Daily Outlook – XAUUSD | April 6, 2025📆 Daily Outlook – XAUUSD | April 6, 2025
Structure first. Setups later. Let’s map the battlefield. ⚔️
🚫 No buy/sell zones yet — this outlook is strictly focused on price structure, reaction zones, and the narrative building behind XAUUSD price.
🔹 Structure Context – Daily TF (OANDA feed)
🔹 Market structure:
Strong bullish structure still intact, but showing signs of exhaustion after the sharp impulse and rejection from premium levels. We’re currently in a pullback phase.
🔹 Key Zones & Levels to Watch:
Weekly High Zone (Premium Supply)
📍 3140–3168
▫️ Previous week’s high + extreme premium zone.
▫️ Strong rejection last time price touched it.
▫️ Watch for liquidity or reaction if price returns here.
FVG + FIB 50–61.8 Retracement
📍 3033–3060
▫️ Clear daily imbalance zone.
▫️ FVG overlaps with fib retracement zone of the last bullish impulse.
▫️ Could act as draw or reaction point if the correction deepens.
Trendline (from Jan 2025 lows)
📍 Currently tested and respected.
▫️ A break below might signal deeper retracement toward the next structure block.
Daily OB + Equilibrium Zone
📍 2920–2960
▫️ Strong bullish OB left unmitigated.
▫️ Also in line with daily equilibrium of the macro rally.
▫️ Deepest discount zone in case of larger correction.
🧠 Outlook Logic:
After the aggressive impulse above 3100, price rejected hard, forming a swing high.
We’re currently between 3140 (supply/last high) and 3030 (first imbalance draw zone).
If we hold structure at 3030–3060, price may consolidate and continue the macro uptrend.
If that zone fails, expect the trendline + 2960 OB to come into play as deeper pullback zones.
🎯 This outlook keeps you prepared for both possibilities — strength or weakness — without needing to guess direction.
💬 Let’s stay sharp and adapt as the structure unfolds. If you found this helpful, smash that ❤️, drop a comment and follow to stay updated.
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Xauusdpattern
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- Today is a very important day for XAUUSD. The reason for this is the release of the USD JOLTS JOB. So it's a very HIGH IMPACT NEWS. We need to be vigilant about that. So far, the US DATA received yesterday is slightly MIXED DATA received. But according to the INDICATOR RULES, they managed to make USD UP.
- US10Y is now up to 3.00% LEVEL. It was a CORRECTION just like we thought. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past. Now DXY seems to be a bit CORRECTION. We look forward to hearing from you. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also, when we look at DXY, it has moved to DXY 103.57 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS. But currently GOLD can be SELL before UP.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. Also the STOKES are turning a bit GREEN. COMMODITIES RISK ON TONE is what gives us. So I'm trying to be a bit of a HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES BUY right now. Anyway VIX is getting a bit DOWN right now. Also BONDS PRICES show a slightly NEUTRAL BIAS. But BONDS SPREADS are getting GREEN. MARKET currently has a MARKET ENVIRONMENT with a NEUTRAL BIAS close to RISK ON.
- GOLD PRICE can be DOWN again before UP. So GOLD can go back to 1817 LEVEL. After that you can definitely go up to GOLD price 1912 LEVEL.
If the TREND LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
Morning Star Doji on Gold?While it is too early to call as we still have one more candle to go, it still looks like the market is currently in a bit of a mix-up. More accurately, it is acting indecisively. Let's wait for the next one to form, and if it is a bullish candle, it's a clear sign to go long, at least for a bit of extra profit. However, if the next candle isn't bullish, the market will either remain indecisive or go short.
My suggestion? Wait it out!
Gold - The Bigger PictureEver since Gold touched its all-time highs back in 2020, things have been going downhill. However, what people might not have noticed is how there seems to be a pattern that is in the making. We are on the verge of the end of the triangular formation, and somewhere in October 2021, we can expect a massive breakout.
In the chart that I have just shared, the pink highlighted area is the area of value (AOV). If you find gold prices touching these regions, you have a perfect entry point because they would either be facing fierce resistance or superior support. However, it should be kept in mind that this pattern is soon to break away. For anyone willing to trade in gold, now is the time to do a spot of day-trading and swing trading. However, if you wish to make a significant chunk of profit, read the chart carefully and figure out the perfect entry points for pending orders (once the pattern is broken). Of course, there is always a risk of a false breakout, but so far, there hasn't been one since last year. This only goes to suggest that the next breakout will be a wave everyone would love to ride on. For now, enjoy the little trades as much as you can!