at this level, it will test the position of 3,111. The lower support is at 3,070-3,065.
In terms of operation, Xu Gucheng suggests that on next Monday, the main strategy should be to go long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds.
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Gold Top Trading SignalsGold continued to weaken under pressure at 3047 in Asian trading last Friday. In the afternoon, the European session broke through the 3030 mark and stabilized near 3021. In the evening, the US session repeatedly fluctuated and suppressed below the 3037 mark, ushering in an accelerated downward decline and breaking the bottom. Finally, it pierced near 3000 before closing and rebounded and closed at 3023. The daily K-line closed with a suppressed and falling middle shadow. The overall gold price showed a suppressed and falling adjustment pattern below the 3057 mark. After the opening of gold in the morning today, the gold price did not fluctuate much. It rebounded to the 3026 line and then stepped back for adjustment. As long as the correction does not break the low point of last Friday, we will continue to look for opportunities to buy when it steps back.
From the current 4-hour analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is still focused on around 3030-35, and the lower short-term support is focused on around 3000-3005. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Gold falls back to 3000-3005 line, stop loss 2995, target 3025-3030 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Gold rebounds to 3035 line but does not break, you can go short, stop loss 3042, target 3005-10 line;
Gold recommends short entry at 3030Last week, the daily RSI of gold fell slightly below the overbought area of 70, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. From a spatial perspective, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent negative fundamentals, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to fluctuate in the range. In the morning, focus on whether the opening high of 3026 can be recovered. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035, the opening point of last week; on the contrary, if it falls below the short-term moving average support of 3010, the short position can follow the trend to the expected level of 3000. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of the MACD red column and the closing of the Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of the US CPI data on the market at noon.
Gold operation suggestions: short near the rebound of 3030-3035, stop loss 3042, target 3005
Gold 100% Trading SignalsGold opened on Monday with a rebound range fluctuation. At present, it has reached the highest point of 3032 and then retreated under pressure. The lowest point reached 3014. Our article also gave the upper 3030-35 line as the main suppression range fluctuation. We will continue to pay attention to the range fluctuation. The operation is still mainly to do more on the retracement. If it continues to strengthen and break through, the subsequent decline may just be a correction of the bulls. The short-term suppression point above gold will be maintained at the 3035 line. As long as the correction does not break the low point near 3000 last Friday, we will continue to look for more opportunities on the retracement.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is still focused on 3035, the lower short-term support is focused on 3015-20, and the focus is on the support near 3000-3005. The overall main tone of low-multiple participation remains unchanged. For the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3015-3020, add more when it falls back to 3000-05, stop loss at 2995, target at 3035-3040, continue to hold if it breaks
Gold Trading SignalsOn Friday night, it bottomed out at 3000 and rebounded, and rebounded to close at 3023 in the early morning. This position is very critical. On the one hand, it is in the middle of the decline of 3038-3000, which can go up or down; on the other hand, the 618 golden section is just at 3023. If it opens here on Monday, there are technical reasons to support it. If it breaks the short-term line, it can only rely on the 3038 line pressure to be bearish.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, don’t blindly chase it when it opens in the morning, as it is easy to cause market interruption after the weekend. You can try shorting by relying on the 3038 line pressure above, and you can see more rebounds around the 3010 line support below. If there are changes in the specific market, it will be given in real time during the trading session.
In terms of trading, Jinsheng’s expected analysis layout was fully completed at the end of Friday yesterday, and the market was accurately realized. The short position at 3043 in the morning was successfully closed at 3030 at noon, earning 13 US dollars; the short position at 3033 rebounded in the afternoon, and the position was reduced at 3017 in the evening, with the remaining profit at 3006, earning 27 US dollars; the two orders made a profit of 40 US dollars, and the weekly line ended perfectly.
Gold recommends high-short and low-longThe rise of the US dollar index benefited from Trump's tariff policy. Just yesterday, Trump suddenly announced that a 25% tariff would be imposed on the purchase of oil and natural gas from Venezuela. At the same time, he claimed that some tariffs would be reduced or exempted. The market's tense nerves were released, and the US dollar index rose sharply. As the end of the month approaches, the market needs to rebalance its investment portfolio and increase the allocation of US dollars to hedge against unknown risks, pushing the US dollar to continue to rise. Yesterday, the market news was light. Today, the market will welcome the speech of Federal Reserve Board Governor Kugler on "Economic Outlook and Entrepreneurship". Immediately afterwards, New York Fed Williams will speak at a public event. In addition, there is the March Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index at 10 pm. The above events and data are concentrated in the evening time today, which will have a certain impact on the market and need to be paid attention to. The price of gold has begun to retreat from its historical high, and the safe-haven buying force has eased. This retreat momentum is expected to intensify further, especially in terms of technology.
At present, the price of gold is running in a similar triangle range, and the correction cycle is extended. On the one hand, the bulls rebounded after the pressure of the high, and it is difficult to return to the strong position directly; on the other hand, the retracement is supported by the key top and bottom conversion support band of 3005-3000. This trading day focuses on the gains and losses below the low of 3000 at the end of last Friday, and the breakthrough below the upper 3030 pressure line. If it cannot break through, there is a high probability of oscillating around this range during the day. Gold operation suggestion 1: short near the rebound of 3020-3025, stop loss 3030, target 3005. Gold operation suggestion 2: long near the retracement of 3000-3005, stop loss 2995, target 3020
Gold 100% Trading SignalsIn the two trading days of Thursday and Friday, it fell from the high point of 3057 to the 3000 mark, and lost 57 US dollars. This decline is much smaller than the previous continuous upward space. From a technical point of view, it can at least reach the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high of 2980-2956, and the retracement should be around 100 US dollars.
But this trend often does not arrive in one step. The market fluctuations are not straight up and down. There is a process of adjustment from strong long to fall back. It may be pulled up and down several times at a high level. You will not be able to see the trend and direction at once. Be mentally prepared.
Every time gold rises or falls, when there is a big market, the media will generally report it. Often at this time, you should pay attention. As we all know, you should pay attention to the risks when you advertise widely. At this time, you will be the one who takes the plate. When everyone knows, the market will not rise.
On Friday, the price bottomed out at 3000 and rebounded, and closed at 3023 in the early morning. This position is very critical. On the one hand, it is in the middle of the decline of 3038-3000, and it can go up or down; on the other hand, the 618 golden section is just at 3023. If it falls here at the opening on Monday, there are technical reasons to support it. If it breaks the short-term line, it can only rely on the pressure of 3038 to be bearish.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, don’t blindly chase it when it opens in the morning, as it is easy to cause market interruption after the weekend. You can try shorting by relying on the pressure of 3038 on the top, and you can see more rebounds around the support of 3010 on the bottom. If there are changes in the specific market, it will be given in real time during the trading session.
In terms of trading, Jinsheng’s expected analysis layout was fully completed at the end of Friday yesterday, and the market was accurately realized. The short position at 3043 in the morning was successfully closed at 3030 at noon, earning 13 US dollars; the rebound at 3033 in the afternoon was shorted again, and the position was reduced at 3017 in the evening. The remaining closed at 3006, earning 27 US dollars; the two orders made a profit of 40 US dollars, and the weekly line ended perfectly
Gold 3030 line still needs to be shortedThe weekly closing line is mediocre, with shadows but not long, indicating that the short momentum above is not strong. The same is true for the daily line, with a long lower shadow pattern, which offsets the original strong downward pressure of the evening star, causing some participants to start to tangle. The market is likely to sweep up and down at the beginning of the week, and oscillate to measure the strength of the ups and downs. Note that if gold refreshes the 3,000 low this week, gold is expected to fall back to the 2957-65 top and bottom conversion position this week.
The gold 1-hour moving average has begun to turn downward, and is about to cross downward. If the gold 1-hour moving average crosses downward to form a dead cross short arrangement, then the gold downside may open up. The gold 1-hour moving average resistance has now moved down to around 3035. So the gold 1-hour will continue to be short at highs despite the pressure at 3035 in the early trading. The gold 1-hour high has formed a head and shoulders top structure. As long as the gold bulls cannot break through the new high again, the gold 1-hour is in the process of building a high top.
In addition, the opening of this week continued the weak adjustment of last week. Today, as in the weekly review, it is still bearish and retracement. For shocks, prices fluctuate, and it is difficult for us to think unilaterally. It depends on which side you grab. The upper resistance focuses on the early high of 3026, and the second is the opening point of last week at 3035! In the short term, all the divergences and indicators on the gold hourly chart have been corrected. Now it is correcting after oversold, which resonates with the big cycle. Pay attention to the continuous pull-down of the high point during the day, which resonates with the Bollinger Bands.
Gold rebounds to 3025-30 short, stop loss at 3035, target 3010-05.
Gold Accurate SignalsTechnical analysis of gold: From the technical point of view, gold has retreated for three consecutive days, which is somewhat special in the previous crazy continuous rise. Usually, the negative line in the daily continuous rise, as long as the European session is resistant to the decline, sell short before the US session, and the watershed morning high point, usually the US session will rely on the previous day's low point to make a watershed stop loss, and according to the technical form, the rhythm of the daily line is destroyed. Whether it can bottom out and rebound today still needs to be observed! Today, the gold price opened near the short-term moving average MA10, and the short-term moving average MA5 began to turn downward. After yesterday's market surged, it was blocked near the MA5 moving average and began to fall. Today, we need to focus on the resistance formed by the MA5 moving average. If the gold price falls below yesterday's low of 3002, then we can continue to follow the short trend and look down. Focus on the upper side of the row pressure level of 3028 at the end of yesterday's trading, and participate in short orders during the day at this position.
Gold 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands to rebound. The middle track is the short-term strength and weakness distinction point. In the adjustment trend, the weakness is below the middle track. It is also a distinction point, combined with the hourly chart above. In the step-down shock, although the rebound yesterday was slightly higher than the 3033 line, it was still running below the second highest point of 3038 as a whole, a complete step adjustment trend. The second highest point is not lost, the trend is not changed, and today's operation relies on the 3033 high point as a defense to continue to follow the trend and fall back. The low point of 2020-2026 is still a resistance point. After the short position of 2028 was reduced yesterday, the bottom position continued to break the 3000 small band. Short positions rebounded slightly today near 2020-2023 and continued to short. Defense at 3033 is enough. The target is to reduce the position and then leave the bottom position to look down at 2990-2980. The space depends on the shape. As long as it closes at a low level, the adjustment space will be further deepened the next day. On the whole, I suggest that the short-term operation strategy for gold today is mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long positions on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3020-3025 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2999-2980 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds around 3020-3023, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3000, break to target 2890
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 2990-2993, buy long positions in batches (buy up) with 20% of the position, stop loss 8 points, target around 3000-3005, break the position and look at 3010
Latest gold trend analysisGold fell by $57 from 3057-3000 at the end of last week. It fluctuated downward yesterday, and the daily line closed negatively, touching the short-term moving average. From the perspective of bull correction, the adjustment has not yet been completed, and there is still a possibility of further decline. The probability of breaking the 3000 mark is very high.
However, the current market has entered a period of volatility, and the long continuity is very poor. It fluctuated upward during the day yesterday, and only began to fall in the evening, closing at a low in the early morning. The overall trend is still a volatile trend. This morning, the bottom was hit and rebounded, and the price broke through the high of 3014 in the early morning, but it is not recommended to chase blindly. Focus on the trend of the European session. If the European session goes up, it will be regarded as a shock in the evening. If the upper pressure is touched at 3035-3038, you can go short.
However, if the European session falls and breaks below 3007, then today will be a bearish trend, and the 3000 mark will also be lost. Be careful not to repeat yesterday's trend today, so you must pay attention to the rhythm of the European session. If it fluctuates upward, you can still go high in the evening.
Therefore, in general, gold is still expected to fluctuate today. Pay attention to the pressure of 3035-3038 on the upper side, and the support below is 3007-3002. Pay attention to the watershed position.
In terms of trading, yesterday Monday did not continue the bearish view on Friday, but chose to buy more near 3010, but the market failed to give it. At noon, it was aggressively long at 3017, and the European session stopped profit at 3029, winning 12 US dollars; it fluctuated upward during the day, and stepped back to 3017 twice in the evening. The retracement of the US session was too large, and the stop loss was exited at 3014 before the break, losing 3 US dollars; two orders earned 9 US dollars.
The day's rebound is mainly highAt present, the gold market has been fluctuating in the range for some time, and the market has not made a directional choice, which means that the gold price will continue to fluctuate during the day, and it is a downward flag adjustment range. For our operation layout, we should keep high-altitude and low-multiple in the range.
In the oscillating market, we mainly focus on the recent direction. It is obvious that it is a short-selling oscillation after the top falls. In the range, high-altitude and low-multiple are the first to focus on the opportunity of shorting. In this market at noon, we still need to continue to wait for the opportunity to short. From the four-hour trend, the upper pressure is focused on the 3036 line, and the lower support is near the support level of 3010!
Gold operation suggestions: short near 3032-3036, stop loss 3042, target 3015